Risks and their Impacts On Value Chain 1. Customer / Market Knowledge Impacts Risks 1. Inadequate Data base and Information 2. Non reliable sources of Data and Information 3. Conflicting / unrealistic expectations 1. Wrong segmentation of Customers / Markets 2. Misleading input for Concept Development 4. Long, complicated questionnaires 3. Too small a data for use in extrapolation 5. Research report incomplete or outcomes 4. Product may not meet customer’s based on partial information requirements http://www.greenbook.org/marketingresearch/understanding-market-research-challenges-hm01 Coca Cola lost Millions because of Market Research Mistake In the mid- 1980s, Coca Cola made decision to introduce New Coke. Almost 200,000 blind product taste tests were conducted in the USA. More than 50% of the participants favored “New Coke” over both original formula and Pepsi. The product was introduced and the original formula was withdrawn from the market. This turned out to be a big mistake! They assumed that taste was the deciding factor in consumer purchase behavior. Consumers were not told that only one product would be marketed. They were not asked whether they would give up the original formula for New Coke. No one realized the symbolic value and emotional involvement people had with the original Coke. http://www.qualtrics.com/blog/coca-cola-market-research/ Fig. 1 : New Coke, mid 1980s 2. Concept Development Impacts Risks 1) Inadequate Customer / Market Knowledge 2) Targeting wrong customer segment and value proposition 3) Non usage of research data for product conceptualization 4) Changing customer/ market needs 1) Misfit of product in the market 2) Possibility of product non acceptance 3) Technology may not meet customer requirements 4) Delay in development and recurring R & D expenses 3. Product Design, Development and Validation Risks Impacts 1) DFMEA not robust- all failure modes 1) Less reliable product not considered 2) Poor performance 2) Wrong input parameters selected 3) Increased warranty cost for design and validation 4) Increase in Product cost 3) Inadequate Prototyping and Testing 5) Loss of customer confidence 4) Fluctuating Fuel prices 5) Government policies Ford Edsel’s Design, Development and Validation failure The Edsel was designed, developed and manufactured by the Ford Motor Company during the 1958, 1959 and 1960. Its "horsecollar" or toilet seat grille was disliked by the customers. The Teletouch pushbutton automatic transmission selector was designed on the steering wheel hub. Some drivers inadvertently shifted gears when intended to sound the horn. Boomerang-shaped tail lamp lenses placed in a reverse fashion/ confusing. The Company lost about $400 million on the Edsel project. Fig. 3 : Ford Edsel, 1958 Model Fig. 2 : Teletouch Pushbuttons http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edsel#Design_controversies 4. Supply Chain Management Suppliers Material Management Logistics Providers Production process Manufacturer Information Management Operational Supply Chain Risks Globalized and outsourced supply chain processes, enablers and partners Design Process Wholesalers Demand Planning & Forecasting Partners of Supply chain Financial Management Key Processes in Supply chain Disruption Supply Chain Risks Supply Chain Risk Management Social, cultural, legal, political and economical Supply Risks Demand Risks • Supply Cost • Supply Commitment Process Risks Retailers • Uncertain demand • Uncertain Product Mix National / International Regulatory and compliance Risks Intellectual Property Risks Downstream partner Behavioral Risks Political / Social Risks Source: www.metricstream.com › Solutions › Corporate Governance Elements of Cost for a vehicle 80% Major contributor Hence, more focus required. 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Direct Material Cost (DMC) Fixed Conversion Cost (FCC) Variable Conversion Cost (VCC) 4. Supply Chain Management Risks Impacts 1) Unfavourable supplier locations 2) Poor R & D orientation / emphasis 3) Unreliable manufacturing Supplier Processes 4) Single Source supplier or monopolistic situation 5) Unhealthy or “unbalanced” 1) Production Losses 2) Inferior quality of product 3) Inconsistent product performance resulting in recalls 4) Loss of OE’s reputation 5) High inventories due to unreilable supplies Balance sheet http://www.husdal.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/product-design-change-supply-chain-risk.jpg http://ar2009.daimler.com/en/management-report/risk-report/industry-and-business-risks.html Boeing 787 Dreamliner took Two-year delay to its Launch Outsourced 60% of the design and production, 50 suppliers (28 outside U.S.) To reduce the 787′s development time from six to four years To reduce development cost from $10 to $6 billion The new outsourced Supply Chain couldn’t deliver components on time Due to shortage of fasteners as well as incomplete software Components won’t fit together when the plane was being assembled Project results billions of dollars over budget Three years behind the schedule Source: http://www.designnews.com/document Fig. 3 : Boeing 787 Dreamliner 5. Facility Planning and Manufacturing Impacts Risks 1) Wrong or inflexible equipments capacity and hence loss of sales and mfgg. facilities 2) Inability to deliver new / modified 2) Over / Under capacity products quickly 3) Inadequate emergency preparedness – IT and non IT 4) Inconsistent Process capability or inadequate quality control checks 5) Lack of scalability – both “upwards” and “downwards” 1) Unbalanced utilisation of manufacturing 3) Increase in rejections – loss of productivity 4) Production disruptions due to unforeseen events such as data loss, fire, disruptions in incoming semifinished goods etc. (http://www.husdal.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/product-design-change-supply-chain-risk.jpg) http://www.emergency-response-planning.com/blog/bid/37472/Facility-Risk-Management-Planning 6. Dealer / Distribution Chain Development Risks 1) Long and weak distribution chain 2) Poor logistics / high cost of logistics Impacts 1) Delayed delivery of products to consumers – loss of sales 2) Cost to consumer or loss of contribution for OEMs 3) High distribution and PDI cost 3) Migration of customers to competitors 4) Inadequate education and 4) Inadequate product support resulting in Training to Dealers dissatisfied customers (http://www.husdal.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/product-design-change-supply-chain-risk.jpg) 7. Marketing Risks Impacts 1) Unclear Marketing communication 2) Lack of reach of customers 3) No communication in untapped markets 5) Vernacular language / local references 2) Untapped potential offering space to competition 4) Communication of USPs and superiority over competition 1) Risk of product failure and loss 3) Confused consumers – risk of product failure 4) Reputation and brand value erosion (http://www.husdal.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/product-design-change-supply-chain-risk.jpg) 8. After Sales Support Risks Impacts 1) Poor Network of Customer Care Centers 2) More Time To Repair / Replace 3) Lack of trained technicians and proper tools / diagnostics 4) Unavailability of adequate and timely spare support 1) Inconvenience to Customers 2) Anxiety of Customers 3) Dis-satisfied customers and hence no positive referrals and word of mouth publicity 4) Long term impact on current as well as future products http://www.managementstudyguide.com/after-sales-service.htm