M&A DEAL TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS 2013 EDITION INTRODUCTION PG01 1. TOP TRENDS IN PUBLIC M&A PG02 2. LESSONS FOR TARGETS AND BIDDERS PG10 3. PUBLIC M&A ACTIVITY PG14 4. STRUCTURE AND EXECUTION OF DEALS PG16 5. CONSIDERATION PG25 6. CONDITIONALITY PG34 7. PRE-DEAL ARRANGEMENTS PG40 8. DEAL PROTECTION MECHANISMS PG46 9. DAMAGES AND LIABILITY PG52 10. REGULATORY ISSUES PG55 11. THE TAKEOVERS REGULATORS PG60 12. DEAL PROFILES PG68 13. SURVEY METHODOLOGY PG72 M&A KEY CONTACTS PG76 John Elliott Head, Mergers & Acquisitions Karen Evans-Cullen Partner, Mergers & Acquisitions Jonathan Algar Partner, Mergers & Acquisitions On the regulatory front, 2012 saw some greater clarity from the regulators about the need to announce bear hug approaches before any deal is agreed. However, the changes of real significance for the M&A market in Australia are yet to come: Treasury’s consideration of various takeover reforms, and an update to the Australian Securities and Investments Commission’s Truth in Takeovers policy, which has not been revised for over 10 years – something M&A participants will be keeping a close eye on during 2013. While 2012 was certainly not a stellar year for M&A activity in Australia, it still gave rise to some interesting developments. Despite the greatly reduced deal flow (both in terms of number and value), many of the trends we saw in the Australian market in 2012 were either continuations of, or further developments to, trends that we identified in 2011. In this report, we discuss the trends for 2012 based on our detailed analysis of announced public company mergers & acquisitions with a deal value exceeding A$50 million. Among others, this included: a high proportion of foreign bids; dominance of the energy and resources sector; very few scrip bids; very few hostile deals; continuing use of the bear hug; and bidders seeking pre-bid stakes. When you put a number of those trends together, it is clear to us that 2012 was a year where the first mover in any bid situation had a huge advantage. Leading on from that, we also offer some key lessons for both bidders and targets coming out of the way in which deals were executed in 2012, drawing in particular on our experience in some of the year’s most interesting transactions, such as Pacific Equity Partners’ bid for Spotless Group and Brookfield’s bid for Thakral Holdings. In 2013, a return of confidence will be a key ingredient for an uptick in M&A and we are seeing signs of cautious optimism in the early months. We hope that this report provides readers with some valuable insight into the dynamics of the M&A market in Australia and how major developments will inform the nature of M&A transactions in the coming year. The foundation of this report is a deals database created by Clayton Utz containing comprehensive information on the structure of each of the surveyed deals and tactics adopted by both targets and acquirers, and it provides us with an invaluable reference tool in advising Clayton Utz clients on M&A transactions. Special thanks go to senior associates Adam Foreman and Jasmine Sprange, special counsel Stephen Magee and lawyers Stephanie Bragg and Jonathan Augustus for their contributions in preparing this report. We welcome the opportunity to discuss our findings with you further. If you have any questions about the content of this report or our deals database, please contact us. 1. TOP TRENDS IN PUBLIC M&A WHAT WERE THE TOP TRENDS IN 2012? OUR SURVEY PROVIDES US WITH A UNIQUE INSIGHT INTO THE TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS THAT SHAPED THE AUSTRALIAN M&A MARKET IN 2012. MATERIAL DECREASE IN PUBLIC M&A ACTIVITY: M&A activity fell significantly in 2012: only 41 deals above $50 million were announced. This was a 31% decrease from 2011 and lower even than the number of deals announced during the financial crisis and its aftermath. Total deal value and average deal value were also only a fraction of the numbers we saw in the previous 5 years. FOREIGN BIDDERS DOMINATE: Two thirds of all deals in 2012 involved foreign bidders, including 7 of the 10 largest deals for the year. Bidders from the USA and China still accounted for a significant proportion of the foreign bids, but bids out of Canada showed the biggest increase, rising from 3% of foreign bids in 2011 to 23% of foreign bids in 2012. 2/ 3 PRIVATE EQUITY INCREASINGLY ACTIVE: As we predicted, 2012 saw private equity bidders become increasingly active in the public M&A arena. They took advantage of depressed market prices and the vast amounts of capital a number of funds had raised in the past few years. The percentage of private equity bids has more than doubled each year since 2010: 12% of all 2012 deals involved private equity bidders, up from 5% in 2011 and 2% in 2010. As well as these announced deals, private equity funds also made a number of bear hug approaches in 2012 which ultimately did not lead to announced deals. ENERGY AND RESOURCES THE DOMINANT SECTOR: Deals in the energy and resources sector represented over 50% of deals by number, which is consistent with 2011 levels. All Chinese bids were for targets in this sector. BIG ADVANTAGE FOR FIRST MOVERS: Bidders who were prepared to brave the pervasive lack of confidence in the market were in most cases rewarded with a successful deal, especially if they reached agreement with the target. A combination of factors drove this outcome – the prevalence of bear hugs, the continued growth in shareholder activism, the focus by institutional shareholders on relative value as opposed to fundamental or long-term valuations, and the absence of competitive tension caused by the lack of confidence. 1. TOP TRENDS IN PUBLIC M&A MEGA-DEALS NEED AN INITIAL TARGET BOARD RECOMMENDATION: 76% of all 2012 PRE-BID STAKES IMPORTANT FOR MAJORITY OF BIDDERS: The lack of activity in deals began with a target recommendation. And the larger the deal, the more likely that it would be recommended. All deals valued over $1 billion were announced with an initial target recommendation. This was a reflection of the times: the lack of confidence and conservatism in the market meant that bidders were unwilling to proceed with a major deal without having the increased deal certainty that a target board recommendation provides. the M&A market and the lack of confidence in the corporate community generally meant that bidders who were willing to take the plunge wanted pre-bid stakes to increase deal certainty. 59% of bidders in all deals, and 83% of bidders in off-market takeovers, entered into pre-bid arrangements with target shareholders who were eager to extract a takeover premium for their stake. POPULARITY OF BEAR HUGS CONTINUE, ALTHOUGH THEY DON’T ALWAYS LEAD TO A BID: Bear hugs continued to be a popular M&A strategy in 2012. 27% of all announced deals started with a bear hug approach. But perhaps more relevant were the bear hug approaches which did not result in an announced transaction, such as the bear hugs received by Billabong, Arrium, Pacific Brands and GrainCorp. These examples demonstrate that bidders will not always be willing or able to convert their bear hug into an announced deal. CASH IS KING: The popularity of cash continues to grow. 78% of all 2012 deals offered cash only consideration, with only 17% of deals offering scrip only consideration. TAKEOVERS REGULATORY REFORM HIGH ON THE AGENDA: ASIC and Treasury were particularly active in pushing for reform of key aspects of the takeovers regime in 2012. In their sights are the creep exception, the disclosure of equity derivatives, the technicalities of proving an association between shareholders, new rules for dealing with social media and the possible introduction of a “put up or shut up” rule. 4/ 5 2012 PREDICTIONS: OUR SCORECARD PREDICTING THE FUTURE IS THE EASY PART — SEEING WHETHER YOUR PREDICTIONS BECOME REALITY IS SLIGHTLY HARDER, BUT WE ARE UP TO THE CHALLENGE. IN LAST YEAR’S REPORT, WE MADE A NUMBER OF PREDICTIONS FOR M&A IN 2012. HERE’S HOW WE SCORED: TARGET RECOMMENDATIONS STILL A HIGHLY VALUED PRIZE: 76% of all deals started with an initial target recommendation. ENERGY AND RESOURCES DEALS WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE: 56% of all deals in 2012 were in the energy and resources sector, in line with 2011 levels. GREATER SHAREHOLDER ACTIVISM ARISING OUT OF SHORT–TERM OR RELATIVE VIEWS ON VALUE: Shareholder activism continued to shape how target boards engaged with bidders in 2012. A notable example of this was PEP’s bid for Spotless (see our deal profile in Section 11). SHAREHOLDERS PREPARED TO ACCEPT LOWER PREMIUMS: The average premium in 2012 was 45% (or 37% excluding outlying deals), compared with 47% in 2011. PRIVATE EQUITY TO BE INCREASINGLY ACTIVE IN THE PUBLIC M&A ARENA: 12% of all deals involved private equity bidders, up from 5% in 2011 and 2% in 2010. BEAR HUG PROPOSALS WILL CONTINUE TO BE USED IN PLACE OF, OR AT LEAST AS A PRECURSOR TO, THE HOSTILE TAKEOVER: 27% of all deals commenced with a bear hug proposal, and only 24% of deals were announced without an initial recommendation. INCREASING NUMBERS OF STRATEGIC DOMESTIC MERGERS AND SCRIP BIDS: Only 19% of deals in 2012 included scrip consideration, which is broadly in line with 2011 numbers. The majority of these deals had a foreign bidder, so were not used for the purpose of effecting a strategic domestic merger. MINORITY TAKE-OUTS: “Traditional” minority take-outs, by controlling shareholders, were down in 2012 from 2011, with only 1 bid compared with 6 in 2011. However, a high proportion of bidders had a pre-existing stake of less than 50% that had not been acquired in anticipation of making a bid: 43% of takeovers and 56% of schemes involved such bidders. THE NEW ACCC: As predicted, there were no fundamental changes in the ACCC’s processes in 2012. The ACCC focused in 2012 on preventing “creeping” or incremental acquisitions in the grocery, home improvement, liquor and petrol sectors (which are regarded as relatively concentrated). The ACCC also indicated that the continued push for increased transparency from, and engagement with, the ACCC during the course of merger reviews is likely to extend the timetable for merger reviews. INCREASED REGULATORY FOCUS ON MARKET INTEGRITY: The Takeovers Panel has issued several warnings in 2012 about the inclusion of broad, illusory or vague conditions in a deal. In addition, the Australian Treasury is currently considering a number of regulatory reforms to Australia’s takeovers laws, including the effect of bear hug announcements on market integrity (see Section 10). CERTAINTY OF FUNDS IMPORTANT: Acquisition finance was not commonly used to fund cash deals in 2012. Instead, 71% of cash deals were funded through the bidder’s existing cash reserves. While there were 4 deals which were conditional on the bidder obtaining finance, in each of those deals, the bidder had secured highly confident commitments or credit committee approvals from its financiers before announcement, and none of those deals failed due to financing. 1. TOP TRENDS IN PUBLIC M&A WHAT WILL THE TOP TRENDS BE IN 2013? WE’VE IDENTIFIED A NUMBER OF TRENDS WHICH WE PREDICT WILL SHAPE THE DYNAMICS OF AUSTRALIA’S M&A MARKET IN 2013: 6/ 7 FIRST MOVERS WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE A STRONG ADVANTAGE: In a market where it is MARKET INTEGRITY TO REMAIN FRONT OF MIND FOR REGULATORS: We expect to increasingly difficult for bidders to gain internal support to publicly proceed with a transaction, those who announce first will have a strategic advantage. Any potential second mover will need to factor in the possibility of a bidding war for the target in deciding whether to announce a competing bid, as well as being unable to dictate the timetable for the transaction. see further guidance from ASIC and/or the Takeovers Panel clarifying their position on the types of broad, illusory or vague conditions which were the subject of proceedings in 2011 and 2012. We also expect to see guidance on the use of conditions relating to regulatory approvals, particularly in light of the revised deal announced for Sundance Resources. The broader takeover law reform agenda will continue to be driven by the desire to maintain market integrity. SCHEMES OF ARRANGEMENT AND TARGET RECOMMENDATIONS WILL CONTINUE TO BE A MUST HAVE FOR MANY BIDDERS: The strong desire for certainty will continue to mean that bidders will want an agreed scheme of arrangement or a target recommendation for a takeover bid. STRATEGIC MERGERS WILL BE A NECESSITY IN INDUSTRIES FACING FUNDAMENTAL CHANGE: A number of industries are currently facing significant regulatory, economic or structural changes and are likely to consider strategic mergers as a result. These include manufacturing and retail industries (with the changing economics of those businesses), the telecommunications/media industry (with the NBN, potential regulatory changes and the continued evolution of digital technology) and the financial services industry (with changes to the regulation of financial planners). 1. TOP TRENDS IN PUBLIC M&A OVERSEAS REGULATORY APPROVAL PROCESSES WILL BE A KEY RISK FOR TARGET BOARDS TO ADDRESS: Boards are generally familiar with Australia’s regulatory approval process for mergers. However, Hanlong’s protracted bid for Sundance Resources demonstrates the difficulty target boards may face in dealing with the risks associated with less well understood overseas regulatory approval processes. We expect boards will continue to look for new ways to address these risks which may include structuring bespoke reverse break fees and termination rights to specifically deal with these types of conditions and reassessing whether it is appropriate to sign an implementation agreement, be subject to exclusivity restrictions and/or commence any scheme processes before these conditions are satisfied. SHAREHOLDER ACTIVISM WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE BIDDERS WITH A POWERFUL TOOL TO BRING TARGET BOARDS TO THE TABLE: We saw that shareholder pressure helped lead target boards to engage with bidders in a number of deals in 2012, including most notably Spotless. Having been emboldened by these examples, bidders are likely to increasingly employ shareholder activism as part of their bid strategy in the same way in 2013. CONFIDENCE WILL BE A KEY DETERMINANT OF ACTIVITY LEVELS: If confidence in the economic and market environment increases, bidders may be willing to reassess their valuations of target companies and be slightly more bullish, with a likely increase in activity. If the opposite happens, this is likely to have a dampening effect on activity, although in this environment, targets may become so pessimistic about the outlook that they reassess their fundamental valuations, and move closer to the valuations being used by bidders and those shareholders who compare deal premiums to more short-term or relative valuations. DEALS WILL TAKE LONGER TO ANNOUNCE AND COMPLETE: As bear hug approaches become more common, due diligence becomes a necessity and target recommendations are increasingly required by bidders before proceeding. This means deals are going to take longer to announce and complete. FOOD/AGRIBUSINESS SECTOR LIKELY TO SEE INCREASING ACTIVITY: Outside of the energy and resources sectors, the food and agribusiness sectors will see more M&A activity in 2013 given current concerns in a global context about food security and the interest in securing access to those agricultural commodities or businesses involved in the production of food products. IMPACT OF ELECTION: It is difficult to predict what impact the federal election in 2013 will have on M&A activity. While the uncertainty in the lead-up to the election may further erode confidence in the market, once the outcome is known it could well stimulate activity, by delivering the certainty needed to proceed with deals predicated on proposed regulatory changes or a particular regulatory landscape. 8/ 9 FIRST MOVERS 2012 SAW GREATLY REDUCED DEAL VOLUMES, BUT EXTREMELY HIGH SUCCESS RATES FOR DEALS WHICH MADE IT TO THE ANNOUNCEMENT MILESTONE. 88% OF ALL DEALS ANNOUNCED IN 2012 WHICH HAD COMPLETED BY THE END OF 2012 COMPLETED SUCCESSFULLY. AS A RESULT, BIDDERS WILLING TO MAKE THE FIRST MOVE WERE VERY LIKELY TO BE SUCCESSFUL. WHAT WERE THE FACTORS CONTRIBUTING TO THE SUCCESS OF THE FIRST MOVER? PREMIUM TO TRADING PRICE CONSERVATISM AND LACK OF COMPETITION Certain institutional target shareholders assess bid premiums in a different way to target boards. They emphasise premium to trading valuations, short-term returns and relative valuations over the medium-to-long term fundamentals. Very few bids involved competition – conservatism from other prospective bidders in the current market climate sees great reluctance to be involved in a bidding war, navigate exclusivity provisions and play catch-up on due diligence. BEAR HUG SHAREHOLDER ACTIVISM Bidder uses bear hug to put pressure on the target board to engage with the bidder by bringing its proposal to the attention of target shareholders. Shareholders more willing to publicly support and facilitate a bid including through media statements, liaising with the target board and providing pre-bid stakes. BOARD ENGAGEMENT DUE DILIGENCE AND EXCLUSIVITY This places more pressure on target boards to engage with potential bidders rather than rejecting an offer outright. Bidder gains access to due diligence on the target. Deal ultimately struck with exclusivity provisions and break fee. TARGET AGREES TO RECOMMEND THE BID 76% of all bids are recommended when first announced and 87% of targets agree to exclusivity provisions. DONE DEAL FOR FIRST MOVERS Of deals which had completed by the end of 2012, 91% of deals which were recommended completed successfully. 2. LESSONS FOR TARGETS TOP 10 LESSONS FOR TARGETS 1. HAVE AN ENGAGEMENT STRATEGY FOR PRIVATE EQUITY BIDDERS Private equity has become increasingly active in the M&A market in the past 12 months. It has also become increasingly common for private equity firms to win the support of target shareholders and use that to pressure the target board to engage. Target shareholders have also shown a willingness to offer private equity bidders support in a form which recognises the processes private equity bidders need to undertake to put forward a binding proposal. For example, in a number of instances, shareholders have been willing to give bidders options or pre-bid acceptance agreements with a term of up to 6 months. 2. DON’T ASSUME YOU CAN RELY ON COMPETITIVE TENSION TO DRIVE UP A BID PRICE There is a distinct lack of competitive tension in the M&A market at the moment, evidenced by the fact that just 4 targets found themselves the subject of competing bids in 2012. Target boards who receive bids which they believe undervalue their company cannot rely on a competing bidder to drive up a bid price, and need to find alternative ways to justify their valuation. 3. A RECOMMENDATION IS A KEY BARGAINING CHIP TO USE DURING THE NEGOTIATING PROCESS A bidder’s chances of successfully completing a deal are greatly influenced by whether or not its offer is recommended by the target. Target boards should use this to their advantage during the pre-announcement negotiating process. 4. WHETHER AND WHEN TO ANNOUNCE A BEAR HUG APPROACH IS A CRITICAL PART OF ANY RESPONSE STRATEGY In 2012, there were a number of high-profile bear hugs which never led to a formal bid, but which had a volatile effect on the target’s share price. However, where a bear hug approach was announced which did lead to an agreed deal, we typically saw an increase in the consideration offered by the bidder by the time an agreed deal was announced. In addition to their continuous disclosure obligations, target boards need to ensure that their response to a bear hug approach fits within their broader response strategy. 10 / 11 5. THE CONDITIONS WHICH APPLY TO ANY AGREED DEAL MUST BE OBJECTIVE, CERTAIN AND CAPABLE OF SATISFACTION 8. FOREIGN REGULATORY APPROVALS MAY NEED TO BE FACTORED INTO YOUR TIMETABLE When dealing with foreign It is now common market practice for any agreed deal to be highly conditional. Target boards need to make sure that conditions are defined with certainty and they can satisfy the conditions which apply to the target to minimise the bidder’s ability to walk away from the deal. bidders, target boards need to understand what regulatory approvals the bidder may require in its home jurisdiction and the process for obtaining these. Targets also need to consider what rights it needs to deal with the risks associated with satisfaction of these conditions. 6. AS DEALS TAKE LONGER TO COMPLETE, PROCESSES NEED TO BE IN PLACE TO MAKE SURE THE TARGET’S BUSINESS IS NOT AFFECTED In 2012, the average time taken 9. ANY PERMITTED CHANGE IN RECOMMENDATION NEEDS TO BE NEGOTIATED Target directors increasingly to successfully complete a takeover was 133 days from announcement, while for a scheme the average was 122 days. The timeframe is even longer if the bidder is hostile or regulatory approvals (particularly from the ACCC or other foreign regulators) are required. Target boards must have a plan for managing the company’s business during this time to make sure that its operations and profitability are not adversely affected. 7. FOR AGREED DEALS, LOOK TO MAXIMISE DEAL CERTAINTY For cash-only deals, target boards need to be satisfied that the bidder will be able to provide the bid consideration. Where debt funding is used, target boards should consider insisting that bidders have committed funds available on announcement of a deal. Deals which are conditional on the bidder obtaining finance are not market practice, featuring in only 4 cases in 2012, and such conditions should be treated with caution by target boards. seek a general fiduciary duty carve-out to their obligation to recommend a transaction to their shareholders. This is not yet market standard, being included in only 22% of agreed deals in 2012. Target boards need to be prepared to negotiate for its inclusion in an implementation agreement. 10. BREAK FEES ARE NOW MARKET PRACTICE, BUT EXCEPTIONS CAN BE NEGOTIATED Break fees were payable by the target in 81% of agreed deals in 2012 and are now standard market practice. Before agreeing to a break fee, target boards need to consider the exceptions it considers reasonable to its obligation to pay the fee. At the very least, target boards should be seeking to cap their liability to the fee. LESSONS FOR BIDDERS TOP 10 LESSONS FOR BIDDERS 1. DEAL SIZE AFFECTS STRUCTURE In 2012, the larger the deal, the more likely it was that the target was prepared to agree to a scheme. Two-thirds of 2012’s 15 largest deals were schemes. 2. SCHEMES ARE BECOMING HARDER TO BLOCK Increasing levels of shareholder turn-out at scheme meetings mean that stakes of much less than 20% will struggle to block a scheme vote. Accordingly, in circumstances where bidders are seeking greater deal certainty, schemes become a more attractive structure. 3. TARGET BOARD RECOMMENDATION IS DIRECTLY LINKED TO THE SUCCESS OF A DEAL Recommended deals are twice as likely to complete successfully as deals which are not recommended. Bidders may need to have more extensive negotiations with the target board to secure such a recommendation, but our survey shows that this is almost always worthwhile. 4. MAJOR SHAREHOLDERS CAN BE EVEN MORE IMPORTANT THAN A TARGET BOARD RECOMMENDATION If there are major target shareholders who can deliver control, gaining the support of these shareholders will be more important to a deal’s success than a recommendation by the target board. 5. BEAR HUGS ARE STILL AN IMPORTANT STRATEGY IN FORCING A TARGET TO DEAL WITH A BIDDER, BUT ONLY IN THE RIGHT ENVIRONMENT Bear hugs will not lead to a successful deal if target shareholders need a higher premium or support the board’s views on value. Further, while a bear hug may get you in the door to conduct due diligence, the bear hug price does set a floor for the target board and its shareholders – which may be problematic if due diligence shows that the company is worth less than you thought. 12 / 13 6. SPECIAL DIVIDENDS CAN DELIVER ADDITIONAL VALUE TO TARGET SHAREHOLDERS WITH LITTLE COST TO THE BIDDER In 2012, the number of deals which included a special dividend doubled from 2011 levels, with 20% of all targets declaring a special dividend. 7. THERE IS NO MAGIC NUMBER FOR DEAL PREMIUMS Our survey consistently shows that, when it comes to premium, there is no particular number above which a bidder is guaranteed success. Instead, bidders need to focus on the particular circumstances of each target and the value expectations of shareholders to determine what premium needs to be offered in order to ensure a successful transaction. 8. LAST AND FINAL STATEMENTS CAN CREATE MOMENTUM FOR A BID Given the lack of competitive tension in the market, particularly once a deal is announced, a statement by a bidder that its offer will not be increased or extended or will be increased conditionally, can be a useful way to encourage target shareholders to accept the offer. 56% of bidders making a takeover bid made no increase, no extension and/or conditional increase statements in 2012, which is double the percentage in 2011. 9. BIDDERS USING A TAKEOVER BID NEED TO CONTEMPLATE A MINIMUM ACCEPTANCE CONDITION BELOW 90% While a lower minimum acceptance condition presents greater risks for bidders, bidders who have a 50% minimum acceptance condition or who are prepared to waive a 90% condition are 50% more likely to get to 100% than those who don’t. 10. PRE-BID STAKES INCREASE DEAL CERTAINTY Pre-bid stakes are much more important for bidders proceeding by way of takeover, since shares held by a bidder during a scheme are effectively taken out of play (because the bidder cannot vote on the scheme). In 2012, outright acquisitions were more common than pre-bid acceptance agreements. This most likely due to two factors: the much longer deal timeframes being experienced, and the desire of many bidders to use the support of shareholders to pressure the board into giving a recommendation, or at least access to due diligence. Bidders proceeding by way of a scheme should consider how they can obtain statements of voting intentions from major shareholders. 3. PUBLIC M&A ACTIVITY 59 DEALS 2011 41 DEALS 2012 THERE WERE 41 ANNOUNCED DEALS SURVEYED IN 2012 WITH TRANSACTION VALUES OVER $50M 14 / 15 Total Deal Value 2010 2011 2012 Billions $80 Average Deal Value $63.72 $1.36 $52.21 $60 $40 $1.5 $19.25 $20 $0.51 $1.0 $0.5 $0 $0 2010 ACTIVITY IN THE AUSTRALIAN M&A MARKET CRASHED TO THE LOWEST LEVELS SINCE 2008 $0.90 2011 2012 2010 2011 2012 2012 was a dismal year for activity in the Australian public M&A market. There were only 41 announced deals in 2012 with transaction values over $50 million. This represents a 31% decrease on 2011. Not only was this a reversal of the increase in activity we saw in 2011, it was a return to levels of activity below those seen since 2008. A lack of confidence in the economy and in stability in financial markets and the economy was at least partially to blame. Time and time again, bidders identified attractive opportunities and had the financial ability to proceed, but were not ultimately prepared to take the plunge, given the prevailing market uncertainty. The number of deals in 2012 wasn’t the only lowlight. The deals that did happen were worth a lot less than the deals done in 2010 and 2011. The total value of those announced deals was only $19 billion - 63% less than 2011, and 70% less than 2010. The average deal value in 2012, which was only $507 million, tells a similar story, being 44% and 63% below the average deal value in 2011 and 2010 respectively. 2010 2011 2012 100% 70% 80% 81% 83% 60% 40% 20% Spread of Deal Size 0% 2% 3% 0% Deals > $10bn MEGA-DEALS MISSING IN ACTION AS MID-MARKET DEALS DOMINATE 15% 9% 2% Deals between $2-10bn 13% 7% 14% Deals between $1-2bn Deals < $1bn There was a large proportion of mid-market deals in 2012 and none of the mega-deals which we saw in earlier years: no deals in 2012 had a transaction value above $10 billion; and only 2% of deals in 2012 had a transaction value over $2 billion, compared with 9% in 2011 and 14% in 2010. 4. STRUCTURE AND EXECUTION OF DEALS 4.1 DEAL STRUCTURE The 2 main transaction structures available to a bidder wishing to acquire all of the shares in a listed Australian company are a takeover bid and a scheme of arrangement. Takeovers are a contractual based offer by the bidder to acquire shares in a target, the terms of which are regulated by the Corporations Act. A court approved scheme of arrangement between a target and its shareholders usually provides for the transfer of the shares in a target to the bidder. The availability of 2 takeover mechanisms allows bidders to tailor the structure of their deal to suit the particular circumstances. In 2012, schemes were marginally more popular than takeovers. There were however some types of transactions where schemes were noticeably more popular: the majority of deals with a value over $1 billion and all but one deal involving private equity bidders were conducted by scheme of arrangement. 41 Number of Deals 45 40 35 30 25 20 44% 54% 51% 39% 15 10 5% 5 Deal structure 2% 0 Takeovers (including off-market and on-market) Schemes (including company and trust schemes) Off-market takeover On-market takeover Company scheme Trust scheme Total 16 / 17 DIGGING DEEP Clayton Utz’s publication, Digging Deep (2013), provides an in-depth analysis of Chinese investment in the Australian energy & resources industry over an eight-year period from 1 January 2005 to 31 December 2012 (including both public and private transactions). It examines, among other things, the investment strategies, the focus of their investment activity, the nature of projects invested in and the management structures used by Chinese investors. Our analysis revealed that investments by Chinese investors has increased in the Australian energy & resources industry by over tenfold since 2005. Up from three investments in 2005 to an average of 34 investments per year between 2008 and 2012. During this period, 23 announced investments we reviewed involved corporate takeovers with 57% of investments successfully completed. In comparison, 105 announced investments involved an acquisition of an interest of less than a 100% and these investments had a successful completion rate of 88%. 4.2 WHO’S BUYING? TWO-THIRDS OF ALL DEALS WERE BY FOREIGN BIDDERS The involvement of foreign bidders in deals in 2012 continued at the same high level we saw in 2011. Two-thirds of all 2012 deals were by foreign bidders, and 8 of the 9 largest deals involved foreign bidders. The foreign bidders came from a range of countries, but mostly from China, Canada and the USA. The percentage of bidders from the USA remained largely unchanged from 2011 and the percentage of bids by Chinese bidders increased. The most significant change however was the increase in the percentage of bids from Canadian bidders (by number) up from 3% in 2011 to 23% in 2012. Foreign Domestic 23% 37% Proportion of 63% deals with foreign/ domestic bidders Number of deals 77% Deal value SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN DEALS BY CANADIAN BIDDERS 4. Structure and execution of deals By number By value 35% 32% 31% 30% 25% 20% 19% 23% 23% 21% 19% 12% 15% Proportion of foreign bidders from particular 4% 5% jurisdictions by number and deal value 8% 8% 10% 2% 7% 6% 0% USA UK PRC Singapore Hong Kong Canada Other 4.3 WHAT ARE THEY BUYING? ENERGY & RESOURCES DEALS STILL DOMINATE AUSTRALIAN M&A ACTIVITY As expected, the energy and resources sectors continued to dominate Australian M&A in 2012. Over 50% of deals were in the metals and mining or oil and gas industries. Of those deals, metals and mining accounted for more than the number of deals in the oil and gas industry. All Chinese bids were for targets in these sectors, confirming that these sectors are a particular focus for these bidders. There was no real standout for third place, with the remaining deals distributed across a number of different industry sectors. While deals in the food and agribusiness industries attracted a lot of attention in the press, there were actually no takeovers or schemes announced in those industries with a transaction value over $50 million in 2012. Given the current interest in these industries from foreign bidders, and the logic of this in light of increasing global concerns regarding food security, we expect that this will change in 2013 and we will see more public M&A activity in this sector, particularly from foreign bidders. All Deals Foreign Domestic 45% 40% 34% 35% 30% 25% 17% 10% 5% Commercial/Professional Services General Industrials 0% Retail 0% 2% Healthcare 2% Food Real Estate 2% 7% InformationTechnology & Services 5% 5% Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels 0% 5% Metals & Mining foreign/domestic 2% Media 5% Infrastructure break down between Financial Services 10% Beverages All deals by industry and 2% Telecommunications 15% Mining Services 20% 18 / 19 4.4 TARGET RESPONSE 76% OF ALL DEALS WERE ANNOUNCED WITH AN INITIAL TARGET RECOMMENDATION Target board recommendations remained a key priority in all types of deals in 2012. 76% of all deals, including 47% of takeovers, were announced with an initial target recommendation, with a further of 40% of takeovers obtaining a recommendation before they closed, a continuation of a key trend we identified in 2011. 120% 100% 100% 100% 76% 80% 60% 44% 40% 20% Proportion of deals with initial recommendation 0% 0% Off-market takeover Initial recommendation Recommended later Not recommended On-market takeover 13% Company scheme Trust scheme Overall 47% 40% Hostile/friendly takeovers TARGET BOARD RECOMMENDATIONS GREATLY INCREASE DEAL SUCCESS RATE An initial recommendation is important to many bidders for a number of reasons: the desire for greater deal certainty where bidders are generally adopting a conservative approach to deals; the need for access to due diligence; the desire of bidders to achieve 100% control rather than just a majority stake meaning a scheme of arrangement is preferred as it provides certainty of outcome; and the need for a board recommendation to achieve 100% ownership, especially where there is a significant retail shareholder base. A target board recommendation has a significant influence on the ultimate success of a deal: 91% of completed deals which were recommended, whether at the outset or only later, were successful, compared with only 50% of completed deals which never received a recommendation. 4. Structure and execution of deals TARGET RECOMMENDATION NOT AS IMPORTANT AS MAJORITY SHAREHOLDER Crescent Capital’s off-market takeover bid for Clearview Wealth completed successfully with the bidder obtaining a final interest of around 80% in the target even without a recommendation. This was despite the offer being pitched at a relatively low premium of 18% to the closing price before announcement and the independent expert concluding that the offer was neither fair nor reasonable. What ultimately convinced retail shareholders to sell into the bid was the fact that Crescent Capital had a 12% pre-bid stake and after the initial offer was increased, the Guinness Peat Group, who had a 48% stake in the target, committed publicly to accept the offer. This put Crescent Capital in a position to control the target and retail shareholders risked being left as minority shareholders if they didn’t accept the offer. This deal demonstrates the fact that the target’s response is less important where there are significant shareholders which have the capacity to deliver control to the bidder. 4.5 INDEPENDENT EXPERT REPORTS Independent expert reports were commissioned by the target in 100% of schemes and 50% of takeovers in 2012. An independent expert’s report is required if the bidder is entitled to at least 30% of the voting shares in the target (or 30% of the shares in a class of voting shares), or if the bidder and target have one or more common directors. However, they are a common feature of public M&A transactions even when not required by law. For schemes, ASIC and the court will normally expect such a report to be included in the explanatory memorandum in any event, and it is therefore standard market practice to include one. In a takeover, where a target board is not recommending an offer they will often commission an expert’s report to justify their decision: this was the case for 66% of takeovers which did not obtain an initial recommendation from the target’s board. Target boards also often commission an expert’s report to support their recommendation of a takeover: 75% of targets who recommended takeover bids commissioned an independent expert’s report. The independent expert must give an opinion as to whether the deal is in the best interests of the target shareholders and give the reasons for that opinion (based on whether the offer is fair and reasonable). It would appear that the expert’s opinion has little bearing on the ultimate success of a deal. In 5 deals the expert found that the offer was not in the best interests of target shareholders, or was not fair but reasonable - of these deals, 3 have completed successfully and 2 remain current. 4.6 BEAR HUGS 27% OF DEALS COMMENCED WITH A BEAR HUG The high number of deals which are recommended when initially announced does not mean that a large number of target boards willingly came to the table to recommend these transactions. In fact, the real reason is the continued success of the bear hug as a strategy for getting the target board to engage with a bidder and ultimately recommend the transaction on announcement. A bear hug is an unsolicited proposal (usually 20 / 21 indicative and conditional) which is made by the bidder to the target. That unsolicited proposal is subsequently made public (usually by the target but sometimes by the bidder) before any transaction is actually announced. 27% of deals commenced with a bear hug in 2012, with larger deals much more likely to commence with a bear hug. Seven out of the 10 largest deals in 2012 began with a bear hug approach. Off-market takeover 31% Scheme 27% Overall 27% Proportion of deals initiated by “bear-hug” Proportion of deals successfully completed approach and proportion 75% of those which successfully complete 0% REJECTED BEAR HUGS OR THOSE COMPETING WITH TAKEOVERS WERE FOLLOWED UP WITH A TAKEOVER BID 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Bear hugs are driven by the bidder’s desire for target co-operation, particularly those bidders who wish to use a scheme of arrangement or who need to gain access to due diligence before committing to a deal. One of the changes in the surveyed deals this year was the increased use of takeover bids following a bear hug approach. In 2011, 45% of all schemes were preceded by a bear hug, whereas only 15% of takeover bids were. This reversed in 2012, with 31% of takeover bids starting with a bear hug, and only 27% of schemes starting this way. The increase in the proportion of takeover bids that were preceded by a bear hug is in part due to the context in which those bear hug approaches were made. In two deals, the target was already the subject of a takeover bid by a different bidder, making a takeover the preferred structure to compete with the existing bid. Further, the bear hug approach was rejected in two deals, leaving the takeover as the only practical way of putting an offer to shareholders without the target’s support (Weir Group Plc’s bid for Ludowici and Cathay Fortune Corporation’s bid for Discovery Metals). 80% 4. Structure and execution of deals BEAR HUG OR BARE HUG? In June 2012, David Jones responded to media speculation by announcing that it had received an unsolicited takeover approach from an unidentified entity. Its share price immediately increased by 14% even though the company recommended that its shareholders act cautiously. David Jones later announced that the entity was EB Private Equity and gave further details of the terms of its proposal. Following these announcements, there was extensive media speculation about EB and its capacity to make a bid for the company, leading some to describe it as a “hoax” bid. This publicity led to EB withdrawing its proposal. David Jones share price rapidly fell to pre-announcement levels. These events demonstrate that a considerable degree of caution is required before announcing approaches which appear purely speculative. ASX has tried to discourage immediate disclosure of such proposals with its revised guidance note on continuous disclosure (discussed below), but the problem for many targets – like David Jones – is that it is very difficult to keep such approaches confidential. David Jones was an extreme example. Another included the fake emails which were circulated about Macmahon Holdings receiving a takeover approach. There were a number of other genuine bear hug approaches during the year which still never resulted in a binding deal, for example, TPG’s approach to Billabong, KKR’s approach to Pacific Brands, Steelmakers Australia’s approach to Arrium and Archer-Daniels-Midland’s approach to GrainCorp. What these events demonstrate is that, before engaging in a bear hug by making a takeover approach public, companies need to take great care to ensure that the market is clearly informed about the uncertainty that surrounds such an approach, particularly where that uncertainty goes to the identity and credibility of the purported bidder. The continued popularity of bear hug approaches and increasing levels of shareholder activism have seen calls for regulatory reform due to concerns about the adverse impact the announcement of a bear hug approach has on market integrity. These concerns focus on 2 issues: >> fi rst, the vague, highly conditional and non binding nature of such proposals, with the bidder having no obligation or timeframe within which to proceed with an offer; and >> s econd, the disclosure of these proposals which may apply inappropriate pressure to the parties in dealing with and responding to the proposal and fuel speculative trading in the target shares. REGULATORS CONCERNED ABOUT IMPACT OF BEAR HUGS ON MARKET INTEGRITY The revised guidance on continuous disclosure that was issued by ASX on 17 October 2012 will go some way to alleviating the second issue. In that revised guidance, ASX has expressly stated that confidential takeover proposals do not need to be announced to the market until the parties are committed to proceed with the transaction. The clear intention of this guidance is to give target companies the comfort that they can receive and consider such proposals without being required to immediately disclose them under the continuous disclosure rules. The ability to do this is however conditional on the approach remaining confidential. While this new guidance has been welcomed as giving target boards some more flexibility in determining whether to disclose takeover approaches, we do not expect that this new guidance will see the end of the bear hug. 22 / 23 The reality is that, irrespective of the technical position, many target boards will still choose to disclose bear hug approaches at a time and in a manner of their choosing and consistent with the response strategy they adopt. If they do not, target boards will be exposed to the tactical disadvantages which will flow from losing control of the disclosure of the approach if confidentiality is lost, whether due to disclosure by the bidder, significant movements in the target share price or the need to respond to market speculation. The Chairman of ASIC, Greg Medcraft, has during 2012 advocated for the introduction of a “put up or shut up” rule as applies in the UK to deal with these issues. In the UK, the “put up or shut up” rule imposes a timeframe within which a bidder who makes an indicative takeover proposal is required to proceed with a binding offer for the company, or be forced to withdraw from making any offer for the company for 6 months. Treasury is now consulting with the market to gather views on the need for such a rule in Australia. DO WE NEED A PUT UP OR SHUT UP RULE? While 2013 will continue to see debate on the need for a “put up or shut up” rule in Australia, with Treasury continuing its consultation on this issue (amongst other potential takeover reforms identified by ASIC), we do not believe that there will be particularly strong support for the introduction of such a rule here. It would not find favour with many institutional investors given the current low levels of M&A activity and the likelihood for such a rule to further dampen activity. In any event, we suggest that it is shareholder activism, particularly where driven by the short-term performance benchmarks many fund managers are trying to meet in a flat or declining market, which is the most significant factor causing the prevalence of bear hug proposals and the siege on targets which results from them. The current disconnect between the views of investors and target boards on valuation won’t be fixed by requiring proposed bids to be more certain or by imposing a “put up or shut up” rule. That is something which will only be corrected by a change in market dynamics. 4.7 COMPLETION AND COMPETING OFFERS 88% OF DEALS COMPLETED SUCCESSFULLY While the level of M&A activity in the Australian market in 2012 was very low, for the deals that did get announced there was a very high success rate. Of the deals which were announced in 2012 and had completed by year end, 88% completed successfully, with schemes having a higher success rate than takeovers. While deals may be enjoying a high success rate, the average time taken to complete a successful deal increased in 2012 by 15% from 2011. However there was little difference between schemes and takeovers or deals which kicked off with a recommendation and those which were only recommended after announcement. Deals which had an initial recommendation when announced completed within an average of 117 days whereas deals which were only recommended later took an average of 159 days to complete. This difference disappears when you add to these timeframes the time taken to negotiate an initial recommendation – in many cases, after a bear hug proposal had been announced. The average time between the announcement of a bear hug proposal and the announcement of a transaction was 67 days. 4. Structure and execution of deals Number of days 300 263 263 250 200 200 150 100 50 minimum, maximum) 51 42 completion (average, 123 122 74 78 Period from announcement to 106 133 42 0 Off-market takeover On-market takeover Scheme Overall BLOCKING STAKES The higher the level of shareholder participation at scheme meetings, the larger the shareholding that is needed to block a scheme proposal at the shareholder vote. Shareholder participation levels for schemes increased by 5% in 2012 to almost 70%. With a 70% shareholder turn-out at a scheme meeting, a 17.4% stake would be required to defeat a scheme. This is significantly higher than the 10% stake needed to prevent a takeover bidder acquiring 100% of the target. 120% 98.60% 99.93% 93.22% 98.77% 100% 82.00% 94.00% 80% 97.67% 69.54% 60% 40.00% 40% Voting at scheme 20% meetings (average, minimum, maximum) 0% Percentage of votes in favour Percentage of shareholders in favour Percentage of votes present Only 3 deals were unsuccessful due to the failure of a condition or termination of an implementation agreement. They were Pipeline Partners Australia’s bid for the Hastings Diversified Utilities Trust, Weir Group plc’s bid for Ludowici and Rockwood Holdings’ bid for Talison Lithium. In each case, the deal was not successful because of a competing proposal. This highlights the importance of meaningful deal protections. The successful bidder in two of those three cases had an outright pre-bid stake of around 20% which will obviously deter another bidder from getting into a bidding war for the target (neither bidder had a pre-bid stake in the third case). 24 / 25 5. CONSIDERATION 5.1 NATURE OF CONSIDERATION OFFERED CHOICE OF CASH AND SCRIP FORMS OF CONSIDERATION CASH ONLY CONSIDERATION WAS OFFERED IN MORE THAN THREE QUARTERS OF ALL DEALS IN 2012 The percentage of deals offering cash-only consideration increased by almost 20% in 2012. This increase on 2011 resulted from a greater proportion of domestic bidders offering cash consideration. The proportion of foreign bidders offering cash was essentially unchanged from 2011 levels but remained substantial. Cash-only consideration was this year offered in 78% of all deals, compared with 61% in 2011. The popularity of cash is due to a combination of factors including the desire for certainty of value in a challenging deal-making environment, ongoing market volatility resulting from economic conditions, the discount at which prospective bidders’ shares have been trading, the strong balance sheet positions of Australian bidders and the substantial proportion of foreign bids for Australian assets. Only 17% of deals in 2012 offered scrip only consideration. However, in the metals and mining sector, 71% of deals offered scrip only consideration due to the ongoing consolidation and relative stability of share prices in that sector throughout most of the year. Cash only Cash and scrip combination or alternatives Scrip only Other 2% 17% 2% Type of consideration 78% 5. Consideration Cash only Scrip only Other 4% 15% 81% Type of consideration offered by foreign bidders UNLISTED SCRIP/STUB-EQUITY Bidders did not offer unlisted scrip or stub-equity to target shareholders as consideration, consistent with the trend towards transparent and certain consideration we saw throughout 2012. SCRIP DOWNSIDE PROTECTION No scrip downside protection mechanisms were used in any deals in 2012. An adjustment mechanism was used in the Nabi merger with Biota Holdings by way of scheme of arrangement but this involved only an adjustment in the Nabi scrip consideration following the consolidation of Nabi’s share capital prior to implementation. OTHER STRUCTURES There was little to note in relation to novel consideration structures in 2012. One exception was the bid for the Charter Hall Office REIT. Unitholders of Charter Hall were paid cash consideration and distributions in multiple instalments including after implementation of the scheme. The main scheme consideration and implementation distribution were paid, as usual, on the scheme implementation date as well as a distribution from part of the proceeds of a separate asset sale in the United States. However, further cash instalments were distributed to former unitholders over 6 months later, made up of the remaining proceeds of the US asset sale less any US taxes and liabilities, through the use of an escrow account structure. 26 / 27 SPECIAL DIVIDENDS AND OTHER DISTRIBUTIONS 2012 saw a doubling in the number of targets declaring special dividends or undertaking reductions of capital in connection with a deal. A special dividend was declared in connection with 8 deals in 2012 and capital reductions were proposed in connection with a further 2 deals. Both types of distribution can assist the bidder by reducing the cash consideration payable under the bid and reducing the bidder’s own funding requirements (assuming that the bidder does not fund the distribution). Dividends can also be a useful means of providing additional value to some target securityholders if the target has surplus franking credits which the bidder may be willing to forgo if they are worth more in the hands of target securityholders than in the hands of the bidder (because, for example, the bidder is foreign). In both cases, the tax treatment of the distribution is important and is usually the subject of an ATO ruling (see next page). PROPORTION OF DEALS WHICH INCLUDED SPECIAL DIVIDEND Deals where consideration included special dividend 38% Funded by bidder 63% 20% Funded by target SPECIAL DIVIDENDS WERE USED IN TWICE THE NUMBER OF DEALS IN 2012 COMPARED WITH 2011 5. Consideration TAX TREATMENT OF DIVIDENDS / CAPITAL REDUCTIONS There are usually two reasons for seeking ATO rulings in relation to the tax treatment of a distribution. Certain securityholders may prefer consideration in the form of capital (either a capital reduction or consideration for the securities) rather than dividends, because there are concessional tax rates on capital gains for resident individuals, trusts and super funds and zero tax rates for non-residents where the target is not land-rich. However, in certain circumstances, all or part of a capital reduction that is paid by a target in substitution for a dividend may be treated by the ATO as a dividend that is both taxable as income and unfrankable by the target. Dividends declared in connection with a deal are taxed as income in the hands of the securityholders and are generally frankable by the target. However, if a dividend is characterised as forming part of the consideration received by the securityholders for their securities, then it is possible that certain securityholders could be in effect double taxed on the distribution (double taxation will arise only to the extent a capital loss would be made if the distribution did not form part of the consideration received for the securities). The Dulux takeover of Alesco featured a notable special dividend. In this deal, Dulux included a provision in its takeover bid that entitled it to reduce the bid price by the value of any franking credits attributable to any dividend declared by Alesco as well as by the value of the dividend. Dulux ultimately made a “last and final statement” stating that it would increase the cash offer and allow Alesco shareholders to receive up to $0.18 per share in franking credits. The parties entered into negotiations following this statement culminating in a potential revised proposal which would have provided an increase in the dividend payable to Alesco shareholders and attached franking credits. Alesco then sought orders from the Takeovers Panel that the “truth in takeovers” policy not apply, and that Dulux be prevented from deducting from its offer the value of franking credits, in respect of the potential revised proposal. The Panel declined to conduct proceedings on the basis that no agreement had been reached between the parties on the potential revised proposal. However, the Panel indicated that, had there been such an agreement there would have been no reasonable prospect of the revised proposal being permitted and that ASIC would have commenced proceedings to prevent Dulux from departing from its “last and final statement”. The Dulux/Alesco deal put a particular focus on the value of franking credits. The value of franking credits attributable to any dividend will depend on each shareholder’s individual tax circumstances and will not be available to all shareholders (including non-Australian resident shareholders). Further, a company’s share price will not usually attribute much, if any, value to franking credits attributable to dividends. For an Australian resident shareholder to receive full value for franking credits, in the form of a tax offset, refund, or carry forward tax loss, the shareholder must hold the share sufficiently at risk for a minimum period at a specified time. Essentially, the shareholder must retain at least 30% of the risks of ownership (determined using the “delta” of the share and other positions) for a continuous period of at least 45 clear days. Where, in the context of a deal, the value of the dividend effectively accrues to the bidder through a reduction in the bid price, the test must be satisfied in the 90 day period straddling the day following the dividend record date. In the case of Alesco, its dividend record date was 8 December 2012 so the 90 day period ran from 24 October 2012 to 22 January 2013. Alesco shareholders receiving the additional discretionary dividend ceased to hold their shares at risk on the date of acceptance of Dulux’s unconditional offer or upon compulsory acquisition. Consequently, only those shareholders who had held the shares at risk for 45 clear days between 24 October 2012 and the earlier of the date they accepted Dulux’s offer and 22 January 2013 qualified for the full benefit of franking credits on that distribution. A tax ruling to this effect was also obtained by the parties for the benefit of target shareholders. 28 / 29 5.2 PREMIUM FOR CONTROL AVERAGE PREMIUMS RETURNED TO A MORE MEASURED 37% IN 2012 (EXCLUDING OUTLIERS) The average premium to trading prices for surveyed deals in 2012 (excluding mergers of equals) was 45%, compared with 51% in 2011. The two highest premiums were offered in the two takeover bids for Ludowici Limited (by Weir Group plc, which offered a 186% premium and FLSmidth & Co. A/S, which offered a 198% premium). If these two outliers are removed, the average was a more conservative 37% compared with the 47% average in 2011 (after removing the outlier deal in 2011). 198% 200% 150% 100% 50% 45% Basic statistics on deal premia 37% 0% Average Average (excluding both bids for Ludowici) Max 7% 2% Min Proportion of deals which are mergers of equals In 2012, a 45% premium (or a 37% premium excluding the premia offered in the Ludowici deal), was generally enough to secure a board recommendation and the ultimate success of the transaction. 45% 40% 37% 41% 37% 35% 35% 30% 25% Average premium 20% offered for different 15% recommendations 10% (excluding both bids 5% for Ludowici) 0% 17% Initial recommendation Not recommended Recommended later All without initial recommendation All with recommendation 5. Consideration 2012 SAW LOWER PREMIUMS OFFERED FOR RECOMMENDED DEALS In 2012 bidders did not have to pay a higher premium to secure a recommendation after announcement than was paid with an initial recommendation. The average premium for transactions recommended later was the same as that for an initial recommendation. Contributing to this was the general lack of competition for assets in the market in 2012. Interestingly, lower premiums were offered for recommended deals than for the few deals that were not recommended. This somewhat strange outcome results from the fact that most deals were unsuccessful or withdrawn due to the presence of a competing bid – meaning that competition had driven the premium offered up, before one bidder ultimately withdrew. Average premia per industry sector was fairly consistent across all sectors. The significant 144% average in the mining services sector again reflects the Ludowici deal and was a more modest 48% excluding this transaction. 160% 144% 140% 120% 100% 80% 38% Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels Real Estate 38% Information Technology & Services 35% 40% 12% Telecommunications Commercial/Professional Services Mining Services General Industrials Media Infrastructure 0% Financial Services different industries 30% 15% 20% Beverages Average premium for 35% 39% Metals & Mining 40% 56% 55% 60% 5.3 CHANGES IN CONSIDERATION In 30% of deals that were announced and completed in 2012 the consideration on offer was increased (by an average of 13%) following the initial announcement of the transaction. In 2011, only 15% of deals involved a price increase following announcement. There were a range of reasons why the price was increased, including to gain the support of shareholders, whether by accepting an offer or voting in favour of a scheme, to secure a target board recommendation or to match a competing offer. 30 / 31 30% 46% 13% PROPORTION OF DEALS WHERE INITIAL CONSIDERATION INCREASED AVERAGE INITIAL PREMIUM FOR THOSE DEALS AVERAGE LEVEL OF INCREASE Half of the bids which were announced following a bear hug approach were announced at a higher price than the price at which the bear hug approach was made, which was broadly the same as 2011. The average increase in price between the bear hug approach and the announced deal was 9% which was again broadly in line with the trend in 2011. 5.4 NO INCREASE, NO EXTENSION STATEMENTS AND CONDITIONAL INCREASES The comparative lack of bidders in 2012 and the absence of competitive tension in many deals saw bidders make no increase, no extension and/or conditional increase statements in 56% of the surveyed deals in 2012 to clearly signal their positions to target shareholders. This was over double the percentage in 2011. 56% 60% 50% 40% 30% 28% 22% 20% 6% 10% Statements to encourage acceptances in takeovers 0% No increase statements No extension statements Conditional increase in consideration Either no increase, no extension or conditional increase 5. Consideration A LACK OF COMPETITIVE TENSION IN 2012 EMBOLDENED BIDDERS TO USE TRUTH IN TAKEOVERS STATEMENTS AS ULTIMATUMS FOR TARGET SHAREHOLDERS Brookfield’s takeover bid for Thakral Holdings was one such case. In order to secure a board recommendation, Brookfield made use of truth-in-takeovers statements to state that it would increase its offer price if it achieved 90% acceptances – the threshold for compulsory acquisition. The offer period was also extended to facilitate these acceptances. This tactic was successful and resulted in acceptances of significantly more than 90%, enabling Brookfield to move to compulsory acquisition of Thakral. More details about this transaction are set out in Section 11. This deal highlights the flexibility of an announced conditional increase over a no increase or no extension statement. If a no extension or no increase statement does not achieve the desired result, a bidder can be left with limited options to pursue the deal (consider APA’s bid for Qantas in 2007 where insufficient acceptances were received by the no extension date). 5.5 JOINT PROPOSALS Joint bids accounted for 15% of all surveyed deals in 2012, almost exactly the same as in 2011. 71% Proportion of joint proposals which involve target shareholder with +20% holding PROPORTION OF DEALS WHICH ARE JOINT PROPOSALS Joint proposals 15% 86% Proportion of joint proposals which involve target shareholder From a regulatory perspective, parties have flexibility to pursue such joint proposals under the Corporations Act, subject to obtaining ASIC relief or obtaining target shareholder approval if the joint bidders control in aggregate more than 20% of the shares in the target. In these circumstances, careful consideration is always given to the structure of any such proposal, whether to seek shareholder approval or obtain ASIC relief and the terms of such approval or relief. 32 / 33 JOINT PROPOSALS ARE NOW A CONSTANT FEATURE OF THE AUSTRALIAN M&A LANDSCAPE Joint proposals vary in what they seek to achieve. Some are structured as simple joint ownership proposals for the target, while others are structured as target acquisitions by one party and then on-sales of certain target assets to another party. 5.6 FUNDING OF CASH CONSIDERATION In a continuation of what we saw in 2011, approximately half of all cash deals were funded solely by the bidder’s existing cash reserves or existing general purpose facilities (47% in 2012 compared with 53% in 2011). 4 deals were announced conditional on financing. However, the bidder had secured highly confident commitments or credit committee approvals from its financiers in each of these deals and no deals failed in 2012 because of a failure to obtain financing. 80% 71% 70% 60% 50% 40% 32% 30% 18% 20% Proportion of deals 10% 3% funded in whole or in part by different sources 0% Existing cash reserves or corporate facilities Acquisition finance facility Equity capital raising 12% 0% Debt capital raising Other ACQUISITION FINANCE WAS AGAIN UNDERUTILISED IN 2012 Deal conditional on financing or bidder has ability to terminate if not available 6. CONDITIONALITY 6.1 HIGHLY CONDITIONAL DEALS The highly conditional offers which started appearing in 2011 (in response to the volatile economic climate) have in 2012 become standard practice as economic turbulence has become the new normal. Overall Off-market takeover Scheme 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% There is a tension between these high levels of conditionality and parties’ desire to complete deals quickly. Our prediction that deals in 2013 will take longer to complete reflects this growing reliance on a long checklist of conditions. No material acquisitions Minimum acceptance Market out Director recommendation Bidder warranties Target warranties Bidder POs Target POs Bidder MAC Target MAC Exclusivity Due diligence/information Change in control/third party consents No restraint General/soft regulatory FSSA/IATA 0% FIRB surveyed deals 10% ACCC Conditionality of 34 / 35 6.2 MINIMUM ACCEPTANCE CONDITIONS 70% OF MINIMUM ACCEPTANCE CONDITIONS WERE SET AT 50.1%-89.9% The majority of off-market bids continue to contain a minimum acceptance condition. However, the level of the acceptance threshold seems to be falling. 70% of minimum acceptance conditions in 2012 were set at 50.1-89.9%, with the remaining 30% at 90-100%. This is in contrast to 2011, where there was an even split between 90% conditions (the level at which a bidder can to move to compulsorily acquire any outstanding minorities), and 50.1% conditions (which allows the bidder to gain control of the board). 63% 70% 30% OFF-MARKET TAKEOVERS WITH MINIMUM ACCEPTANCE CONDITION THRESHOLD 50%-89% THRESHOLD 90%-100% 80% 60% Waiver of minimum acceptance condition in off-market takeovers 50% OF MINIMUM ACCEPTANCE CONDITIONS WERE WAIVED 89% 75% 100% 50% 50% 50% Proportion overall waived Proportion of 50-89% waived Proportion of 90-100% waived 50% 39% 40% 20% 0% If waived, proportion which complete with 100% ownership If not waived, proportion which complete with 100% ownership Average interest Average interest when 50% when 90% condition waived condition waived There has also been a significant change in how minimum acceptance conditions play out. More bidders are waiving the condition (50% in 2012, compared with 30% in 2011). Bidders are also taking considerably longer to waive this condition, waiting an average of 129 days from announcement of the deal compared with 79 days in 2011 (although this average is inflated by the protracted bid by Dulux for Alesco). 6. Conditionality There were only two takeovers which were subject to a 90% minimum acceptance condition. One of those failed due to a competing proposal. The other deal was Dulux Group’s bid for Alesco. In that case, when Alesco agreed to recommend the transaction, Dulux Group agreed that it would waive the 90% minimum acceptance condition once the sum of acceptances of the offer (including instructions in the acceptance facility) and the number of securities held by a list of “index funds” agreed between the parties reached 90%. Index funds typically have a mandate which prevents them from accepting (or tipping into an acceptance facility) until the offer is unconditional or the target is removed from relevant indices. Dulux announced that it would waive the condition when it had reached 85.79% acceptances including instructions in the acceptance facility and went on to reach the 90% threshold within 6 days of the offer being declared unconditional. The deal provides a good example of how a minimum acceptance condition can be waived and the bidder successfully reach the compulsory acquisition threshold where an analysis of the register shows the outstanding securities are held by index funds with particular mandates. 6.3 MARKET-OUTS MARKET-OUTS INCREASE IN POPULARITY Market-outs allow bidders to withdraw a bid if falls in equity or other markets mean that the deal is no longer commercially advantageous to them. The use of such conditions has increased in recent years, appearing in 20% of deals in 2012, up from 15% in 2011. At the same time, bidders are becoming more sophisticated in the wording of these market-outs. It is becoming common to see them tied to specific commodity prices or other markets particularly relevant to the target. 6.4 REGULATORY CONDITIONS While foreign regulatory conditions posed some challenges to bidders in 2012 (see over the page), obtaining foreign investment approval from the Australian Treasurer proved to be a relatively straightforward process. In 2012, all of deals which had foreign investment approval conditions obtained such approval. While this is good news for bidders and targets, some politicians and media commentators believe this high approval rate indicates that the approval process is too lax. With a Senate Committee currently conducting an inquiry into a range of issues relating to foreign investment in Australia (see Section 9) and a Federal election to be held on 14 September this year, it will be interesting to see whether unconditional approvals remain the norm. 36 / 37 DEALING WITH FOREIGN REGULATORY APPROVALS In 2012, over half of all deals involving foreign bidders had a condition that the bidder receive all necessary regulatory approvals in their home country. While in most cases this proved to be a straightforward process, there were some notable exceptions in 2012, highlighting how drafting these conditions appropriately is critical. By far the longest-running deal in 2012 was the bid by private Chinese company Hanlong for iron-ore producer Sundance Resources. Sundance Resources first announced it had received a bear hug approach from Hanlong in July 2011, and a binding offer was made by Hanlong in October of that year. Hanlong made its offer conditional on it receiving the necessary approvals from Chinese regulators. At the time of writing, the deal has yet to complete because of Hanlong’s failure to obtain unconditional approvals. In August 2012, China’s National Development and Reform Commission approved the deal, but imposed a number of conditions, including that Sundance and Hanlong agree a “reasonable acquisition price”. This is believed to be the first time the NDRC has granted approval subject to renegotiating a publicly disclosed price. Sundance subsequently agreed to a reduction in Hanlong’s offer consideration. This example demonstrates how navigating the regulatory approval process in the foreign bidder’s home jurisdiction can be a protracted process, adding considerable timing and execution uncertainty. When negotiating a foreign regulatory approval condition, an Australian target should engage its own legal counsel in the bidder’s jurisdiction to ascertain precisely which regulatory approvals are required, the assessment criteria, the level of information and review that will be involved and the expected timeframe for receiving the approvals. We expect that targets will continue to look for ways to address the risk that these approvals are not obtained. Possible strategies include requiring reverse break fees with triggers which are linked to the relevant conditions, negotiating more specific termination rights which may be relied upon where the conditions are not satisfied, or steps taken towards their satisfaction, within a specified timeframe (see Section 8.2) or otherwise insisting that these conditions are satisfied before any implementation agreement is signed or before any exclusivity restrictions or obligations to commence the scheme process apply to the target (for example, News Limited and Consolidated Media Holdings delayed entering into an implementation agreement until ACCC approval was obtained). TARGETS FOCUS ON RISK ASSOCIATED WITH SATISFACTION OF REGULATORY CONDITIONS 6. Conditionality 6.5 MAC CONDITIONS 76% OF DEALS HAD A TARGET MAC CONDITION Material adverse change (MAC) conditions continue to be common market practice. 76% of deals allowed a bidder to walk-away because of a target MAC. Target MAC conditions are key for bidders who want a walk-away right as protection against macroeconomic and company specific events that could affect the target. Bidder MAC conditions are predominantly found in agreed deals involving scrip consideration, as targets seek to protect the value of the consideration being offered to their shareholders. In 2012 bidder MAC conditions were used in 27% of all deals, and in 88% of agreed deals where scrip consideration was offered. One of the most heavily debated issues in any agreed transaction is the scope of the target MAC condition. Our analysis has allowed us to build a picture of the standard market practice for a target MAC condition. Inclusions Exclusions 52% Specifically referred to the effect of an event on a target’s “prospects” 94% Included forward-looking language 68% Included references to past events which subsequently became known to the bidder 71% Did not refer to effects which were specific to the target’s business 61% Included quantitative thresholds (such as EBITDA/net asset) 90% Did not exclude short-term effects 77% Did not exclude matters set out in a disclosure letter 52% 74% Excluded matters disclosed in information generally disclosed or discovered prior to signing 55% 61% 90% MAC condition in 2012 Contained an exception for changes in markets Contained an exception for general changes in economic conditions Did not contain an exception for natural disasters 55% The standard Target Excluded matters disclosed in due diligence information 52% Contained an exception for changes in law Did not provide that exceptions apply only where, or additional exception if, change disproportionately effects target compared with rest of industry 38 / 39 As MAC conditions become broader in scope, target boards need to consider carefully how observable the effects set out in a MAC condition are and how enforceable the clause is. It may be appropriate for a target board to test a MAC condition against something readily observable and within its control such as its management accounts, before agreeing to its terms. 6.6 DUE DILIGENCE CONDITIONS Due diligence conditions (making a bid conditional upon the target providing the bidder with due diligence information) were rarely used in 2012. They featured in only 5% of 2012 deals, a broadly similar picture to 2011. This is partly due to the high proportion of recommended deals, where the target usually allows due diligence as part of the negotiating process. Due diligence conditions are also a relatively unsophisticated way for bidders to deal with uncertainty about the value of the target. Taking advantage of increased shareholder activism will generally be a far more effective approach, because major shareholders are often able to put pressure on a company to co-operate with a bidder, including by providing a prospective bidder with access to due diligence. 6.7 REGULATORS CLAMP DOWN ON BROAD CONDITIONS As predicted, Australia’s regulators have issued several warnings this year that bidders and targets cannot rely on broadly drafted, vague or illusory conditions to walk away from announced deals. For more details, see Section 9. CONDITIONS WERE THE SUBJECT OF CLOSE SCRUTINY FROM REGULATORS 7. PRE-DEAL ARRANGEMENTS 7.1 MAJORITY OF BIDDERS HAVE AN INITIAL STAKE IN THE TARGET BIDDERS IN MORE THAN 80% OF OFF-MARKET TAKEOVERS STARTED WITH AN INITIAL STAKE Volatile market conditions in 2012 encouraged bidders to acquire an initial stake in the target before proceeding with a deal. In 2012 bidders had an initial stake in 61% of all deals and 89% of off-market takeovers. What is interesting is that the percentage of schemes where the bidder had an initial stake decreased in 2012 to 41% compared to 59% in 2011. This is probably due to a reduction in the number of joint bid schemes in which a bidder partnered with a major shareholder (see Section 5.5). Bidders are more likely to acquire an initial stake under a takeover bid than a scheme, and there is good reason for that. In a scheme, shares which are actually held by the bidder are effectively taken out of play in the sense that the bidder cannot vote on the scheme with the main body of shareholders. Consistent with what we saw in 2011, the most common initial stake for off-market takeovers was between 10.01% and 20%: 67% of off-market takeovers in 2012 had an initial stake of this size. Overall Off-market takeover Scheme 70% 67% 59% 60% 50% 40% 41% 39% 30% 23% 20% 15% 11% 10% 2% Size of pre-bid interest in target securities 0% No initial holding 17% 14% 6% 5% 2% 0% Less than 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% Between 5% and 10% Between 10.01% and 20% Between 20.01% and 50% Between 50.01% and 90% 40 / 41 There were no initial stakes between 5% and 10%. Together, these figures are consistent with bidders either wanting to remain below the 5% disclosure threshold or, once over that threshold, trying to obtain as large an interest as feasible under the 20% takeovers threshold. 7.2 FORM OF INITIAL STAKE As we predicted in THE REAL DEAL 2012 edition, there were a significant number of deals in 2012 where bidders had a pre-existing stake (not acquired in anticipation of the bid). This reflects the fact that many strategic shareholders considered it a good time to take the company private to pursue initiatives for growth without the pressure of shareholders focused on short-term returns. OUTRIGHT ACQUISITIONS NOW MORE POPULAR THAN PRE-BID ACCEPTANCE AGREEMENTS A pre-existing stake was the most common form a bidder’s initial interest in a target took in 2012 and was already in place before the bid was announced in 43% of off-market takeovers and 56% of schemes. Stakes acquired by bidders in anticipation of making a bid took different forms, depending on whether the bid was structured as a scheme or a takeover. In the case of takeovers, the most common form of pre-bid stake, other than a preexisting stake, was an unconditional outright acquisition. This is a significant change to what we saw in 2011, where pre-bid acceptance agreements were the most common way of acquiring a pre-bid stake for takeovers. In 2012 these stakes were acquired by strategic bidders which are more likely to be willing to hold a minority interest in the target should the takeover fail. Takeovers which were preceded by the outright acquisition of a significant stake included Dulux Group’s bid for Alesco Corporation and Drillsearch Energy’s bid for Acer Energy. A significant outright stake will be the most effective deterrent to competing offers. However, the outright acquisition of a stake will sometimes give the impression that the bidder needs to complete the takeover “at all costs”, which is a perception that the Dulux Group sought to refute, arguing that it would be happy to continue as a minority shareholder. 43% 45% 40% 35% 21% 30% 25% 20% 15% Pre-bids for off-market takeovers 10% 7% 7% Pre-bid acceptance On-market 7% 7% Conditional off-market Call option 7% 0% 5% 0% Unconditional off-market Pre-bid voting Pre-existing stake Joint bid arrangement 7. Pre-deal Arrangements VOTING INTENTION STATEMENTS MORE COMMON FOR SCHEMES IN 2012 For schemes, there was no clearly preferred form of pre-bid stake and there was a fairly even use of outright on-market acquisitions, unconditional off-market acquisitions and call option agreements. Call options continue to be used as a means of acquiring some level of control over a shareholder’s stake, particularly in the event of a competing offer, as they generally do not preclude the stake from being voted at the scheme meeting along with the general body of shareholders. While there were no voting agreements as such entered into between bidders and major shareholders in connection with schemes in 2012, it is becoming increasingly common for bidders to instead obtain voting intention statements from those shareholders. These statements were made by target shareholders (other than directors who would usually make such a statement in connection with their recommendation) in 36% of schemes (compared with only 14% in 2011) and in more than half of all schemes where the target had a 20% plus shareholder on the register. 56% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% Pre-scheme arrangements 10% 11% 22% 33% 11% 22% 22% 0% 0% Pre-bid acceptance On-market Unconditional off-market Conditional off-market Call option Pre-bid voting Pre-existing stake Joint bid arrangement In a somewhat unusual example, LionGold Corp obtained an approximate 15% pre-bid stake by way of an issue of shares by the target, Castlemaine Goldfields, which was announced contemporaneously with a recommended off-market takeover. Share issues are often thought of as something which can be used as a defensive mechanism to thwart a takeover, however, in this case the issue by the target to the bidder would have assisted the bidder and the prospects of the takeover by making it easier for it to reach the 90% compulsory acquisition threshold and deterring rival offers. 42 / 43 UPSIDE SHARING — KEEP IT SIMPLE Bidders and shareholders can agree a range of matters in relation to how the purchase price for a stake will be adjusted for changes in the bid price or rival offers and, in particular, the sharing of any upside associated with a higher rival offer, provided that the arrangements do not contravene the rule prohibiting bidders from giving shareholders the benefit of so-called “escalator” payments. In 2012, only 4 pre-bids, or 16% of all pre-bid arrangements, included mechanisms to share the value associated with higher offers between the bidder and the shareholder. These arrangements vary in complexity from quite simple to very complex. The high water mark in terms of complexity was probably the pre-bid call options entered into by Wesfarmers with Premier Investments Limited in connection with its bid for Coles in 2007. The options provided that the value associated with higher offers would be shared according to a complex formula in different ways depending upon the relevant circumstances. However, the clear trend is now for these arrangements to be kept very simple. The most common agreement is simply that the bidder must pass on a portion of any proceeds it receives on a subsequent sale of the stake. This is what PEP agreed with the Spotless shareholders with whom it entered into pre-bids. The proportion which is shared varies and is a matter for commercial negotiation. For example, PEP agreed to pass on all of the upside to the Spotless shareholders whereas Exxaro only agreed to pass on 50% of the upside to shareholders in African Iron Limited. 7.3 MINORITY TAKEOUTS Minority takeouts were again a key feature of the Australian M&A market in 2012. This was something which we identified as a trend in 2011 and which we predicted in THE REAL DEAL 2012 edition would continue. Examples in 2012 include Lion’s bid for Little World Beverages Limited in which it held a 36% stake, Whitehaven’s bid for Coalworks in which it had a 17% stake and ESK’s bid for National Can Industries in which it held a 71% stake. 35% 30% 29% 25% 20% 15% 15% 10% Proportion of all deals where bidder had a 5% 2% significant pre-existing stake 0% Pre-existing stake above 10% Pre-existing stake above 20% Pre-existing stake above 50% 7. Pre-deal Arrangements 7.4 IMPACT OF INITIAL STAKE ON DEAL SUCCESS Given the small number of deals in 2012 and the fact that all 3 deals which failed did so only because of a competing offer, it is difficult to draw any conclusions about the impact of an initial stake on the success of a deal. However, as in 2011, while pre-bid stakes demonstrate shareholder support for the transaction and build momentum for a deal, they had no positive effect on a bidder’s chances of getting an initial recommendation from the target board. With pre-bid stake 67% Without pre-bid stake 76% Proportion of deals with pre-bids which had an initial recommendation 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Having said that, the average time to complete a deal after announcement was shorter for those deals where the bidder had an initial stake, which does suggest that an initial stake may help close the deal more quickly. This average is even lower if the outlying bid by Dulux for Alesco, which took a marathon 263 days to complete, is removed from the average. Conversely, the prolonged bid for Alesco illustrates well the fact that a 20% pre-bid stake is not going to be the silver bullet that will get the deal across the line where the offer price is not viewed by shareholders as sufficient. The pre-bid is more often a defensive, rather than an offensive, tool. 44 / 45 7.5 JOINT BID ARRANGEMENTS As noted in Section 4.5 there were 6 deals in 2012 which involved “joint proposals”. Of those, 3 involved a partnering with a major shareholder: the bids for Discovery Metals, Charter Hall and Talent2. Only the bid for Talent2 involved a shareholder with a stake above 20%. In Talent2, the joint bidders elected to seek shareholder approval for the arrangements which were agreed under a joint bidding agreement. They also obtained from ASIC an extension of the period for which they could restrict disposal before obtaining that approval from a 3 month period to 4 months to allow time to complete the steps required to be taken before the scheme meeting. The parties elected to seek shareholder approval and an extension of the lockup period instead of joint bid relief which would seem to have been available in this case. ASIC’s extension of the 3 month period to accommodate the scheme process may well encourage other joint bidders to take this route where joint bid relief would impose conditions not acceptable to the parties. See Section 10.2 for a summary of the proposed changes to ASIC’s policy on joint bids. ASIC EXTENDS 3 MONTH LOCK-UP PERIOD FOR JOINT BIDDERS 8. DEAL PROTECTION MECHANISMS Deal protection mechanisms can work to the advantage of both bidders and targets. They help to protect the bidder from being used as a stalking horse whose bid simply puts the target in play. The bidder doesn’t want its offer to be easily topped by a marginally higher price offered by an interloper who is comfortable piggybacking on the first buyer’s due diligence and implementation agreement negotiations. Deal protections help ensure a higher degree of closing certainty for a deal that the target board has recommended to its shareholders. By enhancing closing certainty they can also help protect the target. If properly negotiated, deal protections can (and should) be used to help the target exact the best available purchase price and overall deal terms from the buyer. There is typically a correlation between the strength of the deal protection package that is negotiated and ultimately agreed to, and the target’s process that led to signing the merger agreement. Generally, the more comprehensive the pre-signing market check is, in both depth and duration, and the higher the deal premium is, the more likely the target will agree to a robust package of deal protections. 8.1 BREAK FEES 81% OF DEALS HAD A BREAK FEE PAYABLE BY THE TARGET Break fees featured in 81% of deals in 2012, which is in line with 2011 numbers. Break fees are now a generally accepted practice in Australia, which is in contrast to the position in the UK. In the UK, there is now considerable caution around the use of break fee clauses for two reasons: firstly, in September 2011, the UK Takeovers Panel introduced provisions which generally prohibit break fees (except where agreed with a “white knight” or following a formal sale process). Further, in March 2012, the UK High Court ruled that a break fee was unlawful because it involved the target giving the bidder financial assistance to acquire shares in itself. The Court found that because the break fee in question “smoothed the path” towards the acquisition, it was financial assistance, even though the bidder did not ultimately acquire any shares in the target. 46 / 47 71% OF BREAK FEES WERE SET AT OR AROUND 1% OF DEAL VALUE Australia’s regulation of financial assistance differs in some respects from the UK, but it’s not impossible that an Australian court could make a similar finding. In Australia, the statutory test is whether giving the financial assistance materially prejudices the interests of the company or its shareholders or the company’s ability to pay its debts. A very large break fee may well have such an effect and could therefore be unlawful. Accordingly, parties negotiating a break fee clause need to evaluate its effect on the company or its shareholders or its ability to repay debt. Equally importantly, they need to take account of the Takeover’s Panel’s guidance that break fees should not usually exceed 1% of the deal value. The high degree of conformity with this policy is reflected in the fact that 71% of deals in 2012 with a target break fee had a break fee at or around 1% of deal value, 21% had a break fee below this range and only 8% had a break fee above this range. 2.00% 1.80% 1.60% 1.40% 1.20% 71% OF BREAK FEES 1.00% 0.80% 0.60% 0.40% Target break fee size 0.20% as percentage of transaction value 0.00% Deals where break fee agreed 8. DEAL PROTECTION MECHANISMS 8.2 BREAK FEE TRIGGERS In 2012, we saw target boards negotiate for a high number of exceptions to their obligation to pay the bidder a break fee. As the graph below demonstrates, a number of these triggers and exceptions have become market standard, appearing in all, or close to all, break fee provisions in implementation agreements. Triggers Exceptions 33% Superior proposal recommended/completed 95% Any competing proposal completes within period Change of director recommendation 92% Material breach by target 92% 42% Breach by target of warranties/POs 100% Conditions become incapable of satisfaction 100% Scheme becomes effective 75% Target break fee triggers/exceptions 89% Bidder MAC Bidder material breach 8.3 REVERSE BREAK FEES 45% OF DEALS HAD A BREAK FEE PAYABLE BY THE BIDDER The use of reverse break fees has increased in recent years. 36% of 2011 deals included break fees payable by bidders; in 2012 this figure increased to 45%. This increase is likely attributable to the increased conditionality of deals and, in particular, the use of regulatory and financing conditions which the bidder is responsible for satisfying and which carry a higher risk of not being satisfied. 48 / 49 90% 80% 81% 70% 60% 45% 50% 45% 40% Proportion of agreed deals where break fee 19% 30% 20% 10% payable 0% Target break fee Bidder break fee Both target/bidder break fees None Interestingly, reverse break fees for second movers are generally far more onerous than the terms which applied to the first mover. For example, Chengdu Tianqi agreed to pay Talison a break fee of C$25 million if it failed to pay Talison’s shareholders the scheme consideration or secure funding for the bid. The first mover for Talison, Rockwood Holdings, did not agree to any similar fee. This agreement is particularly interesting because the maximum break fee payable by Talison to Chengdu Tianqi was only C$8.4 million. 8.4 EXCLUSIVITY PROVISIONS EXCLUSIVITY PROVISIONS NOW MARKET PRACTICE IN AGREED DEALS In the current market environment, there are not a lot of potential bidders with the confidence to make a first move. For those that do, exclusivity provisions are an important reward. In 2012, exclusivity provisions such as no shop, no talk and notification and matching rights for competing proposals were almost a given in recommended deals. These provisions featured in 92% of deals where there was a target break fee, and in 87% of recommended deals overall. REVERSE BREAK FEES USED TO ADDRESS BIDDER FUNDING OR REGULATORY RISK 8. DEAL PROTECTION MECHANISMS 90% 87% 87% 85% 80% 74% 75% 70% Exclusivity in agreed deals 65% No shop No talk No due diligence In 83% of agreed deals the target was required to notify the bidder of a competing proposal. 75% of agreed deals then gave the bidder an express right to match the competing proposal. 90% 80% 76% 83% 70% 60% 50% 32% 40% 30% 43% 20% Notification and 10% matching rights 0% 0% Ability to terminate where superior proposal Notification right Matching rights – 3 or less days Matching rights – 4 or 5 days Matching rights – greater than 5 days A breach of exclusivity provisions by the target generally allows the bidder to terminate the arrangements and be paid the break fee (if one has been agreed). Where there is no break fee, the bidder would have to sue for damages for breach of contract. Before a target can be released from the various no talk and similar restrictions it has agreed to, the bidder will usually require that there is a rival proposal on the table. In 88% of deals with those restrictions, a rival proposal was required that must be superior to the first bidder’s (or be reasonably expected to lead to a superior proposal). In the remainder of those deals, the target board secured a general fiduciary duties exception to its exclusivity obligations. 50 / 51 A “superior proposal” was defined with varying degrees of specificity for the purpose of these agreements. 55% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 19% 10% 13% 10% Definition of “superior proposal” 0% 0% Requirement for funding certainty Requirement for closing certainty Requirement that be “financially superior” Must be breach of duties to not respond Proposal must not be subject to due diligence 8.5 CHANGE IN TARGET DIRECTOR’S RECOMMENDATION In 82% of agreed deals, target directors could only change their recommendation in limited circumstances. As with 2011, the most common circumstance (in 78% of agreed deals) was the existence of a superior proposal. In past years, there has been a trend for target directors to seek a general fiduciary duty carve-out to their obligation to recommend a transaction to their shareholders. While this trend was still evident in 2012, it is clear this is not yet market standard and is still subject to negotiation between bidder and target. Only 24% of agreed deals where directors could only change their recommendation in limited circumstances included a general fiduciary duty carve-out to the target directors’ obligation to recommend the transaction. 80% 100% 80% 68% 60% Reasons for changing recommendation where 40% 24% 20% change permitted in limited circumstances 0% 0% General fiduciary exception With superior proposal If independent expert concludes not in best interests Otherwise where specified intervening event 9. DAMAGES AND LIABILITY 9.1 CONDUCT OF BUSINESS AND ACCESS TO TARGET BUSINESS ALL IMPLEMENTATION AGREEMENTS CONTAIN BROAD CONDUCT OF BUSINESS RESTRICTIONS Bidders often put restrictions on how a target can conduct its business during the bid period. All 2012 deals which had an implementation agreement included conduct of business restrictions which extended beyond the basic undertakings not to allow a prescribed occurrence to occur and to conduct the business in the ordinary course. This is markedly different to the practice in 2011: then, almost half of the implementation agreements had only the basic undertakings, and many had no contractual restriction at all (although there may have been a prescribed occurrence condition). Implementation agreements were also used by bidders to get access to target information, even before there was certainty that the deal would complete. 77% of implementation agreements gave the bidder the specific right to access target information and/or personnel for integration purposes before the scheme became effective or the takeover completed. 9.2 TERMINATION RIGHTS Termination rights are a feature of scheme implementation agreements rather than takeover bids. That’s because, once a takeover is proposed by a bidder, the bidder is obliged by law to proceed with the takeover and make the offer available to shareholders. The termination rights included in implementation agreements in 2012 were relatively standard: the target board qualifying its support, a material breach of the agreement, a material adverse change or prescribed occurrence, non-satisfaction of defeating conditions and non-completion of the deal by the sunset date. More interesting or unusual termination rights which were agreed are described below. DirectCash Payments’ bid for Customers Limited was structured as a scheme. However, the parties agreed that DirectCash Payments could elect to abandon the scheme and instead make a takeover offer on the same terms as a competing bidder if such a takeover were announced. 52 / 53 In 2011, we saw that implementation agreements increasingly incorporated elements found in private M&A. An example of this is in 2012 was the agreed merger between Nabi Biopharmaceuticals and Biota Holdings. The implementation agreement for that deal included a long list of warranties usually only sought in private deals. While it is difficult in practice to agree post-completion purchase price adjustments similar to those which might be seen in private M&A, the parties did agree termination rights which would arise where the closing net cash balance or other similar metrics were below a threshold amount. The most unusual termination right was that agreed for the benefit of Sundance Resources as part of a revised deal with Hanlong Mining at a reduced offer price following the bidder’s failure to obtain certain Chinese regulatory approvals in respect of the initial deal. The right allowed Sundance to terminate the agreement in the event that Hanlong sought to further reduce the offer price. This right is clearly something which was unique to this particular deal. It would provide Sundance with a greater range of options should any other approvals not be obtained or only obtained subject to conditions which required the offer price to be reduced. 9.3 DAMAGES — LIMITED TO BREAK FEE TARGETS ARE CAPPING LIABILITY TO AMOUNT OF BREAK FEE IN TWICE AS MANY CASES There was a significant increase in 2012 in the practice of capping a target’s liability for breaching the implementation agreement. In two-thirds of all 2012 deals which included a target break fee, the target’s liability for damages for breach was limited to the break fee. The proportion of deals with such a cap has nearly doubled since 2011. This reflects a higher level of conservatism and the fact that targets are insisting that the risks of doing deals need to be minimised to the greatest extent possible. However, consistently with what we saw in 2011, around 20% of all agreed caps were subject to exceptions such as wilful breach by a target or breach by a target of its exclusivity obligations to the bidder. A bidder does not have any direct liability to target shareholders under a scheme of arrangement before the scheme becomes effective. In 2010 and 2011 a small number of implementation agreements for deals by way of scheme sought to make the bidder liable to shareholders in broadly the same way that a bidder would be liable to shareholders under the takeover laws in relation to a takeover bid if the bid did not proceed on the same terms and conditions as announced. None of the surveyed schemes in 2012 had these provisions. This type of provision is still very unusual and would probably only be accepted by bidders in exceptional circumstances, such as deals where there are good prospects of a competitive process. 9. DAMAGES AND LIABILITY 62 % PROPORTION OF DEALS WITH TARGET BREAK FEE WHERE LIABILITY LIMITED TO THAT FEE NO LONGER UNCOMMON TO CAP LIABILITY AT BREAK FEE BUT EXCEPTIONS ARE INCREASINGLY NEGOTIATED 20 % PROPORTION OF THOSE DEALS WITH EXCEPTION TO THE CAP 54 / 55 10. REGULATORY ISSUES 10.1 FIRB Australia’s Foreign Investment Review Board (FIRB) administers the legislation and policy which governs foreign investment in Australia. As part of this role, it advises the Treasurer on whether he should exercise his power to block a foreign investment proposal on the grounds that it is contrary to Australia’s national interest. In April 2012, Brian Wilson was appointed as the new chair of FIRB. With his investment banking background, Mr Wilson is expected to take a commercial approach to foreign investment proposals. There were further movements in personnel in October 2012 when former Australian Tax Office Commissioner Michael D’Ascenzo joined FIRB as a nonexecutive member. Given Mr D’Ascenzo’s background, we expect FIRB will be closely scrutinising the tax revenue impact of foreign investment proposals in 2013, making it critical for foreign bidders to address this point in their submissions to FIRB. There was increasing pressure in 2012 from politicians and media commentators for FIRB to make its decision-making process more transparent. While we have seen FIRB take some measures on this front, including holding a series of briefing sessions for lawyers, investment bankers and other advisers to familiarise them with their approach, it has yet to provide any real insight into how and why it has reached its decisions on proposals involving acquisitions of Australian companies. CONDITIONS IMPOSED TO PROTECT NATIONAL INTEREST FIRB CONDITIONS The Treasurer can impose conditions and accept undertakings when granting approval for a foreign takeover. Most approvals are granted without any conditions. Where conditions are imposed, they most commonly relate to: >> the future location of the target company’s headquarters and key management. >> commodity sales and marketing arrangements. >> continuity and operation of business. Conditions requiring divestments of assets and re-listing (on ASX) of assets or the target entity have also been imposed in the past. 10. REGULATORY ISSUES In 2012, conditions were imposed in two high-profile deals: 1. Yancoal Australia Limited was given approval to merge with Gloucester Coal Limited, in what was the biggest investment by a Chinese state-owned enterprise in Australia’s coal industry. The approval was subject to a number of conditions. These required Yancoal and its parent company, Yanzhou Coal Mining Company Limited, to: >> list on the ASX by the end of 2012 and reduce the ownership of Yanzhou below 70% by the end of 2013. >> m arket coal produced at their Australian mines on arms-length terms with reference to international benchmarks and in line with market practices. >> o perate Yancoal as an Australian incorporated and headquartered company managed in Australia using a predominantly Australian management and sales team. 2. Shandong RuYi Scientific & Technological Group Co. Ltd and Lempriere Pty Ltd were given approval to jointly acquire the assets of Queensland’s Cubbie Station, Australia’s largest cotton grower and holder of water licences. In order to obtain FIRB approval, RuYi undertook to: >> s ell down its interest in Cubbie from 80% to 51% to an independent third party (or parties) within three years of completing the proposed acquisition, and investigate the possibility of publicly listing Cubbie in order to achieve this sell down. >> e nsure that its board representation remained no more than proportionate to its shareholding following the sell down. Both acquirers also gave a number of further undertakings in relation to employees marketing arrangements, corporate governance and water usage. FIRB CONDITIONS REQUIRED CHINESE ACQUIRERS TO REDUCE INTEREST IN TARGET OVER TIME 56 / 57 AGRICULTURAL INVESTMENTS There were some mixed messages in 2012 for foreigners interested in acquiring agricultural assets in Australia. On the one hand, the Federal Government released two policy papers which are strongly pro-foreign investment: the Australia in the Asian Century White Paper states that “Maintaining Australia’s reputation as an attractive place to invest is crucial to our future. We will ensure that Australia remains open for investment from across the region and the globe.” The Government’s Green Paper on Australia’s National Food Plan expressed similar sentiments in the context of agricultural investment. On the other hand, the sale of Queensland’s Cubbie station (described above) generated plenty of mainstream media attention. A Senate Committee has been conducting an inquiry into a number of issues relating to FIRB, including: >> h ow the national interest test was applied to purchases of Australian agricultural land and agri-businesses by foreign acquirers in the past year >> the role of the Government and regulators in upholding the national interest test >> the global food task and Australia’s food security in the context of sovereignty >> the role of the foreign sovereign funds in acquiring Australian sovereign assets >> h ow similar national interest tests are applied to the purchase of agricultural land and agri-businesses in countries comparable to Australia In November 2012 the Committee released an interim report. The interim report was primarily focused on preventing tax revenue leakage and market distortions relating to foreign investments and acquisitions in the agricultural sector. Based on transcripts from the Committee’s hearings, we expect that the final report will contain broader recommendations for reform in foreign investment. A number of members of the Committee are clearly concerned about the high number of applications approved unconditionally and, where conditions are imposed, alleged failures to comply with such conditions. We expect the Committee will make a number of recommendations designed to make the application procedure a more rigorous process. Just how the Committee’s recommendations are dealt with from there remains to be seen: with 2013 a federal election year, we expect foreign investment to be a hot topic of debate. In the meantime, market participants in this sector need to carefully think through their regulatory engagement strategy. 10.2 ACCC ONLY 2 SURVEYED DEALS HAD AN ACCC CONDITION The Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) is responsible for considering whether a particular acquisition raises competition concerns in Australian markets. The legal test is whether the merger will be “likely” to have the effect of substantially lessening competition in any Australian market. The role of the ACCC is not to “approve” a merger but rather to decide whether or not to oppose the transaction, after conducting a public pre-closing review. If the ACCC finds concerns, it may commence Federal Court proceedings to block the transaction, unless the parties negotiate remedies which are acceptable to the ACCC. 10. REGULATORY ISSUES ACCC’S REVIEW OF SURVEYED DEALS IN 2012 Only two surveyed deals in 2012 included an ACCC condition, compared with 9 deals in 2011. The ACCC gave informal clearance for both deals. The ACCC also conducted an informal review and confirmed it had no objections in respect of one additional surveyed deal in 2012 which was not subject to an ACCC condition, News Corporation’s acquisition of Consolidated Media Holdings Limited. The ACCC did not issue a statement of issues in respect of any surveyed deals in 2012 (although it did issue a statement of issues in respect of a hypothetical proposal for Seven Group Holdings to acquire 100% of Consolidated Media Holdings). THE ACCC’S RECENT APPROACH TO MERGERS In confirming the ACCC’s commitment to ensuring that mergers do not result in structural changes leading to a substantial lessening of competition, the Chairman of the ACCC has stated that the ACCC will closely scrutinise mergers in concentrated markets, particularly when a merger reduces the number of key players in a market from three to two. This is because with only two principal players remaining in a market, each will learn to anticipate the actions and reactions of the other. In these circumstances, the ability of the two remaining firms to raise prices or reduce quality for consumers generally increases. The ACCC has also focused on preventing “creeping” or incremental acquisitions in the grocery, home improvement, liquor and petrol sectors (which are regarded as relatively concentrated). In 2012, the ACCC opposed a number of small acquisitions on the grounds that they had the potential to substantially lessen competition at a local level. The ACCC has acknowledged calls for increased transparency from, and engagement with, the ACCC during the course of merger reviews, and has continued to improve its processes in this area. However, the ACCC has noted that such measures may affect the length of time taken by the ACCC to complete its merger reviews. In 2013, the ACCC will review the Informal Merger Process Guidelines which govern the clearance process and information requirements of parties. During 2011/12, 250 of the 340 matters considered by the ACCC were cleared without public review on the basis that the “substantial lessening of competition” risk was considered low. As a result, 87% of the matters considered by the ACCC were completed in 8 weeks or less. MATTERS OF INTEREST ACQUISITION BY APA OF HASTINGS DIVERSIFIED UTILITIES FUND The ACCC did not oppose the proposed acquisition by APA Group of Hastings Diversified Utilities Fund (HDF) after accepting an undertaking from APA to divest the Moomba to Adelaide Pipeline System. Before reaching this conclusion, the ACCC consulted extensively on the proposed acquisition, with a strong focus on the extent to which APA and Epic Energy Pty Ltd (a wholly-owned subsidiary of HDF) imposed competitive constraints upon each other. The ACCC examined whether the proposed acquisition would be likely to result in higher prices for the transportation of gas or more costly or difficult developments of new pipelines. It ultimately decided that the divestiture of the pipeline addressed the primary competition concerns by ensuring that there is a separate owner of gas pipelines servicing Adelaide and Moomba. 58 / 59 SEVEN GROUP HOLDINGS PROPOSED ACQUISITION OF CONSOLIDATED MEDIA HOLDINGS LTD The ACCC opposed a proposed acquisition that would give Seven Group Holdings a 100% interest in Consolidated Media Holdings Ltd, because it was concerned that the transaction would result in a “substantial lessening of competition in the market for free to air television services”. Rod Sims noted that Seven Network would gain an “advantage over other free to air networks in relation to joint bids and other commercial arrangements with Fox Sports for the acquisition of sports rights.” The ACCC considered that access to premium sporting content is vital to the ability of free-to-air networks to compete strongly, and that the proposed acquisition would significantly reduce the ability of Seven’s competitors to acquire such content. 10.3 MEDIA OWNERSHIP PROPOSALS The regulation of the media sector was a key issue in 2012 as the findings of the Convergence Review Committee, commissioned to examine the policy and regulatory frameworks that apply to the converged media and communications landscape in Australia, were released. The Convergence Review Final Report recommended significant and broad reaching reforms and, in particular, an overhaul of Australia’s media ownership rules. Specifically, the Convergence Review Final Report recommended: >> t he removal of a number of statutory control and media diversity rules that currently apply under the Broadcasting Services Act 1992 (Cth); >> the introduction of: >> a ‘minimum number of owners’ rule; and >> a public interest test, to be administered by a new regulator that will replace the Australian Communications and Media Authority. PROPOSED MEDIA REFORMS TO CREATE NEW M&A OPPORTUNITIES Following the release of these recommendations, the Federal Government’s response to the Convergence Review Final Report was keenly anticipated. A part response to the numerous recommendations was released on 30 November 2012, in the form of a package of proposed reforms. The package dealt with issues as such television broadcasting licence fees, Australian content requirements and the removal of one statutory control rule (the 75% audience reach rule). However the Federal Government is yet to respond on the balance of the media ownership recommendations, including the controversial public interest test. The Federal Government has indicated further announcements will be made in 2013. The proposed reforms already on the table will likely facilitate M&A transactions which are not currently possible, such as mergers of regional and metropolitan broadcasters. 11. THE TAKEOVERS REGULATORS 11.1 BACKGROUND The three key enforcers of Australian takeovers law are ASIC, the Takeovers Panel and the Courts. ASIC is the corporate regulator, responsible for policing the law and, where necessary, modifying the law as it applies to both individual takeovers and takeovers in general. Because of its policing function, ASIC’s policy and interpretations of the law (called “Regulatory Guides”) are almost treated as de facto statements of law by takeovers planners. ASIC cannot impose sanctions for breaches of the law. Rather, it can act against alleged breaches by commencing enforcement proceedings before either the Takeovers Panel or the Courts. The Takeovers Panel is a tribunal which has a wide brief to enforce the policy underlying the law. This means that the Panel can make orders against conduct that, although legal, is “unacceptable”. Although ASIC has the power to bring proceedings in the Panel, most applications are made by private parties (such as bidders, target companies and target shareholders). The Panel also issues “Guidance Notes”. These are statements of how the Panel views the acceptability (or otherwise) of various market practices. “Guidance Notes” are not law, but do provide useful rules of thumb when planning takeovers or takeover defences. The Courts have a dual role in takeovers. They can rule on alleged breaches of the law governing takeover bids. They also have a specialist supervisory role in relation to schemes of arrangement. 60 / 61 11.2 ASIC IN 2012 PROPOSALS TO TREASURY TAKEOVER REFORMS NOW BEING CONSIDERED BY TREASURY One of the most significant moves that ASIC made in the takeovers space in 2012 was to raise a number of reform proposals to fix what ASIC perceived to be failings in the current regime. Treasury has now released an initial scoping paper in respect of those proposals. The areas identified for reform are: >> C reeping acquisitions: The creep exception to the 20% takeover threshold allows a shareholder to increase its shareholding above the 20% threshold by 3% every 6 months. ASIC believes this exception is contrary to the spirit of the takeover laws because it allows a shareholder to acquire a controlling stake without making a formal takeover bid, avoiding having to pay a full control premium, without all shareholders having an equal opportunity to participate in the transaction and without the target having the opportunity to respond. However, there is no real evidence that this exception has in the past been used to allow a surreptitious acquisition of control in circumstances where the market remains in the dark as to the ability of the shareholder to creep. Acquiring control using the creep exception is a very slow process – it takes over 5 years to move from 20% to 50% relying only on the creep exception. And each 1% acquired by the shareholder needs to be disclosed to the market. If the exception is being used in this way, it will be very clear to the market what is happening, allowing the target to advise its shareholders as it considers appropriate, and the market can take this into account in pricing the shares available for sale. In the absence of compelling evidence that the creep exception is being used to avoid the general intent of the takeover laws, we believe it should be retained as a useful and important exception to the 20% threshold which supports efficient capital markets and promotes greater liquidity for companies that have major shareholders. >> E quity derivatives: It is proposed that equity derivatives which don’t otherwise give rise to a relevant interest (for example, because they are compulsorily cash settled), should be disclosed under the substantial holding provisions of the Corporations Act. The current practice is based on Takeovers Panel guidance and requires disclosure of such equity derivatives where they are entered into by a person who has a control purpose. The real issue for consideration therefore is whether this guidance needs to be taken further and made part of the law. If it is made part of the law, it may be that the control purpose qualification to the Panel’s guidance will be forgone, on the basis that it is too vague and uncertain a concept to have in what is otherwise a black letter law disclosure obligation. >> C larity of takeovers proposals: While the press reported that the Chairman of ASIC was pushing for the introduction of a UK-style “put up or shut up” rule, the issues identified by Treasury fall somewhat short of suggesting that such a rule might be desirable. Instead, Treasury is focusing on the issues caused by the current market practice of bidders delivering indicative, non-binding and highly conditional takeover proposals to targets, forcing their public disclosure and thereby engaging the target in a bear hug. The concerns here are based on the effect of these proposals on market integrity and focus on 2 issues: the vague, highly conditional and non-binding nature of such proposals, with the bidder having no obligation or timeframe within which to proceed with an offer; and the public disclosure of these proposals, which may apply inappropriate pressure to the parties in dealing with and responding to the proposal and fuel speculative trading in the target’s shares. For further discussion on the merits of this proposal, see Section 3.5. 11. THE TAKEOVERS REGULATORS >> A ssociations: Treasury has put on the table an issue which the Takeovers Panel has been wrestling with for some time now – the difficulty in proving whether an association exists where the evidence is merely circumstantial. If the association rules cannot be effectively enforced, the concern is that shareholders who individually hold less than 20% of a company will be able together to exert control over the company in breach of the takeover laws. There is no suggestion that the current laws which define when an association exists are inadequate. Accordingly, any fix is likely to centre around the test for proving the existence of an association and will perhaps see the proposal of a rebuttable presumption or some other reversal of the onus of proof if circumstantial evidence points to the existence of an association. >> Impact of new media: ASIC and ASX are concerned about the ability of listed companies to properly manage their continuous disclosure obligations given the increasing number of media channels through which rumours can now be spread. It is not clear whether any law reform proposals will be necessary to address this concern, and it is certainly not clear whether any law reform is even capable of doing so. ASIC UPDATES OLD TAKEOVERS POLICIES, MAKES A FEW POLICY TWEAKS AND FORMALISES EXISTING POLICY UPDATE TO TAKEOVERS POLICY ASIC continued to update and revise policies relevant to takeovers in 2012. It released a suite of draft regulatory guides which updates some very old policies, tweaked its policy in a number of places and otherwise regularised existing de facto policy or recognised Takeovers Panel policy. The main points are: >> S ubstantial holding notices: The proposed new policy now includes a detailed guide on how to complete substantial holding notices. Importantly, it also includes a warning against trying to avoid disclosure by entering into broad heads of agreement or preliminary agreements which trigger the disclosure requirement before later entering into documents containing the substantive terms of the transaction which are not then disclosed to the market. >> U nderwriting exception: The new policy, reflecting a slew of Takeovers Panel decisions, includes an increased emphasis on the unacceptable use of the underwriting exemptions to change the control of a company. It also states that arrangements that depend on sub-underwriting (where default by a sub-underwriter relieves the underwriter of its obligations), or are subject to termination events within the underwriter’s control are not considered to be “underwriting” for the purposes of the exception. >> C ollateral benefits: It can sometimes be very difficult to determine whether a side-deal between a bidder and a target shareholder has resulted in the target shareholder’s receiving a prohibited collateral benefit. ASIC’s draft policy focuses on whether the benefit is “likely to induce” the recipient or an associate to accept the bid or dispose of target securities, and sets out a “balance of factors” approach which it will take. Importantly, there is no reference to the “net benefits” test which the Takeovers Panel applies and ASIC has previously endorsed. The “balance of factors” approach to the test of inducement will in practice be wider than the “net benefits” test. >> B id funding: The new policy on funding continues and fleshes out ASIC’s existing policy of requiring extensive disclosure of the bidder’s funding arrangements. However, it also picks up and expands upon the Panel’s insistence that bidders should have a reasonable expectation that they will have sufficient funds to pay for acceptances. 62 / 63 >> A cceptance facilities: The new policy proposals formally recognise the role played by acceptance facilities in modern bids and proposes to grant standing technical relief to facilitate acceptance facilities but only if the facility is open to either all shareholders or only to institutions which are actually restricted by their investment mandate from accepting a conditional bid – a very narrow class. Given the narrow category of institutions to which the policy will apply, it may be that this proposal will cause bidders to consider extending acceptance facilities (where they are used) to all shareholders (rather than a narrow class of institutions), as was the case in the bids this year for Thakral and Alesco. >> J oint bids: Two of the key changes proposed in relation to joint bids (ie. situations in which joint bidders together control more than 20% of the target before the bid has even begun) reflect existing ASIC practice. ASIC will formally drop the “match or accept any higher bid” requirement where one of two joint bidders starts off with less than 3% and will extend its joint bid policy to schemes. However, ASIC has for the first time proposed that new conditions will apply in relation to joint scheme bids. ASIC proposes that joint bidders and their associates should not vote against a higher rival scheme even where the rival scheme will not be unconditional at the time of the vote. This proposal, like the “match or accept” requirement, will not apply where one of the two bidders starts off with less than 3%. 11.3 THE TAKEOVERS PANEL MARKET INTEGRITY A KEY FOCUS FOR THE PANEL As predicted in THE REAL DEAL 2012 edition, the Takeovers Panel has continued to emphasise the importance of market integrity in its regulation of takeover bids. In 2012, we have seen the Panel do so in the context of its consideration of bid conditions and the Truth in Takeovers policy. WHEN CAN BID CONDITIONS BE RELIED ON? The Panel has always been concerned about defeating conditions that are too easily triggered. This concern reflects and expands upon the statutory policy that bids cannot be subject to conditions that are under the bidder’s control. The concern is that these conditions can effectively give the bidder a “free option” as to whether to proceed. In 2012, this issue first arose in the strange case of Elena Nikolayevna Egorova and Flinders Mines. Ms Egorova owned a very small parcel of shares in Magnitogorsk Iron and Steel Works (MMK). When MMK agreed on a merger with Flinders Mines, under which it would acquire Flinders, Ms Egorova obtained an interim injunction from a Russian Court to prevent MMK’s proceeding with the deal. The merger was conditional upon there being no court orders which would prevent the consummation of the deal. Accordingly, Flinders and MMK announced that the merger would be terminated. 11. THE TAKEOVERS REGULATORS A Flinders shareholder asked the Panel to order Flinders and the Russians to proceed with the scheme, on the basis that: >> Ms Egorova didn’t exist; or >> e ven if she existed, “it was not in the public interest or conducive to takeover efficiency that a small shareholder with poor information could block a mutually agreed and highly beneficial transaction between two parties”. The Panel was not convinced that Ms Egorova didn’t exist. However, even if she didn’t, it was unwilling to force the parties to override a defeating condition that had been freely agreed to and publicly disclosed. Despite this, it issued a warning to other target boards about defeating conditions that are too easily triggered: “[The defeating condition] is drafted broadly, and catches injunctions in foreign jurisdictions that may be made on grounds that would not be recognised as appropriate in this jurisdiction. With the benefit of this experience, it may be wise for target directors in future to consider very carefully the drafting of these conditions”. This warning is of more than theoretical interest, given the high number of foreign bids for Australian companies (see Section 3.2). However, our analysis of the terms of deals announced following this decision shows that there has in general been no change in the approach of targets in agreeing to these types of “no restraint” conditions. These conditions were just as common in agreed deals with foreign bidders after the decision as before and the drafting of the condition has remained relatively standard. Having said that, the scheme bid by Rockwood Holdings for Talison Lithium provides at least one example following this decision where the target managed to negotiate an implementation agreement with a foreign bidder which was not subject to any “no restraint” condition. The broader concern – that defeating conditions may be too easily triggered – is relevant to all takeovers no matter where they originate, as the Austock Group case illustrates. VAGUE, UNCERTAIN OR ILLUSORY CONDITIONS WILL NOT BE ACCEPTABLE Although it was not central to its decision, the Panel took the opportunity of a challenge to Mariner’s cash bid for Austock to comment on Mariner’s defeating conditions. The Panel had some concerns about the conditions to Mariner’s bid: >> a requirement that Mariner obtain any necessary approval from its own shareholders under ASX rules – the Panel was concerned because this did not specify what might need approval; >> a requirement that the net tangible assets per share of Austock not rise or fall more than 10% – the Panel did not think that a rise in the target’s NTA was an appropriate defeating condition; >> a requirement that Austock not acquire or dispose of any assets or business, or change the composition of its capital – although the heading to this condition did contain a reference to materiality, the Panel was concerned that a lack of a reference to materiality in the condition itself might make it an inappropriate hair trigger condition. 64 / 65 TRUTH IN TAKEOVERS ASIC’s Truth in Takeovers policy was an issue in two bids in 2012: the FLSmidth scheme bid for Ludowici and Dulux’s hostile bid for Alesco. In a nutshell, the Truth in Takeovers policy is that a bidder (or other player) should not be allowed to change its mind after making a public statement of its “last and final” intentions in relation to a bid. The Ludowici scheme confirmed two important aspects of Truth in Takeovers: >> it is applicable to scheme bids as well as to Chapter 6 takeovers; >> it applies to statements attributed to the bidder (or target), even if they are misquoted and even if published outside Australia (Ludowici Limited [2012] ATP 3). The former point should not be surprising: Truth in Takeovers is based on Section 1041H of the Corporations Act, which prohibits misleading conduct in relation to securities. Its logic is, therefore, as applicable to schemes as to Chapter 6 bids, even though the different structures may mean that the policy is triggered by different actions. The latter point requires expansion. Ludowici shows that there are two essential requirements before Truth in Takeovers will apply to foreign misquotations of statements by a bidder or target. The first is that the misquotation must be published in a place where it is accessible to the target shareholders; in Ludowici, this was satisfied by the fact that the misquotation appeared in an international news service which was available to Australian investors and advisers. TRUTH IN TAKEOVERS IS A KEY POLICY FOR MAINTAINING MARKET INTEGRITY The second is that the misquoted bidder or target is only expected to correct the misstatement promptly once it becomes aware of it. The Panel decision was criticised by some in the market as diverging from ASIC policy on one important issue: the appropriate remedy for a breach of the policy. In Ludowici, as it had done in relation to the 2007 CEMEX bid for Rinker, the Panel allowed a bidder to depart from the purported last and final statement on condition that it compensated those who had incurred a loss by relying on the statement. This is in contrast to ASIC’s belief that: “A bidder cannot depart from a no increase statement, even if it compensates those who have sold on-market, or accepted into a market bid or competing bid.” (Regulatory Guide 25) If you look at the basis for the Panel’s decision, it is apparent that it is not actually inconsistent with ASIC’s policy. This was not a case were the bidder had made a statement with the intention of attracting the Truth in Takeovers policy. Rather, this was a case of a bidder failing to correct a statement made by a third party. It was for that reason that the Panel decided a compensation order was appropriate. The purpose of the Truth in Takeovers Policy is to protect market integrity, not to deprive shareholders of the opportunity to receive a higher bid. In the case of the Dulux bid for Alesco, an application was made to the Panel after the bidder had made a statement of its “best and final price” but before the bidder had made any formal move to deviate from that statement. 11. THE TAKEOVERS REGULATORS After Dulux had made its best and final statement, it engaged in negotiations with Alesco about the bid price. ASIC raised a concern with the Panel that the best and final statement had led the market to believe that there would be no change to the bid price. The Panel’s response was that, until Dulux changed the bid price, there was no Truth in Takeovers issue: “It is impossible to make any determination about whether and how truth in takeovers policy will apply in the absence of a concrete proposal. We therefore indicated to the parties that any departure from a last and final statement, and the application of truth in takeovers policy, was not a matter before the Panel.” (Alesco Corporation Limited 01 and 02 [2012] ATP 14) Despite this, the Panel did go so far as to say that, on the current evidence, it did not see how a revised offer price would be permissible under Truth in Takeovers: “So far we have seen nothing that provides us with any confidence that the [revised] Proposal would be permitted. “ (Alesco Corporation Limited 03 [2012] ATP 18) Alesco ultimately recommended the Dulux bid at the price which was declared “best and final” so the question of whether the revised offer price would be permitted was never required to be finally determined. ASIC published a major restatement of its commitment to Truth in Takeovers a few months after the Ludowici and Dulux affairs (“Final must really mean final”, Australian Financial Review, 17 January 2013). ASIC took the opportunity in this statement to reiterate its view that compensation orders for misled shareholders is an inadequate recompense for the greater damage done to the market’s ability to believe that last and final statements really are last and final. Consistent with the position outlined by ASIC, the Takeovers Panel has on a number of occasions, including in 2000 in relation to Taipan Resources NL and in 2007 in relation to CEMEX’s bid for Rinker Group Limited, clearly stated that its strong preference is to hold bidders to their Truth in Takeovers statements. What it appeared to be saying in Ludowici was that there are sometimes exceptional circumstances where this will not be appropriate. 11.4 THE COURTS AND SCHEMES In THE REAL DEAL 2012 edition, we commented on the increasingly liberal attitude that the Courts have taken to the definition of “classes” in a scheme, particularly in relation to benefits provided to shareholders outside the scheme, including pre-deal scheme protections entered into with shareholders who grant the bidder call options over their shares. The Whitehaven/Aston scheme appears to bear this out. Whitehaven was to take over Aston by scheme. The consideration was scrip. At the same time, Whitehaven entered into a side deal which benefited two of Aston’s directors. Those directors owned shares in another company. Under the side deal, Whitehaven would buy that other company for scrip, at a price that was greater than the valuation of the company that had been made by the independent expert appointed to 66 / 67 report on the scheme. Whitehaven rejected the views of the independent expert in the explanatory memorandum and claimed that the price paid under the side deal represented fair value. The side deal was conditional upon the scheme going ahead. The Court held the directors were not in a separate class from the other shareholders. Any benefits that the directors were receiving from the side deal were commercial ones, arrived at by arm’s length negotiations (taking into account the disclosures made by Whitehaven in the explanatory memorandum). They would only constitute a separate class if the scheme (not the side deal) affected their legal rights differently from those of other shareholders. However, the decision on the classes was ultimately not important to the outcome because the two directors had undertaken not to vote at the scheme meeting. COURTS CONTINUE LIBERAL APPROACH TO DEFINITION OF CLASSES IN SCHEMES ASIC’s position would have been that the side deal represented a collateral benefit on the basis of the valuation made by the independent expert. ASIC has in previous cases not objected in this situation if the shareholders receiving the collateral benefit either vote as a separate class or undertake not to vote at all on the scheme and there is a valuation of the benefit (if not cash) by an independent expert disclosed in the explanatory memorandum. Consistent with those cases, the shareholders in Aston who would benefit from the side deal undertook not to vote on the scheme. Another important issue was that Aston’s largest shareholder had granted Whitehaven a call option over 19.9% of Aston. Among other things, the call option would be triggered by a rival bid. The exercise price would be 15% greater than the scheme consideration. The Court characterised this as a kind of exclusivity provision which had been adequately disclosed in the scheme booklet and which did not make the major shareholder a separate class. Although the Court compared the call option in this case to those considered in other cases, this call option differed from previous examples in an important respect which is that the exercise price was not the same as the scheme consideration. However, the Court did not think that this difference was relevant to the analysis of whether the holder should form a separate class. But ASIC would presumably have taken the view that the call option had the potential to give the shareholder a collateral benefit and that the shareholder should therefore vote as a separate class or not at all. At the end of the day, the question was again not in practice important because the shareholder had already indicated that it would not vote at the scheme meeting because it was related to an entity which would benefit from the side deal discussed above. However, this case does highlight the potential for there to be a divergence between the views of the Court when it comes to assessing as a technical legal matter whether a particular shareholder should be in a separate class and the views of ASIC in deciding whether a shareholder should vote as a separate class or not at all for the reason that it is receiving a collateral benefit (regardless of the legal analysis on classes). 12. DEAL PROFILES Clayton Utz has one of Australia’s leading M&A practices. Our team has acted on many of Australia’s largest and most complex M&A transactions and has significant expertise in cross-border transactions. Set out below is a selection of the most significant deals our team advised on in 2012. 1. BROOKFIELD’S TAKEOVER OF THAKRAL HOLDINGS GROUP In April 2012, Brookfield announced an unsolicited off-market takeover for all of the stapled securities in the Thakral Holdings Group at $0.70 per security. The independent directors of Thakral recommended that securityholders reject the initial offer and mounted a defence of the bid. Their independent expert concluded that the offer was neither fair nor reasonable and valued Thakral in the range of $0.88 - $0.96 per security. Ultimately and following Brookfield being provided with due diligence access, Brookfield announced a conditional increase to $0.81 per security subject to Brookfield reaching the 90% compulsory acquisition threshold. However, Thakral was only willing to recommend that securityholders accept the new offer if they would receive the increased offer price (i.e. if the 90% threshold was reached). Brookfield was able to address this issue by establishing an acceptance facility which was open to all securityholders including both retail and institutional holders and which would only result in binding acceptances of the offer in the event that the 90% threshold was reached and the conditional increase became effective. Thakral recommended that securityholders accept into the acceptance facility. This represented an innovative adaptation of the traditional acceptance facility (which is ordinarily made available only to institutional securityholders) and the first time such a facility had been used to support a conditional increase by the bidder. It also fairly enabled retail securityholders to participate in the facility. As a result, Brookfield quickly proceeded to achieve the 90% threshold and the successful completion of the deal. Clayton Utz acted for long-standing client Brookfield in relation to the takeover. Sydney-based M&A partner Jonathan Algar and senior associate Adam Foreman advised on the deal. 68 / 69 2. PACIFIC EQUITY PARTNERS’ ACQUISITION OF SPOTLESS In Pacific Equity Partners’ (PEP) acquisition of Spotless Group Limited, we saw two of our key deal trends for 2012 in action: an initial bear hug by the private equity suitor and shareholder activism from Spotless’s institutional investors. The deal also demonstrates that deals are taking increasingly longer to complete: Spotless was the subject of a bear hug proposal by US private equity firm Blackstone in May 2011, setting the stage for PEP’s bear hug approach in November 2011. The deal did not complete until July 2012, following extensive negotiation between the parties. PEP initially offered a price of $2.62 per share. When Spotless announced PEP’s bear hug, it came under pressure from a number of major shareholders who supported PEP’s offer and wanted Spotless to engage with PEP. A number of those shareholders had also entered into pre-bid arrangements with PEP, increasing the pressure on Spotless’ Board. Spotless rejected PEP’s bear hug offer, but did so in a novel way: the Spotless Board chose to actively promote the basis for its view that PEP undervalued Spotless by delivering a series of presentations to the market to substantiate its reasons for rejecting PEP’s bear hug offer as too low. The Spotless Board eventually agreed to the sale of Spotless at the end of April 2012 – but only after it had achieved an additional 11 cents per share of value (approximately) for its shareholders. The recommended offer gave Spotless an enterprise value of $1.083 billion when the deal was completed in August 2012. Clayton Utz acted for long-standing client Spotless. M&A partner Rod Halstead and Sydney-based M&A partner Karen Evans-Cullen with senior associates Jasmine Sprange and Peter Debney advised on the deal, with support from Melbourne-based M&A partner Andrew Walker. 12. DEAL PROFILES 3. SUNDANCE RESOURCES SCHEME OF ARRANGEMENT In October 2011 Sundance Resources Limited, an ASX listed company, announced that it had entered into a Scheme Implementation Agreement (SIA) with Hanlong (Africa) Mining Investment Limited, a privately owned Chinese enterprise, in relation to the acquisition of all of the shares in Sundance for A$0.57 per share by way of a scheme of arrangement, valuing Sundance at A$1.65 billion. Sundance’s flagship asset is the $4.7 billion integrated mine, port and rail MbalamNabeba Iron Ore Project located in Cameroon and the Republic of Congo. Completion of the scheme is conditional on the satisfaction of a number of complex conditions precedent involving, inter alia, the need for regulatory / sovereign involvement in: >> C hina – Hanlong’s country of incorporation and from where all funding for the acquisition and on-going project is to be sourced using a combination of debt procured from the China Development Bank and Chinese private bank(s); >> C ameroon – where signing (by the Prime Minister’s office) of a detailed Convention covering the key commercial, legal and fiscal terms upon which the port, railway line and iron ore mine would be constructed and operated was a key requirement under the SIA (satisfied in December 2012); >> R epublic of Congo – where a mining permit was required to be procured (satisfied in December 2012); and >> A ustralia – as the transaction is subject to FIRB approval (satisfied in June 2012) and Australian scheme of arrangement laws. In 2012, the terms of the SIA were renegotiated including a reduction in the scheme price from A$0.57 to A$0.45 per share (following changes in the financial markets since the deal was struck in 2011 and a specific PRC National Development Reform Commission condition that there was a “reasonable acquisition price”). Various extensions to the original timetable have also been agreed to since the original SIA was executed and the transaction is now expected to complete in the first half of 2013 (subject to Hanlong completing its PRC financing arrangements and obtaining final approvals from PRC regulatory authorities). Clayton Utz continues to act as Australian counsel to Sundance as the Scheme progresses. A Perth-based team comprising of corporate partner Mark Paganin, senior associate Andrew Hart and lawyer Elizabeth Maynard is advising Sundance. 70 / 71 4. COMPETING SCHEME PROPOSALS FOR TALISON LITHIUM In August 2012, the Australian-incorporated, TSX listed Talison Lithium announced a scheme implementation agreement with the U.S. incorporated, NYSE listed Rockwood Holdings, Inc., a speciality chemicals and advanced materials company for the acquisition of all of the shares in Talison Lithium at C$6.50. Some interesting issues arose from the transaction, including by reason of the fact that Talison Lithium is an Australian incorporated company (and therefore subject to the Australian scheme of arrangement regulations) but is listed exclusively on TSX. As with other recent ASX / TSX mergers (eg. Mantra Resources scheme in 2011, CGA Mining scheme in 2012), the challenging depositary / intermediary / beneficial holder structure of Canadian shareholdings needed to be navigated for the purposes of recording votes. For Talison Lithium, the issue was particularly acute due to the absence of the pool of shares that would ordinarily be available for direct voting in a conventional ASX structure. In mid-November 2012, 2 weeks prior to the scheduled scheme meetings for the Rockwood proposal, Chengdu Tianqi, a privately owned Chinese company and a significant customer of Talison Lithium, announced that it had acquired 14.9% of Talison Lithium, intended to move to a 19.9% stake following FIRB approval and intended to make a superior offer for all of Talison Lithium by way of scheme of arrangement. Tianqi subsequently obtained all necessary Chinese regulatory approvals and FIRB approval, and announced a proposal at C$7.15 per share. Following a “best and final offer” statement from Rockwood in response, the Talison Lithium board relied on the “fiduciary carve out” in the Rockwood SIA and proceeded to engage with Tianqi on its competing proposal. In order to deal with the financing risk associated with Tianqi’s proposal, the Talison Lithium negotiating team extracted a US$25m deposit in the nature of a reverse break fee, payable in the event that Tianqi fails to secure funding. Tianqi and Talison executed a “pre-conditional” SIA on 6 December 2012 (the preconditions designed to deal with the 5 business day “right to match” conferred on Rockwood under the pre-existing Rockwood SIA) contemplating a scheme of arrangement priced at C$7.50 per share and valuing Talison Lithium at approximately C$850 million. Talison proceeded to the first court hearing on 19 December 2012, which was an extremely short period during which to obtain independent experts’ reports, finalise the scheme booklet and have it reviewed by ASIC. The scheme was approved by Talison shareholders on 27 February 2013. Clayton Utz’s advisory role on the competing scheme proposals continued the long-term relationship between our lead E&R / M&A partner on the transaction, Heath Lewis, and Talison Lithium. 13. SURVEY METHODOLOGY 13.1 SOURCES Note that information on deals included in the Clayton Utz Survey has been drawn entirely from public documents disclosed to the market in connection with the deals. We explain below the circumstances where we have produced further information by making calculations or assumptions based on that public information. 13.2 SURVEY METHODOLOGY Clayton Utz conducted a detailed survey of selected deals announced during the 2012 calendar year which has been used extensively throughout this report. Surveyed data in respect of deals announced during the 2010 and 2011 calendar years and selected on the same basis is also referred to in the report. As a general comment, we note that deal terms differ between different deals depending upon the particular circumstances of each deal and that we have exercised our own judgment in interpreting and categorising those terms for the purposes of the survey where they are not directly comparable. It is possible that different people may make different judgements in interpreting and categorising these terms. SELECTION OF DEALS Deals included in the survey were selected according to the following criteria: >> announced between 1 January and 31 December (inclusive) in respect of the relevant year; >> included a takeover offer, company scheme or trust scheme to acquire securities in an Australian entity to which Chapter 6 of the Corporations Act applies; >> implied a transaction value for all of the securities of the target of at least $50 million (see below regarding this calculation); and >> a binding announcement of a formal takeover offer or an announcement of an agreement to propose a scheme was made (as applicable) in respect of the deal (ie. more than just a non-binding unsolicited bear hug announcement was released in respect of the deal). We note the following specific inclusions: >> t he Future Fund’s bid for the Australian Infrastructure Fund has been included in the survey for 2012 despite that transaction not being structured as a takeover or scheme on the basis that it is a proposal for the acquisition of all of the target’s assets which requires approval of the public securityholders; and >> anlong’s bid for Sundance Resources which was announced in 2012 is a revised form of the deal announced in 2011 H but has been nonetheless included in the survey for 2012 as a new and separate transaction announced in 2012. 72 / 73 NOTES ABOUT THE METHODOLOGY USED FOR SPECIFIC SURVEY ITEMS The methodology used for particular items is summarised below: >> Date of announcement: The date of initial announcement was taken to be the date a binding announcement of a formal takeover offer or an announcement of an agreement to propose a scheme was made (as applicable) in respect of the deal. >> V alue of consideration: The value of the consideration, for the purposes of calculating the transaction value and consideration increases, was calculated as follows: >> here the consideration included non-cash consideration this was valued as at the date of announcement using w the same methodology as that adopted in the initial announcement and where there was no value cited in the initial announcement the value was calculated using the closing market price of the bidder scrip prior to the initial announcement (or other appropriate date to reflect the undisturbed share price) where listed and/or the FX rate on the day of announcement (as applicable); >> here the final consideration depends upon the movements in the value of bidder scrip or a relevant FX rate, the w value of the final consideration is recalculated using the value of the bidder scrip or FX rate as at the time any such adjustments are made. >> T ransaction value/deal size: For consistency, the transaction value or deal size was calculated using the value of the final consideration offered per issued share or unit in the target under the proposal multiplied by the aggregate number of those securities on issue at the end of the offer period for a takeover or record date for a scheme. Where the deal was still current as at 10 January 2012, the value of the consideration offered as at that date and the number of securities on issue on that date was used in the calculation. Options and performance rights were excluded from this calculation, even if it was proposed that those securities be acquired/cancelled as part of the deal, unless the underlying shares/units were issued before the end of the offer period or record date (as applicable). >> Premium: The premium for each deal was taken to be that cited in the initial announcement of the deal unless the consideration subsequently changed in which case it was the premium cited in the announcement of the change in consideration. If no premium was cited in the relevant announcement, then the premium was calculated by reference to the closing market price of the target securities prior to the initial announcement (or other appropriate date to reflect the undisturbed share price). Mergers of equals were excluded from all premium statistics along with Elph Pty Ltd’s bid for Engenco Limited (given the discounted rights issue announced in conjunction with that bid). >> Implementation agreement terms: Statistics regarding terms of agreed deals, such as break fees, termination rights etc, have been calculated as percentages/averages etc of only those deals where an implementation agreement was agreed. In cases were some terms were not disclosed in sufficient detail to be reviewed and surveyed, those deals were excluded from the statistics regarding those terms. >> efinition of successful completion: A takeover was treated as having successfully completed if any securities were D acquired under the takeover offer if it was unconditional or after the satisfaction or waiver of all conditions in the case of a conditional offer. A scheme was treated as having successfully completed if the scheme became effective (or the constitutional changes became effective in the case of a trust scheme). >> R ounding: Note that numbers have been rounded in various places throughout this publication, which may mean that some percentages, for example, do not add to 100%. 13. SURVEY METHODOLOGY 13.3 LIST OF DEALS INCLUDED IN THE SURVEY 2012 DEALS TARGET 1 Accent Resources NL 2 Acer Energy Ltd 3 African Iron Limited 4 Alesco Corporation Ltd 5 Australian Infrastructure Fund 6 Biota Holdings Limited 7 Castlemaine Goldfields Limited 8 Cerro Resources NL 9 CGA Mining Limited 10 Charter Hall Office REIT 11 Clearview Wealth Ltd 12 Coalworks Limited 13 Consolidated Media Holdings Ltd 14 Customers Ltd 15 Discovery Metals Ltd 16 Endocoal Ltd 17 Engenco Limited 18 Eureka Energy Limited 19 Exco Resources Ltd 20 Extract Resources Ltd 21 Gerard Lighting Group Ltd 22 Hastings Diversified Utilities Fund 23 Industrea Ltd 24 Integra Mining Ltd 25 LinQ Resources Fund 26 Little World Beverages Ltd 27 Ludowici Ltd 28 Ludowici Ltd 29 National Can Industries Ltd 30 Nexbis Limited 31 Norton Gold Fields Limited 32 Premium Investors Limited 33 Rocklands Richfield Ltd. 34 Spotless Group Limited 35 Sundance Resources Limited 2012 36 Talent2 International Limited 37 Talison Lithium 38 Talison Lithium Limited 39 Texon Petroleum Ltd 40 Thakral Holdings Group 41 Westgold Resources Ltd BIDDER Xingang Resources (HK) Ltd Drillsearch Energy Ltd Exxaro Resources Limited Dulux Group Limited Future Fund Board of Guardians Nabi Biopharmaceuticals LionGold Corp Ltd Primero Mining Corp B2Gold Corp Reco Ambrosia Pte Ltd, Public Sector Pension Investment Board (PSP) and Charter Hall Funds Management Limited Crescent Capital Partners Ltd Whitehaven Coal Limited News Ltd DirectCash Payments Inc Cathay Fortune Corporation Co Ltd and the China-Africa Development Fund Daton Group Australia Ltd and Yima Coal Group Elph Pty Ltd Aurora Oil and Gas Washington H Soul Pattinson & Company CGNPC Uranium Resources Co., Ltd. and the China-Africa Development Fund CHAMP Private Equity Pipeline Partners Australia Pty Limited General Electric Company Silver Lake Resources Ltd IMC Resources Holdings Pte Ltd Lion Pty Ltd FLSmidth & Co A/S Weir Group plc ESK Holdings Pty Ltd and Michael Wesley Tyrrell Agathis Capital L.P. Zijin Mining Group Co., Ltd Wam Capital Limited Shandong Energy Group Co Ltd Pacific Equity Partners Pty Ltd Hanlong (Africa) Mining Investment Limited (2012) Morgan & Banks Investments Pty Limited and Allegis Group, Inc. Chengdu Tianqi Industry (Group) Co., Ltd Rockwood Holdings, Inc. Sundance Energy Australia Ltd Brookfield Asset Management Inc. Metals X Limited Sydney Level 15 1 Bligh Street Sydney NSW 2000 T +61 2 9353 4000 Melbourne Level 18 333 Collins Street Melbourne VIC 3000 T +61 3 9286 6000 Brisbane Level 28 Riparian Plaza 71 Eagle Street Brisbane QLD 4000 T +61 7 3292 7000 Persons listed may not be admitted in all states. This document is intended to provide general information. The contents do not constitute legal advice and should not be relied upon as such. © Clayton Utz 2013 This report is printed on Monza Recycled (cover) and Revive Laser. Monza Recycled is Certified Carbon Neutral by The Carbon Reduction Institute (CRI) in accordance with the global Greenhouse Perth Level 27 QV1 Building 250 St. Georges Terrace Perth WA 6000 T +61 8 9426 8000 Canberra Level 10 NewActon Nishi 2 Phillip Law Street Canberra ACT 2601 T +61 2 6279 4000 Protcol and ISO 14040 framework. Monza Recycled contains 55% recycled fibre and is FSC Mix Certified, which ensures that all virgin pulp is derived from well-managed forests and controlled sources. Monza Recycled is manufactured by an ISO 14001 certified mill. Revive Laser is 100% Recycled and is manufactured from FSC Recycled certified fibre. Certified Carbon Neutral by the DCC&EE under the National Carbon Offset Standard (NCOS), Revive Laser also supports Landcare Australia. It is made in Australia by an ISO 14001 certified mill with no chlorine bleaching in the recycling process. Design and art direction by Beyond the Pixels. Darwin 17-19 Lindsay Street Darwin NT 0800 T +61 8 8943 2555 Hong Kong 703 - 704 The Hong Kong Club Building 3A Chater Road Central Hong Kong T +852 3980 6868 www.claytonutz.com 74 / 75 SOURCES SAY: “ THEY HAVE ALL-ROUND IN-DEPTH KNOWLEDGE OF THE AREA AND THE ABILITY TO FIELD AN APPROPRIATELY EXPERIENCED AND QUALIFIED TEAM TO COVER THE VARIOUS ASPECTS OF DEALS.” Corporate / M&A, Chambers Asia-Pacific 2013 M&A KEY CONTACTS SYDNEY BRISBANE Karen Evans-Cullen Partner T +61 2 9353 4838 F +61 2 8220 6700 E kevans-cullen@claytonutz.com MELBOURNE John Elliott Head of Mergers & Acquisitions T +61 2 9353 4172 F +61 2 8220 6700 E jelliott@claytonutz.com Jonathan Algar Partner T +61 2 9353 4632 F +61 2 8220 6700 E jalgar@claytonutz.com Rod Halstead Partner T +61 2 9353 4126 F +61 2 8220 6770 E rhalstead@claytonutz.com Andrew Hay Partner T +61 7 3292 7299 F +61 7 3221 9669 E ahay@claytonutz.com Rod Lyle Partner T +61 3 9286 6176 F +61 3 9629 8488 E rlyle@claytonutz.com PERTH Mark Paganin Partner T +61 8 9426 8284 F +61 8 9481 3095 E mpaganin@claytonutz.com