®
©2014 KEAW
Kelley Undergraduate Capstone Classes
J401 & J402
Case Method
J411
Capstone ® Simula@on
Comp-‐XM ® Assessment
PRIMARY
PRINCIPLES
‘PBLs’
Critical
Thinking
Written
Communication
✚
Collaboration & Communication
Management & Leadership
Professional Competencies
2
History of Sensor Industry
Industry Direction
Taking Over Your Company
Functional Areas
Measuring Success
Suggestions and Schedule
Capstone Business Simulation 3
Electronic Sensors – Light Industrial
Medium/High Technology
•
Patented technological advances
• Extraordinary value propositions
One Company Dominated the Marketplace
•
Forced out the competition
•
Lost strategic focus and direction
•
Allowed past strengths to deteriorate
•
Courts responded to complaints
Industry Break Up
into 6 equal & similar companies
Capstone Business Simulation 4
Customers (OEMs) need sensors for their products
Initially one market segment, now breaking into five
Very different demands developing between the market segments http://www.ctscorp.com
Capstone Business Simulation 5
Low
End
Perform- ance
Traditional
Size
High
End
In our industry we track the change in customer demands on a perceptual map
Over 8 years the customers will demand much faster and smaller sensors
Market segments will continue to diverge with less overlap between segments
Capstone Business Simulation 6
“I want these sensors to be cheap.”
“I want them to have been
around for a while –
no Beta Testing!”
“They have to be
moderately reliable.”
“The technology doesn’t have to
be cutting edge.”
Capstone Business Simulation 7
“These sensors have to be small, like
micro, and fast.”
“I need them to be
right out of R&D,
I’m talking ZERO
years on the market.”
“I like a pretty high
reliability.”
“I’ll pay more to get what I want.”
Capstone Business Simulation 8
Sees the next 8 years as consistent growth .
All market segments increase at a nice ‘clip’ , according to market analysts.
“I see the entire market growing at around 14% or 15% per year. The High
End market alone will be growing at a whopping 19.8%.”
I hope those companies out there are ready for that kind of expansion!”
70000
60000
50000
40000
30000
20000
10000
0
Year
1
Year
2
Year
3
Year
4
Year
5
Year
6
Year
7
Year
8
Capstone Business Simulation 9
Low
End Perform- ance
Traditional
Size
High
End
Size &
Performance are only 2 of 5 criteria needed to meet customer segment requirements
‘Ideal Position’ =
Circle Center +
Ideal Spot Offset
Initial ‘Ideal Position’ & Importance
Differences for Each Segment
Ideal
Performance
Position MARKET
Size SEGMENT
Price
$
Age
Years
Reliability
MTBF
1.7
2.5-0.8
16%
18.3
17.5+1.8
LOW $15-
$25
END
7 yrs
53% 24%
12k-17k
7%
5.0
21%
15.0 TRADI- $20-
$30
2 yrs
TIONAL 23% 47%
14k-19k
9%
9.4
8.0+1.4
29%
16.0
17.0-1.0
PERFOR- $25-
$35
1 yr
MANCE 19% 9%
22k-27k
43%
Remain the
SAME
Over Time
•
Age
•
Reliability
CHANGE or drift
Over Time
•
Circle Center
Size & Performance
•
Price (-$.50/yr)
4.0
3.0+1.0
43%
8.9
7.5+1.4
43%
10.6
12.0-1.4
SIZE $25-
$35
SEGMENT 9%
11.1
12.5-1.4
Capstone Business Simulation
HIGH $30-
$40
END 9%
1.5 yr 16k-21k
29% 19%
0 yr
29%
20k-25k
19%
10
A NDREWS
SIX
COMPANIES
$100 million in Sales
B ALDWIN
5 Product
Lines
C HESTER
Closed
Marketplace
D IGBY
E RIE
F ERRIS
Capstone Business Simulation 11
Company Fires Management Team
After poor results, lackluster sales and angry customer reports, the Chairman of the Board of Directors has announced the immediate termination of the
Management Team.
“This is a black day for our company,” said Chairman
‘Killer Ken’ Wendeln, “We need to hire dynamic and strategic thinking leadership who will be able to take this company into the future and keel the competition!”
“Due to this urgent and challenging opportunity, I have hired the Kelley ‘Dream Team’ to start immediately. I expect to see great things from this Executive Team!”
Capstone Business Simulation 12
Last management team left the company in poor shape:
No clear strategy or direction
Products are not meeting customers buying criteria
Most of your customers do not even know your products exist
Sales force and distribution channels deteriorate
Misallocation of assets
Under investment in automation and training
No financial policy or structure
Capstone Business Simulation 13
Production
R
&
D
Fin ance
Marketing
Capstone Business Simulation 14
“Our products are not priced optimally.
And many of our customers don’t even know our product exists.”
Set the price of our products in the marketplace
Build customer awareness through promotion
Establish a sales force and distribution channels
Set the sales forecast for our products
Set Credit Policies AR/AP
Capstone Business Simulation 15
Establish the specification of the products to meet customer demand
Build the quality and reliability (MTBF) into the products
Ensure the perceived age of the product meets customer demands
Create new products to meet the changing marketplace
“Our products are not well positioned in the marketplace.”
Capstone Business Simulation 16
“We are paying too much for labor costs.
Our capacity to produce is far greater than the demand.”
Schedule production for each line
Purchase machinery to automate our facilities
Buy or sell capacity of product lines
Manage the majority of the company’s fixed assets
Establish and train your workforce complement
Capstone Business Simulation 17
Acquire capital to fund capital expansions
$
Stock
$
Long Term Bonds
$
Short Term Debt
$
‘Emergency’ Loans
Issue dividend to our shareholders
Balance our debt portfolio
Manage your proformas –
Financials & Balanced Scorecard
“We have no financial policy statement.
We have poor cash flow and substandard financial ratios.”
Capstone Business Simulation 18
A management tool to compare
‘WHAT-IF’ scenarios by the company.
Balance Sheet
Profit & Loss
Cash Flow
Financial Ratios
Balanced Scorecard
WARNING: use your judgment, does NOT take into account the competitors’ decisions .
Capstone Business Simulation 19
Capstone Business Simulation 20
Low End Buying Criteria
Capstone Business Simulation 21
High End Buying Criteria
Capstone Business Simulation 22
“I skate to where the puck is going to be … not where it has been.”
- Wayne Gretzky
Capstone Business Simulation 23
Market
Segment
Round
0
Annual
Growth
Rate
Round
1
Round
2
Traditional 9.2%
Round
3
Round
4
Round
5
Round
6
Round
7
Round
8
Low End
High End
Pfmn
Size
11.7%
16.2%
19.8%
18.3%
Market Segments have different but constant annual growth rates
Capstone Business Simulation 24
Market
Segment
Traditional
Product
Name
First Shift
Capacity(000)
Second Shift
Capacity(000)
Firm Industry Firm Industry
1,800 3,600
Automation
Level
4.0
Cost to
Double
Capacity
$39.6M
Cost to
Raise
Automation to 10.0
$43.2M
Low End
High End
Pfmn
Size
Capstone Business Simulation 25
Market
Segment
Traditional
Low End
High End
Performance
Size
Product Margin
Potential
Traditional
Low End
High End
Performance
Size
Product
Name
Price
$30.00
Material
Cost
$8.00
Labor
Cost
$3.36
Second
Shift (Y/
N)
N
Y
N
N
N
Product Margin
$ %
N
N
N
N
N
$18.64 62%
Capstone Business Simulation 26
Traditional
Price
Reliability
Age
Positioning
Awareness
Accessibility
Overall
Low End
Price
Reliability
Age
Positioning
Awareness
Accessibility
Overall
High End
Price
Reliability
Age
Positioning
Awareness
Accessibility
Overall
Performance
Price
Reliability
Age
Positioning
Awareness
Accessibility
Overall
Size
Price
Reliability
Age
Positioning
Awareness
Accessibility
Overall
Capstone Business Simulation 27
Market ing
R & D Product ion
28
Fin ance
Debt
Stock holders
29
I
1.
You determine & submit your strategy.
2.
Select the criteria & relative weighting to measure the success of your strategy at the END of each of CR#5 thru CR#8 :
ROE STOCK PRICE
ROS CUMULATIVE PROFIT
ROA ASSET TURNOVER
MARKET CAPITALIZATION
MARKET SHARE
3.
Presentation of your strategy, results, and ‘lessons learned’ during last class session.
Capstone Business Simulation 30
II
Externally evaluates your company in ten categories of management performance:
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1000
Capstone Business Simulation 31
III
(BS)
✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Internal evaluation of management’s performance across 4 categories with up to 19 criteria
Capstone Business Simulation 32
III
✔ ✔
Recap of:
Average
Cumulative
Ending
Results
33 Capstone Business Simulation
IV
YOU determine the weighting of your Success
Measures prior to CR #5 with your Strategy
Capstone Business Simulation 34
ORGANIZATION
Determine and select the skills
Setup a flexible structure
Assign responsibilities
Rotate roles & responsibilities
MEETINGS
Set time aside for face-to-face meetings, initially 2 to 3 hours
Have an agenda & stick to it
Be respectful of others’ time
Record your board minutes starting with competitive rounds
STRATEGY
Do a Situation Analysis for the market and for your company
Create a purpose & direction for your company ( vision/mission )
Determine viable strategic options
Do initiate the strategy you want to try during the 1 st or 2 nd round
Don’t try to pre-determine the other 5 strategies – you won’t
DECISION MAKING
Read the Student Guide and use the Capsim on-line tutorials
Do use ALL of the data in the reports and Capstone Courier
Don’t become a victim of
‘Analysis – Paralysis’
Use the proforma tools - and save often
Allow for midcourse corrections, don’t over-react/over-commit
Capstone Business Simulation 35
J411 Capstone - Schedule of Events
CAPSTONE® SimulaAon
Individual Rehearsals
Individual
Ar@cles & Readings
for
Class Discussion
Team PracAce Rounds
#PR1 – with Advanced Marke9ng
#PR2 – adds HR
#PR3 – adds TQM
#PR4 – with AM, HR & TQM
Team CompeAAve Rounds
IniAal Strategy
Final Strategy
#CR1 – with Advanced Marke9ng
#CR2 – adds HR
#CR3 – adds TQM
#CR4 – with AM, HR & TQM
#CR5 –
#CR6 –
#CR7 –
#CR8 –
Team PresentaAons
Last Class Periods
Team Decisions
Due by Scheduled
Date & Time
COMP-‐XM® Self-‐Competency Review
Available aQer CR#8 – Complete by final examinaAon date/Ame
Allow 6-‐8 hours total in up to 5 separate sittings
AACSB
Accredita@on
Requiremen t
36
You must register (and pay the Capsim fee) to participate in the J411 required
Capstone Business Simulation and Comp-XM Self-Competency Review http://www.capsim.com
Your Industry Number
See Syllabus
Capstone Business Simulation 37
Intro, Rehearsal Tutorial & Situation Analysis
✔
✔
Capstone Business Simulation
✔
✔
38
Intro, Rehearsal Tutorial & Situation Analysis
✔
✔
✔
✔
Capstone Business Simulation 39
Additional Modules – Marketing, HR & TQM
✔
✔
Capstone Business Simulation 40
“If you don’t have a strategy you will be . . . part of somebody else’s strategy.”
- Alvin Toffler
Capstone Business Simulation 41