Economics of Natural Resources Economics of Natural Resources 49 Resources are broadly classified under two categories: Renewable and Non- Renewable (depletable) Resources. Non-renewable resources are those which remain on the earth in different form after use and can not be reconstituted in to their original form after use. These resources, after use if not recycled properly become a waste material. Economics of Natural Resources 50 • On the other hand, resources are renewable when they can be replenished after use and can be sustained if natural flow of the resources is maintained. • Discussion of resources and their use is important because in the pursuit of development available resources are nearly over exploited. • Therefore their efficient use and allocation is highly significant for attaining sustainable development. Economics of Natural Resources However, understanding the conditions of efficient allocation of both the types of resources requires understanding of resource taxonomy and the distinction between categories of resources - depletable and renewable and issues emerging from these distinction. 51 Economics of Natural Resources 52 Resource Taxonomy: Three separate concepts are used to classify the stock of depletable resources: (1) current reserves, (2) potential reserves and (3) resource endowment. The US Geological Survey (USGS) has developed a classification system of resources illustrated in figure1, which has two dimensions - economic and ecological. Economics of Natural Resources 53 Resource Taxonomy • A movement, in the figure 1 from top to bottom represents movement from cheaply extractable resources to those extracted at substantially higher prices. • By contrast, a movement from left to right represents increasing geological uncertainty about the size of the resource base. Economics of Natural Resources 54 Resource Taxonomy • Current reserves: (shaded area in the figure -1) are defined as known resources that can profitably be extracted at current prices and can be expressed as a number. • Potential reserves: are resources that can be extracted at the prices people are willing to pay for these resources – the higher the price higher is the potential reserves. 55 Economics of Natural Resources A Categorization of Resource Total Resources Identified Undiscovered Demonstrated Measured Indicated Reserves Sub-Marginal ParaMarginal Sub - economic Economic Measured Figure 1 Hypothetical Speculative Economics of Natural Resources 56 Resource endowment: This represents the natural occurrence of resources in the earth’s crust and independent of prices. This concept is more geological rather than the economic. This concept is important because it places an upper limit on the availability of terrestrial resources. Economics of Natural Resources 57 Meaning the terms used in the Figure-1: Identified resources: specific bodies of mineral –bearing material whose location, quality and quantity are known from geological evidence and supported by engineering measurements. Measured resources: material for which quantity and quality estimated are within a margin of error less than 20 percent, from geologically well known sample sites Economics of Natural Resources 58 Meaning the terms used in the Figure-1: Indicated resources: material of which quantity and quality have been estimated partly from sample analyses and partly from reasonable geological projections. Undiscovered resources: unspecified bodies of mineral bearing material surmised to exist on the basis of broad geological knowledge and theory Economics of Natural Resources 59 Meaning the terms used in the Figure-1: Hypothetical resources: undiscovered materials reasonably expected to exist in a known mining district under known geological conditions. Speculative resources: undiscovered materials that may occur in either known types of deposits in favorable geological settings where no discoveries have been made or in yet unknown types of deposits that remain to be recognized. Economics of Natural Resources 60 Distinction between two categories of resources: The first category of resources includes all depletable, recyclable resources, such as copper. A depletable resource is one for which the natural replenishment feedback loop can be safely ignored. The rate of replenishment of these resources is so low that it does not offer a potential for augmenting the stock in any reasonable time frame. Economics of Natural Resources 61 Distinction between two categories of resources: • A recyclable resource is one which although currently being used for some particular purpose, exists in a form allowing its mass to be recovered once that purpose is no longer necessary or desirable. • The current reserves of depletable resource, recyclable resource can be augmented by economic replenishment as well as by recycling. Stimulant of Economic replenishment includes: price and technological progress. Economics of Natural Resources 62 Distinction between two categories of resources: • Another side of the depletable resources is that their potential reserves can be exhausted owing to demand for and durability of the products built with the resource. • In most of the cases the size of potential reserves of depletable resources depend explicitly on our ability to store the resource. e.g. helium. Economics of Natural Resources 63 Not all depletable resources permit recycling or reuse such as coal, oil and gas which once combusted turns in to heat energy. The heat dissipated in to the atmosphere and becomes non-recoverable. Even if most of them are recyclable (e.g. copper) the theoretical upper limit on recycling is less than 100 percent. Economics of Natural Resources 64 • Renewable Resources: are differentiated from depletable resources primarily by the fact that natural replenishment augments the flow of renewable resources at a non-negligible rate. Examples include: solar energy, water, cereal grains, forest, fish, animals etc. Economics of Natural Resources 65 • For some renewable resources, the continuation and volume of their flow depend crucially on humans. • For examples: soil erosion and nutrient depletion reduce the flow of food. • Excessive fishing reduces the stock of fish which in turn reduces the rate of natural increase of the fish population. Economics of Natural Resources 66 Some renewable resources can be stored and hence provides a valuable way to manage the allocation the resource over time. Storage of depletable resources presents a different service from storage of depletable resources. Storing depletable resources improves their economic life, on the other hand storing renewable resources can serve as a means of smoothing out the cyclical imbalances of supply and demand. Economics of Natural Resources The challenge for management resources is different from the managing depletable resources . 67 of renewable challenge for The challenge for depletable resources involves allocation dwindling stock among generations while meeting the ultimate transition to renewable resources. In contrast, the challenge for managing renewable resources involves the maintenance of an efficient sustainable flow. Economics of Natural Resources 68 Efficient Intertemporal Allocation: Since we are dealing with the allocation of depletable and renewable resources over time, the concept of efficiency can be termed as dynamic efficiency. Dynamic efficiency of resource allocation assumes that society’s objective is to maximize the present value of net benefits derived from the use of the resource. For a depletable, non-recyclable resource, this requires balancing of current and subsequent uses of the resources. 69 Economics of Natural Resources Let’s derive the condition of dynamic efficiency with the help of simple mathematics. Let’s assume that the demand curve for a depletable resource is linear and stable over time. Thus the inverse demand curve in year t can be written as (1) The total benefits extracting an amount qt in year t are then the integral of this function, (Total Benefits)t = = (2) Assume that the MC of extracting the resource is constant C and therefore the total cost of extracting any amount qt in year t can be given by, (3) 70 Economics of Natural Resources Let’s derive the condition of dynamic efficiency with the help of simple mathematics. Let’s assume that the demand curve for a depletable resource is linear and stable over time. Thus the inverse demand curve in year t can be written as (1) The total benefits extracting an amount qt in year t are then the integral of this function, (Total Benefits)t = = (2) Assume that the MC of extracting the resource is constant C and therefore the total cost of extracting any amount qt in year t can be given by, (3) 71 Economics of Natural Resources If the total available amount of this resource is , then the dynamic allocation of a resource over n years is the one which satisfies the maximization problem. (4) Assuming that is less than would normally be demanded, the dynamic efficient allocation must satisfy, (5) (6) An implication of the condition is that (p – MC) increases over time at r. Economics of Natural Resources 72 In order to explain how dynamic efficiency criterion defines this balance let’s consider the Two Period Model and N-Period Constant Cost Model in the subsequent part. Two Period Model: This model involves a situation of allocation of finite resource over two periods. It is assumed that the resource can be extracted at a constant marginal costs but the current value of the marginal costs rises over time. Economics of Natural Resources 73 Given the stable demand curve for the resource, an efficient allocation implies that more than half of the resource was allocated to the first period and less than half to the second period. This allocation was affected both by the marginal cost of extraction and by the marginal user cost. As supplies of depletable resources are fixed and finite, production of one unit today precludes future production of the unit. Therefore, production decision today must take forgone future net benefits in to account. Economics of Natural Resources 74 Assume that we have a fixed supply of a depletable resource to allocate between two periods and a constant demand curve in the two periods with the marginal willingness to pay p = 8 – 0.4 q. The marginal extraction cost is given as $2. If the supply were 30 or greater and we were concerned only with these two period, an efficient allocation would produce 15 units in each period regardless of the discount rate. Economics of Natural Resources 75 Consider a situation of static efficiency where production in period 1 does not reduce the production in period 2. Now assume that available supply is less than 30 but 20 and allocation is 15 units in the period 1 and 5 units in period 2. With this new allocation, present value (pv) in period 1 is $ 45, and present value in period 2 is $ 22.73 given the discount rate (r) is 0.10. (∑ pv = $ 67. 73) Now our job is to find out the allocation that maximizes present value. And the one yielding the maximum present value of net benefit can be selected. 76 Economics of Natural Resources Let’s consider that the marginal willingness to pay is given by the constant formula P = 8 – 0.4q and marginal cost is constant at $2. Now assume following parameters values; a= 8, c = $2, b = 0.4, Q = 20 and r = 0.10 Using these we obtain: 8 – 0.4 q1 – 2 – λ = 0 (8- 0.4q1 – 2 – λ)/1.10 = 0 (1) (2) q1 + q2 = 20 The solution of the equations give the results: q1 = 10.238, q2= 9.762, λ = $1.905. Two proposition revealed from the Equations: 1. Equation (1) states that in a dynamic efficient allocation the present value of the marginal net benefit in period 1 (8 – 0.4q1 – 2) has to equal λ. Equation (2) states that the present value of the marginal net benefit is period 2 should also equal λ. Therefore they must equal each other. Economics of Natural Resources 77 Two Period Model: 2. The present value of marginal user cost is represented by λ. The equation (1) states that price in the first period (8 – 0.4q1) should be equal to the sum of marginal extraction cost ($2) and marginal user cost ($1.905). Multiplying (2) by (1+r), it becomes clear that price in the second period (8 - 0.4q2) is equal to the marginal extraction cost ($2) plus the higher marginal user cost [λ(1+r) = (1.905) (1.110) = $2.905) Economics of Natural Resources 78 Two Period Model: Thus it is revealed from this exercise that when the demand curve is stable over time and the marginal cost of extraction is constant, the rate of increase I the current value of the marginal cost is equal to r the discount rate. Thus in period 2, the marginal user cost would be 1 + r times as large as it was in period 1. In essence, two period model suggests that, an efficient allocation of a finite resource with a constant marginal cost of extraction involves rising marginal user cost and falling quantities consumed. Economics of Natural Resources 79 Summary of Two-Period Model: More than half the resource in period 1 and less than half in period Affected both by marginal cost of extraction and marginal user cost Current value of marginal user cost rises over time and rate of increase equals the discount rate. An efficient allocation of a finite resource with a constant marginal cost of extraction involves rising marginal user cost and falling quantities consumed. Economics of Natural Resources 80 The N-Period Model: The two period model can be generalized to cover an unlimited time period while retaining the demand and marginal cost curves of the two period model. Alike two period model, in this model too, the efficient marginal user cost rises steadily in spite of the fact that the marginal cost of extraction remains constant. This rise in the efficient marginal user cost reflects increasing scarcity and the accompanying rise in the opportunity cost of current consumption. 81 Economics of Natural Resources Let’s make a mathematical formulation of N-Period Model: The equation describing the allocation which maximizes the present value of net benefits are: (1) (2) If the values of the parameters , amount of resource availability and the rate of discount are known then the quantities which will maximize the present value of net benefits in different time period can be obtained. Economics of Natural Resources 82 • For example, if a = $8, b = 0.4, c = $2, = 40 and r = 0.10 • Then the allocation which satisfies the conditions given in equation (1) and (2) is as given below: • q1= 8.004, q2 = 7.305, q3 = 6.535, q4 = 5.689, q5 = 4.758, q6 = 3.733, q7=2.607, q8= 1.368 and q9 = 0.000, i= 9 and λ = 2.7983 The system of these equations can be solved by developing a computer algorithm which converges on the correct answer. Economics of Natural Resources 83 Transition to a Renewable Substitute: Let’s now consider a non-renewable/depletable resource which has a perfect substitute and is available at constant marginal cost. For e.g. solar energy which is a substitute for gas or oil, surface water for groundwater. The transition from the depletable resource to renewable resource would take place when the marginal cost of extraction of renewable resource is less than the marginal willingness to pay for it. Economics of Natural Resources Transition to a Renewable Substitute: 84 In the absence of perfect substitute, marginal willingness to pay (choke price) sets the upper limit on total marginal cost. But when perfectly substitute renewable resource is available, the marginal cost of extraction of the substitute sets the upper limit at a marginal cost lower than the choke price. In the presence of substitute renewable resource, the depletable resource is extracted more and transition to the substitute takes place after certain periods only. The point at which the transition takes place for the first time is called switch point. At the switch point only consumption of renewable resource begins. Economics of Natural Resources 85 At the switch point, the marginal cost of the depletable resource (including marginal user cost) rises to meet the marginal cost of the substitute, and the transition occurs. Let’s now examine how an efficient allocation would be defined when the transition from one constant marginal –cost depletable resource to another depletable resource with a constant but higher marginal cost takes place. Economics of Natural Resources 86 Consider figure 2. The total marginal cost of the first resource would rise until it equaled that of the second resource at the time of transition. In the period of time prior to transition (T*) only the cheapest resource would be consumed. Two salient observations: (1)The transition is smooth; total marginal cost never jumps to a higher level. (2)The rate of increase in total marginal cost slows down after the time of transition. 87 Economics of Natural Resources Price or Cost (dollars per unit) Total Marginal Cost1 Total Marginal Cost2 Marginal Extraction Cost2 Marginal Extraction Cost1 0 T* Figure:2 Time Economics of Natural Resources 88 (1)The total marginal cost of the two resources have to be equal at the time of transition, otherwise net benefits could be increased by switching over to lower-cost resource. In period before transition, the first resource is cheaper. After transition it is exhausted. (2)The components of the TMC that is growing (the marginal user cost) represents a smaller portion of the TMC of the second resource than of the first resource. in both cases the marginal user cost is increasing at rate r, and the marginal cost of extraction is constant. 89 Economics of Natural Resources Increasing Marginal Extraction Cost: Here Marginal Extraction Cost cumulative amount extracted. rises with the Its a common case with mineral where higher grades are extracted first. Difference in behaviour of marginal user cost As current marginal cost rises over time, sacrifice made by future generation diminishes. By the last period, MC of extraction will be too high and TMC = MEC at the switch point. Here the depletable resource is not exhausted fully. Economics of Natural Resources 90 Exploration of Technical Progress: The search for new resource is expensive Bottom of ocean deep within earth Marginal cost of exploration should be expected to rise over time TMC increases when exploitation increases Smaller and slower decline in consumption Technical Progress: advances in the state of knowledge Period of transition can last depending on situation. 91 Economics of Natural Resources What determines the rate of resource extraction: An equation where the producer is inefficient between selling the last unit of the resources (oil) in current period or in the next period. Present value of a barrel of oil world be same in both periods : P1 = o2/(1+r) (!) ⇒91j+r)p1 = p2 ⇒ p2 – p1/p1 = r the proportional price rise equals the discount rate (r). Hotellin’s Rule predicts price rise through time. Basic condition determining price and quality in each period Not enough to determine life cycle of non-renewable resource Additionally information on initial stock of reserve and price at which demand falls to zero. Economics of Natural Resources 92 Property Rights: The manner in which producers and consumers use environmental resources depends upon the property rights governing the resources. Property rights refer to a bundle of entitlements defining the owner’s rights, privileges and limitation for the use of the resources. Economics of Natural Resources 93 Efficient Property Right Structure: Following three are the main characteristics that define the structure of property rights that could produce efficient allocation in a well performing market economy. Exclusivity: All benefits and costs accrued as a result of owning and using the resources should accrue to the owner and only to the owner either directly or indirectly by sale to others. Transferability: All property rights should be transferrable from one owner to another in a voluntary exchange Enforceability: Property rights should be secure form involuntary seizure or encroachment by others. Economics of Natural Resources 94 When property rights are well-defined: The owner of the resource enjoys a powerful incentive to use that resource efficiently because a decline in the value of that resource represents loss. For example, farmers who own the land have an incentive to fertilize and irrigate it because the resulting increased production raises income level. Exchange of the property rights facilitates efficiency. Economics of Natural Resources 95 When property rights are well-defined: We can illustrated point two by examining the incentives consumers and producers face when a well-defined system of property rights is in place. The essence is that the seller has the right to prevent the consumers from consuming the product in the absence of payment. Given a market price, consumers chooses that amount of goods which maximizes nets benefit. In terms of figure 3, for a given price p*, consumer’s net benefit is maximized by choosing to purchase Qd units. Area A is the net benefit received know as consumer surplus. Similarly, sellers also face a similar choice (figure 4). Given the price p* the seller maximizes his or her own net benefit by choosing to sell Qs units. The net benefit received (Area A) by the seller is called producer surplus. 96 Economics of Natural Resources Price (dollars per unit) A= Consumer Surplus P* D Quantity (units) Qd Figure - 3 97 Economics of Natural Resources Price (dollars per unit) S P* B= Producer surplus Quantity (units) Qs Figure - 4 98 Economics of Natural Resources The price level (in our example P*) which producers and consumers face will adjust until supply equals demand as depicted in figure 5. Given the price, consumers maximize their surplus, producers maximize their surplus and the market clears. Price (dollars per unit) S P* D Q* Figure 5 Quantity (units) Economics of Natural Resources 99 Now, is this allocation efficient? – the answer is yes. Adopting the defining of static efficiency (discussed above) it can be inferred that the net benefit is maximized by market allocation and as seen in Figure -5, it is equal to the sum of consumer and producer surplus. In a system with well defined property rights and competitive markets in which to sell those rights, producers try to maximize their surplus and consumers try to maximize their surplus. The price system, then induces those self-interested parties to make choices which are efficient from the point of view of society as a whole. Economics of Natural Resources 100 Producer’s Surplus, Scarcity Rent and Long Run Equilibrium: Producer surplus is related to profit, which in the short rum equals profits plus fixed cost. In the long rum, producer’s surplus equals the profits plus venture to scarce inputs owned by producers. As long as new firms can enter into an industry where profits are earned without raising the profits of purchased inputs, long run profits will equal to zero and producer surplus will equal rent. Scarcity Rent: It’s the producer’s surplus which persists in the longrun competitive equilibrium is called scarcity rent. Economics of Natural Resources 101 Property Rights: So far we have discussed that market leads to efficient allocation when property rights are well defined. What are the forms that a well property rights system can take? In the continuum of property rights regime, distinction is made among four alternative forms of property rights regime. (a)Private Property Regime (b)State Property (c) Common Property (d)Open Access Property Economics of Natural Resources 102 Private property regime, as has been taken in most our former discussion, refers to a situation when entitlements to resources use is given to the private individual. State Property Regime: is one where the government owns and control the property 103 Economics of Natural Resources Property Rights Regime/Institution PRIVATE PROPERTY COMMON PROPERTY Group Limitation One Person Members Only Extraction Limitation Extraction Limited by Individual Decision Extraction Limited by Rules OPEN ACCESS Limited User Unlimited User Members Only Open to Anyone Extraction Unlimited Extraction Limited Figure – 6: A Trichotomy of Resource Use Regime Economics of Natural Resources 104 Common Property Regime: This refers to a property right regime where the property is jointly owned and managed by a specific group of co- owners. The non-members are excluded from use of the property and the members use the property based on the rules agreed upon among the members. The rules for controlling common property may be imposed from outside too. Entitlements to use common property resources may be formal protected by specific legal rules or they may be informal protected by tradition or custom. Common property regime exhibit varying degrees of efficiency and sustainability depending on the rules which emerge from collective decision making. Successful common property regimes are: the grazing rights in Switzerland, Fishing in Mawelle in Sri lanka. Economics of Natural Resources 105 Open Access (Res Nullius): a property right regime in which no one owns or exercise control over the resource. Resource extraction is based on the principle of first come first served basis. Every individual tries to capture as many benefits as possible before other captures it. This behaviour of individual results in over exploitation which is known as the “tragedy of commons”. In order to explain open access regime, we can refer to the fate of American Bison. Economics of Natural Resources 106 Bison are an example of common pool resources characterized by non-exclusivity and divisibility. In the early history of US, Bison were plentiful: unrestricted hunting access was not a problem. i.e. in the absence of scarcity, efficiency was not threatened by open access. As the years passed by, however the demand for Bison increased and scarcity became a factor. The social benefits and costs of Bison hunting has been depicted in figure-7. 107 Economics of Natural Resources Benefits and Costs (dollars) TC TB A B 0 Q1 Figure-7 Q2 Quantity of Harvesting Effort (units) Economics of Natural Resources 108 The Marginal Benefit Curve (not shown) is downward slopping population sized of the bison decreases with the corresponding increase in the hunting effort. Smaller population supports smaller harvests per unit of effort expended. The efficient level of hunting activity in this model is Q1, where net benefit is maximized. This allocation also yield society a scarcity rent equal to vertical distance AB. Exploitation would continue until Q2 where, TB = TC. Excessive exploitation of the herd occurs because individual hunters can not appropriated the scarcity rent. Economics of Natural Resources 109 Two characteristics of this open access formulation: (1)In the presence of sufficient demand unrestricted access will cause resources to be overexploited. (2)The scarcity rent is dissipated; no one appropriates the rent, so it is lost. The reason can be summed up as: Unrestricted access destroys the incentive to conserve. Further a hunter exploiting an open access resource would not have any incentive to conserve because the benefits derived form restraint would to some extent be captured by other hunters. As a result of excessive harvest and loss of habitat as land was converted to farm and pasture, the Great Plains bison herds nearly became extinct (Lueck 2002) Economics of Natural Resources 110 Renewable Common Property Resources: the Case of Fisheries Renewable Resources are those resources for which stock can be continually replenished. The stock, however not perpetual. Most of them (especially the living populations such as plants, animals) are exhaustible if not efficiently managed. The growth or decline of these resources depends upon the size of population. If through human activities the population is withdrawn beyond a critical threshold the species can become extinct. These resources can also be termed as interactive resources, wherein the size of the resource stock is determined jointly by biological forces and by actions taken by the society. Economics of Natural Resources 111 When the size of the population determines the availability of the resources for the future, human actions on it determines the flow of these resources over time. The significant question, therefore, is the determination of optimum rate of use across time and across generation. The whole gamut of efficient allocation of renewable resources will be discussed considering fisheries as an example. The goals of this section are to find out, a.What is an efficient allocation of the catch from a fishery? b.How does market allocate this CPR? Economics of Natural Resources 112 Efficient Allocation: Biological Dimension The biological model, originally proposed by Schafer (1957) posits that there is an average relationship between the growth of fish population and the size of the fish population. (consider Figure 8) The size of the population is represented on the horizontal axis and the growth of the population on the vertical axis. The graph suggests that there is a range of population sizes (S1 to S*) where population growth increases as the population increases and a range (S* to S2 ) where initial increases in population leas to eventual declines in growth. Economics of Natural Resources 113 Efficient Allocation: Biological Dimension S2 is known as the natural equilibrium. At this point, reduction in stock due to mortality or outmigration would be exactly offset by increases in the stock due to births, growth of the fish in the remaining stock and inmigration. In a situation below S2, stock is smaller and growth would be positive and the size of the stock would increase until it reaches S2. On the contrary, if population exceeds S2, it would be exceeding the capacity of its habitats (called carrying capacity), as result mortality rates or out migration would increase until the stock once again restores at S2. 114 Economics of Natural Resources Figure 8: Relationship between Fish Population and Growth Growth in Fish Stock (tons) G(S*) G(S0) S1 S* S0 S2 Fish Stock (tons) Economics of Natural Resources 115 S1 is the minimum viable population and represents a level of population below which growth in population is negative (i.e. deaths and out migration exceed births and in-migration). The equilibrium is unstable at this point. Any movement on the curve towards S2 leads population to a positive growth and when population moves to the left of S1, the population declines until it becomes extinct. A catch level is said to give sustainable yield whenever it equals the growth rate of population since it can be maintained. Economics of Natural Resources 116 S* is known as the maximum sustainable yield population which yields maximum growth. If catch is equal to the growth the sustainable yield for any population size, between S1 and S2 can be determined by drawing a vertical line from the stock size of interest on the horizontal axis to the point where it intersects the function and drawing a horizontal line over to the vertical axis. In figure 8, G(S0) is the sustainable yield for population size S0. G(S*) is the maximum sustainable yield. Economics of Natural Resources 117 Static Efficient Sustainable Yield: Static Efficient sustainable yield (which does not incorporate discount rate) is the catch level which, if maintained perpetually, would produce the largest annual net benefit . Let’s illustrate the static efficient sustainable yield with an help of a diagram. Economics of Natural Resources 118 The assumptions are: (1)The price of fish is constant and does not depend on the amount sold, (2)the marginal cost of a unit of fishing effort is constant and (3)the amount of fish caught per unit of effort expended is proportional to the size of fish population (the smaller the population, the fewer fish caught per unit of effort). Under static efficiency analysis in any sustainable yield, catches, population, effort levels and net benefits remain constant. The static efficient sustainable yield maximizes the constant net benefit. 119 Economics of Natural Resources Figure 9: Efficient Sustainable Yield for a Fishery Benefits and Costs of Fishing Effort (dollars) R(Ee) C(Ee) 0 Ee Em Ec Quantity of Fishing Effort (units) Economics of Natural Resources 120 In figure 9, the benefits and costs are portrayed as a function of fishing effort and can measured in vessel years, hours of fishing etc. The shape of the revenue function is given by the shape of the function in figure 8. An increase in fishing effort is recorded as movement from left to right. Em is the maximum sustainable yield level corresponding to the sustained levels of efforts. Every effort level portrayed in figure 9 corresponds to a population level in figure 8. Economics of Natural Resources 121 The net benefit is presented in the diagram as the difference (vertical distance) between benefits (prices times the quantity caught) and costs (the constant marginal cost of effort times the units of effort expended). The efficient level of effort is Ee, where the vertical distance between the benefits and costs is maximized. Ee is the efficient level of effort because it is where marginal benefits (which graphically is the slope of the total benefit curve) is equal to marginal cost (the constant slope of the total cost curve). Levels of effort higher than Ee are inefficient because the additional cost associated with them exceeds the value of the fish obtained. Economics of Natural Resources 122 Is maximum sustainable yield efficient? This answer is no. The maximum sustainable yield would be efficient only if the marginal cost of additional effort are zero. Therefore, this follows that the efficient level of effort is less than that necessary to harvest the maximum sustainable yield. The static efficient level of effort leads to a larger fish population than the maximum sustainable yield level of effort. Economics of Natural Resources 123 Dynamic Efficient Sustainable Yield: The static efficient sustainable yield becomes a special case of the dynamic efficient sustained yield where the discount rate is zero because the static efficient sustained yield is the allocation which maximizes the constant net benefit in every period. But any higher efforts level than this would yield temporally larger catches (and net benefit), but this would be more than offset by a reduced net benefit in the future as the stock will be low. Thus the undiscounted net benefits would be reduced. Economics of Natural Resources 124 Dynamic Efficient Sustainable Yield: Effects of positive discount rate: (a)the higher the discount rate, the higher the cost (in terms of forgone current income) of maintaining any given resource stock, and (b)positive discount rate increases efficient level of effort beyond that suggested by the static efficient sustained yield with a corresponding decrease in the equilibrium population level. Economics of Natural Resources 125 Increase in effort beyond the efficient sustained yield level initially results in an increased benefit as amount of fish caught per unit of effort is proportional to the size of the population. However, since this catch exceeds the sustained yield for that size of population, the population of fish would be reduced and future population and catch levels would be lower. Efforts would be increased until that level of effort is reached where the size the catch equals the growth of population. Economics of Natural Resources 126 Colin Clark (1976) has shown that in terms of figure 2, as the discount rate is increased, the dynamic efficient level of effort is increased until, with an infinite discount rate, it becomes equal to Ec, the point at which net benefits become zero. Why? With an infinite discount rate, allocation over time gives rise to Marginal User Cost (MUC) which measures opportunity cost. This implies that, Economics of Natural Resources 127 For efficient allocation: (1) Marginal Willingness to Pay (MWP) = Marginal Extraction Cost (MEC) which equals constant price. (2) Total Benefits = Total Costs. Let’s prove the implication two, Assume, y = qxe, where, y = yield, q = proportion of population harvested with one unit of effort, x = size of population and e = level of effort. One of the condition of dynamic efficient allocation has to satisfy with infinite discount rate is , p = c/qx, where, p = constant price, c = constant marginal cost per unit of effort and qx = no of fish harvested per unit of effort. Economics of Natural Resources 128 => py = ce where, py is total benefits and ce is total cost implying net benefits are zero. We have found that static efficient sustained yield implies a larger fish population that the maximum sustained yield. But with the positive discount rate, dynamic efficient sustained yield would imply a smaller fish population. The likelihood of population being reduced below the level supplying the maximum sustainable yield depends on discount rate. In general the Lower the extraction cost and the higher the discount rate, the more likely it is that the dynamic efficient level of effort will exceed the level of effort associated with the maximum sustainable yield. When MEC = 0, Static efficient sustainable yield = maximum sustainable yield. Economics of Natural Resources 129 Would a dynamically efficient management scheme lead to extinction of fishery? This is not possible under the circumstances considered here because Ec is the highest dynamically efficient level possible. For extinction the benefit from extracting the very last unit would have to exceed the cost of extracting that unit (including the costs on future generation). If population growth rate exceeds the discount rate, extinction may not occur. If, however, the growth rate is lower than the discount rate, extinction can occur in an efficient management scheme is the costs of extracting the last unit are sufficient low. Economics of Natural Resources 130 Would a dynamically efficient management scheme lead to extinction of fishery? This is not possible under the circumstances considered here because Ec is the highest dynamically efficient level possible. For extinction the benefit from extracting the very last unit would have to exceed the cost of extracting that unit (including the costs on future generation). If population growth rate exceeds the discount rate, extinction may not occur. If, however, the growth rate is lower than the discount rate, extinction can occur in an efficient management scheme is the costs of extracting the last unit are sufficient low. Economics of Natural Resources 131 Appropriability and Market Solutions: Consider the case of allocation resulting from a fishery managed by a competitive sole owner who has a well-defined property rights to the fish. The behavior of the sole owner has been illustrated in figure 10. in both the panel, horizontal axes represents fishing efforts. The basic aim of the sole owner is the maximize profits. Given zero discount rate, the owner can increase profits by increasing fishing effort until marginal revenue equals the marginal cost. Clearly this is effort level Ec, the static efficient sustainable yield. This yields profits which equals the difference between R(Ee) and C(Ec). 132 Economics of Natural Resources Total Revenue and Costs(dollars) Figure 10: Efficient Sustainable Yield for a Fishery R(Ee) C(Ee) Price or Cost (dollars per unit) Fishing Effort (units) Average Revenue Marginal Revenue Average Cost = Marginal Cost Ee Em Ec Fishing Effort (units) Economics of Natural Resources 133 Consider the situation when property rights to the fish are not well defined. For example the case of ocean fishery where access to fishery is completely unrestricted. This is a situation of open access. Open access resource beset with two kinds of externalities: a contemporaneous externality and intergenerational externality. Contemporaneous externality involves the over commitment of resources to fishing such as too many boats, too many fishermen, too much effort which altogether lowers rate of return of the current fishermen on their efforts. Economics of Natural Resources 134 Intergenerational externality occurs because overfishing reduces stock which lowers future profits from fishing. In the figure 10, we can see how can these externalities arise. Under open access, at the efficient level each boat would receive a profit equal of its share of the scarcity rent. The individual fisherman has an incentive to expend further effort until profits are zero. In the figure 3, that point is at effort level Ec where, average benefit and average cost are equal. Economics of Natural Resources 135 The situation of contemporaneous externality will arise at this point because too much effort is being expended to catch too few fish and the cost is substantially higher than it would be an efficient allocation. The sole owner will also not choose to expend beyond Ee, otherwise he will face reduction of profits. The allocation that results from allowing unrestricted access to the fishery is identical to that resulting from a dynamic efficient sustainable yield when an infinite discount rate is used. Economics of Natural Resources 136 Open-access resources do not automatically lead to a stock lower than that maximizing the sustained yield. However, it is not unusual for mature open-access fisheries to be exploited well beyond the point of maximum sustainable yield. Open-access resources may pose threat of species extinction when harvesting takes below the minimum viable population.