AP Statistics - Course Audit Course Description: AP Statistics is designed for students who wish to complete studies equivalent to a one semester, introductory, non-calculus based, college course in statistics. The course will introduce students to the major concepts and tools for collecting, analyzing and drawing conclusions from data. The student selecting AP Statistics will have a strong math background, and will have successfully completed Algebra 2. AP Statistics may be taken concurrently with any math elective. To model the AP exam, each chapter test is composed of a multiple choice and a free response written portion. Additionally, each chapter students are exposed to several released AP free response questions to work on during class and sometimes as homework. These questions are timed, 15-18 minutes during semester one and 12-15 minutes during semester two. The investigative task questions are given during the second semester are also timed at 25 minutes. These are assessed in a variety of ways, all using the AP rubric given; they are teacher-graded, self-graded and at other times graded by another student. These written exercises help students deal with pacing themselves during the free response portion of the AP exam as well as help students work on communication of statistical concepts. Primary Textbook: YMM - Yates, Daniel S., More, David S., and McCabe, George P. The Practice of Statistics. First Edition. New York, NY: W. H. Freeman and Company, 1999. References and Resource Materials: Rossman, Allan J. Workshop Statistics: Discovery with Data. First Edition. New York, NY: Springer-Verlag, 1996. FR – Selected released AP Statistics free response questions, 1997-2006. Technology: All students have a TI-83/83+, TI-84/84+ or better graphing calculator. Students who do not own one, sign one out for the year with the Math Department Liaison. Students use the graphing calculator throughout the entire course. There are four computers in the Statistics classroom installed with MINITAB statistical software. Students are also exposed to computer output from MINITAB, JMP, and Fathom when applicable. Various applets on the internet. Course Outline: (organized by the chapters in their primary textbook): Graphical displays include but are not limited to using dot plots, stem plots, split stem plots, back-to-back stem plots, bar charts, histograms, frequency plots, box plots and side-by-side box plots. *denotes that graphing calculators/computers and/or computer output is emphasized. Chapter 1: Exploring Data Day Topic 1 Introduction 2 Categorical and quantitative variables, bar chart Interpreting distributions: dot plots, histograms, stem and leaf Workshop Statistics 2-2 3 4* 5 6* 7* 8 9* 10* 11 12 13 Time plots, histograms on a TI-83, Mean and median Review Chapter 1.1 5 number summary, box plots Standard deviation and variance Frequency and cumulative distributions and tables MINITAB introduction MINITAB introduction - continued AP exam details and grading FR 2001 #1 Review Chapter 1 Chapter 1 Test Special Problem 1A Chapter 2: Normality Day Topic 1 Density curves 2* Normal distribution; ball drop applet 3 Standard normal, z - score 4 Z - table 5* Assessing normality: workshop statistics 14.5 and 14.6 6* Calculator Usage 7 Review chapter 2 8 9 FR 2003 #3ab Chapter 2 Test Chapter 3: Examining Relationships Day Topic 1 2* Introduction to examining relationships Activity: Find a friend Scatterplots activity: The Challenger Disaster YMM Assignment Workshop Statistics Unit 1 preliminaries 1.2, 1.3 and Workshop Statistics 1-1 and 1-7 1.1, 1.6, 1.9, 1.10 1.13 (use TI-83), 1.26, 1.27, 1.29, 1.30 WS 1.31, 1.32, 1.33, 1.34 1.35, 1.39, 1.40, 1.41 WS Packet Packet none 1.43, 1.45-47, 1.49, 1.50, 1.56 and YMM online chapter 1 quiz Resource Binder YMM Assignment 2.2-2.5 2.6-2.9 2.12, 2.13, 2.20 2.22-2.25 2.26-2.30 2.31-2.33 2.38, 2.40, 2.41, 2.43, 2.45, 2.46 FR 2004 #3ab and YMM online chapter 2 quiz YMM Assignment 3.1-3.3, 3.5 3.10-12 3* 4* 5* 6* 7* 8* 9 Facts about correlation, correlation game applet Review scatterplots and correlation, correlation applet Least squared regression Facts about least squared regression, r squared r squared applet residuals, influential points Minitab printout Review chapter 3 10 11 FR 1999 #1 Chapter 3 Test Chapter 4: More on Two Variable Data Day Topic 1 Logarithm review 2 The classic m&m spill experiment - non-linear data activity 3* Power and exponential transformations 4* More power and exponential transformations 5* More power and exponential transformations - continued 6* Even more transformations and quiz 7* Interpreting correlation and regression 8 Relations in categorical data, two way tables, Simpson's paradox Review Chapter 4 9 FR 1997 #6 10 Chapter 4 Test Chapter 5: Producing Data Day Topic 1 Designing samples Cautions about sample surveys, inference about the population Ann Landers ‘If you had to do it over again, would you have kids’ 2 article and activity 3 Designing experiments 4 More designing experiments 5 Class designed experiment 6 Random design Simulations 7* Birthday problem simulation More simulations 8* Special project: Spread of a Rumor 9 Review Chapter 5 10 11 12 FR 2002 #2 and 2005 #1bc Chapter 5 Test Class bias project presentations Chapter 6:Probability 3.18, 3.20-3.24 WS 3.31, 3.33, 3.34 3.36-38 3.39, 3.41, 3.46, 3.48 WS 3.50, 3.51, 3.52, 3.58 FR 2003B #1 and YMM online chapter 3 quiz YMM Assignment WS WS 4.2, 4.4 WS - group work WS - group work 4.5, 4.6 4.19-4.24 4.31, 4.33, 4.39, 4.40 4.43, 4.45, 4.50, 4.59 and YMM online chapter 4 quiz YMM Assignment 5.1-5.8 5.10-12, 5.15, 5.21 5.26-5.29, 5.30, 5.32 5.35-5.37 WS 5.40, 5.42-44 5.54-5.56 5.60-5.63 WS and FR 2004 #2 FR 2003 #4 and YMM online chapter 5 quiz Day Topic Introduction to probability, randomness, sample space 1 Probability activity 2 Probability rules, complement, event 3 Union, intersection, Venn diagram YMM Assignment 4 5 6 6.2 Review probability models Conditional Probability Review Chapter 6 7 8 FR 1999 #5 and 2004 #3bc Chapter 6 Test 6.24, 6.25, 6.27, 6.31, 6.33, 6.39 6.44, 6.45, 6.47, 6.53-55 WS and FR 2002B #2 FR 2003B #2 and YMM online chapter 6 quiz Chapter 7: Random Variables Day Topic 1 2 3 4 5 6 Introduction to random variables, The game of craps activity Discrete random variables Continuous random variables Mean of random variable Mean and variance of random variable Review Chapter 7 7 8 FR 1999 #5 and 2004 #4bc Chapter 7 Test Chapter 8: Binomial, Geometric, Poisson Distributions Day Topic Binomial distribution, 1* Activity: A gaggle of girls 2* Finding binomial probabilities Binomial mean and standard deviation 3* Binomial Distribution power point 4* Geometric distribution 5* More geometric distribution Review for Chapter 8 6 FR 1998 #6bcde 7 Chapter 8 Test 8 Review for final 9 Review for final - continued 6.8, 6.9, 6.13, 6.15 6.19, 6.23 6.37, 6.39 YMM Assignment WS 7.1-7.3 7.4, 7.5, 7.7, 7.9 7.17-19 7.24-7.27 WS and FR 2001 #2 and 2005B #2 FR 2002 #3 and 2002B #2 and YMM online chapter 7 quiz YMM Assignment 8.1-8.4 8.5-7 8.8-10, 8.14-18 8.24-8.26 8.27-29 WS, FR 2001 #3 and YMM online chapter 8 quiz FALL SEMESTER EXAM – 90 minutes Chapter 9: Sampling Distributions Day Topic Introduction to sampling distributions 1* Activity: The distribution of height 2* Sampling Distributions YMM Assignment 9.1-9.4, 9.6-9.7 9.8-9.14 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Introduction to sampling proportions More sampling proportions Penny activity/Central limit theorem Sample means More sample means Review Chapter 9 FR 1998 #1 Chapter 9 Test Chapter 10: Introduction to Inference Day Topic Introduction to confidence intervals 1 Activity: Pick a card 2 Confidence intervals 3 More confidence intervals 4 Intro tests of significance 5 Hypothesis tests 6 Statistical Significance 7 Review tests of significance 8 Review tests of significance - continued 9* Calculator usage Error types (and alpha and beta) 10 Investigative activity 11 Intervals and hypothesis testing review (with proportions) 12 Calculating beta 13 Power 14 15 Review for chapter 10 Chapter 10 Test Chapter 11: Inference for Distributions Day Topic 1 Introduction to t-procedures 2* t-procedures 3* Matched t tests 4 Robustness, power 5 Two sample procedures 6* Robustness, pooling 7 Review 8* Significance tests 9 Review for chapter 11 10 11 FR 2000 #4 and 2004 #6 Chapter 11 Test Chapter 12: Inference for Proportions WS 9.15-9.18 9.22, 9.23, 9.25 WS 9.26, 9.27, 9.30, 9.31, 9.33 WS, FR 2004B #3cd and YMM online chapter 9 quiz YMM Assignment 10.1-10.4 10.5-10.7 10.9, 10.14-10.18 10.19-10.20 10.27-10.29 10.34, 10.35, 10.37, 10.38 10.41, 10.43-45 10.49, 10.55, 10.56 10.59, 10.60, 10.63-65 WS WS 10.66-68 10.69-71 10.77, 10.80, 10.84-86 and YMM online chapter 10 quiz YMM Assignment 11.3-7 11.8-11 11.12-14 11.15-17, 11.19 11.32-11.35 11.37-11.39, 43, 46 WS WS 11.49, 11.50, 11.56, 11.60 and FR 2002 #5 FR 2004B #4 and YMM online chapter 11 quiz Day Topic Introduction to proportions 1 Activity: Is one side of a coin heavier? Single Sample problems 2 Activity: Coin flipping 3* Single Sample problems - continued 4 Comparing 2 proportions 5* Comparing 2 proportions - continued 6 Review for chapter 12 7 8 FR 2002B #4 Chapter 12 Test Chapter 13: Chi Squared Test Day Topic Chi squared – goodness of fit 1* Activity: m&m’s ‘I didn’t get enough blues!’ 2* Chi squared - goodness of fit 3* Follow Up Analysis 4* Inference on a two way table, chi squared test 5* Uses of chi squared Review for test 6 FR 1999 #2 7 Chapter 13 Test Chapter 14: Inference for Regression Day Topic 1* Inference for regression 2* Confidence intervals 3* Inference about prediction 4 Checking regression assumptions 5 FR 2001 #6b 2005B #5c YMM Assignment 12.1, 12.2, 12.4, 12.5 12.7, 12.8 12.10, 12.15-17 12.21-25 WS WS and FR 2003#2 FR 2005 #4 and YMM online chapter 12 quiz YMM Assignment WS 13.1, 13.3, 13.4 13.6, 13.9, 13.10, 13.12 13.15, 13.17 13.19, 13.26, 13.27 WS, FR 2003 #5 and YMM online chapter 13 quiz FR 2002 #6 YMM Assignment 14.1, 14.3 14.5, 14.7, 14.9 14.10, 14.11 14.13, 14.14 YMM online chapter 14 quiz Review for the AP exam (with remaining time): Practice AP exam - the complete 2002 AP exam. Work on the College Board (acorn book) multiple choice questions from the course description book. Work on the remaining free response questions. Guest speaker, our former (retired) AP statistics teacher, comes in to answer questions. Go over tips for students on grading and strategies for success. Post AP exam (with remaining time): Students will finish their End of the year statistics project. Cover topics in chapter 15: Analysis of Variance. Watch various episodes of NUMB3RS that feature statistics. Watch Against all Odds videos. End of the year statistics project: Purpose: To investigate a question that you can answer using the statistical methods you have learned this year. All reports should: be typed, Arial size 12 font and double spaced include question of investigation and all group members names Report Proposal: due date:______________ Should include and be clearly labeled: The question of investigation A definition of the population A brief description of when, where and how you are going to collect your data Data Report: due date:______________ Should include and be clearly labeled: How you collected your data: The type of sampling procedure you used Precise description of your randomization When, where and how you administered and collected your data Biases avoided and not avoided A copy of any survey Your data in a table/matrix summary. Your data should be broken up by any category you want to compare. Displaying the Data Report: due date:______________ Should include and be clearly labeled: Graphs of your data Statistics from your data Descriptions of the graphs and statistics. Write the descriptions on a separate page from the graphs and statistics. Analyzing the Data Report: due date:______________ Analyze your data using whatever method(s) is appropriate for your data. Your conclusion should be written using all appropriate statistical support. Your report should include and be clearly labeled: Hypothesis Test (with conditions checked) and/or Confidence Intervals (with conditions checked) and/or Regression Conclusions Presentation: date:___________ Clearly communicate your question and how you collected your data. Limit your presentation to 10 minutes. Visually display graphs of your data— poster, overhead transparencies, PowerPoint, and/or video. Make a visual aid that shows the class how your data came out. There should be only minimal text on your visual aid—titles and big numbers—no explanations. All members of the group need to participate equally. Clearly communicate your conclusion. Do not read off your visual aid—use note cards. Be careful how you communicate numbers to the class—too many numbers at once is confusing, as is too many decimal places.