Insight Department China: Market Statistics January 2016 Welcome China: Market Statistics factsheet provides the latest data and trends on the volume and value of Chinese visitors to Scotland from the International Passenger Survey (IPS). The document is published separately from the ‘China: Consumer Research’ paper, which reports on consumer research undertaken by VisitScotland and is available on www.visitscotland.org. The Chinese Market Overview CHINESE ECONOMY GDP forecast growth 6.3% in 2016 POPULATION 69.3 million outbound visits China is the world’s most valuable source market for international tourism, worth US$164.9 billion in 2014 1,367 million •The economic growth is expected to slow down in the forthcoming years. •Domestic consumption will remain high, despite growing food and services prices. 0.5% of all overseas visitors to the UK are from China. The top market ranked by visits from residents of China is Hong Kong. France the most popular destination in Western Europe. 33,000 trips trips to Scotland in 2014 Source: IMF, 2015; CIA Factbook, 2015; VisitBritain, 2015; IPS, 2014 1 Key Facts Indicators UK Total visits Scotland 185,000 46% holiday 16% VFR 21% business 4,486,000 £498 million London Edinburgh Manchester Glasgow Cambridge 24.2 nights £111 £2688 Visits by purpose Total nights Total spend Top towns visited in 2014 Average length of stay Average spend per day Average spend per visit 33,000 55% holiday* 13% business 23% VFR 443,000 £62 million Edinburgh Glasgow St Andrews 11 nights* £103* £1,173* * 3 years average (2012-2014) Source: IPS, 2014 In 2014, China was the UK’s • 35th largest source market measured by number of visits, • 13th largest by number of nights • 11th largest in terms of expenditure Chinese Visitor to Scotland Against Other Overseas Markets: Rank by nr of visits Trips Country Nights Spend 000s % 000s % £m % 1 USA 418 15 3,691 17 436 24 2 Germany 343 13 2,253 10 174 9 3 France 190 7 1,400 7 110 6 4 Australia 158 6 1,674 8 129 7 5 Netherlands 149 6 873 4 80 4 6 Poland 138 5 1,243 6 45 2 7 Norway 125 5 430 2 68 4 8 Canada 122 5 1,109 5 88 5 9 Irish Republic 113 4 423 2 28 2 10 Spain 101 4 1,631 8 97 5 China 33 1 443 2 62 3 Rest of world 843 31 6,790 32 584 32 2,700 100 21,518 100 1,840 100 … 16 Total Source: IPS, 2014 2 The Chinese Visitor to the UK Chinese visitor to Scotland 443,000 33,000 Total nights in 2014 Total visits in 2014 11 nights Average length of stay (20122014) £62 million Total spend in 2014 £1,173 £103 Average spend per visit (20122014) Average spend per day (20122014) 12 p -Se 54 % % 13 % 0-15 4% 4% Duration of stay (2012-2014 average) 15+ nights 26% 25-34 29% 4 28 55% 13% 16% 15 l Ju 45- 4 ar % 14% Holiday Business Jan-M -2 c e t-D n r-Ju Ap 9% -4 23% Oc Age (2012-2014 average) 65+ 4% 6% 64 55- VFR Seasonality (2012-2014 average) 16 Purpose of Travel (2012-2014 average) 35 5 1-3 nights Latest Information - Chinese Visitor to Scotland 4-7 nights 31% 8-14 n ights 39% Top Locations Visited in 2014 l l l St Andrews Glasgow Edinburgh Edinburgh Glasgow St Andrews Top regions visited in 2014: • Lothians • Greater Glasgow & Clyde Valley • Fife Source: IPS, 2014 3 Chinese Visitor to Scotland - 2005-2014 1. Total visit/nights/spend Data 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Total Visits (000s) 7 13 14 9 12 10 15 28 34 33 Total Nights (000s) 61 58 104 253 72 132 82 196 447 443 Total Spend (£m) £7 £5 £7 £10 £6 £7 £6 £16 £34 £62 Source: IPS, 2014 Trends Information - Chinese Visitor to Scotland In 2014, China was Scotland’s • 16th largest source market measured by number of visits • 12th largest by number of nights • 9th largest in terms of expenditure 2. 80 Volume and Value Trend 2005 – 2014 Visits (000s) 70 Spend (£m) Total Visits (000s) 60 Linear Trend (Total visits (000s)) 50 40 Linear Trend (Total spend (000s)) 30 20 10 0 -10 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: IPS, 2014 China is one of Scotland’s emerging international markets, and in 2014 visitors from China made 33,000 visits to Scotland, accounting for 443,000 bed nights and spending a total of £62 million, nearly a double in comparison with 2013. This is likely due to simplified visa application and relatively good performance of the Chinese economy throughout 2014. Connectivity Whilst there are no direct routes between China and Scotland, new Middle Eastern carriers enable Chinese to enter Scotland without stopping in London: Qatar ( Daily) between Doha and Edinburgh, Etihad (Daily) between Abu Dhabi and Edinburgh, Emirates (double daily) between Dubai and Glasgow. There are also European hubs ( Amsterdam, France, Germany). 4 Chinese Visitor to Scotland Appendix Using and Interpreting Statistical Data Source: Data is sourced from the Office for National Statistics’ International Passenger Survey (IPS). Information about the survey can be found on the VisitBritain website www.visitbritain.org (Insights & Statistics section) or the Office for National Statistics website www.statistics.gov.uk/ hub/index.html. Sample Sizes: : Analysis of sub-groups, such as trips by purpose or demographic group, relies on small sample sizes that can be unreliable. Where this is a particular issue, methods to aggregate data, such as using a 3-year average instead of single-year data, have been used. Before using the data, it is important to recognise the limitations of using a small sample size. Further information, including methodology and sample sizes, can be found on the VisitBritain website www.visitbritain.org (Insights & Statistics section). Definitions 3 year average (multi-year average): A multi-year average is the arithmetic annual mean for the period analysed. It is used where sample sizes are too small for single-year data to provide reliable data, by aggregating several years’ data to provide a more meaningful sample size. Links VisitBritain Market Profiles www.visitbritain.org/insightsandstatistics/markets/index.aspx OECD www.oecd.org CAA UK Airport Statistics www.caa.co.uk/default.aspx?catid=80&pagetype=88&pageid=3&sglid=3#Data Contact us Insight Department VisitScotland Ocean Point One 94 Ocean Drive Edinburgh EH6 6JH T: 0131 472 2222 research@visitscotland.com www.visitscotland.org January 2016 Disclaimer: VisitScotland has published this report in good faith to update stakeholders on its activity. VisitScotland has taken all reasonable steps to confirm the information contained in the publication is correct. However, VisitScotland does not warrant or assume any legal liability for the accuracy of any information disclosed and accepts no responsibility for any error or omissions. Images: © VisitScotland/Scottish Viewpoint and © Thinkstock 5