EXECUTIVE PERSPECTIVE The State of Stable Value In a recent interview, Pete Chappelear, managing director, Fixed Income, at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, shared his views on the evolution of stable value funds. These strategies— which seek to maintain, but do not explicitly guarantee, daily price stability—generally consist of a diversified bond portfolio combined with bank or insurance-company “wrap” contracts, which enable the funds to be maintained at a dollar per share, much like money market funds. How did stable value funds perform during the financial crisis? Through the crisis, stable value funds were probably the only investments to achieve their objectives—offering participants principal preservation while still earning a substantially higher yield than most money market funds. From participants’ perspectives, these funds did exactly what they wanted and proved to be a safe place to wait out the crisis. How have market changes affected the wrap market? Wrap supply and de- mand remain out of balance. Many wrap issuers have left the market since 2008. New issuers have entered, but at higher prices and in limited scale. Discomfort with contract protections, as well as market uncertainty and overall de-risking at financial institutions, has caused many issuers to cease accepting JOU RN EY Spring 2012 new deposits. Most wrap issuers that remain committed to the business are requiring tighter investment parameters and contract terms and higher fees. How have those changes affected plan sponsors? Plan sponsors seem to have developed a love/hate relationship with their stable value funds. While the funds are well liked by safetyseeking participants, they sure have created frustrations for plan sponsors recently. Protective covenants in wrap contracts effectively handcuffed sponsors from making changes to their plans, especially during the crisis. Imagine if you are a plan sponsor and wanted to do something quickly, like add a government bond fund to your line-up, but were unable to do so because of your stable value fund; or maybe you experienced extensive lay- offs, which you found out might lead to adjustments to the wrap contracts or a “break-the-buck” situation. Many plan sponsors faced these types of situations. In addition, wrap providers are constraining the investments backing such funds, which ultimately will lower the expected returns, though healthy outperformance versus money markets should remain. The combination of these things has driven sponsors to a general feeling of frustration or fatigue with the product. Are there any alternatives to stable value? While we expect that over time a more normal equilibrium and increased flexibility will return to the stable value market, we don’t know how long that might take and there is no guarantee that the long-term solution will be reasonably flexible. Collective or pooled stable value funds offer partial relief from some of the pressures being faced today by clearly defining the rules of the road with regard to things like plan changes. With pooled funds, plan sponsors have more flexibility to make changes, as long as they adhere to the prescribed rules. While this certainty may help in some situations, it falls short of providing meaningful relief for many plans. Another alternative for plan sponsors seeking more flexibility today is what we call a stable income fund. These are similar in nature to stable value funds in that the primary objective is principal preservation, but they don’t cling to the strict dollar-per-share concept. Essentially, a stable income fund is a conservative bond fund paired with stable value technology, which dampens the price volatility. By wrapping or stabilizing a meaningful portion of the fund, say 50% to 70%, the daily price fluctuations of the fund become quite muted and, over a relatively short timeframe like one month or quarter, the price remains stable. Historical data shows that a fund structure with 70% of the assets wrapped should produce positive returns on a monthly, quarterly and annual basis, but with daily and short-term price fluctuations in the range of three to five basis points. As Exhibit 1 illustrates, a stable income strategy would have roughly the same low volatility as money market and stable value funds, but with the potential for higher expected returns. How significant are these changes? From my perspective, I see product changes like stable income as game changing. Stepping away from the confines of a strict dollar per share product could be hugely liberating for plan sponsors, and may not be that big a deal for participants. For plan sponsors, the structure would give them the freedom to pursue actions—such as revamping their DC line-ups or adding target date funds—that would normally be constrained by the traditional stable value fund. In addition, the fear of breaking the buck would obviously “ The combination of market conditions and product frustrations appears to be creating a favorable climate for change. ” go away because participants would become accustomed to modest daily price movements. Participants, on the other hand, would likely view this type of fund as a safe haven where their balances would generally remain protected, much the way they view stable value or money market funds. E X H I B I T 1 : C O N S E R VAT I V E A LT E R N AT I V E S W I T H I N A D C P L A N How committed is J.P. Morgan to the stable value industry? While many traditional wrap providers are exiting the business, J.P. Morgan Asset Management remains firmly committed and is working to enhance the business for plan sponsors and participants. J.P. Morgan has created partnerships with leading insurance companies that are bringing new wrap capacity to market, and we are making structural changes to our existing products to ensure continued growth and viability. We expect these efforts, and new product offerings like stable income, to build on our position as a market leader. Pete Chappelear, managing director Stable Value Return Potential Despite the many benefits of this type of fund, we realize it is not for everyone, and that it often takes time for sponsors that are accustomed to the dollar-per-share feel of stable value to consider something somewhat different. That said, the combination of market conditions and product frustrations appears to be creating a favorable climate for change. Bonds Stable Income Money Market Volatility Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management; diagram for illustrative purposes only. is a client portfolio manager in the U.S. Fixed Income Group. An employee since 1997, Pete is the head of the firm’s Stable Value Group, with overall business and client responsibilities. He currently serves on the Stable Value Investment Association (SVIA) Board of Directors. Pete received his B.A. in economics and business from Lafayette College. Stable Value funds are not federally guaranteed and may lose value. Stable Value funds have interest rate, inflation and credit risks that are associated with the underlying assets owned by the fund. The strength of the “wrap contract” is dependent on the financial strength of the financial institutions issuing the contracts. Publications referenced in this material are presented for general educational purposes only. JPMorgan and its affiliates did not receive any compensation or consideration for referencing these titles. The opinions and information presented in these titles do not necessarily reflect the opinions of JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its affiliates. This document is intended solely to report on various investment views held by J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Opinions, estimates, forecasts and statements of financial market trends that are based on current market conditions constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice. We believe the information provided here is reliable but should not be assumed to be accurate or complete. The views and strategies described may not be suitable for all investors. References to asset classes and financial markets are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be, and should not be interpreted as, recommendations. Indices do not include fees or operating expenses and are not available for actual investment. 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