Module 1: Accounting under ideal conditions Due Process Accounting standards –> typically there is a trade off between the conflicting interests of constituencies. Attaining a reasonable compromise requires due process and debate between the various interest groups affected by the standards. This includes broad consultation, discussion papers, exposure drafts, public hearings, and representation of different constituencies on the standard setting body itself. More to follow in modules 8 to 10. Recent Developments relevant to financial accounting Enron, World Com scandals - > introduction of Sabanes-Oxley Act (SOX) in US; FASB tightened several accounting standards Meltdown of the markets for asset-backed securities in 2007 -> collapse of stock markets and wider implications for many countries (recession); severe criticism of fair value accounting, particularly by financial institutions (A tough read through the many acronymns and detailed description of what went wrong in the US in 2007. Come back to this later in the course and it will make much more sense at that time.) Key Learnings 1. Financial reporting must be transparent, so that investors can properly value assets and liabilities. 2. Fair value accounting, being based on market value or estimates thereof, may understate value-in-use when markets collapse due to a severe decline in investor confidence. This leads to management objections. 3. Finally, off-balance sheet activities should be fully reported, since they can encourage excessive risk taking by management. Present Value Accounting Present Value accounting (also called value-in-use), is discussed under ideal conditions in mod 1 – “best” approach for accounting. Note: Current value accounting - general term used to refer to departures from historical cost designed to increase relevance of financial information Fair value accounting (also called exit value or opportunity cost). Fair value is the amount the firm could sell an asset for or the cost to dispose of a liability, that is, market value. Under ideal conditions, present value and market value are equal. When ideal conditions do not hold, the present value of an asset or liability may differ from its market value. 1 Module 1: Accounting under ideal conditions Present Value Model under Certainty (with ideal conditions) Certainty - future cash flows and interest rates are publicly known with certainty Accretion of discount - opening PV multiplied by interest rate ex ante NI = expected NI ex poste NI = realized NI (will be same $ under ideal conditions with certainty) Dividend irrelevancy (characteristic of ideal conditions) - as long as investor can invest any dividends received at same rate as firm can earn on cash not paid out in dividends then it doesn’t matter when dividends are paid out (cash flows are just as relevant as dividends since they establish the firm’s dividend paying ability) Arbitrage profits - if market prices for goods & services are such that, without risk, it is possible to make a profit by buying in one market and selling in another market, these profits are arbitrage profits. Note: If future cash flows and risk free rate are publicly known (i.e. ideal conditions under certainty), market movement would quickly eliminate any price discrepancies therefore market value of asset would equal present value Approaches to determine asset value: Direct - discounted PV Indirect - market value (will be same $ under ideal conditions with certainty) * NBV of capital asset always equals PV of future cash flows Present Value Model under Uncertainty (with ideal conditions) Uncertainty - given fixed interest rate - complete and publicly known set of states (1) - publicly observable state realization - publicly known state probabilities (1) uncertain future events that could affect the outcome of a decision (which cannot be controlled) are called states of nature Note: under ideal conditions would not have unanticipated states Ex ante (expected) and ex poste (realized) NI will not always be the same --> due to the revision of cash flows resulting from the specific state realization. Difference in expected value of earnings and their actual realization is referred to as abnormal earnings. 2 Module 1: Accounting under ideal conditions Conclusions for Ideal Conditions -> Certainty & Uncertainty Similarities: Net income has no information content when conditions are ideal (balance sheet contains all the information) F/S based on PV’s will be relevant (based on expected future cash flows) and will be reliable (F/S values correctly reflect expected future cash flows taking into account all states of nature - no unanticipated events will occur) Dividend irrelevancy continues to hold Principle of arbitrage ensures that use of direct & indirect methods of valuing assets will result in same $ amount Difference: Under certainty the ex ante and ex poste NI are the same; under uncertainty these will not usually be the same Reserve Recognition Accounting (no ideal conditions) Reserve recognition accounting (RRA), which reports expected present value of proved oil and gas reserves as supplementary information. RRA is a US accounting standard (SFAS69) but can be found in the financial statements of several major Canadian corporations. SFAS69 - requires supplemental disclosure of certain information (oil & gas companies) including disclosure of estimated PV of future receipts from proved oil & gas reserves (standardized measure). Note: SFAS69 mandates a discount rate of 10%: + prevents management bias in choice of rates (concern is that the rate can be manipulated to achieve a desired PV) + provides for comparability across firms / across time for same firm - discount rate does not reflect risk of reserves Weaknesses: * interest rates are not fixed; states of nature are not complete * necessary to make unanticipated, material changes to the estimates (i.e. may be relevant but the volatility affects the reliability) Without ideal conditions, complete relevance & reliability are not jointly attainable therefore necessary to trade off these two desirable characteristics 3 Module 1: Accounting under ideal conditions Historical Cost accounting revisited Present day accounting uses a mixed-measurement model (current value and historical cost components). Standard setters have introduced numerous current value based standards – but these typically run into volatility and reliability issues. Two positions: Historical cost accounting is more useful to investors than current value. Past performance is the best predictor of future performance. Current value is better since firms operate in environments that are constantly changing. Hence current values of assets and liabilities provide most useful indication of the firm’s future prospects. Relevance vs. reliability Historical cost accounting is relatively reliable (less subject to errors of estimation and bias than present value calculations) but may be low in relevance. Relevance of current cost exceeds that of historical accounting but need for estimates reduces reliability. Revenue recognition Current valuation of assets and liabilities imply revenue recognition as changes in current value occur. Thus, current value accounting typically recognizes revenue at an earlier stage than historical cost. Recognition Lag Current value has little recognition lag since changes in economic value are recognized as they occur. Historical cost has greater recognition lag. (revenue recognition under historical cost lags increases in economic value). Matching of costs and revenues Matching is primarily associated with historical cost accounting since net income under historical cost is a result of matching realized revenues with the costs of earning them (uses accruals) Matching is not required for current value since value changes in assets and liabilities are driven by market forces and the firm’s reaction to these forces. Historical cost accounting is not completely reliable: Amortization of capital assets HB states that amortization should be recognized in a rational and systematic manner appropriate to the nature of the asset, which allows a variety of amortization methods. Concern: makes comparison of profitability across firms more difficult 4 Module 1: Accounting under ideal conditions allows management of reported profitability since there is a choice of methods => possible bias in reported NI TRADE OFF BETWEEN RELEVANCE & RELIABILITY can’t have complete relevance because - historical cost based asset values can differ significantly from discounted PV’s - subject to management manipulation can’t have complete reliability because - measurement of NI is a process of matching (and the matching principle usually allows diff ways of accounting for the same thing) Different users want different trade-offs While historical cost accounting may seem like a reasonable trade-off between In real world -> NI does not exist as a well-defined economic construct When conditions are not ideal, market values do not resolve the question of nonexistence of true net income. The reason is that market values do not exist for many assets and liabilities. When markets are incomplete, financial statements cannot be fully prepared on a market value basis (i.e. true net income does not exist) Problem: lack of a complete set of states (ex. no single interest rate in economy, interest rates may change over time, thus unlikely that future cash flows can be accurately forecast) unanticipated states can occur .....leads to estimates which are not always accurate; could be biased => hence loses reliability. While historical accounting has desirable characteristics for accounting information, and is still used for many important classes of assets and liabilities, actual practice has been moving toward current value accounting for some years. Present day accounting is often called a mixed measurement model. Providing that reasonable reliability is maintained, accounting theories tell us that financial statements are "better" when they more closely approach the present value ideal. This is one reason for the movement to a mixed measurement model. Focus is now on preparing financial statements that are decision-useful for investors. 5