University of Southern California Leventhal School of Accounting Marshall School of Business ACCT 416 Spring 2006 Office Hours: 9:00 a.m. – 10:50 a.m. Tues., Thurs., & Fri. and by appointment. Randy Beatty Accounting Bldg. 101a 213-740-4828 (O) 310-546-9363 (H) Leventhal School Administrative Coordinator – Eunice Joshua-Clarke (213-740-2431) Class time & location: Section #: 18166D 2:00 p.m. - 3:50 p.m. TTh - 205 Accounting Building Section #: 18165D 4:00 p.m. - 5:50 p.m. TTh – 205 Accounting Building email: rbeatty@marshall.usc.edu For Campus-Wide Emergencies: Emergency Info. Line 213-740-9233 USC Emergencies 213-740-4321 Information Tune KUSC Radio at 91.5 (FM) USC Info. Line 213-740-2311 COURSE DESCRIPTION AND OUTLINE 1. Course Objectives This course examines the role of financial statement analysis in the evaluation of the firm and the prediction of its future condition. The course is designed to provide: i. ii. iii. the skills to analyze financial statements exposure to public sources of financial information used in capital markets an appreciation for the usefulness and limitations of financial statement analysis in specific decision contexts With these objectives, we investigate the following topics: i. fundamental analysis ii. forecasting 2. i. ii. iii. Prerequisites Introductory Financial Accounting Introductory Statistics Introductory Finance/Economics 3a. Required Materials Acctg: Krishna Palepu, Paul Healy, and Victor Bernard (KPB), Business Analysis & Valuation, Third Edition, Harcourt Brace Jovanovich, Inc., 2004. 1 3b. i. Reference Materials Finance: Ross, Westerfield, Jaffee, Corporate Finance, McGraw Hill, 2005 Seventh edition. RWJ Koller, Goedhart, and Wessels, Valuation: Measuring and Managing the Value of Companies, John Wiley & sons, 2005 4th edition. KGW Acctg: Kieso, Weygandt, and Warfield, Intermediate Accounting, John Wiley and Sons, Eleventh edition, Volumes I and II 2004. KWW Earlier versions of the finance and accounting reference texts can be used to supplement your background as needed. ii. A number of readings, class notes, and projects are in electronic form, BB, (Blackboard). The readings are the electronic images of the original articles or working papers. Documents have been saved in word, excel, text, and pdf formats. Example solutions to Accounting 581 & 499 cases have been placed in electronic reserve. The spring 1999, 2000, 2001, 2002, 2004, and 2005 clients were Lone Star Technologies, Pagenet, Entrust Technologies, Mattel, K-Swiss, and Reliance Steel and Aluminum. These example solutions can be very useful to organize your thoughts about the major project deliverables. 4. Policies: Statement for Students with Disabilities/ Academic Integrity Any student requesting academic accommodations based on a disability is required to register with Disability Services and Programs (DSP) each semester. A letter of verification for approved accommodations can be obtained from DSP. Please be sure the letter is delivered to me as early in the semester as possible. DSP is located in STU 301 and is open 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m., Monday through Friday. The phone number for DSP is 213-740-0776. Students are expected to adhere to, and will be bound by, the University and school policies governing academic integrity. The policy of the Marshall School of Business applies to the retention of graded material. 2 5. Course Grade The course grade is based on the following: i. Individual Project: Management Strategy - Industry Identification Page Limit: 3 pages (2 pages text)* Due Date: March 30, 2006 ii. 20% In-class exercise: Management Strategy - Industry Identification 5% Due Date: April 4, 2006 iii. Individual Project: Three Questions & Answers Page Limit: 2 pages* Due Date: TBD iv. Group Project: Industry/Fundamental Analysis 10% 35% Page Limit: 8 pages (6 pages text)* Due Date: April 18, 2006 v. Individual Project: Forecasting/Fundamental Analysis Page Limit: 6 pages (4 pages text)* Due Date: May 1, 2006 6. 30% The organization and presentation of your analysis are important in determining your grade. I will not consider any material submitted in excess of the page limit. Graphs, tables, appendices etc. must be included within the page limit. Double spacing of text is required. Author(s) should choose margins and font size to produce a favorable impact on the reader. The reader should be able to clearly determine assumptions and method of analysis without resorting to extraordinary means. Penalty: Any project submitted that does not conform to these requirements will have one letter grade deduction from the final assessed evaluation! Retention of Graded Work Retained paperwork, unclaimed by students, will be discarded after October 1, 2006. 3 WEEK ISSUES COVERED TEXT READING ASSIGNMENT 1 Introduction / Strategy/Data Availability Chapter 1: A Framework for Business Analysis and Valuation Using Financial Statements Chapter 2: Strategy Analysis 2 Strategy Chapter 3: Overview of Accounting Analysis Chapter 4: Implementing Accounting Analysis 3 Industry/Data Availability Chapter 5: Financial Analysis 4 Profitability Chapter 9: Equity Security Analysis 5 Profitability/Liquidity Chapter 10: Credit Analysis and Distress Prediction 6 Forecasting Chapter 6: Prospective Analysis: Forecasting Chapter 7: Prospective Analysis: Valuation Theory and Concepts 7 Solvency Chapter 8: Prospective Analysis: Valuation Implementation Chapter 12: Corporate Financing Policies 4 Assignment Schedule WEEK ISSUES COVERED ASSIGNMENT 1 Introduction / Strategy General Mills/Nestle (1989/2005) Outline 1 2 University Holiday/ Strategy Disclosure Access / Outline 1 3 Industry/Data Availability Comparable Firm Exercise Thursday: Industry Identification General Mills/Nestle (1989/2005) Outline 1 Supplement S&P Industry Analysis 4 Profitability Comparable Firm Exercise Thursday: Industry Identification General Mills (1989/2005) 5 Profitability/Liquidity General Mills (1989/2005) Three Questions Exercise (DATE: TBD) 6 Forecasting Group Project Thursday: Industry/ Fundamental Analysis General Mills/Lone Star Steel Southland Corp. 7+ Solvency Forecasting/Fundamental Analysis: General Mills (1989/2005) 5 Selected REFERENCE Chapters in KWW, WRJ, & CKM WEEK ISSUES COVERED 1 Introduction /Strategy/Data Availability KWW KWW RWJ RWJ 2 KWW KWW KWW RWJ 3 KWW KWW 4 KWW KWW Chapter 4: Income Statement and Related Information pp. 129-145 (General Income Statement, Discontinued Items, Extraordinary Items, & Changes in Accounting Principle). Chapter 5: Balance Sheet and Statement of Cash Flows pp. 182-186 (General Balance Sheet), pp. 194-199 (General Cash Flow Statement), pp. 200-201 (Typical Ratios). Chapter 1: Introduction to Corporate Finance pp. 14-17 (Agency Problem) Chapter 11: An Alternative View of Risk and Return: The Arbitrage Pricing Theory pp. 307-310 (Betas and Expected Returns) Strategy Chapter 7: Cash and Receivables pp. 322-324 (Uncollectible Accounts), pp. 337-338 (Presentation of Accounts Receivable). Chapter 8: Valuation of Inventories: A Cost Basis Approach pp. 380-386 (Inventory methods and LIFO Reserve) Chapter 9: Inventories: Additional Valuation Issues pp. 422-428 (Lower of Cost or Market) Chapter 7: How to Value Bonds and Stock pp. 112-119 (“Gordon’s Model”) Industry/Data Availability Chapter 10: Acquisition and Disposition of Property, Plant, and Equipment pp. 472-478 (Self-Constructed Assets) Chapter 21: Accounting for Leases pp. 1090-1093 (lease rules) pp. 1114-1118 (lease disclosure examples) Profitability Chapter 11: Depreciation, Impairments, and Depletion pp. 523-525 (depreciation methods) pp. 531-535 (depreciation revisions & impairments) Chapter 12: Intangible Assets pp. 578-585 (goodwill & R&D) 6 5 KWW KWW 6 KGW KGW 7 KWW KWW RWJ Profitability/Liquidity Chapter 13: Current Liabilities pp. 631-635 (loss contingencies, litigation & warranties) pp. 637-640 (environmental liabilities & self-insurance) Chapter 19: Deferred Income Taxes pp. 972-974 (deferred income tax example permanent, temporary) Forecasting Copeland, et. al., Ch. 11: Forecasting Performance. Forecasting pp. 233-273. Copeland, et. al., Ch. 12: Estimating Continuing Value (Gordon’s Model) pp. 275-294. Solvency Chapter 14: Long-term Liabilities pp. 681-682 (early extinguishment –ordinary income) pp. 689-692 (off-balance sheet financing) Chapter 20: Accounting for Pensions and Postretirement Benefits pp. 1042-1045 (pension disclosures) Chapter 15: Capital Structure: Basic Concepts pp. 402-426 (M&M Propositions 1 & 2 Optimal Capital Structure) 7