Revised 3/6/2016 Jointly Produced by: SEAU/USSC Structural Engineers Association of Utah & The Utah Seismic Safety Commission EXECUTIVE SUMMARY To be provided by Barry Welliver WHITE PAPER 06-2008 Revised 3/6/2016 TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. Introduction 2. Today’s Situation 2.1 Earthquake risk 2.2 Quantity and type of URM buildings 2.3 Performance of URM buildings in earthquakes 2.4 Output from earthquake loss model (HAZUS) 3. How Did We Get Here? 4. Available Options 4.1 Code mandated upgrades 4.2 Voluntary upgrades 4.3 Incremental rehabilitation 5. Benefits 5.1 Reduction of earthquake induced losses 5.2 More rapid recovery from seismic event 5.3 Increased value 5.4 Decreased insurance rates 5.5 Historic preservation 6. Potential Costs 6.1 Primary costs 6.2 Additional costs 7. Recommendations 7.1 Mandatory or directed programs 7.2 Financial incentives 7.3 Considerations for historic buildings Revised 3/6/2016 1. Introduction To be provided by Barry Welliver Revised 3/6/2016 2. Today’s Situation 2.1 Earthquake Risk Utah is considered to be in a high seismic area and likely to experience a large earthquake. Since 1850, at least 27 independent earthquakes of magnitude 5.0 and larger have occurred in the Utah region. Seismologists predict that the Wasatch fault has the potential of creating an earthquake measuring over 7.0 on the Richter Scale. Earthquakes are caused when stress within the Earth builds up, causing an area of rock to “snap” along a fault. This breaking causes a release of energy which is measured by how much ground shaking occurs. The Richter Scale measures the intensity of this “shaking” by using a seismograph. The seismograph measures the height of the waves produced by the earthquake. It is an absolute scale; wherever an earthquake is recorded, it will measure the same on the Richter scale. Each 1-unit increase in the Richter Scale corresponds to a 32-fold increase in energy release and a 10-fold increase in ground shaking. Table 1 illustrates the energy created from different magnitude earthquakes measured using the Richter Scale. Magnitude -1.5 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 Table 1. Richter Scale vs. Earthquake Energy TNT for Seismic Energy Equivalence Energy Yield 6 ounces Breaking a rock on a lab table 30 lbs A two-ton truck traveling 75 mph 1 ton A large quarry or mine blast 29 tons Smallest earthquake commonly felt 1,000 tons A small nuclear weapon 32,000 tons 1 million tons 32 million tons 1989 Loma Prieta Earthquake (7.1) 1 billion tons 1906 San Francisco Earthquake (8.3) 32 billion tons Largest Recorded Earthquake (9.5) The magnitude scale compares amplitudes of waves on a seismogram, not the STRENGTH (energy) of the quakes. So, a magnitude 7.0 is 100 times bigger than a 5.0 quake as measured on seismograms, but the 7.0 quake is about 1,020 times STRONGER than the 5.0! Since it is really the energy or strength that knocks down buildings, this is really the more important comparison. This means that it would take about 1,020 quakes of magnitude 5.0 to equal the energy released by one magnitude 7.0 event. This explains why big quakes are so much more devastating than small ones. The amplitude ("size") differences are big enough, but the energy ("strength") differences are huge. The amplitude numbers are neater and a little easier to explain, which is why those are used more often in publications. But it's the energy that does the damage. Many have asked how much damage would be caused by a large earthquake on the Wasatch Front? If the earthquake were to occur on a central part of the Wasatch fault, Utah should expect damage to buildings to exceed $24 billion in Davis, Salt Lake, Utah and Weber counties. Revised 3/6/2016 This may only represent 20% of the total economic loss. Unreinforced masonry buildings (for example, brick homes built before 1974) are particularly vulnerable to ground shaking and are expected to account for 75% of the building losses. Surface faulting and ground failures due to shaking during a large earthquake will cause major disruption of lifelines (utilities, water, sewer), transportation systems (highways, bridges, airports, railways), and communication systems. 2.2 Quantity and Type of URM Buildings Unreinforced masonry buildings (URMs) are defined as those buildings consisting of clay or concrete bricks or other masonry units with little or no steel reinforcing. The reason URM buildings are so vulnerable to earthquake damage is the brittle nature of the brick and mortar. Under cyclic loads the mortar may crumble and lose strength allowing the brick to separate and fall. In cases where these bricks are the only support for roof and floor framing, catastrophic collapse becomes more likely. The early Utah pioneers used unreinforced brick extensively in high rise buildings, schools, business offices, residences, etc. It is estimated that over 185,000 URM buildings are located within Davis, Weber, Salt Lake, and Utah Counties. These types of buildings are prevalent in nearly every rural town throughout the State of Utah. In many communities most of their business district consists of URM buildings. A loss of these buildings could be economically disastrous for a small community. Families living in URM homes also face many dangers. The beauty and historic value of old residences draw many home owners to these types of buildings, yet there is a sleeping monster living within the walls of the home. This monster (URM bearing walls) will be awakened in an earthquake. 2.3 Performance of URM Buildings in Earthquakes Since the first settlers arrived in the Great Salt Lake Valley there have been approximately 27 earthquakes in Utah measuring over 5.0 on the Richter scale. The largest measured earthquake was a 6.6 which occurred in 1934 near Kosmo, Utah. The following history provides a brief description of how these earthquakes affected Utah’s communities and their infrastructure. Ogden Three distinct shocks rocked the Ogden area on July 18, 1894 with the largest measuring 5.0. Walls cracked and dishes were shaken from tables. Many people were frightened during the violent motion. The area around Ogden was strongly shaken on May 13, 1914 measuring 5.5. Windows were broken and chimneys thrown down in Ogden; near panic was reported at Central Junior High School. Dishes rattled and furniture moved at Farmington. Santaquin A 5.0 earthquake occurred on August 1, 1900, near Santaquin. An adobe house was split in two and people were thrown from their beds. A chimney was damaged, dishes were broken, and some plaster fell at Goshen. There were additional reports that the deep shafts of a mine were shifted so that the cage could not be operated. Revised 3/6/2016 Richfield On November 13, 1901, a strong earthquake measuring 6.5 caused extensive damage from Parowan to Richfield. Brick buildings and many chimneys were damaged; some rockslides were reported near Beaver. Earth cracks with the ejection of water and sand were reported; in addition, some creeks increased their flow. After several weeks of preliminary tremors, two strong earthquakes about 12 hours apart shook Elsinore, Monroe, and Richfield on September 29, 1921. The first shock, at 7:12 a.m., measured 6.0 and lasted 7 to 10 seconds. It threw down scores of chimneys, tore plaster from ceilings, and fractured walls at Elsinore. In addition, gables of houses were thrown out and the foundation of a new school sank one foot, leaving gaps between the walls and the roof. Total damage was estimated at $100,000. A number of brick and stone buildings were rendered uninhabitable by the 8:32 a.m. earthquake. The Monroe City Hall, built of rock, was severely damaged. Large rock falls were caused on both sides of the Sevier Valley. St. George Considerable damage resulted at Pine Valley, St. George, and Santa Clara from an 6.0 earthquake on November 17, 1902. Chimneys were destroyed at Pine Valley and Santa Clara; additional damage occurred at Pinto and Toquerville. Tremonton A series of 30 to 60 earthquakes were reported in the vicinity of Garland and Tremonton between October and December 1909. Some of the shocks were strong enough to throw down chimneys. Salt Lake City A May 22, 1910, a 5.5 earthquake damaged many chimneys at Salt Lake City and several old buildings. Two aftershocks of less intensity were felt. Kosmo On March 12, 1934, at 8:06 a.m., an earthquake occurred near Kosmo, on the north shore of Great Salt Lake. This tremor, which measured magnitude 6.6, could have caused great damage in a densely populated area. Because of the sparse settlement in the region there was very little damage - mostly demolished chimneys and cracked walls in poorly constructed buildings. Two deaths, however, were attributed to the shock. Considerable faulting occurred in the epicentral region. Precise leveling revealed that areas sank to depths up to 390 millimeters. The onset of the shock was abrupt. There were no foreshocks, but aftershocks continued for 2 days; only one, at 11:20 a.m. on the same day, was outstanding (magnitude 6.0). There was moderate damage over a broad area, including Salt Lake City, where plaster fell. All chimneys fell in Kosmo and Monument; fissures, holes, cracks, and springs appeared in connection with a belt of fractures at least 8 kilometers long. Revised 3/6/2016 Cache Valley Damages estimated at $1 million resulted from an August 30, 1962, shock in the East Valley fault zone. The magnitude 5.7 earthquake caused significant damage at Franklin, Lewiston, Logan, Preston, and Richmond. Cache County was designated a disaster region by the Small Business Administration. The greatest damage occurred at Richmond where at least nine houses were declared unsafe for occupancy, one church was damaged beyond repair, numerous houses lost walls, and 75 percent of the older brick chimneys fell. At Logan, principal building damage was cracked and twisted walls. Brick and timber fell through a church roof. At Lewiston, one brick wall fell and many chimneys were damaged. A sugar refinery near Lewiston sustained major damage when large pieces of cement coping fell, penetrating lower-level roofs. Four schools in Cache County were seriously damaged. Marysvale On October 4, 1967, a magnitude 5.2 earthquake caused damage in the Marysvale area. Ceilings and walls cracked in numerous houses in Marysvale (VII). About 1 mile north of Marysvale, well water was badly muddied for 24 hours. At Koosharem, chimneys and plaster cracked. Chimneys were partially knocked down at Joseph. Abridged from Earthquake Information Bulletin, Volume 9, Number 4, July - August 1977, by Carl A. von Hake. The following is a list of significant earthquakes which occurred in regions where a significant number of URM buildings exited at the time of the earthquake. These quakes portray how devastating a large earthquake can be in a well-populated region. Peru Revised 3/6/2016 An 8.0-magnitude earthquake struck on the evening of August 15, 2007 at 6:41, just off the coast of Peru. The province of Ica was the most damaged, but even in Lima, 150km (95 miles) from the epicenter, people stood trembling on the streets as buildings around them shook. Severe aftershocks continued into Thursday morning, the strongest of which measures 6.3. Pisco's mayor says 200 people are buried in the rubble of a church which collapsed during mass. In Chincha, about 200 people wait outside a badly damaged hospital, fearing it might collapse. Juan Mendoza, mayor of Pisco, told a radio station that "the dead are scattered by the dozens on the streets". He estimated that 70% of his coastal city was in ruins. "We don't have lights, water, or communications. Most houses have fallen, churches, stores, hotels, everything is destroyed," he said. (BBC news report) San Francisco, CA The California earthquake of April 18, 1906 ranks as one of the most significant earthquakes of all time. Today, its importance comes more from the wealth of scientific knowledge derived from it than from its sheer size. Measuring 7.9 on the Richter Scale, this earthquake devastated the Bay area. Buildings crumbled, fires were ignited, and lives were lost. Revised 3/6/2016 Revised 3/6/2016 Turkey The most powerful earthquake to hit Turkey left at least 1,000 people dead. The 1999 earthquake measuring 6.7 on the Richter scale struck the industrialized town of Izmit in western Turkey at just after 3:00 am on Tuesday local time. Many residents of the heavily populated town were asleep in bed and had no chance of escape. Few of Izmit's buildings were built to withstand earthquakes and whole districts collapsed. Buildings were also destroyed in Turkey's largest city, Istanbul, about 50 miles (80 km) north west of Izmit. 2.4 Output from Earthquake Loss Model (HAZUS) In 2004, the Utah Geological Survey released a special study, ”Earthquake-Hazards Scenario for a M7 Earthquake on the Salt Lake City Segment of the Wasatch Fault Zone, Utah”. The purpose of the report is to discuss and map geologic hazards that may result from this scenario earthquake. The geologic hazard maps coupled with data on the built environment will provide a basis for a better understanding of estimated losses. The geologic maps developed for this scenario include, peak horizontal acceleration (ground shaking), liquefaction (lateral spreading and settlement), landslide (wet and dry conditions), tectonic-subsidence hazard. Based on the 2000 census, 1.7 million people, or over 70% of the state population, would be affected from this Salt Lake City Segment earthquake. This area includes nine counties as well as the cities of Ogden and Provo. The disruption of basic services, the damage to the built environment, and the number of casualties, can be quantified by using a loss-estimation model, HAZUS. HAZUS stands for Hazards US and is a software product created and developed by the Federal Emergency Management Agency, FEMA. HAZUS can generate estimates of losses due to geologic effects as well as losses by building types. It can provide emergency planners, county emergency managers, first responders, and state and local government officials with the number of fire starts, amount of debris generated, number of shelters that will be needed, cost to repair or replacement of damage buildings, and damage to infrastructure and critical facilities. Based on county assessor data, there are over 185,000 URMs in the nine county scenario region. HAZUS suggests that nearly half of these structures will be substantially damaged in the scenario earthquake. Building-related losses exceed $42.6 billion which includes structural and nonstructural damage. Losses for URMs will constitute roughly one-third of the building-related Revised 3/6/2016 losses. HAZUS estimates that daytime Level 3 and Level 4 casualties from URMs could reach 8800. A Level 3 casualty is a life-threatening injury and a Level 4 casualty is a fatality. Revised 3/6/2016 3. How Did We Get Here? As discussed in earlier sections of this paper, Utah has a relatively large inventory of URM buildings as compared to other states with similar or greater risk of a catastrophic seismic event. The use of masonry in construction in Utah has varied significantly from the early 1850’s when the early settlers began to build permanent structures to the present. All masonry construction prior to the adoption and implementation of the 1973 UBC in Utah with its new requirements for seismic resistance would be considered to be URM, unless documented otherwise. There are a number of reasons why there is such a large inventory of URM buildings in Utah. The early settlers came from New England and northern Europe. Their building traditions, knowledge and expertise were based on masonry construction. The Wasatch Front, where the majority of the early concentrated construction occurred, was characterized by scarce lumber resources, plentiful clay, plentiful stone, and adequate limestone to create mortar. In addition, the early settlers that were building permanent structures had immigrated and concentrated in this area due to their religious faith for the most part. The religious leaders emphasized that the settlers must build permanent structures out of high quality materials to last into the future. Early on, the religious leaders also emphasized the need for the new communities to be independent and self-sufficient, minimizing the amount of imported construction materials. Constructing with locally produced brick addressed both of those concerns. These early construction techniques and materials set the standard which continued for the construction of the preponderance of the existing URM inventory built from 1890’s to 1930’s. In the early 1900’s the brick fabrication became more consolidated with a few major fabricators, but they still used the local clays and masonry was still a viable construction material. After World War II, there was a change in the fabrication equipment and processes, which required a higher quality clay than was locally available. Fabricators began to import clay from other states. This change made the cost of the finished product increase. As costs of brick went up, construction techniques changed. The use of masonry began to be limited to veneer vs. solid wall. In the 70’s and 80’s, vinyl and aluminum siding became the more economical choice and even less masonry was used in construction. While these URM structures were constructed before there was a knowledge of the earthquake risk in our state, the buildings were built to last having already had an 80- to over 100-year life span. If these buildings were to be seismically retrofitted and have normal maintenance performed, they would be expected to last another 100 years or more. For many decades, older homes and businesses were demolished and rebuilt utilizing the new construction codes. Even though the new construction is designed to meet the current seismic requirements, the new construction techniques and materials do not have the expected life span of the existing buildings in many cases. However, the demand for preserving safe and well maintained existing buildings is anticipated to increase. The decision to demolish in the past was typically driven by economic concerns. Now other considerations like reducing waste, construction/demolition related environmental issues, protecting scarce resources, and minimizing the energy put into fabricating new building material are included in the decision making process. Revised 3/6/2016 4. Available Options 4.1 Code Mandated Upgrades The State of Utah currently adopts the 2006 International Building Code (IBC) and 2006 International Residential Code (IRC) for the design of buildings. These codes mandate that an existing building undergoing a significant addition, alteration or repair meet the seismic requirements for a new structure1 (IBC 3403 & IRC R102.7.1). A “significant” alteration or addition would be one that causes any of the existing structural elements to be decreased in capacity by 5-10% or more or that increase the force to any structural element by 5-10% or more. As an example, let’s consider the small URM residence shown in Figure 1. The home owner wishes to add a small addition onto the back of the house to enlarge the kitchen area and add a covered porch. To open up the kitchen area a good portion of the back wall will be removed. Because more than 5% of the back wall is removed, the IBC mandates that a seismic analysis of the entire residence be performed, not just for the addition. Figure 1. Addition to URM Residence The State of Utah also requires existing buildings which undergo a “change of use” to meet the seismic requirements for a new building when the occupant load is increased by 100% or more3 (Section 3406.4 of the Utah Amended Code). An example of this would be when an existing onestory office building (1-occupant per 100ft2) is converted to retail (1-occupant per 30ft2). Revised 3/6/2016 Starting January 1, 2007, the State of Utah began allowing jurisdictions to adopt the 2006 International Existing Building Code (IEBC). The IEBC provides the designer with several options for analyzing existing buildings. While the IEBC provides the designer with flexibility, it also provides a benefit to the building owner by sometimes only requiring existing buildings to be checked for 75% of the seismic forces required for new buildings2 (IEBC 807.5.2 and 506.1.1.3). Although the buildings may be designed to this lower force level, the minimum code IBC code requirements for safeguarding the public are still met. The IEBC provides a win-win approach for the designer, building owner, and local building department. The State of Utah currently mandates that all buildings constructed prior to 1975 be evaluated by a licensed engineer when undergoing reroofing or alteration of a roof appendage. This evaluation requires that applicable parapets and other roof appendages be seismically braced. It also requires that wall anchors be installed to tie the roof deck to the walls if necessary. In summary, existing buildings which undergo significant additions, alterations, repairs or a change of use may be required to provide a seismic analysis showing that they comply with the seismic requirements for a new building. Unfortunately, due to the brittle nature of URM construction, and the weight of these buildings, it is virtually impossible for a URM building to meet the seismic requirements of either the IBC or the IEBC without significant improvements. 4.2 Voluntary Upgrades In 1996, the Earthquake Preparedness Information Center (EPICENTER) hired a local engineering firm to develop “The Utah Guide for the Seismic Improvement of Unreinforced Masonry Dwellings”. This guide was intended to describe to home owners and contractors alike the potential dangers of URM residences and to help them understand how they can improve their seismic performance. The guide discusses typical features of URM construction and portrays typical deficiencies of several “model” home types. Several figures are provided to show home owners what improvements can be made to the existing structural elements to improve the buildings overall seismic performance. This guide is available online at www.seau.org. 4.3 Incremental Rehabilitation Seismic rehabilitation of existing buildings can be expensive and disruptive. These two factors are frequently cited when building owners are faced with decisions about how to improve the seismic safety of their structures. Often the process is conceived as an effort of overwhelming proportions and the decision to forego improvements seems to be the only choice available. There is an alternative however which has been promoted by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) termed Incremental Seismic Rehabilitation (ISR). This new concept is based on the hypothesis that seismic improvements of existing buildings would be more readily initiated if there were a way to reduce the initial costs and the disturbance to a building’s occupants during the process. Incremental seismic rehabilitation is a technique which seismically strengthens a building through a series of stages that are coordinated with regular building maintenance and capital improvement projects. This approach helps reduce both the costs and disruption to building operations by tackling the improvements over an extended timeframe. Through careful Revised 3/6/2016 planning, engineering and commitment to full implementation ISR will ultimately attain the full damage reduction benefits of the more disruptive single-stage rehabilitation. URM buildings are excellent candidates for the ISR approach since there are significant benefits to be achieved by making improvements during re-roofing and remodeling a structure. Some of the most significant upgrades to the seismic deficiencies of URMs include making attachments of the heavy walls to the roof and floor(s) and bracing brick chimneys. When initiated during normal maintenance or planned improvements, these projects are very cost effective. The philosophy of ISR is that beginning down the road toward seismic safety is worthwhile. The “do all or do nothing” approach extends the period of seismic vulnerability and continues the gamble that an earthquake will not occur anytime soon. Incrementally improving a building can be a difference maker when evaluating risk and should be considered a viable alternative. Revised 3/6/2016 5. Benefits 5.1 Reduction in Earthquake Induced Losses What benefits could be gained by retrofitting URMs? Building-related losses from the M7 Salt Lake City Segment scenario earthquake are over $42.6 billion. Roughly a third of the losses, $14.2 billion, are attributed to URMs. Retrofitting these structures may save them from demolition, however retrofitting URMs has been shown to be effective in improving the lifesafety potential of these structures. The 1994 M6.7 Northridge (California) and the 2001 M6.8 Nisqually (Seattle) earthquakes illustrated that retrofitted URMs performed better than nonretrofitted URMs. The picture below shows some of the damage that occurred to URMs from the Nisqually earthquake. Next to the damaged URM is a retrofitted one that shows little damage resulting from this quake. A substantial number of small businesses are located in URM structures. One reason small businesses are located in these structures is because of lower costs to rent or own. HAZUS results suggest that the more significant issue with URM buildings is not regards to their failure but with the non-structural components, contents, and inventory located inside these structures. The scenario earthquake analysis from HAZUS shows that for every dollar lost to structural damage there are 5 dollars lost to non-structural and content damage and inventory losses. Couple these non-structural losses with structural losses from URMs and a picture is painted of businesses unable to recover after the earthquake. There are also a significant number of two, three, and four story apartments in the downtown area of Salt Lake City and most of the larger communities along the Wasatch Front. An analysis Revised 3/6/2016 of HAZUS reveals that the number of casualties can be significantly reduced by retrofitting or eliminating URMs. HAZUS estimates that daytime Level 3 and Level 4 casualties from URMs could reach 8,800. With the retrofitting or elimination of URMs, this number is reduced to 2,500. A Level 3 casualty is a life-threatening injury and a Level 4 casualty is a fatality. The map below shows the number of buildings that will need to be inspected after the scenario earthquake. Over 76,000 of the red-tagged structures and more than half of the yellow-tagged structures will be URMs. These numbers represent about one-third of the structures needing post-earthquake inspections. URMs are also a major contributor to the debris that is left in the aftermath of the earthquake. Brick/Wood debris makeup 46% of the 35 million tons of debris generated from the earthquake. Programs that create incentives to retrofit these structure will help reduces these post-earthquake recovery issues. 5.2 More Rapid Recovery from Seismic Event Is this in Bob Carey’s write-up? 5.3 Increased Value One of the benefits of seismically retrofitting URM buildings is the potential to increase the value of the property. From a buyer’s standpoint, there would be increased confidence on the purchase of a structural building which has been seismically upgraded, knowing that in case of a seismic event, the property would much safer for those who are inside, and experience less catastrophic damage. Revised 3/6/2016 5.4 Decreased Insurance Rates The potential cost of repairing damage from earthquakes has been growing because of the increased development in the seismically active areas in the state of Utah, as well as the vulnerability of the older buildings in these areas which have not yet been seismically upgraded to the current building standards. Insurance companies who provide earthquake insurance realize this, and may increase the premiums in these areas of greater seismic risk. In an article from the Insurance Information Institiute titles “Earthquakes: Risk and Insurance Issues”, it states: “Premiums also differ widely by location, insurer and the type of structure that is covered. Generally, older buildings cost more to insure than new ones. Wood frame structures generally benefit from lower rates than brick buildings because they tend to withstand quake stresses better. Regions are graded on a scale of 1 to 5 for likelihood of quakes, and this may be reflected in insurance rates offered in those areas. The cost of earthquake insurance is calculated on “per $1,000 basis.” For instance, a frame house in the Pacific Northwest might cost between one to three dollars per $1,000 worth of coverage, while it may cost less than fifty cents per $1,000 on the East coast. A brick home would cost approximately $3 to $15 dollars per $1,000 in the Pacific Northwest, while it would cost between 60 to 90 cents in New York. Earthquake insurance is available from most insurance companies in most states.” With that said, another potential benefit of seismically retrofitting URM buildings is the potential to decrease the premium to be paid for earthquake insurance. The California insurance code states that the CEA policyholders who have retrofitted their homes to withstand earthquake shake damage according to standards and to the extents set by the CEA governing board receive a 5% premium discount. 5.5 Historic Preservation The majority of buildings on the National Register of Historic Places in Utah are URM buildings. There are some great benefits to be gained by the State of Utah aggressively encouraging seismic rehabilitation of these buildings. First, historic buildings in general are a cultural asset that must be preserved. Their preservation can be considered a window into our society’s past from which we gain a sense of identity that in turn gives definition to where we are going as a society. Seismic rehabilitation helps ensure that these buildings will survive a catastrophic event. Second, when the majority of the historical URMs were constructed, 1890’s – 1930’s, they were built of high quality and durable materials. The buildings that exist that have had normal maintenance throughout the years are now 70- to over 100-years old. With seismic rehabilitation to protect against a catastrophic event and continued maintenance, these buildings can be expected to last for and additional 100 years or more. This expected lifespan is likely longer than a new building constructed with current materials and techniques. Historic preservation reverses the decline of a community due to the deterioration of buildings and significantly increases property values. This phenomenon can be seen in the “Avenues” Revised 3/6/2016 community in Salt Lake City where rehabilitation of homes has occurred since the late 1970’s to the present. Third, historic preservation is innately “green”. The demand for environmentally responsible construction methods is expected to increase. An existing historic building represents a significant amount of natural resources already invested and is one of the best ways of meeting material reduction, reuse and recycling goals. The decision to go “green” and purchase a historic building as a home or business, should consider the life expectancy and life safety issues of the building as opposed to the alternative of constructing new. The fact that a building has been seismically rehabilitated would be a strong consideration in favor of going “green.” Revised 3/6/2016 6. Potential Costs 6.1 Primary Costs So, what can one expect to pay for the seismic strengthening of an existing building? This answer must be qualified by first having a clear understanding of how the building was constructed and consideration for other renovation work that is being done in conjunction with the seismic retrofit. For example, the owner of a small single story URM home may wish to seismically retrofit the home while also performing a significant remodel. One of the main costs for typical seismic improvements is the removal and replacement of finish materials. If interior lath and plaster is removed as part of upgrading electrical and plumbing items the wood stud walls can then be sheathed to act as shearwalls. If re-roofing is to occur, the contractor then has access to tie the roof system to the existing URM walls. New plywood roof sheathing can also be provided to provide strength and stiffness to the roof, which provides the added benefit of a new substrate for the new shingles. If new flooring is to be installed, tying the floor system to the existing walls could be accomplished with little cost. If no interior demolition is to occur, or the home is not to be re-roofed in conjunction with the seismic retrofit, the costs for these seismic improvements could increase significantly. Depending on the condition and thickness of the URM walls with respect to their height, additional strengthening of the URM walls themselves may not be necessary in order to maintain life-safety, not necessarily to eliminate damage to the structure. Since tall narrow URM chimneys pose a significant hazard during a seismic event, particular attention should be paid to these areas. It is relatively inexpensive to remove a portion of the chimney to reduce the height to an acceptable level. Quite often, the mortar in chimneys has deteriorated to the point that the brick can be removed with only a small hand chisel and hammer. The top of the chimney can then be re-built, using the original bricks, to match the original architectural detailing. 6.2 Additional Costs There are many other areas where efforts can be made to improve the seismic resistance of URM buildings. After all efforts are expended to accomplish the upgrade items listed previously, the owner should consider other seismic upgrade alternatives as well. For example, some building owners may desire to provide additional insulation value for exterior URM walls. In some cases, it may be possible to utilize new stud walls (which also act as new insulated walls) on the interior of the URM walls, to attach to and help resist seismic forces on the URM walls. At the very least, these new stud walls can provide additional protection against collapse of thin or deteriorating URM walls. Other effective, but possibly more costly measures for strengthening existing URM walls may include: * Re-pointing of crumbling or deteriorated mortar; Revised 3/6/2016 * Providing concealed ties between wythes (layers) of brick which otherwise may not be tied together; * Reinforced shot-crete (gun-ite) walls added to either the inside or outside face of the wall, and tied to the URM wall; * Center-coring of walls, which involves drilling vertically down from the top of the wall, and installing reinforcing and grout to strengthen the existing wall. Each of these methods can be considered for every URM building. However, even if the budget does not allow all recommended upgrades to be completed right away, the primary repairs indicated herein should still be considered and installed, likely at minimal additional cost. Costs? Revised 3/6/2016 7. Recommendations 7.1 Mandatory or Directed Programs While it has been known for some time that URMs pose a significant risk during a seismic event, very few efforts have been made to seismically retrofit the abundance URM buildings in Utah. Because earthquakes are rare events retrofitting is not typically the highest priority for building owners with limited funds. Governments convey mixed messages by not requiring seismic retrofits in some cases, even when mandated by the building codes. It is important that the State of Utah and local governments realize that they have a stake in the future of these buildings, in both protecting human life and economic continuity. It is not necessary to look very far for examples of successful URM programs. States such as California, Washington, Oregon and Nevada have each had an abundance of URM buildings located within high seismic regions. Each of these states has developed significant programs, both locally and statewide, to provide incentives to building owners who perform seismic upgrades. Retrofitted URMs can be seen throughout downtown Seattle, WA while programs instituted in Portland, OR have caused the quantity of URMs in the city to be greatly reduced. In 1986 California passed the “URM Law”3(SB 547, Section 8875 of the California Code). This law required all jurisdictions located within high seismic regions to create an inventory of its URMs by 1990, adopt a loss reduction program, and then report progress to the state’s Seismic Safety Commission. In 1990, ten San Francisco Bay Area Counties had a total of 6800 URMs with that number being reduced to 3000 by 2003. In order to develop a successful URM program a strategic plan should be developed that: 1. Defines the goals, 2. Identifies appropriate programs, 3. Identifies priorities for those programs, and 4. Defines milestones when goals are accomplished. Strategic plans can be implemented over a transition period of 1, 2, 5, 10, 20 and 50 years into the future. No one really knows how much time we have before an earthquake hits some part of our State. We may have days, a few years, or many years. Using a phased approach will result in some short-term benefits, while other goals, if implemented over the long term, will yield tangible benefits that will significantly impact losses. Short-term goals include development of scenario risk analyses that can be used to educate the public, and increase the effectiveness of the planned programs; and selection of towns for Pilot Programs. Mid-term and long-term goals include land-use development programs and development of incentives for retrofitting, and at the State, local, and individual level. Entire neighborhoods of URM buildings could be transformed through redevelopment; lifelines relocated; hospitals strengthened. 7.2 Financial Incentives For any program to be successful, it must get the attention of its audience. In this case, a successful URM program must address the bottom line of the building owner. Financial incentives have been the key to successful programs throughout the United States. Below is a list of some financial incentives that have been instituted by local jurisdictions to pique the interest of building owners: Revised 3/6/2016 - Waiver of permit fees Permit fee reductions Local tax breaks Grants In addition to the above mentioned local financial incentives, state and federal incentives should also be considered. As an example, the state may choose to provide a tax rebate to building owners which have seismically upgraded their buildings similar to rebates given in Utah for hybrid vehicles or the addition of solar panels to a residence. The federal government currently provides a 20% tax credit for work certified by the National Park Service on National Register buildings. Projects selected for FEMA pre-disaster mitigation funds may be funded for up to 75% of the applicable project costs. Financial incentive may not be the only way to promote a local or statewide URM program. Many of the successful URM programs mentioned previously also incorporated items such as a tool lending program, workshops for home owners and contractors, etc. The City of Portland chose to waive the requirement to meet additional code-prescribed items such as energy when voluntary seismic upgrade was performed. 7.3 Considerations for Historic Buildings There are benefits to encouraging seismic rehabilitation of historic buildings as discussed above. However, unless there is a life safety issue as determined by the building official there is currently no mandatory rehabilitation requirement. Effective methods to encourage rehabilitation are through a combination of education and financial incentive. For historical buildings in Utah, there are several existing financial incentives and financial assistance/loans available depending on the type of project and building ownership. A full listing of available financial assistance can be found at the Utah State Historic Preservation Office’s website. There are two different rehabilitation tax credits already available that could benefit the majority of private historic building (commercial and residential) owners. However, these tax credits have not been used very much due to lack of knowledge of their existence on the part of home and business owners. One tax credit available is the Federal Rehabilitation Tax Credit. It is interesting to note that there are two available tax credits available. There is a 20% Federal Investment Tax Credit (ITC) available for rehabilitating historic buildings (listed on the National Register) used for commercial or residential rental use and a 10% ITC for renovating non-historic buildings (not listed on the National Register) being used for commercial (but not residential rental) and constructed before 1936. The second tax credit available is the Utah Historic Preservation Tax Credit. A 20 % nonrefundable state income tax credit for the rehabilitation of historic buildings that are used as owner occupied residences or residential rentals. Twenty percent of all qualified costs may be deducted from taxes owed on Utah income or corporate franchise tax. Even for those who were aware of the tax credits for historical buildings, there are some misconceptions. For example, a home owner may think that their home must be individually Revised 3/6/2016 listed on the National Register with an official marker plaque affixed to the front to qualify for the Utah Historic Preservation Tax Credit. Utah has many Historic Districts which are listed on the National Register. The district is an area or neighborhood that has a concentration of historic buildings (eg., Avenues, Capitol Hill, University, Gilmer Park , Central City, South Temple, City Creek, Exchange Place, and Warehouse). Any building in that area over 50 years old would qualify. This greatly increases the number of qualified buildings since within a Historic District there is just a small percentage that are individually listed on the National Register due to their specific historic significance. For both tax credits, there are limits on what kind of rehabilitation work qualifies. However, seismic rehabilitation work would most likely be considered to be qualifying work in both cases. The existence of the tax credits is a good start but has not been used to its full advantage yet. It is recommended that an effort to communicate and educate the community and building owners as to the financial incentives available at the same time as to the benefits of seismic rehabilitation. It is also recommended to provide training to building officials and historic preservation officials in the latest International Existing Building Code. With this training and the knowledge of what kinds of financial incentive are available, the officials will be better prepared to work with owners when they are applying for historic building rehabilitation project approval.