Chapter 11 Global Cost and Availability of Capital T Questions Dimensions of the cost and availability of capital 1. Global integration has given many firms access to new and cheaper sources of funds beyond those available in their home markets. What are the dimensions of a strategy to capture this lower cost and greater availability of capital? Global integration of capital markets has given many firms access to new and cheaper sources of funds beyond those available in their home markets. These firms can then accept more long-term projects and invest more in capital improvements and expansion. If a firm resides in a country with illiquid and/or segmented capital markets, it can achieve this lower global cost and greater availability of capital by a properly designed and implemented strategy. Benefits 2. What are the benefits of achieving a lower cost and greater availability of capital? A firm can accept more long term projects and invest more in capital improvements and expansion because of the lower hurdle rate in capital budgeting and the lower marginal cost of capital as more funds are raised. Definitions 3. Define the following terms: (a) Systematic risk. Systematic risk is the risk of share price changes that can not be avoided by diversification. In other words, it is the risk that the stock market as a whole will rise or fall and the price of shares of an individual company will rise and fall with the market. Systematic risk is sometimes called market risk. (b) Unsystematic risk. Unsystematic risk is risk that can be avoided by diversification. It arises because some of the characteristics of a given company are peculiar to that company, causing it to perform in a way that differs from the performance of the market as a whole. Unsystematic risk is also called unique risk, residual risk, specific risk, or diversifiable risk. Chapter 11 Global Cost and Availability of Capital 209 (c) Beta (in the Capital Asset Pricing Model). Beta is a measure of the systematic risk of a firm, where “systematic risk” means that risk that cannot be diversified away. Beta measures the amount of fluctuation expected in a firm’s share price, relative to the stock market as a whole. Thus a beta of 0.8 would indicate an expectation that the share price of a given company would rise or fall at 80% of the rise or fall in the stock market in general. The stock is expected to be less volatile than the market as a whole. A beta of 1.6 would indicate an expectation that the share price of a given company would rise or fall at 60% more that the rise or fall in the market. If the market rose, say, 20% during a year, a stock with a beta of 1.6 would be expected to rise (0.20)(1.6) = 0.32, or 32%. 4. Equity risk premiums. (a) What is an equity risk premium? The equity risk premium is the average annual return of the market expected by investors over and above riskless debt, the term (km – krf). (b) What is the difference between calculating an equity risk premium using arithmetic returns compared to geometric returns? The mean arithmetic return is simply the average of the annual percentage changes in capital appreciation plus dividend distributions. This is a rate of return calculation with which every business student is familiar. The mean geometric return, however, is a more specialized calculation which takes into account only the beginning and ending values over an extended period of history. It then calculates the annual average rate of compounded growth to get from the beginning to the end, without paying attention to the specific path taken in between. (c) In Exhibit 11.3, why are arithmetic mean risk premiums always higher than geometric mean risk premiums? The geometric change is calculated using only the beginning and ending 1/4 1/4 values, 10 and 14, and the geometric root of [(14/10) –1 ] is found (the is in reference to 4 periods of change). The geometric change assumes reinvested compounding, whereas the arithmetic mean only assumes point to point investment. Portfolio investors 5. Both domestic and international portfolio managers are asset allocators. (a) What is their portfolio management objective? Both domestic and international portfolio managers are asset allocators. Their objective is to maximize a portfolio’s rate of return for a given level of risk, or to minimize risk for a given rate of return. International portfolio managers can choose from a larger bundle of assets than portfolio managers limited to domestic-only asset allocations. (b) What is the main advantage that international portfolio managers have compared to portfolio managers limited to domestic-only asset allocation? Internationally diversified portfolios often have a higher expected rate of return, and they nearly always have a lower level of portfolio risk, since national securities markets are imperfectly correlated with one another. Dimensions of asset allocation 6. Portfolio asset allocation can be accomplished along many dimensions depending on the investment objective of the portfolio manager. Identify the various dimensions. Portfolio asset allocation can be accomplished along many dimensions depending on the investment objective of the portfolio manager. For example, portfolios can be diversified according to the type of securities. They can be composed of stocks only or bonds only or a combination of both. They also can be diversified by industry or by size of capitalization (small-cap, mid-cap, and large-cap stock portfolios). 210 Moffett • Fundamentals of Multinational Finance, Second Edition For our purposes, the most relevant dimensions are diversification by country, geographic region, stage of development, or a combination of these (global). An example of diversification by country is the Korea Fund. It was at one time the only vehicle for foreign investors to hold South Korean securities, but foreign ownership restrictions have more recently been liberalized. A typical regional diversification would be one of the many Asian funds. These performed exceptionally well until the “bubble” burst in Japan and Southeast Asia during the second half of the 1990s. Portfolios composed of emerging market securities are examples of diversification by stage of development. They are composed of securities from different countries, geographic regions, and stage of development. 7. Market liquidity. (a) Define what is meant by the term market liquidity. Although no consensus exists about the definition of market liquidity, we can observe market liquidity by noting the degree to which a firm can issue a new security without depressing the existing market price, as well as the degree to which a change in price of its securities elicits a substantial order flow. (b) What are the main disadvantages for a firm to be located in an illiquid market? An illiquid market is one in which it is difficult to buy or sell shares, and especially an abnormally large number of shares, without a major change in price. From a company perspective, an illiquid market is one in which it is difficult to raise new capital because there are insufficient buyers for a reasonably sized offering. From an investors perspective, an illiquid market means that the investor will have difficulty selling any shares owned without a major drop in price. (c) If a firm is limited to raising funds in its domestic capital market, what happens to its marginal cost of capital as it expands? The marginal cost of capital increases as more funds are raised. (d) If a firm can raise funds abroad what happens to its marginal cost of capital as it expands? The marginal cost of capital stays flat for a longer range of raising new capital. 8. Market segmentation. (a) Define market segmentation. Firms resident in countries with segmented capital markets must devise a strategy to escape dependence on that market for their long-term debt and equity needs. A national capital market is segmented if the required rate of return on securities in that market differs from the required rate of return on securities of comparable expected return and risk traded on other securities markets. Capital markets become segmented because of such factors as excessive regulatory control, perceived political risk, anticipated foreign exchange risk, lack of transparency, asymmetric availability of information, cronyism, insider trading, and many other market imperfections. (b) What are the six main causes of market segmentation? Capital market segmentation is a financial market imperfection caused mainly by government constraints, institutional practices, and investor perceptions. The most important imperfections are: • • • • • • • Asymmetric information between domestic and foreign-based investors Lack of transparency High securities transaction costs Foreign exchange risks Political risks Corporate governance differences Regulatory barriers Chapter 11 Global Cost and Availability of Capital 211 (c) What are the main disadvantages for a firm to be located in a segmented market? Firms located in a segmented market usually have a higher cost of capital (increasing marginal cost of capital) and less availability of capital. They can overcome these limitations by following a proactive strategy to internationalize their cost and availability of capital. Market liquidity and segmentation effects 9. What is the effect of market liquidity and segmentation on a firm’s cost of capital? Firms located in an illiquid and segmented capital market will usually have a higher marginal cost of capital. Novo Industri (A) 10. Why did Novo believe its cost of capital was too high compared to its competitors? Why did Novo’s relatively high cost of capital create a competitive disadvantage? Novo observed that its price/earnings ratio was only 5 compared to 15 and higher for its competitors. Novo was also told by its bankers that they could not borrow much more and the domestic equity market was saturated with respect to Novo’s stock. Novo’s high cost and low availability of capital in Denmark would prevent it from fully exploiting its competitive advantage in research on insulin and industrial enzymes. Novo Industri (B) 11. Novo believed that the Danish capital market was segmented from world capital markets. Explain the six characteristics of the Danish equity market that were responsible for its segmentation. At least six characteristics of the Danish equity market were responsible for market segmentation: (1) asymmetric information base of Danish and foreign investors, (2) taxation, (3) alternative sets of feasible portfolios, (4) financial risk, (5) foreign exchange risk, and (6) political risk. 12. Novo Industri (C). (a) What was Novo’s strategy to internationalize its cost of capital? Novo’s strategy was to increase its level and the quality of its financial and technical disclosure in both Danish and English in order to attract foreign portfolio investors. (b) What is the evidence that Novo’s strategy succeeded? Between April 1980, when its disclosure was being maximized, and December 1986 Novo’s stock price increased from Dkr2000 per share to Dkr600 per share. Its P/E ratio increased from 5 to 16, which was then in line with its competitors. 212 Moffett • Fundamentals of Multinational Finance, Second Edition Emerging markets 13. It has been suggested that firms located in illiquid and segmented emerging markets could follow Novo’s proactive strategy to internationalize their own cost of capital. What are the preconditions that would be necessary to succeed in such a proactive strategy? The Novo experience has been described in hopes that it can be a model for other firms wishing to escape from segmented and illiquid home equity markets. In particular MNEs based in emerging markets often face barriers and lack of visibility similar to what Novo faced. They could benefit by following Novo’s proactive strategy employed to attract international portfolio investors. However, a word of caution is advised. Novo had an excellent operating track record and a very strong worldwide market niche in two important industry sectors, insulin and industrial enzymes. This record continues to attract investors in Denmark and abroad. Other companies would also need to have such a favorable track record to attract foreign investors. Cost of capital for MNEs compared to domestic firms 14. Theoretically MNEs should be in a better position than their domestic counterparts to support higher debt ratios because their cash flows are diversified internationally. However, recent empirical studies have come to the opposite conclusion. These studies also concluded that MNEs have higher betas than their domestic counterparts. (a) According to these empirical studies why do MNEs have lower debt ratios than their domestic counterparts? Despite the theoretical elegance of this hypothesis, empirical studies have come to the opposite conclusion. Despite the favorable effect of international diversification of cash flows bankruptcy risk was only about the same for MNEs as for domestic firms. However, MNEs faced higher agency costs, political risk, foreign exchange risk, and asymmetric information. These have been identified as the factors leading to lower debt ratios and even a higher cost of long-term debt for MNEs. Domestic firms rely much more heavily on short and intermediate debt, which lie at the low cost end of the yield curve. (b) According to these empirical studies why do MNEs have higher betas than their domestic counterparts? One study found that MNEs have a higher level of systematic risk than their domestic counterparts. The same factors caused this phenomenon as caused the lower debt ratios for MNEs. The study concluded that the increased standard deviation of cash flows from internationalization more than offset the lower correlation from diversification. Chapter 11 Global Cost and Availability of Capital 213 The “riddle” 15. The riddle is an attempt to explain under what conditions an MNE would have a higher or lower debt ratio and beta than its domestic counterpart. Explain and diagram what are these conditions. The answer to this riddle lies in the link between the cost of capital, its availability, and the opportunity set of projects. As the opportunity set of projects increases, eventually the firm needs to increase its capital budget to the point where its marginal cost of capital is increasing. The optimal capital budget would still be at the point where the rising marginal cost of capital equals the declining rate of return on the opportunity set of projects. However, this would be at a higher weighted average cost of capital than would have occurred for a lower level of the optimal capital budget. To illustrate this linkage Exhibit 11.8 shows the marginal cost of capital given different optimal capital budgets. Assume that there are two different demand schedules based on the opportunity set of projects for both the multinational enterprise (MNE) and domestic counterpart (DC). Emerging market MNEs 16. Apart from improving liquidity and escaping from a segmented home market, why might emerging market MNEs further lower their cost of capital by listing and selling equity abroad? A recent study found that internationalization actually allowed emerging market MNEs to carry a higher level of debt and lowered their systematic risk. This occurred because the emerging market MNEs are investing in more stable economies abroad, a strategy that lowers their operating, financial, foreign exchange, and political risks. The reduction in risk more than offsets their increased agency costs and allows the emerging market MNEs to enjoy higher leverage and lower systematic risk than their U.S.-based MNE counterparts. 214 Moffett • Fundamentals of Multinational Finance, Second Edition T Mini-Case: Nestle: An Application of the International CAPM 1. There are a multitude of barriers to the free and open movement of capital across boundaries. How would these barriers effect professional investors and portfolio managers with respect to new information regarding the return and risk prospects of individual securities globally? It depends on the type of barriers. For example, in Novo’s case the barriers were mainly lack of interest by international investors because the Danish equity market was too small, segmented, and illiquid. However, there were no Danish legal or institutional barriers that would have prevented international investors from buying Novo’s shares. In Nestle’s case, professional investors and portfolio managers are already very familiar with Nestle, which has previously internationalized its investor base. Therefore, there should be no significant barriers to the free movement of capital into and out of Nestle’s shares by international and professional investors. 2. Given such market imperfections as limitations on trading, illiquidity, and lack of perfect information in many emerging markets, is there any way to measure or define an international or global portfolio? A number of firms resident in emerging markets have already internationalized their investor base and cost of capital. These firms should be included in the global portfolio. Purely domestic firms that appeal only to local investors should probably not be included in the definition of potential global portfolio stocks. However these domestic firms could change that conclusion if they choose to take the Novo route and try to internationalize their investor base. 3. The international CAPM uses the risk-free rate of interest as its base. Under what conditions could you calculate a risk-free rate of return globally? A risk-free rate must be exactly that: a rate of return which has no currency risk, market risk (danger to principal or liquidation value from market price movements), or credit risk. A risk-free rate for any portfolio must therefore be a government issuance of relatively short maturity (to truly eliminate market risk) and be of a home currency value. Until the world possesses either a single currency or a operates a system of secure fixed exchange rates (a state of second-best to a single currency), there is no real “global risk-free rate.” Chapter 11 Global Cost and Availability of Capital T Problems Problem 11.1 Houston Oil Company What is Houston’s weighted average cost of capital? Assumptions Houston’s beta Cost of debt, before tax Risk-free rate of interest Corporate income tax rate General return on market portfolio Optimal capital structure: Proportion of debt, D/V Proportion of equity, E/V a) Values 1.10 7.000% 3.000% 25.000% 8.000% b) Values 0.80 7.000% 3.000% 25.000% 8.000% 60% 40% 60% 40% 5.250% 5.250% 8.500% 7.000% 6.550% 5.950% Calculation of the WACC Cost of debt, after-tax kd × (1 − t) Cost of equity, after-tax ke = krf + (km − krf) β WACC WACC = [ke × E/V] + [(kd × (1 − t)) × D/V] 215 216 Moffett • Fundamentals of Multinational Finance, Second Edition Problem 11.2 Trident’s cost of capital Calculate the cost of equity, debt, and WACC. Original assumptions in Chapter Trident’s beta, β Cost of debt, before tax, kd Risk-free rate of interest, krf Corporate income tax rate, t General return on market portfolio, km Optimal capital structure: Proportion of debt, D/V Proportion of equity, E/V a) Trident’s cost of equity ke = krf + (km − krf) β b) Trident’s cost of debt, after tax kd × (1 − t) c) Trident’s weighted average cost of capital WACC = [ke × E/V] + [(kd × (1 − t)) × D/V] Values used in Chapter 1.20 8.00% 5.00% 35.00% 15.00% New Values 1.30 7.000% 4.000% 30.000% 9.000% 40% 60% 50% 50% 17.000% 10.500% 5.200% 4.900% 12.2800% 7.7000% One of the most interesting aspects of capital costs is how they have been trending downward in recent years as a result of lower interest rates, lower equity market returns, and in some countries, lower tax rates. As a result of the general decline in business and economic performance, many firms have been reducing their debt levels—if possible—in roder to reduce their debt service requirements. But, one factor which has not necessarily fallen in value is the beta of the individaul firm. Here Trident’s cost of capital has fallen dramatically, but its beta is actually higher than before due to more market volatility. Problem 11.3 Sunshine Pipelines Inc. Assumptions Combined federal and state tax rate Desired capital structure: Proportion debt Proportion equity Capital to be raised Values 40% Cost of European Equity 14% 16% 24% Cost of European Debt 6% 10% 18% a. To raise $120,000,000 Debt Market Debt Cost Equity Market Equity Cost European European Domestic 6.00% 10.00% 16.00% 10.67% (equal weights) Debt Market Debt Cost European European 6.00% 10.00% 7.33% (2/3 & 1/3 weights) First $40,000,000 Second $40,000,000 Third $40,000,000 Weighted average cost b. To raise $60,000,000 First $40,000,000 Additional $20,000,000 Weighted average cost Domestic European Domestic Equity Market Domestic European 12.00% 16.00% 22.00% 16.67% (equal weights) Equity Cost 12.00% 16.00% 13.33% (2/3 & 1/3 weights) Incremental WACC 7.80% 11.00% 15.80% 11.53% Incremental WACC 7.80% 11.00% 8.87% Global Cost and Availability of Capital Cost of Domestic Debt 8% 12% 16% Chapter 11 Costs of Raising Capital in the Market Up to $40 million of new capital $41 million to $80 million of new capital Above $80 million 50% 50% $120,000,000 Cost of Domestic Equity 12% 18% 22% 217 218 Moffett • Fundamentals of Multinational Finance, Second Edition Problem 11.4 Tata’s cost of capital Tata of India is trying to estimate its US dollar cost of capital. Assumptions Components of beta: Estimate of correlation between security and market Estimate of standard deviation of Tata’s returns Estimate of standard deviation of market’s return Risk-free rate of interest Estimate of Tata’s cost of debt in US market Estimate of market return, forward-looking Corporate tax rate Proportion of debt Proportion of equity Symbol β ρjm σj σm krf kd km t D/V E/V Goldman Sachs Bank of New York 0.90 24.0% 18.0% 0.85 30.0% 22.0% 3.0% 7.5% 9.0% 35.0% 35% 65% 3.0% 7.8% 12.0% 35.0% 40% 60% Estimating Costs of Capital Estimated beta β = (ρjm × σj)/(σm) β 1.20 1.16 Estimated cost of equity ke = krf + (km − krf)β ke 10.200% 13.432% kd (1 – t) 4.875% 5.070% WACC 8.336% 10.087% Estimated cost of debt kd (1 − t) Estimated weighted average cost of capital WACC = (ke × E/V) + ((kd × (1 − t)) × D/V) Chapter 11 Global Cost and Availability of Capital Problem 11.5 Country equity risk premiums Country Australia Belgium Canada Denmark France Germany Ireland Italy Japan Netherlands South Africa Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom United States World Arithmetic Mean Risk Premium 8.0% 4.8% 6.0% 3.3% 7.0% 9.9% 4.5% 8.4% 10.3% 6.7% 7.1% 4.2% 7.4% 4.2% 5.6% 7.0% 5.6% Geometric Mean Risk Premium 6.3% 2.9% 4.5% 2.0% 4.9% 6.7% 3.2% 5.0% 6.2% 4.7% 5.4% 2.3% 5.2% 2.7% 4.4% 5.0% 4.9% Differential 1.7% 1.9% 1.5% 1.3% 2.1% 3.2% 1.3% 3.4% 4.1% 2.0% 1.7% 1.9% 2.2% 1.5% 1.2% 2.0% 0.7% a) Japan demonstrates the largest differential between the arithmethic mean and geometric mean; a full 4.1%. b) A Swiss firm estimating its cost of equity using the capital asset pricing model, would find the cost of equity as: ke = krf + (km − krf) β where (km − krf) is the risk premium Risk-free rate Risk premium beta Cost of equity Arithmetic 2.00% 4.20% 1.40 7.88% Geometric 2.00% 2.70% 1.40 5.78% 219 220 Estimate the cost of capital for a privately held multinational. Assumptions Total sales Company’s beta Company credit rating Risk-free rate of interest Market risk premium Weighted average cost of debt Corporate tax rate Debt to total capital ratio Equity to total capital ratio International sales as % of total sales Symbol Sales β S&P krf km − krf kd t D/V E/V Comparables Company A Company B $4.5 billion $26 billion 0.86 0.78 AA A 2.5% 2.5% 5.5% 5.5% 6.885% 7.125% 40.0% 40.0% 34% 41% 66% 59% 12% 26% Estimating Costs of Capital Cost of equity ke = krf + (km − krf) β Symbol Company A Company B Cargill ke 7.230% 6.790% 7.450% Cost of debt, after-tax kd (1 − t) 4.131% 4.275% 4.092% Cargill $50 billion 0.90 AA 2.5% 5.5% 6.820% 40.0% 28% 72% 45% WACC Weighted average cost of capital 6.176% 5.759% 6.510% WACC = (ke × E/V) + ((kd × (1 − t)) × D/V) Once the data is organized, the absence of a beta for Cargill is the obvious data deficiency. A series of observations is then helpful: 1. Note that beta and credit ratings do not necessarily parallel one another 2. Credit rating and cost of debt do follow expected norms; lower the rating, the higher the cost 3. Both comparable companies, in the same industry as Cargill (commodities), possess relatively low betas 4. Cargill’s sales are twice that of the next largest firm 5. Cargill’s sales are significantly more internationally diversified than either of the other two companies; the question is whether this is a positive or negative factor for the estimation of Cargill’s cost of equity? If we take the approach that the beta for Cargill has to pick up all the incremental information, the beta would then fall between say 0.80 and 1.00. If the higher degree of international sales was interpreted as increasing risk, beta would be on the higher end; yet being a commodity firm in the current market, its beta would rarely surpass 1.0. A value of 0.90 is shown here giving a WACC of 6.510%. A series of sensitivities would find a WACC between 6.1% and 6.9%. Moffett • Fundamentals of Multinational Finance, Second Edition Problem 11.6 Cargill’s cost of capital Problem 11.7 The Tombs Is Larry, Mo, or Curly right in their debate at The Tombs? Brazilian Economic Performance Inflation rate (IPC) Bank lending rate Exchange rate (reais/$) Equity returns (Sao Paulo Bovespa) 1995 23.20% 53.10% 0.972 16.0% 1996 10.00% 27.10% 1.039 28.0% 1997 4.80% 24.70% 1.117 30.2% 1998 −1.00% 29.20% 1.207 −33.5% 1999 10.50% 30.70% 1.700 151.9% Mean 9.50% 32.96% 120.7% 38.52% All three are on the right track. It is mostly a matter of finding the linkages beween their individual arguments. 3. Larry also is on the right track arguing that actual market returns will often result in less than various interest or debt instruments. One of the more helpful arguments here is that equity returns and interest returns arise from very different economic and financial processes. Most interest rate charges are stated and contracted for up-front, and represent lenders’ perception of an adequate risk-adjusted return over the expected rate of inflation for the coming period. Equity returns, however, are that mystical process of equity markets in which the many different reasons of equity investors combine to move markets in sometimes mysterious ways, independent of interest rates, inflation rates, or any other fundamental money price. Global Cost and Availability of Capital 2. Mo is also correct in arguing that regardless of what investors may EXPECT, the results are often quite different, sometimes disappointing. Theoretically, when the investment does not yield at least the expected return, the investor should indeed liquidate their position. However, in reality, many investors for a variety of reasons (tax implications, investment horizon, etc.), may stay in the investment and just complain about the past and hope about the future. Chapter 11 1. Theoretically, Curly is correct in that CAPM assumes that all equity returns are over and above risk-free rates. These are of course, expected returns, and are the investor’s expectations or requirements going INTO the investment. 221 222 Sushmita-Chen is attempting to gauge the impact of international diversification on its cost of capital. Assumptions Correlation between S-C and the market Standard deviation of S-C’s returns Standard deviation of market’s returns Risk-free rate of interest Additional equity risk premium for internationalization Estimate of Tata’s cost of debt in US market Market risk premium Corporate tax rate Proportion of debt Proportion of equity Symbol ρjm σj σm krf RPM kd km − krf t D/V E/V Before Diversification 0.88 28.0% 18.0% 3.0% 0.0% 7.2% 5.5% 35.0% 38% 62% After Diversification 0.76 26.0% 18.0% 3.0% 3.0% 7.0% 5.5% 35.0% 32% 68% Estimating Costs of Capital Estimated beta β = (ρjm × σj)/(σm) β 1.37 1.10 Estimated cost of equity ke = krf + (km − krf) β ke 10.529% 9.038% Estimated cost of equity with additional risk premium * 10.529% 12.038% ke = krf + (km − krf) β + RPM ke + RPM This may be a case where everyone is correct. When Sushmita-Chen’s beta is recalculated, it falls in value as a result of the reduced correlation of its returns with the home market (diversification benefit). This then creates a standard cost of equity which is cheaper at 9.038% (previous cost of equity was 10.529%). If, however, the market was to add an additional risk premium to the firm’s cost of equity as a result of internationally diversifying operations, and if that risk premium were on the order of 3.0%, the final risk-adjusted cost of equity is indeed higher, 12.038% to the before value of 10.529%. Moffett • Fundamentals of Multinational Finance, Second Edition Problem 11.8 Sushmita-Chen’s cost of equity Problem 11.8 Sushmita-Chen’s cost of equity Sushmita-Chen is attempting to gauge the impact of international diversification on its cost of capital. Assumptions Correlation between S-C and the market Standard deviation of S-C’s returns Standard deviation of market’s returns Risk-free rate of interest Additional equity risk premium for internationalization Estimate of Tata’s cost of debt in US market Market risk premium Corporate tax rate Proportion of debt Proportion of equity Symbol ρjm σj σm krf RPM kd km − krf t D/V E/V Before Diversification 0.88 28.0% 18.0% 3.0% 0.0% 7.2% 5.5% 35.0% 38% 62% After Diversification 0.76 26.0% 18.0% 3.0% 3.0% 7.0% 5.5% 35.0% 32% 68% Chapter 11 Estimating Costs of Capital β 1.37 1.10 Estimated cost of equity ke = krf + (km − krf) β ke 10.529% 9.038% Estimated cost of equity with additional risk premium * 10.529% 12.038% ke = krf + (km − krf) β + RPM ke + RPM This may be a case where everyone is correct. When Sushmita-Chen’s beta is recalculated, it falls in value as a result of the reduced correlation of its returns with the home market (diversification benefit). This then creates a standard cost of equity which is cheaper at 9.038% (previous cost of equity was 10.529%). If, however, the market was to add an additional risk premium to the firm’s cost of equity as a result of internationally diversifying operations, and if that risk premium were on the order of 3.0%, the final risk-adjusted cost of equity is indeed higher, 12.038% to the before value of 10.529%. Global Cost and Availability of Capital Estimated beta β = (ρjm × σj)/(σm) 223 224 Problem 11.9 Sushmita-Chen’s WACC Estimated cost of equity ke = krf + (km − krf) β Estimated cost of equity with additional risk premium * ke = krf + (km − krf) β + RPM Cost of debt, after-tax kd (1 − t) Weighted average cost of capital WACC = (ke × E/V) + ((kd × (1 − t)) × D/V) Weighted average cost of capital with RPM * WACC = (ke × E/V) + ((kd × (1 − t)) × D/V) After Diversification 0.76 26.0% 18.0% 3.0% 3.0% 7.0% 5.5% 35.0% 32% 68% After Diversification 1.10 ke 10.529% 9.038% ke + RPM kd (1 − t) 10.529% 12.038% 4.680% 4.550% 8.306% 7.602% 8.306% 9.642% WACC * WACC There are a number of different factors at work here. First, as a result of international diversification, their access to debt has improved, resulting in a lower cost of debt capital. This is not fully appreciated, however, as the firm has chosen to reduce its overall use of debt post-diversification (common among MNEs). The firm’s WACC does indeed drop for the standardized case. If, however, the market assesses an additional equity risk premium of 3.0%, the benefits are swamped by the higher required return on equity by the market. Moffett • Fundamentals of Multinational Finance, Second Edition Sushmita-Chen is attempting to gauge the impact of international diversification on its cost of capital. Before Assumptions Symbol Diversification Correlation between S-C and the market ρjm 0.88 Standard deviation of S-C’s returns σj 28.0% Standard deviation of market’s returns σm 18.0% Risk-free rate of interest krf 3.0% Additional equity risk premium for internationalization RPM 0.0% Estimate of Tata’s cost of debt in US market kd 7.2% Market risk premium km − krf 5.5% Corporate tax rate t 35.0% Proportion of debt D/V 38% Proportion of equity E/V 62% Before Estimating Costs of Capital Diversification Estimated beta β = (ρjm × σj)/(σm) β 1.37 Problem 11.10 Sushmita-Chen’s WACC and effective tax rate Sushmita-Chen is attempting to gauge the impact of international diversification on its cost of capital. Assumptions Correlation between S-C and the market Standard deviation of S-C’s returns Standard deviation of market’s returns Risk-free rate of interest Additional equity risk premium for internationalization Estimate of Tata’s cost of debt in US market Market risk premium Corporate tax rate Proportion of debt Proportion of equity Symbol ρjm σj σm krf RPM kd km − krf t D/V E/V Estimating Costs of Capital Before Diversification 0.88 28.0% 18.0% 3.0% 0.0% 7.2% 5.5% 35.0% 38% 62% After Diversification 0.76 26.0% 18.0% 3.0% 3.0% 7.0% 5.5% 32.0% 32% 68% Before Diversification After Diversification 1.37 1.10 Estimated cost of equity ke = krf + (km − krf) β ke 10.529% 9.038% ke + RPM kd (1 − t) 10.529% 12.038% 4.680% 4.760% 8.306% 7.669% 8.306% 9.709% Estimated cost of equity with additional risk premium * ke = krf + (km − krf) β + RPM Cost of debt, after-tax kd (1 − t) Weighted average cost of capital WACC = (ke × E/V) + ((kd × (1 − t)) × D/V) Weighted average cost of capital with RPM * WACC = (ke × E/V) + ((kd × (1 − t)) × D/V) WACC * WACC 225 The reduction in the effective tax rate obviously impacts WACC through the cost of debt. This does have substantial benefits in the company’s WACC—as long as additional equity risk premiums are not assessed. Then, even the lower effective tax rate does not offset the higher equity costs associated with the international risk premium. Global Cost and Availability of Capital β Chapter 11 Estimated beta β = (ρjm × σj)/(σm)