Pros and Cons of Fiscal and Monetary Policy

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Pros and Cons of Fiscal Policy vs. Monetary Policy by Marjolein van der Veen

Fiscal Policy

Pros

If use Government spending, can direct spending towards areas in need (e.g. infrastructure, education, etc.), and make investments for the future.

Using a balanced budget can provide a stimulus without adding to the government budget deficit.

While fiscal policy may lead to government deficits/debt, we should look at debt/GDP ratio. As only as GDP grows, it can bring down the debt/GDP ratio.

Can use “green” taxes to discourage polluting activities.

Cons

Knowledge problems (regarding the current state of the economy; regarding the amount of an expansion or contraction needed, etc.)

Government budget deficits (though there’s disagreement regarding the extent to which deficits are a problem)

Time lags (particularly on the front end of the process)

Some crowding out (extent depends on how close the economy is to full employment)

Tax rebates may be spent on imports, thus leaking out of the circular flow.

Actions of state and local governments may counteract the federal fiscal stimulus (or contraction).

Growing the GDP to bring down the debt/GDP ratio can compromise environmental sustainability.

What if we have stagnation + inflation? Could exacerbate inflation

Monetary Policy

Pros

Can be initiated immediately

No government budget deficits

Expansionary policy leading to depreciating currency can stimulate exports (at least for businesses that do not rely on importing their inputs).

The Fed is theoretically insulated from the political process

Cons

Knowledge problems (regarding the current state of the economy; regarding the amount of an expansion or contraction needed, etc.)

Time lags (particularly response lags)

Can’t direct the spending (to particular uses, e.g. infrastructure), and spending may be done in wasteful ways, e.g. speculation, mergers and acquisitions.

Very low interest rates can foster speculative activities (such as Japan’s yen carry trade.)

Fed’s change in interest rate is applied nationally – some areas in the country might not need the stimulus, while states with high unemployment might need the stimulus.

Reluctant lenders (Banks may be unwilling to lend, especially if overwhelmed by bad loans on the books)

Reluctant borrowers (pushing on a string)

(Firms may be reluctant to borrow, especially if expectations of future sales and profits are low.)

Limit of r=0%, liquidity trap

While government doesn’t incur debt, the private sector is encouraged to borrow and take on debt.

What if we have stagnation + inflation? Could exacerbate inflation

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