THE PRIVATIZATION OF FINANCIAL GOVERNANCE AND THE US BANKING COMPLEX Dr. Oscar Ugarteche Galarza IIEC UNAM SNI I ugarteche@iiec.unam.mx The development of the international financial architecture 1. . For the past two hundred years the international financial architecture has been built by major leaps. As risk becomes unmanageable, institutions develop to cover un wanted risk. This was ther case in the 1870’s with the Corporation of Foreign Bondholders and what came with it in terms of instruments including the gold standard. The development of the international financial architecture 2 Again in the 1930’s a major shift was observed as the existing institutions did not foresee the crisis nor were able to resolve it. Thus came the Hoover year, the end of the gold standard, the exchange stabilization fund,the foreign bondholders committee, and the seeds of the IMF The IMF would do the information gathering in a grander scale.than the Office of Economic Intelligence of the League of Nations and before that the London CFB did, All of that was meant to stabilize the world economy. The development of the international financial architecture 3 Then came the crisis of the 1970’s, the end of the keynsian revolution and of Bretton Woods. This was followed by a process of financial deregulalion starting from the United States with the Mac Kinnon and Shaw concept of interest rate lliberalization and the end of financial repression.. A new financial system developed The question is if what developed was a system in scientific terms or if what happened was the development of a financial and banking complex that led to a banking complex. The relevance of this is what we are going to address The concept of a banking complex paraphrasing Eisenhower “This conjunction of an immense financial establishment and a large banking industry is new in the American experience. The total influence -- economic, political, even spiritual -- is felt in every city, every State house, every office of the Federal government. We recognize the imperative need for this development. Yet we must not fail to comprehend its grave implications. Our toil, resources and livelihood are all involved; so is the very structure of our society.” The incidence of the banking complex Public policy formulation in the United States must be explained. The combined action of the banking sector on the Government - through the lobbies – ends up in the representation of banking sector interests in the Government– through the naming of the Secretary of the Treasury. This is the role of the banking complex How can a complex be identified? Size in the economy Size as employer Fiscal benefits Political presence in the executive power Incidence in the legislative Financial Results Size in the economy CUADRO 1 Estados Unidos - PIB (Por producto) (Percentaje del PIB) Transaccion 1970 1980 1990 2000 2009 PIB 100 100 100 100 100 Valor agregado bruto a precios básicos, 90.94 91.25 92.58 93.31 93.09 total actividad Agricultura, caza and bosques; 3.12 2.63 1.92 1.11 1.03 pesquería Industria, incluyendo energia 26.23 25.89 21.72 17.20 14.40 Construcciòn 4.75 4.51 4.24 4.67 3.86 Ventas al por mayor y menor, reparaciones; hotelerìa y restauraciòn; 21.43 20.99 20.25 18.70 16.92 transporte Intermediaciòn financiera; bienes 15.95 17.98 22.95 29.55 31.56 raices, arrendamiento financiero y otros Otras actividades de servicios 19.46 19.26 21.49 22.07 25.31 Impuestos menos subsidies en productos 8.41 7.15 6.89 6.69 6.91 Discrepancia estaditica 0.65 1.60 0.53 0.00 Source: OECD, National Accounts 2010 100 93.10 1.10 15.13 3.49 16.95 31.21 25.22 6.90 - Size as employer Finance, insurance, real estate, rental, and leasing Finance and insurance Federal Reserve banks, credit intermediation, and related activities Securities, commodity contracts, and investments Insurance carriers and related activities Funds, trusts, and other 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 8137 8267 8428 8382 8223 7844 7735 5973 6067 6193 6159 6029 5784 5720 2850 2909 2953 2898 2750 2618 2566 768 796 825 858 871 816 803 2270 2274 2325 2315 2319 2265 2266 Fiscal benefits PIB Total bancos, valores, seguros, fondos, bienes raíces, alquileres, y arrendamiento financiero excedente/PIB salarios/PIB impuestos/PIB 2004 2008 2009 2010 100% 100% 100% 100% 79.77% 14.99% 79.90% 14.81% 80.68% 13.87% 80.27% 14.18% 5.24% 5.29% 5.45% 5.56% Executive Power: before and after 1979 David M. Kennedy, Utah Jan. 22, 1969 - Feb. 11, 1971 John B. Feb. 11, 1971 - Jun. 12, Connally, Texas 1972 George P. Shultz, Illinois Jun. 12, 1972 - May 8, 1974 William E. May 8, 1974 - Jan. 20, Simon, New Jersey 1977 W. Michael Jan. 23, 1977 - Aug. 4, Blumenthal, Michigan 1979 Lawyer Continental Illinois Bank Lawyer oil industry Lawyer oil industry Business Lawyer CEO Bendix, Unisys, Industrial Military complex illiam Miller, Aug. 6, 1979 - Jan. 20, 1981 Former president of the FED Donald T. Regan, Jan. 22, 1981 - Feb. 2, 1985 CEO Merril Lynch Pierce fenner and Smith Investment bank Corporate lawyer oil industry James A. Baker, III, Feb. 3, 1985 - Aug. 17, 1988 Nicholas F. Brady, Sep. 16, 1988 - Jan. 20, 1989 Jan. 20, 1989 - Jan. 17, 1993 CEO Dillon Read investment bank Lloyd M. Bentsen, s Jan. 22, 1993 - Dec. 22, 1994 Consolidated American Life y Lincoln Consolidated, Seguros antes Robert E. Rubin, Jan. 10, 1995 - Jul. 2, 1999 Lawrence H. Summers, Jul. 2, 1999 - Jan. 20, 2001 CEO Goldman Sachs imnvestment bank Academic on finainclal issues Paul H. O'Neill, Jan. 30, 2001 - Dec. 31, 2002 Military industrial complex John W. Snow, Feb. 3, 2003 - June 29, 2006 Military industrial complex Henry M. Paulson, Jr., Jul. 10, 2006 - Jan. 20, 2009 CEO Goldman Sachs imnvestment bank Timothy F. Geithner, Jan. 26,2009 - Present Former undersecretary of Rubin and Summers and ex Pres of NY FED GRAFICO 1. PIB Y Finanzas, seguros, bienes raíces, Alquileres y arrendamientos financieros (Porcentaje de crecimiento) Source: Real Value Added by Industry , Bureau of Economic Analysis RANGO Sector MONTO Peso 1 Finanzas/segur/bienes raices $372,005,817 21.1% 2 3 4 Otros Negocios varios Abogados y lobbistas $262,610,710 $239,380,099 $156,747,409 14.9% 13.6% 8.9% 5 6 7 Ideologia/tema unico Salud Comunicaciones/Electronica 8 Energia/Recursos naturales 9 10 11 12 13 Construcción Trabajo Agronegocios Transporte Defensa Total $69,899,432 $69,573,860 $50,231,068 $42,840,528 $17,579,225 $1,766,311,682 4.0% 3.9% 2.8% 2.4% 1.0% 100% Who is giving $149,878,483 8.5% to the 8.3% $147,136,594 $108,870,209 6.2% presidential $79,558,248 race? 4.5% Contribuyent e Goldman Sachs Bain Capital National Assn of Realtors Clarium Capital Management Crow Holdings Jw Childs Assoc Friess Assoc Bank of America Monto $5,448,003 $4,663,378 $4,069,474 $3,787,200 $3,697,600 $2,792,700 $2,598,889 $2,529,637 Who in the financial sector The financing of the presidentail campaign THE TEN LARGEST BANK HOLDING COMPANIES k Institution Name (RSSD ID) Location Total Assets 1 JPMORGAN CHASE & CO. (1039502) NEW YORK, NY $2,290,146,000 2 BANK OF AMERICA CORPORATION (1073757) CHARLOTTE, NC $2,162,083,396 3 CITIGROUP INC. (1951350) NEW YORK, NY $1,916,451,000 4 WELLS FARGO & COMPANY (1120754) SAN FRANCISCO, CA $1,336,204,000 5 GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP, NEW YORK, NY INC., THE (2380443) $948,981,000 THE TEN LARGEST 2 6 METLIFE, INC. (2945824) NEW YORK, NY $825,188,490 7 MORGAN STANLEY (2162966) NEW YORK, NY $748,517,000 8 U.S. BANCORP (1119794) MINNEAPOLIS, MN $353,136,000 9 BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORPORATION, NEW YORK, NY THE (3587146) $330,490,000 10 HSBC NORTH AMERICA HOLDINGS INC. (3232316) NEW YORK, NY $317,482,38 MUCHAS GRACIAS