ASHFORD HOTEL MARKET FACT FILE March 2011 INTRODUCTION Ashford is undergoing transformational change, having been identified by Government in the Sustainable Communities plan 2003 as one of four areas to deliver significant levels of new housing and jobs in the South East. The current Core Strategy which provides housing and jobs targets to 2021 identifies the town of Ashford growing by 20,350 homes and 17,500 jobs between 2001 and 2021, increasing the 70,000 population in the town significantly over this period. Plans also include the potential for over 2 million sq ft of commercial office development to come forward as part of the town’s growth.. The £2.5 billion development strategy focuses on revitalising and transforming the town centre through the development of new retail, business, housing, cultural, tourism and education facilities. The town centre will accommodate an additional 9,000 new jobs, 68,350 sq m of retail and leisure floorspace and 94,880 sq m of new office floorspace. Key schemes include the 6.65 acre Elwick Place development in the town centre core, to be developed by Stanhope; the £7.56m Ashford Gateway Plus iconic building housing a new library on which work has now started; and a dynamic new commercial quarter and focus for large scale office space close to Ashford International Station. In addition to the town centre regeneration and expansion, 6,625 new jobs will be created through the development of key business parks in the Greater Ashford urban area, including Eureka Park where there are proposals for 1.4m sq ft of primary office space. Two major urban extensions will provide for up to a further 13,500 new dwellings, and major transport schemes will facilitate access, including a new motorway junction 10A on the M20, new mixed use link road schemes such as Victoria Way, and the development of SMARTLINK, a bus rapid transport system. All of these developments are likely to generate a significant increase in demand for hotel accommodation in Ashford from the corporate market, contractors, Eurostar passengers and people visiting friends and relatives, attending weddings and family parties and going into the town centre for nights out. This growth could create opportunities for hotel development in Ashford over the next 5-10 years. Ashford Hotel Market Fact File 1 March 2011 INTRODUCTION The Ashford Hotel Market Fact File has been compiled to assist hotel companies, developers and investors in assessing hotel investment opportunities in Ashford. It provides the latest available information on: • The current hotel supply in Ashford; • Recent hotel development; • Current hotel development proposals; • Recent hotel performance; • The key markets for hotel accommodation in Ashford; • The prospects for growth in demand for hotel accommodation and what will drive this. All of the data included in the Fact File is drawn from the Kent Hotel Futures Study undertaken by consultants Hotel Solutions in late 2010/early 2011. For further information and contacts or to discuss your requirements contact: Andrew Osborne Economic Development Manager Ashford Borough Council Civic Centre Tannery Lane Ashford TN23 1PL Tel: 01233 330310 Email: Andrew.Osborne@ashford.gov.uk Ruth Wood Research & Development Manager Kent County Council Invicta House 2nd Floor County Hall Maidstone Kent ME14 1XX t.01622 696907 e. ruth.wood@kent.gov.uk Ashford Hotel Market Fact File 2 March 2011 INTRODUCTION Current Hotel Supply • There are currently 10 hotels in Ashford with a total of 785 letting bedrooms. This includes the Eastwell Manor 4 star country house hotel. Ashford’s hotel supply is a mix of 4 star, 3 star and budget hotels. The town has no boutique, upper-tier budget or 2 star hotels or serviced apartments. CURRENT HOTEL SUPPLY – ASHFORD – MARCH 2011 Standard 5 star Boutique 4 star 4 star Country House Hotel 3 star 2 star Upper-tier Budget1 Budget Non-inspected Serviced Apartments Total Hotels Hotels Rooms % of Rooms 0 0 1 1 2 0 0 4 2 0 10 0 0 179 60 195 0 0 306 45 0 785 0 0 22.8 7.6 24.9 0 0 39.0 5.7 0 100.0 Notes: 1. Brands including Holiday Inn Express, Ramada Encore and Hampton by Hilton 2. Apartments that are let for short stays and serviced on a daily basis, either purposebuilt serviced apartment complexes/ buildings or residential apartments that are let on a serviced basis ASHFORD - HOTELS – MARCH 2011 Establishment Ashford Grade Ashford International Eastwell Manor Holiday Inn Ashford Central Holiday Inn Ashford North Premier inn Ashford Central Premier Inn Ashford Eureka Park Premier Inn Ashford North Travelodge Ashford The Conningbrook, Kennington The Croft, Kennington 4 star 4 star Country House 3 star 3 star Budget Budget Budget Budget n/a n/a Ashford Hotel Market Fact File 2 Rooms 179 60 103 92 60 74 60 112 29 16 March 2011 INTRODUCTION Changes in Supply 2005-2010 • The only addition to the Ashford hotel supply in the last 5 years has been the Premier Inn Ashford Eureka Park, which opened in February 2009 with 74 bedrooms. • The Ashford International underwent an £11 million refurbishment programme in 2007 following its acquisition by Q Hotel. • None of the town’ hotels have expanded in the last 5 years. A number have completed significant refurbishment programmes. Proposed Hotel Development • A planning application for a 100 bedroom hotel to the south of the Ashford Designer Outlet Centre is currently pending. There are no other firm plans or pending applications for hotel projects in Ashford. Ashford Hotel Market Fact File 3 March 2011 ASHFORD HOTEL PERFORMANCE & MARKETS Summary The demand for hotel accommodation in Ashford is highly seasonal, leisure • driven and low-rated. People stopping overnight en-route to Eurodisney on Eurostar and group tours are key markets. Corporate demand is highly price competitive. These factors combine to result in relatively low hotel occupancies and achieved room rates for the town’s hotels at present. Occupancy and Achieved Room Rates Average annual room occupancies and achieved room rates for hotels in • Ashford are estimated as follows for 2008, 2009 and 2010. ASHFORD HOTEL PERFORMANCE 2008-2010 Standard of Hotel UK Provincial UK 3/4 Star Chain Hotels1 Ashford 3/4 Star Hotels2 England Budget Hotels3 Ashford Budget Hotels Source: Average Annual Room Occupancy % 2008 2009 2010 70.2 68.2 69.6 66 68 64 71.5 64.9 n/a n/a n/a 68 Average Annual Achieved Room Rate4 £ 2008 2009 2010 72.91 68.65 67.80 50.40 50.80 48.30 48.99 47.97 n/a n/a n/a 46.60 Kent Hotel Futures, Hotel Solutions – March 2011 Notes 1. 2. 3. 4. Source: TRI Hotstats UK Chain Hotels Market Review Excluding Eastwell Manor. As a 4 star country house hotel this hotel trades very differently to the other 3/4 star hotels in Ashford. The inclusion of this hotel in the sample would thus give a skewed result Source: TRI Hotstats 2010 – United Kingdom Hotel Industry Report Net of VAT and breakfast Ashford Hotel Market Fact File 4 March 2011 ASHFORD HOTEL PERFORMANCE & MARKETS • Key observations on Ashford hotel occupancy and achieved room rate performance over the last three years are as follows: 3/4 Star Hotel Performance o Room occupancies and achieved room rates for Ashford’s 3/4 star hotels are well below national averages and below the levels achieved by the town’s budget hotels in some cases. o There is relatively little difference in terms of occupancy performance between the town’s 3 and 4 star hotels. One 3 star hotel trades at slightly lower levels of occupancy. There is a more marked difference in terms of achieved room rate performance but no hotel is achieving an average room rate anywhere near approaching the national 3/4 star average. o Ashford 3/4 star hotel occupancies and achieved room rates increased slightly in 2009 as a result of demand from contractors involved in the High Speed 1 project but dropped back in 2010 following the completion of this project. One 3 star hotel reported a drop in occupancy in 2009as a result of a downturn in group tour business and the impact of the opening of the Premier Inn at Eureka Park. Budget Hotel Performance o Occupancies and achieved room rates for Ashford’s budget hotels are broadly in line with national averages but below the levels achieved by budget hotels in some other parts of Kent. Most of the town’s budget hotels trade at very similar levels of occupancy. One trades at a much lower level of occupancy. Budget hotel occupancies dropped in 2009 as a result of the opening of the Premier Inn Eureka Park but recovered in 2010. Ashford Hotel Market Fact File 5 March 2011 ASHFORD HOTEL PERFORMANCE & MARKETS Seasonality • Hotels in Ashford achieve high occupancies and frequently turn business away both during the week and at weekends between July and September and during school half term holidays. Friday and Saturday occupancies are also strong in May, June, September and October. Occupancies are much lower outside these times. Midweek/Weekend Occupancies • Estimated weekday and weekend occupancy for Ashford hotels in 2010 are summarised in the table below. ASHFORD HOTELS - WEEKDAY/ WEEKEND OCCUPANCIES – 2010 Standard 3/4 Star Hotels Budget Hotels Source: Typical Room Occupancy % Mon-Thurs Friday Saturday 66 64 86 69 65 75 Sunday 37 52 Kent Hotel Futures, Hotel Solutions – March 2011 Ashford Hotel Market Fact File 6 March 2011 ASHFORD HOTEL PERFORMANCE & MARKETS Midweek Markets and Trends • Key midweek markets for Ashford hotels are: o Corporate demand associated with Ashford companies; o Demand(primarily for budget hotel accommodation) from contractors working on construction projects and at the Dungeness and Sellinge power stations; • o Families travelling to Disneyland Paris on Eurostar; o Group tours during the summer months. Corporate demand is largely project- related and thus unpredictable. The town’s corporate market is highly price competitive. Ashford hotels also attract demand from businessmen travelling on Eurostar and some demand from companies based in Tenterden. • Residential conferences are an important midweek market for the Ashford International. It attracts international conferences and some larger conferences, which also generate business for other hotels in the town. Residential conferences are a very minor midweek market for Ashford’s 3 star hotels. • Group tours are a key midweek market for Ashford’s 3 and 4 star hotels between May and September. They predominantly attract German, Dutch and Belgian tours and some UK tours for either a 2-4 night stay or a single night stop-over enroute to or from the Continent. Group tour rates are typically between £30 and £40 per person per night for dinner, bed and breakfast. Ashford Hotel Market Fact File 7 March 2011 ASHFORD HOTEL PERFORMANCE & MARKETS • In terms of trends in midweek demand: o Residential conference business has reduced during the recession and lead in times for residential conference bookings have significantly shortened. o The length of corporate stays has reduced and the local corporate market remains unpredictable and highly competitive. Hotels have not increased their corporate rates for the last 3 years. o Contractors working on the High Speed 1 project generated significant demand for one hotel between 2007 and 2009. This demand ceased in 2010 following the completion of the project. o Group tour business increased for at least 2 hotels in 2010. Weekend Markets and Trends • Families travelling to Eurodisney on Eurostar are the main weekend market for Ashford’s budget hotels and a key source of weekend demand for the town’s 3/4 star hotels. • Other weekend markets are: o People attending weddings and functions at the town’s 3 and 4 star hotels and other wedding venues such as Leeds Castle, Eastwell Manor and Port Lympne; o Group tours (for 3/4 star hotels); o Leisure breaks (for 3/4 star hotels); o People visiting friends and relatives (primarily for budget hotels). o Corporate arrivals on Sunday nights; o Contractors staying over the weekend and/or arriving on Sunday nights (primarily for budget hotels) • Leisure break demand is relatively limited for Ashford hotels. Key draws for leisure break stays are Leeds Castle, the Ashford Designer Outlet Centre, Canterbury and gardens. The Ashford International has successfully developed a spa break market. The town’s hotels drive much of their leisure break business through special offers and added value packages. Ashford Hotel Market Fact File 8 March 2011 ASHFORD HOTEL PERFORMANCE & MARKETS • Events at Port Lympne generate some weekend demand for Ashford hotels. • Demand has generally held or grown from all leisure markets over the past 3 years. Denied Business • Ashford’s 3/4 star hotels occasionally deny midweek and weekend business during the peak summer months but not that frequently and not usually to any significant degree. • The town’s budget hotels consistently turn away reasonably significant levels of business on Fridays and Saturdays between May and early September, seven nights a week in July, August and early September, Saturdays in April and October and all week during the February and October school half term holidays Prospects for 2011 • Most Ashford hotel managers expect to see occupancy and achieved room rate growth in 2011as a result of stronger corporate demand, targeted growth in residential conference business for one hotel, an increase in group tour rates and strong demand from the Open Golf at Sandwich. Ashford Hotel Market Fact File 9 March 2011 PROSPECTS FOR GROWTH Strategic Context • Ashford is undergoing transformational change, having been identified by the Government’s Sustainable Communities Strategy 2003 as one of four growing areas to deliver significant levels of new housing and jobs in the South East. The current Core Strategy which provides housing and jobs targets to 2021 identifies the town of Ashford growing by 20,350 homes and 17,500 jobs between 2001 and 2021, increasing the 70,000 population in the town significantly over this period. Plans also include the potential for over 2 million sq ft of commercial office development to come forward as part of the towns growth. • The £2.5 billion development strategy focuses on revitalising and transforming the town centre through the development of new retail, business, housing, cultural, tourism and education facilities and open spaces, but also on creating new neighbourhoods through the development of major urban extensions to the town and improvements to Ashford’s infrastructure, particularly transport. • Ashford Town Centre is at the heart of the town’s expansion and the economic driver that will help provide a strong commercial centre. The town centre is also to increasingly be a major focus for employment, and will accommodate an additional 9,000 new jobs as well as 3,100 new dwellings by 2021. The high speed domestic and international rail services now available will facilitate this. 9,000 new jobs will require 68,350 sq m of new retail/leisure floorspace, 94,880 sq m of new office floorspace and new education facilities within an expanded town centre area. Ashford Hotel Market Fact File 10 March 2011 PROSPECTS FOR GROWTH • The Ashford Town Centre Area Action Plan directs the development of the town centre into a series of quarters, each with their own character, function and role: o The Town Centre Core Focal point for retail, entertainment, tourist and cultural activity, with complimentary office and residential uses. Mixed use schemes will increase the vitality of the area and the resident population. Key sites include: - Elwick Place – at 6.65 acres, the most significant town centre site, particularly given its location between the station and the town centre, with potential for 27,000 sq m of floorspace plus residential. A development agreement has been signed with Stanhope. The scheme will include retail, leisure, business and residential uses, with potential to include a town centre hotel, and the creation of 500 new jobs. - Park Mall – for mixed use retail, office and leisure. - Vicarage Lane Car Park – comprehensive redevelopment for a mix of residential, retail, leisure, office and cultural uses. - Elwick Rd/Station Rd – predominantly for office use with commercial uses at ground floor level. - Ashford Library – a prominent site for the delivery of the new £7.56m Ashford Gateway Plus, an iconic building that will house a new library, registry and community facilities. Construction is due to be completed in Summer 2011. - Godington Way – allocated for residential town house development. Ashford Hotel Market Fact File 11 March 2011 PROSPECTS FOR GROWTH o The Commercial Quarter The dynamic new business sector of the town, stimulating major investment opportunities in new large scale office space close to the station. Restaurants, bars and some residential will support commercial development here. This quarter will play a leading role in meeting new jobs targets, with 55,000 sq m of new office development proposed 2,500 sq m of small scale retail and leisure, and 150 dwellings. o The Civic Quarter This quarter incorporates the Civic Centre and the Stour Leisure Centre. Development here will focus on Tannery Lane and Station Rd, and will be less intensive office, community, retail and leisure uses. o The International Station Quarter A key gateway and transitional area in relation to established residential areas and the Designer Outlet Village. Office uses are identified as the most appropriate use here, given the rail services and proximity to the Commercial Quarter, with complementary retail, leisure and residential. A good business class hotel is also sought here. This quarter includes the former B&Q site. o The Southern Expansion Quarter Predominantly residential, but also incorporating the new Learning Campus and improved linkages, including Victoria Way, a new road connecting the International Station directly to South Ashford and the A28. Ashford Hotel Market Fact File 12 March 2011 PROSPECTS FOR GROWTH o The Residential Transition Quarter An area of transition between the high levels of new development in the town centre core and the residential areas to the north and west. Some mixed use development will be promoted here, but limited in scale. • A further 6,625 new jobs will be accommodated on business parks outside the town centre on 5 key sites: o Sevington, close to the proposed junction 10A, that will provide for larger scale employment development not suited to mixed use areas; o Eureka Park, just off junction 9, where 46ha of land is allocated for 1.4m sq ft of primary office space. 300,000 sq ft has been developed to date. o Waterbrook Park mixed use area, 15ha allocated in the Core Strategy; o Orbital Park, off junction 10, a mixed use site with office, industrial and distribution uses on 141 acres; o Henwood – an extension to the existing industrial estate Ashford Hotel Market Fact File 13 March 2011 PROSPECTS FOR GROWTH 1 Eureka Business Park 2 Waterbrook Business Park 3 Sevington Business Park 4 Henwood Business Park Extension 5 Orbital Park 6 Elwick Place Ashford Hotel Market Fact File 14 March 2011 PROSPECTS FOR GROWTH • There are 2 urban extensions proposed for Ashford, with the potential for a third to be identified in future planning documents: o Development at Cheeseman’s Green/Waterbrook, to the south east of Ashford, will deliver 4,300 new dwellings to 2021 and a further 2,200 beyond 2021. Waterbrook is also an employment location. Over 2000 new jobs are targeted here. o Chilmington Green/Discovery Park urban extension, to the south west of Ashford, will provide for over 7,000 dwellings and 1000 jobs in total. o The location of a third urban extension is to be identified, that is proposed to make provision for 3500 dwellings and 450 jobs. • Ashford Borough Council’s development plan identifies a site at Conningbrook on the north-eastern edge of Ashford adjacent to the A2070 as a future strategic park and water sports venue. The Council owns some land and buildings here, including the Julie Rose Stadium and the Conningbrook Barn and Manor and is discussing options with other land owners to enable a significant leisure and recreation attraction to be developed. The Council has recognised this as a corporate priority in its recently adopted 5-year business plan. • There are a number of planned major transport infrastructure projects in and around Ashford that if progressed are likely to generate demand for hotel accommodation particularly from the contractors working on them: o Creation of a new junction 10A on the M20 motorway. o New mixed use link roads, such as Victoria Way, Newtown Way and Orchard Way; o Further remodelling of the town centre ring road; o The development of SMARTLINK, a bus rapid transport system; o A new rail halt at Park Farm; o A £2.4 million refurbishment of the Ashford International Station Forecourt area is also planned. Ashford Hotel Market Fact File 15 March 2011 PROSPECTS FOR GROWTH ASHFORD GROWTH AREA DIAGRAM Ashford Hotel Market Fact File 16 March 2011 PROSPECTS FOR GROWTH Future Prospects by Market • Corporate demand for hotel accommodation in Ashford should grow substantially over the next 5-10 years given the planned office and business park development in and around the town and the envisaged economic development and employment growth. This should provide a significant boost to midweek demand for existing hotels and enable them to grow their corporate rates. It will also be a key driver of new hotel development in the town. • Ashford’s 3/4 star hotels could see some growth in demand for residential conferences as the town’s economy develops and new companies and industries are attracted. The residential conference market has however generally been declining across the UK for a number of years, as companies have cut back on meeting and training budgets, developed their own meeting and training facilities and made greater use of video, internet and telephone conferencing. Growth in this market is thus likely to be relatively slow and residential conferences are likely to remain a minor secondary midweek market for most hotels. • Given the size of its conference facilities and Ashford’s high speed rail and Eurostar links there could be scope for the Ashford International to pull residential conference business from London and elsewhere in the South East and to attract European conferences. Such conferences may generate bedroom business for other hotels in the town. • Contractor demand for budget hotel accommodation is set to increase significantly in Ashford over the next 5-10 years, given the levels of construction work that will be taking place as the major development and transport infrastructure schemes are progressed. • Demand from people attending weddings, funerals, family parties and other functions and from people visiting friends and relatives should increase steadily, given the projected growth in the Ashford’s population. Ashford Hotel Market Fact File 17 March 2011 PROSPECTS FOR GROWTH • There appears to be more limited scope for hotels in Ashford to develop leisure break business other than possibly through the promotion of special offers. Ashford has limited appeal as a leisure break destination and there is little in the future plans for the town’s development that will change this, other than the improved retail, leisure and evening offer of the town. • Demand for budget hotel accommodation from people wanting to stay over after a night out should increase in Ashford town centre as its evening economy develops and the area’s population increases. • Families travelling to Eurodisney on Eurostar should continue to be a key market for Ashford’s hotels at weekends and during school holiday periods. • Ashford hotels should continue to attract group tour demand. They may begin to reduce their midweek group tour business as higher-rated corporate demand builds. • There is likely to be significant demand for hotel accommodation in Ashford from spectators attending the London 2012 Olympic and Paralympic Games in the summer of 2012. The evidence from previous Games is that spectators will stay up to 2 hours away from the Olympic Park. Many of the hotels close to the Olympic Park and in Central London have already been booked up for officials, sponsors and press and media teams. There will be a drive to encourage London 2012 spectators to use public transport. With the town’s high speed rail links to the Olympic Park, Ashford is extremely well placed to act as a base for Olympic and Paralympic spectators. Ashford Hotel Market Fact File 18 March 2011 SOURCES OF FURTHER INFORMATION For further information and contacts or to discuss your requirements contact: Andrew Osborne Economic Development Manager Ashford Borough Council Civic Centre Tannery Lane Ashford TN23 1PL Tel: 01233 330310 Email: Andrew.Osborne@ashford.gov.uk Ruth Wood Research & Development Manager Kent County Council Invicta House 2nd Floor County Hall Maidstone Kent ME14 1XX t.01622 696907 e. ruth.wood@kent.gov.uk The following websites provide further information on the plans and strategies for Ashford: www.ashford.gov.uk www.ashfordbestplaced.co.uk Visit Kent Business The latest facts and figures on tourism in Ashford and Kent are available from Visit Kent’s ‘Visit Kent Business’ website through the following links: www.visitkentbusiness.co.uk/index/research-development/research/Economic-Impact/ www.visitkentbusiness.co.uk/index/research-development/research/Business-Barometer/ Ashford Hotel Market Fact File 19 March 2011