Research & Rankings Hedge Fund Report Card As investors have shifted their focus back to making money, they have also changed their views of many big players By Britt EricaTunick Research & Rankings The Hedge Fund Report Card 2010 “They’re excellent at data gathering and analysis and translating that into their positions” Rank UNWTD. 2009 Firm Total UNWTD. 1 10 York Capital Management 52.63 2 1 Bridgewater Associates 50.12 Bain Capital/Brookside Capital Partners 50.00 Adage Capital Management 49.83 Canyon Capital Advisors 49.67 3 4 5* 8* 5* “They are exceptional in terms of credibility, given the transparency they provide and the way they mark the portfolio” “They deal very well with liquidity issues. They’re one of the firms that had a smaller problem, but they dealt with it very well by structuring their new fund to avoid having that happen again and by dealing with the SPV they set up, which I think was done in a professional way” “[David] Tepper puts his money where his mouth is” “It's more of a beta than an alpha strategy” Baupost Group 49.67 7 6 King Street Capital Management 48.88 8* 5 Taconic Capital Advisors 48.50 8* 24 Angelo, Gordon & Co. 48.50 10 30 Fortress Investment Group 47.80 11 8* Viking Global Investors 47.00 12 Convexity Capital Management 46.67 13* 11 Wellington Management 46.50 13* 14 GoldenTree Asset Management 46.50 15 7 Davidson Kempner Advisers 46.35 16 13 Maverick Capital 46.00 17* 12 Elliott Management 45.75 17* 3 Paulson & Co. 45.75 Shumway Capital Partners 45.60 19 20 Anchorage Advisors 45.26 21 19 Och-Ziff Capital Management Group 44.77 22 2 Tudor Investment Corp. 44.67 BlackRock 44.42 23 25 28 Harbinger Capital Partners 43.33 24 27 Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo 43.00 26 21 Avenue Capital Group 42.95 27 JPMorgan: JPMorgan Asset Management 42.50 28 AQR Capital Management 39.60 29 Appaloosa Management 38.67 30 17 D. E. Shaw Group 38.14 31 20 Moore Capital Management 37.71 32 4 JPMorgan: Highbridge Capital Management 37.50 33 25 Millennium Management 36.50 34 29 Goldman Sachs Asset Management 35.90 35 16 Eton Park Capital Management 35.71 36* 26 Renaissance Technologies 35.60 36* Farallon Capital Management 35.60 38 Marathon Asset Management 34.00 39 SAC Capital Advisors 33.00 40 TPG-Axon Capital Management 30.50 41 QVT Financial 29.25 42 Citadel 27.33 43 Cerberus Capital Management 26.72 *Asterisk indicates a tie. “They tend to be less correlated with the stock market than a lot of guys” “I wish they weren’t so big, but I think they do some of the best research of anyone out there” “It’s not a terribly liquid fund, but one of the reasons they’re able to perform the way they do is that they know they have investors locked up for fairly long investment horizons” “They haven’t done very well on the upside. They just haven’t generated massive returns in recent years, yet they charge extremely high fees” “It’s an illiquid portfolio” Key factors when evaluating a hedge fund Scale: 1 to 10 (10 = “most important”) H edge fund investors haven’t forgotten the carnage of 2008, and managers who learned its lessons—as well as those making stellar returns—garnered the top marks in AR’s second annual Hedge Fund Report Card. York Capital Management, with $11.35 billion, edged $50.9 billion Bridgewater Associates out of the lead, scoring 52.63 points out of a possible 60 and jumping nine notches from its tenth-place ranking in last year’s survey. “I think the world of York’s founder [Jamie Dinan] in terms of his ability and his integrity, and needless to say, I am impressed with his performance,” says Richard Galanti, chief financial officer of Costco, who has been an investor in York since its inception. Adds another institutional investor in the firm: “They were very bearish at the end of ’08, but then they were very adaptable when they realized that things had changed in ’09… when they realized equities weren’t going to be as bad as they thought, they were able to make that adjustment and to make something off of it, which is very admirable.” Investors say their main concern now is performance, as evidenced by alpha generation jumping into second place of the six factors that investors took into consideration when scoring the top 50 firms in the AR Billion Dollar Club for the report card. York, which did not restrict redemptions during 2008—which investors appear to remember—also ranked high in transparency and liquidity, two of the other six factors. Investors rated firms on alignment of interests, alpha generation, independent oversight, infrastructure, transparency and RANK 2009 RANK Unwtd. Average 1 1 Alignment of interests 8.69 2 3 Alpha generation 8.47 8.07 3 2 Independent oversight 4 4 Infrastructure 7.91 5 5 Transparency 7.80 6 6 Liquidity terms 7.12 liquidity terms, scoring firms in each of those categories on a scale from 1 to 10, for the possible total of 60. As investors have changed the way they look at many of the industry’s largest hedge fund firms, there’s been a major shift in the lineup. Fortress Investment Group gained the most over the past year. And although big names like Paulson & Co., Tudor Investment Corp. and Eton Park Capital Management fell, JPMorgan: Highbridge Capital Management fell the most. The differences among the top-rated service is outstanding, their people have been creative, and they developed products early on in the institutional hedge fund cycle that others are now copying,” says Donald Anastasia, assistant treasurer of utility company NSTAR, adding that he believes the firm’s business is scalable and that he is therefore not worried about its large size. But not all investors feel the same. Adds another Bridgewater investor: “In the last year or so I think they’ve fallen a bit because of their size.” Bain/Brookside, Adage and Baupost Even when investors are able to get firms to provide the transparency they desire, the issue is somewhat of a house of cards firms, however, are minimal. Second-place Bridgewater had 50.12 points, Bain Capital/Brookside Capital took third place with an even 50 points, and Adage Capital Management landed in fourth place with 49.83 points. Canyon Capital Advisors and the Baupost Group rounded out the top five in a tie, with 49.67 points each. Despite Bridgewater’s slip, investors still gave it high marks. “Bridgewater’s client Survey respondent are all new to the survey, as growth in assets moved them into the top 50 this year. Investors praise Bain for the firm’s strong corporate culture, governance and overall professionalism, and say they are comfortable with the firm’s size. Adage scores high among investors because of its analytical capabilities, its ability to adapt to volatile markets, and the firm’s willingness to acknowledge its own investment mistakes Research & Rankings Alignment of interests Firm Unwtd. Average 1 Adage Capital Management 9.75 2 Baupost Group 9.67 3* Taconic Capital Advisors 8.83 3* York Capital Management 8.83 5* Angelo, Gordon & Co. 8.50 5* Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo 8.50 Rank “They’re constantly trying to improve and don’t blame stuff that’s happened on the market” “There is nothing really special about them” ▲Top 5 “Ken Griffin holds his investors somewhere between indifference and disdain” ▼Bottom 5 39 Citadel 5.00 40 QVT Financial 4.75 41 Goldman Sachs Asset Management 4.60 42 Marathon Asset Management 4.33 43 Cerberus Capital Management 4.11 *Asterisk indicates a tie. without blaming performance on the market. Nonetheless, some investors still remain a bit skeptical about the firm because it refuses to hire an independent administrator—one of the big changes wrought by the crash, specifically the Madoff scandal. “I’m not happy about it, but I’m able to get over it… They have twice-yearly audits, and they do some other things to make up for it,” says one Adage investor. this year include Angelo, Gordon & Co., which tied for eighth place with Taconic Capital Advisors, up from its 24th-place ranking last year, and Fortress Investment Group, which ranked 10th, up from 30th last year. Not surprisingly, strong performance is the reason most of these funds gained in the rankings, say investors. On the flip side, several prominent and highly regarded firms plummeted in this Transparency is not so much an issue with the really good firms anymore; they got it Investors in Baupost describe the firm’s founder, Seth Klarman, as a great thinker and investor, noting that his returns tend to be much less correlated with the stock market than most of his peers’. “He is very patient and careful, and in years like 2008 Buapost provides enormous downside protection,” says one. Other firms that jumped significantly Survey respondent year’s rankings. Tudor, Paulson and Highbridge—in second, third and fourth place, respectively, last year—fell significantly, an indication of investors’ fear that the industry’s best-performing hedge funds usually have nowhere to go but down. Highbridge, which ranked 32nd in the survey, had the biggest drop-off of the firms that made it into this year’s collection of the industry’s 50 largest, down 28 spots from its fourth-place ranking in last year’s survey. Tudor, which came in 22nd, fell 20 spots from its secondplace position in 2009. And Paulson, which tied for 17th place with Elliott Management, was down 14 spots from its third-place ranking last year. Investors credit Tudor’s fall in the rankings to its unremarkable returns in recent years. “The Tudor folks charge extremely high fees. They have only had one down year since 1984, and their protection of capital on the downside is absolutely spectacular. But they haven’t done very well on the upside,” says one institutional investor in Tudor. “The perception is that they are a world-class organization… it’s just that over this last three-year period they really haven’t distinguished themselves as much as they probably would have hoped.” Paulson still has fans in the investment community, as he continues to be viewed as a manager who can identify good investment opportunities. However, there is growing skepticism about his ability to continue generating outsize returns on a long-term basis. “We’re concerned with their size these days… It’s not just that the fund that we’re in got bigger, it’s that they’ve also rolled out a number of new funds and products, and you have to wonder about their focus,” says the chief investment officer for one institution invested in Paulson. Alpha generation Firm Unwtd. Average 1* Adage Capital Management 10.00 1* Baupost Group 10.00 3 Elliott Management 9.50 4 King Street Capital Management 9.00 5* Viking Global Investors 8.83 5* York Capital Management 8.83 Rank ▲Top 5 “The institutional equities fund has underperformed their long standing Medallion fund and there’s been controversy about why the difference in those returns” “They have one of the best risk-returnadjusted track records in the industry” ▼Bottom 5 39* TPG-Axon Capital Management 4.33 39* Citadel 4.33 41 Goldman Sachs Asset Management 4.20 42 AQR Capital Management 4.00 43 Renaissance Technologies 3.80 *Asterisk indicates a tie. Other firms whose standing among investors dropped by double digits over the past year include Eton Park Capital Management, which ranked 35th this year, down 19 spots from its 16th-place ranking in 2009; D. E. Shaw, landing at 30th, a 13-spot fall from its 17th-place ranking last year; 31stplace Moore Capital Management, which is down 11 notches from its 20th-place standing; and Renaissance Technologies, which fell ten spots from its 26th-place standing in last year’s survey to tie for 36th place with Farallon Capital Management. Investors in Eton Park attribute the firm’s drop to a combination of weak performance and the long lockups that investors have come to disdain, especially when accompanied by mediocre returns. “They’re very good at not trying to hit home runs and instead focus on capital preservation,” says one investor in the firm. “But by being so defensive in 2009, unfortunately, they kept their foot on the brake most of the way and didn’t make money… I also get a bit hesitant when they start talking about the fact that now is their time to start getting into some private investments, particularly Latin America, because you can’t make up for missing out on last year’s market by trying to double down,” he says. Consistently poor performance is also a big reason for Renaissance’s decline, just in a bit of a different way. “Their institu- tional equities fund has underperformed their long-standing Medallion fund [open only to employees], and there’s been controversy about why the difference in those returns—whether it was just style or more of a deeper management issue,” says one investor in Renaissance. Several of last year’s players fell out of the survey because of a decline in their assets under management. Members of that group include Barclays Global Investors, which ranked 15th in last year’s survey; Magnetar Capital; Stark Investments; Perry Capital; and Black River Asset Management. Not all the newcomers ranked too high either. While Bain/Brookside, Adage, Baupost and Convexity Capital Management landed in the top third of this year’s rankings, other new additions didn’t fare quite as well. Shumway Capital Partners and Anchorage Advisors appeared in the top half of the rankings, in 19th and 20th place with respective scores of 45.60 and 45.26. The remaining eleven new additions to this year’s survey include BlackRock, 23rd; JPMorgan Asset Management, 27th; AQR Capital Management, 28th; Appaloosa Management, 29th; Farallon, tied for 36th; Marathon Asset Management, 38th; SAC Capital Advisors, 39th; TPG-Axon Capital Management, 40th; QVT Financial, 41st; Citadel, 42nd; and Cerberus Capital Management, which brings up the bottom of this year’s survey in 43rd place with only 26.72 points. When investors were asked to rank in importance the six factors in our survey on a scale of 1 to 10, all six categories once again received rankings greater than 7. Alignment of interests weighed in as most important, with an 8.69 ranking, followed by alpha generation with 8.47; independent oversight with 8.07; infrastructure with 7.91; transparency with 7.80; and liquidity terms with 7.12. Comparatively, alignment of interests and liquidity terms—which were ranked the same way last year—received respective scores of 8.23 and 7.19 in 2009. The biggest factors that kept firms down in the rankings were transparency and liquidity, which would seem odd, given that these are the two factors investors ranked as being least important, in that order. But investors say that the rankings of these factors are actually not surprising and should not be viewed as diminishing their importance. Instead, following the Madoff scandal and the market meltdown of 2008, most investors say they consider the need for transparency and liquidity in hedge funds to be a given, and they would simply not bother looking at firms that do not meet their criteria in these areas. Therefore, investors say they tend to spend more time focusing on issues such as alignment of interests and alpha generation. “Transparency is not so much an issue with the really good firms anymore; they got Research & Rankings Independent oversight Firm Unwtd. Average 1 Bain Capital/Brookside Capital Partners 9.00 2 York Capital Management 8.80 3 Fortress Investment Group 8.60 4* Baupost Group 8.33 4* Convexity Capital Management 8.33 4* Maverick Capital 8.33 Rank ▲Top 5 “It’s a corporate culture of appropriate governance and professionalism” ▼Bottom 5 36* Farallon Capital Management 5.00 36* Appaloosa Management 5.00 38 Citadel 4.67 39 QVT Financial 4.25 40 SAC Capital Advisors 4.00 41 Cerberus Capital Management 3.38 “They don’t try to be an institutional hedge fund. They run it to make money first and foremost” *Asterisk indicates a tie. I think the world of York's founder in terms of his ability and his integrity, and I am impressed with his performance it,” says one institutional investor. “If someone won’t give us transparency these days, we’re just not interested,” he says, noting that most firms will now accommodate investors by providing a look at 30-day trailing positions. But other investors are quick to note that even when investors are able to get firms to provide the transparency they desire, the issue is somewhat of a house of cards, given that even the most in-depth look at a balance sheet doesn’t indicate how all of the derivatives and other transactions within a fund’s portfolio relate to one another. In the area of transparency, the scores of the firms within the Hedge Fund Re- Richard Galanti, Costco port Card ranged from 8.67 to 3.00. Wellington Management topped investors’ list, while Angelo, Gordon ranked second. York and Canyon Capital Advisors tied for third place. Citadel brought up the rear in the category (with a score of only 3.00). The grades some firms received for liquidity fell even lower, with Citadel once again ranking at the bottom of the pack with an overall score of only 1.33 for the category. Comparatively, Bridgewater received top marks for liquidity, weighing in with the category’s highest score of 8.71, while York ranked second and Adage was third. When it comes to alignment of inter- ests—the category investors deemed most important—Adage led the way with a score of 9.75, followed closely by Baupost, with a score of 9.67, and a tie for third place between Taconic and York with scores of 8.83. Cerberus was the worst performer in the category, with a score of 4.11. Adage also nabbed the top spot in alpha generation in a tie with Baupost, as both firms had perfect scores of 10. Rounding out the top three in alpha generation, Elliott ranked third with a score of 9.50, while Renaissance received the category’s lowest ranking with a score of 3.80. Ranked solely on infrastructure, Bain/ Brookside leads the pack, with a score of 9.67, followed closely by Bridgewater with 9.59 and York with 9.50. TPG-Axon got the lowest score, 5.67. The decline of the importance of independent oversight, now ranked third, is a sign that many investors tend to have a short memory when markets begin to rebound, according to investors. In that category, Bain/Brookside led the pack with a score of 9.00, followed by York with 8.80 and Fortress with 8.60. Investors identified Cerberus as the firm with weakest independent oversight in this year’s rankings, giving the firm a score of 3.38. AR Infrastructure Firm Unwtd. Average 1 Bain Capital/Brookside Capital Partners 9.67 2 Bridgewater Associates 9.59 3 York Capital Management 9.50 4* GoldenTree Asset Management 9.00 4* Baupost Group 9.00 4* Canyon Capital Advisors 9.00 4* Citadel 9.00 4* Angelo, Gordon & Co. 9.00 Rank ▲Top 5 “It’s a big institutional shop that we consider to be high quality” ▼Bottom 5 37 Paulson & Co. 7.23 38 Cerberus Capital Management 7.13 39* Farallon Capital Management 7.00 39* Harbinger Capital Partners 7.00 39* SAC Capital Advisors 7.00 42 Appaloosa Management 6.00 43 TPG-Axon Capital Management 5.67 “Their fees are extremely high and their transparency poor” *Asterisk indicates a tie. Liquidity terms Firm Unwtd. Average 1 Bridgewater Associates 8.71 2 York Capital Management 8.33 3 Adage Capital Management 8.25 4* Renaissance Technologies 8.00 4* Canyon Capital Advisors 8.00 Rank ▲Top 5 “They run a pretty simplistic strategy and are more like a longonly manager than a hedge fund” ▼Bottom 5 39 Eton Park Capital Management 4.29 40 TPG-Axon Capital Management 4.00 41 QVT Financial 3.25 42 Cerberus Capital Management 1.86 43 Citadel 1.33 *Asterisk indicates a tie. “Their lockups put you in a position where you have to take some of it down when it becomes available or you’re stuck” Research & Rankings Transparency “It's a very process oriented shop and very institutional in terms of transparency, access and risk management” Firm Unwtd. Average 1 Wellington Management 8.67 2 Angelo, Gordon & Co. 8.50 3* York Capital Management 8.33 3* Canyon Capital Advisors 8.33 5* Taconic Capital Advisors 8.00 5* Bain Capital/Brookside Capital Partners 8.00 5* Harbinger Capital Partners 8.00 5* Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo 8.00 Rank ▲Top 5 ▼Bottom 5 39 SAC Capital Advisors 4.50 40 Moore Capital Management 4.43 41 Renaissance Technologies 4.40 42 TPG-Axon Capital Management 4.33 43 Citadel 3.00 “They understand the type of information we need to have from them, and they’re happy to provide it” *Asterisk indicates a tie. To grade the top hedge funds, AR approached a large group of hedge fund investors, including pension funds, foundations and endowments, as well as funds of funds and private equity firms. All told, we solicited the opinions of 100 pension and endowment investors who collectively oversee more than $250 billion in assets. Family offices, funds of funds and private equity firms also participated. Polling was conducted by phone during the month of June and wrapped up in early July. Reprinted from the September 2010 issue of AR Magazine. Copyright 2010 by AR Magazine. All rights reserved. For more information call (212) 224-3675.