Welcome to the Capstone® Business Simulation

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J411 - Analysis of

Business Decisions

Welcome to the

Capstone

®

Business Simulation

Kenneth EA Wendeln

©2014 KEAW

Kelley Undergraduate Capstone Classes

J401  &  J402  

Business  

Strategy  

 

Case  Method  

J411  

Business  

Decision  Making  

Capstone ®  Simula@on  

Comp-­‐XM  ®  Assessment  

PRIMARY

PRINCIPLES

‘PBLs’

Critical

Thinking

Written

Communication

Collaboration & Communication

Management & Leadership

Professional Competencies

2

Simulation Overview

Electronic Sensor Industry

  

History of Sensor Industry

   Industry Direction

   Taking Over Your Company

  

Functional Areas

  

Measuring Success

  

Suggestions and Schedule

Capstone Business Simulation 3

History of the Sensor Industry

  

Electronic Sensors – Light Industrial

  

Medium/High Technology

Patented technological advances

•   Extraordinary value propositions

  

One Company Dominated the Marketplace

Forced out the competition

Lost strategic focus and direction

Allowed past strengths to deteriorate

Courts responded to complaints

  

Industry Break Up

into 6 equal & similar companies

Capstone Business Simulation 4

The Sensors’ Marketplace

  

Customers (OEMs) need sensors for their products

  

Initially one market segment, now breaking into five

  

Very different demands developing between the market segments http://www.ctscorp.com

Capstone Business Simulation 5

Perceptual Map of

Sensor Customer Demands

Low

End

Perform- ance

Traditional

Size

High

End

   In our industry we track the change in customer demands on a perceptual map

   Over 8 years the customers will demand much faster and smaller sensors

   Market segments will continue to diverge with less overlap between segments

Capstone Business Simulation 6

Low Tech & Traditional

Customers

“I want these sensors to be cheap.”

“I want them to have been

around for a while –

no Beta Testing!”

“They have to be

moderately reliable.”

“The technology doesn’t have to

be cutting edge.”

Capstone Business Simulation 7

High Tech, Size &

Performance Customers

“These sensors have to be small, like

micro, and fast.”

“I need them to be

right out of R&D,

I’m talking ZERO

years on the market.”

“I like a pretty high

reliability.”

“I’ll pay more to get what I want.”

Capstone Business Simulation 8

Sensor Industry

Projected Ongoing Growth

Sees the next 8 years as consistent growth .

All market segments increase at a nice ‘clip’ , according to market analysts.

“I see the entire market growing at around 14% or 15% per year. The High

End market alone will be growing at a whopping 19.8%.”

I hope those companies out there are ready for that kind of expansion!”

70000

60000

50000

40000

30000

20000

10000

0

Year

1

Year

2

Year

3

Year

4

Year

5

Year

6

Year

7

Year

8

Capstone Business Simulation 9

Sensor Customer Segment

Demands & Characteristics

Low

End Perform- ance

Traditional

Size

High

End

Size &

Performance are only 2 of 5 criteria needed to meet customer segment requirements

‘Ideal Position’ =

Circle Center +

Ideal Spot Offset

Initial ‘Ideal Position’ & Importance

Differences for Each Segment

Ideal

Performance

Position MARKET

Size SEGMENT

Price

$

Age

Years

Reliability

MTBF

1.7

2.5-0.8

16%

18.3

17.5+1.8

LOW $15-

$25

END

7 yrs

53% 24%

12k-17k

7%

5.0

21%

15.0 TRADI- $20-

$30

2 yrs

TIONAL 23% 47%

14k-19k

9%

9.4

8.0+1.4

29%

16.0

17.0-1.0

PERFOR- $25-

$35

1 yr

MANCE 19% 9%

22k-27k

43%

Remain the

SAME

Over Time

Age

Reliability

CHANGE or drift

Over Time

Circle Center

Size & Performance

Price (-$.50/yr)

4.0

3.0+1.0

43%

8.9

7.5+1.4

43%

10.6

12.0-1.4

SIZE $25-

$35

SEGMENT 9%

11.1

12.5-1.4

Capstone Business Simulation

HIGH $30-

$40

END 9%

1.5 yr 16k-21k

29% 19%

0 yr

29%

20k-25k

19%

10

Competition after the Break-Up

A NDREWS

SIX

COMPANIES

$100 million in Sales

B ALDWIN

5 Product

Lines

C HESTER

Closed

Marketplace

D IGBY

E RIE

F ERRIS

Capstone Business Simulation 11

Sensor Industry

Company Shake-up

Company Fires Management Team

After poor results, lackluster sales and angry customer reports, the Chairman of the Board of Directors has announced the immediate termination of the

Management Team.

“This is a black day for our company,” said Chairman

‘Killer Ken’ Wendeln, “We need to hire dynamic and strategic thinking leadership who will be able to take this company into the future and keel the competition!”

“Due to this urgent and challenging opportunity, I have hired the Kelley ‘Dream Team’ to start immediately. I expect to see great things from this Executive Team!”

Capstone Business Simulation 12

Company Overview

Last management team left the company in poor shape:

  

No clear strategy or direction

  

Products are not meeting customers buying criteria

  

Most of your customers do not even know your products exist

  

Sales force and distribution channels deteriorate

  

Misallocation of assets

  

Under investment in automation and training

  

No financial policy or structure

Capstone Business Simulation 13

WELCOME TO YOUR NEW

COMPANY!

Production

R

&

D

Fin ance

Marketing

Capstone Business Simulation 14

Marketing

“Our products are not priced optimally.

And many of our customers don’t even know our product exists.”

   Set the price of our products in the marketplace

   Build customer awareness through promotion

   Establish a sales force and distribution channels

  

Set the sales forecast for our products

  

Set Credit Policies AR/AP

Capstone Business Simulation 15

Research & Development

   Establish the specification of the products to meet customer demand

  

Build the quality and reliability (MTBF) into the products

  

Ensure the perceived age of the product meets customer demands

   Create new products to meet the changing marketplace

“Our products are not well positioned in the marketplace.”

Capstone Business Simulation 16

Production

“We are paying too much for labor costs.

Our capacity to produce is far greater than the demand.”

   Schedule production for each line

  

Purchase machinery to automate our facilities

   Buy or sell capacity of product lines

  

Manage the majority of the company’s fixed assets

   Establish and train your workforce complement

Capstone Business Simulation 17

Finance

   Acquire capital to fund capital expansions

$

  Stock

$

  Long Term Bonds

$

  Short Term Debt

$

  ‘Emergency’ Loans

   Issue dividend to our shareholders

   Balance our debt portfolio

  

Manage your proformas –

Financials & Balanced Scorecard

“We have no financial policy statement.

We have poor cash flow and substandard financial ratios.”

Capstone Business Simulation 18

Proforma Financials

A management tool to compare

‘WHAT-IF’ scenarios by the company.

  

Balance Sheet

  

Profit & Loss

  

Cash Flow

  

Financial Ratios

  

Balanced Scorecard

WARNING: use your judgment, does NOT take into account the competitors’ decisions .

Capstone Business Simulation 19

Industry Conditions Report

Capstone Business Simulation 20

Industry Conditions Report

Low End Buying Criteria

Capstone Business Simulation 21

Industry Conditions Report

High End Buying Criteria

Capstone Business Simulation 22

“I skate to where the puck is going to be … not where it has been.”

- Wayne Gretzky

Capstone Business Simulation 23

Proforma Tools

DEMAND ANALYSIS

Market

Segment

Round

0

Annual

Growth

Rate

Round

1

Round

2

Traditional 9.2%

Round

3

Round

4

Round

5

Round

6

Round

7

Round

8

Low End

High End

Pfmn

Size

11.7%

16.2%

19.8%

18.3%

Market Segments have different but constant annual growth rates

Capstone Business Simulation 24

Proforma Tools

CAPACITY ANALYSIS

Market

Segment

Traditional

Product

Name

First Shift

Capacity(000)

Second Shift

Capacity(000)

Firm Industry Firm Industry

1,800 3,600

Automation

Level

4.0

Cost to

Double

Capacity

$39.6M

Cost to

Raise

Automation to 10.0

$43.2M

Low End

High End

Pfmn

Size

Capstone Business Simulation 25

Proforma Tools

MARGIN ANALYSIS

Market

Segment

Traditional

Low End

High End

Performance

Size

Product Margin

Potential

Traditional

Low End

High End

Performance

Size

Product

Name

Price

$30.00

Material

Cost

$8.00

Labor

Cost

$3.36

Second

Shift (Y/

N)

N

Y

N

N

N

Product Margin

$ %

N

N

N

N

N

$18.64 62%

Capstone Business Simulation 26

Proforma Tools

CONSUMER REPORT

Traditional

Price

Reliability

Age

Positioning

Awareness

Accessibility

Overall

Low End

Price

Reliability

Age

Positioning

Awareness

Accessibility

Overall

High End

Price

Reliability

Age

Positioning

Awareness

Accessibility

Overall

Performance

Price

Reliability

Age

Positioning

Awareness

Accessibility

Overall

Size

Price

Reliability

Age

Positioning

Awareness

Accessibility

Overall

Capstone Business Simulation 27

Market ing  

R & D   Product ion  

28

Fin ance  

Debt  

Stock holders  

29

Scoring the Simulation

I

BUSINESS STRATEGY and

SUCCESS MEASURES

1.

You determine & submit your strategy.

2.

Select the criteria & relative weighting to measure the success of your strategy at the END of each of CR#5 thru CR#8 :

  

ROE  STOCK PRICE

  

ROS  CUMULATIVE PROFIT

  

ROA  ASSET TURNOVER

  

MARKET CAPITALIZATION

  

MARKET SHARE

3.

Presentation of your strategy, results, and ‘lessons learned’ during last class session.

Capstone Business Simulation 30

Scoring the Simulation

II

ANALYST REPORT

Externally evaluates your company in ten categories of management performance:

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1000

Capstone Business Simulation 31

Scoring the Simulation

III

THE BALANCED

SCORECARD

(BS)

✔ ✔ ✔ ✔

Internal evaluation of management’s performance across 4 categories with up to 19 criteria

Capstone Business Simulation 32

Scoring the Simulation

III

THE BALANCED

SCORECARD Recap

✔ ✔

Recap of:

Average

Cumulative

Ending

Results

33 Capstone Business Simulation

Scoring the Simulation

IV

SUCCESS MEASURES

YOU determine the weighting of your Success

Measures prior to CR #5 with your Strategy

Capstone Business Simulation 34

Some Suggestions

ORGANIZATION

  

Determine and select the skills

  

Setup a flexible structure

  

Assign responsibilities

  

Rotate roles & responsibilities

MEETINGS

  

Set time aside for face-to-face meetings, initially 2 to 3 hours

  

Have an agenda & stick to it

  

Be respectful of others’ time

  

Record your board minutes starting with competitive rounds

STRATEGY

  

Do a Situation Analysis for the market and for your company

  

Create a purpose & direction for your company ( vision/mission )

  

Determine viable strategic options

  

Do initiate the strategy you want to try during the 1 st or 2 nd round

  

Don’t try to pre-determine the other 5 strategies – you won’t

DECISION MAKING

  

Read the Student Guide and use the Capsim on-line tutorials

  

Do use ALL of the data in the reports and Capstone Courier

  

Don’t become a victim of

‘Analysis – Paralysis’

  

Use the proforma tools - and save often

  

Allow for midcourse corrections, don’t over-react/over-commit

Capstone Business Simulation 35

J411 Capstone - Schedule of Events

CAPSTONE®  SimulaAon  

Individual  Rehearsals  

Individual  

Ar@cles  &  Readings  

 for  

 Class  Discussion  

Team  PracAce  Rounds  

#PR1  –     with  Advanced  Marke9ng    

#PR2  –     adds  HR  

#PR3  –       adds  TQM  

#PR4  –     with  AM,  HR  &  TQM    

Team  CompeAAve  Rounds  

                 

IniAal  Strategy        

                                                                 

                                                                 

 Final  Strategy

#CR1  –     with  Advanced  Marke9ng    

#CR2  –     adds  HR  

#CR3  –       adds  TQM  

#CR4  –     with  AM,  HR  &  TQM    

#CR5  –              

#CR6  –  

#CR7  –  

#CR8  –    

Team  PresentaAons  

Last  Class  Periods  

Team  Decisions    

Due  by  Scheduled      

Date  &  Time  

COMP-­‐XM®  Self-­‐Competency  Review  

Available  aQer  CR#8  –  Complete  by  final  examinaAon  date/Ame  

                                                  Allow  6-­‐8  hours  total  in  up  to  5  separate   sittings

AACSB    

Accredita@on    

Requiremen t

36

Accessing Your Company

You must register (and pay the Capsim fee) to participate in the J411 required

Capstone Business Simulation and Comp-XM Self-Competency Review http://www.capsim.com

Your Industry Number

See Syllabus

Capstone Business Simulation 37

Getting Started

Intro, Rehearsal Tutorial & Situation Analysis

Capstone Business Simulation

38

Getting Started

Intro, Rehearsal Tutorial & Situation Analysis

Capstone Business Simulation 39

Getting Started

Additional Modules – Marketing, HR & TQM

Capstone Business Simulation 40

“If you don’t have a strategy you will be . . . part of somebody else’s strategy.”

- Alvin Toffler

Capstone Business Simulation 41

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