Global Beer Manufacturing Industry Overview Major Players Primary Advertising Methods Analysis Recommendations Industry Overview Industry Structure HHI Market Share Anheuser-Busch InBev 692.01 Four Firm Concentration SABMiller 18.0% Heineken 48.3% 15.4% Carlsberg 9.2% 48.7 3% 6.1% Asahi Other IBISWorld.com Industry Overview IBISWorld rates the degree of barriers to entry as: High Steady Barriers to Entry Barriers Include: *Economies of Scale *High sunk cost and capital requirements *Regulations *Tight control over distribution channels by existing players. *High levels of brand loyalty. Mitigating Factors: 1) Improvements in technology have cut down on costs of establishing efficient breweries. 2) Propensity to purchase imported beer/trying new beers has led to alliances that cut down on competition IBISWorld.com Industry Overview Level of Technology Change = Medium Basic process is the same, but turning to more automation Precision measurements enhances quality control Technology & Systems Driver: Cost Reductions Combining technology and innovation to differentiate Example: Heineken’s Draughtkeg Utilizing new techniques developed by other food industries IBISWorld.com Industry Overview Industry Performance Life Cycle Stage: D E C L I N E Enterprise numbers are declining Industry value added growth Only moderate technological change occurring Static per capita consumption in key markets IBISWorld.com Industry Overview Industry Competition is: Medium Increasing Competition Key Means of Differentiation: *Brands *Price *Distribution networks *Taste *External competition High competition within national borders Medium competition on a global scale Internal Competition versus External Competition IBISWorld.com Industry Overview Globalization Level of Globalization: *Medium *Increasing Definition Key multinational companies Cross country mergers AmBev + Interbrew =InBev in 2004 South African Breweries + Miller Breweries = SABMiller in 2004 Anheuser Busch + InBev = Anheuser Busch InBev in 2008 IBISWorld.com Industry Overview Key Success Factors Market research and understanding Using data to shape new product development, consumer targeting, and branding activity Global expansion Portfolio of brands Establishment of brand names IBISWorld.com Beer Consumption 2002-2008 2960 2940 Millions of 2.25 Gallon Cases 2920 2900 2880 2860 2840 2820 2800 2780 2760 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Beer Handbook Revenue Growth Chart Revenue Growth Rate Chart IBISWorld.com *Customs & Traditions *Disposable Income *Geography *Demographics *Regulations *Special Events & Weather Conditions *Advertising IBISWorld.com Cultures Middle East – Less per capital alcohol consumption compared to Ireland Germany: Beer > Wine France: Wine > Beer Retail Dollars by Beverage, 2008 120000 $ Millions 100000 80000 60000 40000 20000 0 Beer Handbook Share of Alcohol Beverage Consumption by Category Chart Share of Total Alcohol Beverage Retail Dollar Sales 6% 9% 33% Beer Beer Wine Wine 53% Distilled Spirits 85% 14% Beer Handbook Distilled Spirits Share of Total Beer Consumption by Category 3% 3% 8% Light 8% Imported Premum Super Premium, Craft & FMBs 52% 13% Popular Ice Malt Liquor 13% Beer Handbook Frequency of Drinking Occasions Average Number of Drinks Consumed in the Past Week 6 5 Everyday 7% About once a week 10% 9% 29% <once a week Only on special occasions Never # of Drinks 32% 4 A few times a week 13% 3 2 1 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Beer Handbook Income Distribution of Beer Consumers 9% 8% 75K & up 60K-75k 8% 48% 50K-60K 40K-50K 30K-40K 8% 20K-30K Under 20K 8% 11% Beer Handbook Gender Distribution of Beer Consumers 38% Male Female 62% CITATION Education Level Distribution of Beer Consumers 11% 11% Graduate 3% Attended Graduate School 17% Graduated College 30% Attended College Graduated High School 28% Attended High School CITATION Age Distribution of Beer Consumers 13% 7% 20% 21-24 15% 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 23% 23% Beer Handbook Race Distribution of Beer Consumers 12% 3% 9% White Black Asian Hispanic 76% Beer Handbook Share of Total Beer Sales by Month, 2008 November September July May March January 0 2 4 6 8 Share of Sales (%) Beer Handbook 10 Open States/Control States “Moderation” campaigns Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms, and Explosives Advertising and Marketing Code Key Guidelines IBISWorld.com Global Scale Anheuser Busch InBev Heineken SABMiller Carlsberg Asahi 18% Market Share Belgian roots Portfolio of over 300 brands 1880 Commitment to innovation Advertising success over the past 150 years 1982 http://www.anheuser-busch.com/historyOfMarketing.html 9.2% Market Share Roots in the Netherlands Over 200 international premium beer and ciders Brand strategy focuses on building local and international brands 1864 2000 Also manufactures wines, spirits, and soft drinks Beer accounts for approximately 75% of their revenue http://www.heinekencollection.com/pages/content/S2/historytimeline_nl.aspx 15.4% Market Share Portfolio of over 150 brands Brands International Presence in 75 countries •Grolsch Premium Lager - The Dutch premium quality lager Diversified: One of the largest bottlers of CocaCola in the world, makes wines, spirits, and juices *Miller Genuine Draft – The original cold-filtered draft beer *Peroni Nastro Azzurro – Italian style in a bottle Competes mostly in the premium sector of beers * Pilsner Urquell – The Pilsner from the original source http://www.sabmiller.com/files/pdf/corporate_presentation.pdf 6.10% Market Share Sold in over 150 countries Portfolio of over 500 brands Roots in Denmark Focuses on Western European, Eastern European, and Asian markets predominately Strong revenue growth due to acquisitions of businesses previously owned by Scottish and Newcastle The Old Brewery, 1847 http://www.carlsberggroup.com/Experience/Footprints/Valby/Pag es/TheOldBrewery.aspx 3% Market Share Founded in 1889 Largest brewer by value in the North Asian region Diversified into other liquor categories, though majority of revenue comes from beer sales http://www.asahibeer.co.jp/english/companye/enterprise.html National Scale Anheuser Busch In Bev Heineken SABMiller Bud Bridge Wildlife & Habitat Conservation Recycling Conservation Partners Renewable Energy Scary Movie 2 Bud light Porn MILLER LITE = TASTE. BUD LIGHT = DRINKABILITY Miller light vs bud light 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 AB InBev 4,992,000,000 3,350,000,000 3,140,000,000 2,792,000,000 2,307,000,000 2,281,000,000 3350,760,000 2,262,000,000 1,797,000,000 1,521,000,000 2,223,000,000 1,262,820,000 2,178,000,000 1,998,000,000 1,811,000,000 SABMiller Heineken MergentOnline & Annual Reports 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 4% 14% 15% 16% 17% 12% 16% 12% 12% 12% 10% 6% 12% 13% 14% AB InBev SABMiller Heineken MergentOnline & Annual Reports Beer Industry Advertising Expenditure by Media Per Year 450 400 350 $ Million 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Magazines Newspapers Outdoor TV-Network TV-Spot TV-Cable Radio-Network Radio-Spot Beer Handbook Ad Expenditure by Media Type 1% 25% Total Print Total TV Total Radio 74% Beer Handbook 0.9 % Expenditure by Media Type 0.8 0.7 Percentage 0.6 0.5 % Print 0.4 % Broadcast 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 Anheuser-Busch Heineken USA Miller Beer Handbook Dollars Spent on Network TV Advertising 600,000,000 500,000,000 $ 400,000,000 300,000,000 200,000,000 100,000,000 0 Anheuser-Busch InBev HEINEKEN NV Sabmiller Plc TNS-Media Intelligence Ad Spending per Case of Beer $0.80 $0.70 Ad Spending Per Case $0.60 $0.50 $0.40 $0.30 $0.20 $0.10 $0.00 AB InBev MillerCoors Heineken USA Beer Handbook 3000 Program Type - General 2500 Count 2000 Anheuser-Busch InBev 1500 HEINEKEN NV Sabmiller Plc 1000 500 0 Sports TALK Drama/Slice-of-Life Comedy TNS-Media Intelligence 700 600 500 400 300 Anheuser-Busch InBev HEINEKEN NV Sabmiller Plc 200 100 0 TNS-Media Intelligence Anheuser-Busch: Superbowl $6 million for 30 seconds Heineken: NFC Football Championship game $1 million Miller Light 1.2 million for NCAA basketball championship game TNS-Media Intelligence 1400 Channel 1200 1000 Count 800 Anheuser-Busch InBev HEINEKEN NV 600 Sabmiller Plc 400 200 0 ABC CBS FOX NBC TNS-Media Intelligence 1200 Time of Day 1000 Count 800 Anheuser-Busch InBev 600 HEINEKEN NV Sabmiller Plc 400 200 0 Daytime Early Night Prime TNS-Media Intelligence 1400 Days of the Week 1200 1000 Count 800 Anheuser-Busch InBev HEINEKEN NV 600 Sabmiller Plc 400 200 0 SUN MON TUE WED THU FRI SAT TNS-Media Intelligence 2500 Weekend/Weekday 2000 Count 1500 Weekend Weekday 1000 500 0 Anheuser-Busch InBev HEINEKEN NV Sabmiller Plc TNS-Media Intelligence 900 Most Popular Times 800 700 Count 600 500 Anheuser-Busch InBev Heineken NV 400 Sabmiller Plc 300 200 100 0 Late Prime Saturday Afternoon Saturday Early Sunday Afternoon Sunday Early TNS-Media Intelligence 21-24 & 65+ Are least loyal Most loyal: 45-54 year olds. Retention! Mintel Recent Merger AnheuserBusch Goodwill Heineken 52125 Million 8610 Million SABMiller 8734 Milliion Mergent + Net Income of 3.1 Billion in 2009 Yahoo Finance + Net Income of 1.9 Billion in 2009 Analyst Recommendations and Revisions Current 1 month ago 2 months ago 3 months ago BUY 4 3 4 4 OUTPERFORM 3 4 4 3 UNDERPERFORM 3 3 3 4 SELL 1 1 1 1 Yahoo Finance & Reuters + Net Income of 1.3 Billion in 2009 Analyst Recommendations and Revisions 1 Month 2 Month 3 Month Current Ago Ago Ago BUY 8 8 8 8 OUTPERFORM 5 7 8 8 UNDERPERFORM SELL 3 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 Euroinvestor & Reuters Recall for online and 46% for TV Likability 26% online and 14% on TV.