Optical Distortion Notes I. How much is a pair of ODI lens worth to the chicken farmer? The value for the farmer is value of substitution in use, in other words substitution of the existing method “debeaking”. So the value of a pair is Incremental benefit over debeaking - switching cos ts So let us consider the benefits to the farmer per bird per year. The sources of benefits are 1. Reduced chicken mortality. Mortality reduced from 9% to 4.5% The present cost of a surviving bird (including dead birds) is Less the new cost with the lens is $ 2.40/(1-0.045) = $ 2.61 = - $ 2.51 _________ 10 cents 2. Feed savings Assume that the feed depth is reduced by ½ feet. Some of you might have assumed that the feed depth is reduced by 1 foot. 156/2 [Savings for ½ feet per day] X 1/20,000 [savings per chicken] X 158/2000 [savings/lb] X 365 days This gives us feed savings of 11.25 cents. 3. Savings on egg production This could be because of less trauma. Based on an one egg increase relative to debeaking per chicken per annum. 1 egg X 1/12 0.53 This gives us a savings on egg production to be 4.5 cents. Thus the total calculable economic benefit to the chicken farmer in use over debeaking = 25.75 cents 4. Other benefits: Some other benefits you might have thought about: Labor cost of inserting lenses versus that of debeaking. This can be seen as a wash (220/hr debeaking vs. 225/hr. lenses). Increased egg production among lower pecking order birds Less dead birds = less trauma for survivors = more egg production. Segmentation In geographic terms California is the largest market. Followed by Florida + Georgia + Carolinas. The issue is that ODI is a start up with capital of only $ 200K. This might call for a more focused rather than a broad roll out. In terms of farm size it is logical to do to large farms and then medium firms. Larger farms are i) better use of sales force, ii) savings are greater for larger farms iii) larger farms are more like agribusinesses and can be more easily educated of the economic benefits iv) larger farms can be “reference accounts” Pricing Policy Variable costs: The variable costs are 3.2 cents for manufacturing. The box costs which are variable are 0.17 cents. Finally, the injection moulds cost $12,000 for 15 mn. pieces and can be thought of as variable at 0.08 cents. So the total variable costs are 3.45 cents. Fixed costs: One could consider high versus low options New world payments Reg. Office and warehouse Salesrep @ 40 k Tech reps@ 35k Ad PR Trade shows HQ expense Hi 25 196 8reps = 320 2reps = 70 20 20 184 Lo 25 196 5 reps = 200 1 rep = 35 5 10 100 (for 20 mn pairs) So all the above calls for a pricing strategy that is bounded by a price ceiling (of approx 26 cents) and a price floor of the direct variable costs + overheads. This leads to the discussion of the factors determining the actual price which we had in the class and as summarized in the picture below. Price Ceiling (Demand Factors, Consumer Reservation Prices) • Competition • Risk • Preemption • Market Penetration Final Pricing Decision • Corporate objectives • Liquidity • Skimming Price Floor (Cost Factors, Direct Variable Costs) Pricing Policy Considerations 1. Penetration versus skimming considerations. 2. Risk faced by farmers. What is the first reaction that many farmers would have? Might not take the product seriously. This means that ODI must design schemes to credibly demonstrate the value of its innovation to the farmers (test marketing programs).