Incorporating Official Board Markets Paper, Packaging and Fiber Market News and Prices for North America Jul. 24, 2015 | Vol. 37, No. 28 Graphic paper demand in North America has dropped 48% since the turn of the century. Assess machine conversion challenges at www.risi.com/NAConversion DID YOU KNOW... …that copying or electronic forwarding of this publication is illegal in virtually every country around the world? We rely on subscription fees to support our worldwide editorial team. Illegal copying hurts our ability to bring you the very best news -- and may even subject you to a fine. Discounts are available for groups of five or more new subscribers from the same company. Contact us at www.risi.com/contact for more information. For general subscription and other inquiries, email info@risi.com. After a month of incomplete worldwide chemical market pulp producer data, full "World 20" inventory and shipment figures returned with June results after Brazilian bleached eucalyptus kraft (BEK) came back into the fold. Overall market pulp inventories declined one day-of-supply in June to bring levels to 34 days, with bleached softwood kraft (BSK) down a day into balanced levels and bleached hardwood kraft (BHK) down two days to 38 days, according to figures the Pulp and Paper Products Council (PPPC) released on July 23. Separately, the global BHK market is set to deal with an unexpected supply shock after Asia Pacific Resources International (APRIL) closed down its big 1.5 million tonnes/yr BHK line at Rizhao, China, due to a drought. The Rizhao closure, expected to last until October, came a week after the firm closed a smaller 300,000 tonnes/yr line leading to 1.8 million tonnes and about 5% of global BHK supply being shuttered when market conditions were just ››› continued on page 8 Neenah's $120 million purchase of FiberMark would be the specialty/technical firm's fourth deal since 2012 Neenah Paper continued its expansion in specialty and technical paper products, signing a definitive agreement to acquire FiberMark for $120 million in a move that the company believes will help it grow in premium luxury packaging. The deal, if completed as planned by July 31, would be Neenah Paper's fourth acquisition since 2012 and second one in technical products in three years. Last year, Neenah Paper acquired Crane & Co's technical materials div, which included a plant in Pittsfield, MA. The other two acquisitions involved premium uncoated fine papers: Wausau Paper's colors and premium papers unit and Southworth's business papers brand. For the deal to be completed, Neenah Paper is purchasing the outstanding equity of ASP FiberMark from an affiliate of American Securities. From FiberMark, Neenah Paper adds further capability in the premium packaging, a segment the company has expanded in over the last few years. With annual sales of more than ››› continued on page 6 $160 million, FiberMark is a specialty coater and Despite 5% decline in US shipping sack volume and with more imports, multiwall paper market stable This Week: IP Springfield set for $100 million upgrade 2 K-C reports 4% drop on consumer tissue prices 5 Drought, prices cause Howe Sound news shut 5 Packaging Focus World stocks fall one day as Brazilian BEK figures return; supply shock expected from Rizhao shut 2-4 US shipping sack deliveries for the first half are down 5% from a year ago, with imports of paper sacks from Canada, Mexico, and Brazil a major factor, according to the latest industry statistics. But the multiwall sack kraft paper market has been quiet on pricing this year on most fronts including pricing after major industry consolidation in 2014, according to contacts. "I've been expecting something might happen with prices because of the decline in sack volume this year, but it has been very quiet," one sack converter said. US shipments of unbleached multiwall sack kraft paper for the first half of this year are down 22% from a year ago, with some of this weakness possibly from "bleeding" of some multiwall paper into other kraft paper statistical categories, one contact noted. Total US unbleached kraft paper shipments for the first half were up 0.4% from a year ago -- a strong performance for this long-declining grade sector -- and were helped by strength in bag and sack grades, up 14%, and kraft converting paper, 5.2% higher, according to American Forest & Paper Association (AF&PA) statistics. ››› continued on page 2 Pa c k a g i n g F o c u s Containerboard PCA exceeds earlier 2Q profit guidance, helped by fast DeRidder ramp Packaging Corp of America (PCA) reported slightly higher operating earnings for the second quarter, helped by improved performance of its big DeRidder, LA, containerboard mill. Excluding special items, second quarter net income reached a record $116 million ($1.18/share) compared with net income of $114 million ($1.16/share) on flat sales of $1.5 billion. The result exceeded the company's prior guidance by $0.15/share. "We had an outstanding quarter operationally in both our mills and box plants, which increased earnings significantly over prior guidance," said CEO Mark Kowlzan in the company's earnings announcement. "The benefits from improvements made at the DeRidder mill, during its first quarter outage, were realized faster than expected, which allowed further grade optimization in our containerboard mill system," Kowlzan added. Faster than expected ramp up. PCA missed consensus first quarter earnings estimates partly because of 22 days of downtime at DeRidder. The downtime resulted from extensive optimization work to the mill's pulp mill, energy system, and two paper machines. The work followed last fall's conversion of the D-3 machine from newsprint to production of 355,000 tons/yr of containerboard. The first quarter outage took six days longer than expected because of "problems" with vendor-supplied equipment for the 615,000 tons/yr D-1 linerboard machine, Kowlzan said. The D-3 machine produced 79,000 tons (875 tons/day) in the second quarter, including 59,000 tons of kraft linerboard and 20,000 tons of recycled corrugating medium. This helped PCA reduce its outside purchases of containerboard by 56,000 tons from the second quarter of 2014. Within 80% of target. "We are basically in the 80% range of reaching our 1,000 tons/day for the D-3 machine," Kowlzan told analysts. "D-3 has proven to come on very quickly" and is producing a 75%/25% mix of linerboard to medium, he said. The machine was originally expected to produce more medium. D-3 is scheduled to go down again for 13 days in September for the installation of six new dryer cans, rather than the originally expected four, which is to help the machine achieve its 1,000 tons/day target and reduce cost. The company still believes D-3 2 will contribute $60 million of EBITDA, Kowlzan said. "The ability to produce virgin, high-performance linerboard grades on D-3 plus the improvements on D-1 allowed us to make more lightweight and specialty grades at DeRidder and shift other (heavier weight grades) to our Counce, TN, and Valdosta, GA, linerboard mills," Kowlzan said. "This resulted in record productivity on a tons/day basis and lower cost at all three mills." Box shipments up 2.1%. Corrugated box shipments were up 2.1% on a total and per work day basis over "a very strong" second quarter last year," exec VP Tom Hassfurther told analysts. He said profitability was helped by a "richer mix," achieved partly from migrating former Boise box plants to higher-value added corrugated business. The company said EBITDA margins in its packaging business increased to 23.4% in the second quarter of 2015 from 22.6% a year ago. The fourth largest North American containerboard and corrugated box producer, PCA acquired Boise for nearly $2 billion in October 2013. From Boise, PCA added containerboard capacity in DeRidder and Wallula, WA, along with corrugated plants, and uncoated freesheet and specialty paper capacity at three mills including Wallul Four board firms report. Next week on July 29, North America's two largest containerboard and box companies, International Paper and WestRock, will report their second-quarter earnings as will Smurfit Kappa Group and Kapstone. • PCA said that its board of directors has authorized the repurchase of an additional $150 million of the company’s outstanding common stock. Together with remaining authority under previously announced programs, PCA may repurchase about $205 million of additional shares, the company said this week. The timing and amount of repurchases will be determined by the company. IP planning $100 million upgrade to Springfield, OR, kraft linerboard mill International Paper's (IP) request for a fiveyear property tax waiver for a proposed $101.6 million upgrade to its Springfield, OR, kraft linerboard mill was approved by the local city council and county commissioners. The exemption would save IP more than $8.5 million in property taxes on the upgraded equipment over a five year period, the Eugene Register-Guard reported. IP said that it is planning to replace the headbox of the mill's No. 2 linerboard ma© 2015 RISI, Inc. All rights reserved chine and the floor of one of its boilers. If the company approves the plan, the project would begin in September and be completed in 2016. A single 256-in. trim Beloit Bel Bond paper machine with an extended nip press runs at the mill. The PM 2 is capable of producing 635,000 tons/yr of mainly standard and lightweight unbleached kraft linerboard, and some white-top linerboard, according to RISI Mill Intelligence. The mill's No. 1 linerboard PM was shut down in 2001. The proposed upgrade will not add jobs beyond the estimated 400 temporary contract workers for the project. But a company official told the Register-Guard the upgrade would offer "long and reliable operation" of the 66-year old mill. Under the exemption, IP could reduce the mill complex's workforce by up to 20% but the company said it has no plans for any job cuts. The company also agreed that any new hires during the five-year period on average would receive more than 150% of Lane County's average annual wage of $38,353 -or $58,530/yr. The mill's average employee annual compensation, including wages and most benefits, is $95,882, according to the local newspaper. Last IP West Coast mill. Springfield is IP's only major containerboard mill on the West Coast. IP acquired the mill in 2008 as part of its $6 billion acquisition of Weyerhaeuser's containerboard, packaging, and recycling business. The company shut the Albany, OR, mill acquired in the same deal in late 2009. The mill is the highest cost mill in IP's 16mill US industrial packaging system and is the only other IP mill besides Mansfield, LA, mill that makes some white-top linerboard. RISI Analytical Cornerstone estimates Springfield's cash cost for making unbleached kraft linerboard at $330-340/ton and its cost for white-top at more than $500/ ton, excluding delivery. Both are on the high end of the industry cost curve, according to RISI Mill Intelligence. SHIPPING SACK IMPORTS FLOW ‹‹‹ continued from page 1 US sack shipments down 5%. US finished shipping sack shipments for the first half of this year were down 5% to 1.18 billion sacks, according to the Paper Shipping Sack Manufacturers Association (PSSMA). "Domestic sack demand has been strong for building materials end uses for the first PPI PULP & PAPER WEEK/July 24, 2015 P a c k a g i n g F o c u s , continued half of this year, up about 3.6%," said PSSMA pres Dick Storat. "But agricultural and food end users were down about 5%. Minerals were off 20%, partly due to lower demand from the oil industry for drilling sand." Apparent US purchases of paper multiwall sacks (with imports included) were down a more modest 2% through May. Jump in paper sack imports. Imports of converted multiwall (MW) paper sacks through May were up 16% from a year ago due to the strong US dollar and sluggish growth in other countries, making the US market an attractive target, contacts said. On the other hand, imports of laminated woven (LW) sacks were down 24% for the first half "with imports from China no longer creating havoc" because of antidumping duties that were first imposed in 2008, one contact claimed. China, however, still accounts for 10% of total US laminated woven and paper sack imports. "Laminated woven sacks may also be maturing in ability to grow in certain markets like pet food," one contact said. Overall US laminated sack demand was down about 5% through May this year, although domestic LW sack manufacturers, which in some cases also make paper sacks, were able to increase shipments fractionally and capture market share from imports. Total sack imports (paper multiwall + laminated woven) were up a more modest 5.4% through May, according to the PSSMA and based on US trade statistics. Brazilian imports up 74%. Paper multiwall sack imports from Canada, which account for more than 40% of total US sack imports (MW + LW), were up almost 14% through May. Imports from Mexico, which supplies about 13% of total US sacks, jumped almost 18%. But the biggest increase was from Brazil, where the domestic economy is in recession, the Real has dropped 17% against the US dollar this year, and two new kraft paper machines plus some sack converting lines were added. Brazilian sack shipments to the US are up 74% this year, raising some eyebrows in the US sack industry. Brazil now accounts for about 5% of total US sack imports (13 million sacks). Also, some of the converted sacks coming over the border from Mexico (33 million sacks) are reportedly from a large new multiwall plant that is using Chilean paper, one contact said. The Brazilian sacks are imported at an average value of $285/thousand sacks compared with a global average US import value of $348/thousand, according to US trade data. Mexico's sacks are coming in at $325 and Canada's sacks at $344/thousand sacks. PPI PULP & PAPER WEEK/July 24, 2015 US KRAFT PAPER STATISTICS -- FIRST HALF 2015 (000 tons) Unbleached Shipments Multiwall Bag and sack Converting Exports Imports Mill inventories (ended June 30) Operating rate Bleached Shipments Operating rate Total kraft paper 2015 First half 2014 % chg 794 200 407 187 90 80 63 n.a. 791 256 357 177 110 87 55 n.a. 0.4% -21.7 13.9 5.2 -18.2 -8.3 14.1 56 n.a. 850 62 n.a. 852 -8.9 -0.3 Source: American Forest & Paper Assn. More sack imports, which tend to be heavier valve type bags, are arriving from Europe, including from Germany and the Netherlands, the trade statistics indicate. US paper prices stable. But so far, the softness in US shipping sack cutup from the surge in converted sack imports has not translated into any weakness in prices for multiwall kraft paper, according to contacts. "Multiwall paper has been one of the brighter spots this year," one contact said. "If any oversupply develops, mills can just shift machines to producing lightweight kraft linerboard." North American producers last raised prices on extensible and natural multiwall kraft paper by $50/ton in the spring of 2014 in the USA. Natural sack kraft paper (50 lb) is reportedly selling around the $750-775/ ton range, net of discounts, in the USA. Extensible sells in the $900-$1,000 range domestically -- though most high-performance extensible paper is exported for cement packaging and other end uses. Tolko, Canfor, and KapStone's Longview, WA, mill are the only North American producers of high-performance extensible sack kraft paper. Competitive export market. US exports of unbleached kraft paper, mainly extensible multiwall, declined 18.2% to 110,000 tons in the first half of this year, according to US trade data compiled by the AF&PA. Imports of unbleached kraft paper were down 8.3% to 80,000 tons over the same period. US export producers such as KapStone have been facing "headwinds" from the strong dollar, slowing economies and construction markets in Asia, Latin America and the Middle East, and the West Coast © 2015 RISI, Inc. All rights reserved port slowdown earlier this year that ended in February, according to contacts. Pricing in export markets for B-grade paper in some developing markets is in the mid-$700/tonne range, contacts told PPI Europe. Global markets have also become more competitive because of slow demand in Europe -- the major exporting region -and rise of the dollar that turned producers in Europe, Russia, and Brazil much more cost competitive. "Dollar-priced paper has had to come down in price when contracts open up to be competitive with paper sold in Euros," one contact noted. "So exchange rates have created downward pressure on dollar prices." European price hike difficult. Major European producers such as Mondi and BillerudKorsnas announced up to Euro 60/ tonne price hikes on unbleached sack kraft paper for June/July, and implemented about Euro 20 of the increase with negotiations still in progress, PPI Europe reported. The main reason the increase did not achieve targeted levels has been slow demand in Europe during the seasonally strong summer period, according to PPIE. Eurosac recently reported deliveries of finished sacks in Europe were down 2.2% through April, from deliveries in 2014 through April. Few waves from consolidation. The biggest structural change in the North American market last year was global industry leader Mondi's acquisition of Graphic Packaging's nine sack plants and Pine Bluff, AR, mill to become the largest and only integrated North American shipping sack converter. Hood Packaging added to its position last year as the second largest producer by acquiring four Bemis multiwall plants. El 3 P a c k a g i n g F o c u s , continued Dorado Packaging acquired Greif's two multiwall plants plus an Arkansas independent converter (which provided the name for the new business). Mondi's new leadership role in the US market has not caused many waves, despite some earlier apprehension, according to contacts. One converter, however, noted paper quality from its 150,000 tons/yr Pine Bluff mill has "noticeably improved" since the acquisition. Brown bag & sack growing. US unbleached kraft bag and sack paper shipments jumped almost 14% to 822,000 tons on an annualized basis for the first half -which would be the highest level in about 25 years, according to AF&PA statistics. "Demand for lighter weight (30-33 lb) unbleached paper has been benefiting from the shift of McDonald's and other fast food chains from bleached and plastic bags to brown paper bags," one contact said. Another factor helping growth may be municipal and state bans on plastic bags although many such ordinances require consumers to pay for each paper bag and are probably providing more of a boost for plastic polywoven returnable bags, according to some contacts. Heavier weight unbleached kraft grocery bag paper is reportedly selling in the $590650/ton range, net of discounts, one contact said. Recycled bag paper from recently converted newsprint machines is reportedly selling at lower price levels. More of the bag market shifted to 100% recycled bag paper, with kraft mills shifting more to higher value multiwall and kraft converting grades. • Union workers at KapStone's 1.1 million tons/yr Longview, WA, kraft paper and containerboard mill on July 22 rejected the company's latest offer, according to the union. About 68% of voting members rejected the offer, down from 99% against the first of two earlier offers, according to the Longview Daily News. Union workers said they are continuing to meet with KapStone to resolve various sticking points that include health care, seniority rules, and other issues. "Just like the company, we'd like to get a labor agreement, but we don't have one yet, so we're preparing for the worst," a union VP told the newspaper. KapStone said it will run the mill -- at least the mill's largest kraft paper and containerboard PMs -- if the union strikes. Conference Top CEOs, challenges, issues are focus points for RISI North America event From challenges to innovation and strategies from top industry CEOs, RISI's 30th 4 annual North American Forest Products Conference runs on Sept. 28-30 in Chicago. The event includes PPI's annual global awards dinner on Sept. 28 as well as a special packaging buyers' seminar, a full-day on Sept. 29 of industry speakers on key topics, and RISI economists' two-year forecasts as well as a special Housing Demand panel discussion on Sept. 30. The conference is at the InterContinental hotel. The first full day on Tuesday, Sept. 29, features the presenting of the 2015 RISI North American CEO of the Year award to Graphic Packaging's David Scheible, who has led the company through a significant financial recovery that included eight acquisitions and creating a more integrated boxboard company, according to analysts who voted for Scheible. After the award ceremony, Scheible is to speak for about 20 minutes and then join a CEO panel discussion that includes Glatfelter's Dante Parrini and WestRock's Steve Voorhees. Voorhees recently became the top executive at WestRock, which was developed from one of the industry's largest M&A deals that combined RockTenn with MeadWestvaco this month. Other presenters include analysts who will detail key market dynamics and impacts in pulp and paper, containerboard/boxboard, and forest products. The analysts are UBS's Gail Glazerman on financial metrics in pulp and paper, Deutsche Bank's Debbie Jones on containerboard and boxboard, and RBC Capital Markets' Paul Quinn on forest products' businesses. McKinsey & Company Dir of Knowledge Peter Berg and American Forest & Paper Association pres/CEO Donna Harman will speak on broad-based topics critical to the industry, with Berg on issues and solutions, and Harman on regulations, trade, and legislation. Also in the session with Berg and Harman are RISI Principal Economist for Lumber Bob Berg and RISI Director for Macroeconomics David Katsnelson. Berg will discuss US housing demand, and Katsnelson global economic growth and factors. Further, Berg will lead the special Housing Demand discussion on Sept. 30 at the start of the day. Panelists include the National Association of Home Builders' Chief Economist David Crowe and Wells Fargo Managing Director for Industrials Investment Banking Charles Spiggle. Looking toward the short-term future, Brazilian Tree Industry (Iba) pres Elizabeth de Carvalhaes will discuss GMO eucalyptus tree growth potential in Brazil as well as sustainability efforts. De Carvalhaes in May © 2015 RISI, Inc. All rights reserved was selected as the new president for two years of the International Council of Forest and Paper Associations. University of Maine professor Mike Bilodeau will report on the potential for nanocellulose, following the first commercial plant started up in the USA this year and FP Innovations Research Leader for Market Research David Fell will consider the future for construction in terms of demographics and lumber type. Conference information and registration is at http://events.risiinfo.com/north-american-conference/registration. Packaging news briefs Graphic Packaging reported adjusted net income excluding special charges for the second quarter of $61.3 million ($0.19/ diluted share) compared with $66.0 million ($0.20/share) a year ago. Adjusted EBITDA of $192.1 million compared with $190.8 million in the prior year. Adjusted net sales increased $48.1 million, up 4.8% from a year ago, excluding sales from divested businesses. “We delivered on our expectations despite continued soft demand in key end markets,” said chmn/CEO David Scheible. “Although market volumes remain challenging, we continue to post strong results,” with adjusted EBITDA margins improving to 18.2% from 17.1% in the year ago period… After completing the acquisition of Burgo’s Mantova mill in Italy, Pro-Gest recently said it plans to convert the mill’s newsprint machine to 420,000 tonnes/yr of containerboard production by August 2016, PPI Europe reported. The company is in negotiations with suppliers and plans to make testliner and recycled corrugating medium in a basis weight range of 70-140 g/m2, according to a spokesman. The cost of the project is expected to be about $165 million, the company said. Pro-Gest signed a binding offer to acquire the Mantova mill at the end of March. The 160,000 tonnes/ yr newsprint mill has been idle since February 2013. Pro-Gest runs 620,000 tonnes/ yr of recycled containerboard capacity in Europe, according to RISI estimates. In the USA, five newsprint machines since early 2013 were converted to containerboard and or packaging paper production... Bemis signed an agreement to acquire the rigid plastic packaging operations of Emplal Participações, a Brazilian manufacturer of plastic packaging for food and consumer applications. The firm operates two facilities in Brazil and generated $75 million in 2014. PPI PULP & PAPER WEEK/July 24, 2015 Tissue K-C grows North American volume by 5%, and reports 4% decline in average pricing In possibly its deepest quarterly price drop in years, Kimberly-Clark' (K-C) reported a 4% decline in its consumer tissue prices in North America in the second quarter, vs second quarter 2014's average. Even with the 4% price decline, the company reported that consumer tissue sales were flat and volume actually increased 5%. "Volumes rose high-single digits in bathroom tissue, with benefits from increased promotion shipments on Cottonelle. Volumes increased low-single digits in facial tissue and paper towels." the company reported on July 23. K-C is the second or third largest tissue paper producer in North America with Procter & Gamble, behind Georgia-Pacific. Major producers have not officially increased consumer tissue product pricing following a formal announcement four years ago in North America. The US's second largest private label producer, Clearwater Paper, did announce a consumer tissue increase for August and First Quality tried one last year. No others were known to be out with increases as of last week on consumer tissue. In After-from-Home tissue, North American producers implemented a price increase last year. Producers, including the largest, did increase prices unofficially since second quarter 2013 by reducing sheet counts and roll sizes. During that period, major producers also appeared to increase national advertising for their products both on television as well as with specialized inserts. K-C's chmn and CEO Thomas Falk told analysts on July 23 that, in consumer tissue, "competitive activity has probably picked up just a little bit." "We are continuing to do well with Cottonelle and have seen that take off ... (and) Scott Tissue is also continuing to do well in the market," he said. "So probably, maybe the competitive frequency has picked up just a bit and you are seeing that a little bit in the pricing number." He added that some of the lower pricing resulted from "promotional (and advertising spend) timing. And so I wouldn't necessarily say that the uptick this quarter [in ad spend] was fully reflective about what's happened in the market. Some of it had more to do with timing of promotions than the overall market activity." • Wausau Paper appointed Rob Yanker to its board of directors, effective immediately. Yanker is one of the company's nominees for election at its 2016 Annual Meeting of Shareholders. Yanker is a PPI PULP & PAPER WEEK/July 24, 2015 dir emeritus at McKinsey & Company. Yanker worked at McKinsey for 27 years, from 1986 to 2013, in the industrial, consumer, and telecommunications sectors. Newsprint With price drop, drought, Paper Excellence shuts down Howe Sound newsprint mill Citing local drought conditions and declining prices, Paper Excellence shut down its newsprint machine and related thermomechanical pulp production at its Howe Sound Pulp & Paper (HSPP) mill in Port Mellon, BC, on July 23, cutting 264,000 tons/yr of capacity and 180 jobs. The shut represents about 4.2% of total North American newsprint capacity and 36% of the mill's workforce of 505. The company will continue to produce northern bleached softwood market pulp (NBSK), with capacity of about 428,000 tonnes. The mill was the 7th largest of 10 North American newsprint producers. "In light of the extreme drought conditions experienced since May, the decision to cease paper operations was advanced to help conserve water supply," the company said in a release. "The future of our mill lies with our strong pulp and green energy opportunities that will continue to grow." "With newsprint and value added newsprint prices declining, combined with a shrinking market that is expected to continue, HSPP undertook an extensive review process to look at other product options, and found that either our equipment and furnish was not suitable nor could it be easily and economically modified, or that the markets could support demand for those new products," the statement added. The company noted the "steady annual decline" in the standard newsprint and high brite newsprint markets, and that prices are expected to continue to decline. It also cited increasing variable costs at the mill including electricity and wood. News price down 16.5%. The standard 30-lb newsprint is $505/tonne this month – its lowest level in 5 ½ years. The $505 level also was $20 less than the standard newsprint price in the US East, according to PPI Pulp & Paper Week's Price Watch. The $505 this month is 16.5% less than it was a year ago. From its demand peak in 2000, North American newsprint demand dropped 70% to four million tonnes in 2014, according to RISI's North American Graphic Paper Forecast – 5-Yr. report published last month. In the last three years, newsprint capacity has declined from permanent shuts of ma© 2015 RISI, Inc. All rights reserved chines as well as conversions. In 2013 and 2014, conversions to containerboard and packaging paper were completed on both the PMs at SP Fiber Technology's Dublin, GA, mill as well as one of SP's machines at the Newberg, OR, mill, and also by Atlantic Packaging at its Whitby, ON, mill. Paper Excellence acquired the Howe Sound mill from former venture partners Canfor and Oji Paper in 2010. The mill opened in 1909 and was acquired by Canfor in 1951, with the joint venture formed in 1988. A Valmet 324.4-in-width newsprint machine was added in 1991. Final plan to come. Paper Excellence said a final plan has not been completed on the paper mill assets but potential for other uses for the site or its equipment continue to be considered. Unifor Local 1119, which represents workers at the mill, said the closure was "a shock to us all" and said it would work to secure possible jobs for displaced workers at other Paper Excellence mills in British Columbia. The company's BC pulp mills are in Chetwynd, Mackenzie, and Skookumchuck. Paper Excellence restarted the Chetwynd mill on July 7. The mill had been idle since 2012. The union noted the shutdown was related to the dwindling supply of water in a lake that feeds the mill. "By closing the paper functions as soon as possible, the company hopes to stretch the water supply for pulp and power to avoid temporary closures of those sections of the mill," Unifor said. Trade DOC interim ruling on SC paper imports from Canada expected on July 28 Port Hawkesbury Paper, in an update on a US countervailing duties trade case against supercalendered (SC) paper imports from it and other producers in Canada, said it expects an interim ruling by the US Dept of Commerce (DOC) on July 28 that could include preliminary duty. In a July 22 letter, Port Hawkesbury pres of sales Tom Gallagher said the Nova Scotia mill was preparing for a site visit from DOC representatives in early August. "This visit will allow us to further prove the points of our legal case," he said. Gallagher said the DOC selected Port Hawkesbury and Resolute Forest Products for investigation, and Irving and Catalyst Paper will be subject to average or nominal duties. The case was filed by UPM's Madison Paper Industries and Verso in March. 5 Specialty Papers Appvion, then Koehler set 5-7% pricing increases on thermal POS receipt paper Two of the world's largest thermal paper producers were out with price increases in the last week, with North America's largest, Appvion, announcing a 5% to 7% increase for its POS papers, effective Sept. 1, and Germany's Koehler Paper Group out with 5-7 % increases in North and South America, effective Oct. 1. Koehler is the No. 2 largest thermal producer in the world and Appvion No. 3, behind Japan's Oji and Kanzaki. "The increase is due to strong demand and increases in input costs, and applies to domestic and international customers," Appvion said, of its global pricing increase. Appvion's 7% increase is for Alpha 400 2.1 and Alpha 400 2.3, and its 5% rise is for Alpha 800 2.4 and Alpha 800 3.4, Alpha 820 2.4 and Alpha 820 3.4, and POS Plus 600-2.4. If successful in the more than 220,000 tons/yr USA POS market, the increase would be the first one in the USA on thermal POS receipt paper in more than 2 1/2 years. The increases follow an 11% decline in pricing for 48- and 55-g coated thermal POS receipt paper in the USA -- after reaching its NORTH AMERICAN PRINTING/WRITING PAPER STATISTICS JUNE 2015 Uncoated mechanical Shipments Operating rate Imports Demand Uncoated freesheet Shipments Operating rate Imports Demand Coated freesheet Shipments Operating rate Imports Demand Coated mechanical Shipments Operating rate Imports Demand Total printing & writing Shipments Operating rate Imports Demand (000 tonnes) June % chg. 2015 year ago Year-to-date 2015 % chg. year ago 270 90 20 269 -13.8% 90 1 -52.9 -18.1 1,656 89 134 1,647 -12.4% 90 1 -19.3 -13.3 654 92 90 716 4.4 89 1 8.9 7.7 3,846 90 499 4,148 -2.0 92 1 3.7 0.0 258 85 80 332 -6.4 92 1 10.6 -2.2 1,549 85 450 1,950 -6.9 92 1 3.5 -3.5 204 87 31 228 -15.0 89 1 48.9 -8.4 1,305 92 186 1,436 -9.2 88 1 21.4 -6.4 1,386 89 222 1,544 -4.8 89 1 1.5 -2.3 8,356 89 1,269 9,181 -6.3 91 1 2.7 -4.4 Mill Inventories (000 tonnes) Uncoated mechanical Uncoated freesheet Coated freesheet Coated mechanical Total printing & writing June 2015 207 623 481 157 1,468 May 2015 214 631 485 149 1,479 June 2014 232 657 397 161 1,446 Tonne change from from month ago year ago -7 -25 -8 -33 -3 84 -7 -4 -12 22 1. Operating rate, not a percentage change. r=revised. Source: Pulp and Paper Products Council. 6 © 2015 RISI, Inc. All rights reserved highest ever level in early 2013, according to PPI Pulp & Paper Week's price report. There's "no price pressure at this point," said a paper supplier at the end of this week. "I am betting the price increase holds at some level at different points between Sept 1 and Nov 1. The current jumbo roll price is unsustainable for each manufacturer based on input costs, freight, resale and currency," the contact said. • Kohler Kravis Roberts is bidding for NCR, CNBC reported this week. Thoma Bravo and Blackstone have been previously mentioned in reports as being interested in acquiring NCR, which designs and sells ATM and retail store customer POS checkout systems that run receipt paper. • Monadnock Paper Mills said it expanded its EnviPortfolio of fiber-based line to "replace plastics across a broad range of applications and end-uses in retail, hospitality and other consumer-facing markets," the company said. Launched in 2012, the EnviPortfolio papers in the Envi line are FSC certified, manufactured carbon neutral with Green-e Certified 100% renewable electricity (RECs). The line includes Envi Card Stock, a 100% recyclable wood fiber alternative to PVC and PLA used in gift, loyalty, promotional, and membership cards; Envi Wet Strength Label; 100% PCW Envi Tag and Ticket; and Envi Folding Box Board, which is up to 100% PCW and is an 18 pt white paper stock used for secondary packaging for luxury fragrance and cosmetics. "Sustainability is ingrained in our everyday business practices, and we are proud to offer alternatives to plastic," said Monadnock chmn and CEO Richard Verney. "Consumers are seeking brands that are socially responsible so we are offering this new sample book to make it easier for designers and brand owners to source more sustainable solutions." A copy of the EnviPortfolio is at Monadnock's website at http://mpm.com/ news/announcing-the-new-enviportfolio/. NEENAH TO BUY FIBERMARK ‹‹‹ continued from page 1 finishing company with a "strong presence in luxury packaging," according to reports. A Neenah Paper official said the main gain from FiberMark is its "complementary capabilities that can drive future growth (coating, saturating and heavier weight base papers, as well as excellent design and prototyping) -- especially in premium packaging." "The key overlapping end markets include premium packaging, decorative covers/security papers, labels and tape," the official added. Also, "They have a more complete portfolio of heavier weight papers, which supports some premium packaging end markets PPI PULP & PAPER WEEK/July 24, 2015 that we are not in today. They have a variety of other grades and markets, many of which overlap where we are present today and some that are new," the official said. Like Neenah, FiberMark sells actively outside North America from two paper mills and four converting-only facilities. Still, both firms generate a majority of their revenue (60% for Neenah) in North America. Growing in luxury packaging. Luxury packaging is a more than $45 million business at Neenah Paper and company CEO John O'Donnell earlier this year said the business was growing rapidly, and was up by 20% in 2014. Neenah's luxury packaging is focused on bags and papers for major brand and product names in clothing, jewelry, and other products. Neenah Paper would combine with FiberMark and gain in premium packaging while the firm also pushes ahead on growing in technical products in the USA. Filtration project in Wisconsin. Neenah's largest end-use market for its products is in transportation filtration. O'Donnell earlier this year said the business has been growing at double-digit rates. Its transportation filtration business holds a commanding share in Europe that Neenah Paper now wants to try to replicate in North America. O'Donnell said the company expects its demand to exceed capacity for the products in two to three years. As a result, Neenah Paper will convert an uncoated papers machine in Wisconsin by first quarter 2017 to filtration paper from uncoated specialty paper. Also, it will start up an advance saturating plant for filter paper at the Wisconsin mill site that would produce safe flare-retardant filters and greater dust holding capacity in its products. The company's flare-retardant air filter is in Ford's top-selling F-150. The firm expects to spend $45 million this year on the Wisconsin project. With FiberMark's annual sales of more than $160 million, Neenah Paper's total revenue would total at least $1.06 billion, based on estimates. The company's 2014 sales were $902.7 million, vs $696.0 million in 2011, before Neenah completed three acquisitions and a partnership with Italian premium paper producer Gruppo Cordenons. Neenah Paper has grown revenue by 30% and doubled income from continuing operations the last three years, to $68.7 million from $29.3 million in 2011. Neenah reported gross profit of $177.2 million last year, vs $125.4 million in 2011. Also, Neenah Paper's share was up almost 200% late this week, at $60.91/share on July 23, compared with $21.24 in late July 2011. Spun off to K-C shareholders in November 2004, the company's market capitalization and enterprise value today is about $1.02 billion and $1.2 billion, respectively. It is now owned primarily by institutional MONTH IN STATISTICS US paper and board production was down 0.7% year-to-date through May at 32.58 million tons (vs 2014 production through May), according to the American Forest & Paper Association. May's total was 6.597 million tons, down 1.9% vs May 2014's total. In May, production gainers included corrugating medium, which was up by 3.0%, tissue up by 1.7%, and unbleached kraft boxboard up 3.9%. Paperboard's May operating rate average was 96.2%, down from 97.2% in April, and paper's was 84.7%. For year-to-date, linerboard production was up by 2.3% and corrugating medium 3.2%. That put containerboard production up by 2.6% year-to-date. Also, liquid packaging and food service boxboard and tissue were up 0.3% and 2%, respectively, year-to-date. The largest declines year-to-date were in newsprint, down 21.2%, and coated printing and writing papers, down 7.9%. Further, coated mechanical paper production was down 10.8% year-to-date. PAPER & PAPERBOARD PRODUCTION Newsprint Uncoated mechanical Coated paper Uncoated freesheet Tissue Unbleached kraft papers Total paper Linerboard Corrugating medium SBS boxboard Unbleached kraft boxboard Liquid packaging/food service board Recycled boxboard Total paperboard Total paper and paperboard May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May Current Month 157 116 456 624 639 132 2,411 2,152 870 184 226 263 185 4,186 6,597 US paper and paperboard production millions of tons* 7.1 6.8 2015 6.6 6.3 2014 6.1 5.8 Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov * Not seasonally adjusted. same month year ago 188 143 516 655 629 132 2,550 2,154 845 196 218 262 190 4,174 6,723 % chg. 2015/14 -16.5% -18.9 -11.6 -4.7 1.6 0.0 -5.5 -0.1 3.0 -6.1 3.7 0.4 -2.6 0.3 -1.9 YTD 2015 740 616 2,450 3,258 3,126 656 12,252 10,510 4,254 868 1,024 1,294 897 20,332 32,584 YTD 2014 939 661 2,661 3,389 3,066 658 12,795 10,271 4,123 868 1,032 1,289 931 20,010 32,805 % chg. 2014/13 -21.2% -6.8 -7.9 -3.9 2.0 -0.3 -4.2 2.3 3.2 0.0 -0.8 0.4 -3.7 1.6 -0.7 n.a. = not available. SBS: solid bleached sulfate. Linerboard and medium totals are for both virgin and recycled contents. Note: Figures in 000 short tons unless otherwise listed. n.a.=not available. 1. American Forest & Paper Assn. PPI PULP & PAPER WEEK/July 24, 2015 © 2015 RISI, Inc. All rights reserved 7 and mutual fund companies, with the largest shareholders being Royce & Associates, Allianz Asset Management, Black Rock, and Wells Fargo. Interestingly, following the spin-off, Neenah Paper in 2006 acquired FiberMark's technical and specialty papers business in Germany. "We've got the financial strength and employee talent to continue executing our strategy to serve our customers well, grow in specialty niche markets, and deploy capital in ways that add value for our shareholders," the company official said this week. RIZHAO SHUT RAISES CONCERN ‹‹‹ continued from page 1 beginning to unravel in China that often leads pricing cycles globally (P&PW, July 17, p. 1). Force majeure. Market participants first informed P&PW of Rizhao's impending closure on July 21, a day after APRIL Rizhao issued a letter to customers announcing "force majeure" after the City of Rizhao in Shandong province in eastern China, cut off water supplies to all industrial companies to preserve supplies for residents. In a letter sent to customers obtained by P&PW, APRIL said the municipal government of Rizhao began a "Water supply Control Program" starting in mid-June, but drought conditions worsened and its pulp mills were now cut off: "City Rizhao have to cut all water supply to all industrial companies in Rizhao (to) protect all human being needs. Under such kinds of pressure, our No. 1 line shut down on July 13, and No. 2 line would be shut down from July 23," the letter said. "We apologize (and) inform all of our customers that we could not honor all pending contracts now." APRIL hopes to receive enough water to restart production in October, and in the meantime will try to shift some volume from the Indonesian market to China, the letter noted. If the two lines remain closed for three months, it'll reduce BHK output by an estimated 444,000 tonnes. For competitors of APRIL, which some in China call Asia Symbol, the unexpected supply crunch led to a sudden reversal in market behavior. Last week, the BSK market was crashing in China and market contacts reported $40/tonne or so drops vs June levels and most saw $10 or bigger drops potentially in BHK grades. Once news of APRIL's Rizhao closure emerged, BHK producers that were quietly cutting prices suddenly stopped. 8 WORLD MARKET PULP STATISTICS -- JUNE 2015 * 5,000 World Producer Inventories 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Note: Statistics represent 80% of capacity, and exclude China, Russia, and Indonesia. *Month-end stocks divided by average daily shipments in the last three months. Source: Pulp and Paper Products Council. (000 tonnes) June 2015 4,055 97 WORLD Shipments Utilization (ship.-to-cap.) Shipments by grade Bleached softwood Bleached hardwood Shipments by destination North America W. Europe China Rest of World Producer inventories Days of supply * -- all grades Bleached softwood Bleached hardwood YTD 2015 23,007 92 YTD % chg 2015/14 4.1 2.0 1,923 1,997 11,171 11,062 0.6 8.0 661 1,217 1,061 1,116 June 2015 34 29 38 3,767 7,185 5,619 6,436 May 2015 35 30 40 1.7 0.4 11.8 3.5 June 2014 33 25 40 PULP INVENTORIES OF CONSUMERS AND PORTS -- JUNE 2015 European consumers European ports June 2015 582 981 (000 tonnes) May 2015 573 1,018 April 2015 653 1,011 % chg 2015/14 6.8% -5.3 Source: Utipulp (European consumer inventories for 11 countries), Europulp (inventories at ports for eight countries). *n.a. = not available. "We are still negotiating but things look better due to the production troubles of Rizhao mill," said a contact at a BEK producer regarding July prices in China, shortly after RISI's Shanghai bureau broke news on the closure. "Unfortunately this became public once we had already made some small concessions." 'Completely different behavior.' Other producers that had dragged out negotiations on July business and refused to cut prices suddenly had a new swagger for Chinese customers. After June BEK effective list prices closed at $675 in China, price variance soared against a backdrop of © 2015 RISI, Inc. All rights reserved some producers cutting levels with certain customers and others holding flat. BEK discounts between net and effective list prices are generally 3-5% in China, sometimes higher, while NBSK has remained 1.5-3%. "We should see completely different market behavior" now that the closure is underway, another BEK producer source said this week, who reported unchanged July prices in China. "There were a lot of rumors in China last week about … long fiber prices. We have a different view." The sudden stabilizing in BHK prices in China could have a knockdown effect in other markets. For example, BEK proPPI PULP & PAPER WEEK/July 24, 2015 ducer contacts now expect to complete their increases to Europe to an $810 list level, while sources on both the buy- and sellsides in North America report a $900 effective list locked in that P&PW reported as a preliminary price last week. BHK operating rates surge? The loss of 1.8 million tonnes at Rizhao impacts China the most. But BHK producers globally are likely to redirect tonnes to China now, reducing the leverage of buyers who'd hoped to begin punching at BEK prices in their own markets, contacts said. "BHK demand in China has weakened lately and local resale prices of BHK have declined markedly in recent weeks. We have been looking for an operating rate for the BHK market of 92-93% in the months to come," said RISI's VP of Fiber Kurt Schaefer in a July 22 research note to clients. "Now that will likely be 95% or higher, which can't help but put upward pressure on prices. At this point, prospects for falling BHK prices over the next several months have probably been dashed." But a US buyer contact believed that's a problem for Asia, not US buyers. "Rizhao is unfortunate for Asian buyers," said the contact, who nevertheless reported BEK at $900 this month and no near-term opportunity to drive down prices. US spot pressure remains. Softwood grades could be a different story despite a one day-of-supply reduction in global BSK supply, though, because US NBSK markets are flush with spot supplies at lower prices. "Depends on location… if you go into the (Midwest) corridor you get into the $580-590 range. I've got big tonnage deals" available, the source added. If big volume gets transacted at a $580 net delivered price it'll likely result in US NBSK spot prices declining beyond the $590-620 net delivered levels a week ago. Spot prices have posted a cumulative $20 drop since June 30, according to P&PW polling. That's average a huge 37% delta to this month's preliminary effective list price of $980, which held flat. BHK stocks reverse. During the blackout month of May, when Brazil's IBA withdrew data, BHK inventories had posted a two day-of-supply increase. In June, a month that ended the second quarter and one in which BEK producers often unload big shipments for financial reasons, stocks shot back down two days, leaving World-20 stocks of BHK at 38 days. A PPPC official said they obtained BHK data from Brazilian producers directly, but industry sources said not all Brazilian producers reported, and at least one firm hasn't been reporting data all along. That means at least some BEK data will likely have to be estimated even if the PPPC is able to continue reporting BHK results each month instead of the quarterly basis IBA proposed. Poll: Stocks down 288,000 tonnes. Still, with all data getting released with June results, World 20 producer inventories' one day-of-supply decrease corresponded to an estimated 168,000-tonne drop month-overmonth, according to a P&PW poll of industry analysts. That's more than double the typical decline for June recorded over the past 10 years, and after May stocks were confirmed at 4.503 million tonnes dropped estimated producer inventories down to 4.335 million tonnes through the end of June. • Arauco, coming under heavy pressure from Chinese customers to lower market pulp prices, closed its July allocation of bleached radiata pine down $40/tonne, to $635/tonne net CFR, a company official told P&PW. Arauco, whose executives and agents took longer than usual to close July prices, hammered out agreements with key customers to close its August allocation early, with an additional $10 decline to $625 net CFR on August shipments, a company executive said on July 23 in China. The firm Wipe out damages. No one knows paper logistics better than WSI. We partner with some of the world’s largest producers to help them operate their supply chains more efficiently and more reliably. What can WSI do for you? PPI PULP & PAPER WEEK/July 24, 2015 Integrated Logistics Supply Chain Solutions inquiryPPI@wsinc.com | 920.831.3700 | www.wsinc.com © 2015 RISI, Inc. All rights reserved 9 closed its July allocation for unbleached kraft pulp at $600/tonne net, unchanged vs June levels. The firm didn't close its July allocation or announce an August price through late this week. • Two Canadian market pulp producers reshuffled their most sr executives this week, with Mercer International and Fortress Paper announcing new CEOs. Mercer International's Jimmy Lee stepped down on July 20 as pres/CEO, replaced by CFO David Gandossi. Lee will be exec chmn of the company's board. Fortress Paper is promoting Yvon Pelletier to pres/ CEO, effective Oct. 1. Outgoing CEO Chadwick Wasilenkoff will move to a newly created exec chmn position, where he'll "focus on strategic initiatives to unlock value for shareholders and to improve the balance sheet," Fortress said in a statement. News briefs One of the US's largest check printers, Deluxe, reported second-quarter net sales increased 7.5% to $435.9 million. Deluxe's financial services revenue increased 19.1% and included the results of Wausau Financial Systems which was acquired in October 2014. For checks, the company reported revenue of $40.9 million declined 5.1% "primarily to the secular decline in check usage and the elimination of marketing expenditures that no longer met the company's return criteria, partially offset by higher conversion rates from email marketing offers and an improved call center incentive plan," the company said. The check unit's operating income increased 9.4% year-over-year to $15.2 million due to a "higher mix of reorders and lower costs which more than offset lower order volume," the company said… Consumers for Paper Options along with Consumer Action and National Consumer League groups urged the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) this week to rescind a new proposed rule allowing mutual funds to no longer mail shareholder reports and other investment information. Instead, the information would be available online. "Rule 30e-3 would make it more difficult for many investors to access the reports they need to make informed investment decisions," said the three organizations in their joint comments. "While we recognize the trend towards a more digital world, it is critical that government efforts to 'modernize' information delivery do not disenfranchise Americans who need or want resources in paper format."… Pearson is selling the Financial Times news group to Japanese business media company Nikkei for $1.3 billion. 10 Supplier news Reports BASF will form a global business unit combining all of its pigments activities effective January 2016. BASF's pigment business generates sales of about Euro1 billion. The new global business unit will likely be headquartered in the Ludwigshafen, Germany area… Barry-Wehmiller signed an agreement letter this week to acquire the Bielomatik group associated with the paper processing product line of Bielomatik Leuze. Bielomatik manufactures paper processing equipment including sheeters, and machines for wrapping, stacking, and packing, and makes stationery and binding machines incorporating binding technologies. The combination is expected to be finalized in upcoming months, Barry-Wehmiller said in a release. Bielomatik's paper processing product line that cuts, binds, finishes and wraps paper is to merge with US-headquartered BW Papersystems, a supplier to the paper and board sheeting, paper converting, and corrugating industries. BW Papersystems, with Bielomatik, will employ more than 1,600 workers globally and generate revenue of more than $400 million… The Chemours Company, which calls itself the world's largest titanium dioxide producer, compled its spin-off from DuPont as an independent, publicly traded corporation. "We think of Chemours as a 200-hundredyear-old start-up," said Chemours pres/ CEO Mark Vergnano in a release. RISI has created a new business division called RISI Analytics that will formally combine mill benchmarking cost information into price forecasts, the company said this week. "By providing clients with cost benchmarking data in our forecasts, along with the tools to use it in their own analyses, we will provide substantially better insight," said RISI Sr VP of analytics (formerly Economic Analysis and Mill Intelligence) Jon Rager. "Analyzing the underlying manufacturing cost structure is critical to understanding what drives prices." "RISI economists have long incorporated data from our cost benchmarking service into their models. However, we have never exposed that data directly in our forecasts before," Rager said. RISI CEO Charles Rutstein said the goal for RISI Analytics is to provide "an integrated view on cost drivers" and, ultimately, provide customers the "objective insight they need to make the best business decisions." The combined service will include all fiber, graphic paper, and packaging coverage. Existing RISI clients will see differences in their short-term forecasts this month, and medium- and long-term forecast subscribers will see differences starting in October. Customers of RISI forecast services will gain access to RISI's cost benchmarking services based on the regions, grades, and the Economic Analysis products covered by their subscription. Copyright 2015 by RISI, Inc. All rights reserved. Reproduction in any form whatsoever forbidden without express permission of copyright owner. PPI Pulp & Paper Week and Pulp & Paper Week are trademarks of RISI, Inc. and are registered in the US Patent and Trademark Office. 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Executives Charles Rutstein..................................................................................................................................Chief Executive Officer Matt Graves.......................................................................................................................................... Senior Vice President Todd Petracek................................................................................... Vice President, Pulp & Paper, News, Markets & Prices © 2015 RISI, Inc. All rights reserved PPI PULP & PAPER WEEK/July 24, 2015 Determine containerboard conversion potential for North American graphic paper machines RISI’s North American Containerboard Conversion Study indentifies top conversion candidates and potential impact on packaging papers markets. North American graphic papers producers have been forced to remove close to 1.8 million tonnes of capacity per year to keep pace with market decline. Consequently, many are eyeing more profitable containerboard and packaging papers markets. With this study, you can: VË Understand impact on competitive landscape, pricing and sources of supply containerboard markets VË 7jÝËWÄÍËW¬?ÁÄÄËËM?ÄjaËË-.¾ÄË ÄÍËjW?Á~Ë?aËÁjÜjÝËÍÁ?ÍÄËwËÄÍËwj?ÄMjË conversion candidates VË ?ßãjËÁÄË?ÄÄW?ÍjaËÝÍËËÜjÄÍjÍ VË ÝËÝËÖWËW?¬?WÍßËÄËjßËÍËMjËWÄjaÊWÜjÁÍjaË?aËÝßË VË ajÍwßË?ÍjÁ?ÍÜjË~Á?ajÄËwÁËWÜjÁÄË?aËÁjÜjÝËÄÖ?ÁjÄËwÁËj?WË Request more information at www.risi.com/NAConversion