Lecture 12: Financial Leverage and Capital Structure Policy • The Capital Structure Question • The Effect of Financial Leverage • Capital Structure and the Cost of Equity Capital – M&M Propositions I and II ( NO Corporate Taxes ) – M&M Propositions I and II ( WITH Corporate Taxes ) • Bankruptcy & Optimal Capital Structure • The Extended Pie Model Lecture 12: Capital Structure Policy 1 The Capital Structure Question • Given a particular mix of debt and equity used to finance the firm, we now know how to find the cost of capital. • But what mix of debt and equity should the financial manager choose? Ø Capital Structure ? Financial Structure Ø What D/E ratio should the firm aim for? Ø What is the optimal amount of Financial Leverage • A measure of the amount of debt used to finance the firm Lecture 12: Capital Structure Policy 2 1 Optimal Capital Structure • • • Remember the goal of the manager: Maximize the value of the firm’s shares. But since shareholders are residual claimants on the firm’s cash flows: Ø Maximizing the value of the firm is the same as maximizing the value of the firm’s shares. Value of firm = Value of equity + Value of debt Ø Since the debt holder's claim is fixed (guaranteed in advance), any change to the value of the firm can change only the value of the equity. Ø To maximize the value of the equity, we should maximize the value of the firm. • (Exception: If the firm is very risky and may have difficulty paying off its debt, the value of the debt will no longer be fixed and changes in firm value may be reflected in the value of debt.) Lecture 12: Capital Structure Policy 3 WACC and Capital Structure • Maximizing firm value ó minimizing WACC. – WACC is the discount rate for firm’s overall cash flows. – Lowering WACC raises PV of firm’s cash flows • Ignoring taxes: WACC = E D * RE + * RD V V • Since RD < RE, can’t we minimize WACC simply by increasing debt? Lecture 12: Capital Structure Policy 4 2 The Effect of Financial Leverage • Debt is the fixed financial cost of the firm (like the fixed costs in operating leverage). • As debt increases, changes in firm cash flows cause larger swings in cash flows to equity. • Degree of financial leverage DFL = Percentage _ change _ in _ EPS EBIT = Percentage _ change _ in _ EBIT EBIT − Interest • Consider a firm currently financed with all equity. It considers issuing debt and using the proceeds to buy back shares. The interest rate on the firm’s debt would be 10%. Lecture 12: Capital Structure Policy 5 Leverage Example (Table 16.3) Current Equity Value Proposed 8,000,000 4,000,000 0 4,000,000 400,000 200,000 Debt Value Shares Outstanding Recession Normal Boom EBIT 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 CF to Equity (no Debt) 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 6.25% 12.5% 18.75% Interest 400,000 400,000 400,000 CF to Equity (with Debt) 100,000 600,000 1,100,000 2.5% 15% 27.5% ROE (no debt) ROE (with Debt) Lecture 12: Capital Structure Policy 6 3 Homemade Leverage • Definition: The use of personal borrowing to change the overall amount of financial leverage to which the individual is exposed. • Example: Firm stays all-equity financed. – Investor pays $2000 for 100 shares and borrows $2000 @10% to buy 100 more shares. Recession Normal Boom EPS of unlevered firm $1.25 $2.50 $3.75 Earnings for 200 shares $250 $500 $750 less interest -$200 -$200 -$200 Net earnings $50 $300 $550 ROE 2.5% 15% 27.5% • Investors could also undo leverage by holding 50% shares, 50% debt. Lecture 12: Capital Structure Policy 7 Modigliani and Miller (M&M) Proposition 1 • Note: No Taxes! Financial leverage and firm value: Proposition I • Since investors can add or undo leverage to get the effective capital structure they desire, then in the absence of taxes and other such complications, the value of the firm is unaffected by its capital structure. Vu = EBIT / RE u = VL = EL + DL • Cash flows are cash flows; regardless of how we add them up, they always total the same. Ø It doesn’t matter how you slice it, a pizza is still a pizza. Lecture 12: Capital Structure Policy 8 4 M&M Proposition 2 The cost of equity and financial leverage: Proposition II A. Because of Prop. I, the WACC must be constant. With no taxes, WACC = R A = (E/V) x RE + (D/V) x RD where RA is the return on the firm’s assets B. Solve for R E to get MM Prop. II RE = R A + (R A - RD) x (D/E) Lecture 12: Capital Structure Policy 9 The Cost of Equity and WACC Cost of capital R E = RA + (RA – R D ) x (D/E) WACC = R A RD Debt-equity ratio, D/E RE = Rf + (RM − Rf ) * βE βE = βA * (1+ D / E) βE = βA + β A * D / E Lecture 12: Capital Structure Policy Cost of equity has two parts: 1. 2. RA and “business” risk D/E and “financial” risk 10 5 M&M Propositions ( WITH corporate taxes) • Debt allows the firm to deduct interest payments and thus pay less tax. The resulting tax savings are called the interest tax shield. • The value of this shield is just the PV of all relevant CFs. PV = annual interest tax shield / RD = ( RD * D * TC ) / RD = D*TC • Since the tax shield adds value to the firm, M&M proposition I becomes: VL = VU + D * TC where ρ V u = EBIT * (1 − TC ) / ρ is the unlevered cost of capital (CC of a firm with no debt) Lecture 12: Capital Structure Policy 11 M&M Propositions ( WITH corporate taxes) Value of the firm VL Vu D/E • As leverage increases, the value of the firm increases and WACC decreases. The Optimal capital structure is all debt! M&M proposition II: RE = REU + ( REU - RD) * (D/E) * (1 - TC ) Lecture 12: Capital Structure Policy 12 6 M&M Summary – No Taxes Proposition I: The value of the firm levered equals the value of the firm unlevered: VL = VU Implications of Proposition I: 1. A firm’s capital structure is irrelevant. 2. A firm’s WACC is the same no matter what mix of debt and equity is used. Proposition II:The cost of equity, R E , is RE = R A + (RA - RD) × D/E where R A is the WACC, R D is the cost of debt, and D/E is the debt/equity ratio. Implications of Proposition II 1. The cost of equity rises as the firm increases its use of debt financing. 2. The risk of equity depends on the risk of firm operations and on the degree of financial leverage. Lecture 12: Capital Structure Policy 13 M&M Summary – With Taxes Proposition I with Taxes: The value of the firm levered equals the value of the firm unlevered plus the present value of the interest tax shield: VL = VU + Tc*D where Tc is the corporate tax rate and D is the amount of debt. Implications of Proposition I: 1. Debt financing is highly advantageous, and, in the extreme, a firm’s optimal capital structure as much debt as possible. 2. A firm’s WACC decreases as the firm relies more heavily on debt. Proposition II with Taxes: RE = REU + ( REU - RD ) * (D/E) * (1 - TC ) – Implications same as before Lecture 12: Capital Structure Policy 14 7 What about the Real World? • • In the real world, we have taxes, but most firms use both debt and equity financing. How do we reconcile this with M&M+Taxes? By looking at costs of financial distress. 1. Direct bankruptcy costs 2. Indirect bankruptcy costs • • Firms must balance the tax advantages of debt financing with the increased bankruptcy costs as leverage increases In addition, while firms are taxed more on equity, the opposite is true for investors; the personal-tax treatment of debt and equity may offset some advantages of debt. Lecture 12: Capital Structure Policy 15 Bankruptcy and Financial Distress • • “Bankruptcy” does not mean “going out of business”. In fact, bankruptcy is a process to protect the firm from its creditors so that it can reorganize and, hopefully, survive. • A firm may request bankruptcy protection when it has insufficient cash flows to meet its obligations to creditors (interest payments) This happens only when the value of the firm is less than the value of its debts. (Why?) • • • Firms can try to avoid bankruptcy by negotiating with creditors If the judge grants the company bankruptcy protection, then one of the following will happen: – Reorganization: the firm renegotiates with its creditors and emerges from bankruptcy. – Liquidation: the assets of the firm are sold and the proceeds paid out according to priority rules. Lecture 12: Capital Structure Policy 16 8 Priority in Bankruptcy 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Bankruptcy costs (lawyers) Debtor in possession financing Employees Government Debt holders (senior then subordinate) Equity holders (preferred then common) – Secured creditors get first crack at the security assets. – Equity holders are last in priority, and since the firm can’t pay all its creditors, their equity is technically worthless. – But they retain power during the bankruptcy process, because they control the business and can force a “cramdown” liquidation. Lecture 12: Capital Structure Policy 17 Costs of Financial Distress • Direct costs: – Bankruptcy procedures can takes years and often involve hundreds of lawyers. – In case of liquidation, it may be difficult to sell assets at true value. – For solvent business, calculate as Probability of Bankruptcy * Direct Costs of Bankruptcy • Indirect costs: – Costs from anticipation of possible bankruptcy – Other firms do not want to deal with unreliable firms – Agency costs: Management takes actions that are in their own best interest (reduce risk) or in the best interest of the equity holders (increase risk) rather than in the interest of the firm as a whole. – These costs are incurred whether or not the firm goes bankrupt Lecture 12: Capital Structure Policy 18 9 Implications of the Static Theory of the Capital Structure • In Theory: – A firm borrows up to the point where the tax benefit from an extra dollar in debt is exactly equal to the cost that comes from the increased probability of financial distress. • In Practice: – Can’t precisely estimates marginal costs of financial distress. • Makes theory hard to test, hard to use. – The higher the tax rate, the greater incentive to borrow. • Firms with high depreciation rates or large accumulated losses have less incentive to borrow. – The greater the risk of financial distress, the lower the D/E • More volatile EBIT should mean lower D/E • More tangible assets (e.g. higher liquidation values) should mean higher D/E. Lecture 12: Capital Structure Policy 19 The Static Theory of Capital Structure • The optimal capital structure and the value of the firm Value of the firm (VL ) VL = VU + T C Present value of tax shield on debt D Financial distress costs Actual firm value VU VU = Value of firm with no debt Debt-equity ratio, D/E D/E Lecture 12: Capital Structure Policy Optimal amount of debt 20 10 The Static Theory of Capital Structure • The optimal capital structure and the cost of capital Cost of capital (%) RE RU RU WACC Minimum cost of capital WACC* RD (1 – T C) Debt/equity ratio (D/E) D*/E* The optimal debt/equity ratio Lecture 12: Capital Structure Policy 21 The Extended Pie Model Lower financial leverage Bondholder claim Stockholder claim Bankruptcy claim Tax claim • Higher financial leverage Bondholder claim Stockholder claim Bankruptcy claim Tax claim The optimal capital structure is thus the one that maximizes the value of marketed claims ( bondholders’ and shareholders’ claims) or the one that minimizes the value of non-marketed claims (government’s and potential litigants’ claims) Lecture 12: Capital Structure Policy 22 11 What we know now • Capital Structure / Financial Structure / Financial Leverage discusses the optimal mix of financing (primarily debt and equity) for the firm. • Management should maximize the value of the whole firm, which will lead to the maximum value for shareholders as residual claimants. • M&M tell us that, without taxes, the capital structure decision is irrelevant: pick whatever you want. • But with taxes and bankruptcy costs, we must balance to find the optimal capital structure. • As we increase the financial leverage, the riskiness and consequently the cost of equity will increase. 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