Common Size Analysis Suppose someone told you that a particular company had $1 billion in earnings one year. Is that good or bad? The answer depends on many factors, including: How much revenue did the company book in order to achieve those earnings? How much did competitors of a similar size earn? How much did the company earn last year? How can an investor fairly compare one company’s earnings to another, given that they cannot be exactly alike in all other respects? How can the firm’s performance be compared to its past performance to determine whether it is improving? Common size analysis is one tool that allows investors to compare companies across time and with other companies. The following articles explain how to use common size analysis in practice: 1. Vertical Common Size Income Statements shows how to express the income statement as a percentage of sales and use this data to analyze a company’s performance over time. 2. Horizontal Common Size Income Statements demonstrates how to express the financial statements in each year as a percentage of a given base year. This permits an investor to see if certain expenses, assets or liabilities are growing faster than others. 3. Common Size Balance Sheets can be used to compare companies even when they use different currencies. 4. Using Common Size Statements to Forecast Earnings shows how to do just that. DuPont analysis DuPont analysis (also known as the DuPont identity, DuPont equation, DuPont Model or the DuPont method) is an expression which breaks ROE (Return On Equity) into three parts. The name comes from the DuPont Corporation that started using this formula in the 1920s. Basic formula ROE = (Profit margin)*(Asset turnover)*(Equity multiplier) = (Net profit/Sales)*(Sales/Assets)*(Assets/Equity)= (Net Profit/Equity) Operating efficiency (measured by profit margin) Asset use efficiency (measured by asset turnover) Financial leverage (measured by equity multiplier) file: jakartaprofessional.wordpress.com source: http://en.wikipedia.org 1 ROE analysis The Du Pont identity breaks down Return on Equity (that is, the return to equity that investors have contributed to the firm) into three distinct elements. This analysis enables the analyst to understand the source of superior (or inferior) return by comparison with companies in similar industries (or between industries). The Du Pont identity, however, is less useful for some industries, such as investment banking, that do not use certain concepts or for which the concepts are less meaningful. Variations may be used in certain industries, as long as they also respect the underlying structure of the Du Pont identity. Du Pont analysis relies upon the accounting identity, that is, a statement (formula) that is by definition true. Examples High turnover industries Certain types of retail operations, particularly stores, may have very low profit margins on sales, and relatively moderate leverage. In contrast, though, groceries may have very high turnover, selling a significant multiple of their assets per year. The ROE of such firms may be particularly dependent on performance of this metric, and hence asset turnover may be studied extremely carefully for signs of under-, or, over-performance. For example, same store sales of many retailers is considered important as an indication that the firm is deriving greater profits from existing stores (rather than showing improved performance by continually opening new stores). High margin industries Other industries, such as fashion, may derive a substantial portion of their competitive advantage from selling at a higher margin, rather than higher sales. For high-end fashion brands, increasing sales without sacrificing margin may be critical. The Du Pont identity allows analysts to determine which of the elements is dominant in any change of ROE. High leverage industries Some sectors, such as the financial sector, rely on high leverage to generate acceptable ROE. In contrast, however, many other industries would see high levels of leverage as unacceptably risky. Du Pont analysis enables the third party (relying primarily on the financial statements) to compare leverage with other financial elements that determine ROE among similar companies. file: jakartaprofessional.wordpress.com source: http://en.wikipedia.org 2 ROI and ROE ratio The return on investment (ROI) ratio developed by Du Pont for its own use is now used by many firms to evaluate how effectively assets are used. It measures the combined effects of profit margins and asset turnover. The return on equity (ROE) ratio is a measure of the rate of return to stockholders. Decomposing the ROE into various factors influencing company performance is often called the Du Pont system. Where Net profit = net profit after taxes Equity = shareholders' equity EBIT = Earnings before interest and taxes Sales = Net sales This decomposition presents various ratios used in fundamental analysis. The company's tax burden is (Net profit ÷ Pretax profit). This is the proportion of the company's profits retained after paying income taxes. The company's interest burden is (Pretax profit ÷ EBIT). This will be 1.00 for a firm with no debt or financial leverage. The company's operating profit margin or return on sales (ROS) is (EBIT ÷ Sales). This is the operating profit per dollar of sales. The company's asset turnover (ATO) is (Sales ÷ Assets). The company's leverage ratio is (Assets ÷ Equity), which is equal to the firm's debt to equity ratio + 1. This is a measure of financial leverage. The company's return on assets (ROA) is (Return on sales x Asset turnover). The company's compound leverage factor is (Interest burden x Leverage). ROE can also be stated as: ROE = Tax burden x Interest burden x Margin x Turnover x Leverage ROE = Tax burden x ROA x Compound leverage factor Profit margin is (Net profit ÷ Sales), so the ROE equation can be restated: file: jakartaprofessional.wordpress.com source: http://en.wikipedia.org 3 file: jakartaprofessional.wordpress.com source: http://en.wikipedia.org 4