Syllabus - ACMA 490-3/STAT 890-4 Selected Topics in Actuarial Science: Risk Measures and Ordering Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, Faculty of Science, Simon Fraser University Spring 2006 Instructor: Cary Tsai (cltsai@sfu.ca) K 10548 Tel: 604-268-7044 Formula: 3-0-0/4-0-0 Prerequisite: ACMA 335 / STAT 450 Lecture Hours/Rooms: T : 08:30-10:20 @ AQ 5018 R : 08:30-10:20 @ RCB 8100 (8:30-9:20 is for STAT 890 only) Office Hours: T: 11:30-12:20 and 15:30-16:20 R: 11:30-12:20 and 16:30-17:20 Outline: This course studies the actuarial risks. A variety of risk measures and orders, and premium calculation principles and associated properties will be introduced. They include the following: ~ Stochastic order ~ Stop-loss order ~ Higher degree order ~ Premium calculation principles ~ Properties of premium calculation principles ~ Ordering of risks under proportional hazards transforms ~ Comonotonicity ~ Actuarial applications Textbook: Lecture notes and selected papers. Selected papers: (1). Shaun S. Wang (1995), “Insurance pricing and increased limits ratemaking by proportional hazards transforms”, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 17, 43-54. (2). Shaun S. Wang (1996), “Ordering of risks under PH-transforms”, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 18, 109-114. (3). Shaun S. Wang (1996), “Premium calculation by transforming the layer premium density”, ASTIN Bulletin, 26, 71-92. (4). Shaun S. Wang, Virginia R. Young and Harry H. Panjer (1997), “Axiomatic characterization of insurance prices”, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 21, 173-183. (5). Shaun S. Wang and Jan Dhaene (1998), “Comonotonicity, correlation order and premium principles”, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 22, 235-242. (6). Shaun S. Wang and Virginia R. Young (1998), “Ordering risks: Expected utility theory versus Yaari's dual theory of risk”, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 22, 145-161. (7). Shaun S. Wang (1998), “An actuarial index of right-tail risk”, North America Actuarial Journal, 2 (2), 88-101. 1 Evaluation: Regular assignments and project(s) throughout the semester. Midterm: 8:30-10:20AM, February 23, Thursday, 2006 (may be altered depending on teaching progress). Final exam: 8:30-11:30AM, April 13, Thursday, 2006 (Check the classroom and final exam schedule). Assignments (once available) and selected references can be downloaded from www.stat.sfu.ca/~cltsai/ACMA490/ACMA490_0601.htm. Missing an exam will result in a mark of 0 unless the student was prevented from taking it due to medical reasons with convincing evidence. A student present at the start of an exam will have his/her exam marked even if he/she leaves early for any reason. Should you miss an exam, you must let the instructor know as soon as possible. Under no circumstances will make up exams be given. Under no circumstances will late assignments and project(s) be accepted. The final grade (A+, A, ..., F) will be allocated according to the student's achievement in the course. Grading Scheme: The grading is subject to change. Assignments Project Midterm Final Exam Reading and Presentations ACMA 490 10% 20% 30% 40% 0% STAT 890 10% 20% 30% 30% 10% Lectures Rescheduled: Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 1/10 1/17 1/24 1/31 2/07 2/14 2/21 2/28 3/07 3/14 3/21 3/28 4/04 4/11 Tuesdays, 8:30-10:20AM @ AQ5018 ACMA 490 STAT 890 ACMA 490 STAT 890 ACMA 490 STAT 890 Reading Break ACMA 490 STAT 890 ACMA 490 STAT 890 ACMA 490 STAT 890 No lectures 1/12 1/19 1/26 2/02 2/09 2/16 2/23 3/02 3/09 3/16 3/23 3/20 4/06 4/13 2 Thursdays, 8:30-10:20AM @ RCB 8100 ACMA 490 ACMA 490 ACMA 490 ACMA 490 ACMA 490 ACMA 490 Midterm ACMA 490 ACMA 490 ACMA 490 ACMA 490 ACMA 490 ACMA 490 Final Exam, 8:30-11 :30AM Insurance Premiums, M. J. Goovaerts, F. De Vylder, and J. Haezendonck, 1984, North-Holland, Amsterdam. Effective Actuarial Methods, M. J. Goovaerts, . Kaas, A.E. Van Heerwaarden, and T. Bauwelinckx, 1990, North-Holland, Amsterdam. Ordering of Risks: Theory and Actuarial Applications, A. Van Heerwaarden, 1991, Thesis/Tinbergen Institute, Amsterdam. Ordering of Actuarial Risks, R. Kaas, A.E. Van Heerwaarden, and M.J. Goovaerts, 1994, Caire Education Series 1, Brussels, Belgium. Stochastic Orders and their Applications, M. Shaked and J.G. Shanthikumar, 1994, Academic Press, San Diego. 3