DXP Analysis Running Head: DXP ENTERPRISES ANALYSIS DXP Enterprises Analysis Gina Boling Davenport University April 15, 2012 Page 1 DXP Analysis Table of Contents Overview Pg 3 Financial Statements Pg 4-8 Financial Statement Summary Pg 9-10 Ratio Analysis Pg 10-11 Stock Price history/Forecast Pg 11-13 Other Pertinent Information Pg 13 Recommendation Pg 14 Page 2 DXP Analysis Overview DXP Enterprises (DXPE), founded in 1908, incorporated in 1996, is a publicly held corporation in the Industrial Equipment Wholesale industry in the Services sector. DXP Enterprises primary business activities are focused in the areas of distributing maintenance, repair, and MRO products, equipment and services to industrial companies. DXP Enterprises is headquartered in Houston, TX and has 2,093 full time employees. As of 2011, DXP had 123 locations in 34 states (Morningstar.com, 2012). DXP Enterprises boasts a customer base of over 50,000 mainly conducting business in the United States and Mexico but many of its customers are multi-national companies. David Little, Chairman, CEO, and President received $1.4 million in compensation year ending December 31, 2010 (Yahoo Finance, 2012). Institutional Shareholder Services rated DXP’s governance risk indicator as of April 2012 Audit – high concern, Board – medium concern, Compensation – medium concern, and shareholder rights – low concern. DXP has steadily expanded since incorporation through a strategy of internal growth and acquisitions. In 1996, sales were $125 million and increased to $807 million in 2011 (Morningstar.com, 2012). In 2010, Industrial Distribution magazine ranked DXP 16th largest distributor of MRO products. The Industrial Equipment Wholesale industry is highly competitive and DXP’s competition is local supply and distribution companies, large scale distribution companies, and manufacturers. Many of the companies that are competitors however, specialize in one area, product or service. DXP seeks to be a leading integrated provider of these services and products to the end user offering consolidation of these services and products for the customer (Morningstar.com, 2012). Page 3 DXP Analysis Financial Statements DXP Enterprises, Inc. (DXPE) Income Statement Fiscal year ends in December.USD in millions except per share data. Revenue Cost of revenue Gross profit Operating expenses Sales, General and administrative Other operating expenses Total operating expenses Operating income Interest Expense Other income (expense) Income before taxes Provision for income taxes Net income from continuing operations Net income Preferred dividend Net income available to common shareholders Earnings per share Basic Diluted Weighted average shares outstanding Basic Diluted 2007200820092010201112 12 12 12 12 TTM 445 737 583 656 807 807 319 530 432 468 575 575 126 207 151 188 232 232 94 159 151 176 176 159 48 6 0 42 16 26 26 0 26 148 53 201 -49 5 0 -54 -12 -42 -42 0 -43 94 32 3 0 29 12 17 17 0 17 151 37 5 0 32 13 19 19 0 19 176 55 4 0 52 21 31 31 0 31 176 55 4 0 52 21 31 31 0 31 1.48 1.36 2.02 1.89 -3.24 -3.24 1.4 1.32 2.19 2.08 2.19 2.08 12 13 13 13 13 13 14 15 14 15 14 15 (Morningstar.com, 2012) Page 4 DXP Analysis DXP Enterprises, Inc. (DXPE) Balance Sheet Fiscal year ends in December. USD in millions except per share data. Assets Current assets Cash Cash and cash equivalents Total cash Receivables Inventories Deferred income taxes Prepaid expenses Other current assets Total current assets Non-current assets Property, plant and equipment Gross property, plant and equipment Accumulated Depreciation Net property, plant and equipment Goodwill Intangible assets Deferred income taxes Other long-term assets Total non-current assets Total assets Liabilities and stockholders' equity Current liabilities Short-term debt Accounts payable Taxes payable Accrued liabilities Other current liabilities Total current liabilities Non-current liabilities Long-term debt Deferred taxes liabilities Minority interest Total non-current liabilities Total liabilities 200712 200812 4 4 80 84 2 2 6 6 101 119 4 3 172 233 26 -9 17 61 36 33 -13 20 99 45 1 115 286 200912 201012 201112 2 2 77 73 8 4 0 164 1 1 100 76 6 3 0 185 2 2 137 94 5 2 1 165 398 32 -15 17 61 26 3 1 107 271 33 -18 15 85 32 2 1 135 321 38 -21 17 102 43 2 3 166 405 4 55 14 58 13 51 11 55 16 5 80 22 11 104 13 1 78 17 10 93 1 62 2 29 40 134 102 2 0 104 185 155 9 0 164 268 103 104 114 103 181 104 197 114 249 239 Page 5 DXP Analysis Stockholders' equity Preferred stock Common stock Additional paid-in capital Retained earnings Treasury stock Accumulated other comprehensive income Total stockholders' equity Total liabilities and stockholders' equity 0 0 55 48 -1 102 286 0 0 56 74 0 0 58 32 0 0 73 51 130 398 0 90 271 124 321 0 0 75 83 -1 0 157 405 (Morningstar.com, 2012) Page 6 DXP Analysis DXP Enterprises, Inc. (DXPE) Statement of Cash Flow Fiscal year ends in December. USD in millions except per share data. Cash Flows From Operating Activities Net income Depreciation & amortization Investment/asset impairment charges Deferred income taxes Stock based compensation Accounts receivable Inventory Prepaid expenses Other working capital Other non-cash items Net cash provided by operating activities Cash Flows From Investing Activities Investments in property, plant, and equipment Property, plant, and equipment reductions Acquisitions, net Purchases of investments Net cash used for investing activities Cash Flows From Financing Activities Debt issued Debt repayment Common stock issued Common stock repurchased Excess tax benefit from stock based compensation Dividend paid Other financing activities Net cash provided by (used for) financing activities Net change in cash Cash at beginning of period Cash at end of period Free Cash Flow Operating cash flow Capital expenditure Free cash flow 200712 200812 200912 5 1 26 11 0 0 -3 -3 -2 0 -1 201012 201112 TTM 19 10 31 10 31 10 -11 0 -7 -1 18 -42 11 67 -17 2 24 33 -2 -24 0 52 3 1 -15 2 1 3 0 24 2 1 -22 -4 -3 10 0 26 2 1 -22 -4 -3 10 0 26 -1 1 -6 -5 0 -74 -2 0 0 -1 1 -18 -4 -4 -6 -79 -2 -18 -18 -2 -24 -18 -2 -24 134 -187 141 -149 1 224 224 -224 -224 0 0 5 5 -2 2 1 0 62 62 2 4 6 0 0 0 -53 -3 6 2 -1 -1 -2 18 -5 13 52 -2 50 0 0 0 -7 -2 2 1 24 -1 23 (Morningstar.com, 2012) Page 7 -1 0 0 -1 0 0 -1 1 1 2 -1 1 1 2 26 -4 22 26 -4 22 DXP Analysis DXP Enterprises, Inc. (DXPE) Capital Structure 2011 Fiscal year ends in December. USD in millions Cash Debt Revolver Total Senior Debt Other Debt Total Debt Shareholder's Equity Total Capitalization LTM EBITDA Total Debt/Total Capitalization Total Debt/ LTM EBITDA 1.5 110.8 110.8 4.1 114.9 156.7 271.6 77.6 42.3% 1.5X (DXPE.com, 2012) *Note: Statement of Owner’s Equity not available. This chart is included to show Shareholder equity and additional financial position of DXP Enterprises Page 8 DXP Analysis Financial Statement Summary The 2011 Income Statement for DXP Enterprises lists Revenue of $807 million, Cost of Revenue $575 million leaving Gross Profit of $232 million. EBITDA of $65.6 million less taxes, amortization, and depreciation leave Net Income of $31.5 million in 2011. In the 5 year period 2007-2011, DXP has shown steady growth in Net Income with the exception of the year 2009 in which they suffered a Net Loss of $42 million. This drastic downturn was during time of generally downturn and distress in the U.S. economy. Net income in 2007 was $17 million and has increased 82% from the period 2007-2011 overall. The 2011 Balance Sheet lists Total Assets of $405 million with $239 million in Current Assets and $166 million in non-current assets. The majority of current assets lie in accounts receivable with $137 million with cash and cash equivalents of just $2 million. The liabilities for 2011 were short term debt of $1 million, accounts payable of $62 million, and long term debt of $114 million. These balances indicate that the company relies heavily on trade credit versus utilizing debt for financing operations. Short term debt is very low and long term debt is much higher which indicates the company has taken a moderate approach to its Current Assets Financing policy. By taking out more long term debt, the company has a more predictable and stable interest rate and will likely enjoy a better interest rate than if they had relied more on short term debt. Short term debt is usually more costly with higher interest rates and more risky (Ehrhardt & Brigham, 2011). The statement of cash flow shows the cash coming in and being expended during the period for business activities. The net cash from operating activities in 2011 was $26 million. Page 9 DXP Analysis Debt issued versus debt repaid in the period was $224 million in and out, with a net effect of zero. Over the 5 year period 2007-2011 the operating cash flow was positive in all years except 2007 which was negative $1 million. During the economic downturn of 2009, operating cash flow was $52 million even though the balance sheet net income was a loss for that year. This shows that even during times of economic trouble the company was still able to keep a positive free cash flow. In the years 2010 and 2011, operating cash flow was only $24 million and $26 million respectively but during these years DXP Enterprises acquired several companies for which they paid cash rather than financing the purchases. Ratio Analysis A financial analysis comparing DXP Enterprises to the industry leader MSC Industrial Supply (MSM) will show where the firm stands against the biggest player in the sector. All financial data was retrieved from Morningstar.com for the year 2011. Diagnostic category Liquidity of short term assets DXPE MSM Current ratio Cash ratio Quick ratio 1.8 0.01 1.03 7.2 0.56 2.47 Debt ratio Debt-equity ratio 0.61 1.59 0.20 0.25 Long term debt paying ability Times interest earned No interest 16.3925 expense 2011 Profit margin ROA ROE 3.90% 8.64% 22.39% 11.10% 19.33% 23.55% 2.22 6.78 6.82 1.74 3.41 8.07 Profitability Asset Utilization/management efficiency Total asset turnover Inventory turnover Accounts receivable turnover Market Measures Page 10 DXP Analysis Price/earnings ratio Dividend payout 18.82 0.28 20.23 0.06 (Morningstar.com, 2012 & Yahoo Finance 2012) Industry Ratio Comparison DXPE P/E Net profit margin Market cap 15.54 3.90% $324.41 million Industry Average 21.2 5.40% $418.1 billion (Morningstar.com, 2012 and Yahoo Finance 2012) Stock Price History/Forecast (Yahoo Finance, 2012) Page 11 DXP Analysis Symbol DXPE ATM Call Load Data for Symbol Price DXP ENTERPRISES INC Price Expected Price 43.89 Rate 43.04 Expiration 3 Nov '12 Days Next Div Date 239 NTM Volatility Next Amt 0.381498 0 Enter a Lower and Upper bound: Select strike Lower Bound 40 40 Select strike Upper Bound 45 45 43.7855% % Std Deviation 13.55 Option Price 5.525 Implied Vol 0.381 Delta 0.585 Gamma 0.030 Rho 0.128 Theta -0.012 Vega 0.138 Compute Lower Bound (Put) Probability that the future price is Below Lower Bound 43.04 Between Bounds Above Upper Bound 15.4644% 40.7501% Option Price 3.480 Implied Vol 0.381 Delta -0.337 Gamma 0.028 Rho -0.118 Theta -0.010 Vega 0.128 Page 12 DXP Analysis Upper Bound (Call) The probability calculations are approximations and are subject to data errors, computation error, variations in prices, bid and ask spreads, interest rates, and future undeclared dividends. This calculator estimates the probability of future prices based on current market conditions or user entered data. Factors used as a basis for the probability computations are subject to change. Read the full disclaimer. (Optionistics.com, 2012) Option Price 4.700 Implied Vol 0.381 Delta 0.527 Gamma 0.030 Rho 0.117 Theta -0.012 Vega 0.141 Calculator Help Based on the equation from the 5 year stock price analysis, the future value of stock price was unreasonably high $4,425. Based on the caluclator available from Optionistics.com, the estimated stock price in November 2012 was $43.89. The stock price estimate from the Optionistics.com calculator is more reasonable than the result I reached based on the excel calculation. Other Pertinent Information DXP Enterprises has been aggressively expaning its operations through acquisition of other companies. They have acquired 17 other companies since 2004. In the annual report published on their website, the company indicates that it plans to continue an aggressive approach to expansion (Morningstar.com, 2012). DXP is currently a named party in a lawsuit for a defective product/breach of contract along with Ameron International, their vendor of fiberglass piping. The suit is asking for $20 million in damages and DXP’s insurance coverage is only $6 million. If they are liable this Page 13 DXP Analysis could put the company in a tight position. DXP stated in their form 10-K that they feel the claim is without merit and feel confident they will not be held liable (Morningstar.com, 2012). Recommendation Based upon the information detailed in this analysis I would recommend this stock as a good buy particularly for a buy and hold investor. The ratio analysis showed that the company is in a fair position and coupled with the knowledge of their aggressive acquistion strategy over the last few years is a reason why ratios such as cash was down because they purchased the other companies with cash rather than taking out debt. Compared to the industry leader MSC Industrial Supply, DXP had a price to earnings ratio comparable to the industry leader along with a higher dividend payout. The current stock price for MSC Industrial Supply is $77.68 per share with DXP’s price per share nearly half of that it is more bang for your buck. The company acknowledged areas of risk in its form 10-K which shows they are aware of risks and knowing these they are more likely to be prepared for an adverse situation. Yahoo Finance also named DXP Enterprises in the top 5 stock performers for their industry and many articles on the internet name DXP as an under rated investment opportunity. Page 14 DXP Analysis References DXPE.com (2012). DXP the industrial distribution experts. Retrieved April 15, 2012 from http://www.dxpe.com/Docs/DXP_Management_Presentation_MAR_2012.pdf Ehrhardt, M. and Brigham, E. (2011). Corporate finance. Mason, OH: South-Western. Morningstar.com (2012) DXP enterprises. Retrieved April 15, 2012 from http://quote.morningstar.com/stock/s.aspx?t=DXPE Morningstar.com (2012). MSC industrial direct co, inc. Retrieved April 15, 2012 from http://quote.morningstar.com/stock/s.aspx?t=MSM Optionistics.com (2012) Probability calculator. Retrieved April 15, 2012 from http://www.optionistics.com/f/probability_calculator Yahoo Finance (2012) DXP enterprises, inc. Retrieved April 15, 2012 from http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=DXPE Page 15