AIG Risk Management MSF 515 Cindy Depina Chris McClean Scott Vickery Mary White November 28, 2010 Why was AIG bailout necessary – why not let AIG fail? The bailout of AIG was necessary to help stabilize not only the company itself, but more importantly to help stabilize the financial sector as a whole. Financial regulators believed that AIG could not be allowed to fail due to the ripple effect it would have created on the already strapped financial markets. As stated by Ben Bernanke, the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, “Economic recovery hinges on the government's ability to stabilize shaky financial markets.” AIG was a big part of the shaky financial markets. Protecting the economy from utter financial failure was the intent of the Federal Reserve. AIG at the time was, and still is, linked or tied to many other financial institutions in the market. It was widely believed that if AIG had failed, it likely would have caused many of its key trading partners, including Goldman Sachs, to experience severe financial crisis or even to fail as well. The snowball effect would have had catastrophic effects in the United States and all over the world. As we saw, financial giant Lehman Brothers ultimately failed the same week that AIG received government support. The United States was already facing a distressed economy and the collapse of Lehman Brothers sent global markets reeling. The bailout of firms like AIG and the decision not to bailout others, like Lehman Brothers, caused substantial debate about the concept of these companies being “too big to fail,” but it is generally accepted that the US government actions to bolster some of the linchpin financial firms at the time saved the global economy from greater catastrophe. Terms of the AIG Bailout AIG received several bailouts from the US Government in 2008 and 2009. The total authorized amount of these bailouts was $183.3 billion; however, the actual funding was $151.3 billion. The first bailout occurred on Sept 16th, when the Federal Reserve Bank of New York (FRBNY) provided an $85 billion revolving loan facility for 24 months. Pricing under the initial funding was Libor + 8.5%. The funding was supported by 79.9% ownership stake in AIG. On November 10, 2008, The U.S Treasury agreed to buy $40 billion in Senior Preferred Stock under the TARP program. With these funds, AIG received approval from the Treasury to reduce the FRBNY revolving loan from $85 billion to $60 billion, as well as, to extend the $60 billion loan facility to 5 years while reduce pricing to Libor + 3% on the drawn funds and Libor + 0.75% on the undrawn funds. Additionally, in November 2008 under the TARP plan the U.S. Treasury committed up to $29.8 billion to purchase additional Preferred Stock to meet liquidity needs of the company. Of that total amount, $7.5 billion has been funded. Also in November 2008, the Fed created two special purpose vehicles (SPV), Maiden Lane II SPV and Maiden Lane III SPV, to hold AIG’s Residential Mortgage Back Securities and Collateralized Debt Obligations. The commitment was authorized up to $52.5 billion; however, the actual amount funded was $43.8 billion. In December 2009, two more SPVs were created, AIA SPV and Alico SPV. The $25 billion essential exchanged equity for a reduction of FRBNY’s revolving loan facility. With this funding the FRBNY revolving loan facility was reduced further from $60 billion to $35 billion. As of September 30, 2010, the availability of the FRBNY’s revolving loan facility has been reduced to $29.18 billion with the sale of assets by AIG. The following table shows the outstanding balances under the various debt and equity facilities as of quarters ending March 31, 2010, June 30, 2010 and September 30, 2010: Facility FRBNY Revolving Authorized Balances as of Sept 30, Balances as of June 30, Balances as of Mar 31, Commitment 2010 2010 2010 $29.18 billion $20.5 billion $26.5 billion $27.4 billion $40 billion $41.6 billion $41.6 billion $41,6 billion $29.835 billion $7.5 billion $7.5 billion $7.5 billion $25 billion $26 billion $25.6 billion $25.1 billion $22.5 billion $14.1 billion $14.7 billion $15.3 billion $30 billion $15.1 billion $16.3 billion $17.3 billion Loan Equity TARP Preferred Series D/E Equity TARP Preferred Series F Equity FRBNY AIA SPV and Alico SPV Equity FRBNY Maiden Lane II SPV (RMBS) Equity FRBNY Maiden Lane III SPV (CDOs) Total Outstanding Total Obligation of $162 billion $124.8 billion $132.1 billion $134.2 billion $132.8 billion $95.6 billion $101.2 billion $101.6 billion AIG* * Maiden Lane II SPV and Maiden Lane III SPV are not obligations of AIG and not included in AIG’s balance sheet. AIG’s Restructuring to Improve Risk Management The rapid and nearly complete failure of AIG called attention to the importance of risk management, forcing regulators and company executives to ask how things went wrong so quickly. As AIG accepted the federal government’s bailout money and looked forward to its return to viability, it was clear that changes were necessary in the way it identified, measured, and treated risk. An early example of these changes came when the Department of Treasury announced it would purchase $40 billion in preferred stock from AIG under the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act. This move came with certain stipulations to help assure that the company would use taxpayers’ money responsibly. Among requirements to limit executive compensation, bonuses, and expenses, AIG also had to create a formal risk management committee that would report directly to the board of directors. (US DOT, 2008) Several months later, the US Treasury Department and Federal Reserve announced that they were restructuring the government’s assistance in supporting AIG, citing the “systemic risk” it posed to the country’s economy as well as the “fragility” of the markets at the time. (FRS, 2009) This restructuring, which was announced on March 2, 2009, included improved terms of the Treasury’s stock investment, a $30 billion equity capital facility to allow the company to raise more money, and a repayment of a $26 billion capital facility to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Although these moves primarily focused on building AIG’s financial strength, risk reduction was a driving force. At the time, the company’s Vice Chair and Head of Restructuring said, “The U.S. Treasury, the Federal Reserve, and AIG have taken actions that will allow AIG to achieve a complete restructuring over the next several years through a process that protects policyholders, continues to reduce risk, and produces strong, focused franchises that can operate as independent entities.” (AIG, 2009) According to the company’s web site, a major objective for all its restructuring efforts is “reducing excessive risk by winding down AIG’s exposure to certain financial products and derivatives trading activities.” (AIG, n.d.) AIG also continues to bolster its internal risk management expertise and culture, hiring additional risk managers and committing more communication and meeting time to discussion of risk. In testimony in front of Congress during the summer of 2010, AIG’s former risk manager explained that management had had good oversight across the various business units but had not planned for the severe levels of risk that eventually combined to bring down the company. To help solve this problem, AIG Executive Vice President Peter Hancock, who now oversees the company’s finances, investments, and risk management, explained, "For a place this big … we need a broader number of senior leaders who are thinking about the whole and a culture where there's a sense of curiosity and accountability for something larger than just the nominal patch that each person is in charge of." (Ng, 2010) References AIG Financial Supplements (Q-10) Third Quarter September 30, 2010. Retrieved from: http://www.aigcorporate.com/investors/financial_reports.html AIG (n.d.) Restructuring and Rebuilding. Retrieved on November 24, 2010 from http://www.aigcorporate.com/restructuring/keyrestructuring.html AIG (March 2, 2009) U.S. GOVERNMENT PROVIDES SUPPORT FOR CONTINUED RESTRUCTURING OF AIG. Retrieved from: http://www.niagroup.com/AIG/US_Govt_Restructuring_AIG.pdf CBC news. WSOCTV.com. Federal Reserve System (March 2, 2009) U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve Board Announce Participation in AIG Restructuring Plan. Retrieved from http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/other/20090302a.htm Hartley, Chris (November 2, 2010) AIG to Pay Back Bailout with $37 billion. Financialfeed.net. Retrieved from: http://financialfeed.net/aig-to-pay-back-bailout-with-37-billion/85540/ Ng, Serena (September 15, 2010) AIG Refines it Risk Approach. The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved from: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000142405274870465210457549404241006279 2.html US Department of the Treasury (November 10, 2008) Treasury to Invest in AIG Restructuring under the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act. Retrieved from: http://www.treas.gov/press/releases/hp1261.htm