Strategy in the Entrepreneurial Millenium: Countertrade As an Emerging Opportunity for Entrepreneurial Firms LESLIE E. PALICH, R. DUANE IRELAND, & D. RAY BAGBY Department of Management and Entrepreneurship Baylor University Waco, Texas 76798-8006 UNITED STATES OF AMERICA Abstract: We maintain that countertrade presents an emerging opportunity for entrepreneurial firms. That is, the trend toward more and smaller countertrade exchanges opens the door to small firms, and the flexibility and creativity of entrepreneurial firms may indeed represent advantages for these smaller competitors. We unfold our theory via three important considerations. First, we explain the concept of countertrade and describe its sophisticated variations. Second, we discuss the factors that are driving the trend toward increasing countertrade, lending confidence to the prediction that the trend toward increasing countertrade will continue. Finally, from a resource-based perspective, we describe the fundamental characteristics of the entrepreneurial firm, thus explaining why these firms may be uniquely positioned to exploit disproportionately the potential of countertrade in the future. With this as background, we develop a model integrating described constructs in a way that demonstrates the usefulness of the practice of countertrade for entrepreneurial firms. Key Words: Countertrade, Entrepreneurship, Internationalization, International Trade, Transformation 1 Introduction The practice of countertrade is not well understood; and, several myths continue to obscure the notion and discourage its use. Myth #1: Countertrade is synonymous with barter—i.e., an international trade wherein goods and services are paid for in kind. In reality, this is only one of several countertrade options, and historically not even the most used alternative at that [6]. Myth #2: The use of countertrade is in decline. Some associate this type of trade arrangement with the old Soviet system, with its unconvertible currency and insatiable demand for western goods. However, the use of countertrade is increasing. Though it is difficult to obtain exact figures, Platt [26] reports that countertrade, as a percentage of world trade, rose from approximately two percent in 1975 to around 20 percent by 1992. Moreover, this trend is likely to continue, with some projections approaching 50 percent by the year 2000. Several reasons for this trend have been cited; these are discussed below. Myth #3: Countertrade is strictly the domain of the large firm. This is not necessarily the case. It is true that countertrade transactions in the past have typically involved very large contracts (at times exceeding one billion dollars in value); however, recent geopolitical and economic trends explain the rise of much smaller contracts. Taken together, these observations suggest the future of countertrade is likely to be very different from past experiences. We aver that countertrade presents an emerging opportunity for entrepreneurial firms. That is, the trend toward more and smaller countertrade exchanges opens the door to small firms, and the flexibility and creativity of entrepreneurial firms may indeed represent advantages for these smaller competitors. In an effort to establish this position, we unfold our theory via three important considerations. First, we explain the concept of countertrade and describe its sophisticated variations. In our view, the complex nature of these contracts represents a foundation of opportunity for entrepreneurial firms. Second, we discuss the factors that are driving the trend toward increasing countertrade. Understanding these factors lends confidence to the prediction that the trend toward increasing countertrade will continue, spawning more and smaller contracts for international firms. Finally, from a resource-based perspective, we describe the fundamental characteristics of the entrepreneurial firm, thus explaining why these firms may be uniquely positioned to exploit disproportionately the potential of countertrade in the future. With these components as background, we develop a model integrating described constructs in a way that demonstrates the usefulness of the practice of countertrade for entrepreneurial firms. barter is the most restrictive countertrade alternative because it prescribes the specifics of a one-to-one exchange, so one party may end up with goods that cannot be used or are unsuitable for timely resale. Thus, firms may not want to pursue this alternative. 2.2 Counterpurchase 2 What is Countertrade? Countertrade is usually seen exclusively as barter, but this is not the case. In fact, countertrade is the generic term that is often used to reference a family of trade financing arrangements. The United Nations defines this practice as “a commercial transaction in which provisions are made, in one or a series of related contracts, for payment by deliveries of goods and/or services in addition to, or in place of financial settlement” [20]. One common typology provides greater definition by presenting five distinct types of countertrade [4][14]. In addition to barter, these include counterpurchase, offsets, switch trading (or clearing accounts), and compensation (or buybacks). Research reveals that historically firms have used offsets and counterpurchasing far more than barter and buyback, and switchtrading is by far the least used of the five alternatives [6]. Though some would argue that this list fails to include some important variations of countertrade (e.g., clearing arrangements and debt-equity swaps), it does provide a useful framework for our area of study. As background, we describe each of the five categories below. 2.1 Barter Barter is a noncash exchange, where one firm exports a product or service and accepts a similar payment from the importing firm. Perhaps the best known illustration of this is PepsiCo’s exchange of syrup and technology to make Pepsi products available in the former Soviet Union which were offset with the receipt of Stolichnaya vodka as in kind payment [18]. However, this method has been employed in the exchange of a variety of goods, including Boeing jet aircraft for Saudi Arabian crude oil and Caterpillar earth-moving equipment for Venezuelan iron ore [6][12][23]. While these particular transactions were successfully completed, this is not always the case. As Hill [14] points out, More firms use counterpurchase than barter agreements, the former of which is best described as a reciprocal buying contract [11]. Under this arrangement, an exporter sells products to an importer with the understanding that the exporter will use all or part of the cash received to purchase goods or services from the importer at a specified time in the future. However, the contract is often written in such a way that the nature of the goods and/or services is determined in advance. This type of contract is often used by firms trying to penetrate new markets in developing countries [4]. And as Verzariu [28] notes, the bulk of counterpurchase transactions "has involved mostly counterdeliveries of raw materials and semiprocessed commodities rather than finished goods, since the former are more easily marketable." 2.3 Offsets A third form of countertrade is the offset, which is another type of reciprocal buying agreement. As with a counterpurchase, offsets require an exporter to buy or arrange to sell products or services offered by the importer [28]. However, this agreement is different in that the exporter can fulfill the offset requirement with a firm other than the initial importer (as along as it is from the same country). This provides greater flexibility to the exporter since it increases the range of firms and products/services with which the exporter can work and still fulfill the requirements of the offset agreement. However, offsets are often used in transactions involving governments, and thus the exporter may be constrained to shape the agreement to suit national interests. For example, Beamish, Killing, Lecraw, and Crockell [2] mention the case of Raytheon Canada which was able to sell sophisticated air traffic control equipment to the South Korean government only after they agreed to offset the purchase with products that supported the country’s five-year strategic plan. Thus, the offset may still not provide the flexibility that an exporter would like when entering such a contract. 2.4 Switchtrading Switchtrading occurs when a third-party trading house becomes involved in the exchange. If an exporter ends up with countertrade credits that it does not wish to use, it can always sell them to a trader, who will then resell the credits to a firm that can make better use of them. Though not used often [6], firms know the existence of these intermediaries may take some of the risk out of countertrade since they will find potential buyers for credits the exporter cannot use. 2.5 Compensation Finally, compensation (or buyback) involves a firm that builds a plant in another country and then receives compensation in the form of a percentage of the production of that facility. This type of countertrade seems to be most common when doing business with Eastern European companies [4]. Countertrade is more than just pure barter. Instead, it is a multidimensional concept, and that fact opens the way to sophisticated options for creative trade contracts. Since this is the case, firms will excel in countertrade only if they are flexible enough to accommodate the unique demands of this form of trade. However, factoring countertrade into models of international business is mere academic exercise if the opportunity to engage in such trade is restricted. But this is not the case—the use of countertrade is rising. We outline the factors underlying this trend in the next section. 3 Countertrade Trends Countertrade predates the 13th century arrival of Marco Polo in the Far East, but it seems to have come of age during the 1980s as many companies from developed and developing countries used this method to complete international transactions [21]. Some view this trend as a regression to a more primitive way of conducting business and the World Bank and International Monetary Fund both discourage it; nonetheless, its use in on the increase [4][15]. We offer several explanations for this trend. The primary motivation for engaging in countertrade is “to gain an export opportunity where none existed before.” In other words, such contracts allow the firm to grow its international business and increase its profits. They also offer additional advantages such as increasing market diversification, building goodwill, obtaining inexpensive raw materials, and penetrating markets [21]. These motivations spawn interest in counter-trade by providing a “pull” to get firms involved. But there are also “push” factors that encourage the use of countertrade and thus promote its growth. For example, shortages of hard currency, lethargic export activity, trade deficits, and tight credit have left many developing and planned economies with few alternatives to obtain the capital goods and services that are very much in demand. As Pearson and Forker [24] observe, “countertrade is an important marketing tool because it enables firms to overcome trade barriers, obstacles of inconvertible currencies and borrowing constraints, and to enter otherwise saturated markets.” In some cases, countertrade may be the only possible means to trade [25]. Furthermore, countertrade exchanges usually do not register in international payment accounts, which helps less developed countries with high exchange rates sell goods without upsetting domestic prices. These conditions promote the continued increase in countertrade activity. Trade trends in two regions of the world— Russia and Asia—may explain most of the surge in countertrade in recent years. In no country is the value of countertrade more apparent than in Russia. Due to its vast natural resource endowments and its economic instability, Russia is a prime candidate for such arrangements. In an effort to stabilize the ruble and ensure coverage of foreign debt obligations, Boris Yeltsin issued foreign exchange regulations in the early 1990s and later banned hard currency sales. These changes left Russian companies with fewer resources and discouraged foreign investment—a fertile climate for countertrade activity. Though Asia’s situation is quite different, the resulting boost to countertrade is just as evident. As Kotabe [16] points out, China’s currency devaluation in 1994 triggered a financial crisis that continues to ripple through the region’s economies. Thailand was hit hard in 1997, and neighboring economies anticipated—and in many cases, experienced—similar economic crises. Devalued currencies and tight monetary policies (required by the IMF) made countertrade an attractive alternative. What are the potential outcomes of these events? More than likely, countertrade will continue to grow in popularity. The trend certainly received a boost starting in the mid-1990s when emerging economies in areas such as the Near East, Southeast Asia, and South Africa enacted new countertrade requirements for civilian procurement [28]. At the same time, however, those interested in striking noncash deals must tap a limited pool of willing participants in western economies, which will require greater flexibility on the part of foreign importers [23]. In turn, this flexibility should lead to smaller contracts (indeed, Hill [14] mentions completed transactions involving less than $250,000). This trend portends well for smaller firms, especially more “fleet-offoot,” entrepreneurial competitors. 4 Entrepreneurial Firms Uniquely Positioned For Countertrade? Through the lens of the resource based view, firms are considered collections of resources that are difficult to copy. Resources are defined as the set of tangible and intangible assets that are linked with the firm on a relatively permanent basis. The resource based lens calls for decision-makers to be seen as rational agents. In this context, individuals make decisions regarding the selection and accumulation of particular resources that are then expected to yield competitive advantages. In turn, competitive advantages are the pathway through which the firm earns above-average rates of return on its investments. Decisions of this type are seen as economically rational since they are made within the decision makers’ constraints from limited data, cognitive biases, and causal ambiguity [22]. Firms able to combine resources in meaningful, idiosyncratic (i.e., heterogeneous) ways can expect to gain advantage in the marketplace relative to their counterparts who are either unable or unwilling to combine their resources in ways that facilitate the creation of value [10][13]. The collection and use of resources that are valuable, rare, imperfectly imitable and nonsubstitutable is expected to result in enduring variations across firms [1]. Moreover, the use of these types of resources is the capability that permits the firm to formulate and implement valuecreating strategies across time and markets [17]. The strategic management literature, which seeks to explain differential firm performance, argued that large firms have a comparative advantage over their smaller rivals. Often these advantages derive from economies of scale, market power, and entry barriers. However, as noted by Dean, Brown, and Bamford [9], contributions and insights from several sources, including Porter [27] and Birch [3] altered the assumption of uniform superiority of large over small firms. In essence, Porter recognized the ability of focused strategies to achieve superior returns, thus questioning the conclusion that small size automatically results in a competitive disadvantage. Birch’s classic finding that small firms are major stimulators of economic development also highlighted the significance of small firms as social constructions that may not be disadvantaged relative to their large counterparts. Through sophisticated theoretical models and empirical methods, researchers are expanding our knowledge regarding the strategic advantages of small, and especially entrepreneurial, firms. In their study of competitive dynamics, Chen and Hambrick [8] recognized that competitive actions and responses differ by firm size. Based on the evidence that smaller firms in their sample were speedier, more active in their initiation of competitive challenges, and more secretive in executing their challenges, these researchers concluded that organizational size shapes the nature of competitive dynamics. Results from other studies show that strategies chosen by entrepreneurial firms affect performance outcomes (e.g., ROA, growth) based on industry conditions [7][19]. Following a comprehensive literature review, Brush & Chaganti [5] revealed a foundation through which we can better understand “…differences in performance of entrepreneurial ventures depending on strategy, the industry, and the entrepreneur(s)” (page 235). As suggested by this foundation, Brush & Chaganti [5] discovered that for entrepreneurial service and retail firms, relationships among strategic variables vary depending on the one selected as a key indicator of the “goodness” of the firm’s performance. In terms of our arguments about countertrade, these researchers’ results suggest that some configurations of the entrepreneurial venture’s resources can be expected to lead to competitive success. Dean et al. [9] argued that large and small entrepreneurial firms differ fundamentally in the resources that they control. Moreover, these differences were expected to allow smaller firms to outperform their larger competitors in particular industry settings. Supporting this logic, Dean et al. [9] found that small firms exploit competitive advantages in terms of speed, strategic flexibility, and a niche-filling capacity to outperform larger companies. In contrast, large firms compete on the advantages they possess as a result of what are often significant resource bases. These resources (primarily financial and human) often allow large firms to exert bargaining power over suppliers and customers and to exploit patents in the marketplace. The findings that we have discussed suggest that large and small entrepreneurial firms are affected differently by an industry’s structural characteristics. Extending this further, these findings can be interpreted to argue that the entrepreneurial venture’s advantages of speed, flexibility, and an ability to satisfy the particular needs of specific market segments or customers may position it uniquely to achieve competitive success through countertrade practices. Stated somewhat differently, advantages grounded in speed, flexibility and market segmentation may be more relevant when engaging in countertrade activities as compared to advantages that exist primarily because of the large firm’s “deep pockets” [9]. Because of these possibilities, in the future, countertrade may be considered the domain of the entrepreneurial firm. 5 A New Model of Countertrade and Entrepreneurial Firms These thoughts lead to a model of countertrade for entrepreneurial firms, especially those that are expanding their international involvement [12]. As Verzariu [28] observes, expanding opportunities abroad will require firms to be creative in the business proposals they tender, developing customized countertrade agreements where these will procure projects that would not otherwise take form. This creates more room for smaller and more entrepreneurial firms in international trade. That is, entrepreneurial firms are more likely than their nonentrepreneurial counterparts to have the flexibility required to consummate countertrade deals. Though they lack the deep pockets of their larger competitors (a disadvantage in international business), entrepreneurial firms may, on balance, have greater competitive advantage in the world of countertrade owing to their commercial agility. Integrating the dynamics described above, we propose an initial model of countertrade for entrepreneurial firms that recognizes two primary advantages that derive from their characteristic flexibility. First, they can exploit a broader range of opportunities in the global marketplace since they can adapt to the unique demands of countertrade arrangements. Large, bureaucratic firms are likely to forego such contracts if they are committed to a business model that cannot accommodate stipulated requirements. Second, entrepreneurial firms can often demand a premium price for goods or services rendered under a countertrade deal, profiting from their strategic flexibility by accepting trade conditions that others find unacceptable. 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