UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY ECONOMIC OVERVIEW & PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS PREPARED BY EMSI APRIL 2015 CONTENTS 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1 Overview of Regional Economy 1 Program Gap Analysis 3INTRODUCTION 4 CHAPTER 1: OVERVIEW OF THE ECONOMY 5 Jobs by Industry 7 Jobs by Occupation 8 Commuting Patterns 9Unemployment 12 Educational Attainment 16 CHAPTER 2: PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS 16 Interpreting Gap/Surplus Analysis Results 17 Postsecondary Certificate Level Gap Analysis 18 Associate’s Level Gap Analysis 20 Bachelor’s Level Gap Analysis 23 Master’s Level Gap Analysis 23 Transfer Track (Liberal Arts) Students 24 Potential New Programs 25Conclusion 26 CHAPTER 3: STATEWIDE PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS 26 Postsecondary Certificate Level Gap Analysis 27 Associate’s Level Gap Analysis 29 Bachelor’s Level Gap Analysis 31 Master’s Level Gap Analysis 32 Potential New Programs 34Conclusion 35 APPENDIX 1: ABOUT EMSI DATA 36 APPENDIX 2: PROGRAM-TO-OCCUPATION MAPPING 67 APPENDIX 3: PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS METHODOLOGY 70 APPENDIX 4: ALTERNATIVE GAP ANALYSIS CALCULATIONS 78 APPENDIX 5: DETAILED EMPLOYMENT PROJECTIONS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Utah Valley University (UVU) is located in the city of Orem • The educational composition of the adult population in and serves three counties in north central Utah. This report the UVU Service Region (people age 24 and older) has outlines the economy of this three-county region (Summit, seen a small shift in recent years. Between 2009 and Utah, and Wasatch Counties) and provides a “gap” analysis 2014, the proportion of adults with less than a high to determine how well the University’s program offerings school diploma increased by 0.5 percentage points, but are satisfying regional workforce demand. The report also the proportion with a high school diploma decreased offers recommendations for new program development. by 1.1 percentage points. Meanwhile, the proportion The following are some of the key findings of the analysis: of adults with some college or a bachelor’s degree increased by 0.7 and 0.8 percentage points, respectively. Those with an associate’s degree or a graduate degree OVERVIEW OF REGIONAL ECONOMY and higher decreased by 0.2 and 0.6 percentage points, respectively. • The economy of the region served by UVU (“the UVU Service Region”) is primarily driven by the Government, Retail Trade, and Educational Services industries. PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS All three sectors added new jobs between 2009 and 2014 and are projected to continue to grow through UVU Service Region 2024. Management of Companies & Enterprises faced • Between the of postsecondary certificate and master’s declines and is projected to continue losing jobs over degree levels, there are a total of 19 programs associ- the next decade. Overall the regional job growth is ated with significant workforce gaps. expected to be 25% over the next decade. • The top gaps in the UVU Service Region at each edu- • Some high-skill occupational categories are projected cation level are: General Business Administration & to see high job growth over the next ten years, includ- Management (certificate level gap of 175, median hourly ing legal occupations (41% job growth), computer wage $33.07), General Construction Trades (associate’s & mathematical occupations (40% job growth), and degree level gap of 496, median hourly wage $19.30), healthcare practitioners and technical occupations Computer Science (bachelor’s degree gap of 136, median (35% job growth). hourly wage $33.80), and Registered Nursing/Registered • Between 2014 and 2024, the highest number of average annual job openings for workers with postsecondary Nurse (master’s degree level gap of 10, median hourly wage $27.20). certificates and above are projected to occur within • The top surpluses in the UVU Service Region at each office & administrative support occupations; sales & education level are: Criminal Justice/Law Enforcement related occupations; and education, training, & library Administration (certificate level surplus of 14, median occupations. hourly wage $29.44), Fire Science/Fire-fighting (associ- • Around 36% of residents in the area commute outside the UVU Service Region for work, and roughly 27% of the UVU Service Region workers reside outside the area, indicating that there are strong economic links between the UVU Service Region and the surrounding communities for both out-commuters and in-commuters. ate’s degree level surplus of 99, median hourly wage $13.84), General Psychology (bachelor’s degree surplus of 585, median hourly wage $27.46), and General Business/Commerce (master’s degree level surplus of 22, median hourly wage $34.51). • There are 31 areas of opportunity for new programs identified for all levels of education. ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 1 Utah Statewide • The top surpluses in the state at each education level • Between the postsecondary certificate and master’s are: Emergency Medical Technology/Technician (EMT degree levels, there are a total of 28 programs associ- Paramedic) (certificate level surplus of 110, median ated with significant workforce gaps. hourly wage $15.68), Registered Nursing/Registered • The top gaps in the state at each education level are: General Business Administration & Management (certificate level gap of 816, median hourly wage $34.29), General Construction Trades (associate’s degree level gap of 853, median hourly wage $20.64), Operations Management & Supervision (bachelor’s degree gap of 582, median hourly wage $31.53), and Registered Nursing/Registered Nurse (master’s degree level gap of 361, median hourly wage $28.36). 2 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY Nurse (associate’s degree level surplus of 760, median hourly wage $28.36), Registered Nursing/Registered Nurse (bachelor’s degree surplus of 1,480), and Curriculum & Instruction (master’s degree level surplus of 173, median hourly wage $25.41). • There are a total of 44 potential areas of opportunity identified for all levels of education. INTRODUCTION Universities face many challenges in their efforts to iden- goal of the analysis is to provide UVU with relevant data tify the training needs of their service regions. They must and information that it can use when solving problems account for regional economic trends and the chang- and making decisions about current and future program ing quality of the workforce. Furthermore, as technology development. progresses, colleges and universities need to address the increasingly complex and specialized skills required by by Summit, Utah, and Wasatch Counties. This regional employers. In light of these dynamics, an understanding backdrop will be referred to as “the UVU Service Region”. of the regional economy and the demand for skilled labor UVU is located in Orem, UT.1 See Figure 1.1 for a map of is vital to the planning efforts of colleges and universities the region. seeking to adapt their program offerings to the require- ments of an ever-changing workforce. provides an overview of employment in the UVU Service The regional backdrop used in this report is defined The report is broken into three chapters. Chapter 1 To gain better insight into economic conditions and Region economy with high-level information about current workforce trends, Utah Valley University (UVU) partnered and projected job trends, resident commuting patterns, and with Economic Modeling Specialists Intl. (EMSI) to conduct unemployment. Chapter 1 also provides further informa- an economic overview of the University’s service region tion specifically related to the educational characteristics and a workforce “gap” analysis of the University’s program of the population by gender and ethnicity. Chapter 2 sum- offerings. Gap analysis is a technique used to assess the marizes the results of the UVU Service Region program supply and demand of skilled workers and identify the gap analysis and provides recommendations for possible educational programs that need to be adapted in order future program need. Chapter 3 summarizes the results to fill any existing or future gaps. The analysis weighs the of the statewide program gap analysis and also provides educational output of UVU and other regional institu- recommendations for possible future program needs. After tions against the number of job openings related to the a brief conclusion, detailed information and data are pro- institutions’ program offerings to determine whether an vided in the appendices. oversupply or an undersupply of skilled workers exists. The 1 The industry and occupation data presented in this report reflect the number of jobs by place of work, not by place of residence. However, the report does assess the commuting patterns of residents to determine where they live and work both within and outside of the region. ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 3 C HAPTER 1: OVERVIEW OF THE ECONOMY FIGURE 1.1: MAP OF UVU SERVICE REGION This chapter provides a high-level overview of employment and demographics in the economy of the UVU Service Region, defined by Summit, Utah, and Wasatch Counties (see Figure 1.1). The goal of the chapter is to provide data on the economic and workforce employment trends that either already exist or are developing in the region. Such information is crucial in building awareness of the region’s labor force – both now and in the future – and identifying priority areas where educators can focus their attention. The chapter examines employment and demographics in the UVU Service Region according to the following five indicators: jobs by industry, jobs by occupation, commuting patterns, unemployment, and educational attainment. FIGURE 1.2: JOBS AND JOB CHANGE BY INDUSTRY SECTOR IN UVU SERVICE REGION, 2014 TO 2024 2014 Jobs Number of jobs 2014–2024 Change –5,000 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 60+1 5527+53111948518+92295163+1350180+401073176825+152591220+9918 1+0 +0 +0 +0 Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction Utilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Transportation and Warehousing Information Finance and Insurance Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Management of Companies and Enterprises Admin. & Support and Waste Mgmt. & Remediation Services Educational Services Health Care and Social Assistance Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Accommodation and Food Services Other Services (except Public Administration) Government Source: EMSI Complete Data 2014.3 4 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY JOBS BY INDUSTRY As shown, the three largest industry sectors in the UVU Service Region are Government, Retail Trade, and Evaluating current and future employment by industry Educational Services. Together these sectors made up provides information on the economic diversification of a 95,088 jobs or approximately 36% of total regional employ- given region. Industries consist of groups of companies that ment in 2014. All three industry sectors added new jobs are primarily engaged in producing the same product or between 2009 and 2014 and are projected to continue to service. The North American Industry Classification System grow through 2024. Other industry sectors with notable (NAICS) is the structure used by the U.S. Census Bureau projected growth are Construction (+10,077 jobs); Health to classify establishments into industries based on their Care & Social Assistance (+9,292 jobs); and Professional, production process (although the final product or service Scientific, & Technical Services (+6,533 jobs). The only is usually similar for the firms in a given industry). NAICS industry sector that is expected to contract between 2014 applies a six-digit hierarchical coding system to organize and 2024 is Management of Companies & Enterprises (-349 more than 1,100 detailed industries into twenty larger jobs). industry sectors. The breakdown of current and future employment by major industry sector in the UVU Service concentration of the industry sectors in the UVU Service Region appears in Table 1.1 and Figure 1.2. Region, measured in terms of location quotients (LQs). LQs Table 1.2 on the next page shows the employment TABLE 1.1: CURRENT AND PROJECTED JOBS AND JOB CHANGE BY INDUSTRY SECTOR, 2014 TO 2024 NAICS CODE DESCRIPTION 11 Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting 21 2014 JOBS 2024 JOBS CHANGE % CHANGE 2,047 2,116 69 3% Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction 220 315 95 43% 22 Utilities 374 405 31 8% 23 Construction 20,366 30,443 10,077 49% 31 Manufacturing 19,753 23,989 4,236 21% 42 Wholesale Trade 6,902 8,553 1,651 24% 44 Retail Trade 31,519 38,319 6,800 22% 48 Transportation and Warehousing 3,345 4,151 806 24% 51 Information 10,723 12,647 1,924 18% 52 Finance and Insurance 5,881 6,965 1,084 18% 53 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 4,678 5,689 1,011 22% 54 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 18,493 25,026 6,533 35% 55 Management of Companies and Enterprises 1,136 787 (349) (31%) 56 Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services 14,639 18,506 3,867 26% 61 Educational Services 26,934 33,281 6,347 24% 62 Health Care and Social Assistance 25,222 34,514 9,292 37% 71 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 5,432 6,274 842 16% 72 Accommodation and Food Services 21,685 26,193 4,508 21% 81 Other Services (except Public Administration) 7,545 8,395 850 11% 90 Government 36,635 43,197 6,562 18% 263,528 329,764 66,236 25% Total Source: EMSI Complete Data 2014.3 ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 5 TABLE 1.2: EMPLOYMENT CONCENTRATION BY INDUSTRY SECTOR IN UVU SERVICE REGION, 2014 & 2024 NAICS CODE DESCRIPTION 2014 LOCATION QUOTIENT 2024 LOCATION QUOTIENT 11 Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting 0.63 0.60 21 Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction 0.15 0.15 22 Utilities 0.40 0.38 23 Construction 1.51 1.78 31 Manufacturing 0.93 1.00 42 Wholesale Trade 0.66 0.66 44 Retail Trade 1.14 1.14 48 Transportation and Warehousing 0.39 0.39 51 Information 2.22 2.24 52 Finance and Insurance 0.55 0.53 53 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 1.08 1.10 54 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 1.12 1.12 55 Management of Companies and Enterprises 0.31 0.17 56 Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services 0.88 0.84 61 Educational Services 4.07 3.73 62 Health Care and Social Assistance 0.77 0.77 71 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 1.25 1.14 72 Accommodation and Food Services 0.99 0.95 81 Other Services (except Public Administration) 0.60 0.54 90 Government 0.88 0.88 Source: EMSI Complete Data 2014.3 are used to assess national competitiveness by compar- likely to be focusing their efforts. This information is of ing the concentration of employment in a given industry particular importance to educators seeking to engage in against the concentration of employment for that same larger conversations with other organizations about align- industry across the nation. An LQ equal to 1 means that ing program offerings with workforce needs. the percentage of total employment comprised by an industry in the region exactly matches the percentage of location quotients in the UVU Service Region: Educational total employment comprised by that industry in the nation. Services (4.07), Information (2.22), and Construction (1.51). An LQ greater than 1 means that the industry comprises a All three of these industry sectors as well as Arts, Enter- greater proportion of total employment in the region than tainment, & Recreation are considered to have a compara- it does in the nation. tive advantage. The relative concentrations are expected The following three industry sectors have the highest High LQs (usually anything greater than 1.2) are an to undergo some changes over the next decade, yet the indication that the region has a comparative advantage same top three industry sectors are expected to be above or specialization in certain industries relative to the rest the 1.2 cutoff.2 of the nation, or potentially to other competing regions. When evaluated jointly with job counts and expected job growth, high LQs give a sense of the industry sectors that have the greatest potential for workforce investment and where regional economic development professionals are 6 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY 2 Note that because LQs represent regional employment relative to national employment, a decreasing LQ does not necessarily mean decreasing employment, and likewise an increasing LQ does not necessarily mean increasing employment. JOBS BY OCCUPATION contains more than 800 detailed occupations organized according to a five-digit hierarchical coding structure. Researchers often refer to industry data to get a sense of Detailed occupations with similar job duties are further regional economic trends, but in order to better understand combined to form 23 major groups. Table 1.3 shows the the quality of the jobs contained within that region, some breakdown of employment in the UVU Service Region by knowledge of occupations is needed. This is because the major group, with information on current and projected earning levels and education requirements of workers jobs, job change, average annual openings, and wage rates. bear more of a relationship to their occupation than to the industry in which they work. For example, the Manufactur- the largest occupation group in the UVU Service Region ing industry – while employing a number of assemblers at 47,547 jobs, followed by sales & related occupations and machine operators – also employs people in manage- at 29,211 jobs. Neither of these occupation groups ranks ment occupations and in professional occupations such among the highest paid, however. Management occupations as engineering. All of these occupations have different pay have median earnings of $35.80 an hour, the highest on scales and require varying levels of education and training. the regional pay scale. Legal occupations – while one of Office & administrative support occupations comprise Federal agencies use the Standard Occupational Classi- the smallest occupation groups – have median earnings of fication (SOC) system to classify workers into occupational $35.58 an hour, ranking second highest on the regional pay categories based on work performed. The 2010 SOC system scale. Several of the higher-paying occupation groups are TABLE 1.3: CURRENT AND PROJECTED JOBS, JOB CHANGE, AND MEDIAN HOURLY EARNINGS BY MAJOR OCCUPATION GROUP IN UVU SERVICE REGION, 2014 TO 2024 % CHANGE MEDIAN HOURLY EARNINGS AVERAGE ANNUAL OPENINGS 25% $35.80 540 2,868 29% $25.78 464 13,704 3,916 40% $31.81 555 3,689 4,770 1,068 29% $31.83 188 Life, Physical, and Social Science 1,483 1,801 286 19% $24.44 67 Community and Social Service 5,065 6,273 1,208 24% $15.36 225 23-0000 Legal 1,379 1,962 572 41% $35.58 81 25-0000 Education, Training, and Library 20,177 24,310 4,134 20% $19.48 784 27-0000 Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, & Media 4,908 5,655 746 15% $17.42 197 29-0000 Healthcare Practitioners and Technical 10,292 13,851 3,558 35% $31.79 561 31-0000 Healthcare Support 6,845 9,278 2,434 36% $11.81 249 33-0000 Protective Service 5,346 6,691 1,344 25% $16.37 215 35-0000 Food Preparation and Serving Related 21,168 25,185 4,015 19% $9.57 485 37-0000 Building & Grounds Cleaning & Maintenance 11,503 14,393 2,888 25% $10.35 156 39-0000 Personal Care and Service 8,392 9,709 1,304 16% $9.98 252 41-0000 Sales and Related 29,211 34,707 5,494 19% $13.99 975 43-0000 Office and Administrative Support 47,547 58,484 10,935 23% $13.68 1,470 45-0000 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry 1,160 1,201 41 4% $11.06 7 47-0000 Construction and Extraction 15,971 23,091 7,105 44% $17.33 387 49-0000 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair 8,621 11,351 2,719 32% $19.01 237 51-0000 Production 14,646 17,424 2,740 19% $14.58 212 53-0000 Transportation and Material Moving 10,009 13,304 3,284 33% $13.30 198 SOC CODE DESCRIPTION 2014 JOBS 11-0000 2024 JOBS CHANGE Management 13,382 16,730 3,352 13-0000 Business and Financial Operations 9,735 12,605 15-0000 Computer and Mathematical 9,789 17-0000 Architecture and Engineering 19-0000 21-0000 Source: EMSI Complete Data 2014.3. Numbers may not sum due to rounding. ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 7 FIGURE 1.3: AVERAGE ANNUAL OPENINGS BETWEEN 2014 AND 2024 FOR WORKERS WITH SOME COLLEGE AND ABOVE BY OCCUPATION GROUP IN THE UVU SERVICE REGION 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 3631+37134155+5213371714+32106598+026161413+ Management Business and Financial Operations Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical, and Social Science Community and Social Service Legal Education, Training, and Library Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Protective Service Food Preparation and Serving Related Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Personal Care and Service Sales and Related Office and Administrative Support Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Construction and Extraction Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Production Transportation and Material Moving Source: EMSI Complete Data 2014.3 also projected to experience job growth over the next ten years, such as legal (41%) and computer & mathematical occupations (40%). Figure 1.3 provides a look at the average annual job openings for workers with some college or above by occupation group. Job openings refer to new jobs due to growth plus replacement jobs due to worker turnover. Between 2014 and 2024, the occupations with the highest number of average annual job openings for workers with some college or above occurs in office & administrative support occupations; sales & related occupations; and education, training, & library occupations. TABLE 1.4: JOBS BY PLACE OF WORK JOBS COMMUTE SHARE 117,340 56.7% Salt Lake County 55,784 27.0% Summit County 11,145 5.4% Davis County 4,143 2.0% Wasatch County 3,421 1.7% Weber County 3,283 1.6% Cache County 1,601 0.8% Washington County 1,246 0.6% Tooele County 1,193 0.6% 747 0.4% 6,926 3.3% COUNTY Utah County Uintah County All Other Locations COMMUTING PATTERNS Source: Census LEHD The Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics (LEHD) FIGURE 1.4: JOBS BY PLACE OF WORK program at the U.S. Census Bureau provides information 3 on the residential and employment locations of workers. “Jobs by place of work” refers to where residents of the region commute to work, and “Jobs by place of residence” refers to where workers in the region live. Data for the UVU Service Region appears in Tables 1.4 and 1.5, with the same information displayed in Figures 1.4 and 1.5. 117,340 Jobs 55,784 Jobs 11,145 Jobs 4,143 Jobs 3,421 Jobs 3,283 Jobs 1,601 Jobs 1,246 Jobs 3 LEHD is an innovative program that uses modern statistical and computing techniques to combine federal and state administrative data on employers and employees with core Census Bureau censuses and surveys while protecting the confidentiality of people and firms that provide the data. 8 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY 1,193 Jobs 747 Jobs TABLE 1.5: JOBS BY PLACE OF RESIDENCE COUNTY COUNT COMMUTE SHARE Utah County 117,270 64.7% Salt Lake County 25,295 14.0% Summit County 9,232 5.1% Wasatch County 5,404 3.0% Davis County 4,362 2.4% Weber County 2,914 1.6% Cache County 2,111 1.2% Sanpete County 1,819 1.0% Tooele County 1,801 1.0% Duchesne County 1,295 0.7% All Other Locations 9,823 5.4% are economic links between the Service Region and surrounding communities. Over half of the residents work in Utah County (56.7%), and a significant portion of residents work in neighboring Salt Lake County (27.0%). Table 1.4 and Figure 1.4 display the top ten employment counties for UVU Service Region residents. Table 1.5 and Figure 1.5 display the top ten counties by place of residency. Of the people who work in the UVU Service Region, 72.7% also live in the region. Salt Lake County supplies the most commuters from outside the area at 14.0%. Davis County supplies another 2.4% from outside the region. Source: Census LEHD Approximately 36.2% of residents commute outside the UVU Service Region for work, indicating that there Figure 1.6 presents the inflow and outflow of jobs to and from the UVU Service Region. There are 181,326 jobs FIGURE 1.5: JOBS BY PLACE OF RESIDENCE 117,270 Jobs 25,295 Jobs 9,232 Jobs 5,404 Jobs in the region with 131,906 of these jobs filled by residents and 49,420 jobs going to people living outside the region. Additionally, 74,923 residents commute outside the region for work. The figure clearly illustrates the fact that more workers out-commute than in-commute. 4,362 Jobs 2,914 Jobs 2,111 Jobs UNEMPLOYMENT 1,819 Jobs 1,801 Jobs Data on unemployment give researchers an idea of where 1,295 Jobs skills mismatches may exist in the region. Unemployment data can also provide important context when identifying the training programs that are best suited to transitioning unemployed workers into in-demand occupations. FIGURE 1.6: IN-FLOW/OUT-FLOW JOB COUNT Table 1.6 and Figure 1.7 on the next page present the number of people unemployed by industry sector in the UVU Service Region. Data reflect May 2014 and follow the same methodology used by the federal statistical agencies to determine the number of workers in an industry that are not currently employed. The unemployment rate is not provided because it is difficult to accurately determine the size of the labor force in a given industry on a monthly basis. Rather than the unemployment rate, the percent of all unemployed for the region and for the nation are provided to display which industry sectors have the highest concentration of unemployed workers. As shown in Table 1.6, the category with the highest number of unemployed is in a non-industry labeled as “No Previous Work Experience/Unspecified.” This is simply a 49,420 – Employed in the Service Region but Living Outside catch-all category for which reliable unemployment data 74,923 – Living in the Service Region but Employed Outside are unavailable. The second highest number of unem- 131,906 – Living and Employed in the Service Region ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 9 FIGURE 1.7: NUMBER OF UNEMPLOYED WORKERS BY INDUSTRY SECTOR IN UVU SERVICE REGION 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction Utilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Transportation and Warehousing Information Finance and Insurance Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Management of Companies and Enterprises Admin. & Support and Waste Mgmt. & Remediation Services Educational Services (Private) Health Care and Social Assistance Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Accommodation and Food Services Other Services (except Public Administration) Government No Previous Work Experience/Unspecified Source: EMSI Total Unemployment (5/2014) TABLE 1.6: NUMBER OF UNEMPLOYED WORKERS BY INDUSTRY SECTOR IN UVU SERVICE REGION NAICS CODE DESCRIPTION NO. OF UNEMPLOYED % OF UNEMPLOYED NATIONAL % OF UNEMPLOYED 11 Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting 14 0% 1% 21 22 Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction 9 0% 1% Utilities 5 0% 0% 23 Construction 971 11% 8% 31 Manufacturing 681 7% 9% 42 Wholesale Trade 44 Retail Trade 48 Transportation and Warehousing 51 132 1% 2% 1,126 12% 12% 92 1% 3% Information 323 4% 2% 52 Finance and Insurance 209 2% 3% 53 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 153 2% 1% 54 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 592 6% 4% 55 Management of Companies and Enterprises 2 0% 0% 56 Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services 642 7% 8% 61 Educational Services (Private) 433 5% 2% 62 Health Care and Social Assistance 390 4% 7% 71 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 399 4% 2% 72 Accommodation and Food Services 903 10% 9% 81 Other Services (except Public Administration) 223 2% 4% 90 Government 453 5% 7% 99 No Previous Work Experience/Unspecified 1,465 16% 15% Source: EMSI Total Unemployment (5/2014) 10 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY ployed is in Retail Trade. The Construction sector has the third highest number of unemployed. It is common for breakdown of unemployment in the UVU Service Region industries like Retail Trade and Administrative & Support by major occupation group. As shown, occupational groups & Waste Management & Remediation Services to have a that contain the highest number of unemployed workers high percentage of low-skill jobs that require little to no are office & administrative support occupations (1,795 education and training, thus making them more vulnerable unemployed workers), construction & extraction occu- to worker turnover. Another sector that is generally affected pations (1,221 unemployed workers), no previous work by high turnover is Accommodation & Food Services. For experience/unspecified occupations (1,034 unemployed industry sectors such as Construction, seasonal jobs or workers). Though some of these occupations groups have a jobs of short duration may also lead to high numbers of relatively high number of annual openings (see Figure 1.3), unemployed workers. high turnover still leads to a high number of unemployed. Eight industry sectors in the UVU Service Region exceed Table 1.7 and Figure 1.8 on the next page provide a A number of occupation groups have a concentration of the national concentration of unemployed workers. Con- unemployed workers that is either at or below the national struction; Educational Services (Private); and Professional, average, including transportation & material moving occu- Scientific, & Technical Services have a much higher pro- pations, production occupations, and food preparation & portion of unemployed workers than at the national level. serving related occupations. Office & administrative sup- On the other hand, Health Care & Social Assistance and port occupations and construction & extraction occupa- Government have a lower proportion of unemployed work- tions have a much higher concentration of unemployed ers than at the national level. than at the national level. TABLE 1.7: NUMBER OF UNEMPLOYED WORKERS BY OCCUPATION GROUP IN UVU SERVICE REGION SOC CODE DESCRIPTION NO. OF UNEMPLOYED % OF UNEMPLOYED NATIONAL % OF UNEMPLOYED 11-0000 Management 633 7% 5% 13-0000 Business and Financial Operations 205 2% 3% 15-0000 Computer and Mathematical 149 2% 1% 17-0000 Architecture and Engineering 104 1% 1% 19-0000 Life, Physical, and Social Science 21-0000 Community and Social Service 23-0000 Legal 25-0000 Education, Training, and Library 27-0000 Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media 29-0000 Healthcare Practitioners and Technical 31-0000 33-0000 35-0000 37-0000 55 1% 0% 140 2% 1% 35 0% 1% 263 3% 2% 249 3% 2% 145 2% 2% Healthcare Support 86 1% 2% Protective Service 99 1% 1% Food Preparation and Serving Related 587 6% 8% Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance 270 3% 5% 39-0000 Personal Care and Service 250 3% 3% 41-0000 Sales and Related 840 9% 11% 43-0000 Office and Administrative Support 1,795 19% 14% 45-0000 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry 47-0000 Construction and Extraction 49-0000 51-0000 53-0000 Transportation and Material Moving 99-0000 No Previous Work Experience/Unspecified 73 1% 1% 1,221 13% 8% Installation, Maintenance, and Repair 187 2% 2% Production 330 4% 6% 467 5% 8% 1,034 11% 11% Source: EMSI Total Unemployment (5/2014) ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 11 FIGURE 1.8: NUMBER OF UNEMPLOYED WORKERS BY OCCUPATION GROUP IN UVU SERVICE REGION 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 3511+863+215148+563315+14471004+68+10+18+ 26+57 Management Business and Financial Operations Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical, and Social Science Community and Social Service Legal Education, Training, and Library Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Protective Service Food Preparation and Serving Related Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Personal Care and Service Sales and Related Office and Administrative Support Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Construction and Extraction Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Production Transportation and Material Moving No Previous Work Experience/Unspecified Source: EMSI Total Unemployment (5/2014) EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT FIGURE 1.9: EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT OF ADULT POPULATION IN THE UVU SERVICE REGION This section describes the educational attainment of the population in the UVU Service Region for adults aged 25 years and older. This information is useful for educators targeting specific population groups that have low education levels. Educational attainment data in this section are presented by gender and by ethnicity and are broken out according to the following categories: 1) less than a high school degree, 2) high school degree, 3) some college,4 4) associate’s degree, 5) bachelor’s degree, and 6) graduate degree and higher. Overall Educational Attainment Table 1.8 and Figure 1.9 display the educational attainment of the overall adult population in the UVU Service Region, without reference to gender and ethnicity. In the UVU Service Region, the percentage of the adult population with a high school diploma or less is 25%, which is less than the national average of 44%. These data suggest there is still an opportunity for educators in the UVU Service Region to boost the percentage of adults with an associate’s degree or higher (currently this percentage sits at 47% for the 4 The “Some college” category includes individuals who attended college but did not successfully obtain a degree and individuals who have received a postsecondary vocational award or professional certification but did not receive an associate’s or bachelor’s degree. 12 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY 7+17+29102611P 16+28+2171810P Graduate Degree <HS Diploma and Higher 7% 11% High School Diploma 17% Bachelor’s Degree 26% REGION Some College 29% Associate’s Degree 10% Graduate Degree and Higher 10% <HS Diploma 16% Bachelor’s Degree 18% NATION Associate’s Degree 7% High School Diploma 28% Some College 21% TABLE 1.8: BREAKDOWN OF ADULT POPULATION IN THE UVU SERVICE REGION BY EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT, 2009 AND 2014 2009 POPULATION 2009 % DISTRIBUTION 2014 POPULATION 2014 % DISTRIBUTION POPULATION CHANGE % DISTRIBUTION CHANGE Less than HS diploma or equivalent 18,811 7% 22,921 7% 4,110 0.5% High school diploma or equivalent 52,379 19% 55,778 17% 3,399 (1.1%) Some college 78,566 28% 91,551 29% 12,984 0.7% Associate's degree 29,021 10% 32,300 10% 3,278 (0.2%) Bachelor's degree 69,854 25% 81,713 26% 11,859 0.8% Graduate degree or higher 33,539 12% 35,992 11% 2,453 (0.6%) EDUCATION LEVEL Source: EMSI Complete Data 2014.3 region overall). Out of all the education categories in Table FIGURE 1.10: EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT OF 1.8, the people that are most likely to seek education and ADULT POPULATION IN THE DCC ECONOMIC training from UVU are those in the “Less than high school REGION BY GENDER diploma,” “High school diploma,” and “Some college” categories. Together these categories total 170,250 people, or 53% of the entire adult population in the region. Between 2009 and 2014, the proportion of the overall adult population with “Less than a high school diploma” increased by 0.5 percentage points but the proportion of adults with a “High school diploma” decreased by 1.1 percentage points.5 Meanwhile, the proportion of the adult population with either “Some college” or a “Bachelor’s degree” increased by 0.7 and 0.8 percentage points, respectively. The proportion of adults with an “Associate’s degree” or a “Graduate degree and higher” decreased slightly (0.2 percentage points and 0.6 percentage points, respectively). Educational Attainment by Gender The distribution of educational attainment by gender is fairly even in the UVU Service Region. Males are slightly more likely to have “Bachelor’s degree” or “Graduate degree and higher” level of education while females are more likely to have “Less than high school diploma,” “High school diploma,” “Some college,” or “Associate’s degree,” levels. This information appears in Table 1.9 on the following page and Figure 1.10. 5 The column labeled “% Change” in Table 1.8 refers to the proportional change, not to the percent change between 2009 and 2014. For example, if a category comprised 20% of the total adult population in 2009 and 25% of the total adult population in 2014, the proportional change is equal to the difference between the two values (in this example, 5%). 7+16+27925P 8+19+3011257P Graduate Degree and Higher 16% <HS Diploma 7% High School Diploma 16% MALES Bachelor’s Degree 26% Some College 27% Associate’s Degree 9% Graduate Degree and Higher <HS Diploma 7% 8% Bachelor’s Degree 25% Associate’s Degree 11% High School Diploma 19% FEMALES Some College 30% ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 13 TABLE 1.9: BREAKDOWN OF ADULT POPULATION IN THE UVU SERVICE REGION BY EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT AND GENDER EDUCATION LEVEL MALES PROPORTION FEMALES PROPORTION Less than high school diploma or equivalent 10,612 7% 12,309 8% High school diploma or equivalent 25,096 16% 30,682 19% Some college 42,909 27% 48,641 30% Associate's degree 14,248 9% 18,051 11% Bachelor's degree 42,378 26% 39,335 25% Graduate degree and higher 24,825 16% 11,167 7% Source: EMSI Complete Data 2014.3 FIGURE 1.10: EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT OF ADULT POPULATION IN THE UVU SERVICE REGION BY 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% <HS Diploma High School Diploma Black, Non-Hispanic White, Non-Hispanic 42+162292 + 112 + 272 + 122 + = 60% American Indian or Alaskan Native, Non-Hispanic 100+160260 + 110 + 260 + 120 + = 70% Asian, Non-Hispanic 120+210400 + 100 + 130 + 40+ = 80% Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic 90+140380 + 40+ 280+ + 0 7 = 90% Two or More Races, NonHispanic 90+100300 + 90 + 300 + 130 + = 100% 310+260230 + 60 + 110 + 30+ = Hispanic, All Types 70+220+160+70+320+160= GENDER Some College Associate’s Degree Bachelor’s Degree Graduate Degree and Higher Educational Attainment by Ethnicity The “Hispanic, All Types” category has the lowest levels Figure 1.11 and Table 1.10 display the educational attain- of education attainment. For this group, only 20% of the ment of the adult population by ethnicity. The “Asian, adult population has a post-secondary degree and 57% has Non-Hispanics” ethnicity category has the highest per- a high school diploma or less. While the region is largely centage of adults with post-secondary degrees (54%). “Two “White, Non-Hispanic”, there are many opportunities to or More Races, Non-Hispanic” category follows with 52%. increase educational attainment in other ethnic groups. 14 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY FIGURE 1.11: EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT OF ADULT POPULATION IN THE UVU SERVICE REGION BY ETHNICITY < HS DIPLOMA HIGH SCHOOL DIPLOMA SOME COLLEGE ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE BACHELOR’S DEGREE GRADUATE DEGREE AND HIGHER 11,343 44,754 80,281 29,361 74,168 33,339 PERCENT 4% 16% 29% 11% 27% 12% COUNT 121 194 315 141 315 146 10% 16% 26% 11% 26% 12% 168 300 577 140 184 57 12% 21% 40% 10% 13% 4% COUNT 382 1,143 840 351 1,658 806 PERCENT 7% 22% 16% 7% 32% 16% Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic COUNT 195 316 823 97 614 145 PERCENT 9% 14% 38% 4% 28% 7% Two or More Races, NonHispanic COUNT 295 311 978 287 977 422 PERCENT 9% 10% 30% 9% 30% 13% 10,417 8,760 7,736 1,922 3,797 1,077 31% 26% 23% 6% 11% 3% White, Non-Hispanic Black, Non-Hispanic COUNT PERCENT American Indian or Alaskan Native, Non-Hispanic Asian, Non-Hispanic Hispanic, All Types COUNT PERCENT COUNT PERCENT Source: EMSI Complete Data 2014.3 ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 15 C HAPTER 2: PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS The results that appear in this chapter present a focused the education supply pipeline is considered in this analy- view of the program groups projected to have a regional sis because these numbers can be tracked at the county gap or surplus. Programs are analyzed at four different and school level. However, other sources of supply exist levels: postsecondary vocational certifications, associate’s as well—unemployed workers, industry trained pipelines, degrees, bachelor’s degrees, and master’s degrees, accord- in-migrators, and job changers from other occupational ing to the training level offered at UVU. categories can also be a source of skilled occupations. Each table includes the CIP code and title, the average These types of considerations are useful when evaluating annual openings associated with that program, as well as a specific types of occupations. Unfortunately, secondary column for the “Summit/Wasatch Openings” i.e. the number data sources (e.g., regional, state, and federal data) do not of average annual openings in Summit and Wasatch Coun- account for this, and primary data collection methods (i.e., ties (all of which have been de-duplicated using the process interviews and surveys) are among the only ways to obtain outlined in Appendix 3), the average annual completers information on this type of supply pipeline. between 2011 and 20136, and finally the gap or surplus figure. If the numbers are positive, there is a shortage or market is not so simple or efficient that one could expect “gap” of completers—i.e., there are more job openings in supply and demand to be at perfect equilibrium for any those occupations than there are graduates or completers. extended period of time. As such, as a general rule of If the numbers are negative, then there are fewer annual thumb, only programs with considerable gaps or surpluses job openings compared to the “surplus” of completers for should be considered long-term strategic issues worthy of those program groups. The median hourly wage rate for closer examination. Given the size and characteristics of related occupations is included. Due to data limitations, the UVU Service Region, any gap or surplus within 10 jobs the wages are aggregated for all education levels. either above or below zero should be considered within Lastly, it is important to keep in mind that the labor the normal range of labor market fluctuations. INTERPRETING GAP/SURPLUS ANALYSIS RESULTS The gap analysis is intended to serve as a point of departure for UVU as the University discusses regional workforce needs. A surplus or deficit of workers in a particular category does not necessarily indicate a problem for the region, and it is important that each occupation group be evaluated on a case-by-case basis. Evaluation of the program supply (surplus and gaps) will provide an understanding of the role skilled occupations play in economic sustainability and growth. Other information should also be considered when evaluating these surpluses and gaps. For example, only Once evaluated internally within the University, spe- cific implications should be considered for programs with substantial surpluses or gaps. These implications include: • Surplus: Oversupply of specific education completers may lead to higher attrition rates (i.e., brain drain). In other words, the region is educating a workforce that is leaving after program completion because of a lack of jobs. Note: In the analysis of the UVU Service Region where the neighboring population density is high in neighboring areas, a surplus of completers may indicate the need for service region residents to commute outside of the service region to find job opportunities. The commuting pattern flows described in Chapter 1 suggest that this is possible. • Gap: Undersupply of specific program completers may 6 Data for UVU has been updated to include 2014 completions. 16 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY lead to missed opportunities for economic growth and POSTSECONDARY CERTIFICATE LEVEL GAP ANALYSIS put stress on local businesses to find necessary human capital elsewhere. In other words, the region’s education institutions are not providing the necessary workforce for the region, thereby shifting the burden Figure 2.1 on the next page provides an illustration that on the industries to find workers in other economies summarizes the top gaps for UVU postsecondary certificate to fill the needed occupations. This translates into level programs. There were a total of five gaps identified higher human resources costs and decreased efficien- at this education level. cies in the economic system. This also provides an opportunity for institutions to develop new programs. program types for which UVU offers a training program. Note: Given population density in the areas bordering While other program groups in the region may face larger the service region, a completion gap may be filled by surpluses, UVU did not offer any of the programs. Table 2.5 other institutions near the service region. This potential addresses programs that are not currently being offered scenario will need to be taken into consideration from but which would address considerable regional workforce the leadership. gaps. At the certificate level, UVU is only one of many insti- Table 2.1 lists supply and demand for all certificate TABLE 2.1: SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR UVU CERTIFICATE LEVEL PROGRAMS AVERAGE ANNUAL OPENINGS SUMMIT/ WASATCH OPENINGS AVERAGE ANNUAL COMPLETERS AVERAGE ANNUAL UVU COMPLETERS TOTAL GAP OR SURPLUS MEDIAN HOURLY WAGE Business Administration and Management, General 177 28 2 2 175 $33.07 52.0401 Administrative Assistant and Secretarial Science, General 200 19 31 1 169 $14.97 47.0603 Autobody/Collision and Repair Technology/Technician 16 0 1 1 15 $18.51 52.0301 Accounting 16 2 1 1 15 $28.29 15.0506 Water Quality and Wastewater Treatment Management and Recycling Technology/Technician 11 2 1 1 10 $18.87 13.121 Early Childhood Education and Teaching 13 2 4 4 9 $12.83 11.0901 Computer Systems Networking and Telecommunications 11 1 3 3 7 $25.12 50.0401 Design and Visual Communications, General 6 1 0 0 6 $17.96 46.0403 Building/Home/Construction Inspection/Inspector 7 0 1 1 6 $23.34 11.0801 Web Page, Digital/ Multimedia and Information Resources Design 7 1 3 1 4 $25.68 11.0201 Computer Programming/Programmer, General 3 0 1 1 1 $32.61 47.0604 Automobile/Automotive Mechanics Technology/Technician 43 4 49 7 (6) $15.87 47.0605 Diesel Mechanics Technology/Technician 12 2 21 2 (9) $18.88 51.0904 Emergency Medical Technology/ Technician (EMT Paramedic) 1 0 10 10 (9) $11.59 43.0203 Fire Science/Fire-fighting 18 5 28 28 (11) $13.72 43.0103 Criminal Justice/Law Enforcement Administration 6 1 20 20 (14) $29.44 CIP CODE CIP TITLE 52.0201 Source: EMSI Gap Analysis Model. Numbers may not sum due to rounding. ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 17 FIGURE 2.1: SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR UVU POSTSECONDARY CERTIFICATE LEVEL PROGRAMS Demand Gap Supply 0 50 100 150 200 250 891+100168+1 +61 993+36126+4019223+12760+5130+6 Business Administration and Management, General 175 Administrative Assistant and Secretarial Science, General 169 Autobody/Collision and Repair Technology/Technician 15 Accounting 15 Water Quality & Wastewater Treatment Mgmt. & Recycling Technology/Tech. 10 FIGURE 2.2: SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR UVU ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE LEVEL PROGRAMS Demand Gap Supply 0 100 200 300 Construction Trades, General 129 Business Administration and Management, General 108 Computer Science 103 Culinary Arts/Chef Training Lineworker Dental Hygiene/Hygienist 600 183 Building/Property Maintenance Hospitality Administration/Management, General 500 496 Construction Trades, Other Building/Construction Site Management/Manager 400 29 27 20 15 13 tutions offering programs and as such, their completers workers. Criminal Justice/Law Enforcement Administra- comprise 3% of total regional supply. tion has a surplus of 14. Fire Science/Fire-fighting is the As shown in Table 2.1, General Business Administra- second with a surplus 11 completers. It is possible that the tion & Management has the largest gap. There are 177 additional annual openings in areas outside of the UVU annual openings but only two average annual completers Service Region are being filled by UVU completers. A review (all from UVU). General Administrative Assistant and Sec- of placement rates could provide additional information. retarial Science (gap of 169, median hourly wage $14.97) and Autobody/Collision and Repair Technology/Technician (gap of 15, median hourly wage $18.51) are the second ASSOCIATE’S LEVEL GAP ANALYSIS and third largest gaps. Accounting with a median hourly wage of $28.29 also has a gap of 15. Finally, Water Quality Figure 2.2 above provides an illustration of the top 10 gaps & Wastewater Treatment Management & Recycling Tech- for UVU associate’s degree level programs. UVU had a total nology/Technician has a gap of 10 (median hourly wage of 11 gaps greater than 10 at this education level. $18.87). Similar to the previous table, Table 2.2 on the next There are often some programs preparing students for page displays supply and demand for all associate’s level fields where they may compete with many other gradu- programs for which UVU provides training. Again, the table ates. There are two certificate level programs at UVU that only includes program groups available at UVU. Other pro- are training for occupations with a significant surplus of gram groups in the region may face larger gaps, but UVU 18 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY TABLE 2.2: SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR UVU ASSOCIATE’S LEVEL PROGRAMS AVERAGE ANNUAL OPENINGS SUMMIT/ WASATCH OPENINGS AVERAGE ANNUAL COMPLETERS AVERAGE ANNUAL UVU COMPLETERS TOTAL GAP OR SURPLUS MEDIAN HOURLY WAGE Construction Trades, General 514 46 18 18 496 $19.30 46.9999 Construction Trades, Other 187 22 4 4 183 $16.65 46.0401 Building/Property Maintenance 133 35 4 4 129 $18.43 52.0201 Business Administration and Management, General 208 32 99 80 108 $33.08 11.0701 Computer Science 116 5 13 5 103 $33.80 12.0503 Culinary Arts/Chef Training 63 26 34 34 29 $12.24 46.0412 Building/Construction Site Management/Manager 29 2 2 2 27 $23.19 52.0901 Hospitality Admin./Mgmt., General 25 7 5 5 20 $18.49 46.0303 Lineworker 16 6 0 0 15 $24.27 51.0602 Dental Hygiene/Hygienist 29 3 16 16 13 $33.22 11.0101 Computer & Information Sciences, Gen. 27 2 16 16 11 $34.67 31.0501 Health and Physical Education/Fitness, General 17 5 8 8 9 $16.76 47.0603 Autobody/Collision and Repair Technology/Technician 17 0 11 11 6 $18.51 51.2208 Community Health & Preventive Medicine 10 1 4 4 5 $33.93 46.0403 Building/Home/Construction Inspection/ Inspector 7 0 2 2 5 $23.34 48.0703 Cabinetmaking and Millwork 7 1 3 3 4 $12.97 50.0501 Drama & Dramatics/Theatre Arts, Gen. 4 1 1 1 3 $22.59 52.0407 Business/Office Automation/Technology/ Data Entry 5 0 3 3 2 $11.63 22.0302 Legal Assistant/Paralegal 16 3 15 10 1 $19.93 15.1102 Surveying Technology/Surveying 0 0 1 1 (0) $21.11 38.0101 Philosophy 1 0 1 1 (0) $29.74 23.0101 English Language & Literature, General 5 0 6 6 (1) $29.74 40.0101 Physical Sciences 0 0 1 1 (1) $44.34 9.0101 Speech Communication and Rhetoric 3 0 4 4 (1) $21.90 50.0901 Music, General 1 0 2 2 (1) $17.67 13.1205 Secondary Education and Teaching 0 0 2 2 (2) $24.76 50.0301 Dance, General 52.0301 Accounting 14.4201 CIP CODE CIP TITLE 46 1 1 3 3 (2) $18.35 26 4 29 25 (3) $28.30 Mechatronics, Robotics, and Automation Engineering 0 0 6 6 (5) $31.94 27.0101 Mathematics, General 0 0 8 8 (7) $28.40 11.0801 Web Page, Digital/Multimedia and Information Resources Design 7 1 18 10 (11) $25.68 26.0101 Biology/Biological Sciences, General 0 0 12 12 (12) $28.47 47.0605 Diesel Mechanics Technology/Technician 1 2 15 15 (14) $18.88 54.0101 History, General 0 0 16 16 (16) $- 47.0604 Automobile/Automotive Mechanics Technology/Technician 6 5 24 24 (18) $15.81 50.0401 Design & Visual Communications, Gen. 9 1 28 28 (20) $17.97 15.0405 Robotics Technology/Technician 3 0 24 24 (21) $17.96 ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 19 AVERAGE ANNUAL OPENINGS SUMMIT/ WASATCH OPENINGS AVERAGE ANNUAL COMPLETERS AVERAGE ANNUAL UVU COMPLETERS TOTAL GAP OR SURPLUS MEDIAN HOURLY WAGE Drafting and Design Technology/Technician, General 5 1 30 30 (25) $18.04 13.121 Early Childhood Education and Teaching 13 2 42 42 (29) $12.83 43.0103 Criminal Justice/Law Enforcement Administration 2 2 49 18 (47) $29.44 49.0102 Airline/Commercial/Professional Pilot and Flight Crew 1 0 59 59 (59) $21.63 42.0101 Psychology, General 0 0 71 71 (71) $27.24 51.3801 Registered Nursing/Registered Nurse 72 4 148 86 (76) $27.20 43.0203 Fire Science/Fire-fighting 6 7 105 105 (99) $13.84 CIP CODE CIP TITLE 15.1301 Source: EMSI Gap Analysis Model. Numbers may not sum due to rounding. does not offer the program. Table 2.5 addresses programs third largest surplus (71). As alluded to earlier, it is highly that are not currently being offered but which would likely that UVU completers are finding jobs outside the address considerable regional workforce gaps. UVU is the UVU Service Region. A review of placement rates could main institution offering associate’s degree level programs provide additional information. in the region, and as such, their completers comprise 85% of total regional supply. General Construction Trades (gap of 496, median hourly BACHELOR’S LEVEL GAP ANALYSIS wage $19.30) and Other Construction Trades (gap of 183, median hourly wage $16.65) are the top two gaps. These Figure 2.3 below provides an illustration of the top gaps programs feed into a large variety of construction related for UVU bachelor’s degree level programs. UVU had only occupations that are in high demand in the UVU Service two gaps greater than 10 at this education level. Region. Building/Property Maintenance has the third largest gap (gap of 129, median hourly wage $18.43). It is important page displays supply and demand for all bachelor’s level to keep wages in mind when reviewing the gap analysis. In programs for which UVU provides training. The table only the instance of the Culinary Arts/Chef Training, there may includes program groups available at UVU. Once again, be a gap (29), but because the wages of occupations asso- other program groups in the region may face larger gaps, ciated with this program are low ($12.24), the returns to but UVU does not offer the program. UVU is one of a hand- education may not be justified, and by extension, expand- ful of institutions offering bachelor’s degree level programs ing the programs may not be warranted. in the region, and as such, their completers comprise 28% of total regional supply. For the UVU Service Region, there are 14 fields with Similar to the previous tables, Table 2.3 on the next a significant surplus. The largest reported surplus is in Fire Science/Fire-fighting. There are only six annual open- There are 250 annual openings and only 114 average Computer Science, with a gap of 136, is the largest. ings compared to 105 regional completers (all from UVU). annual completers (25 from UVU). Median hourly earn- Registered Nursing/Registered Nurse is associated with ings for occupations associated with this program are the second largest surplus (76). General Psychology is the $33.80. The other bachelor’s level gap is for Operations FIGURE 2.3: SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR UVU BACHELOR’S DEGREE LEVEL PROGRAMS Demand Gap Supply 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 10046+4727 Computer Science Operations Management and Supervision 20 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY 136 49 TABLE 2.3: SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR UVU BACHELOR’S LEVEL PROGRAMS AVERAGE ANNUAL OPENINGS SUMMIT/ WASATCH OPENINGS AVERAGE ANNUAL COMPLETERS AVERAGE ANNUAL UVU COMPLETERS TOTAL GAP OR SURPLUS MEDIAN HOURLY WAGE Computer Science 250 12 114 25 136 $33.80 52.0205 Operations Management & Supervision 117 18 68 68 49 $31.36 11.0901 Computer Systems Networking and Telecommunications 25 1 20 20 5 $25.12 52.0901 Hospitality Administration/ Management, General 28 9 25 25 3 $18.49 43.0202 Fire Services Administration 5 1 3 3 2 $28.30 46.0412 Building/Construction Site Management/Manager 31 2 29 29 2 $23.09 3.0104 Environmental Science 4 1 2 2 2 $25.04 14.0901 Computer Engineering, General 18 1 18 2 (0) $40.19 15.1102 Surveying Technology/Surveying 1 1 2 2 (1) $21.97 52.0804 Financial Planning and Services 7 0 8 8 (1) $39.87 50.0399 Dance, Other 0 0 2 1 (2) $17.58 26.0301 Botany/Plant Biology 0 0 2 1 (2) $33.37 13.1003 Education/Teaching of Individuals with Hearing Impairments Including Deafness 1 0 5 5 (3) $21.35 13.1323 Chemistry Teacher Education 0 0 4 2 (4) $24.76 43.0106 Forensic Science and Technology 1 1 5 5 (4) $14.95 14.0903 Computer Software Engineering 4 0 8 8 (5) $42.30 11.0301 Data Processing and Data Processing Technology/Technician 4 1 9 9 (5) $15.72 13.1302 Art Teacher Education 1 0 6 6 (5) $24.04 13.1316 Science Teacher Education/General Science Teacher Education 1 0 7 3 (6) $24.04 44.0701 Social Work 24 2 30 26 (6) $17.83 13.1303 Business Teacher Education 1 0 7 7 (6) $24.76 40.0699 Geological and Earth Sciences/Geosciences, Other 0 0 7 7 (7) $39.12 50.0903 Music Performance, General 1 1 9 3 (8) $17.56 22.0302 Legal Assistant/Paralegal 9 5 23 22 (13) $19.89 11.0401 Information Science/Studies 7 0 23 23 (16) $43.29 13.133 Spanish Language Teacher Education 2 0 22 8 (20) $24.76 13.1322 Biology Teacher Education 2 0 23 5 (21) $24.76 40.0601 Geology/Earth Science, General 0 1 22 4 (22) $22.12 13.1324 Drama and Dance Teacher Education 2 0 24 6 (22) $24.76 13.1312 Music Teacher Education 5 1 28 4 (23) $24.04 40.0501 Chemistry, General 2 0 26 6 (23) $30.93 13.1314 Physical Education Teaching & Coaching 12 2 38 12 (26) $21.62 16.1601 American Sign Language (ASL) 0 0 28 28 (27) $22.21 13.1307 Health Teacher Education 5 1 35 15 (29) $24.04 CIP CODE CIP TITLE 11.0701 ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 21 AVERAGE ANNUAL OPENINGS SUMMIT/ WASATCH OPENINGS AVERAGE ANNUAL COMPLETERS AVERAGE ANNUAL UVU COMPLETERS TOTAL GAP OR SURPLUS MEDIAN HOURLY WAGE Music, General 0 1 31 10 (31) $17.67 40.0801 Physics, General 0 0 34 10 (34) $33.74 50.0501 Drama and Dramatics/Theatre Arts, General 8 1 45 15 (37) $22.59 50.0301 Dance, General 0 1 38 9 (38) $17.58 51.0602 Dental Hygiene/Hygienist 27 4 66 7 (39) $33.22 38.0101 Philosophy 2 0 45 13 (43) $29.74 52.1401 Marketing/Marketing Management, General 62 6 108 35 (47) $33.77 13.1305 English/Language Arts Teacher Education 9 1 56 19 (47) $24.04 13.1311 Mathematics Teacher Education 10 1 60 13 (50) $24.04 26.1201 Biotechnology 0 0 51 26 (51) $33.37 13.1328 History Teacher Education 10 1 67 25 (57) $24.04 43.0103 Criminal Justice/Law Enforcement Administration 10 3 68 68 (58) $29.44 43.0203 Fire Science/Fire-fighting 23 9 85 85 (62) $13.35 11.0801 Web Page, Digital/Multimedia and Information Resources Design 16 2 80 80 (64) $25.68 27.0101 Mathematics, General 1 0 72 8 (71) $29.61 51.2208 Community Health and Preventive Medicine 13 1 90 90 (77) $33.93 16.0905 Spanish Language and Literature 1 0 92 24 (91) $22.21 52.0201 Business Administration and Management, General 244 52 352 282 (108) $33.08 51.3801 Registered Nursing/Registered Nurse 74 9 183 79 (109) $27.20 9.0101 Speech Communication and Rhetoric 7 2 124 124 (117) $21.99 50.0401 Design and Visual Communications, General 10 2 128 82 (118) $18.00 26.0101 Biology/Biological Sciences, General 0 0 137 64 (137) $25.94 52.0801 Finance, General 69 5 223 38 (154) $34.53 54.0101 History, General 0 - 183 24 (183) $- 45.1001 Political Science & Government, General 0 - 189 49 (189) $- 45.0601 Economics, General 0 0 192 7 (192) $11.91 31.0501 Health and Physical Education/Fitness, General 24 9 227 115 (203) $16.76 49.0102 Airline/Commercial/Professional Pilot and Flight Crew 2 1 229 229 (227) $17.01 52.0301 Accounting 70 13 322 123 (252) $28.34 23.0101 English Language & Literature, General 16 0 330 67 (315) $29.74 13.1202 Elementary Education and Teaching 78 12 415 184 (337) $21.58 42.0101 Psychology, General 2 0 587 302 (585) $27.46 CIP CODE CIP TITLE 50.0901 Source: EMSI Gap Analysis Model. Numbers may not sum due to rounding. 22 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY Management & Supervision (gap of 49, median hourly wage $31.36). The 68 completions a year from UVU are level programs for which UVU offers a training program. Table 2.4 lists supply and demand for the three master’s not enough to fill the 117 average annual openings. While other program groups in the region may face larger For the UVU Service Region, there are 43 fields with surpluses, UVU did not offer any of the programs. At this a significant surplus. The largest reported surplus is in level, UVU program offerings are limited and as such, their General Psychology. There are only two annual openings completers comprise 4% of total regional supply. compared to 587 regional completers (302 from UVU). For degrees in fields like psychology, history, economics, Nurse has a gap of 10. There are 14 average annual open- and political science, directly linking programs to occu- ings compared to just four average annual completers. pations is problematic. For example, a completer with a General Business/Commerce has the largest surplus (22). degree in General Political Science & Government could The other program offered at this level, Curriculum & end up in a general business field if they do not pursue a Instruction, has a surplus of 14. As shown in Table 2.4, Registered Nursing/Registered graduate degree or a law degree. However, due to ambiguity in possible outcomes, these programs are mapped relatively narrowly as shown in Table A2.1. In the case of General Political Science & Government, the completions TRANSFER TRACK (LIBERAL ARTS) STUDENTS are mapped directly to political scientists. Elementary Education & Teaching is associated with the second larg- A number of students attend UVU with the intention of est surplus (337). General English Language & Literature transferring to a four-year school to receive a bachelor’s is the third largest surplus (315). It is highly likely that degree. Though these students study any number of topics, UVU completers are finding jobs outside the UVU Service a large number of them receive associate of arts degrees Region. This is especially true when considering graduates in liberal arts. Over the past three years, an average of with a four year degree. A review of placement rates could 960 students has completed a general studies degree at provide additional information. the associate’s degree level, which composes 20% of the University’s annual production of certificates and degrees. MASTER’S LEVEL GAP ANALYSIS Once these students leave UVU, their educational and career track is difficult to predict. While they could seek a bachelor’s degree from UVU, they could also attend another Figure 2.4 provides an illustration that summarizes the four-year university or college inside or outside the region, top gaps for UVU master’s level programs. There was one or enter the workforce. They could study any number of gap identified at this education level. different programs that will ultimately determine their FIGURE 2.4: SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR UVU MASTER’S LEVEL PROGRAMS Demand Gap Supply 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 9024 Registered Nursing/Registered Nurse 10 TABLE 2.4: SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR UVU MASTER’S LEVEL PROGRAMS AVERAGE ANNUAL OPENINGS SUMMIT/ WASATCH OPENINGS AVERAGE ANNUAL COMPLETERS AVERAGE ANNUAL UVU COMPLETERS TOTAL GAP OR SURPLUS MEDIAN HOURLY WAGE 14 10 4 4 10 $27.20 Curriculum and Instruction 5 0 19 19 (14) $20.79 Business/Commerce, General 4 4 26 26 (22) $34.51 CIP CODE CIP TITLE 51.3801 Registered Nursing/Registered Nurse 13.0301 52.0101 Source: EMSI Gap Analysis Model. Numbers may not sum due to rounding. ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 23 future career. What can be shown is that over the next 10 POTENTIAL NEW PROGRAMS years, jobs that require a bachelor’s degree are projected to be in high demand. In any given year between 2014 In addition to knowing how well UVU’s current educational and 2024, 3,213 jobs will require a bachelor’s degree and programs are serving the local labor market, it is helpful 12,506 will require a bachelor’s degree or less, availing to know the fields of opportunity where the University these students of 90% of all regional job openings. could create new program offerings. Table 2.5 contains a list of 31 programmatic areas of opportunity that could TABLE 2.5: PROGRAMMATIC AREAS OF OPPORTUNITY DEMAND SUMMIT/ WASATCH DEMAND SUPPLY GAP MEDIAN HOURLY EARNINGS EDUCATION LEVEL Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 73 9 15 58 $19.40 Certificate Medical Secretaries 46 7 8 38 $14.48 Certificate 49-9041 Industrial Machinery Mechanics 23 3 0 23 $21.54 Certificate 49-9021 Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers 27 0 3 23 $18.08 Certificate 51-4041 Machinists 23 3 0 23 $20.88 Certificate 43-6012 Legal Secretaries 14 1 0 14 $15.02 Certificate 29-2071 Medical Records and Health Information Technicians 15 1 4 10 $15.67 Certificate 27-4011 Audio and Video Equipment Technicians 8 1 0 8 $16.87 Certificate 31-9094 Medical Transcriptionists 5 1 0 5 $12.38 Certificate 29-2053 Psychiatric Technicians 5 0 0 5 $11.33 Certificate 51-9141 Semiconductor Processors 18 1 0 18 $16.04 Associate 17-3023 Electrical and Electronics Engineering Technicians 16 1 0 16 $24.09 Associate 29-2012 Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technicians 5 0 0 5 $15.23 Associate 17-3026 Industrial Engineering Technicians 5 0 0 5 $25.39 Associate 13-1151 Training and Development Specialists 24 2 0 24 $22.06 Bachelor 17-2112 Industrial Engineers 16 0 0 16 $37.20 Bachelor 21-1023 Mental Health and Substance Abuse Social Workers 12 0 0 12 $18.01 Bachelor 13-1121 Meeting, Convention, and Event Planners 11 4 0 11 $19.83 Bachelor 11-3121 Human Resources Managers 8 1 0 8 $39.05 Bachelor 13-1041 Compliance Officers 8 1 0 8 $22.24 Bachelor 27-3042 Technical Writers 7 0 0 7 $26.91 Bachelor 15-2031 Operations Research Analysts 5 1 0 5 $32.04 Bachelor 41-9031 Sales Engineers 5 0 0 5 $43.88 Bachelor 21-1012 Educational, Guidance, School, and Vocational Counselors 29 1 6 23 $22.57 Master 29-1171 Nurse Practitioners 19 3 3 17 $42.15 Master 21-1014 Mental Health Counselors 14 1 0 14 $23.13 Master 29-1071 Physician Assistants 13 3 0 13 $40.45 Master 21-1022 Healthcare Social Workers 9 1 0 9 $25.09 Master 21-1015 Rehabilitation Counselors 7 1 0 7 $20.45 Master 29-1122 Occupational Therapists 5 1 0 5 $38.85 Master 19-3051 Urban and Regional Planners 5 1 0 5 $25.41 Master SOC DESCRIPTION 53-3032 43-6013 Source: EMSI Gap Analysis Model 24 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY fill gaps in the labor market by postsecondary vocational and physician assistants all have gaps greater than 13 in certificates, associate’s degrees, bachelor’s degrees, mas- the Service Region and median hourly earnings greater ter’s degrees. These selected occupations present unmet than $22. The remaining four gaps are less than 10, but annual openings by completions within the region. Please still offer median hourly earnings of at least $20. note that these tables highlight particular occupations, and in many cases a program can be designed to train for multiple occupations. Once these occupations are grouped CONCLUSION with other similar occupations, the actual workforce gap may be larger. Therefore, several programs with relatively Between the postsecondary certificate level and master’s small gaps are included. The median hourly earnings for degree level, there are a total of 19 programs associated workers in the Service Region are included in the Table 2.5. with significant workforce gaps. There were 61 programs The education level at which the analysis was performed associated with significant workforce surpluses; 43 had a is listed for each occupation. surplus at the bachelor’s degree level. There are 10 postsecondary certificate level areas of At the postsecondary certificate level, General Business opportunity listed in Table 2.5. Skilled trades and blue col- Administration & Management has the largest gap (gap lar occupations like heavy & tractor-trailer truck drivers, of 175, median hourly wage $33.07). General Construction machinists, and industrial machinery mechanics appear Trades (gap of 496, median hourly wage $19.30) is the larg- to be undersupplied in the UVU Service Region. Medical est gap at the associate’s degree level. Computer Science secretaries and legal secretaries are also undersupplied. (gap of 136, median hourly wage $33.80) is the largest gap Wage rates are in a range between $11.33 for psychiatric at the bachelor’s degree level. Finally, at the master’s degree technicians to a high of $21.54 for industrial machinery level, Registered Nursing/Registered Nurse is the largest mechanics. gap (gap of 10, median hourly wage $27.20). The next four areas of opportunity are at the associate’s The largest surpluses at each education level: Criminal degree level. Semiconductor processors (median hourly Justice/Law Enforcement Administration (surplus of 14) earnings $16.04) have the largest gap followed by electri- at the certificate level; Fire Science/Fire-fighting (surplus cal & electronics engineering technicians (median hourly of 99) at the associate’s degree level; General Psychology earnings $24.09). Medical & clinical laboratory technicians (surplus of 585) at the bachelor’s degree level; and General ($15.23 an hour) and industrial engineering technicians Business/Commerce (surplus of 22) at the master’s degree ($25.39 an hour) have smaller gaps of less than 10. level. At the bachelor’s degree level, nine areas of opportunity There are 31 areas of opportunity for new programs were identified. The two largest gaps are for training & identified. Heavy & tractor-trailer truck drivers and medical development specialists (gap of 24; median hourly earnings secretaries are the top two occupations that are under- $22.06) and industrial engineers (gap of 16; median hourly supplied at the certificate level. Semiconductor proces- earnings $37.20). Mental health & substance abuse social sors and electrical & electronic engineering technicians workers (gap of 12; median hourly earnings of $18.01) and are undersupplied at the associate’s degree level. Train- meeting, convention, & event planners (gap of 11; median ing & development specialists and industrial engineers hourly earnings of $19.83) also exhibit significant shortages are undersupplied at the bachelor’s degree level. At the in the service area. The other five occupations in Table 2.3 master’s degree level, educational, guidance, school, & at the bachelor’s degree level have gaps of less than ten, vocational counselors and nurse practitioners are the two but pay at least $22 an hour. potential new programs with the largest gaps. Wage rates The final eight areas of opportunity are at the master’s for occupations associated with potential new programs degree level. Educational, guidance, school, & vocational across all education levels range between $11.33 for psy- counselors; nurse practitioners; mental health counselors; chiatric technicians to a high of $43.88 for sales engineers. ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 25 C HAPTER 3 : STATEWIDE PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS The results that appear in this chapter present a broader top gaps for postsecondary certificate level programs in view of the program groups projected to have a state- Utah. There were a total of nine gaps identified at this wide gap or surplus. Programs are again analyzed at four education level. different levels: postsecondary vocational certifications, associate’s degrees, bachelor’s degrees, and master’s Utah for all certificate program types for which UVU offers degrees, according to the training level offered at UVU. a training program. While other program groups in the Only programs with considerable gaps or surpluses should state may face larger surpluses, UVU did not offer any of be considered long-term strategic issues worthy of closer the programs. Table 3.5 addresses programs that are not examination. Given the size and characteristics of the state currently being offered but which would address consider- of Utah, any gap or surplus within 25 jobs either above or able regional workforce gaps. At the certificate level, there below zero should be considered within the normal range are 71 institutions offering programs. There were a total of labor market fluctuations. of 10,576 completers of these programs in the state. Table 3.1 on the next page lists supply and demand in As shown in Table 3.1, General Business Administration & Management has the largest gap and the highest median POSTSECONDARY CERTIFICATE LEVEL GAP ANALYSIS hourly wage. There are 825 annual openings but only nine average annual completers (two from UVU), and median hourly wage of $34.29. General Administrative Assistant Figure 3.1 provides an illustration that summarizes the and Secretarial Science (gap of 581, median hourly wage FIGURE 3.1: SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR UVU POSTSECONDARY CERTIFICATE LEVEL PROGRAMS Demand Gap Supply 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 971+93252812+16170+81127+6230 Business Administration and Management, General 816 Administrative Assistant and Secretarial Science, General 581 Automobile/Automotive Mechanics Technology/Technician 139 Accounting 125 Water Quality & Wastewater Treatment Mgmt. & Recycling Technology/Tech. 61 Autobody/Collision and Repair Technology/Technician 59 Fire Science/Fire-fighting Computer Systems Networking and Telecommunications Building/Home/Construction Inspection/Inspector 26 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY 44 37 29 TABLE 3.1: SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR UTAH STATE CERTIFICATE LEVEL PROGRAMS AVERAGE ANNUAL OPENINGS AVERAGE ANNUAL COMPLETERS AVERAGE ANNUAL UVU COMPLETERS TOTAL GAP OR SURPLUS MEDIAN HOURLY WAGE Business Administration and Management, General 825 9 2 816 $34.29 52.0401 Administrative Assistant and Secretarial Science, General 790 209 1 581 $16.04 47.0604 Automobile/Automotive Mechanics Technology/ Technician 238 99 7 139 $16.93 52.0301 Accounting 134 9 1 125 $28.07 15.0506 Water Quality and Wastewater Treatment Management and Recycling Technology/Technician 62 1 1 61 $20.39 47.0603 Autobody/Collision and Repair Technology/ Technician 69 10 1 59 $17.31 43.0203 Fire Science/Fire-fighting 101 57 28 44 $13.92 11.0901 Computer Systems Networking and Telecommunications 50 13 3 37 $26.82 46.0403 Building/Home/Construction Inspection/Inspector 29 1 1 29 $26.07 50.0401 Design and Visual Communications, General 18 0 0 18 $18.98 13.121 Early Childhood Education and Teaching 14 4 4 10 $12.24 11.0201 Computer Programming/Programmer, General 21 12 1 9 $33.17 43.0103 Criminal Justice/Law Enforcement Administration 18 20 20 (2) $31.01 47.0605 Diesel Mechanics Technology/Technician 119 150 2 (31) $20.30 11.0801 Web Page, Digital/Multimedia and Information Resources Design 21 106 1 (85) $25.01 51.0904 Emergency Medical Technology/Technician (EMT Paramedic) 28 137 10 (110) $15.68 CIP CODE CIP TITLE 52.0201 Source: EMSI Gap Analysis Model. Numbers may not sum due to rounding. $16.04) and Automobile/Automotive Mechanics Technol- ASSOCIATE’S LEVEL GAP ANALYSIS ogy/Technician (gap of 139, median hourly wage $16.93) are the second and third largest gaps. Figure 3.2 below provides an illustration of the top 10 gaps There are often some programs preparing students for in Utah for associate’s degree level programs. There are fields where they may compete with many other graduates. a total of 12 gaps greater than 25 at this education level. There are three certificate level programs that are train- ing for occupations with a significant surplus of workers. demand in Utah for all associate’s level programs for which Emergency Medical Technology/Technician (EMT Para- UVU provides training. Again, the table only includes pro- medic) has a surplus of 110. Web Page, Digital/Multime- gram groups available at UVU. Other program groups in dia & Information Resources Design is the second with the region may face larger gaps, but UVU does not offer a surplus 85 completers. Diesel Mechanics Technology/ the program. Table 3.5 addresses programs that are not Technician is the third significant workforce surplus with currently being offered but which would address consid- 31 surplus completers. Again, a review of placement rates erable regional workforce gaps. There are 36 institutions could provide additional information on where completers offering associate’s degree level programs in the state, and get jobs. there were 13,067 average annual completers over the last Table 3.2 on the following page displays supply and three years. ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 27 TABLE 3.2: SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR UTAH STATE ASSOCIATE’S LEVEL PROGRAMS AVERAGE ANNUAL OPENINGS AVERAGE ANNUAL COMPLETERS AVERAGE ANNUAL UVU COMPLETERS TOTAL GAP OR SURPLUS MEDIAN HOURLY WAGE Construction Trades, General 871 18 18 853 $20.64 Construction Trades, Other 693 4 4 689 $17.83 46.0401 Building/Property Maintenance 509 4 4 505 $19.35 52.0201 Business Admin. and Management, General 973 493 80 479 $34.29 12.0503 Culinary Arts/Chef Training 311 93 34 217 $11.67 11.0701 Computer Science 246 103 5 143 $34.99 52.0301 Accounting 200 95 25 105 $28.07 47.0604 Automobile/Automotive Mechanics Technology/ Technician 171 67 24 104 $16.93 52.0901 Hospitality Administration/Mgmt., General 83 5 5 78 $18.87 47.0603 Autobody/Collision and Repair Technology/ Technician 64 17 11 47 $17.31 31.0501 Health and Physical Education/Fitness, General 45 8 8 37 $15.15 46.0403 Building/Home/Construction Inspection/Inspector 34 2 2 32 $26.07 52.0407 Business/Office Automation/Technology/Data Entry 28 3 3 24 $14.16 46.0412 Building/Construction Site Mgmt./Manager 31 16 2 16 $26.10 48.0703 Cabinetmaking and Millwork 14 3 3 11 $14.08 51.0602 Dental Hygiene/Hygienist 75 66 16 9 $33.50 51.2208 Community Health and Preventive Medicine 13 4 4 9 $34.87 46.0303 Lineworker 50.0501 Drama and Dramatics/Theatre Arts, General 50.0301 CIP CODE CIP TITLE 46 46.9999 4 0 0 4 $26.68 12 9 1 4 $18.50 Dance, General 8 5 3 3 $17.88 38.0101 Philosophy 2 1 1 1 $30.96 40.0101 Physical Sciences 0 1 1 (1) $43.01 15.1102 Surveying Technology/Surveying 8 9 1 (1) $26.48 14.4201 Mechatronics, Robotics, & Automation Engineering 0 6 6 (5) $33.34 11.0101 Computer and Information Sciences, General 47 54 16 (6) $36.26 13.1205 Secondary Education and Teaching 0 9 2 (8) $25.42 15.0405 Robotics Technology/Technician 15 24 24 (8) $18.38 50.0901 Music, General 16 27 2 (11) $26.54 27.0101 Mathematics, General 2 18 8 (16) $39.01 47.0605 Diesel Mechanics Technology/Technician 14 35 15 (21) $20.30 11.0801 Web Page, Digital/Multimedia and Information Resources Design 8 30 10 (21) $25.01 43.0203 Fire Science/Fire-fighting 79 105 105 (26) $13.92 23.0101 English Language and Literature, General 10 39 6 (29) $30.96 9.0101 Speech Communication and Rhetoric 13 42 4 (29) $23.52 26.0101 Biology/Biological Sciences, General 1 31 12 (30) $38.30 22.0302 Legal Assistant/Paralegal 84 118 10 (34) $19.47 54.0101 History, General 13.121 Early Childhood Education and Teaching 15.1301 0 36 16 (36) $25.86 14 51 42 (37) $12.24 Drafting & Design Technology/Tech., General 7 46 30 (39) $20.72 50.0401 Design and Visual Communications, General 26 75 28 (49) $18.98 49.0102 Airline/Commercial/Profess. Pilot & Flight Crew 13 71 59 (57) $53.80 43.0103 Criminal Justice/Law Enforcement Admin. 6 146 18 (140) $31.01 42.0101 Psychology, General 1 162 71 (161) $27.92 51.3801 Registered Nursing/Registered Nurse 407 1,167 86 (760) $28.36 Source: EMSI Gap Analysis Model. Numbers may not sum due to rounding. 28 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY FIGURE 3.2: SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR UVU ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE LEVEL PROGRAMS Demand Gap Supply 0 200 400 800 600 1,000 872+69051+9749319+251020+17781+62 9815+7050131+15650 Construction Trades, General 853 Construction Trades, Other 689 Building/Property Maintenance 505 Business Administration and Management, General 479 Culinary Arts/Chef Training 217 Computer Science 143 Accounting 105 Automobile/Automotive Mechanics Technology/Technician 104 Hospitality Administration/Management, General 78 Autobody/Collision and Repair Technology/Technician 47 FIGURE 3.3: SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR UVU BACHELOR’S DEGREE LEVEL PROGRAMS Demand Gap Supply 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 Operations Management and Supervision 582 Computer Science 141 Financial Planning and Services 81 Hospitality Administration/Management, General Fire Services Administration General Construction Trades (gap of 853, median hourly wage $20.64) and Other Construction Trades (gap of 689; 700 64 33 (161). Criminal Justice/Law Enforcement Administration is the third largest surplus (140). median hourly wage $17.83) are the top two gaps. These programs feed into a large variety of construction related occupations that are in high demand. Building/Property BACHELOR’S LEVEL GAP ANALYSIS Maintenance has the third largest gap (gap of 505; median hourly wage $19.35). It is important to keep wages in mind Figure 3.3 above provides an illustration of the top gaps for when reviewing the gap analysis. In the instance of the bachelor’s degree level programs in Utah. UVU had only Culinary Arts/Chef Training, there may be a large gap (217), five gaps greater than 25 at this education level. but because the wages of occupations associated with this program are low ($11.67), the returns to education may page displays supply and demand in Utah for all bachelor’s not be justified. level programs. The table only includes program groups For the state of Utah, there are 13 fields with a signifi- available at UVU. Once again, other program groups in cant surplus. The largest reported surplus is in Registered the region may face larger gaps, but UVU does not offer Nursing/Registered Nurse. There are 407 annual openings the program. There are 29 institutions offering bachelor’s compared to 1,167 state completers (86 from UVU). General degree level programs with 27,000 average annual com- Psychology is associated with the second largest surplus pleters. Similar to the previous tables, Table 3.3 on the following ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 29 TABLE 3.3: SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR UTAH STATE BACHELOR’S LEVEL PROGRAMS AVERAGE ANNUAL OPENINGS AVERAGE ANNUAL COMPLETERS AVERAGE ANNUAL UVU COMPLETERS TOTAL GAP OR SURPLUS MEDIAN HOURLY WAGE Operations Management and Supervision 684 102 68 582 $31.53 11.0701 Computer Science 493 352 25 141 $34.99 52.0804 Financial Planning and Services 89 8 8 81 $28.26 52.0901 Hospitality Administration/Management, General 102 39 25 64 $18.87 43.0202 Fire Services Administration 36 3 3 33 $29.39 22.0302 Legal Assistant/Paralegal 51 27 22 24 $19.47 14.0901 Computer Engineering, General 70 46 2 24 $40.22 15.1102 Surveying Technology/Surveying 14 2 2 13 $26.48 43.0203 Fire Science/Fire-fighting 90 85 85 4 $13.92 50.0903 Music Performance, General 11 9 3 2 $23.79 3.0104 Environmental Science 4 2 2 2 $27.05 11.0301 Data Processing and Data Processing Technology/Technician 11 9 9 2 $32.17 50.0399 Dance, Other 0 2 1 (2) $17.88 13.1003 Education/Teaching of Individuals with Hearing Impairments Including Deafness 1 5 5 (4) $21.48 14.0903 Computer Software Engineering 3 8 8 (5) $42.86 40.0699 Geological and Earth Sciences/Geosciences, Other 2 7 7 (5) $37.66 43.0106 Forensic Science and Technology 10 15 5 (5) $20.75 26.0301 Botany/Plant Biology 0 6 1 (6) $38.09 13.1316 Science Teacher Education/General Science Teacher Education 11 18 3 (7) $25.17 13.1323 Chemistry Teacher Education 2 10 2 (8) $25.42 13.1302 Art Teacher Education 1 12 6 (11) $25.17 13.1303 Business Teacher Education 1 15 7 (14) $25.42 46.0412 Building/Construction Site Management/Manager 20 38 29 (18) $26.10 13.1324 Drama and Dance Teacher Education 2 27 6 (26) $25.42 16.1601 American Sign Language (ASL) 2 28 28 (26) $19.01 13.133 Spanish Language Teacher Education 2 28 8 (26) $25.42 11.0801 Web Page, Digital/Multimedia and Information Resources Design 53 87 80 (33) $25.01 11.0901 Computer Systems Networking and Telecommunications 81 117 20 (36) $26.82 13.1312 Music Teacher Education 5 41 4 (36) $25.17 13.1307 Health Teacher Education 6 53 15 (47) $25.17 11.0401 Information Science/Studies 26 74 23 (48) $45.10 40.0601 Geology/Earth Science, General 11 59 4 (48) $37.54 26.1201 Biotechnology 1 51 26 (50) $38.09 50.0301 Dance, General 5 61 9 (56) $17.88 13.1328 History Teacher Education 9 80 25 (71) $25.17 51.0602 Dental Hygiene/Hygienist 47 119 7 (72) $33.50 51.2208 Community Health and Preventive Medicine 18 90 90 (72) $34.87 13.1322 Biology Teacher Education 8 86 5 (78) $25.42 CIP CODE CIP TITLE 52.0205 30 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY AVERAGE ANNUAL OPENINGS AVERAGE ANNUAL COMPLETERS AVERAGE ANNUAL UVU COMPLETERS TOTAL GAP OR SURPLUS MEDIAN HOURLY WAGE English/Language Arts Teacher Education 10 92 19 (81) $25.17 43.0103 Criminal Justice/Law Enforcement Administration 30 115 68 (85) $31.01 38.0101 Philosophy 5 90 13 (85) $30.96 52.0801 Finance, General 466 555 38 (89) $33.51 40.0801 Physics, General 1 91 10 (90) $47.10 50.0501 Drama and Dramatics/Theatre Arts, General 18 109 15 (91) $18.50 52.1401 Marketing/Marketing Management, General 285 384 35 (99) $32.91 40.0501 Chemistry, General 22 132 6 (110) $36.04 13.1311 Mathematics Teacher Education 47 160 13 (113) $25.17 50.0401 Design and Visual Communications, General 28 145 82 (117) $18.98 13.1314 Physical Education Teaching and Coaching 117 236 12 (120) $22.23 50.0901 Music, General 11 135 10 (124) $26.54 44.0701 Social Work 75 210 26 (135) $19.12 31.0501 Health and Physical Education/Fitness, General 78 228 115 (150) $15.15 27.0101 Mathematics, General 6 159 8 (153) $39.01 16.0905 Spanish Language and Literature 11 208 24 (197) $19.01 49.0102 Airline/Commercial/Professional Pilot and Flight Crew 28 241 229 (213) $53.80 9.0101 Speech Communication and Rhetoric 36 397 124 (361) $23.52 54.0101 History, General 0 376 24 (376) $25.86 52.0201 Business Administration and Management, General 1,149 1,583 282 (434) $34.29 26.0101 Biology/Biological Sciences, General 6 454 64 (448) $38.30 45.1001 Political Science and Government, General 52.0301 Accounting 23.0101 English Language and Literature, General 13.1202 Elementary Education and Teaching 45.0601 Economics, General 5 774 42.0101 Psychology, General 6 1,186 51.3801 Registered Nursing/Registered Nurse 437 1,917 79 CIP CODE CIP TITLE 13.1305 0 467 49 (467) $50.97 547 1,029 123 (482) $28.07 42 677 67 (636) $30.96 194 874 184 (680) $23.51 7 (769) $23.34 302 (1,180) $27.92 (1,480) $28.36 Source: EMSI Gap Analysis Model. Numbers may not sum due to rounding. Operations Management & Supervision, with a gap of openings compared to 1,917 completers (79 from UVU). 582, is the largest. There are 684 annual openings and only General Psychology is associated with the second largest 102 average annual completers (68 from UVU). Median surplus (1,180). General Economics is the third largest hourly earnings for occupations associated with this pro- surplus (769). gram are $31.53. The second largest gap is for Computer Science (gap of 141, median hourly wage $34.99). The 352 completions a year (25 from UVU) are not enough to fill MASTER’S LEVEL GAP ANALYSIS the 493 average annual openings. The third largest gap is Financial Planning & Services (gap of 81, median hourly Figure 3.4 on the next page provides an illustration that wage $28.26). summarizes the top gaps in Utah for master’s level pro- grams. There were two gaps identified at this education For the state of Utah, there are 43 fields with a signifi- cant surplus. The largest reported surplus is in Registered level. Nursing/Registered Nurse (1,480). There are 437 annual Table 3.4 lists supply and demand in Utah for the three ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 31 FIGURE 3.4: SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR UVU MASTER’S LEVEL PROGRAMS Demand Gap Supply 0 100 200 300 400 500 9624+276 Registered Nursing/Registered Nurse 361 Business/Commerce, General 108 TABLE 3.4: SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR UTAH STATE MASTER’S LEVEL PROGRAMS AVERAGE ANNUAL OPENINGS AVERAGE ANNUAL COMPLETERS AVERAGE ANNUAL UVU COMPLETERS TOTAL GAP OR SURPLUS MEDIAN HOURLY WAGE Registered Nursing/Registered Nurse 479 118 4 361 $28.36 52.0101 Business/Commerce, General 135 28 26 108 $35.63 13.0301 Curriculum and Instruction 16 188 19 (173) $25.41 CIP CODE CIP TITLE 51.3801 Source: EMSI Gap Analysis Model. Numbers may not sum due to rounding. master’s level programs for which UVU offers a training lar occupations like heavy & tractor-trailer truck drivers; program. At this level, UVU program offerings are limited first-line supervisors of production & operating workers; and as such, there are 18 institutions with 7,703 completers and heating, air conditioning, & refrigeration mechanics of master’s degree programs. & installers appear to be undersupplied in Utah. Medical Registered Nursing/Registered Nurse has a gap of 361. records & health information technicians and aircraft There are 479 average annual openings compared to 118 mechanics & service technicians are also undersupplied. average annual completers (4 from UVU). General Business/ Wage rates are in a range between $12.48 for psychiatric Commerce has the second largest gap (108). The other technicians to a high of $26.89 for aircraft mechanics & program offered at this level, Curriculum & Instruction, service technicians. has the largest surplus of 173. The next 11 areas of opportunity are at the associate’s degree level. Medical equipment repairers (median hourly earnings $24.32) has the largest gap followed by forest & POTENTIAL NEW PROGRAMS conservation technicians (median hourly earnings $13.47). Diagnostic medical sonographers ($32.58 an hour) and Table 3.5 on the following page contains a list of 44 pro- chemical technicians ($19.19 an hour) are the two other grammatic areas of opportunity that could fill gaps in the occupations that have significant gaps of over 25. The seven labor market by postsecondary vocational certificates, other areas of opportunity have gaps within the normal associate’s degrees, bachelor’s degrees, master’s degrees. labor market fluctuations. These selected occupations present unmet annual open- ings by completions within the state. Please note that were identified. The three largest gaps are for industrial these tables highlight particular occupations, and in many engineers (gap of 69, median hourly earnings $37.22), cases a program can be designed to train for multiple training & development specialists (gap of 53, median occupations. Once these occupations are grouped with hourly earnings $24.13), and mental health & substance other similar occupations, the actual workforce gap may abuse social workers (gap of 46, median hourly earnings be larger. Therefore, several programs with relatively small $18.61). Four other potential new programs have significant gaps are included. The median hourly earnings for workers workforce gaps. The other 12 occupations in Table 2.3 at in the state are included in the Table 3.5. The education the bachelor’s degree level have smaller gaps of less than level at which the analysis was performed is listed for 25, but pay at least $18 an hour. each occupation. There are nine postsecondary certificate level areas of degree level. Nurse practitioners; healthcare social workers; opportunity listed in Table 3.5. Skilled trades and blue col- educational, guidance, school, & vocational counselors; and 32 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY At the bachelor’s degree level, 19 areas of opportunity The final five areas of opportunity are at the master’s TABLE 3.5: STATEWIDE PROGRAMMATIC AREAS OF OPPORTUNITY AVERAGE ANNUAL OPENINGS AVERAGE ANNUAL COMPLETERS GAP MEDIAN HOURLY EARNINGS EDUCATION LEVEL Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 793 250 543 $19.83 Certificate 51-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers 133 0 133 $25.11 Certificate 49-9021 Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers 129 41 87 $19.98 Certificate 29-2071 Medical Records & Health Information Techs. 79 32 46 $14.30 Certificate 49-3011 Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians 28 1 28 $26.89 Certificate 31-9094 Medical Transcriptionists 26 7 19 $12.81 Certificate 27-4011 Audio and Video Equipment Technicians 17 1 17 $16.02 Certificate 29-2053 Psychiatric Technicians 12 0 12 $12.48 Certificate 49-2011 Computer, Auto. Teller, & Office Machine Repairers 42 31 11 $15.31 Certificate 49-9062 Medical Equipment Repairers 43 0 43 $24.32 Associate 19-4093 Forest and Conservation Technicians 35 3 32 $13.47 Associate 29-2032 Diagnostic Medical Sonographers 27 1 26 $32.58 Associate 19-4031 Chemical Technicians 35 9 26 $19.19 Associate 17-3022 Civil Engineering Technicians 19 0 19 $22.42 Associate 29-2031 Cardiovascular Technologists and Technicians 17 0 16 $28.28 Associate 51-9141 Semiconductor Processors 16 0 16 $15.96 Associate 17-3027 Mechanical Engineering Technicians 21 7 14 $24.39 Associate 17-3026 Industrial Engineering Technicians 14 2 12 $28.46 Associate 17-3025 Environmental Engineering Technicians 12 1 11 $20.41 Associate 17-3013 Mechanical Drafters 10 0 10 $22.13 Associate 17-2112 Industrial Engineers 77 8 69 $37.22 Bachelor 13-1151 Training and Development Specialists 98 45 53 $24.13 Bachelor 21-1023 Mental Health & Substance Abuse Social Workers 47 1 46 $18.61 Bachelor 13-1071 Human Resources Specialists 134 90 44 $24.46 Bachelor 13-1121 Meeting, Convention, and Event Planners 40 1 38 $19.43 Bachelor 27-3042 Technical Writers 31 2 29 $29.22 Bachelor 15-2031 Operations Research Analysts 28 0 28 $31.49 Bachelor 29-9099 Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Workers, All Other 20 0 20 $21.96 Bachelor 11-3121 Human Resources Managers 38 18 20 $41.83 Bachelor 41-9031 Sales Engineers 20 1 19 $45.94 Bachelor 29-9011 Occupational Health and Safety Specialists 29 10 19 $29.12 Bachelor 19-4021 Biological Technicians 19 0 19 $17.47 Bachelor 17-2081 Environmental Engineers 17 2 15 $37.01 Bachelor 17-2171 Petroleum Engineers 15 0 15 $40.99 Bachelor 17-2011 Aerospace Engineers 13 0 13 $36.39 Bachelor 25-3011 Adult Basic and Secondary Education and Literacy Teachers and Instructors 12 0 12 $18.84 Bachelor 13-1141 Compensation, Benefits, & Job Analysis Specialists 19 8 11 $25.85 Bachelor 17-2131 Materials Engineers 13 2 11 $36.31 Bachelor 25-2032 Career/Technical Ed. Teachers, Secondary School 10 0 10 $24.08 Bachelor 29-1171 Nurse Practitioners 83 4 79 $43.04 Master 21-1022 Healthcare Social Workers 64 0 64 $26.31 Master 21-1012 Educational, Guidance, School, and Vocational Counselors 99 57 42 $22.29 Master 19-3051 Urban and Regional Planners 32 0 32 $27.18 Master 29-1071 Physician Assistants 59 38 21 $41.66 Master SOC SOC TITLE 53-3032 Source: EMSI Gap Analysis Model ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 33 urban & regional planners all have gaps greater than 25 have high wages, and therefore, may not have adequate in the service region and median hourly earnings greater returns to education or justify expansion of a program. than $22. The remaining gap, physician assistants, is less than 25, but offers median hourly earnings of $41.66. are: Emergency Medical Technology/Technician (EMT Para- The top surpluses in the state at each education level medic) (certificate level surplus of 110, median hourly wage $15.68), Registered Nursing/Registered Nurse (associate’s CONCLUSION degree level surplus of 760, median hourly wage $28.36), Registered Nursing/Registered Nurse (bachelor’s degree Between the postsecondary certificate level and master’s surplus of 1,480, median hourly wage $28.36), and Cur- degree level, there are a total of 28 programs associated riculum & Instruction (master’s degree level surplus of with significant workforce gaps. There were 60 programs 173, median hourly wage $25.41). associated with significant workforce surpluses. There are a total of 44 potential areas of opportunity The top gaps in the state at each education level are: identified for all levels of education. At the certificate level, General Business Administration & Management (certifi- skilled and blue collar occupations are undersupplied. cate level gap of 816, median hourly wage $34.29), General At the associate’s degree level, medical and engineering Construction Trades (associate’s degree level gap of 853, technician occupations are undersupplied. Engineering and median hourly wage $20.64), Operations Management & business occupations are undersupplied at the bachelor’s Supervision (bachelor’s degree gap of 582, median hourly degree level, and finally, a few healthcare and social service wage $31.53), and Registered Nursing/Registered Nurse occupations are areas of opportunity at the master’s degree (master’s degree level gap of 361, median hourly wage level. Wages for areas of opportunity range from $12.48 for $28.36). Many of these same programs have gaps and psychiatric technicians to $45.94 for sales engineers. relatively high wages, but not all programs with large gaps 34 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY APPE NDI X 1: ABOUT EMSI DATA As stated in Chapter 2, EMSI data were used to calculate tem (REIS-published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis the projected number of annual job openings from 2014 or BEA). This is augmented with County Business Patterns to 2024. These projections take into account openings due (CBP) and Non-Employer Statistics (NES) published by the to job growth and openings due to replacement needs. US Census Bureau. Projections are based on the latest- In order to capture a complete picture of industry available EMSI industry data, 15-year past local trends employment, EMSI gathers and integrates economic, labor in each industry, growth rates in statewide and (where market, demographic, and education data from over 90 available) sub-state area industry projections published government and private-sector sources, creating a com- by individual state agencies, and (in part) growth rates in prehensive and current database that includes both pub- national projections from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. lished data and detailed estimates with full coverage of the United States. to fill gaps in individual sources (such as suppressions and Through this combination of data sources, EMSI is able More specifically, EMSI combines covered employment missing proprietors). This yields a composite database that data from Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages leverages the strengths of all its sources. Finally, EMSI’s (QCEW-produced by the Department of Labor) with total database is updated quarterly, providing the most up-to- employment data in Regional Economic Information Sys- date integrated information possible. ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 35 APPE NDI X 2: PROGRAM-TO-OCCUPATION MAPPING Table A2.1 displays the crosswalk between educational programs (CIP codes) and occupations (SOC codes) that EMSI used to complete the gap analysis. Also listed are the adjustment factors which were applied to the annual openings figures for each occupation within each program. The methodology for these factors is described in Appendix 3, with the program based weight figure recounted under “De-duplication of Annual Openings” and the educational level adjustments recounted under “Education Level Adjustments.” TABLE A2.1: PROGRAM TO OCCUPATION MAPPING WITH EMPLOYMENT ADJUSTMENT FACTORS PERCENT OF WORKFORCE WITH GIVEN EDUCATION LEVEL CIP PROGRAM 3.0104 Environmental Science 9.0101 11.0101 Speech Communication and Rhetoric Computer and Information Sciences, General PROGRAM BASED WEIGHT PSV AWARD OR SOME COLLEGE ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE BACHELOR’S DEGREE MASTER’S DEGREE SOC OCCUPATION 19-2041 Environmental Scientists and Specialists, Including Health 1.00 3 6 53 88 19-4091 Environmental Science and Protection Technicians, Including Health 1.00 42 54 85 95 27-3012 Public Address System and Other Announcers 1.00 54 61 94 99 27-3031 Public Relations Specialists 0.59 16 20 75 95 27-3043 Writers and Authors 0.48 12 15 66 93 11-3021 Computer and Information Systems Managers 0.05 19 27 73 98 15-1111 Computer and Information Research Scientists 0.05 6 9 51 81 15-1121 Computer Systems Analysts 0.12 20 28 76 98 15-1122 Information Security Analysts 0.04 29 43 77 98 15-1134 Web Developers 0.04 23 31 84 99 15-1141 Database Administrators 1.00 22 32 79 97 15-1142 Network and Computer Systems Administrators 1.00 34 49 88 99 36 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY PERCENT OF WORKFORCE WITH GIVEN EDUCATION LEVEL CIP 11.0201 11.0301 11.0401 11.0701 PROGRAM Computer Programming/ Programmer, General Data Processing and Data Processing Technology/Technician Information Science/Studies Computer Science PROGRAM BASED WEIGHT PSV AWARD OR SOME COLLEGE ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE BACHELOR’S DEGREE MASTER’S DEGREE SOC OCCUPATION 15-1143 Computer Network Architects 0.04 27 41 85 98 15-1199 Computer Occupations, All Other 0.07 34 49 86 99 15-1122 Information Security Analysts 0.01 29 43 77 98 15-1131 Computer Programmers 0.03 19 28 78 97 15-1132 Software Developers, Applications 0.02 11 16 67 96 15-1133 Software Developers, Systems Software 0.02 11 16 67 96 15-1134 Web Developers 0.01 23 31 84 99 15-1143 Computer Network Architects 0.01 27 41 85 98 15-1151 Computer User Support Specialists 0.03 40 57 91 99 15-1152 Computer Network Support Specialists 0.03 40 57 91 99 51-4012 Computer Numerically Controlled Machine Tool Programmers, Metal and Plastic 0.36 82 93 98 100 15-1199 Computer Occupations, All Other 0.04 34 49 86 99 43-9011 Computer Operators 1.00 58 73 96 99 51-4012 Computer Numerically Controlled Machine Tool Programmers, Metal and Plastic 0.64 82 93 98 100 11-3021 Computer and Information Systems Managers 0.07 19 27 73 98 15-1111 Computer and Information Research Scientists 0.08 6 9 51 81 15-1133 Software Developers, Systems Software 0.08 11 16 67 96 15-1199 Computer Occupations, All Other 0.11 34 49 86 99 11-3021 Computer and Information Systems Managers 0.44 19 27 73 98 15-1111 Computer and Information Research Scientists 0.51 6 9 51 81 ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 37 PERCENT OF WORKFORCE WITH GIVEN EDUCATION LEVEL CIP 11.0801 11.0901 12.0503 13.0301 PROGRAM Web Page, Digital/Multimedia and Information Resources Design Computer Systems Networking and Telecommunications Culinary Arts/ Chef Training Curriculum and Instruction PROGRAM BASED WEIGHT PSV AWARD OR SOME COLLEGE ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE BACHELOR’S DEGREE MASTER’S DEGREE SOC OCCUPATION 15-1122 Information Security Analysts 0.37 29 43 77 98 15-1131 Computer Programmers 0.93 19 28 78 97 15-1132 Software Developers, Applications 0.52 11 16 67 96 15-1133 Software Developers, Systems Software 0.51 11 16 67 96 15-1134 Web Developers 0.37 23 31 84 99 15-1143 Computer Network Architects 0.37 27 41 85 98 15-1151 Computer User Support Specialists 0.83 40 57 91 99 15-1152 Computer Network Support Specialists 0.83 40 57 91 99 15-1199 Computer Occupations, All Other 0.71 34 49 86 99 15-1122 Information Security Analysts 0.25 29 43 77 98 15-1134 Web Developers 0.25 23 31 84 99 15-1143 Computer Network Architects 0.25 27 41 85 98 27-1014 Multimedia Artists and Animators 0.50 34 43 87 98 27-1024 Graphic Designers 0.29 31 44 91 99 15-1121 Computer Systems Analysts 0.20 20 28 76 98 15-1122 Information Security Analysts 0.06 29 43 77 98 15-1134 Web Developers 0.06 23 31 84 99 15-1143 Computer Network Architects 0.06 27 41 85 98 15-1151 Computer User Support Specialists 0.14 40 57 91 99 15-1152 Computer Network Support Specialists 0.14 40 57 91 99 35-1011 Chefs and Head Cooks 1.00 70 86 98 100 35-2013 Cooks, Private Household 0.41 90 95 99 100 35-2014 Cooks, Restaurant 1.00 90 95 99 100 35-2019 Cooks, All Other 1.00 90 95 99 100 25-9031 Instructional Coordinators 0.52 17 21 51 89 38 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY PERCENT OF WORKFORCE WITH GIVEN EDUCATION LEVEL PROGRAM BASED WEIGHT PSV AWARD OR SOME COLLEGE ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE BACHELOR’S DEGREE MASTER’S DEGREE CIP PROGRAM SOC OCCUPATION 13.1003 Education/ Teaching of Individuals with Hearing Impairments Including Deafness 25-2051 Special Education Teachers, Preschool 0.08 10 13 50 97 25-2052 Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School 0.08 10 13 50 97 25-2053 Special Education Teachers, Middle School 0.08 10 13 50 97 25-2054 Special Education Teachers, Secondary School 0.08 10 13 50 97 25-2059 Special Education Teachers, All Other 0.08 10 13 50 97 27-3091 Interpreters and Translators 0.01 37 50 81 96 25-2021 Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education 0.98 3 5 50 96 0.00 3 4 48 96 13.1202 Elementary Education and Teaching 13.1205 Secondary Education and Teaching 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 13.121 Early Childhood Education and Teaching 25-2011 Preschool Teachers, Except Special Education 1.00 39 53 87 99 25-2012 Kindergarten Teachers, Except Special Education 1.00 39 53 87 99 25-2022 Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.02 3 5 50 96 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.01 3 4 48 96 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.01 3 4 48 96 25-2022 Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.16 3 5 50 96 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.12 3 4 48 96 13.1302 Art Teacher Education 13.1303 Business Teacher Education 13.1305 English/Language Arts Teacher Education ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 39 PERCENT OF WORKFORCE WITH GIVEN EDUCATION LEVEL CIP PROGRAM 13.1307 Health Teacher Education 13.1311 13.1312 13.1314 13.1316 Mathematics Teacher Education Music Teacher Education Physical Education Teaching and Coaching Science Teacher Education/ General Science Teacher Education 13.1322 Biology Teacher Education 13.1323 Chemistry Teacher Education PROGRAM BASED WEIGHT PSV AWARD OR SOME COLLEGE ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE BACHELOR’S DEGREE MASTER’S DEGREE SOC OCCUPATION 25-2022 Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.10 3 5 50 96 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.07 3 4 48 96 25-2022 Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.18 3 5 50 96 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.14 3 4 48 96 25-2022 Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.09 3 5 50 96 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.07 3 4 48 96 25-2022 Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.11 3 5 50 96 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.08 3 4 48 96 27-2022 Coaches and Scouts 0.13 32 40 83 98 27-2023 Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials 0.29 32 40 83 98 39-9031 Fitness Trainers and Aerobics Instructors 0.13 45 55 90 99 25-2022 Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.02 3 5 50 96 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.01 3 4 48 96 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.05 3 4 48 96 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.01 3 4 48 96 40 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY PERCENT OF WORKFORCE WITH GIVEN EDUCATION LEVEL CIP PROGRAM 13.1324 Drama and Dance Teacher Education 13.1328 History Teacher Education PROGRAM BASED WEIGHT PSV AWARD OR SOME COLLEGE ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE BACHELOR’S DEGREE MASTER’S DEGREE SOC OCCUPATION 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.05 3 4 48 96 25-2022 Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.19 3 5 50 96 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.14 3 4 48 96 13.133 Spanish Language Teacher Education 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.05 3 4 48 96 14.0901 Computer Engineering, General 11-9041 Architectural and Engineering Managers 0.03 11 16 63 95 15-1122 Information Security Analysts 0.04 29 43 77 98 15-1132 Software Developers, Applications 0.06 11 16 67 96 15-1133 Software Developers, Systems Software 0.06 11 16 67 96 15-1134 Web Developers 0.04 23 31 84 99 15-1143 Computer Network Architects 0.04 27 41 85 98 17-2061 Computer Hardware Engineers 1.00 18 28 73 97 11-9041 Architectural and Engineering Managers 0.01 11 16 63 95 15-1132 Software Developers, Applications 0.03 11 16 67 96 15-1133 Software Developers, Systems Software 0.03 11 16 67 96 11-9041 Architectural and Engineering Managers 0.01 11 16 63 95 17-2199 Engineers, All Other 0.08 11 18 67 93 25-1099 Postsecondary Teachers 0.01 3 5 21 57 51-2023 Electromechanical Equipment Assemblers 1.00 88 95 99 100 51-8031 Water and Wastewater Treatment Plant and System Operators 1.00 79 91 99 100 14.0903 14.4201 Computer Software Engineering Mechatronics, Robotics, and Automation Engineering 15.0405 Robotics Technology/Technician 15.0506 Water Quality and Wastewater Treatment Management and Recycling Technology/ Technician ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 41 PERCENT OF WORKFORCE WITH GIVEN EDUCATION LEVEL PROGRAM BASED WEIGHT PSV AWARD OR SOME COLLEGE ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE BACHELOR’S DEGREE MASTER’S DEGREE CIP PROGRAM SOC OCCUPATION 15.0599 Environmental Control Technologies/Technicians, Other 17-3029 Engineering Technicians, Except Drafters, All Other 0.00 60 83 97 99 15.1102 Surveying Technology/Surveying 17-1021 Cartographers and Photogrammetrists 0.13 12 19 85 97 17-1022 Surveyors 1.00 12 19 85 97 17-3031 Surveying and Mapping Technicians 0.13 68 89 99 100 17-3011 Architectural and Civil Drafters 1.00 41 73 96 100 17-3019 Drafters, All Other 1.00 41 73 96 100 15.1301 Drafting and Design Technology/Technician, General 16.0905 Spanish Language and Literature 27-3091 Interpreters and Translators 0.20 37 50 81 96 16.1601 American Sign Language (ASL) 27-3091 Interpreters and Translators 0.05 37 50 81 96 22.0302 Legal Assistant/ Paralegal 23-2011 Paralegals and Legal Assistants 1.00 38 58 92 97 23-2093 Title Examiners, Abstractors, and Searchers 1.00 46 59 88 96 23-2099 Legal Support Workers, All Other 1.00 46 59 88 96 23.0101 English Language and Literature, General 25-1099 Postsecondary Teachers 0.61 3 5 21 57 26.0101 Biology/Biological Sciences, General 11-9121 Natural Sciences Managers 0.20 7 11 44 69 19-1029 Biological Scientists, All Other 0.38 1 4 50 78 19-1099 Life Scientists, All Other 0.66 1 2 8 38 11-9121 Natural Sciences Managers 0.00 7 11 44 69 19-1029 Biological Scientists, All Other 0.01 1 4 50 78 11-9121 Natural Sciences Managers 0.07 7 11 44 69 19-1029 Biological Scientists, All Other 0.14 1 4 50 78 11-9121 Natural Sciences Managers 0.13 7 11 44 69 15-2021 Mathematicians 1.00 8 11 45 80 15-2041 Statisticians 0.70 8 11 45 80 15-2099 Mathematical Science Occupations, All Other 1.00 8 11 45 80 26.0301 26.1201 27.0101 Botany/Plant Biology Biotechnology Mathematics, General 42 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY PERCENT OF WORKFORCE WITH GIVEN EDUCATION LEVEL PROGRAM BASED WEIGHT PSV AWARD OR SOME COLLEGE ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE BACHELOR’S DEGREE MASTER’S DEGREE CIP PROGRAM SOC OCCUPATION 31.0501 Health and Physical Education/Fitness, General 27-2021 Athletes and Sports Competitors 1.00 32 40 83 98 27-2022 Coaches and Scouts 0.87 32 40 83 98 39-9031 Fitness Trainers and Aerobics Instructors 0.87 45 55 90 99 38.0101 Philosophy 25-1099 Postsecondary Teachers 0.08 3 5 21 57 40.0101 Physical Sciences 11-9121 Natural Sciences Managers 0.00 7 11 44 69 40.0501 Chemistry, General 11-9121 Natural Sciences Managers 0.06 7 11 44 69 19-2031 Chemists 1.00 4 7 61 80 11-9121 Natural Sciences Managers 0.04 7 11 44 69 19-2042 Geoscientists, Except Hydrologists and Geographers 0.82 3 6 53 88 19-2043 Hydrologists 0.97 3 6 53 88 11-9121 Natural Sciences Managers 0.01 7 11 44 69 19-2042 Geoscientists, Except Hydrologists and Geographers 0.18 3 6 53 88 11-9121 Natural Sciences Managers 0.06 7 11 44 69 19-2012 Physicists 0.77 6 7 21 49 19-3031 Clinical, Counseling, and School Psychologists 0.97 1 1 8 48 19-3032 Industrial-Organizational Psychologists 1.00 1 1 8 48 19-3039 Psychologists, All Other 0.97 1 1 8 48 43.0103 Criminal Justice/Law Enforcement Administration 33-1012 First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives 1.00 44 59 89 99 43.0106 Forensic Science and Technology 19-4092 Forensic Science Technicians 1.00 42 54 85 95 33-9031 Gaming Surveillance Officers and Gaming Investigators 1.00 74 84 97 100 43.0202 Fire Services Administration 33-1021 First-Line Supervisors of Fire Fighting and Prevention Workers 1.00 53 77 95 99 43.0203 Fire Science/ Fire-fighting 33-2011 Firefighters 1.00 59 79 98 100 40.0601 40.0699 40.0801 42.0101 Geology/Earth Science, General Geological and Earth Sciences/ Geosciences, Other Physics, General Psychology, General ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 43 PERCENT OF WORKFORCE WITH GIVEN EDUCATION LEVEL CIP 44.0701 PROGRAM Social Work PROGRAM BASED WEIGHT PSV AWARD OR SOME COLLEGE ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE BACHELOR’S DEGREE MASTER’S DEGREE SOC OCCUPATION 33-2021 Fire Inspectors and Investigators 1.00 53 71 94 99 33-2022 Forest Fire Inspectors and Prevention Specialists 1.00 53 71 94 99 21-1013 Marriage and Family Therapists 0.81 16 21 48 95 21-1019 Counselors, All Other 1.00 16 21 48 95 21-1021 Child, Family, and School Social Workers 1.00 16 22 64 98 21-1029 Social Workers, All Other 1.00 16 22 64 98 21-1092 Probation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists 1.00 19 25 83 98 19-3011 Economists 0.86 1 1 23 65 45.0601 Economics, General 19-3022 Survey Researchers 0.86 6 10 48 86 45.1001 Political Science and Government, General 19-3094 Political Scientists 0.74 6 10 48 86 46 Construction Trades, General 11-9021 Construction Managers 0.02 59 66 94 99 47-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers 0.20 82 89 99 100 47-2011 Boilermakers 1.00 87 97 99 99 47-2021 Brickmasons and Blockmasons 1.00 93 96 100 100 47-2022 Stonemasons 1.00 93 96 100 100 47-2031 Carpenters 1.00 87 93 99 100 47-2041 Carpet Installers 0.80 92 95 99 100 47-2042 Floor Layers, Except Carpet, Wood, and Hard Tiles 0.80 92 95 99 100 47-2043 Floor Sanders and Finishers 0.80 92 95 99 100 47-2044 Tile and Marble Setters 1.00 92 95 99 100 47-2051 Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers 1.00 96 97 99 100 47-2053 Terrazzo Workers and Finishers 1.00 96 97 99 100 47-2071 Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators 1.00 97 99 100 100 47-2072 Pile-Driver Operators 1.00 93 97 100 100 44 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY PERCENT OF WORKFORCE WITH GIVEN EDUCATION LEVEL CIP 46.0303 PROGRAM Lineworker PROGRAM BASED WEIGHT PSV AWARD OR SOME COLLEGE ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE BACHELOR’S DEGREE MASTER’S DEGREE SOC OCCUPATION 47-2073 Operating Engineers and Other Construction Equipment Operators 1.00 93 97 100 100 47-2081 Drywall and Ceiling Tile Installers 1.00 96 98 100 100 47-2082 Tapers 0.80 96 98 100 100 47-2111 Electricians 0.44 79 93 99 100 47-2121 Glaziers 1.00 91 95 100 100 47-2131 Insulation Workers, Floor, Ceiling, and Wall 0.80 94 97 99 100 47-2132 Insulation Workers, Mechanical 0.80 94 97 99 100 47-2141 Painters, Construction and Maintenance 1.00 89 93 99 100 47-2142 Paperhangers 1.00 86 93 99 100 47-2151 Pipelayers 0.75 89 96 99 100 47-2152 Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters 0.75 89 96 99 100 47-2161 Plasterers and Stucco Masons 0.80 94 98 100 100 47-2171 Reinforcing Iron and Rebar Workers 0.80 92 96 98 100 47-2181 Roofers 1.00 95 97 100 100 47-2211 Sheet Metal Workers 1.00 90 97 100 100 47-2221 Structural Iron and Steel Workers 0.80 91 96 100 100 47-3011 Helpers--Brickmasons, Blockmasons, Stonemasons, and Tile and Marble Setters 1.00 94 97 100 100 47-3012 Helpers--Carpenters 1.00 94 97 100 100 47-3013 Helpers--Electricians 0.44 94 97 100 100 47-3014 Helpers--Painters, Paperhangers, Plasterers, and Stucco Masons 1.00 94 97 100 100 47-3015 Helpers--Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters 0.75 94 97 100 100 47-3016 Helpers--Roofers 1.00 94 97 100 100 47-3019 Helpers, Construction Trades, All Other 1.00 94 97 100 100 47-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers 0.00 82 89 99 100 ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 45 PERCENT OF WORKFORCE WITH GIVEN EDUCATION LEVEL CIP 46.0401 46.0403 46.0412 46.9999 PROGRAM Building/Property Maintenance Building/Home/ Construction Inspection/ Inspector Building/Construction Site Management/ Manager Construction Trades, Other PROGRAM BASED WEIGHT PSV AWARD OR SOME COLLEGE ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE BACHELOR’S DEGREE MASTER’S DEGREE SOC OCCUPATION 49-9051 Electrical PowerLine Installers and Repairers 1.00 83 94 99 100 37-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Housekeeping and Janitorial Workers 0.01 83 89 98 100 47-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers 0.04 82 89 99 100 49-9071 Maintenance and Repair Workers, General 1.00 83 94 99 100 47-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers 0.03 82 89 99 100 47-4011 Construction and Building Inspectors 1.00 61 73 95 99 47-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers 0.35 82 89 99 100 49-9095 Manufactured Building and Mobile Home Installers 1.00 94 96 100 100 47-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers 0.05 82 89 99 100 47-2041 Carpet Installers 0.20 92 95 99 100 47-2042 Floor Layers, Except Carpet, Wood, and Hard Tiles 0.20 92 95 99 100 47-2043 Floor Sanders and Finishers 0.20 92 95 99 100 47-2061 Construction Laborers 1.00 91 95 99 100 47-2082 Tapers 0.20 96 98 100 100 47-2131 Insulation Workers, Floor, Ceiling, and Wall 0.20 94 97 99 100 47-2132 Insulation Workers, Mechanical 0.20 94 97 99 100 47-2161 Plasterers and Stucco Masons 0.20 94 98 100 100 47-2171 Reinforcing Iron and Rebar Workers 0.20 92 96 98 100 47-2221 Structural Iron and Steel Workers 0.20 91 96 100 100 47-4031 Fence Erectors 1.00 91 95 99 100 46 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY PERCENT OF WORKFORCE WITH GIVEN EDUCATION LEVEL CIP 47.0603 47.0604 PROGRAM Autobody/Collision and Repair Technology/ Technician Automobile/ Automotive Mechanics Technology/ Technician PROGRAM BASED WEIGHT PSV AWARD OR SOME COLLEGE ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE BACHELOR’S DEGREE MASTER’S DEGREE SOC OCCUPATION 47-4041 Hazardous Materials Removal Workers 1.00 81 87 97 99 47-4099 Construction and Related Workers, All Other 1.00 87 91 99 100 49-3021 Automotive Body and Related Repairers 1.00 91 97 100 100 49-3022 Automotive Glass Installers and Repairers 1.00 89 96 100 100 51-9122 Painters, Transportation Equipment 1.00 93 97 100 100 49-2093 Electrical and Electronics Installers and Repairers, Transportation Equipment 1.00 64 89 99 100 49-2096 Electronic Equipment Installers and Repairers, Motor Vehicles 1.00 76 95 100 100 49-3023 Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics 1.00 85 96 99 100 47.0605 Diesel Mechanics Technology/ Technician 49-3031 Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists 1.00 87 97 100 100 48.0703 Cabinetmaking and Millwork 51-7011 Cabinetmakers and Bench Carpenters 1.00 86 91 98 100 51-7031 Model Makers, Wood 1.00 79 85 97 100 51-7032 Patternmakers, Wood 1.00 79 85 97 100 51-7041 Sawing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Wood 1.00 94 97 99 100 51-7042 Woodworking Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Except Sawing 1.00 93 97 100 100 53-2011 Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers 1.00 19 28 87 98 53-2012 Commercial Pilots 1.00 19 28 87 98 27-2031 Dancers 0.95 66 76 96 100 27-2032 Choreographers 0.95 66 76 96 100 27-2031 Dancers 0.05 66 76 96 100 27-2032 Choreographers 0.05 66 76 96 100 49.0102 Airline/Commercial/Professional Pilot and Flight Crew 50.0301 Dance, General 50.0399 Dance, Other ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 47 PERCENT OF WORKFORCE WITH GIVEN EDUCATION LEVEL PROGRAM BASED WEIGHT PSV AWARD OR SOME COLLEGE ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE BACHELOR’S DEGREE MASTER’S DEGREE CIP PROGRAM SOC OCCUPATION 50.0401 Design and Visual Communications, General 27-1021 Commercial and Industrial Designers 0.91 31 44 91 99 27-1024 Graphic Designers 0.44 31 44 91 99 27-1027 Set and Exhibit Designers 0.91 31 44 91 99 27-1029 Designers, All Other 0.83 31 44 91 99 27-2011 Actors 0.85 38 43 89 99 27-2012 Producers and Directors 0.44 20 26 84 98 27-2099 Entertainers and Performers, Sports and Related Workers, All Other 1.00 53 60 91 99 50.0501 Drama and Dramatics/Theatre Arts, General 50.0901 Music, General 27-2042 Musicians and Singers 0.26 40 46 77 96 50.0903 Music Performance, General 27-2041 Music Directors and Composers 0.43 40 46 77 96 27-2042 Musicians and Singers 0.21 40 46 77 96 51.0602 Dental Hygiene/ Hygienist 29-2021 Dental Hygienists 1.00 9 64 97 98 51.0904 Emergency Medical Technology/Technician (EMT Paramedic) 29-2041 Emergency Medical Technicians and Paramedics 0.05 65 85 98 100 53-3011 Ambulance Drivers and Attendants, Except Emergency Medical Technicians 1.00 81 89 97 100 11-9111 Medical and Health Services Managers 0.69 27 40 70 93 21-1094 Community Health Workers 0.72 39 47 79 97 21-1099 Community and Social Service Specialists, All Other 0.72 39 47 79 97 51.2208 Community Health and Preventive Medicine 51.3801 Registered Nursing/Registered Nurse 29-1141 Registered Nurses 0.92 6 45 91 98 52.0101 Business/Commerce, General 11-1011 Chief Executives 0.06 27 33 73 93 11-1021 General and Operations Managers 0.06 42 51 85 97 11-2022 Sales Managers 0.06 27 33 82 99 11-3011 Administrative Services Managers 0.06 48 59 87 98 48 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY PERCENT OF WORKFORCE WITH GIVEN EDUCATION LEVEL CIP 52.0201 52.0205 PROGRAM Business Administration and Management, General Operations Management and Supervision PROGRAM BASED WEIGHT PSV AWARD OR SOME COLLEGE ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE BACHELOR’S DEGREE MASTER’S DEGREE SOC OCCUPATION 11-3051 Industrial Production Managers 0.07 47 56 87 99 11-3071 Transportation, Storage, and Distribution Managers 0.06 63 71 94 99 11-9021 Construction Managers 0.06 59 66 94 99 11-9151 Social and Community Service Managers 0.06 25 31 67 95 11-9199 Managers, All Other 0.06 38 46 80 97 13-1051 Cost Estimators 0.05 55 67 95 100 13-1111 Management Analysts 0.07 18 23 65 93 11-1011 Chief Executives 0.75 27 33 73 93 11-1021 General and Operations Managers 0.76 42 51 85 97 11-2022 Sales Managers 0.81 27 33 82 99 11-3011 Administrative Services Managers 0.80 48 59 87 98 11-3051 Industrial Production Managers 0.85 47 56 87 99 11-3071 Transportation, Storage, and Distribution Managers 0.76 63 71 94 99 11-9021 Construction Managers 0.77 59 66 94 99 11-9151 Social and Community Service Managers 0.76 25 31 67 95 11-9199 Managers, All Other 0.76 38 46 80 97 13-1051 Cost Estimators 0.68 55 67 95 100 13-1111 Management Analysts 0.93 18 23 65 93 37-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Housekeeping and Janitorial Workers 0.99 83 89 98 100 39-1011 Gaming Supervisors 0.91 58 68 94 100 39-1021 First-Line Supervisors of Personal Service Workers 0.91 64 74 95 99 11-3021 Computer and Information Systems Managers 0.20 19 27 73 98 11-3051 Industrial Production Managers 0.09 47 56 87 99 11-9021 Construction Managers 0.08 59 66 94 99 ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 49 PERCENT OF WORKFORCE WITH GIVEN EDUCATION LEVEL CIP 52.0301 52.0401 PROGRAM Accounting Administrative Assistant and Secretarial Science, General PROGRAM BASED WEIGHT PSV AWARD OR SOME COLLEGE ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE BACHELOR’S DEGREE MASTER’S DEGREE SOC OCCUPATION 13-1081 Logisticians 0.63 44 58 89 99 39-1011 Gaming Supervisors 0.09 58 68 94 100 39-1021 First-Line Supervisors of Personal Service Workers 0.09 64 74 95 99 49-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers 1.00 74 86 97 100 51-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers 1.00 76 84 97 100 51-8012 Power Distributors and Dispatchers 1.00 68 84 99 100 51-8013 Power Plant Operators 1.00 68 84 99 100 51-8021 Stationary Engineers and Boiler Operators 0.26 77 88 97 100 51-8092 Gas Plant Operators 1.00 80 91 99 100 51-8093 Petroleum Pump System Operators, Refinery Operators, and Gaugers 1.00 80 91 99 100 51-8099 Plant and System Operators, All Other 1.00 80 91 99 100 53-1011 Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors 1.00 74 83 98 100 53-1021 First-Line Supervisors of Helpers, Laborers, and Material Movers, Hand 1.00 74 83 98 100 53-1031 First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators 1.00 74 83 98 100 13-2011 Accountants and Auditors 1.00 12 22 79 97 13-2031 Budget Analysts 0.67 23 32 73 98 13-2041 Credit Analysts 0.67 29 37 81 98 13-2061 Financial Examiners 1.00 17 20 73 96 13-2081 Tax Examiners and Collectors, and Revenue Agents 1.00 42 52 89 99 43-6011 Executive Secretaries and Executive Administrative Assistants 0.61 67 81 97 100 50 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY PERCENT OF WORKFORCE WITH GIVEN EDUCATION LEVEL CIP PSV AWARD OR SOME COLLEGE ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE BACHELOR’S DEGREE MASTER’S DEGREE SOC OCCUPATION 43-6014 Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive 1.00 67 81 97 100 52.0407 Business/Office Automation/ Technology/ Data Entry 43-9021 Data Entry Keyers 1.00 68 81 97 100 52.0801 Finance, General 11-3031 Financial Managers 1.00 32 39 79 98 13-2031 Budget Analysts 0.33 23 32 73 98 13-2041 Credit Analysts 0.33 29 37 81 98 13-2051 Financial Analysts 1.00 11 14 60 94 13-2052 Personal Financial Advisors 0.96 14 19 73 95 13-2072 Loan Officers 1.00 40 49 90 99 13-2099 Financial Specialists, All Other 1.00 33 41 79 97 13-2052 Personal Financial Advisors 0.04 14 19 73 95 41-3031 Securities, Commodities, and Financial Services Sales Agents 1.00 24 30 81 97 11-9051 Food Service Managers 1.00 66 75 96 100 11-9081 Lodging Managers 1.00 50 59 90 98 11-2011 Advertising and Promotions Managers 0.36 21 26 87 100 11-2021 Marketing Managers 1.00 27 33 82 99 11-2022 Sales Managers 0.13 27 33 82 99 13-1161 Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists 1.00 18 23 74 97 19-3093 Historians 0.95 6 10 48 86 52.0804 PROGRAM PROGRAM BASED WEIGHT Financial Planning and Services 52.0901 Hospitality Administration/ Management, General 52.1401 Marketing/Marketing Management, General 54.0101 History, General ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 51 TABLE A2.2: STATEWIDE PROGRAM TO OCCUPATION MAPPING WITH EMPLOYMENT ADJUSTMENT FACTORS PERCENT OF WORKFORCE WITH GIVEN EDUCATION LEVEL CIP PROGRAM 3.0104 Environmental Science 9.0101 11.0101 11.0201 Speech Communication and Rhetoric Computer and Information Sciences, General Computer Programming/ Programmer, General PROGRAM BASED WEIGHT PSV AWARD OR SOME COLLEGE ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE BACHELOR’S DEGREE MASTER’S DEGREE SOC OCCUPATION 19-2041 Environmental Scientists and Specialists, Including Health 0.07 3 6 53 88 19-4091 Environmental Science and Protection Technicians, Including Health 0.07 42 54 85 95 27-3012 Public Address System and Other Announcers 1.00 54 61 94 99 27-3031 Public Relations Specialists 0.79 16 20 75 95 27-3043 Writers and Authors 0.47 12 15 66 93 11-3021 Computer and Information Systems Managers 0.17 19 27 73 98 15-1111 Computer and Information Research Scientists 0.22 6 9 51 81 15-1121 Computer Systems Analysts 0.36 20 28 76 98 15-1122 Information Security Analysts 0.13 29 43 77 98 15-1134 Web Developers 0.13 23 31 84 99 15-1141 Database Administrators 0.49 22 32 79 97 15-1142 Network and Computer Systems Administrators 0.43 34 49 88 99 15-1143 Computer Network Architects 0.13 27 41 85 98 15-1199 Computer Occupations, All Other 0.28 34 49 86 99 15-1122 Information Security Analysts 0.03 29 43 77 98 15-1131 Computer Programmers 0.06 19 28 78 97 15-1132 Software Developers, Applications 0.05 11 16 67 96 15-1133 Software Developers, Systems Software 0.05 11 16 67 96 15-1134 Web Developers 0.03 23 31 84 99 15-1143 Computer Network Architects 0.03 27 41 85 98 15-1151 Computer User Support Specialists 0.05 40 57 91 99 52 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY PERCENT OF WORKFORCE WITH GIVEN EDUCATION LEVEL CIP 11.0301 11.0401 11.0701 PROGRAM Data Processing and Data Processing Technology/Technician Information Science/Studies Computer Science PROGRAM BASED WEIGHT PSV AWARD OR SOME COLLEGE ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE BACHELOR’S DEGREE MASTER’S DEGREE SOC OCCUPATION 15-1152 Computer Network Support Specialists 0.05 40 57 91 99 51-4012 Computer Numerically Controlled Machine Tool Programmers, Metal and Plastic 0.81 82 93 98 100 15-1199 Computer Occupations, All Other 0.01 34 49 86 99 43-9011 Computer Operators 1.00 58 73 96 99 51-4012 Computer Numerically Controlled Machine Tool Programmers, Metal and Plastic 0.14 82 93 98 100 11-3021 Computer and Information Systems Managers 0.07 19 27 73 98 15-1111 Computer and Information Research Scientists 0.09 6 9 51 81 15-1133 Software Developers, Systems Software 0.10 11 16 67 96 15-1199 Computer Occupations, All Other 0.11 34 49 86 99 11-3021 Computer and Information Systems Managers 0.34 19 27 73 98 15-1111 Computer and Information Research Scientists 0.44 6 9 51 81 15-1122 Information Security Analysts 0.27 29 43 77 98 15-1131 Computer Programmers 0.57 19 28 78 97 15-1132 Software Developers, Applications 0.52 11 16 67 96 15-1133 Software Developers, Systems Software 0.49 11 16 67 96 15-1134 Web Developers 0.27 23 31 84 99 15-1143 Computer Network Architects 0.27 27 41 85 98 15-1151 Computer User Support Specialists 0.45 40 57 91 99 15-1152 Computer Network Support Specialists 0.45 40 57 91 99 15-1199 Computer Occupations, All Other 0.55 34 49 86 99 ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 53 PERCENT OF WORKFORCE WITH GIVEN EDUCATION LEVEL PROGRAM BASED WEIGHT PSV AWARD OR SOME COLLEGE ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE BACHELOR’S DEGREE MASTER’S DEGREE CIP PROGRAM SOC OCCUPATION 11.0801 Web Page, Digital/Multimedia and Information Resources Design 15-1122 Information Security Analysts 0.11 29 43 77 98 15-1134 Web Developers 0.11 23 31 84 99 15-1143 Computer Network Architects 0.11 27 41 85 98 27-1014 Multimedia Artists and Animators 0.40 34 43 87 98 27-1024 Graphic Designers 0.30 31 44 91 99 15-1121 Computer Systems Analysts 0.29 20 28 76 98 15-1122 Information Security Analysts 0.11 29 43 77 98 15-1134 Web Developers 0.11 23 31 84 99 15-1143 Computer Network Architects 0.11 27 41 85 98 15-1151 Computer User Support Specialists 0.18 40 57 91 99 15-1152 Computer Network Support Specialists 0.18 40 57 91 99 35-1011 Chefs and Head Cooks 1.00 70 86 98 100 35-2013 Cooks, Private Household 0.50 90 95 99 100 35-2014 Cooks, Restaurant 1.00 90 95 99 100 11.0901 12.0503 Computer Systems Networking and Telecommunications Culinary Arts/ Chef Training 35-2019 Cooks, All Other 1.00 90 95 99 100 13.0301 Curriculum and Instruction 25-9031 Instructional Coordinators 0.47 17 21 51 89 13.1003 Education/ Teaching of Individuals with Hearing Impairments Including Deafness 25-2051 Special Education Teachers, Preschool 0.01 10 13 50 97 25-2052 Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School 0.01 10 13 50 97 25-2053 Special Education Teachers, Middle School 0.01 10 13 50 97 25-2054 Special Education Teachers, Secondary School 0.01 10 13 50 97 25-2059 Special Education Teachers, All Other 0.01 10 13 50 97 54 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY PERCENT OF WORKFORCE WITH GIVEN EDUCATION LEVEL CIP PROGRAM PROGRAM BASED WEIGHT PSV AWARD OR SOME COLLEGE ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE BACHELOR’S DEGREE MASTER’S DEGREE SOC OCCUPATION 27-3091 Interpreters and Translators 0.01 37 50 81 96 25-2021 Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education 0.58 3 5 50 96 0.02 3 4 48 96 13.1202 Elementary Education and Teaching 13.1205 Secondary Education and Teaching 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 13.121 Early Childhood Education and Teaching 25-2011 Preschool Teachers, Except Special Education 0.17 39 53 87 99 25-2012 Kindergarten Teachers, Except Special Education 0.18 39 53 87 99 25-2022 Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.01 3 5 50 96 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.00 3 4 48 96 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.01 3 4 48 96 25-2022 Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.04 3 5 50 96 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.03 3 4 48 96 25-2022 Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.02 3 5 50 96 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.02 3 4 48 96 25-2022 Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.19 3 5 50 96 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.16 3 4 48 96 25-2022 Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.02 3 5 50 96 13.1302 Art Teacher Education 13.1303 Business Teacher Education 13.1305 English/Language Arts Teacher Education 13.1307 13.1311 13.1312 Health Teacher Education Mathematics Teacher Education Music Teacher Education ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 55 PERCENT OF WORKFORCE WITH GIVEN EDUCATION LEVEL CIP PSV AWARD OR SOME COLLEGE ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE BACHELOR’S DEGREE MASTER’S DEGREE SOC OCCUPATION 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.02 3 4 48 96 25-2022 Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.12 3 5 50 96 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.10 3 4 48 96 27-2022 Coaches and Scouts 0.52 32 40 83 98 27-2023 Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials 0.57 32 40 83 98 39-9031 Fitness Trainers and Aerobics Instructors 0.51 45 55 90 99 25-2022 Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.04 3 5 50 96 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.04 3 4 48 96 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.05 3 4 48 96 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.01 3 4 48 96 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.01 3 4 48 96 25-2022 Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.04 3 5 50 96 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.03 3 4 48 96 13.133 Spanish Language Teacher Education 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 0.01 3 4 48 96 14.0901 Computer Engineering, General 11-9041 Architectural and Engineering Managers 0.03 11 16 63 95 13.1314 13.1316 PROGRAM PROGRAM BASED WEIGHT Physical Education Teaching and Coaching Science Teacher Education/ General Science Teacher Education 13.1322 Biology Teacher Education 13.1323 Chemistry Teacher Education 13.1324 Drama and Dance Teacher Education 13.1328 History Teacher Education 56 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY PERCENT OF WORKFORCE WITH GIVEN EDUCATION LEVEL CIP 14.0903 14.4201 PROGRAM Computer Software Engineering Mechatronics, Robotics, and Automation Engineering PROGRAM BASED WEIGHT PSV AWARD OR SOME COLLEGE ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE BACHELOR’S DEGREE MASTER’S DEGREE SOC OCCUPATION 15-1122 Information Security Analysts 0.03 29 43 77 98 15-1132 Software Developers, Applications 0.05 11 16 67 96 15-1133 Software Developers, Systems Software 0.05 11 16 67 96 15-1134 Web Developers 0.03 23 31 84 99 15-1143 Computer Network Architects 0.03 27 41 85 98 17-2061 Computer Hardware Engineers 1.00 18 28 73 97 11-9041 Architectural and Engineering Managers 0.00 11 16 63 95 15-1132 Software Developers, Applications 0.01 11 16 67 96 15-1133 Software Developers, Systems Software 0.01 11 16 67 96 11-9041 Architectural and Engineering Managers 0.00 11 16 63 95 17-2199 Engineers, All Other 0.04 11 18 67 93 25-1099 Postsecondary Teachers 0.00 3 5 21 57 51-2023 Electromechanical Equipment Assemblers 1.00 88 95 99 100 1.00 79 91 99 100 15.0405 Robotics Technology/Technician 15.0506 Water Quality and Wastewater Treatment Management and Recycling Technology/ Technician 51-8031 Water and Wastewater Treatment Plant and System Operators 15.0599 Environmental Control Technologies/Technicians, Other 17-3029 Engineering Technicians, Except Drafters, All Other 0.00 60 83 97 99 15.1102 Surveying Technology/Surveying 17-1021 Cartographers and Photogrammetrists 0.30 12 19 85 97 17-1022 Surveyors 1.00 12 19 85 97 17-3031 Surveying and Mapping Technicians 0.21 68 89 99 100 17-3011 Architectural and Civil Drafters 0.33 41 73 96 100 17-3019 Drafters, All Other 1.00 41 73 96 100 27-3091 Interpreters and Translators 0.28 37 50 81 96 15.1301 16.0905 Drafting and Design Technology/Technician, General Spanish Language and Literature ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 57 PERCENT OF WORKFORCE WITH GIVEN EDUCATION LEVEL PROGRAM BASED WEIGHT PSV AWARD OR SOME COLLEGE ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE BACHELOR’S DEGREE MASTER’S DEGREE CIP PROGRAM SOC OCCUPATION 16.1601 American Sign Language (ASL) 27-3091 Interpreters and Translators 0.04 37 50 81 96 22.0302 Legal Assistant/ Paralegal 23-2011 Paralegals and Legal Assistants 1.00 38 58 92 97 23-2093 Title Examiners, Abstractors, and Searchers 1.00 46 59 88 96 23-2099 Legal Support Workers, All Other 1.00 46 59 88 96 23.0101 English Language and Literature, General 25-1099 Postsecondary Teachers 0.35 3 5 21 57 26.0101 Biology/Biological Sciences, General 11-9121 Natural Sciences Managers 0.29 7 11 44 69 19-1029 Biological Scientists, All Other 0.61 1 4 50 78 19-1099 Life Scientists, All Other 0.82 1 2 8 38 11-9121 Natural Sciences Managers 0.00 7 11 44 69 19-1029 Biological Scientists, All Other 0.01 1 4 50 78 11-9121 Natural Sciences Managers 0.04 7 11 44 69 19-1029 Biological Scientists, All Other 0.08 1 4 50 78 11-9121 Natural Sciences Managers 0.13 7 11 44 69 15-2021 Mathematicians 0.95 8 11 45 80 15-2041 Statisticians 0.78 8 11 45 80 15-2099 Mathematical Science Occupations, All Other 0.96 8 11 45 80 27-2021 Athletes and Sports Competitors 1.00 32 40 83 98 27-2022 Coaches and Scouts 0.48 32 40 83 98 39-9031 Fitness Trainers and Aerobics Instructors 0.47 45 55 90 99 26.0301 26.1201 27.0101 31.0501 Botany/Plant Biology Biotechnology Mathematics, General Health and Physical Education/Fitness, General 38.0101 Philosophy 25-1099 Postsecondary Teachers 0.04 3 5 21 57 40.0101 Physical Sciences 11-9121 Natural Sciences Managers 0.00 7 11 44 69 40.0501 Chemistry, General 11-9121 Natural Sciences Managers 0.12 7 11 44 69 19-2031 Chemists 1.00 4 7 61 80 40.0601 Geology/Earth Science, General 11-9121 Natural Sciences Managers 0.05 7 11 44 69 58 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY PERCENT OF WORKFORCE WITH GIVEN EDUCATION LEVEL CIP PSV AWARD OR SOME COLLEGE ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE BACHELOR’S DEGREE MASTER’S DEGREE SOC OCCUPATION 19-2042 Geoscientists, Except Hydrologists and Geographers 0.80 3 6 53 88 19-2043 Hydrologists 0.94 3 6 53 88 11-9121 Natural Sciences Managers 0.01 7 11 44 69 19-2042 Geoscientists, Except Hydrologists and Geographers 0.16 3 6 53 88 11-9121 Natural Sciences Managers 0.08 7 11 44 69 19-2012 Physicists 0.91 6 7 21 49 19-3031 Clinical, Counseling, and School Psychologists 0.98 1 1 8 48 19-3032 Industrial-Organizational Psychologists 1.00 1 1 8 48 19-3039 Psychologists, All Other 0.92 1 1 8 48 43.0103 Criminal Justice/Law Enforcement Administration 33-1012 First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives 0.59 44 59 89 99 43.0106 Forensic Science and Technology 19-4092 Forensic Science Technicians 1.00 42 54 85 95 33-9031 Gaming Surveillance Officers and Gaming Investigators 0.09 74 84 97 100 40.0699 40.0801 42.0101 PROGRAM PROGRAM BASED WEIGHT Geological and Earth Sciences/ Geosciences, Other Physics, General Psychology, General 43.0202 Fire Services Administration 33-1021 First-Line Supervisors of Fire Fighting and Prevention Workers 1.00 53 77 95 99 43.0203 Fire Science/ Fire-fighting 33-2011 Firefighters 1.00 59 79 98 100 33-2021 Fire Inspectors and Investigators 1.00 53 71 94 99 33-2022 Forest Fire Inspectors and Prevention Specialists 1.00 53 71 94 99 21-1013 Marriage and Family Therapists 0.90 16 21 48 95 21-1019 Counselors, All Other 0.96 16 21 48 95 21-1021 Child, Family, and School Social Workers 0.98 16 22 64 98 21-1029 Social Workers, All Other 0.98 16 22 64 98 44.0701 Social Work ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 59 PERCENT OF WORKFORCE WITH GIVEN EDUCATION LEVEL CIP 45.0601 PROGRAM Economics, General PROGRAM BASED WEIGHT PSV AWARD OR SOME COLLEGE ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE BACHELOR’S DEGREE MASTER’S DEGREE SOC OCCUPATION 21-1092 Probation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists 0.98 19 25 83 98 19-3011 Economists 0.91 1 1 23 65 19-3022 Survey Researchers 0.95 6 10 48 86 45.1001 Political Science and Government, General 19-3094 Political Scientists 0.68 6 10 48 86 46 Construction Trades, General 11-9021 Construction Managers 0.00 59 66 94 99 47-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers 0.04 82 89 99 100 47-2011 Boilermakers 1.00 87 97 99 99 47-2021 Brickmasons and Blockmasons 1.00 93 96 100 100 47-2022 Stonemasons 1.00 93 96 100 100 47-2031 Carpenters 0.29 87 93 99 100 47-2041 Carpet Installers 0.35 92 95 99 100 47-2042 Floor Layers, Except Carpet, Wood, and Hard Tiles 0.35 92 95 99 100 47-2043 Floor Sanders and Finishers 0.35 92 95 99 100 47-2044 Tile and Marble Setters 1.00 92 95 99 100 47-2051 Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers 1.00 96 97 99 100 47-2053 Terrazzo Workers and Finishers 0.21 96 97 99 100 47-2071 Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators 0.26 97 99 100 100 47-2072 Pile-Driver Operators 0.26 93 97 100 100 47-2073 Operating Engineers and Other Construction Equipment Operators 0.26 93 97 100 100 47-2081 Drywall and Ceiling Tile Installers 1.00 96 98 100 100 47-2082 Tapers 0.35 96 98 100 100 47-2111 Electricians 0.10 79 93 99 100 47-2121 Glaziers 1.00 91 95 100 100 47-2131 Insulation Workers, Floor, Ceiling, and Wall 0.35 94 97 99 100 47-2132 Insulation Workers, Mechanical 0.35 94 97 99 100 60 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY PERCENT OF WORKFORCE WITH GIVEN EDUCATION LEVEL CIP 46.0303 46.0401 PROGRAM Lineworker Building/Property Maintenance PROGRAM BASED WEIGHT PSV AWARD OR SOME COLLEGE ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE BACHELOR’S DEGREE MASTER’S DEGREE SOC OCCUPATION 47-2141 Painters, Construction and Maintenance 1.00 89 93 99 100 47-2142 Paperhangers 1.00 86 93 99 100 47-2151 Pipelayers 0.22 89 96 99 100 47-2152 Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters 0.22 89 96 99 100 47-2161 Plasterers and Stucco Masons 0.35 94 98 100 100 47-2171 Reinforcing Iron and Rebar Workers 0.35 92 96 98 100 47-2181 Roofers 1.00 95 97 100 100 47-2211 Sheet Metal Workers 0.36 90 97 100 100 47-2221 Structural Iron and Steel Workers 0.35 91 96 100 100 47-3011 Helpers--Brickmasons, Blockmasons, Stonemasons, and Tile and Marble Setters 1.00 94 97 100 100 47-3012 Helpers--Carpenters 0.29 94 97 100 100 47-3013 Helpers--Electricians 0.10 94 97 100 100 47-3014 Helpers--Painters, Paperhangers, Plasterers, and Stucco Masons 1.00 94 97 100 100 47-3015 Helpers--Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters 0.22 94 97 100 100 47-3016 Helpers--Roofers 1.00 94 97 100 100 47-3019 Helpers, Construction Trades, All Other 1.00 94 97 100 100 47-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers 0.00 82 89 99 100 49-9051 Electrical PowerLine Installers and Repairers 0.10 83 94 99 100 37-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Housekeeping and Janitorial Workers 0.00 83 89 98 100 47-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers 0.01 82 89 99 100 49-9071 Maintenance and Repair Workers, General 1.00 83 94 99 100 ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 61 PERCENT OF WORKFORCE WITH GIVEN EDUCATION LEVEL CIP PROGRAM 46.0403 Building/Home/ Construction Inspection/ Inspector 46.0412 46.9999 47.0603 Building/Construction Site Management/ Manager Construction Trades, Other Autobody/Collision and Repair Technology/ Technician PROGRAM BASED WEIGHT PSV AWARD OR SOME COLLEGE ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE BACHELOR’S DEGREE MASTER’S DEGREE SOC OCCUPATION 47-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers 0.01 82 89 99 100 47-4011 Construction and Building Inspectors 1.00 61 73 95 99 47-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers 0.12 82 89 99 100 49-9095 Manufactured Building and Mobile Home Installers 1.00 94 96 100 100 47-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers 0.07 82 89 99 100 47-2041 Carpet Installers 0.65 92 95 99 100 47-2042 Floor Layers, Except Carpet, Wood, and Hard Tiles 0.65 92 95 99 100 47-2043 Floor Sanders and Finishers 0.65 92 95 99 100 47-2061 Construction Laborers 1.00 91 95 99 100 47-2082 Tapers 0.65 96 98 100 100 47-2131 Insulation Workers, Floor, Ceiling, and Wall 0.65 94 97 99 100 47-2132 Insulation Workers, Mechanical 0.65 94 97 99 100 47-2161 Plasterers and Stucco Masons 0.65 94 98 100 100 47-2171 Reinforcing Iron and Rebar Workers 0.65 92 96 98 100 47-2221 Structural Iron and Steel Workers 0.65 91 96 100 100 47-4031 Fence Erectors 1.00 91 95 99 100 47-4041 Hazardous Materials Removal Workers 1.00 81 87 97 99 47-4099 Construction and Related Workers, All Other 0.39 87 91 99 100 49-3021 Automotive Body and Related Repairers 1.00 91 97 100 100 49-3022 Automotive Glass Installers and Repairers 1.00 89 96 100 100 51-9122 Painters, Transportation Equipment 1.00 93 97 100 100 62 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY PERCENT OF WORKFORCE WITH GIVEN EDUCATION LEVEL CIP PROGRAM 47.0604 Automobile/ Automotive Mechanics Technology/ Technician PROGRAM BASED WEIGHT PSV AWARD OR SOME COLLEGE ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE BACHELOR’S DEGREE MASTER’S DEGREE SOC OCCUPATION 49-2093 Electrical and Electronics Installers and Repairers, Transportation Equipment 1.00 64 89 99 100 49-2096 Electronic Equipment Installers and Repairers, Motor Vehicles 1.00 76 95 100 100 49-3023 Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics 0.89 85 96 99 100 47.0605 Diesel Mechanics Technology/ Technician 49-3031 Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists 1.00 87 97 100 100 48.0703 Cabinetmaking and Millwork 51-7011 Cabinetmakers and Bench Carpenters 1.00 86 91 98 100 51-7031 Model Makers, Wood 1.00 79 85 97 100 51-7032 Patternmakers, Wood 1.00 79 85 97 100 51-7041 Sawing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Wood 1.00 94 97 99 100 51-7042 Woodworking Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Except Sawing 1.00 93 97 100 100 53-2011 Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers 1.00 19 28 87 98 53-2012 Commercial Pilots 1.00 19 28 87 98 27-2031 Dancers 0.75 66 76 96 100 27-2032 Choreographers 0.97 66 76 96 100 27-2031 Dancers 0.02 66 76 96 100 27-2032 Choreographers 0.03 66 76 96 100 27-1021 Commercial and Industrial Designers 0.72 31 44 91 99 27-1024 Graphic Designers 0.29 31 44 91 99 27-1027 Set and Exhibit Designers 0.91 31 44 91 99 27-1029 Designers, All Other 0.87 31 44 91 99 27-2011 Actors 0.94 38 43 89 99 27-2012 Producers and Directors 0.42 20 26 84 98 49.0102 Airline/Commercial/Professional Pilot and Flight Crew 50.0301 Dance, General 50.0399 Dance, Other 50.0401 Design and Visual Communications, General 50.0501 Drama and Dramatics/Theatre Arts, General ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 63 PERCENT OF WORKFORCE WITH GIVEN EDUCATION LEVEL CIP PROGRAM PROGRAM BASED WEIGHT PSV AWARD OR SOME COLLEGE ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE BACHELOR’S DEGREE MASTER’S DEGREE SOC OCCUPATION 27-2099 Entertainers and Performers, Sports and Related Workers, All Other 1.00 53 60 91 99 50.0901 Music, General 27-2042 Musicians and Singers 0.66 40 46 77 96 50.0903 Music Performance, General 27-2041 Music Directors and Composers 0.42 40 46 77 96 27-2042 Musicians and Singers 0.09 40 46 77 96 51.0602 Dental Hygiene/ Hygienist 29-2021 Dental Hygienists 0.64 9 64 97 98 51.0904 Emergency Medical Technology/Technician (EMT Paramedic) 29-2041 Emergency Medical Technicians and Paramedics 0.26 65 85 98 100 53-3011 Ambulance Drivers and Attendants, Except Emergency Medical Technicians 1.00 81 89 97 100 11-9111 Medical and Health Services Managers 0.12 27 40 70 93 21-1094 Community Health Workers 0.23 39 47 79 97 21-1099 Community and Social Service Specialists, All Other 0.23 39 47 79 97 51.2208 Community Health and Preventive Medicine 51.3801 Registered Nursing/Registered Nurse 29-1141 Registered Nurses 0.94 6 45 91 98 52.0101 Business/Commerce, General 11-1011 Chief Executives 0.08 27 33 73 93 11-1021 General and Operations Managers 0.08 42 51 85 97 11-2022 Sales Managers 0.08 27 33 82 99 11-3011 Administrative Services Managers 0.08 48 59 87 98 11-3051 Industrial Production Managers 0.08 47 56 87 99 11-3071 Transportation, Storage, and Distribution Managers 0.08 63 71 94 99 11-9021 Construction Managers 0.08 59 66 94 99 11-9151 Social and Community Service Managers 0.08 25 31 67 95 11-9199 Managers, All Other 0.07 38 46 80 97 13-1051 Cost Estimators 0.07 55 67 95 100 64 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY PERCENT OF WORKFORCE WITH GIVEN EDUCATION LEVEL CIP 52.0201 52.0205 PROGRAM Business Administration and Management, General Operations Management and Supervision PROGRAM BASED WEIGHT PSV AWARD OR SOME COLLEGE ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE BACHELOR’S DEGREE MASTER’S DEGREE SOC OCCUPATION 13-1111 Management Analysts 0.08 18 23 65 93 11-1011 Chief Executives 0.83 27 33 73 93 11-1021 General and Operations Managers 0.84 42 51 85 97 11-2022 Sales Managers 0.83 27 33 82 99 11-3011 Administrative Services Managers 0.86 48 59 87 98 11-3051 Industrial Production Managers 0.89 47 56 87 99 11-3071 Transportation, Storage, and Distribution Managers 0.85 63 71 94 99 11-9021 Construction Managers 0.87 59 66 94 99 11-9151 Social and Community Service Managers 0.83 25 31 67 95 11-9199 Managers, All Other 0.78 38 46 80 97 13-1051 Cost Estimators 0.78 55 67 95 100 13-1111 Management Analysts 0.92 18 23 65 93 37-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Housekeeping and Janitorial Workers 0.93 83 89 98 100 39-1011 Gaming Supervisors 0.91 58 68 94 100 39-1021 First-Line Supervisors of Personal Service Workers 0.91 64 74 95 99 11-3021 Computer and Information Systems Managers 0.07 19 27 73 98 11-3051 Industrial Production Managers 0.03 47 56 87 99 11-9021 Construction Managers 0.02 59 66 94 99 13-1081 Logisticians 0.62 44 58 89 99 39-1011 Gaming Supervisors 0.03 58 68 94 100 39-1021 First-Line Supervisors of Personal Service Workers 0.03 64 74 95 99 49-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers 1.00 74 86 97 100 ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 65 PERCENT OF WORKFORCE WITH GIVEN EDUCATION LEVEL CIP 52.0301 52.0401 52.0407 PROGRAM Accounting Administrative Assistant and Secretarial Science, General Business/Office Automation/ Technology/ Data Entry PROGRAM BASED WEIGHT PSV AWARD OR SOME COLLEGE ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE BACHELOR’S DEGREE MASTER’S DEGREE SOC OCCUPATION 51-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers 1.00 76 84 97 100 51-8012 Power Distributors and Dispatchers 1.00 68 84 99 100 51-8013 Power Plant Operators 1.00 68 84 99 100 51-8021 Stationary Engineers and Boiler Operators 0.16 77 88 97 100 51-8092 Gas Plant Operators 0.79 80 91 99 100 51-8093 Petroleum Pump System Operators, Refinery Operators, and Gaugers 0.91 80 91 99 100 51-8099 Plant and System Operators, All Other 1.00 80 91 99 100 53-1011 Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors 1.00 74 83 98 100 53-1021 First-Line Supervisors of Helpers, Laborers, and Material Movers, Hand 1.00 74 83 98 100 53-1031 First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators 1.00 74 83 98 100 13-2011 Accountants and Auditors 0.96 12 22 79 97 13-2031 Budget Analysts 0.71 23 32 73 98 13-2041 Credit Analysts 0.71 29 37 81 98 13-2061 Financial Examiners 0.99 17 20 73 96 13-2081 Tax Examiners and Collectors, and Revenue Agents 0.99 42 52 89 99 43-6011 Executive Secretaries and Executive Administrative Assistants 0.71 67 81 97 100 43-6014 Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive 0.99 67 81 97 100 43-9021 Data Entry Keyers 1.00 68 81 97 100 66 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY APPE NDI X 3 : PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS METHODOLOGY This appendix focuses on describing and understanding provides an easy comparison of annual openings for physi- the methodology used in the program gap analysis. This cal therapist assistants to the number of people completing requires data on both occupation demand (e.g., annual the relevant program to see whether a talent shortage or job openings) and education supply (e.g., number of post- surplus exists. Unfortunately, this is not always the case. secondary degree completions). These are then compared More often than not an educational program maps to through an education “gap” analysis to determine whether multiple occupations and an occupation maps to multiple an education program is potentially producing a surplus or educational programs. For this reason, EMSI has pioneered shortage of workforce talent relative to the number of job a method of de-duplicating completers, such that the openings. In this way, it is possible to see how the institu- potential sources of supply are not double-counted for any tion’s current programs are satisfying regional workforce occupation. The details of this process are outlined in this needs. chapter, under “De-duplication of Annual Openings.” SUPPLY AND DEMAND MODEL OCCUPATION DEMAND EMSI builds a model using demand-side data (average Educational Level Adjustments annual openings) and supply-side data (postsecondary To capture occupation demand, EMSI uses a proprietary education output) to compare workforce demand with employment dataset that reflects total employment (i.e., education supply. The purpose of this analysis is to find the employment covered by unemployment insurance as well difference or “gap” between the average annual openings as proprietor employment). The employment data reflects for an occupation and the number of people completing jobs for the third quarter of 2014. Within this dataset, EMSI postsecondary degrees for that occupation, whether at calculates the number of regional annual job openings UVU or at another training provider within the region. for the occupations that require four different levels of This makes it possible to identify whether there may be postsecondary training.7 The BLS also provides educational talent shortages or surpluses within the Service Region. attainment data of current workers for each SOC code, The first step involves mapping the linkage between broken out by their highest level of education attained. The annual openings for a SOC code and the number of comple- data is presented as the percentage of workers in the SOC tions for an education program CIP code. The BLS provides code with educational attainment ranging from less than information on the occupations that completers of specific a high school degree to an associate’s degree. Using these CIP codes are more likely to enter. Specific connections data, EMSI adjusts the annual opening estimates for each have been refined through previous engagements with SOC code to only incorporate the percentage of workers education institutions and state departments of labor. for three different educational levels that correspond with Some programs have direct occupational ties. For example, UVU’s program offerings. a physical therapist assistant is a specific occupation that requires specialized postsecondary training. In this case, occupations trained for by Corrections (CIP code 43.0102). one CIP code (physical therapy technician/assistant) maps 7 to only one SOC code (physical therapists assistants). This For example, as shown in Table A3.1, there are three See Appendix 1 for a description of the sources and processes of EMSI data. ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 67 TABLE A3.1: EDUCATIONAL LEVEL ADJUSTMENTS “SOME COLLEGE, NO DEGREE” OR POSTSECONDARY AWARD OR LOWER ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE OR LOWER Correctional Officers and Jailers 75% 88% 33-1012 First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives 46% 62% 33-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers 61% 75% 68% 85% CIP CODE CIP TITLE SOC TITLE 43.0102 Corrections 33-3012 Weighted Average Within that cluster are an assortment of career fields, were originally delivered to EMSI. EMSI uses a formula including correctional officers and jailers, first-line super- that favors program types with the largest number of visors of police and detectives, and first-line supervisors completers, attributing a greater proportion of demand to of correctional officers. Among correctional officers, the these than the programs which produce a smaller number majority of job openings (75%) are available to somebody of completers. This method utilizes the assumption that with “some college” or a postsecondary vocational award. the higher output educational programs are likely feed- Alternatively, for first-line supervisors of police and detec- ing a higher degree of demand within the service region.9 tives, only 46% of job openings are accessible to a person Appendix 2 contains the detailed mapping of each CIP without a college degree. The weighted average of job code to all relevant occupations. openings is calculated for each program at each program/ degree level where UVU has produced completers over the assumes, all else being equal, students from higher-output past three years. Not taking into account the educational programs are more likely to obtain a job than students attainment dynamics in this way would bias the result by from lower-output programs, whereas in reality students over-counting potential job opportunities for completers.8 are judged more by their skills and merits than their edu- One possible criticism of this methodology is that it cational program of study. The intention of the analysis is De-duplication of Annual Openings not to rate students’ capability of competing for jobs, but Most educational programs are designed to train people for rather to capture the unique dynamics of the local labor multiple occupational types, many of which are simultane- market. For example, in a region where a unique program ously linked with other educational programs, presenting such as Commercial and Advertising Art is more prevalent a complexity when comparing supply and demand for any than Graphic Design, it can safely be assumed that the particular educational program. For instance, the Computer graduates of the Commercial and Advertising Art program Systems Networking & Telecommunications program is will be offered a larger number of local openings than are mapped to three different occupations: computer support students from the Graphic Design program. If such were specialists, information security analysts, and computer not the case, it would be unlikely for the Commercial and systems analysts. If we focus on just one of the occupa- Advertising Art program to remain the producer of local tions for this list—computer support specialists—it is also talent in the long-term, as the program would yield stu- mapped to 10 different educational programs, spanning dents to a program with a more successful job placement program titles such as Computer Systems Analysis and rate. Medical Office Computer Specialist. To ensure that no double-counting occurs, it is neces- students who are more capable of obtaining local jobs sary to either realign the program groupings to eliminate than students from larger programs, EMSI also provides the mapping of occupations to multiple programs, or to an alternative gap analysis, which does not reduce the determine what proportion of demand should be com- number of annual openings. Rather the total number of pared with supply numbers from each program. EMSI annual openings available for students at each educational takes the second approach in this analysis, which has the level is provided without further modification. Due to this advantage of maintaining the program titles and descrip- 9 tions in roughly the same format that completer data 8 Given the changing dynamics and need for more education in the existing workforce (i.e., skills-biased technology change in many occupations and industry sectors), this assumption is considered conservative. 68 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY Recognizing that some smaller programs produce Note this adjustment is performed on a program-by-program basis without consideration of individual colleges or training providers. Therefore, a single program offered at one large institution has no advantage over a group of similar programs offered a number of smaller educational providers provided that the aggregate output of the smaller schools is near the output of the single larger school. modification, these numbers have not been de-duplicated, TABLE A3.2: SUMMARY OF POSTSECONDARY unlike the annual openings figures shown in Chapter 2. CERTIFICATE LEVEL REGIONAL COMPLETIONS BY These figures are provided in Appendix 4: Alternative Sup- INSTITUTION ply and Demand Calculations. 3-YEAR AVERAGE PERCENT OF TOTAL Acaydia School of Aesthetics 64 3% American Beauty Academy 25 1% AmeriTech College-Provo 55 2% Aveda Institute-Provo 62 3% 2 0% Broadview University-Orem 16 1% ImageWorks Academy of Hair Design 11 0% Mandalyn Academy 23 1% institutions. EMSI determined education output by Classi- Marinello Schools of Beauty-Provo 65 3% fication of Instructional Program (CIP) codes and identified Mountainland Applied Technology College 1,590 65% INSTITUTION EDUCATION OUTPUT There are several educational institutions in the service region, some of which have programs similar to those offered at UVU. Hence completers at UVU will be competing for some jobs with completers from other regional the number of completers for every award level within Bonnie Joseph Academy of Cosmetology and Barbering 95 4% 126 5% Provo College-American Fork 26 1% used data from the Integrated Postsecondary Educational Renaissance Academie 46 2% System (IPEDS). These data are publicly available through Utah College of Massage TherapyUtah Valley 153 6% those CIP codes. To find the output for all public and private education institutions in the service region, EMSI 10 the National Center for Educational Statistics. Completions data were averaged for a three-year period, 2011 through 2013, to smooth out any bumps in enrollment that may be unique to a particular academic year. Data gathered Paul Mitchell the School-Provo Provo College Utah Valley University Grand Total 84 3% 2,442 100% Source: IPEDS; UVU directly from UVU was used to replace IPEDS data for UVU and includes 2014 completions. TABLE A3.3: SUMMARY OF ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE REGIONAL COMPLETIONS BY INSTITUTION Tables A3.2 and A3.3 display the completion breakdown by institution and award type. UVU is one of many institutions this region, granting 84 certificates, 1,960 associate’s degrees, 2,745 bachelor’s degrees, and 48 master’s degrees, which constitute 30% of the 15,906 total completers. Rocky Mountain University of Health Professions Utah Valley University Grand Total Provo College Stevens-Henager College of BusinessProvo REGIONAL COMPLETIONS BY INSTITUTION Brigham Young University-Provo Broadview University-Orem Provo College-American Fork TABLE A3.5: SUMMARY OF MASTER’S DEGREE INSTITUTION INSTITUTION 3-YEAR AVERAGE PERCENT OF TOTAL 1,157 96% 0 0% 48 4% 1,205 100% Source: IPEDS; UVU PERCENT OF TOTAL 29 1% 150 7% 29 1% 128 6% Utah Valley University 1,960 85% Grand Total 2,297 100% Source: IPEDS; UVU TABLE A3.4: SUMMARY OF BACHELOR’S DEGREE REGIONAL COMPLETIONS BY INSTITUTION 3-YEAR AVERAGE PERCENT OF TOTAL 7,086 71% 3 0% Careers Unlimited 59 1% Stevens-Henager College of BusinessProvo 69 1% INSTITUTION Brigham Young University-Provo Broadview University-Orem 10 These data come with inherent weaknesses. First, numbers are only available for institutions that participate in or are applicants for any federal financial assistance program authorized by the Higher Education Act (HEA). Also, IPEDS does not account for the fact that some people may receive multiple degrees or certifications, so when the number of degrees awarded exceeds the number of people receiving the degrees, the number of completers can be overstated. Nevertheless, this system is the best source for collecting data regarding a broad range of educational institutions. 3-YEAR AVERAGE Utah Valley University 2,745 28% Grand Total 9,961 100% Source: IPEDS; UVU ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 69 APPE NDI X 4 : ALTERNATIVE GAP ANALYSIS CALCULATIONS EMSI de-duplicated the annual openings shown in Chapter 2 to account for the magnitude of output from different educational programs in the region. The process is explained in detail in Appendix 3 under “De-duplication of Annual Openings.” This procedure is designed to reflect the unique supply and demand dynamics of each regional economy. However, EMSI also recognizes that in some cases a student from a less predominant educational program is a more likely candidate to be offered a local job. These alternative supply and demand calculations give equal weight to every job opportunity within students’ field of study, regardless of whether that program is a big or small player in talent development for the region. Therefore, these estimates should be considered as less conservative measures than those from Chapter 2. UVU SERVICE REGION ALTERNATIVE GAP ANALYSIS TABLES TABLE A4.1: ALTERNATIVE SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR UVU’S POSTSECONDARY CERTIFICATE PROGRAMS AVERAGE ANNUAL OPENINGS SUMMIT/ WASATCH OPENINGS AVERAGE ANNUAL COMPLETERS UVU COMPLETERS TOTAL GAP OR SURPLUS Business Admin. and Management, General 223 33 2 2 222 52.0401 Administrative Assistant and Secretarial Science, General 209 20 31 1 178 11.0201 Computer Programming/Programmer, General 103 5 1 1 102 46.0403 Building/Home/Constr. Inspection/Inspector 81 6 1 1 80 11.0901 Computer Systems Networking and Telecommunications 77 4 3 3 74 11.0801 Web Page, Digital/Multimedia and Information Resources Design 26 2 3 1 23 47.0603 Autobody/Collision and Repair Technology/Technician 16 0 1 1 15 52.0301 Accounting 16 2 1 1 15 50.0401 Design and Visual Communications, General 12 1 0 0 12 15.0506 Water Quality and Wastewater Treatment Management and Recycling Technology/Technician 11 2 1 1 10 13.121 Early Childhood Education and Teaching 13 2 4 4 9 51.0904 Emergency Medical Technology/Technician (EMT Paramedic) 8 2 10 10 (1) 47.0604 Automobile/Automotive Mechanics Technology/ Technician 44 4 49 7 (6) 47.0605 Diesel Mechanics Technology/Technician 12 2 21 2 (9) 43.0203 Fire Science/Fire-fighting 17 5 28 28 (11) 43.0103 Criminal Justice/Law Enforcement Administration 6 1 20 20 (14) CIP PROGRAM 52.0201 70 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY TABLE A4.2: ALTERNATIVE SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR UVU’S ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE PROGRAMS AVERAGE ANNUAL OPENINGS SUMMIT/ WASATCH OPENINGS AVERAGE ANNUAL COMPLETERS UVU COMPLETERS TOTAL GAP OR SURPLUS Construction Trades, General 779 60 18 18 761 Construction Trades, Other 284 30 4 4 280 46.0401 Building/Property Maintenance 234 48 4 4 231 52.0201 Business Administration & Management, General 263 39 99 80 164 11.0701 Computer Science 165 8 13 5 153 46.0303 Lineworker 99 12 0 0 99 46.0403 Building/Home/Constr. Inspection/Inspector 88 6 2 2 85 46.0412 Building/Construction Site Mgmt./Manager 84 6 2 2 82 11.0101 Computer and Information Sciences, General 74 5 16 16 59 12.0503 Culinary Arts/Chef Training 63 26 34 34 29 52.0901 Hospitality Admin./Management, General 25 7 5 5 20 11.0801 Web Page, Digital/Multimedia and Information Resources Design 33 3 18 10 15 51.0602 Dental Hygiene/Hygienist 29 3 16 16 13 31.0501 Health and Physical Education/Fitness, General 19 6 8 8 11 51.2208 Community Health and Preventive Medicine 14 1 4 4 10 38.0101 Philosophy 8 0 1 1 7 14.4201 Mechatronics, Robotics, & Automation Engineering 12 0 6 6 6 47.0603 Autobody/Collision and Repair Technology/Technician 17 0 11 11 6 50.0501 Drama and Dramatics/Theatre Arts, General 6 1 1 1 5 48.0703 Cabinetmaking and Millwork 6 1 3 3 3 23.0101 English Language and Literature, General 8 0 6 6 3 52.0407 Business/Office Automation/Technology/Data Entry 5 0 3 3 2 15.1102 Surveying Technology/Surveying 3 1 1 1 2 13.1205 Secondary Education and Teaching 3 0 2 2 1 22.0302 Legal Assistant/Paralegal 16 3 15 10 1 9.0101 Speech Communication and Rhetoric 4 1 4 4 1 50.0901 Music, General 2 1 2 2 0 40.0101 Physical Sciences 0 0 1 1 (1) 50.0301 Dance, General 1 1 3 3 (2) 52.0301 Accounting 27 4 29 25 (2) 27.0101 Mathematics, General 1 0 8 8 (7) 50.0401 Design and Visual Communications, General 18 2 28 28 (11) 26.0101 Biology/Biological Sciences, General 0 0 12 12 (12) 47.0605 Diesel Mechanics Technology/Technician 1 2 15 15 (14) 54.0101 History, General 0 0 16 16 (16) 47.0604 Automobile/Automotive Mechanics Technology/ Technician 6 5 24 24 (19) 15.0405 Robotics Technology/Technician 3 0 24 24 (21) 15.1301 Drafting & Design Technology/Technician, General 5 1 30 30 (25) 13.121 Early Childhood Education and Teaching 13 2 42 42 (29) 43.0103 Criminal Justice/Law Enforcement Admin. 2 2 49 18 (47) 49.0102 Airline/Commercial/Professional Pilot and Flight Crew 1 0 59 59 (59) 51.3801 Registered Nursing/Registered Nurse 78 5 148 86 (69) 42.0101 Psychology, General 0 0 71 71 (71) 43.0203 Fire Science/Fire-fighting 6 7 105 105 (99) CIP PROGRAM 46 46.9999 ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 71 TABLE A4.3: ALTERNATIVE SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR UVU’S BACHELOR’S DEGREE PROGRAMS AVERAGE ANNUAL OPENINGS SUMMIT/ WASATCH OPENINGS AVERAGE ANNUAL COMPLETERS AVERAGE ANNUAL UVU COMPLETERS TOTAL GAP OR SURPLUS Computer Science 385 19 114 25 272 11.0901 Computer Systems Networking and Telecommunications 204 11 20 20 184 14.0901 Computer Engineering, General 191 9 18 2 173 14.0903 Computer Software Engineering 139 6 8 8 131 52.0205 Operations Management and Supervision 194 26 68 68 127 13.1314 Physical Education Teaching and Coaching 105 18 38 12 66 46.0412 Building/Construction Site Management/Manager 91 7 29 29 63 11.0401 Information Science/Studies 85 4 23 23 62 13.1302 Art Teacher Education 64 8 6 6 58 13.1316 Science Teacher Education/General Science Teacher Education 64 8 7 3 57 13.1312 Music Teacher Education 64 8 28 4 36 13.1323 Chemistry Teacher Education 37 5 4 2 33 13.1303 Business Teacher Education 37 5 7 7 30 13.1307 Health Teacher Education 64 8 35 15 29 13.133 Spanish Language Teacher Education 37 5 22 8 15 13.1322 Biology Teacher Education 37 5 23 5 14 13.1003 Education/Teaching of Individuals with Hearing Impairments Including Deafness 18 3 5 5 13 13.1324 Drama and Dance Teacher Education 37 5 24 6 13 13.1305 English/Language Arts Teacher Education 64 8 56 19 8 11.0301 Data Processing and Data Processing Technology/Technician 16 1 9 9 7 52.0804 Financial Planning and Services 13 1 8 8 5 13.1311 Mathematics Teacher Education 64 8 60 13 4 52.0901 Hospitality Administration/Management, General 28 9 25 25 3 43.0202 Fire Services Administration 5 1 3 3 2 3.0104 Environmental Science 4 1 2 2 2 15.1102 Surveying Technology/Surveying 4 2 2 2 2 50.0399 Dance, Other 1 1 2 1 (1) 26.0301 Botany/Plant Biology 13.1328 History Teacher Education 43.0106 50.0903 44.0701 Social Work 40.0699 Geological and Earth Sciences/Geosciences, Other 38.0101 Philosophy 22.0302 Legal Assistant/Paralegal 52.0201 Business Administration and Management, General 11.0801 Web Page, Digital/Multimedia and Information Resources Design 40.0601 Geology/Earth Science, General CIP CODE CIP TITLE 11.0701 0 0 2 1 (2) 64 8 67 25 (3) Forensic Science and Technology 1 1 5 5 (4) Music Performance, General 4 2 9 3 (5) 25 2 30 26 (6) 0 0 7 7 (7) 33 0 45 13 (12) 9 5 23 22 (13) 336 63 352 282 (16) 63 7 80 80 (17) 1 1 22 4 (22) 72 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY AVERAGE ANNUAL OPENINGS SUMMIT/ WASATCH OPENINGS AVERAGE ANNUAL COMPLETERS AVERAGE ANNUAL UVU COMPLETERS TOTAL GAP OR SURPLUS Chemistry, General 3 0 American Sign Language (ASL) 4 1 26 6 (23) 28 28 (24) 84 2 10 108 35 (24) 2 31 10 (30) 13 2 45 15 (32) 0 0 34 10 (34) 0 1 38 9 (38) 27 4 66 7 (39) 0 0 51 26 (50) Criminal Justice/Law Enforcement Administration 10 3 68 68 (58) 43.0203 Fire Science/Fire-fighting 23 9 85 85 (62) 51.2208 Community Health and Preventive Medicine 20 2 90 90 (70) 27.0101 Mathematics, General 2 0 72 8 (71) 16.0905 Spanish Language and Literature 4 1 92 24 (88) 51.3801 Registered Nursing/Registered Nurse 81 10 183 79 (102) 50.0401 Design and Visual Communications, General 19 4 128 82 (109) 9.0101 Speech Communication and Rhetoric 13 3 124 124 (111) 26.0101 Biology/Biological Sciences, General 0 0 137 64 (137) 52.0801 Finance, General 72 5 223 38 (151) 54.0101 History, General 0 - 183 24 (183) 45.1001 Political Science and Government, General 0 - 189 49 (189) 45.0601 Economics, General 0 0 192 7 (192) 31.0501 Health and Physical Education/Fitness, General 28 11 227 115 (199) 49.0102 Airline/Commercial/Professional Pilot and Flight Crew 2 1 229 229 (227) 52.0301 Accounting 71 13 322 123 (251) 23.0101 English Language and Literature, General 28 0 330 67 (302) 13.1202 Elementary Education and Teaching 80 12 415 184 (335) 42.0101 Psychology, General 2 0 587 302 (585) CIP CODE CIP TITLE 40.0501 16.1601 52.1401 Marketing/Marketing Management, General 50.0901 Music, General 50.0501 Drama and Dramatics/Theatre Arts, General 40.0801 Physics, General 50.0301 Dance, General 51.0602 Dental Hygiene/Hygienist 26.1201 Biotechnology 43.0103 TABLE A4.4: ALTERNATIVE SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR UVU’S MASTER’S DEGREE PROGRAMS AVERAGE ANNUAL OPENINGS SUMMIT/ WASATCH OPENINGS AVERAGE ANNUAL COMPLETERS UVU COMPLETERS TOTAL GAP OR SURPLUS 437 61 26 26 411 Registered Nursing/Registered Nurse 14 11 4 4 88 Curriculum and Instruction 10 0 19 19 (9) CIP PROGRAM 52.0101 Business/Commerce, General 51.3801 13.0301 ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 73 UTAH STATE ALTERNATIVE GAP ANALYSIS TABLES TABLE A4.5: ALTERNATIVE SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR UTAH STATE’S POSTSECONDARY CERTIFICATE PROGRAMS AVERAGE ANNUAL OPENINGS AVERAGE ANNUAL COMPLETERS UVU COMPLETERS TOTAL GAP OR SURPLUS Business Administration and Management, General 975 9 2 966 52.0401 Administrative Assistant and Secretarial Science, General 833 209 1 624 11.0201 Computer Programming/Programmer, General 340 12 1 328 46.0403 Building/Home/Construction Inspection/Inspector 268 1 1 268 11.0901 Computer Systems Networking and Telecommunications 269 13 3 256 47.0604 Automobile/Automotive Mechanics Technology/Technician 266 99 7 167 52.0301 Accounting 143 9 1 134 13.121 Early Childhood Education and Teaching 80 4 4 76 15.0506 Water Quality and Wastewater Treatment Management and Recycling Technology/Technician 62 1 1 61 47.0603 Autobody/Collision and Repair Technology/Technician 69 10 1 59 50.0401 Design and Visual Communications, General 51 0 0 50 43.0203 Fire Science/Fire-fighting 101 57 28 44 43.0103 Criminal Justice/Law Enforcement Administration 30 20 20 10 11.0801 Web Page, Digital/Multimedia and Information Resources Design 99 106 1 (7) 47.0605 Diesel Mechanics Technology/Technician 119 150 2 (31) 51.0904 Emergency Medical Technology/Technician (EMT Paramedic) 93 137 10 (44) CIP PROGRAM 52.0201 TABLE A4.6: ALTERNATIVE SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR UTAH STATE’S ASSOCIATE’S DEGREE PROGRAMS AVERAGE ANNUAL OPENINGS AVERAGE ANNUAL COMPLETERS UVU COMPLETERS TOTAL GAP OR SURPLUS 2,405 18 18 2,387 Construction Trades, Other 986 4 4 982 46.0401 Building/Property Maintenance 849 4 4 845 52.0201 Business Administration and Management, General 1,152 493 80 658 11.0701 Computer Science 550 103 5 447 46.0303 Lineworker 303 0 0 302 46.0403 Building/Home/Construction Inspection/Inspector 294 2 2 291 46.0412 Building/Construction Site Management/Manager 261 16 2 246 12.0503 Culinary Arts/Chef Training 311 93 34 218 11.0101 Computer and Information Sciences, General 255 54 16 201 47.0604 Automobile/Automotive Mechanics Technology/Technician 203 67 24 135 52.0301 Accounting 214 95 25 119 52.0901 Hospitality Administration/Management, General 104 5 5 100 CIP PROGRAM 46 Construction Trades, General 46.9999 74 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY AVERAGE ANNUAL OPENINGS AVERAGE ANNUAL COMPLETERS UVU COMPLETERS TOTAL GAP OR SURPLUS Community Health and Preventive Medicine 86 4 4 82 31.0501 Health and Physical Education/Fitness, General 89 8 8 81 13.121 Early Childhood Education and Teaching 104 51 42 52 51.0602 Dental Hygiene/Hygienist 117 66 16 52 14.4201 Mechatronics, Robotics, and Automation Engineering 53 6 6 47 47.0603 Autobody/Collision and Repair Technology/Technician 64 17 11 47 38.0101 Philosophy 36 1 1 35 52.0407 Business/Office Automation/Technology/Data Entry 28 3 3 24 15.1102 Surveying Technology/Surveying 21 9 1 13 11.0801 Web Page, Digital/Multimedia and Information Resources Design 41 30 10 12 48.0703 Cabinetmaking and Millwork 14 3 3 11 50.0501 Drama and Dramatics/Theatre Arts, General 17 9 1 8 13.1205 Secondary Education and Teaching 14 9 2 5 50.0301 Dance, General 9 5 3 4 40.0101 Physical Sciences 2 1 1 1 50.0901 Music, General 24 27 2 (2) 50.0401 Design and Visual Communications, General 72 75 28 (3) 23.0101 English Language and Literature, General 33 39 6 (6) 15.0405 Robotics Technology/Technician 15 24 24 (8) 27.0101 Mathematics, General 4 18 8 (14) 47.0605 Diesel Mechanics Technology/Technician 14 35 15 (21) 15.1301 Drafting and Design Technology/Technician, General 23 46 30 (23) 9.0101 Speech Communication and Rhetoric 18 42 4 (25) 43.0203 Fire Science/Fire-fighting 79 105 105 (26) 26.0101 Biology/Biological Sciences, General 3 31 12 (28) 22.0302 Legal Assistant/Paralegal 84 118 10 (34) 54.0101 History, General 0 36 16 (36) 49.0102 Airline/Commercial/Professional Pilot and Flight Crew 13 71 59 (57) 43.0103 Criminal Justice/Law Enforcement Administration 20 146 18 (126) 42.0101 Psychology, General 1 162 71 (161) 51.3801 Registered Nursing/Registered Nurse 433 1,167 86 (734) CIP PROGRAM 51.2208 ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 75 TABLE A4.7: ALTERNATIVE SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR UTAH STATE’S BACHELOR’S DEGREE PROGRAMS AVERAGE ANNUAL OPENINGS AVERAGE ANNUAL COMPLETERS UVU COMPLETERS TOTAL GAP OR SURPLUS CIP PROGRAM 52.0205 Operations Management and Supervision 1,022 102 68 920 11.0701 Computer Science 1,201 352 25 849 14.0901 Computer Engineering, General 642 46 2 596 11.0901 Computer Systems Networking and Telecommunications 654 117 20 537 14.0903 Computer Software Engineering 432 8 8 424 13.1302 Art Teacher Education 273 12 6 261 13.1316 Science Teacher Education/General Science Teacher Education 273 18 3 255 46.0412 Building/Construction Site Management/Manager 275 38 29 237 13.1312 Music Teacher Education 273 41 4 231 11.0401 Information Science/Studies 296 74 23 222 13.1307 Health Teacher Education 273 53 15 220 52.0804 Financial Planning and Services 218 8 8 210 13.1314 Physical Education Teaching and Coaching 443 236 12 207 13.1328 History Teacher Education 273 80 25 192 11.0801 Web Page, Digital/Multimedia and Information Resources Design 277 87 80 191 13.1305 English/Language Arts Teacher Education 273 92 19 181 13.1323 Chemistry Teacher Education 156 10 2 145 13.1303 Business Teacher Education 156 15 7 140 13.1324 Drama and Dance Teacher Education 156 27 6 128 13.133 Spanish Language Teacher Education 156 28 8 128 13.1311 Mathematics Teacher Education 273 160 13 113 13.1003 Education/Teaching of Individuals with Hearing Impairments Including Deafness 110 5 5 106 52.0901 Hospitality Administration/Management, General 131 39 25 93 13.1322 Biology Teacher Education 156 86 5 70 11.0301 Data Processing and Data Processing Technology/Technician 73 9 9 64 51.2208 Community Health and Preventive Medicine 146 90 90 56 38.0101 Philosophy 146 90 13 55 3.0104 Environmental Science 52 2 2 50 50.0903 Music Performance, General 58 9 3 49 43.0202 Fire Services Administration 36 3 3 33 15.1102 Surveying Technology/Surveying 33 2 2 31 22.0302 Legal Assistant/Paralegal 52.1401 Marketing/Marketing Management, General 40.0699 51 27 22 24 399 384 35 15 Geological and Earth Sciences/Geosciences, Other 21 7 7 14 16.1601 American Sign Language (ASL) 42 28 28 14 26.0301 Botany/Plant Biology 15 6 1 9 50.0399 Dance, Other 11 2 1 9 43.0203 Fire Science/Fire-fighting 90 85 85 4 43.0106 Forensic Science and Technology 11 15 5 (4) 51.0602 Dental Hygiene/Hygienist 111 119 7 (8) 52.0801 Finance, General 520 555 38 (35) 76 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY AVERAGE ANNUAL OPENINGS AVERAGE ANNUAL COMPLETERS UVU COMPLETERS TOTAL GAP OR SURPLUS Biotechnology 15 51 26 (36) Geology/Earth Science, General 21 59 4 (38) CIP PROGRAM 26.1201 40.0601 50.0301 Dance, General 31.0501 Health and Physical Education/Fitness, General 50.0401 43.0103 7 61 9 (54) 162 228 115 (66) Design and Visual Communications, General 76 145 82 (69) Criminal Justice/Law Enforcement Administration 40 115 68 (74) 50.0501 Drama and Dramatics/Theatre Arts, General 32 109 15 (77) 40.0801 Physics, General 7 91 10 (84) 40.0501 Chemistry, General 28 132 6 (104) 50.0901 Music, General 16 135 10 (119) 44.0701 Social Work 78 210 26 (132) 52.0201 Business Administration and Management, General 1,450 1,583 282 (134) 27.0101 Mathematics, General 13 159 8 (146) 16.0905 Spanish Language and Literature 41 208 24 (167) 49.0102 Airline/Commercial/Professional Pilot and Flight Crew 28 241 229 (213) 9.0101 Speech Communication and Rhetoric 51 397 124 (346) 54.0101 History, General 0 376 24 (376) 26.0101 Biology/Biological Sciences, General 52.0301 Accounting 45.1001 Political Science and Government, General 13.1202 23.0101 45.0601 Economics, General 5 774 7 (769) 42.0101 Psychology, General 6 1,186 302 (1,180) 51.3801 Registered Nursing/Registered Nurse 463 1,917 79 (1,454) 13 454 64 (441) 586 1,029 123 (443) 0 467 49 (467) Elementary Education and Teaching 332 874 184 (542) English Language and Literature, General 113 677 67 (564) TABLE A4.8: ALTERNATIVE SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR UTAH STATE’S MASTER’S DEGREE PROGRAMS CIP PROGRAM 52.0101 Business/Commerce, General 51.3801 Registered Nursing/Registered Nurse 13.0301 Curriculum and Instruction AVERAGE ANNUAL OPENINGS AVERAGE ANNUAL COMPLETERS UVU COMPLETERS TOTAL GAP OR SURPLUS 2,084 28 26 2,056 509 118 4 391 33 188 19 (155) ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 77 APPE NDI X 5: DETAILED EMPLOYMENT PROJECTIONS Table A5.1 displays the occupations that align with one or more of UVU’s educational programs. The programs with which they align can be found in Table A2.1. Table A5.2 displays the occupations that align with one or more of the programs discussed in the analysis of potential new programs (Tables 2.3). Note that if an occupation appears in Table A5.1 it is usually not included in Table A5.2. TABLE A5.1: DETAILED EMPLOYMENT PROJECTIONS RELATED TO EXISTING PROGRAMS CHANGE PERCENT CHANGE PROJECTED ANNUAL OPENINGS 639 58 10% 25 4,592 5,226 634 14% 221 44 53 9 20% 3 2014 JOBS 2019 JOBS 581 SOC OCCUPATION 11-1011 Chief Executives 11-1021 General and Operations Managers 11-2011 Advertising and Promotions Managers 11-2021 Marketing Managers 370 418 48 13% 18 11-2022 Sales Managers 563 640 77 14% 29 11-3011 Administrative Services Managers 252 304 52 21% 15 11-3021 Computer and Information Systems Managers 654 793 139 21% 38 11-3031 Financial Managers 564 643 79 14% 28 11-3051 Industrial Production Managers 263 290 27 10% 11 11-3071 Transportation, Storage, and Distribution Managers 87 100 13 15% 5 11-9021 Construction Managers 519 594 75 14% 34 11-9041 Architectural and Engineering Managers 249 294 45 18% 16 11-9051 Food Service Managers 444 539 95 21% 28 11-9081 Lodging Managers 90 102 12 13% 7 11-9111 Medical and Health Services Managers 399 472 73 18% 25 11-9121 Natural Sciences Managers 51 54 3 6% 0 11-9151 Social and Community Service Managers 233 272 39 17% 13 11-9199 Managers, All Other 1,095 1,153 58 5% 37 13-1051 Cost Estimators 473 606 133 28% 45 13-1081 Logisticians 96 123 27 28% 7 13-1111 Management Analysts 934 1,068 134 14% 43 13-1161 Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists 1,022 1,231 209 20% 58 13-2011 Accountants and Auditors 1,876 2,156 280 15% 117 13-2031 Budget Analysts 49 57 8 16% 4 13-2041 Credit Analysts 41 49 8 20% 3 78 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY 2014 JOBS 2019 JOBS CHANGE PERCENT CHANGE PROJECTED ANNUAL OPENINGS Financial Analysts 235 269 34 14% 14 13-2052 Personal Financial Advisors 244 252 8 3% 9 13-2061 Financial Examiners 22 24 2 9% 0 13-2072 Loan Officers 836 905 69 8% 31 13-2081 Tax Examiners and Collectors, and Revenue Agents 19 23 4 21% 0 13-2099 Financial Specialists, All Other 68 81 13 19% 3 15-1111 Computer and Information Research Scientists 136 152 16 12% 5 15-1121 Computer Systems Analysts 527 737 210 40% 52 15-1122 Information Security Analysts 104 144 40 38% 10 15-1131 Computer Programmers 1,449 1,619 170 12% 75 15-1132 Software Developers, Applications 2,123 2,621 498 23% 131 15-1133 Software Developers, Systems Software 1,006 1,249 243 24% 64 15-1134 Web Developers 497 611 114 23% 32 15-1141 Database Administrators 292 343 51 17% 16 15-1142 Network and Computer Systems Administrators 672 794 122 18% 37 15-1143 Computer Network Architects 84 126 42 50% 11 15-1151 Computer User Support Specialists 2,108 2,509 401 19% 117 15-1152 Computer Network Support Specialists 327 386 59 18% 18 15-1199 Computer Occupations, All Other 243 291 48 20% 14 15-2021 Mathematicians <10 <10 -- -- 0 15-2041 Statisticians 49 57 8 16% 3 15-2099 Mathematical Science Occupations, All Other <10 <10 -- -- 1 17-1021 Cartographers and Photogrammetrists 26 29 3 12% 0 17-1022 Surveyors 44 48 4 9% 1 17-2061 Computer Hardware Engineers 76 118 42 55% 11 17-2199 Engineers, All Other 63 77 14 22% 4 17-3011 Architectural and Civil Drafters 237 237 0 0% 4 17-3019 Drafters, All Other 73 78 5 7% 2 17-3029 Engineering Technicians, Except Drafters, All Other 43 51 8 19% 2 17-3031 Surveying and Mapping Technicians 69 76 7 10% 3 19-1029 Biological Scientists, All Other 28 30 2 7% 1 19-1099 Life Scientists, All Other <10 <10 -- -- 0 19-2012 Physicists <10 <10 -- -- 0 19-2031 Chemists 142 143 1 1% 4 19-2041 Environmental Scientists and Specialists, Including Health 45 57 12 27% 4 19-2042 Geoscientists, Except Hydrologists and Geographers 15 18 3 20% 0 19-2043 Hydrologists <10 <10 -- -- 1 19-3011 Economists <10 <10 -- -- 1 19-3022 Survey Researchers 23 21 (2) (9%) 0 19-3031 Clinical, Counseling, and School Psychologists 466 522 56 12% 25 SOC OCCUPATION 13-2051 ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 79 2014 JOBS 2019 JOBS CHANGE PERCENT CHANGE PROJECTED ANNUAL OPENINGS <10 <10 -- -- 1 20 24 4 20% 0 Historians <10 <10 -- -- 1 19-3094 Political Scientists <10 <10 -- -- 0 19-4091 Environmental Science and Protection Technicians, Including Health 24 29 5 21% 2 19-4092 Forensic Science Technicians 16 19 3 19% 1 21-1013 Marriage and Family Therapists 50 59 9 18% 3 21-1019 Counselors, All Other 93 104 11 12% 4 21-1021 Child, Family, and School Social Workers 352 418 66 19% 22 21-1029 Social Workers, All Other 84 95 11 13% 4 21-1092 Probation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists 109 119 10 9% 5 21-1094 Community Health Workers 64 77 13 20% 5 21-1099 Community and Social Service Specialists, All Other 29 43 14 48% 4 23-2011 Paralegals and Legal Assistants 214 303 89 42% 22 23-2093 Title Examiners, Abstractors, and Searchers 88 102 14 16% 4 23-2099 Legal Support Workers, All Other 31 38 7 23% 0 25-1099 Postsecondary Teachers 4,508 4,951 443 10% 161 25-2011 Preschool Teachers, Except Special Education 324 384 60 19% 23 25-2012 Kindergarten Teachers, Except Special Education 122 154 32 26% 10 25-2021 Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education 3,029 3,461 432 14% 161 25-2022 Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education 890 1,044 154 17% 53 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 1,277 1,474 197 15% 78 25-2051 Special Education Teachers, Preschool 21 25 4 19% 1 25-2052 Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School 341 384 43 13% 15 25-2053 Special Education Teachers, Middle School 43 57 14 33% 4 25-2054 Special Education Teachers, Secondary School 122 145 23 19% 7 25-2059 Special Education Teachers, All Other 40 48 8 20% 2 25-9031 Instructional Coordinators 309 350 41 13% 11 27-1014 Multimedia Artists and Animators 121 124 3 2% 6 27-1021 Commercial and Industrial Designers 93 101 8 9% 4 27-1024 Graphic Designers 793 857 64 8% 35 27-1027 Set and Exhibit Designers 16 18 2 13% 0 27-1029 Designers, All Other 13 15 2 15% 0 27-2011 Actors 77 79 2 3% 4 27-2012 Producers and Directors 149 169 20 13% 10 27-2021 Athletes and Sports Competitors 69 73 4 6% 3 27-2022 Coaches and Scouts 448 501 53 12% 25 SOC OCCUPATION 19-3032 Industrial-Organizational Psychologists 19-3039 Psychologists, All Other 19-3093 80 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY 2014 JOBS 2019 JOBS CHANGE PERCENT CHANGE PROJECTED ANNUAL OPENINGS 226 234 8 4% 9 Dancers 30 31 1 3% 1 27-2032 Choreographers 12 14 2 17% 1 27-2041 Music Directors and Composers 25 26 1 4% 0 27-2042 Musicians and Singers 114 88 (26) (23%) 5 27-2099 Entertainers and Performers, Sports and Related Workers, All Other 66 69 3 5% 3 27-3012 Public Address System and Other Announcers 16 13 (3) (19%) 1 27-3031 Public Relations Specialists 336 390 54 16% 16 27-3043 Writers and Authors 206 188 (18) (9%) 7 27-3091 Interpreters and Translators 163 167 4 2% 5 29-1141 Registered Nurses 3,210 3,745 535 17% 176 29-2021 Dental Hygienists 489 637 148 30% 45 29-2041 Emergency Medical Technicians and Paramedics 214 244 30 14% 12 33-1012 First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives 260 286 26 10% 13 33-1021 First-Line Supervisors of Fire Fighting and Prevention Workers 61 73 12 20% 5 33-2011 Firefighters 472 544 72 15% 29 33-2021 Fire Inspectors and Investigators 12 14 2 17% 0 33-2022 Forest Fire Inspectors and Prevention Specialists <10 <10 -- -- 1 33-9031 Gaming Surveillance Officers and Gaming Investigators 12 13 1 8% 0 35-1011 Chefs and Head Cooks 196 224 28 14% 9 35-2013 Cooks, Private Household - <10 -- -- 0 35-2014 Cooks, Restaurant 1,256 1,409 153 12% 58 35-2019 Cooks, All Other 11 14 3 27% 1 37-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Housekeeping and Janitorial Workers 402 469 67 17% 24 39-1011 Gaming Supervisors 13 13 0 0% 0 39-1021 First-Line Supervisors of Personal Service Workers 400 437 37 9% 16 39-9031 Fitness Trainers and Aerobics Instructors 631 634 3 0% 14 41-3031 Securities, Commodities, and Financial Services Sales Agents 193 196 3 2% 8 43-6011 Executive Secretaries and Executive Administrative Assistants 1,014 1,115 101 10% 33 43-6014 Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive 7,445 8,348 903 12% 277 43-9011 Computer Operators 132 142 10 8% 3 43-9021 Data Entry Keyers 458 456 (2) (0%) 7 47-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers 1,751 2,078 327 19% 94 47-2011 Boilermakers 14 19 5 36% 0 47-2021 Brickmasons and Blockmasons 360 482 122 34% 31 SOC OCCUPATION 27-2023 Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials 27-2031 ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 81 SOC OCCUPATION 2014 JOBS 2019 JOBS CHANGE PERCENT CHANGE PROJECTED ANNUAL OPENINGS 47-2022 Stonemasons 15 25 10 67% 2 47-2031 Carpenters 2,519 2,849 330 13% 120 47-2041 Carpet Installers 41 37 (4) (10%) 1 47-2042 Floor Layers, Except Carpet, Wood, and Hard Tiles 32 29 (3) (9%) 0 47-2043 Floor Sanders and Finishers <10 <10 -- -- 1 47-2044 Tile and Marble Setters 189 192 3 2% 6 47-2051 Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers 620 727 107 17% 30 47-2053 Terrazzo Workers and Finishers <10 <10 -- -- 0 47-2061 Construction Laborers 2,991 3,468 477 16% 182 47-2071 Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators 38 47 9 24% 2 47-2072 Pile-Driver Operators <10 <10 -- -- 0 47-2073 Operating Engineers and Other Construction Equipment Operators 1,082 1,187 105 10% 50 47-2081 Drywall and Ceiling Tile Installers 466 414 (52) (11%) 5 47-2082 Tapers 44 39 (5) (11%) 1 47-2111 Electricians 1,449 2,501 1,052 73% 254 47-2121 Glaziers 81 95 14 17% 5 47-2131 Insulation Workers, Floor, Ceiling, and Wall 55 50 (5) (9%) 0 47-2132 Insulation Workers, Mechanical 29 30 1 3% 0 47-2141 Painters, Construction and Maintenance 879 983 104 12% 42 47-2142 Paperhangers <10 <10 -- -- 1 47-2151 Pipelayers 171 187 16 9% 6 47-2152 Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters 699 767 68 10% 25 47-2161 Plasterers and Stucco Masons 110 111 1 1% 1 47-2171 Reinforcing Iron and Rebar Workers 25 31 6 24% 1 47-2181 Roofers 183 195 12 7% 8 47-2211 Sheet Metal Workers 220 235 15 7% 8 47-2221 Structural Iron and Steel Workers 366 395 29 8% 19 47-3011 Helpers--Brickmasons, Blockmasons, Stonemasons, and Tile and Marble Setters 240 306 66 28% 18 47-3012 Helpers--Carpenters 113 145 32 28% 9 47-3013 Helpers--Electricians 412 641 229 56% 55 47-3014 Helpers--Painters, Paperhangers, Plasterers, and Stucco Masons 69 72 3 4% 2 47-3015 Helpers--Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters 149 161 12 8% 5 47-3016 Helpers--Roofers 101 108 7 7% 3 47-3019 Helpers, Construction Trades, All Other 51 59 8 16% 3 47-4011 Construction and Building Inspectors 126 142 16 13% 6 47-4031 Fence Erectors 41 44 3 7% 2 47-4041 Hazardous Materials Removal Workers 64 72 8 13% 3 82 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY 2014 JOBS 2019 JOBS CHANGE PERCENT CHANGE PROJECTED ANNUAL OPENINGS 30 37 7 23% 2 755 871 116 15% 46 Electrical and Electronics Installers and Repairers, Transportation Equipment 12 14 2 17% 0 49-2096 Electronic Equipment Installers and Repairers, Motor Vehicles 15 16 1 7% 0 49-3021 Automotive Body and Related Repairers 223 258 35 16% 12 49-3022 Automotive Glass Installers and Repairers 41 47 6 15% 2 49-3023 Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics 1,225 1,309 84 7% 50 49-3031 Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists 287 322 35 12% 14 49-9051 Electrical Power-Line Installers and Repairers 171 217 46 27% 16 49-9071 Maintenance and Repair Workers, General 2,380 2,810 430 18% 138 49-9095 Manufactured Building and Mobile Home Installers <10 <10 -- -- 0 51-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers 981 1,076 95 10% 34 51-2023 Electromechanical Equipment Assemblers 17 30 13 76% 3 51-4012 Computer Numerically Controlled Machine Tool Programmers, Metal and Plastic 14 19 5 36% 0 51-7011 Cabinetmakers and Bench Carpenters 312 307 (5) (2%) 5 51-7031 Model Makers, Wood <10 <10 -- -- 1 51-7032 Patternmakers, Wood <10 <10 -- -- 1 51-7041 Sawing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Wood 51 51 0 0% 1 51-7042 Woodworking Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Except Sawing 127 130 3 2% 1 51-8012 Power Distributors and Dispatchers 15 16 1 7% 1 51-8013 Power Plant Operators 35 37 2 6% 0 51-8021 Stationary Engineers and Boiler Operators 20 24 4 20% 1 51-8031 Water and Wastewater Treatment Plant and System Operators 223 250 27 12% 14 51-8092 Gas Plant Operators 12 13 1 8% 1 51-8093 Petroleum Pump System Operators, Refinery Operators, and Gaugers 21 24 3 14% 1 51-8099 Plant and System Operators, All Other <10 <10 -- -- 0 51-9122 Painters, Transportation Equipment 56 65 9 16% 3 53-1011 Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors <10 <10 -- -- 0 53-1021 First-Line Supervisors of Helpers, Laborers, and Material Movers, Hand 182 218 36 20% 13 53-1031 First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and MaterialMoving Machine and Vehicle Operators 140 172 32 23% 11 53-2011 Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers <10 <10 -- -- 1 53-2012 Commercial Pilots 57 58 1 2% 2 53-3011 Ambulance Drivers and Attendants, Except Emergency Medical Technicians <10 <10 -- -- 0 SOC OCCUPATION 47-4099 Construction and Related Workers, All Other 49-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers 49-2093 ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 83 TABLE A5.2: DETAILED EMPLOYMENT PROJECTIONS RELATED TO POTENTIAL FUTURE PROGRAMS 2014 JOBS 2019 JOBS CHANGE % CHANGE PROJECTED ANNUAL OPENINGS SOC OCCUPATION 11-3121 Human Resources Managers 183 209 26 14% 10 13-1041 Compliance Officers 228 256 28 12% 10 13-1121 Meeting, Convention, and Event Planners 175 224 49 28% 13 13-1151 Training and Development Specialists 613 701 88 14% 30 15-2031 Operations Research Analysts 97 122 25 26% 7 17-2112 Industrial Engineers 267 325 58 22% 20 17-3023 Electrical and Electronics Engineering Technicians 262 325 63 24% 19 17-3026 Industrial Engineering Technicians 61 84 23 38% 6 19-3051 Urban and Regional Planners 69 77 8 12% 5 21-1012 Educational, Guidance, School, and Vocational Counselors 729 796 67 9% 30 21-1014 Mental Health Counselors 198 244 46 23% 14 21-1015 Rehabilitation Counselors 100 122 22 22% 7 21-1022 Healthcare Social Workers 126 157 31 25% 9 21-1023 Mental Health and Substance Abuse Social Workers 328 382 54 16% 19 27-3042 Technical Writers 138 159 21 15% 9 27-4011 Audio and Video Equipment Technicians 252 303 51 20% 15 29-1071 Physician Assistants 196 250 54 28% 15 29-1122 Occupational Therapists 94 112 18 19% 5 29-1171 Nurse Practitioners 354 426 72 20% 22 29-2012 Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technicians 150 182 32 21% 11 29-2053 Psychiatric Technicians 300 325 25 8% 8 29-2071 Medical Records and Health Information Technicians 362 421 59 16% 22 31-9094 Medical Transcriptionists 142 169 27 19% 8 41-9031 Sales Engineers 66 88 22 33% 6 43-6012 Legal Secretaries 427 503 76 18% 21 43-6013 Medical Secretaries 982 1,253 271 28% 68 49-9021 Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers 514 593 79 15% 32 49-9041 Industrial Machinery Mechanics 433 503 70 16% 29 51-4041 Machinists 470 541 71 15% 27 51-9141 Semiconductor Processors 344 393 49 14% 19 53-3032 Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 1,726 1,962 236 14% 81 84 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY TABLE A5.3: DETAILED EMPLOYMENT PROJECTIONS IN SUMMIT/WASATCH COUNTIES RELATED TO EXISTING PROGRAMS 2014 JOBS 2019 JOBS PROJECTED ANNUAL OPENINGS CHANGE PERCENT CHANGE 75 8 12% 3 743 98 15% 33 -- -- 0 5 19% 0 93 15 19% 5 49 8 20% 2 43 8 23% 2 86 11 15% 4 20 3 18% 0 13 16 3 23% 0 101 102 1 1% 3 SOC OCCUPATION 11-1011 Chief Executives 67 11-1021 General and Operations Managers 645 11-2011 Advertising and Promotions Managers <10 <10 11-2021 Marketing Managers 26 31 11-2022 Sales Managers 78 11-3011 Administrative Services Managers 41 11-3021 Computer and Information Systems Managers 35 11-3031 Financial Managers 75 11-3051 Industrial Production Managers 17 11-3071 Transportation, Storage, and Distribution Managers 11-9021 Construction Managers 11-9041 Architectural and Engineering Managers 11-9051 Food Service Managers 11-9081 11-9111 11-9121 Natural Sciences Managers 11-9151 Social and Community Service Managers 11-9199 Managers, All Other 13-1051 Cost Estimators 13-1081 Logisticians 13-1111 Management Analysts 13-1161 Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists 13-2011 Accountants and Auditors 13-2031 Budget Analysts 13-2041 Credit Analysts 13-2051 Financial Analysts 13-2052 Personal Financial Advisors 13-2061 Financial Examiners 13-2072 Loan Officers 13-2081 Tax Examiners and Collectors, and Revenue Agents 13-2099 Financial Specialists, All Other 15-1111 Computer and Information Research Scientists 15-1121 Computer Systems Analysts 15-1122 Information Security Analysts 15-1131 17 20 3 18% 1 100 117 17 17% 5 Lodging Managers 61 71 10 16% 5 Medical and Health Services Managers 29 37 8 28% 2 <10 <10 -- -- 0 13 16 3 23% 0 125 138 13 10% 5 53 59 6 11% 3 13 16 3 23% 1 147 172 25 17% 8 98 126 28 29% 7 218 254 36 17% 14 <10 <10 -- -- 0 <10 <10 -- -- 0 27 32 5 19% 1 30 33 3 10% 1 <10 <10 -- -- 1 33 33 0 0% 0 <10 <10 -- -- 1 13 14 1 8% 1 <10 <10 -- -- 0 49 62 13 27% 3 <10 <10 -- -- 1 Computer Programmers 61 71 10 16% 4 15-1132 Software Developers, Applications 66 84 18 27% 5 15-1133 Software Developers, Systems Software 38 49 11 29% 3 15-1134 Web Developers 40 49 9 23% 3 15-1141 Database Administrators 11 14 3 27% 0 15-1142 Network and Computer Systems Administrators 15-1143 Computer Network Architects 15-1151 15-1152 47 56 9 19% 3 <10 11 -- -- 0 Computer User Support Specialists 79 97 18 23% 5 Computer Network Support Specialists 22 26 4 18% 1 ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 85 SOC OCCUPATION 15-1199 Computer Occupations, All Other 15-2021 Mathematicians 15-2041 Statisticians 15-2099 Mathematical Science Occupations, All Other 17-1021 Cartographers and Photogrammetrists 17-1022 Surveyors 17-2061 Computer Hardware Engineers 17-2199 Engineers, All Other 17-3011 Architectural and Civil Drafters 17-3019 17-3029 2014 JOBS 2019 JOBS CHANGE PERCENT CHANGE PROJECTED ANNUAL OPENINGS 11 13 2 18% 1 - <10 -- -- - <10 <10 -- -- 1 - - 0 0% - <10 <10 -- -- 1 10 10 0 0% 1 17 21 4 24% 0 <10 10 -- -- 1 41 35 (6) (15%) 1 Drafters, All Other <10 <10 -- -- 1 Engineering Technicians, Except Drafters, All Other <10 <10 -- -- 1 17-3031 Surveying and Mapping Technicians <10 <10 -- -- 1 19-1029 Biological Scientists, All Other <10 <10 -- -- 1 19-1099 Life Scientists, All Other <10 <10 -- -- - 19-2012 Physicists <10 <10 -- -- - 19-2031 Chemists <10 <10 -- -- 0 19-2041 Environmental Scientists and Specialists, Including Health 13 16 3 23% 1 19-2042 Geoscientists, Except Hydrologists and Geographers <10 <10 -- -- 1 19-2043 Hydrologists <10 <10 -- -- 1 19-3011 Economists <10 <10 -- -- 1 19-3022 Survey Researchers <10 <10 -- -- 0 19-3031 Clinical, Counseling, and School Psychologists 28 34 6 21% 0 19-3032 Industrial-Organizational Psychologists <10 <10 -- -- - 19-3039 Psychologists, All Other <10 <10 -- -- 0 19-3093 Historians <10 <10 -- -- - 19-3094 Political Scientists <10 <10 -- -- - 19-4091 Environmental Science and Protection Technicians, Including Health <10 <10 -- -- 0 19-4092 Forensic Science Technicians <10 <10 -- -- 0 21-1013 Marriage and Family Therapists <10 <10 -- -- 0 21-1019 Counselors, All Other <10 <10 -- -- 1 21-1021 Child, Family, and School Social Workers 15 19 4 27% 0 21-1029 Social Workers, All Other <10 <10 -- -- 0 21-1092 Probation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists <10 11 -- -- 1 21-1094 Community Health Workers <10 11 -- -- 0 21-1099 Community and Social Service Specialists, All Other <10 <10 -- -- 1 23-2011 Paralegals and Legal Assistants 40 54 14 35% 4 23-2093 Title Examiners, Abstractors, and Searchers 23-2099 Legal Support Workers, All Other 25-1099 25-2011 25-2012 Kindergarten Teachers, Except Special Education 25-2021 Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education 25-2022 Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 16 18 2 13% 1 <10 <10 -- -- 1 Postsecondary Teachers 36 42 6 17% 1 Preschool Teachers, Except Special Education 38 49 11 29% 3 86 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY 17 22 5 29% 1 431 500 69 16% 24 86 105 19 22% 6 155 182 27 17% 10 2014 JOBS 2019 JOBS CHANGE PERCENT CHANGE PROJECTED ANNUAL OPENINGS <10 <10 -- -- 0 74 82 8 11% 3 12 14 2 17% 0 SOC OCCUPATION 25-2051 Special Education Teachers, Preschool 25-2052 Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School 25-2053 Special Education Teachers, Middle School 25-2054 Special Education Teachers, Secondary School 25-2059 Special Education Teachers, All Other 25-9031 Instructional Coordinators 27-1014 27-1021 27-1024 Graphic Designers 27-1027 Set and Exhibit Designers 27-1029 Designers, All Other 27-2011 Actors 27-2012 27-2021 27-2022 Coaches and Scouts 27-2023 Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials 27-2031 Dancers 18 27-2032 Choreographers <10 27-2041 Music Directors and Composers <10 27-2042 Musicians and Singers 27-2099 Entertainers and Performers, Sports and Related Workers, All Other 27-3012 Public Address System and Other Announcers 27-3031 27-3043 27-3091 Interpreters and Translators 12 12 0 0% 1 29-1141 Registered Nurses 146 183 37 25% 11 29-2021 Dental Hygienists 38 50 12 32% 4 29-2041 Emergency Medical Technicians and Paramedics 58 65 7 12% 3 33-1012 First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives 48 54 6 13% 3 33-1021 First-Line Supervisors of Fire Fighting and Prevention Workers 25 28 3 12% 1 33-2011 Firefighters 142 161 19 13% 8 33-2021 Fire Inspectors and Investigators <10 <10 -- -- 1 33-2022 Forest Fire Inspectors and Prevention Specialists <10 <10 -- -- - 33-9031 Gaming Surveillance Officers and Gaming Investigators <10 <10 -- -- 1 35-1011 Chefs and Head Cooks 102 114 12 12% 4 35-2013 Cooks, Private Household - - 0 0% - 35-2014 Cooks, Restaurant 508 566 58 11% 23 35-2019 Cooks, All Other <10 <10 -- -- 1 37-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Housekeeping and Janitorial Workers 107 133 26 24% 8 39-1011 Gaming Supervisors <10 <10 -- -- 1 39-1021 First-Line Supervisors of Personal Service Workers 74 83 9 12% 3 39-9031 Fitness Trainers and Aerobics Instructors 153 174 21 14% 6 16 19 3 19% 0 <10 <10 -- -- 1 15 18 3 20% 0 Multimedia Artists and Animators <10 <10 -- -- 0 Commercial and Industrial Designers <10 <10 -- -- 0 76 86 10 13% 4 <10 <10 -- -- 0 <10 <10 -- -- 0 20 22 2 10% 0 Producers and Directors 29 35 6 21% 2 Athletes and Sports Competitors 19 20 1 5% 0 110 124 14 13% 6 33 34 1 3% 0 20 2 11% 1 <10 -- -- 1 <10 -- -- 0 48 50 2 4% 3 18 20 2 11% 1 <10 <10 -- -- 0 Public Relations Specialists 52 64 12 23% 3 Writers and Authors 33 33 0 0% 1 ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 87 2014 JOBS 2019 JOBS CHANGE PERCENT CHANGE PROJECTED ANNUAL OPENINGS 32 35 3 9% 0 Executive Secretaries and Executive Administrative Assistants 140 156 16 11% 5 43-6014 Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive 556 645 89 16% 25 43-9011 Computer Operators <10 <10 -- -- 0 43-9021 Data Entry Keyers 46 48 2 4% 1 47-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers 250 264 14 6% 7 47-2011 Boilermakers <10 <10 -- -- 1 47-2021 Brickmasons and Blockmasons 47-2022 Stonemasons 47-2031 Carpenters 478 47-2041 Carpet Installers <10 47-2042 Floor Layers, Except Carpet, Wood, and Hard Tiles <10 47-2043 Floor Sanders and Finishers <10 47-2044 Tile and Marble Setters 47-2051 Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers 47-2053 47-2061 SOC OCCUPATION 41-3031 Securities, Commodities, and Financial Services Sales Agents 43-6011 21 28 7 33% 2 <10 <10 -- -- 0 486 8 2% 10 <10 -- -- 1 <10 -- -- 1 <10 -- -- - 21 18 (3) (14%) 1 62 76 14 23% 4 Terrazzo Workers and Finishers <10 <10 -- -- - Construction Laborers 485 519 34 7% 21 47-2071 Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators <10 <10 -- -- 1 47-2072 Pile-Driver Operators <10 <10 -- -- - 47-2073 Operating Engineers and Other Construction Equipment Operators 225 223 (2) (1%) 7 47-2081 Drywall and Ceiling Tile Installers 27 20 (7) (26%) 1 47-2082 Tapers <10 <10 -- -- - 47-2111 Electricians 160 193 33 21% 10 47-2121 Glaziers 18 19 1 6% 1 47-2131 Insulation Workers, Floor, Ceiling, and Wall <10 <10 -- -- 1 47-2132 Insulation Workers, Mechanical <10 <10 -- -- 1 47-2141 Painters, Construction and Maintenance 162 165 3 2% 4 47-2142 Paperhangers <10 <10 -- -- - 47-2151 Pipelayers 12 12 0 0% 0 47-2152 Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters 76 83 7 9% 3 47-2161 Plasterers and Stucco Masons 12 11 (1) (8%) 0 47-2171 Reinforcing Iron and Rebar Workers <10 <10 -- -- 1 47-2181 Roofers 37 48 11 30% 3 47-2211 Sheet Metal Workers 22 25 3 14% 0 47-2221 Structural Iron and Steel Workers 27 28 1 4% 0 47-3011 Helpers--Brickmasons, Blockmasons, Stonemasons, and Tile and Marble Setters 12 16 4 33% 0 47-3012 Helpers--Carpenters 23 24 1 4% 0 47-3013 Helpers--Electricians 13 16 3 23% 1 47-3014 Helpers--Painters, Paperhangers, Plasterers, and Stucco Masons 20 18 (2) (10%) 1 47-3015 Helpers--Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters <10 <10 -- -- 0 88 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY 2014 JOBS 2019 JOBS CHANGE PERCENT CHANGE PROJECTED ANNUAL OPENINGS Helpers--Roofers <10 <10 -- -- 1 Helpers, Construction Trades, All Other <10 <10 -- -- 1 32 3 10% 0 <10 -- -- 0 <10 -- -- 0 <10 -- -- 0 147 170 23 16% 9 Electrical and Electronics Installers and Repairers, Transportation Equipment <10 <10 -- -- 1 49-2096 Electronic Equipment Installers and Repairers, Motor Vehicles <10 <10 -- -- 0 49-3021 Automotive Body and Related Repairers 24 23 (1) (4%) 0 49-3022 Automotive Glass Installers and Repairers <10 <10 -- -- 0 49-3023 Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics 102 106 4 4% 4 49-3031 Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists 49 56 7 14% 2 49-9051 Electrical Power-Line Installers and Repairers 50 70 20 40% 6 49-9071 Maintenance and Repair Workers, General 579 700 121 21% 37 49-9095 Manufactured Building and Mobile Home Installers <10 <10 -- -- - 51-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Production & Operating Workers 83 99 16 19% 4 51-2023 Electromechanical Equipment Assemblers <10 <10 -- -- 0 51-4012 Computer Numerically Controlled Machine Tool Programmers, Metal and Plastic <10 <10 -- -- 0 51-7011 Cabinetmakers and Bench Carpenters 51 55 4 8% 0 51-7031 Model Makers, Wood <10 <10 -- -- 0 51-7032 Patternmakers, Wood - <10 -- -- - 51-7041 Sawing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Wood <10 <10 -- -- 1 51-7042 Woodworking Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Except Sawing <10 <10 -- -- 0 51-8012 Power Distributors and Dispatchers <10 <10 -- -- 1 51-8013 Power Plant Operators <10 <10 -- -- 0 51-8021 Stationary Engineers and Boiler Operators <10 <10 -- -- 0 51-8031 Water and Wastewater Treatment Plant and System Operators 56 62 6 11% 3 51-8092 Gas Plant Operators <10 <10 -- -- 1 51-8093 Petroleum Pump System Operators, Refinery Operators, and Gaugers <10 <10 -- -- 1 51-8099 Plant and System Operators, All Other <10 <10 -- -- 1 51-9122 Painters, Transportation Equipment <10 <10 -- -- 0 53-1011 Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors <10 <10 -- -- - 53-1021 First-Line Supervisors of Helpers, Laborers, and Material Movers, Hand 26 31 5 19% 0 53-1031 First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and MaterialMoving Machine and Vehicle Operators 28 34 6 21% 1 53-2011 Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers <10 <10 -- -- 0 53-2012 Commercial Pilots <10 <10 -- -- 1 53-3011 Ambulance Drivers and Attendants, Except Emergency Medical Technicians <10 <10 -- -- 0 SOC OCCUPATION 47-3016 47-3019 47-4011 Construction and Building Inspectors 29 47-4031 Fence Erectors <10 47-4041 Hazardous Materials Removal Workers <10 47-4099 Construction and Related Workers, All Other <10 49-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers 49-2093 ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 89 TABLE A5.4: DETAILED EMPLOYMENT PROJECTIONS IN SUMMIT/WASATCH COUNTIES RELATED TO POTENTIAL FUTURE PROGRAMS SOC OCCUPATION 2014 JOBS 2019 JOBS CHANGE % CHANGE PROJECTED ANNUAL OPENINGS 1-3121 Human Resources Managers 16 19 3 0 1 13-1041 Compliance Officers 31 36 5 0 1 13-1121 Meeting, Convention, and Event Planners 52 69 17 0 4 13-1151 Training and Development Specialists 39 46 7 0 2 15-2031 Operations Research Analysts <10 10 -- -- 1 17-2112 Industrial Engineers 24 29 5 0 1 17-3023 Electrical and Electronics Engineering Technicians 18 23 5 0 1 17-3026 Industrial Engineering Technicians <10 <10 -- -- 1 19-3051 Urban and Regional Planners 16 18 2 0 1 21-1012 Educational, Guidance, School, and Vocational Counselors 29 34 5 0 1 21-1014 Mental Health Counselors <10 11 -- -- 1 21-1015 Rehabilitation Counselors <10 <10 -- -- 1 21-1022 Healthcare Social Workers 10 13 3 0 1 21-1023 Mental Health and Substance Abuse Social Workers 11 14 3 0 0 27-3042 Technical Writers 10 12 2 0 0 27-4011 Audio and Video Equipment Technicians 34 44 10 0 3 29-1071 Physician Assistants 28 39 11 0 3 29-1122 Occupational Therapists <10 <10 -- -- 1 29-1171 Nurse Practitioners 35 47 12 0 3 29-2012 Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technicians <10 14 -- -- 1 29-2053 Psychiatric Technicians <10 <10 -- -- 1 29-2071 Medical Records and Health Information Technicians 27 35 8 0 2 31-9094 Medical Transcriptionists 19 23 4 0 1 41-9031 Sales Engineers <10 <10 -- -- 0 43-6012 Legal Secretaries 30 38 8 0 2 43-6013 Medical Secretaries 123 168 45 0 11 36 39 3 0 0 49-9021 Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers 49-9041 Industrial Machinery Mechanics 47 56 9 0 4 51-4041 Machinists 35 45 10 0 3 51-9141 Semiconductor Processors <10 <10 -- -- 1 53-3032 Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 229 260 31 0 10 90 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY TABLE A5.5: DETAILED EMPLOYMENT PROJECTIONS IN UTAH STATE RELATED TO EXISTING PROGRAMS 2019 JOBS PROJECTED ANNUAL OPENINGS SOC OCCUPATION 2014 JOBS CHANGE PERCENT CHANGE 11-1011 Chief Executives 3,009 3,227 218 7% 111 11-1021 General and Operations Managers 24,189 26,648 2,459 10% 975 11-2022 Sales Managers 3,551 3,875 324 9% 145 11-3011 Administrative Services Managers 1,869 2,130 261 14% 85 11-3021 Computer and Information Systems Managers 2,817 3,272 455 16% 134 11-3051 Industrial Production Managers 1,808 1,921 113 6% 57 11-3071 Transportation, Storage, and Distribution Managers 1,160 1,253 93 8% 46 11-9021 Construction Managers 2,737 2,867 130 5% 111 11-9041 Architectural and Engineering Managers 1,406 1,578 172 12% 72 11-9111 Medical and Health Services Managers 2,688 3,102 414 15% 155 11-9121 Natural Sciences Managers 486 535 49 10% 20 11-9151 Social and Community Service Managers 932 1,081 149 16% 52 11-9199 Managers, All Other 4,977 5,227 250 5% 163 13-1051 Cost Estimators 2,578 2,955 377 15% 166 13-1081 Logisticians 1,779 2,018 239 13% 70 13-1111 Management Analysts 6,362 7,157 795 12% 266 13-2011 Accountants and Auditors 11,424 12,921 1,497 13% 667 13-2031 Budget Analysts 418 456 38 9% 25 13-2041 Credit Analysts 957 1,052 95 10% 44 13-2061 Financial Examiners 447 473 26 6% 17 13-2081 Tax Examiners and Collectors, and Revenue Agents 2,476 2,541 65 3% 100 15-1111 Computer and Information Research Scientists 611 685 74 12% 25 15-1121 Computer Systems Analysts 3,576 4,380 804 22% 225 15-1122 Information Security Analysts 618 784 166 27% 45 15-1131 Computer Programmers 5,013 5,506 493 10% 238 15-1132 Software Developers, Applications 6,652 8,097 1,445 22% 387 15-1133 Software Developers, Systems Software 3,350 4,075 725 22% 194 15-1134 Web Developers 2,265 2,633 368 16% 113 15-1141 Database Administrators 1,001 1,155 154 15% 52 15-1142 Network and Computer Systems Administrators 3,383 3,816 433 13% 145 15-1143 Computer Network Architects 683 832 149 22% 44 15-1151 Computer User Support Specialists 7,257 8,475 1,218 17% 370 15-1152 Computer Network Support Specialists 1,771 1,945 174 10% 64 15-1199 Computer Occupations, All Other 1,904 2,069 165 9% 65 15-2021 Mathematicians 27 31 4 15% 1 15-2041 Statisticians 221 263 42 19% 16 15-2099 Mathematical Science Occupations, All Other 11 13 2 18% 1 17-1021 Cartographers and Photogrammetrists 205 232 27 13% 10 17-1022 Surveyors 425 470 45 11% 19 17-2061 Computer Hardware Engineers 1,274 1,421 147 12% 59 17-2199 Engineers, All Other 676 758 82 12% 30 ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 91 SOC OCCUPATION 2014 JOBS 2019 JOBS CHANGE PERCENT CHANGE PROJECTED ANNUAL OPENINGS 17-3011 Architectural and Civil Drafters 1,819 1,852 33 2% 32 17-3019 Drafters, All Other 169 187 18 11% 6 17-3029 Engineering Technicians, Except Drafters, All Other 433 477 44 10% 18 17-3031 Surveying and Mapping Technicians 378 429 51 13% 18 19-1029 Biological Scientists, All Other 299 319 20 7% 13 19-1099 Life Scientists, All Other 44 52 8 18% 3 19-2012 Physicists 57 70 13 23% 4 19-2031 Chemists 715 811 96 13% 39 19-2041 Environmental Scientists and Specialists, Including Health 710 822 112 16% 45 19-2042 Geoscientists, Except Hydrologists and Geographers 388 442 54 14% 24 19-2043 Hydrologists 63 70 7 11% 3 19-3011 Economists 58 74 16 28% 5 19-3022 Survey Researchers 19-3031 Clinical, Counseling, and School Psychologists 19-3032 Industrial-Organizational Psychologists 19-3039 Psychologists, All Other 19-3094 Political Scientists 19-4091 Environmental Science and Protection Technicians, Including Health 19-4092 129 169 40 31% 10 1,450 1,643 193 13% 82 15 20 5 33% 1 134 159 25 19% 9 25 31 6 24% 1 439 509 70 16% 33 Forensic Science Technicians 193 209 16 8% 11 21-1013 Marriage and Family Therapists 227 265 38 17% 13 21-1019 Counselors, All Other 488 536 48 10% 21 21-1021 Child, Family, and School Social Workers 1,371 1,639 268 20% 87 21-1029 Social Workers, All Other 588 639 51 9% 24 21-1092 Probation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists 582 624 42 7% 24 21-1094 Community Health Workers 562 643 81 14% 32 21-1099 Community and Social Service Specialists, All Other 207 276 69 33% 20 23-2011 Paralegals and Legal Assistants 2,159 2,549 390 18% 118 23-2093 Title Examiners, Abstractors, and Searchers 690 740 50 7% 22 23-2099 Legal Support Workers, All Other 25-1099 Postsecondary Teachers 25-2011 Preschool Teachers, Except Special Education 25-2012 Kindergarten Teachers, Except Special Education 25-2021 Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education 25-2022 216 242 26 12% 9 16,434 18,558 2,124 13% 692 2,660 2,988 328 12% 153 747 890 143 19% 52 15,824 17,676 1,852 12% 749 Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education 4,385 5,027 642 15% 236 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/ Technical Education 5,865 6,627 762 13% 327 25-2051 Special Education Teachers, Preschool 71 89 18 25% 5 25-2052 Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School 1,802 1,979 177 10% 68 25-2053 Special Education Teachers, Middle School 573 640 67 12% 24 25-2054 Special Education Teachers, Secondary School 645 735 90 14% 30 25-2059 Special Education Teachers, All Other 182 213 31 17% 10 92 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY 2014 JOBS 2019 JOBS CHANGE PERCENT CHANGE PROJECTED ANNUAL OPENINGS Instructional Coordinators 981 1,123 142 14% 37 27-1014 Multimedia Artists and Animators 343 332 (11) (3%) 16 27-1021 Commercial and Industrial Designers 27-1024 Graphic Designers 27-1027 SOC OCCUPATION 25-9031 378 412 34 9% 17 3,090 3,355 265 9% 139 Set and Exhibit Designers 99 107 8 8% 4 27-1029 Designers, All Other 50 57 7 14% 3 27-2011 Actors 392 390 (2) (1%) 16 27-2012 Producers and Directors 734 728 (6) (1%) 26 27-2021 Athletes and Sports Competitors 261 268 7 3% 11 27-2022 Coaches and Scouts 2,239 2,497 258 12% 126 27-2023 Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials 488 501 13 3% 20 27-2031 Dancers 159 163 4 3% 7 27-2032 Choreographers 27-2041 Music Directors and Composers 27-2042 Musicians and Singers 27-2099 Entertainers and Performers, Sports and Related Workers, All Other 27-3012 Public Address System and Other Announcers 27-3031 Public Relations Specialists 27-3043 Writers and Authors 27-3091 Interpreters and Translators 785 29-1141 Registered Nurses 19,385 29-2021 Dental Hygienists 2,363 29-2041 Emergency Medical Technicians and Paramedics 33-1012 First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives 33-1021 First-Line Supervisors of Fire Fighting and Prevention Workers 33-2011 Firefighters 33-2021 33-2022 66 78 12 18% 5 558 579 21 4% 22 1,474 1,407 (67) (5%) 53 301 269 (32) (11%) 5 67 53 (14) (21%) 1 1,797 2,004 207 12% 68 859 782 (77) (9%) 25 942 157 20% 52 22,273 2,888 15% 990 2,928 565 24% 183 2,297 2,638 341 15% 137 1,541 1,645 104 7% 68 589 643 54 9% 37 3,592 3,910 318 9% 167 Fire Inspectors and Investigators 73 82 9 12% 4 Forest Fire Inspectors and Prevention Specialists 25 26 1 4% 0 33-9031 Gaming Surveillance Officers and Gaming Investigators 59 65 6 10% 2 35-1011 Chefs and Head Cooks 1,070 1,156 86 8% 35 35-2013 Cooks, Private Household 35-2014 Cooks, Restaurant 35-2019 Cooks, All Other 37-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Housekeeping and Janitorial Workers 39-1011 Gaming Supervisors 39-1021 15 16 1 7% 1 7,298 7,993 695 10% 292 121 137 16 13% 6 1,996 2,192 196 10% 91 44 43 (1) (2%) 2 First-Line Supervisors of Personal Service Workers 1,653 1,767 114 7% 63 39-9031 Fitness Trainers and Aerobics Instructors 3,093 3,211 118 4% 62 43-6011 Executive Secretaries and Executive Administrative Assistants 6,922 7,330 408 6% 169 43-6014 Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive 29,891 33,316 3,425 11% 1071 ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 93 2014 JOBS 2019 JOBS CHANGE PERCENT CHANGE PROJECTED ANNUAL OPENINGS 641 655 14 2% 9 Data Entry Keyers 3,301 3,127 (174) (5%) 39 47-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers 8,401 9,237 836 10% 294 47-2011 Boilermakers 116 128 12 10% 8 47-2021 Brickmasons and Blockmasons 1,193 1,640 447 37% 110 47-2022 Stonemasons 80 117 37 46% 10 47-2031 Carpenters 11,349 11,819 470 4% 316 47-2041 Carpet Installers 248 229 (19) (8%) 5 47-2042 Floor Layers, Except Carpet, Wood, and Hard Tiles 205 193 (12) (6%) 4 47-2043 Floor Sanders and Finishers 47-2044 Tile and Marble Setters 47-2051 Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers 47-2053 Terrazzo Workers and Finishers 47-2061 Construction Laborers 47-2071 Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators 47-2072 Pile-Driver Operators 47-2073 SOC OCCUPATION 43-9011 Computer Operators 43-9021 62 58 (4) (6%) 0 996 982 (14) (1%) 22 3,193 3,516 323 10% 105 36 36 0 0% 0 14,039 15,314 1,275 9% 628 315 374 59 19% 17 21 24 3 14% 1 Operating Engineers and Other Construction Equipment Operators 7,711 8,227 516 7% 286 47-2081 Drywall and Ceiling Tile Installers 2,196 2,112 (84) (4%) 27 47-2082 Tapers 357 351 (6) (2%) 5 47-2111 Electricians 7,203 8,881 1,678 23% 502 47-2121 Glaziers 604 668 64 11% 28 47-2131 Insulation Workers, Floor, Ceiling, and Wall 388 395 7 2% 8 47-2132 Insulation Workers, Mechanical 366 436 70 19% 20 47-2141 Painters, Construction and Maintenance 3,407 3,550 143 4% 108 47-2142 Paperhangers 43 41 (2) (5%) 1 47-2151 Pipelayers 629 676 47 7% 20 47-2152 Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters 5,046 5,483 437 9% 161 47-2161 Plasterers and Stucco Masons 739 752 13 2% 9 47-2171 Reinforcing Iron and Rebar Workers 213 244 31 15% 10 47-2181 Roofers 1,612 1,643 31 2% 48 47-2211 Sheet Metal Workers 2,137 2,282 145 7% 72 47-2221 Structural Iron and Steel Workers 1,492 1,614 122 8% 76 47-3011 Helpers--Brickmasons, Blockmasons, Stonemasons, and Tile and Marble Setters 694 915 221 32% 57 47-3012 Helpers--Carpenters 518 568 50 10% 19 47-3013 Helpers--Electricians 899 1,228 329 37% 83 47-3014 Helpers--Painters, Paperhangers, Plasterers, and Stucco Masons 347 348 1 0% 6 47-3015 Helpers--Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters 485 544 59 12% 20 47-3016 Helpers--Roofers 324 345 21 6% 10 47-3019 Helpers, Construction Trades, All Other 226 252 26 12% 9 94 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY 2014 JOBS 2019 JOBS CHANGE PERCENT CHANGE PROJECTED ANNUAL OPENINGS Construction and Building Inspectors 954 1,060 106 11% 46 47-4031 Fence Erectors 244 261 17 7% 11 47-4041 Hazardous Materials Removal Workers 259 296 37 14% 14 47-4099 Construction and Related Workers, All Other 161 181 20 12% 8 49-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, & Repairers 5,208 5,620 412 8% 230 49-2093 Electrical and Electronics Installers and Repairers, Transportation Equipment 131 137 6 5% 4 49-2096 Electronic Equipment Installers and Repairers, Motor Vehicles 199 212 13 7% 4 49-3021 Automotive Body and Related Repairers 1,675 1,788 113 7% 56 49-3022 Automotive Glass Installers and Repairers 207 222 15 7% 8 49-3023 Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics 7,383 7,941 558 8% 307 49-3031 Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists 3,628 3,898 270 7% 137 49-9051 Electrical Power-Line Installers and Repairers 998 1,040 42 4% 44 49-9071 Maintenance and Repair Workers, General 12,712 14,089 1,377 11% 539 49-9095 Manufactured Building and Mobile Home Installers 32 29 (3) (9%) 1 51-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Production & Operating Workers 6,756 7,134 378 6% 175 51-2023 Electromechanical Equipment Assemblers 314 372 58 18% 16 51-4012 Computer Numerically Controlled Machine Tool Programmers, Metal and Plastic 83 107 24 29% 8 51-7011 Cabinetmakers and Bench Carpenters 1,900 1,661 (239) (13%) 21 51-7031 Model Makers, Wood 20 24 4 20% 0 51-7032 Patternmakers, Wood <10 <10 -- -- 0 51-7041 Sawing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Wood 199 200 1 1% 7 51-7042 Woodworking Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Except Sawing 666 672 6 1% 7 51-8012 Power Distributors and Dispatchers 133 131 (2) (2%) 4 51-8013 Power Plant Operators 349 333 (16) (5%) 10 51-8021 Stationary Engineers and Boiler Operators 206 226 20 10% 11 51-8031 Water and Wastewater Treatment Plant and System Operators 1,442 1,569 127 9% 79 51-8092 Gas Plant Operators 100 97 (3) (3%) 4 51-8093 Petroleum Pump System Operators, Refinery Operators, and Gaugers 643 700 57 9% 37 51-8099 Plant and System Operators, All Other 64 72 8 13% 4 51-9122 Painters, Transportation Equipment 364 387 23 6% 12 53-1011 Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors 87 86 (1) (1%) 2 53-1021 First-Line Supervisors of Helpers, Laborers, and Material Movers, Hand 2,077 2,286 209 10% 103 53-1031 First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and MaterialMoving Machine and Vehicle Operators 1,562 1,745 183 12% 83 53-2011 Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers 1,395 1,359 (36) (3%) 40 53-2012 Commercial Pilots 197 209 12 6% 8 53-3011 Ambulance Drivers and Attendants, Except Emergency Medical Technicians 63 82 19 30% 5 SOC OCCUPATION 47-4011 ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 95 TABLE A5.6: DETAILED EMPLOYMENT PROJECTIONS IN UTAH STATE RELATED TO POTENTIAL FUTURE PROGRAMS 2014 JOBS 2019 JOBS 901 1,013 CHANGE % CHANGE PROJECTED ANNUAL OPENINGS 112 12% 48 SOC OCCUPATION 11-3121 Human Resources Managers 13-1071 Human Resources Specialists 4,509 4,879 370 8% 161 13-1121 Meeting, Convention, and Event Planners 829 987 158 19% 44 13-1141 Compensation, Benefits, and Job Analysis Specialists 509 567 58 11% 22 13-1151 Training and Development Specialists 2,904 3,229 325 11% 122 15-2031 Operations Research Analysts 645 769 124 19% 41 17-2011 Aerospace Engineers 908 869 -39 -4% 20 17-2081 Environmental Engineers 506 580 74 15% 28 17-2112 Industrial Engineers 2,042 2,262 220 11% 108 17-2131 Materials Engineers 432 450 18 4% 17 17-2171 Petroleum Engineers 243 306 63 26% 20 17-3013 Mechanical Drafters 612 638 26 4% 14 17-3022 Civil Engineering Technicians 612 661 49 8% 23 17-3025 Environmental Engineering Technicians 305 344 39 13% 15 17-3026 Industrial Engineering Technicians 734 788 54 7% 27 17-3027 Mechanical Engineering Technicians 661 716 55 8% 26 19-3051 Urban and Regional Planners 509 555 46 9% 33 19-4021 Biological Technicians 636 720 84 13% 38 19-4031 Chemical Technicians 1,124 1,246 122 11% 54 19-4093 Forest and Conservation Technicians 1,377 1,426 49 4% 65 21-1012 Educational, Guidance, School, and Vocational Counselors 2,384 2,636 252 11% 106 21-1022 Healthcare Social Workers 1,142 1,334 192 17% 66 21-1023 Mental Health and Substance Abuse Social Workers 1,511 1,706 195 13% 74 25-2032 Career/Technical Education Teachers, Secondary School 353 403 50 14% 21 25-3011 Adult Basic and Secondary Education and Literacy Teachers and Instructors 388 437 49 13% 17 27-3042 Technical Writers 727 816 89 12% 42 27-4011 Audio and Video Equipment Technicians 873 964 91 10% 35 29-1071 Physician Assistants 1,070 1,303 233 22% 69 29-1171 Nurse Practitioners 1,658 1,953 295 18% 95 29-2031 Cardiovascular Technologists and Technicians 403 485 82 20% 23 29-2032 Diagnostic Medical Sonographers 475 610 135 28% 35 29-2053 Psychiatric Technicians 29-2071 Medical Records and Health Information Technicians 29-9011 877 931 54 6% 20 2,166 2,455 289 13% 120 Occupational Health and Safety Specialists 829 903 74 9% 39 29-9099 Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Workers, All Other 516 576 60 12% 27 31-9094 Medical Transcriptionists 809 937 128 16% 43 41-9031 Sales Engineers 478 548 70 15% 23 49-2011 Computer, Automated Teller, and Office Machine Repairers 1,190 1,434 244 21% 77 49-3011 Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians 1,582 1,474 -108 -7% 41 49-9021 Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers 2,921 3,258 337 12% 155 49-9062 Medical Equipment Repairers 701 865 164 23% 55 51-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers 6,756 7,134 378 6% 175 51-9141 Semiconductor Processors 53-3032 Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 96 | UTAH VALLEY UNIVERSITY 629 655 26 4% 21 22,763 25,031 2,268 10% 882 ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND PROGRAM GAP ANALYSIS | 97