WUERZBURG-SCHWEINFURT UNIVERSITY OF APPLIED SCIENCES DEPARTMENT OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION THE IMPACT OF THE INTERNET AGE It's difficult to describe the earthshaking impact of the Internet on the business world because it can't really be compared to other technological breakthroughs like the automobile or the telephone. The Internet is triggering off a revolution which is spawning a whole raft of new industries, new business models, novel corporate structures and countless new companies. The Internet is at the foundation of the New Economy and is calling into question everything that we thought we knew about business, economics and trade. Within two years at the turn of the millenium, for instance, Yahoo! evolved from a Web search machine with a silly name, founded by two grad school dropouts to a major media company worth $40 billion. Today money-losing startups such as Amazon.com and eToys command multibillion-dollar market caps and are more valuable on the stock market than 'traditional' corporations with multibillion-dollar revenues, such as Barnes & Noble Inc. and Toys 'R' Us Inc. Dozens of these cyberworld upstarts are taking the lead in countless industries, from plastics to financial services. The Net differs from microprocessors or other disruptive technologies of the last century. It's a ready-made marketplace essentially trillions of dollars worth of network connections, computer power, and limitless databases full of information. And it's available largely free to anyone with a phone line and a personal computer. Anywhere in the world. Anytime, day or night. In short, the Net offers an entry point to all comers in every market and industry. Understandably, all this flummoxes traditional executives who have spent their working lives building companies with real assets, real factories, and real profits. ''I don't understand the valuations,'' Wal-Mart Stores Inc. CEO David D. Glass growls of the online upstarts. But this doesn't changes the facts. The Center for Research in Electronic Commerce at the University of Texas figures the Internet - if you include B2B online sales of industrial and consumer goods and services as well as the equipment and software to support e-commerce - is already far more valuable than any other industry. It's setting off shock waves which are being felt around the globe. There's hardly an industry that isn't undergoing an upheaval in how it deals with customers and partners, organizes itself, or defines its essential purpose. Says Mark T. Hogan, group vice-president of General Motors Corp.'s e-GM Internet unit: ''We've come to realize that if we don't move with Internet speed, we could become extinct.'' All of these consequences flow from one inescapable fact: The Internet puts the customer in charge as never before. Until the Net, buyers faced huge obstacles to extracting the best prices and service. Research was time-consuming, and everyone from producer to retailer guarded information jealously. For traditional business, customer ignorance was a profit center. The Net set off a new chain of events. Buyers can now find a wealth of information on just about any product or service. And if they don't like what they see from one company, another - or dozens of others are only a click away. On the other hand, sellers can identify individual buyers and collect an unprecedented amount of information on their purchase patterns. Already, software programs analyze this data and suggest a book or music CD that a customer might also like - with surprising success. Ultimately, the Net will usher in products that have been customized for each and every customer. For most sellers, buyer power is likely to present a lot more challenges than opportunities. Nowhere is this more apparent than in the exploding number of sites where auction fever has taken hold. On eBay Inc.'s online trading community and other consumer sites, auctions are as much a form of entertainment as anything. But on sites such as FreeMarkets OnLine Inc. and e-STEEL Inc., where buyers bid on tons of coal and metal, a penny here and a penny there is about corporate survival. Increasingly on the Net, list prices are nothing more than the starting point for negotiation. PROFESSOR DR G. DE MEUTER PHOENIX PROJECT CRA1 1 WUERZBURG-SCHWEINFURT UNIVERSITY OF APPLIED SCIENCES DEPARTMENT OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION Why? The computing power of the Net allows prices to be negotiated instantly and mechanically, making haggling more cost-effective than ever. So for the first time since fixed prices became the norm a century or so ago, a raft of dynamic pricing methods - from auctions to buyer cooperatives and even barter sites is gaining much wider currency than in the physical world. Traditionally, auctions aren't done for the benefit of buyers. Sellers realize that by gathering as many buyers as possible in one place, they can provoke heated bidding and thus drive up prices. These days, though, a number of new companies are reversing the auction process in favor of the buyer. Priceline.com Inc., for instance, lets buyers trade away convenience - exact departure times for flights in return for a lower price than airlines would ever offer at retail. Going a step further, startups such as Accompany Inc. and Mercata Inc. pool groups of buyers so that the more people who agree to buy a product, the lower the price goes. Gearing up to serve this newly empowered customer turns the classic business model on its head. Suddenly, factories, trucks, salespeople, and other assets that once defined most companies' competitive edges become a liability. Through the Internet, virtual upstarts can reach customers faster for a small fraction of the cost of stores and salespeople. In many industries, investors clearly view traditional factories and stores much the same way they view outdated power plants: near-worthless stranded assets. On the Net, speed trumps mass almost every time. To see why, do the math on Amazon.com vs. Barnes & Noble. Sure, Amazon is spending into the red to grab customers. But it still holds a formidable inherent cost edge over a rival such as Barnes & Noble. It's currently posting an annual sales rate of which are equivalent to ½ that of Barnes & Noble. But because of the incredible efficiencies of selling over the Web, Amazon has spent only one tenth as much on fixed assets. Moreover, Amazon's investment in new warehouses can support sales which are five times larger than its present level. That's why its market capitalization is 10 times that of B&N. No wonder retailers worry about ''getting Amazoned.'' Cisco CEO John T. Chambers warns: ''Amazon vs. Barnes & Noble will happen in every industry.'' This wrenching revelation is forcing a fundamental rethinking of what a company does. Increasingly, savvy companies avoid building expensive, time-consuming in-house capabilities. Instead, they form partnerships that coalesce and dissolve for each new project : so-called ''dynamic trade.'' Some companies are even allowing customers and partners access to their innermost operations, blurring the lines between corporations. No company has gone further down this road than networking equipment giant Cisco Systems Inc. It handles 78% of all its orders over the Net and never even touches half, or $6 billion, of them. Cisco develops product, manufacturing, and testing specifications, but by using the Internet, the orders shoot directly to contract manufacturers. Cisco owns only 2 of 30 plants producing its network switches and routers. The unprecedented flexibility the Net provides to tap resources outside the company is forcing many to rethink their very raison d'etre. What are we better at than anybody else ? If we aren't the best at shipping, won't a rival who uses the best shipper gain an edge over us ? Some experts predict a round of corporate divestitures as companies answer the questions. Then comes the task of applying a little imagination to what's left. Even the most heavyweight manufacturers, for instance, may be able to reinvent themselves as service providers instead of box pushers. Hewlett-Packard is using the Net to remake itself from a computer manufacturer into an ''eservices'' company. Instead of selling multimillion-dollar computers, it's offering to provide the computing power over a network for a monthly fee - or in the case of an e-commerce site, charge a percentage of the customer's transaction revenues. Ann Livermore, CEO of HP's $14 billion Enterprise Computing Solutions, reckons such fees could account for 80% of the division's revenues eventually. In redefining themselves, companies are also transforming their own industries. Grocery chain executives in Europe are worried about Wal-Mart Stores invading their territory. It's much worse than that: They're also in the gunsights of engineering services behemoth Bechtel Group, which is spending $1 billion to build out a massive logistics warehousing and distribution system for online grocery upstart Webvan Group Inc. PROFESSOR DR G. DE MEUTER PHOENIX PROJECT CRA1 2 WUERZBURG-SCHWEINFURT UNIVERSITY OF APPLIED SCIENCES DEPARTMENT OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION It's a frightening prospect, not knowing who your enemies are until they've already struck. What car dealer a decade years ago would have suspected a software company such as Microsoft Corp. would be one of their biggest competitors today ? Could banks have guessed a couple of years ago that online stockbroker E*Trade Group Inc. would siphon off their retail customers' accounts so easily ? In industry after industry, the interlopers are swarming like locusts. From plastics to steel to consulting services, hundreds of upstarts such as PlasticsNet and e-STEEL are setting up new, independent marketplaces online. Ultimately, they hope to become the nexus for commercial activity in their industries. And as they gather detailed information about what buyers and sellers want, they could become more indispensable to each than conventional middlemen such as distributors. But wasn't the Net supposed to do away with middlemen? After all, producers and customers can now connect directly. It turns out that on the Net, buyers need middlemen to sort through the vast new choices of suppliers. And suppliers need to be where masses of buyers gather - which usually isn't on individual company sites. These middlemen - called infomediaries, vertical portals, or e-markets - are using the Net to instantly connect buyers and sellers anywhere and will, ultimately, control most of the world's transactions between businesses. Altra Energy Technologies Inc. of Houston is typical of these new creatures. Before the online marketplace was started in 1997, buyers of natural gas had to rely on cumbersome phone calls and sending faxes to sellers. That limited them to only a few potential deals and a lot of potential price manipulation by sellers who might know a particular buyer was desperate for supplies. Now, Altra lets buyers trade anonymously on the Net with thousands of sellers. Since it's so much more efficient for buyers and sellers, it has quickly emerged as the main place to trade online, handling 70% of the industry's natural gas liquids. Transactions on the site already top $20 billion a year. These middlemen are demonstrating an irony of the Net. Yes, it's a marketplace with low barriers to new entrants - but only if you get there first. And with few clues to legitimacy online, brands provide even more pull than in many traditional businesses. Then there is the snowball effect: Once a Web site gathers a mass of buyers, in flow the sellers - whose products then draw more buyers. It's a fast-moving virtuous cycle that quickly builds one dominant player. Think Amazon in retailing or eBay in person-to-person auctions. All that portends even more consolidation online than in the physical world. ''There will be thousands of winners on the Internet,'' says Morgan Stanley Dean Witter analyst Mary G. Meeker. ''But there will be only a very few really big winners.'' THE INTERNET AGE : GLOSSARY impact to trigger off to spawn a raft (of) novel to call into question grad school dropout startup market cap cyberworld upstart disruptive available to flummox asset B2B upheaval inescapable obstacle research retailer PROFESSOR DR G. DE MEUTER = influence = to set off, to start, auslösen = to produce in large numbers, to generate = a large selection of , a series of, a range of = new = to question, in Frage stellen = someone who does not complete graduate school = a firm which has just been founded = market capitalization / value = the world of cyberspace, of IT, of the Internet = Emporkömmling = destructive, zerrüttend = verfügbar = to bewilder, verwirren, verblüffen = (here) Vermögensgegenstand = business to business ( form of Internet commerce ) = revolution, Umwälzung = inevitable, unavoidable = Hindernis = Forschung = Einzelhändler PHOENIX PROJECT CRA1 3 WUERZBURG-SCHWEINFURT UNIVERSITY OF APPLIED SCIENCES DEPARTMENT OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION unprecedented purchase patterns customize apparent bid survival negotiation to haggle to barter to gain much wider currency to benefit to reverse in favor of convenience to pool to gear up competitive edge liability fraction to view to trump to do the math on sth. to spend into the red formidable cost edge to post wrenching savvy to coalesce to dissolve to tap raison d'être divestiture box pusher to reckon to redefine to be in the gunsights of behemoth to suspect to siphon off interloper to swarm locust nexus indispensable cumbersome to emerge to top clue pull virtuous cycle to portend PROFESSOR DR G. DE MEUTER = without precedent, beispielslos = buying habits = to modify to suit the demands of the individual customer = obvious, clear = bieten = Überleben = Verhandlung = feilschen = to exchange goods, Waren austauschen = to get to be much more widespread = to gain advantage = (here) umpolen, auf den Kopf stellen = zugunsten von = comfort, ease, Bequemlichkeit, Annehmlichkeit = to bring together, to concentrate, zusammenlegen = to get ready = Wettbewerbsvorteil = disadvantage, burden, Last = Bruchteil = to consider, betrachten = to beat, schlagen = to compare the financial situation of = to make debts = (here) huge, impressive = Kostenvorteil = to record, aufzeichnen, verbuchen = painful, schmerzhaft = (Am. slang) know-how = to merge, to fuse, sich verschmelzen = sich auflösen = anzapfen = Daseinsberechtigung = sale, Verkauf, Veräußerung = computer seller = to figure, to think, to be of the opinion = neu definieren = Zielscheibe sein, im Visier von jmd. sein = giant, juggernaut = vermuten = to drain, absaugen = intruder, Eindringling = to gather in large numbers = Heuschrecken = fulcrum, meeting point, Drehpunkt = essential, crucial, unentbehrlich = umständlich, lästig = appear, auftauchen, erscheinen = to exceed, überschreiten = tip, Hinweis = power of attraction, Anziehungskraft = tugendhafter Kreis (opposite of 'vicious circle') = vorbedeuten, deuten auf etwas PHOENIX PROJECT CRA1 4 WUERZBURG-SCHWEINFURT UNIVERSITY OF APPLIED SCIENCES DEPARTMENT OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION PRONUNCIATION PRACTICE 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. automobile business company corporate customer data equipment industry investment purpose COMPREHENSION TASK A. Pair off. Working together, identify the main ideas contained in the text B. Summarize them briefly in your own words. Write one or two sentences per idea. PROVIDE THE NOUN FORM(S) OF THE FOLLOWING TERMS 1. to consult the ............................................................ / ................................................... 2. to compare the ............................................................ 3. to define the ............................................................ 4. to describe the ............................................................ 5. to differ the ............................................................ 6. to dissolve the ............................................................ 7. to emerge the ............................................................ 8. to evolve the ............................................................ 9. to include the ............................................................ 10. to limit the ............................................................ / ................................................... 11. to produce the ............................................................ / ................................................... 12. to reveal the ............................................................ 13. to reverse the ............................................................ / ................................................... 14. to transform the ............................................................ / ................................................... PROFESSOR DR G. DE MEUTER PHOENIX PROJECT CRA1 5