Economic Policy Wilson 18A Objective Questions Who Governs? Who in the federal government can make our economy strong? To What Ends? Why does the federal government ever have a budget deficit? Federal Budgets Deficit – spending < revenues throughout year Debt – cumulative deficits year after year GDP – yearly production of G/S Have always had debt Ratio of debt to GDP increasing Got surplus in late ‘90s Clinton budget showdown with House Gingrich “Contract with America” Booming technology and housing sector Budget Proposals Liberals – raise taxes Conservatives – cut spending Spend surplus on programs Return surplus to taxpayers Economic Growth and Tax Relief Reconciliation Act “Bush Tax Cuts” – 2001 Bad estimates = CBO, OMB 9/11, housing and banking crisis, recession Extensions, some made permanent Fiscal cliff, sequester Politics of Prosperity Voters tend to hold elected officials responsible for the state of the economy Pocketbook issues Economy as a whole or individual circumstances More responsive to national conditions – sociotropic Short-run POV when running for reelection Macroeconomy is complicated Ideological positions Dems = unemployment Reps = inflation Fiscal Politics Taxing and spending Contradictions in voter demands Less taxes + more spending = reduce deficits Increasing spending more popular with voters Attempt to raise taxes on “other people” Monetary Policy Federal Reserve Board Open Market Operations Required Reserve Ratio Interest Rate Theories Monetarism – use of Fed tools to keep money supply equal to economic productivity – Friedman Keynesianism – use of federal budget to influence total demand – Keynes Planning – use of price controls and industrial policy to direct economy – Galbraith Supply-side – free markets and create incentives for growth through targeted tax cutting – Laffer Reaganomics – combined monetarism and supply-side policies for mixed results (ended up more Keynesian)