ELSENIER Journal of Financial Economics 36 (1994) 193224 Organizational form and the consequences of high1 leveraged transactions Kroger’s recapitalization a David J. Denis Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State Wniuersity. Blacksburg, VA 24061-0221, USA (Received August 1993; final version receivedJanuary 1994) -Abstract This paper compares the leveraged recapitalization of Kroger Co. with the leveraged buyout of Safeway Stores. While both transactions dramatically increased leverage, Safeway’s also altered managerial ownership, board composition, and executive compensation, while Kroger’s did not. My analysis suggests that these difTeresces in organizational form lead to large dii%erences in post-HLT restructuring actions and value creation. I conclude that the improved incentive structure and increased monitoring provided by the LB0 specialist at Safeway lead managers to generate cash in a more productive manner than the organizational structure employed by Kroger. Key wortr’s: Leveraged buyouts; Wecapitalizations; Restructurings JEL classijkation: G32; G34; G35 1. Introduction During the 198Os, many firms undertook highly leveraged transactions (HLTs) involving debt-financed payouts to shareholders. Although substantial I would like to thank Diane Denis for many valuable discussions and comments and John Easterwood, Rob Hansen, Michael Jensen (the editor), Scott Lee, Jeff Netter, Tim Q&T, Atulya Sarin, Vijay Singal, and Marc Zenner for helpful suggesticns. 1 am also indebted to Karen Wruck (the referee) for many valuable suggestions and for providing some of the data on Safeway Stores. Michelle Rachmaninoff provided excellent assistance in the data collection process. This research has been partially supported by a summer research grant from the R.B. Pamphn College of Business at WI. 0304-405Xj94/$07.00 0 ssljl0304405x9400784 1994 Elsevier Science S.A. All rights reserved x 194 D.J. Den&/ Journal of Financial Economics 36 (1994) 193-224 effort has been devoted to studying these transactions,’ there remain aspects of HLTs that are contrr?versial. For example, Jensen (1989) argues that the leveraged buyout (LBO) organization, characterized by high financial leverage, high managerial equity ownership, and monitoring by active investors such as LB0 sponsors, creates an incentive structure that is superior to that of the typical public corporation in lower growth industries. Under this view, the presence of the LB0 sponsor, with its large equity position and presence on the board of directors, is important in ensuring that, following a buyout, cash flow is generated in the most productive manner. Critics of leveraged buyouts, however, argue that LBOs are flawed in two respects. First, they argue that since LB0 sponsors typically cash out of the firm five to ten years after the buyout, the LB0 organization is inherently shortsighted, focusing on generating short-term cash flows rather than long-run value (Rappaport, 1990). Kaplan (1991) finds that approximately 45% of the large LBOs completed between 1979 and 1986 returned to public ownership at some time prior to August 1990. In his sample, the unconditional median time spent as a private firm is 6.8 years. However, Kaplan also finds that those firms returning to public ownership maintain debt and ownership concentration levels that are substantially higher than pre-buyout levels, suggesting that the firms maintain many characteristics of the LB0 organization even after returning to public ownership status. Second, since buyout sponsors take the firm private, pre-buyout shareholders cannot share in any post-buyout value increases. This has led some observers to argue that leveraged recapitalizations (recaps) are ‘fairer’ to pre-HLT shareholders than LBOs because the firm remains publicly traded following a recap.2 The purpose of this paper is to shed some light on these issues by comparing the public leveraged recapitalization of the Kroger Co. with the leveraged buyout of Safeway Stores Inc. Both firms operate in the grocery store industry; both received buyout offers from Kohlberg, Kravis and Roberts (KKR) in the mid-1980s. KKR ultimately succeeded in taking Safeway private; Kroger rejected KKR’s offer and instead proceeded with a leveraged recapitalization. While both transactions resulted in a debt-to-value ratio exceeding 90%, Safeway’s LB0 resulted in increased managerial shareholdings and majority ownership by its LB0 sponsor, KKR. Following the buyout, KKR also held a majority of seats on the board of directors. In contrast, there was little change in managerial ‘For the effects of leveraged buyouts on operating performance and shareholder returns, see Kaplan (1989), Muscarella and Vetsuypens (1990), and Smith (1990). For the effects of leveraged recapital- izations, see Denis and Denis (1993, 1994) and Palepu and Wruck (1992). 2See, for example, Susan Faludi’s Pulitzer Prize-winning article comparing the Kroger and Safeway transactions (‘The Reckoning: Safeway LB0 Yields Vast Profits But Extracts a Heavy Human Toll’, Wall Street Journd, May 16, 1990). D.J. DenislJournal of Financial Economics 36 (1994) 193-224 195 ownership or board composition following Kroger’s recapitalization. The two transactions thus offer an interesting experimental setting for studying the link between differences in ownership/governance structure, subsequent restructuring, and value creation in highly leveraged firms. Despite similarities in leverage, Kroger and Safeway took substantially different restructuring actions following their HLTs. Specifically, Safeway linked managerial compensation more closely to firm performance; there was no such change at Kroger. Safeway serviced its debt load by selling assets while only modestly reducing its capital expenditure program. In contrast, Kroger cut back on capital expenditures while selling fewer assets. Finally, pre-buyout and post-buyout stock returns and total dollar gains earned by Safeway shareholders were significantly higher than those earned by Kroger shareholders. These differences in restructuring activity and value creation appear to be caused primarily by differences in organizational form. There is evidence that the extent of restructuring at Safeway would not have been as great without the presence of KKR. Conversely, the evidence sug*geststhat the scope of restructuring would have been greater at Kroger had KKR been successful in acquiring control of the firm. These findings support the hypothesis that the improved incentive structure and increased monitoring provided by the LB0 specialist at Safeway led managers to generate cash in a more productive manner than did the organizational structure employed at Kroger. The evidence thus contradicts the claims that LBOs are more short-sighted and create less value in the long run than leveraged recaps. Nevertheless, the positive abnormal returns earned by prerecap Kroger shareholders suggest that the constraints of leverage alone provide managers with a strong incentive to improve organizational efficiency. The paper proceeds as follows. Section 2 provides some background on the grocery store industry and the takeover contests involving Kroger and Safeway. Section 3 summarizes the changes in ownership structure, board composition, and executive compensation following Kroger’s recapitalization aAidSafeway’s LBO. Section 4 reports operating improvements and changes in asset structure and investment policy following each firm’s HLT. Section 5 discusses changes in value surrounding each transaction, and Section 6 concludes. 2. Background 2.1. The grocery store industry The grocery store industry is a highly competitive, low margin industry in which net profit margins typically average only 1% to 1.5% of sales. The industry has traditionally been heavily unionized, with u&n membership averaging 54% of store employees in the early 1980s (‘\IVruck,1992). It is also 196 i).J. DenislJournal of Financial Economics 36 (1994) 193-224 a capital-intensive industry, requiring continual investments in remodeling and updating existing stores. Major store remodelings take place every three to eight years (Standard and Poor’s Industry Surveys, May 2, 1991). According to 1985 COMPUSTAT data, capital expenditures averaged 13.6% of total assets for firms in the grocery store industry (SIC code 5411). This is substantially higher than the rate of capital spending for firms undergoing HLTs in general. Capital expenditures are a median 4.1% of total assets in Kaplan’s (1989) study of management buyouts and 4.9% of assets in Palepu and Wruck’s (1992) study of leveraged payouts. Table 1 reports several characteristics of Kroger and Safeway as of year-end 1985. Kroger operated 1,367 food stores, 872 drug stores, and 643 convenience stores, a total of 2,882 units, primarily in the Midwest, South, and West. With a book value of total assets of $4.2 billion and approximately 178,000 employees, 59% of whom were unionized, Kroger produced $17.1 billion in 1985 revenue (Kroger 1985 Annual Report). Its December 31, 1985 market value of equity was $1.8 billion. Safeway operated 2,365 grocery stores primarily in the West, Southwest, and Mid-Atlantic regions. As of year-end 1985, Safeway had book value of total _ employees, 90% of whom were unionized, and assets of $4.8 billion, I‘7O;Z)Oo produced revenues of $19.7 billion (Safeway 1985 annual report). Its December 31, 1985 market value of equity was $2.2 billion. Despite nearly constant increases in earnings, there was evidence that both firms were underperforming their industry peers. Fig. 1 plots the ratio of operating income to total assets for Kroger, Safeway, and the median firm in the grocery store industry over the years 1975-1985. While Kroger’s and Safeway’s operating profits are similar to one another, they are substantially below that of the median grocery firm in every year (except for Safeway in 1975). The Table 1 Pre-HLT characteristics of Kroger and Safeway; all characteristics are obtained from annual reports and proxy statements as of December 31, 1985 Characteristic -_ Sales revenue Total assets Market value of equity Number of storesa Number of employees Percentage of employees unionized Primary geographic markets Kroger Safeway $17.1 billion $4.2 billion %1.8 billion 2,882 178,000 59% Midwest, South, West $19.7 billion $4.8 billion $2.2 billion 2,365 170,000 90% West, Southwest, Mid-Atlantic ‘Kroger’s total number of stores includes 1,367 food stores, 872 drug stores, and 643 convenience stores. Safeway’s stores are exclusively grocery stores. D.J. DenislJournal qf Financial Economics 36 (1994) 193-224 197 24 22 20 18 16 14 12 IO 1 75 I 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 Fig. 1. Operating income/total assets (%) for Kroger and Safeway relative to the grocery store industry for the fiscal years .975 through 1985. Industry operating performanceis the median ratio of operating income to total assets.for ten firms in the grocery store industry (SIC 5411) operating over the 1975-85 period. All data are obtained from COMPUSTAT. difference between each firms’ profitability and the industry median is statistically significant at the 0.01 level in each year between 1980 and 1985. One explanation for Kroger’s and Safeway’s poor operating profits was the increasing presence of regional, nonunionized chains in their markets. As a result, both Kroger’s and Safeway’s employee costs were becoming much greater than the industry average. By their own estimates, Safeway paid hourly workers 33% more than the industry average wage (Wruck, 1992). Similarly, according to Rotan Mosle analyst Gary Giblen, ‘. . . labor costs at half of Kroger’s stores exceed those of its competitors’ (‘Kroger Stockholders Could Be Bewildered in Selecting from Competing Offers for Firm’, kvbll Street Journal, September 21, 1988). The impact of higher labor costs on operating profitability can be substantial, given the industry’s low profit margins and the fact that labor costs account for approximately 70% of nonfood costs (Vulue Line InoestmentSurvey,August 31, 1984, p. 1507).To see this, consider Safeway’s 1985 operating results. Safeway’s nonfood costs were approximately $5.2 billion (Safeway 1985 annual report). If labor costs comprise 70% of these costs, this implies total labor costs of about $3.6 billion. In 1985, Safeway had an operating income of $754 million and total assets of $4.8 billion. Safeway would therefore need a 6% reduction in its total labor costs to increase its ratio of operating income to total assets by the 23% necessary to achieve the industry median ratio of 20.4%. In an effort to improve their profitability, both Kroger and Safeway initiated modest restructuring programs in the early 1980s. Kroger closed 100 of its unprofitable grocery stores, sold underproductive manufacturing facilities, and sold the company’s 8’70drug stores (Kroger 1986 annual report). Between 1982 and 1985, Safeway sold 149 overseas stores and 73 of its poorest performing 198 D.J. DenislJournal of Financial Economics 36 (1994) 193-224 domestic supermarkets (Wruck, 1992). As Fig. 1 shows, these restructuring efforts were moderately successful in moving profitability closer to the industry median. However, both Kroger’s and Safeway’s operating profitability remained significantly below that of their industry peers. Thus, prior to their HLTs, the two firms faced similar situations. Nevertheless, the firms are not identical in every respect. Differences in restructuring actions and value creation following their HLTs could be due to factors other than differences in organizational form. For example, differences in the type of restructuring may indicate that the optimal restructuring was different for the two firms. It is therefore important to clarify the role played by organizational form in determining the consequences of Kroger’s recapitalization and Safeway’s LBO. 2.2. Summary of takeover threats and leveraged restructurings In July 1986 the Dart Group, a firm controlled by the Haft family, announced a hostile tender offer for Safeway, offering $58 per share, or a total of $3.54 billion. This represented a 33% premium over the price of Safeway’s common stock forty days prior to the offer. Ultimately, Safeway agreed to be acquired through a leveraged buyout involving buyout specialist KKR and a group of Safeway managers. The KKR group offered $69 per share, or $4.2 billion, representing a 57.7% premium over Safeway’s pre-takeover contest price. Panel A of Table 2 summarizes the financial structure of Safeway’s buyout. The transaction was predominantly debt-financed, with debt accounting for over 97% of the new capital. The buyout increased the firm’s total debt from 41% to 96% of the market value of the firm (defined as the market value of equity plus the book values of debt and preferred stock). KKR contributed approximately 96% of the initial equity capital; the remainder was supplied by management investors through a subscription agreement with KKR. In addition, top managers were given the option to purchase additional shares at the same subscription price of $2.00 per share. Shortly after the close of the buyout, these managers exercised some of their options, bringing their fractional ownership to 10.3%. In September of 1988, the Haft family attempted a takeover of Kroger, offering $55 per share, or a total of $4.36 billion. This represented a 39% premium over Kroger’s stock price forty days prior to the takeover contest. Subsequently, KKR topped the Haft family’s bid with a $58.50 per share bid of their own. They eventually raised their bid to $64 per share, or $5.08 billion, representing a premium of 61.8% over the pre-takeover contest price of Kroger’s shares. However, Kroger’s board rejected the bid and pursued its own leveraged recapitalization plan instead, even though analysts placed a higher value on KKR’s offer. [An lysts valued KKR’s offer at $64 per share while Kroger’s recapitalization was valued between $57 and $61 per share. In a letter D.J. Denis / Journal of Financial Economics 36 (1994) 193-224 199 Table 2 Summary of sources and uses of funds and financial structures of Kroger’s leveraged recapitalization and Safeway’s leveraged buyout; all dollar amounts are expressed in millions of dollars (columns do not foot due to rounding error) (A) Safeway Sources of funds Bank credit agreement Issuance of long-term debt KKR equity investment Loan from KKR partners Other” Uses of funds $2700 $1025 $130 $320 $121 (63%) (24%) (3%) (7%) (3%) Purchase of shares: 45 million shares @ $69 16.6 million shares @ $61.60 Related fees and expenses %4320 (100%) $3105 (72%j $1023, (24%) $189 (4%) S4320 (100%) Pre-buyout total debt/market value of firmb = 41% Post-buyout total debt/market value of firm = 96% (B) Kroger Sources of funds Bank credit agreement Private placement of increasing rate notes Junior subordinated discount debenture Working capital facility Uses of funds $2375 (60%) $1000 (20%) $704 (14%) $293 (6%) Special dividend: $40 cash x 80.7 m shares Junior debenture Repayment of other debt Redemption of preferred shares Related fees and expenses Cancellation of stock options $4971 (100%) $3239 $704 $560 $250 $175 $44 (65%) (14%) (11%) (5%) (4%) (1%) $4971 (100%) Pre-recap total debt/market value of firm = 42% Post-recap total debt/market value of firm = 91% “Includes a note payable to the Dart Group ($59 million), a short-term bank loan ($52 million), and a decrease in working capital ($10 million). bMarket va 1ue of firm is defined as the market value of equity plus the book values of debt and preferred stock. to Kroger’s board, KKR noted that ‘. . . we were not even asked if we were in a position to improve our offer. We can only conclude that the board has decided that the company isn’t for sale at any price’ (see ‘KKR Ends Bid to Buy Kroger, Avoiding Fight’, Wail Street Journal, October 12, 1988)]. Under the recap plan, shareholders received a special dividend of $40, a junior subordinated debenture that traded initially at $8.69, and a stub share of common stock that initially traded at SS;f in exchange for each common share held. 200 D.3. Denis/ Journal of Financial Economics 36 (1994) 193-224 Panel B of Table 2 summarizes the financial structure of Kroger’s recapitalization. The payout was financed pramarily through a $3 billion loan from a consortium of banks and through the private placement of $1 billion of increasing rate notes. (These notes were redeemed shortly thereafter following Kroger’s public offerings of $625 million of senior subordinated debentures and $625 million of subordi ated debentures in January 1989.)The recapitalization increased the firm’s total debt to firm value ratio from 42% to 91%. Moreover, because shares held in employee stock option plans received additional Kroger shares rather than the cash dividend, employee ownership increased to 25% of outstanding shares. It is interesting to note in Table 2 that the fees paid in each transaction were nearly identical, both amounting to 4% of the total consideration paid. These fees are somewhat lower than the median fees for large buyouts in the same years, documented in Kaplan and Stein (1993). For example, the median percentage fees for buyouts completed in 1986,the year of Safeway’s buyout, was 5.1%, while the comparable figure for buyouts completed in 1988, the year of Kroger’s recapitalization, was 6.0%. 3. Changes in incentives and monitoring 3.1. Managerial ownership Table 3 documents the changes in managerial ownership following Kroger’s recap and Safeway’s LBO. (All ownership stakes shown are fully diluted, reflecting the exercise of any stock options that could be exercised within six months of the HLT.) There were no changes in the set of individuals occupying the top three management positions - CEO, chairman, president - at either firm as a result of their HLTs. Prior to its recapitalization, Kroger’s officers and directors controlled 1.4% of the common shares with an aggregate dollar value of $62.7 million. Following the recap, the officers and directors controlled 3% of the shares, with an aggregate value of just $21.5 million. The small increase in the fractional ownership by officers and directors is similar to that documented in large-sample studies of leveraged recapitalizations. For example, Denis and Denis (1993) find that equity ownership of officers and directors increases from a median 1.7% to a median of 3.6%. Similarly, Palepu and Wruck (1992) find that ownership increases from 2.9% to 5.9% in their subsample of defensive recapitalizations. Kroger’s ratio of postrecap to pre-rczsp dollar ownership, 0.34, is nearly identical to the median ratio of 0.35 found in Kaplan and Stein (1993) for buyouts completed between 1985 aplan and Stein argue that this ‘cashing out’ can create the e.y ante incentive for managers to pursue a transaction that pays a high upfront premium even if the price is too high or the deal is poorly structured. See Jensen D.J. Denis / Journal of Financial Economics 36 (1994) 193-224 201 Table 3 Common stock ownership of top officers and directors prior to and following Kroger’s recapitalization and Safeway’s LB0 (A) Kroger Stock owners Pre-recap Post-recap Change Officers and directors Fractional stake Dollar stakea 1.4% $62.7 3.0% $21.5 1.6% %- 41.2 2.1 0.34 Top two managers Fractional stake Dollar stakea 0.4% $19.7 1.2% $8.2 0.8% %- 11.5 3.0 0.42 CEO Fractional stake Dollar stakes 0.3% $14.8 0.9% $6.3 0.6% %- 8.5 3.0 0.43 Stock owners Pre-LB0 Post-LB0 Officers and directorsb Fractional stake Dollar stake - 0.7% $24.6 10.3% $19.3 9.6% $ - 5.3 14.7 0.78 Top two malagers Fractional stake Dollar stalkeD 0.2% $8.2 29% $6.0 - 2.7% $ - 2.2 14.5 0.73 CEO Fractional stake Dollar stakea 0.2% $7.9 1.9% $3.9 - 1.7% $ - 4.0 9.5 0.49 Ratio (B) Safeway Change Ratio Ownership data prior to each HLT is obtained from the last proxy statement prior to the start of the control contest. Post-HLT ownership data is obtained from the first proxy statement following completion of the HLT. Both pre- and post-HLT ownership are measured on a fully diluted basis by including any options exercisable within six months of the date of the proxy statement. The column labeled ‘Change’ represents the difference between pre- and post-HLT percentage ownership, while the column labeled ‘Ratio’ represents the ratio of pre- to post-HLT percentage ownership. “Dollar ownership stakes are computed by multiplying number of shares owned times the firm’s stock price. All dollar amounts are expressed in millions of dollars. The pre-HLT share price is the firm’s stock price immediately prior to the execution of the transaction ($56 for Kroger and $61; for Safeway). The post-HLT prices are the first price following Kroger’s recapitalization ($8:) and the price paid for shares in Safeway’s buyout ($2). bSafeway’sownership by officers and directors excludes those shares held by its LB0 sponsor KKR. (1991) for further discussion of this issue. See Wruck’s (1991) study of failed LB0 for an analysis of how, in addition to managerial ‘cashing out’, the fee structure for financial advisors can create the incentive to overpay for a company.] Table 3 also indicates that similar results are obtained if the ownership stakes of just the top managers of the firm are considered. 202 D.J. Denis/Jourd of F,,,ancial Economics 36 (1994) 193-224 In Safeway’s case, officers and directors own 0.7% ($24.6 million) of the firm’s equity prior to the buyout and 10.3% ($i9.3million) following the buyout. By way of comparison, in a study of 124 large management buyouts during the 198Os,Kaplan and Stein (1993) find that managers own 5.0% of the firm’s equity prior tn the !xycu), z:r,C223% after the buyout. Safeway’s ratio of post-buyout to pre-buyout dollar equity ownership of 0.78 is higher than that of Kroger and that of the buyouts studied by Kaplan and Stein (1993) during the same time period. On the basis of these findings, one could argue that managerial incentives should improve much more following Safeway’s buyout than after Kroger’s recapitalization. Safeway managers increase their fractional ownership by a greater amount and, by cashing out less, are less likely to accept a poorly structured or overpriced deal. 3.2. Board composition Prior to their restructurings, Kroger and Safeway were typical of large U.S. corporations in that they had large, stable boards of directors that owned negligible amounts of the firm’s equity. Jensen (1991) argues that such boards have been largely ineffective in monitoring managers of large corporations. Kroger’s board consisted of fourteen members; two members were top officers of the firm, two were officers of Kroger’s main subsidiary (Dillon Companies), and ten were independent outside directors. The independent directors consisted of four CEO/chairmen of other large firms, two retired CEOs, two executives now associated with universities, one economic consultant, and one attorney. The independent directors had been board members for a median of eleven years and collectively owned just 0.02% of Kroger’s common stock. Kroger’s ratio of independent outside board members to total board members, 0.71, was slightly higher than the 0.54 average documented in Hermalin and Weisbach’s (1988) sample of 142 New York Stock Exchange firms in 1983. Safeway’s board consisted of eighteen members; four were employed by the firm, one was the brother of the CEO, and thirteen were independent outside directors. The outside directors had been board members for a median of seven years and collectively owned 0.03% of Safeway’s common stock. The ratio of independent outside directors to total directors was 0.72, almost identical to that of Kroger. The fact that both Kroger and Safeway had boards predominantly made up of independent outsiders prior to their HLTs suggests that a greater number of outside directors alone is not sufficient for effective board monitoring. Table 4 summarizes the composition of the board of directors following Kroger’s recapitalization and Safeway’s LBO. The HLTs of the two firms had dramatically different impacts on board composition. There were no changes in Kroger’s board as a result of their recapitalization. Following the recap, 46 53 45 51 45 62 64 64 49 69 62 54 67 55 56 55 55 66 67 -l_l_.---- I--__-- -__ _I ___- ..._-_-_._ -__ CEO, Safeway Vice-chairman, Safeway General Partner, Kohlberg, Kravis, and Roberts General Partn_.er, Kohlberg, Kravis, and Roberts General Partner, Kohlberg, Kravis, and Roberts Chairman and CEO, Kroger Vice-chairman, Dillon Cos. (Kroger subsidiary) Chairman, Dillon Cos. (Kroger subsidiary) President, Kroger Retired Chairman, Eagle-Picher Ind. Chairman, ADT Security Systems CEO, BellSouth Corp. Retired CEO, Entex Inc. Senior Partner, The Longe Company Executive in Residence, University of Louisville CEO, Burlington Resources CEO, BFGoodrich Executive VP Emeritus, Indiana University Counsel to Lewis, White & Clay Age __-__--- Occupation ____I ___- ‘Kravis, MacDonnell, and Roberts collectively control 89.7% of Safeway’s shares as KKR general partners. __. --_. -_ ------^ _____~__ Total board equity c-dnership = 92.6% Outside board ownership = 89.7% Peter Magowan Harry Sunderland Henry Kravis Robert MacDonneli George Roberts (B) Safeway _._-_-__ -.__ - .--- _-_-_-___.-___ Total board equity ownership = 1.8% Outside board ownership = 0.06% Thomas O’Leary John Ong W. Gear ge Pinnell Otis Smith Lyle Everingham Richard Dillon Ray Dillon Jr. Joseph Pichler William Atteberry Raymond Carey, Jr. John Clendenin Jackson Hinds Patricia Shontz Longe (A) Kroger Director --_- -__--___ I_ 7 yrs. 4 yrs. 0 yrs. 0 yrs. 0 yrs. 18 yrs. 5 yrs. 5 yrs. 5 yrs. 8 yrs. 11 yrs. 2 yrs. 13 yrs. 11 yrs. 20 yrs. 11 yrs. 13 yrs 22 yrs. 5 yrs. Board tenure --__- -- ______ __ 1.9% 1.0% 89.7%” 89.7%” 89.7%” <o.ot % 0.01% < 0.0 1% < 0.1% 0 O!Y!& Q40% 0.16% 0.28% < 0.0 1% 0.02% < 0.0 1% 0.02 % <O.Ol% 0.0 1% Equity Table 4 Structure of board of directors following Kroger’s recapitalization and Safeway’s LBO; each director’s name is followed by his/her age, occupation, tenure on the board, and fractional equity ownership 204 D.J. Denis/ Journal of Financial Economics 36 (1994) 193-224 Kroger’s board held just 1.8% of the firm’s equity, with the outside board members holding a mere 0.06%. In contrast, Safeway’s board size was reduced from eighteen to five members. Only two members of the old board, CEO Peter Magowan and Vice-chairman Harry Sunderland, remained on Safeway’s board following the buyout. The remaining three seats on the new board were occupied Henry Kravis, Robert MacDonnell, and George Roberts, the general partners of KKR’s common stock partnerships. Collectively, the board represented 92.6% of the firm’s equity, with the outside board members (KKR) representing 89.7%. These data suggest that the incentives for closer board monitoring of managerial behavior should be much stronger in Safeway’s case. Indeed, there is evidence that this has been the case. According to Safeway CEO Peter Magowan (Roundtable Discussion, 1991): I think I had a good board when Safeway was a public company before the LBO. But the level of scrutiny and questioning is just not comparable. In our board meetings with KKR, anything can be brought up, and management has to really work to defend itself. It is just utterly different from what goes on in public companies. Thus, it appears that KKR has exerted significant influence over Safeway’s management since the buyout. In contrast, there is no evidence from public sources of any change in the influence that Kroger’s board had over managerial decision making. 3.3. Executive compensation Prior to their HLTs, Kroger and Safeway were similar to the large firms studied in Jensen and Murphy (1990a) in that there was a low correlation between the cash compensation of the top executive and the performance of the firm. Regressions similar to those estimated in Jensen and Murphy (1990a) indicate that at Kroger, over the years 1975-89, CE@ cash compensation increased by $0.063 for every $1000 increase in shareholder wealth. In comparison, Jensen and Murphy’s sample shows that the average change in CEO pay for each $1000 change in shareholder wealth is $0.022. At Safeway, CEO compensatior changed by $0.276 per $1000 change in shareholder wealth. Coupled with the low equity ownership of top executives at each of the firms (documented in Table 3), these findings imply a very low correlation between CEO wealth changes and changes in shareholder wealth prior to the Kroger and Safeway HLTs. Table 5 summarizes the primary features of the executive compensation plans at Kroger and Safeway following their HLTs. Kroger’s proxy statements reveal that there was no formal change in the structure of executive cash compensation D.J. Denis/ Journal of Financial Econon~ics 36 ( 1994) 193-224 205 Table 5 Primary features of executive compensation plans at Kroger and Safeway after the recapitalization and buyout; details of compensation plans are obtained from corpora;e proxy statements and 10-K reports immediately following Kroger’s leveraged recapitalization in 1988 and Safeway’s leveraged buyout in 1986 Kroger Safeway Salary/bonus Low pay/performance sensitivity. Bonus tied to EBITDA and Sales. Avg. bonus = 56% of salary.a High pay/performance sensitivity. Bonus tied to return on market value of assets. Max. bonus = 110% of salary. Stock options 507,800 (0.6% of shares). 1,037,078(1.4% of shares). Implied ser,sitivity: $3.60 per $lOWb Implied sensitivity: $8.40 per $1000. Direct ownership of shares 198,538 (0.3% shares) Implied sensitivity: $3.00 per $1000 712,922 (1.O% of shares) Implied sensitivity: $10 per $1000. aPrior to 1992, Kroger’s proxy statements give few details on the criteria used for awarding bonuses to top executives. Hence, it is not possible to identify the maximum bonus. However, Kroger’s 1992 proxy statement indicates that CEO bonuses averaged 56% of salary over the 1990-92 period. bImplied sen s’itivity ’ of options is estimated as 0.6 times the implied sensitivity of the same fractional stake of common stock. as a result of the firm’s recapitalization. Prior to 1992, Kroger’s proxy statements give few details on the criteria used for awarding bonuses to top executives. However, the 1989 proxy states that the average yearly bonus paid to CEO Everingham over the 1987-89 period was equal to 60-70% of his salary. Following the recap, the 1992 proxy indicates that CEO bonuses averaged 56% of salary over the 1990-92 period and were awarded on the basis of sales and operating earnings. Unfortunately, it is not possible to judge from the above information alone whether the sensitivity of executive pay to firm performance changed following the recap. However, although the limited data points suggest caution in interpreting the results, Jensen/Murphy regressions for the years 1989-92 indicate that Kroger’s pay/performance sensitivity was actually negative over this period. In addition to cash compensation, Kroger’s CEO owned options on 0.6%, and directly owned 0.3%, of the firm’s shares following the recapitalization. The sensitivity in the value of the options is assumed to be 0.6 times the sensitivity of the same percentage of common stock,3 implying a pay/performance sensitivity 3?‘his approximates the slope of the option-pricing function and has been shown in Jensen and Murphy (1990b) to work fairly well in large-sample simulations. Gilson and Vetsuypens (1993) also use this scale factor in their study of CEO compensation in financially distressed firms. 206 D. J. Denis/ Journal of Financiai Economics 36 t 1994) I93--224 of $3.60 per $lUOO.When added to the $3.00 per “SlOOO sensitivity implied by the CEO’s direct equity ownership, these two components of CEO wealth alone imply a pay/performance sensitivity of $6.60 per $1000. In contrast to Kroger, there were major changes in execuiive compensation following Safeway’s buyout. While there were no changes in salary levels, there were substantial changes in bonus payments. The maximum bonus paid to a top executive prior to the buyout was equal to approximately 40% of the executive’s base salary. Following the buyout, bonuses paid to top executives ranged as high as 110% of the executive’s salary (Safeway 1991 proxy statement).4 Moreover, following the buyout, a greater attempt was made to tie bonus payments to performance measures. Top executive bonuses are paid on the basis of a measure of the return on the market value (ROMV) of the firm’s assets in excess of targeted returns. As explained by CEO Peter Magowan (Roundtable Discussion, 1991): If our managers don’t hit 90% of their plan, they get no bonus. If ;hev hit their plan, they get half of the potential bonus they can earn, and $i they beat their plan by 20%, they get the other half. So there is a big incentive to beat the plan. Also, in order to guard against short-run behavior, only half of the bonuses are paid out in the year they are earned. The other half is paid out two years after being mitially awarded, but only if pre-established ROMV goals are achieved during the two-year period (Safeway 1991 prtixy statement). In addition to cash compensation, Safeway’s CEO Magowan owned options on 1.4%, and directly owned l.O%, of the firm’s shares. These two components of CEO wealth imply a pay/performance sensitivity of $18.40 per $1000, much higher than that documented in Jensen and Murphy’s (1990a) sample and more than double that for Kroger. 3.4. Sunzmar~~of changes in incentives and monitoring In short, there appear to be large differences in the organizational structures of Kroger and Safeway following their I-ILTs. Ownership structure and board composition at Safeway are altered in a way that not only gives top managers more incentive to maximize firm value, but is also likely to increase the monitoring of top management. In addition, there is a shift in executive compensation policy that ties compensation more closely to firm perftirmance. Similar changes are not present at Kroger. 4These changes in bonus payment ;=s:ky 2:~ very similar to those following the buyout of O.M. Scott. See Bake-r cd -JvruclC( !%9). Journal of Financial Ecomnaics $8 207 4. The consequences of high leverage 4.1. Meeting debt service requirements Table 6 compares projected interest and principal payments in the first three years following each HLT with the difference between earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and capital expenditures as of the year ending just prior to the HLT. In other words, Table 6 reports how much additional cash is required by Kroger and Safeway to meet projected interest Table 6 Projections of cash shortfalls and debt coverage ratios for Kroger and Safeway for the first three years following their respect sve H LTs Yr. I Yr. 2 Yr. 3 Average Yr.l-Yr.3 Total (A) Kroger - Capital expenditures (Yr. - 1) 169.5 Interest payments (651.0) Principal payments (335.0) 169.5 169.5 169.5 (563.8) (238.6) (535.2) (339.4) (583.3) w4.39 508.5 (1749.9) (912.9) Estimated shortfall (632.9) (705.1) (718.1) (2154.3) EBITDA (816.5) interest coverage Interest + Principal coverage 0.97 0.64 1.12 0.79 1.18 0.72 1.08 0.71 1.08 0.71 Shortfall/EBI TDA Shortfall/Total assets Shortfall/Capital expenditures 1.29 0.18 1.76 1.00 0.14 1.37 1.12 0.16 1.53 1.14 0.16 1.55 1.14 0.48 1.55 EBITDA - Capital expenditures (Yr. - 1) 135.0 Interest payments (579.7) Principal paymentsa (397.7) 135.0 (402.9) (578.9) 135.0 (384.5) (340.8) 135.0 (455.7) (439.1) 405.0 (1367.1) (1317.3) Estimated shortfall (842.4) (846.8) (590.3) (759.8) (2279.4) Interest coverage Interest + Principal coverage 1.31 0.85 1.88 0.77 1.97 1.05 1.67 0.85 1.67 0.85 ?jhortfall/EBITD,4 Shortfall/Total assets Shortfall/Capital expenditures 1.11 0.19 1.35 1.12 0.19 1.36 0.78 1.00 0.17 1.22 1.00 0.51 1.22 (B) Safeway 0.14 0.95 Cash shortia!!s are estimated assuming that the difference between earnings before interest, taxes depreciation and amoriization (EBITDA) and capital expenditures in the years following each HLT remains unchanged from the year prior te the HI*T. Debt coverage ratios are defined as EBITD.4 divided by debt service requirement for the particular year. “Principal payments for Safeway reflect the refinancing of a portion of the bank debt used in the LRO through the issuance of $1.1 billion of junior subordinated debentures in early 1987. 288 D.J. Denis/Journal of Financid Economics 36 (1994) 193-224 and principal payments in the first three years following each HLT, holding the level of EBITDA and capital expenditures constant at pre-HLT levels. Over the first three years following its recapitalization, Kroger’s estimated cash shortfall averages $718 million per year, while the ratio of EBITDA to interest and principal payments averages just 0.7 1. Similarly, Safeway’s projected shortfall averages $760 million per year over the three years following its buyout. Safeway’s ratio of EBITDA to interest and principal payments averages 0.85 over the same period. There are several means of generating the cash necessary to service debt payments in excess of current EBITDA. These include (but are not limited to) increases in operating performance, the sale of assets, and reductions in capital expenditures. Table 6 provides data on how much EBITDA, total assets, and capital expenditures would have to change in order to cover the projected cash shortfall if each were the sole cash-generating source. (Other potential sources of cash, such as reductions in pension contributions and working capital changes, are ignored for simplicity.) For each of the three years following each HLT, Table 6 reports the ratio of the estimated cash shortfall to EBITDA, total assets, and capital expenditures. To meet the expected annual shortfall over the three years following its recapitalization, Kroger would need to increase EBITDA by 114%, reduce total assets by 16% annually, or reduce annual capital expenditures by 155% (or, of course, some combination of these actions). Similarly, in the three years following its buyout, Safeway would need to increase EBZTDA by lOO%, reduce total assets by 17% annually, or reduce capital expenditures by 122%. In other words, even if Kroger and Safeway eliminated all capital expenditures, current EBITDA would be insufficient to cover projected debt obligations. Thus, operating improvements or asset sales are necessary in order to avoid default. Both firms are also initially constrained to some extent by the covenants of their bank credit agreements. Kroger is required to maintain an interest coverage ratio of 1: 1, total liabilities must be no more than 27.5 times net worth, and net worth must be at least $20 million. Any asset sales must be approved by the members of the bank consortium, and all proceeds of asset sales greater than $10 million must be used to prepay the senior loan. Capital expenditures are initially constrained to $215 million; lease obligations are restricted to $275 million. In the year prior to the recapitalization, capital expenditures were $464 million and lease obligations were $236 million. Safeway is required to maintain an interest coverage ratio of 1.1: 1 and senior debt must be no more than twice net worth. Like Kroger, asset sales must be approved by the bank consortium and all asset sale proceeds must be used to prepay the senior loam. Capital expenditures and lease obligations are initially constrained to $232 million and $340 million, respectively. In the year prior to the buyout, capital expenditures were $623 million and lease obligations were !M3 n?!lion. Safeway has no minimum net worth requirement. D.J. Denis/ Journal of Financial Economics 36 (1994) 193-224 209 4.2. Changes in EBITDA Panel A of Table 7 indicates that bot6 Kroger and Safeway experience large increases in operating performance following their HLTs. From the year prior to the HLT through the fourth full year following the HLT [ - 1,4], the ratio of EBITDA to total assets increases 49.0% for Kroger and 69.3% for Safeway, and Table 7 Changes in operating returns, asset structure, and investment policy following Kroger’s recapitahzation and Safeway’s LBO; percentage changes are measured for various windows surrounding the year of the MLT (year 0): data are obtained from proxy statements and 10-K reports Percentage changes Yr. - 1 level c-3, -1-J [- l,l] [-1,2-J c- 1331 C-U1 (A) Changes in operating performance EBITDA/Assets Kroger Safeway 14.2% 15.7% - 4.0% - 3.4% 33.7% 48.5% 44.2% 26.0% 61.6% 3.6% 3.9% - 0.6% 5.9% 23.1% 25.7% 23.1% 14.5% 9.1% 30.3% 6.8% 16.0% - 4.9% - 34.4% - 7.7% - 41.7% - 7.8% - 36.8% - 3.5% - 36.8% 57.1% 49.0% 69.3% EBI TD A/Sales Kroger Safeway 14.5% 41.5% (B) Effect of asset sales Total assets’ Kroger Safeway $4,46Om %7,5OOm Number of grocery stores Kroger Safeway 1234 2325 - 6.4% 1.0% 0.0% - 32.6% 1.7% - 50.8% 2.4% - 52.0% 3.2% - 52.7% 170 164 - 4.8% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.7% - 20.3% - 34.8% -- 33.1% - 30.5% 10.4% 8.3% 15.9% - 0.9% - 70.0% - 41.7% - 75.1% - 29.0% - 46.9% - 3.0% - 46.2% 24.1% 2.6% 3.2% 18.2% 10.3% - ?3.1% - 59.4% - 57.7% - 28.1% - 61.5% - 18.8% - 58.1% 3.1% - Number of employees (000s) Kroger Safeway (C) Changes in investment Cap. exy./Assets’ Kroger Safeway Cap. exp./Sales Kroger Safeway “Sa.feway’syear - 1 book value of total assets has been written up to reflect the restatement of asset values associated with the purchase method of accounting for the buyout. Thus, the year - 1 levels of total assets and capital expenditures/total assets are not directly comparable for the two firms. 210 D.J. Denisl Journal of Financial Economics 36 (1994) 193-224 the ratio of EBZTDA to sales irrcreases 14.5% for Kroger and 41.5% for Safeway. If anything, these changes in operating returns are slightly larger than those documented in previous studies. 5 Nevertheless, when they are compared to the cash shortfalls in Table 6, it is clear that the increases in EBITDA are by themselves insufficient to cover the projected cash shortfall of each firm. The increases in EBITDA are consistent with improved operating performance following Kroger’s recap and Safeway’s LBQ. Of course, to the extent that the firms ,sell unprofitable divisions following their HLTs, post-HLT operating performance measures will present a biased view of estimated performance improvements within remaining divisions. This bias is particularly relevant in Safeway’s case. Prior to the LBQ, 40% of Safeway’s stores were supporting the ther 600/o (Wruck, 1992). Following the buyout, as shown below, Safeway sells a large fraction of its underperforming assets. Also, operating performance may increase simply because managers cut back on discretionary expense items such as advertising, maintenance, and repairs. While exact figures are not available, it is apparent from the 10-K reports that both firms do cut back on some of these discretionary expenditures. Reductions in discretionary items may result in temporary increases in operating cash flows even though the reductions may be harmful to the firm’s long-term competitive position. Thus, it is not certain that the operating changes documented in Table 7 represent valuable operating improvements. This issue is addressed in Section 5, where I compare the value created in Kroger’s recapitalization to that of Safeway’s LBO. 4.3. Asset sales The appendix summarizes major asset sales by Kroger and Safeway following their respective HLTs. Despite similar leverage-induced cash constraints and operating changes, there is a dramatic difference in the magnitude of asset sales for the two firms. Kroger’s asset sales are moderate, netting only $351 million, and consisting of a mix of supermarkets and food processing facilities. In contrast, Safeway’s asset sales in the two years following their buyout are primarily supermarkets and net approximately $2.3 billion. The fact that Kroger sold relatively more nonstore assets gives the impression that Kroger had diversified more than Safeway into food processing and warehousing. This does not, however, appear to be the case. Prior to the -- ‘See Denis and Denis (1993) and Palepu and Wruck (1992) for evidence on operating changes following leveraged recapitalizations, Kaplan (1989), Muscarella and Vetsuypens (1990), and Smith (1990) for operating changes following management buyouts, and Healy, Palepu, and Ruback (1992) for operating changes following larger mergers. Similar results are obtained when the operating returns are adjusted for contemporaneous industry changes. D.J. DenislJournaI of Financial Economics 36 (1994) 193-224 211 recapitalization, Kroger operated 38 food processing plants and 12 membership warehouses. Safeway operated 66 distribution-warehousing centers, 17 freestanding warehouses, and 72 manufacturing and processing facilities. The net effect of these differences in divestiture programs is apparent in panel B of Table 7 and in Fig. 2. Between the year prior to the NLT and the first full year following the HLT, [ - 1,11,the book value of total assets is reduced by 4.9% for Kroger and 34.4% for Safeway. (Safeway’s percentage changes are computed after having written up the book value of year - 1 assets to reflect the restatement of asset values associated with the purchase method of accounting 7.5 7 6.5 6 5.5 5 4.5 4 3.5 3 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 3 -2 -1 0 I 2 3 4 12 I1 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 Fig. 2. Book value of total assets (in §bilhons) and the ratio of capital expenditures to total assets (%) for Kroger and Safeway for years - 3 through + 4 relative to their All data are taken from annual reports and proxy statements. Safeway’s 0 book value of total assets have been written up to reflect the restatement of asset values associated with the purchase meCod of accounting for the buyout. Thus, levels of total assets and capital expenditures/total assets are not directly comparable for the two firms. 212 D.J. Denis/ Journal of Financial Economics 36 (1994) 193-224 for the buyout.) Similarly, for the year [ - 1,4] window, total assets are reduced by 3.5% for Kroger and 36.8% for Safeway. These asset sales result in a net increase in the number of grocery stores of 3.2% for Kroger and a net reduction of 52.7o/ofor Safeway. When the amount of cash generated from these asset sales is considered, it is apparent that Kroger’s asset sales alone are insufficient to alleviate the firm’s cash shortage. As indicated in Table 6, Kroger’s total projected shortfall in the first three years following the recapitalization is $2.2 billion, more than six times the $351 million generated by its asset sales. In contrast, the $2.3 billion generated by Safeway’s asset sales is approximately equal to the firm’s total year 1 through year 3 projected cash shortfall. Given the similarities in leverage-induced cash constraints, such large differences in the magnitude of asset sales are surprising. These differences are, however, consistent with the hypothesis that organizational form in part determines the consequences of highly leveraged transactions. Indeed, there is evidence that, absent the presence of an active monitor like KKR, Safeway would have sold fewer assets. Safeway CEO Peter Magowan was initially opposed to the extent of Safeway’s divestitures (Anders, 1992, p. 207), but ‘KKR officials gave him little choice if he wanted to stay on board’ (See ‘The Reckoning: Safeway LB0 Yields Vast Profits but Exacts a Heavy Human Toll’, BQll Street Journ~I, May 16, 1990.) By contrast, Kroger sold fewer assets than expected. After Kroger received KKR’s buyout offer, analysts speculated that the magnitude of post-buyout asset sales would be similar to what had been observed at Safeway, and would come from Kroger’s food manufacturing and processing businesses, their Price Saver warehouse club chain, their convenience store division, and underperforming supermarkets in Texas, North and South Carolina, Tennessee, and Detroit. Rotan Mosle analyst Gary Giblen noted that this magnitude of asset sales ‘. . . will not be necessary, but will certainly be highly desirable’ (see ‘Kroger Draws Bid Flurry; KKR Seen Likely Victor’, Supermarket News, September 26, 1988). One possible exp!anation for Kroger’s low divestiture rate is that there was some exogenous change - such as a reduction in the liquidity of the asset sale market - that prevented Kroger from selling as many assets as expected. [Shleifer and Vishny (1992) argue that an increase in the liquidity of asset sale markets in the 1980s was at least partially responsible for the growth in the junk bond market. Denis and Denis (1994) argue that the unusually high rate of financial distress for leveraged recapitalizations completed in the late 1980s is due in part to an exogenous reduction in the liquidity of the asset sale market induced by unexpected economic and regulatory developments.] However, such a change seems unlikely, given the fact that over approximately the same time period, Safeway sold over $2 billion of assets. Moreover, there is no evidence that Kroger ever expected to sell any more assets than they ultimately sold. In the announcement of the proposed recapitalization, CEO Lyle Everingham stated that Kroger ‘. . . expects to raise about $333 million from the sale of D.J. DenislJournal of Financial Economics 36 (1994) 193-224 213 certain assets . .’(see ‘Kroger Chief Expects Asset Sales to Reap $333 Million for Bid to Stay Independent’, Wall Street JOUUU&September 27, 1988). Prior to its LBO, Safeway was unable to obtain concessions from labor unions, in part because the firm’s financial performance seemed relatively strong. From 1981 to 1985, EPS increased at a rate of 20% annually and dividends increased correspondingly. As emphasized in DeAngelo and DeAngelo (1991). if a firm is to obtain wage concessions, it is important that managers make a credible case that the firm’s viability is threatened. Following the buyout and its increase in financial leverage, Safeway was able to make such a case by offering certain assets for sale. Safeway’s strategy was to offer to sell divisions intact to union buyers, thereby allowing as many employees as possible to retain their jobs, even if they no longer were employed by Safeway. Wage concessions prior to the asset sale would allow Safeway to obtain a higher price for the sold divisions, and therefore reduce the number of divisions sold. As stated by Peter Magowan (Roundtable Discussion, 1991, p. 34). l The potential buyers said to us, ‘We will pay you a much higher price for these assets provided we can get labor cost concessions.’ And though the union, of course, didn’t want those concessions, they certainly did not want the stores to be sold to non-union buyers. So, faced with that choice, the union then made the concessions we asked for. [After observing the shutdown of Safeway’s Dallas operations where labor costs were deemed to be too high, one of the negotiators for the United Food and Commercial Workers union likened the bargaining sessions to ‘. . . coming to the table with a gun at our heads’ (see ‘The Reckoning: Safeway LB0 Yields vast Profits but Extracts a Heavy Human Toll’, Wall Street Journai, May 16,1990).] As a consequence, wages were cut by 20-30% in divisions 5at were sold by Safeway (Anders, 1992, p. 209); however, wages were not renegotiated in divisions that were kept. In contrast, Kroger did obtain some reductions in hourly salaries in stores that the firm did not sell. These reductions were, however, generally smaller than those at Safeway. The average hourly salary of Kroger store workers was reduced by approximately 13% and came in exchange for additional stock options that were made available to all employees (see ‘Facing Raiders, Kroger Took Another Path’, Wall Street Jsuraul, May 16, 1990). 4.4. Reductions in investment Panel C of Table 7 and Fig. 2 summarize changes in capital expenditures at Kroger and Safeway in the years surrounding their respective I-ILTs. The evidence suggests that Kroger substitutes larger decreases in investment levels for its reluctance to sell assets. The ratio of capital expenditures to total assets is reduced by approximately 46% in the four years following Kroger’s recapitalization. 214 D.J. Denis/ Journal of Financial Economics 36 (1994) 193-224 Kroger’s proxy statements reveal that actual post-recap capital expenditures were less than half of what had been expected prior to the recapitalization. This translates into annual reductions of approximately $249 million, nearly as large as the total cash generated through Kroger’s asset sales and approximately 35% of the annual projected cash shortfall documented in Table 6. Moreover, the reductions in investment appear to be long-lived. While actual capital expenditures can oniy be measured through year + 4 (1992), the 1991 proxy statement indicates that Kroger expects capital expenditures to grow from $241 million in 1991 to an average of $300 million over the 1993-95 period. Thus, the ratio of capital expenditures to total assets will remain approximately 33% below what it was prior to the recapitalization. (This figure is estimated by first dividing the expected capital expenditure level, $300 million, by the 1992 level of total assets, $4303.1 million. The resulting ratio, 0.070 is then compared to the pre-recap ratio, 0.104.) In contrast, by selling a greater fraction of its assets, Safeway appears able to minimize reductions in investment following its LBO. Capital expenditures 2,s a percentage of total assets and sales are reduced by just 3.0% and 18.80/o, respectively, over the three years following the buyout. Moreover, in 1990 (year + 4), Safeway initiated a $3.2 billion capital expenditure program to be completed over the following five years. As a result, capital expenditures rose dramatically in 1990 and 1991, such that the ratio of capital expenditures to total assets was 24% higher than its pre-buyout level in 1990 (year + 4) and 48% higher in 1991 (year + 5). It is noteworthy that, given Safeway’s increases in EBITDA following the buyout, had the firm reduced capital expenditures by the same percentage as Kroger, it would have generated sufficient cash to cover its projected cash shortfall without selling any assets. Thus, it appears that Safeway’s strategy was to remove the leverage-induced cash flow constraints as quickly as possible through asset sales in order to increase capital expenditures, while Kroger chose to handle the constraints of leverage by reducing investment. Following Kroger’s announcement of its proposed recapitalizatzon, analysts questioned the wisdom of a strategy that involved any sustained cutbacks in capital expenditures. According to First Manhattan Co. analyst John Kosecoff (see ‘Kroger Restructuring to Fend Off Takeovers’, Suplermarket News, September 19, 1988): Kroger could certainly sustain a dramatic cut in capital spending for a year, but they’d be unlikely to sustain it at that low a level over a longer period of time. Supermarkets are a capital-intensive business, and you’ve got to maintain your store base at a reasonable level. Analysts also expressed concern over the fact that Kroger’s capital spending levels remained at less than one-third the industry norm more than two years D.J. DenislJournal of Financial Economics 36 (1994) 193-224 215 after the firm’s recapitalization. According to Value Line, ‘Kroger has to pass up capital investments for the next few years which would likely generate annual pre-tax returns of 20% or more’ (Value Line Investment Survey, May 24, 1991). 5. Value created throughthe Krogerand Safeway HLTs Results from the previous section suggest that organizational form in part determines the manner in which firms handle the constraints of leverage. This section attempts to determine whether the differences in organizational form and restructuring strategy are also associated with differences in the amount of value created in each HLT. 5.1. Returns to shareholders Table 8 reports nominal and abnormal returns earned by the pre-HLT and post-HLT shareholders of each firm. Pre-HLT returns are measured over the interval extending from 40 days prior to the start of each control contest through the outcome of the control contest. For Kroger the control contest begins with the announcement on 9/12/M of the Haft family receiving clearance to buy an unspecified stake in the firm. For Safeway, the contest begins when the Haft family announces on 6/13/86 that it holds a 5.9% stake and may attempt to acquire the firm. The outcome date reflects a subjective judgment as to the date upon which all uncertainty regarding the outcome of the takeover contest is resolved. For Kroger, this date is the date at which KKR withdraws its bid (lO/ll/SS), while for Safeway this date is the day on which Safeway agrees to be aquired by KKR (7/Z/86). Post-HLT returss are measured from completion of the recapitalization through December 31, 1992 for Kroger and from the date of going private through December 31, 1992 for Safeway. Annualized post-HLT abnormal returns based on a 25O-trading-day year are also computed, Pre-HLT abnormal returns are measured using the standard market mode! technique with parameters esrimated over the 250-trading-day period beginning 290 days prior to the beginning of the pre-HLT period. Post-HLT abnormal returns are estimated using the market-adjusted returns method since Safeway’s private status precludes the estimation of market model parameters. Stock prices for 1992 are hand-collected from Standard 2ZI;CPoor’s Daily Stock Price Record. All other data are obtained from the daily returns tape of the Center for Research in Securities Prices (CRSP). The results in Table 8 indicate higher returns to the pre-HLT shareholders of Safeway. Cumulative abnormal returns (CARS) are 60.7% (t = 7.1) for Safeway and 47.3% (t = 6.1) for Kroger in the pre-HLT period. The difference in the CARS of the two firms is significant at the 0.10 level (t = 1.7). These abnormal 216 D.J. Denis/ Journal of Financial Economics 36 (I 994) 193-224 Table 8 Nominal and risk-adjusted returns to shareholders in Kroger’s recapitalization and Safeway’s LB0 Kroger Safeway (A) Pre-HLT returns Nominal pre-HLT equity returns [R,,,] Abnormal pre-HLT equity returns [ARpJa Abnormal dollar gains to shareholders (millions) 59.4% 71.6% 60.7% 7.1) 47.3% (t = 6.1) (t = $1294.1 $1434.8 (B) Post-HLT returns Nominal post-HLT equity returns [I&J Abnormal post-HLT equity returns [ARposc]’ Annualized post-HLT abnormal retumsb Abnormal dollar gains to shareholders (millions) 74.1% 550.0% 23.7% (t = 0.3) 482.9% (t = 6.0) 5.7% 79.4% $170.2 $653.5 177.5% 1015.4% 82.2% 836.9% 9.8% 128.8% (C) Total returns Total nominal equity returns [TR = (( 1 + Rpre)x (1 + R,,)) - l] Total abnormal equity returns [TAR = ((1 + AR,,,) x (1 + AR,,,)) - l] Annualized total abnormal equity returnsb Total dollar gains to shareholders (millions) Total dollar gains to shareholders as a percent of pre-HLT equity value $1464.3 53.5% $2088.3 88.3% Returns are separated into pre-HLT and post-HLT periods. The pre-HLT period extends from 40 days prior to the control contest through the outcome of the control contest. For Kroger, the control contest begins with the announcement on 9/12/88 of the Haft family receiving clearance to buy an unspecified stake in the firm. For Safeway, the contest begins when the !-MI family announces on a/13/86 that it holds a 5.9% stake and may attempt to acquire the firm. The post-HLT period extends from the date of rei-apitalization through 12/31/92 (approximately 4.3 years) for Kroger and from the date of going private through 12/31/92 (approximately 6.2 years) for Safeway. “Abnormal equity returns in the pre-HLT period are computed using the standard market model technique with parameters estimated over the 250-day period beginning 290 days prior to the beginning of the pre-HLT period. Post-HLT abnormal returns are computed using the marketadjusted returns method. bAnnualized abnormal returns are computed on the basis of a 250-trading-day year. returns translate into abnormal dollar gains of $1,435 million for Safeway and $1,294 million for Kroger shareholders. The abnormal returns for both firms are slightly higher than those documented in previous studies. Kaplan (1989) reports median CARS of about 26% for a sample of management buyouts, while Denis and Denis (1993) and Palepu and Wruck (1992) report average CARS of 32% and 24%, respectively, in samples of leveraged recapitalizations. D.J. Den&/Journal of Financial Economics 36 (1994) 193-224 217 Shareholder returns in the post-HLT period are more than twenty times higher for Safeway than for Kroger. Post-HLT abnormal returns are 482.9% (t = 6.0) for Safeway and 23.7% (t = 0.3) for Kroger. The difference is significant at the 0.01 level (t = 6.2). Annualized post-HLT abnormal returns are 79.4% for Safeway and 5.7% for Kroger. These post-HLT returns translate into abnormal dollar gains of $654 million and $170 million for the shareholders of Safeway and Mroger, respectively. The post-LB0 returns earned by Safeway shareholders are similar to those documented in previous large-sample studies of management buyouts. For example, the median post-buyout equity return in Kaplan’s (1989) sample is 785.6%. Similarly, the annualized equity return between LB0 and IPO is 268.4% in Muscarella and Vetsuypens’ (1990) sample of reverse LBOs. Kroger’s positive post-HLT returns differ from the negative median post-recap abnormal returns documented for defensive recapitalizations in Palepu and Wruck (1992). Finally, Table 8 documents the total returns earned by pre-HLT and postHLT shareholders. Total abnormal equity returns axe 82.2% for Kroger and 836.9% for Safeway. Total annualized abnormal returns are 9.8% for Kroger and 128.8% for Safeway. The total abnormal dollar gain of $1,464 million for Kroger shareholders amounts to 53.5% of the pre-HLT market value of the firm’s equity. Safeway’s total abnormal dollar gain of $2,088 million amounts to 88.3% of the firm’s pre-HLT market value of equity. Fig. 3 shows the stock price performance of Kroger and Safeway for the period extending from January 1, 1985 through December 3 1, 1992. For each month, market-adjusted performance indices are computed for each firm as the ratio of the fir.m’s cumulative raw return (from l/1/85) to the cumulative return on the S&P 500 portfolio. Thus, if the firm’s stock price performance equals that of the market, the index will equal one. Safeway’s performance index is assumed to increase linearly during the time that the firm is a private company. For purposes of comparison, Fig. 3 also presents the market-adjusted performance index for the portfolio of firms comprising the S&P retail stores-food chains index. This comparison provides some assurance that the abnormal performance of Kroger and Safeway is not due to industry etiects. As depicted in Fig. 3, both firms outperform both the market and the industry portfolio following their HLTs. Safeway’s market-adjusted performance index reaches a high of 10.3 in mid-1.990, over six times the industry index of 1.7 at that time. Kroger’s index reaches a high of 3.1 in late 1990, nearly double the industry index of 1.6 at that time. Both firms display reductions rn their performance index during the latter part of 1991 and 1992. Nevertheless, they continue to outperform their industry peers. By the end of 1992, Safeway’s performance index of 6.7 is still more than four times the industry index of 1.5, while Kroger’s index is 2.2. The findings in Table 8 and Fig. 3 are consistent with the hypothesis that the strategic changes were more valuable for Safeway shareholders than were the D.J. Denis/ Journal of Financial Economics 36 (1994) 193-224 KKRLBO offer hr Safeway 7t2a186 I Dec. 1985 -.I I Jun. 1986 Dec. 1986 . Jun. 1987 I Dec. 1987 I Jun. 1988 I Dec. 1988 I I I Jun. Dec. Jun. 1989 1989 1990 I Dec. 1990 I I . Jun. Dec. Jon. 1991 1991 1992 Fig. 3. Market-adjusted performance index for Kroger, Safeway, and a portfolio of grocery firms from January 1, 1985 through December 31, 1992. The industry portfolio consists of the eight firms (besides Kroger and Safeway) comprising the S&P retail stores-food chains index: Albertson’s, American Stores, Bruno’s, Food Lion, Giant Food, Great Atlantic and Pacific, Super Valu Stores, and Winn-Dixie Stores. For each month, a market-adjusted performance index is computed for each firm and the industry portfolio as the ratio of the firm’s cumulative raw return (since January 1, 1985) to the cumulative return on the S&P 500. Since cumulative returns on the S&P 500 are small during 1985, the performance indices are unusually high during this year. Safeway’s market-adjusted performance index is assumed to increase linearly over the period between when it goes private (Nov. 1986) and when it goes public through its IPG (April, 1990). changes at Kroger. If it is true that differences in organizational form are responsible for the different post-HLT strategies, then these findings support the claim that the organizational form employed at Safeway was superior in bringing about changes that maximized firm value. Note, however, that the large positive abnormal returns earned by Kroger shareholders suggest that the pressures of high leverage alone are sufficient to generate valuable operating improvements. 5.2. The marginal value of Kroger’s recapitalization An alternative way to assess the valuation effects of differences in organizational form is to compare realized shareholder returns with an ex ante estimate D.J. Denis/Jouwal of Financia! Economics 36 (1994) 193-224 219 of what realized returns would have been under a different organizational form. Such a comparison is possible in the case of Kroger since their recapitalization came in response to a leveraged buyout offer from KKR. Investors were able to assess the expected valuation consequences of a KKR-led buyout of the firm as well as the expected valuation consequences of the recapitalization that was ultimately adopted. Examining stock returns surrounding selected events during Kroger’s control contest can therefore yield insights into the market’s view of the marginal value of Kroger’s recapitalization relative to KKR’s proposed LB0 for the firm. Although these returns represent ex ante expectations rather than ex post realizations, the fact that Kroger shareholders do not earn significant post-recap abnormal returns (see Table 8) suggests that the market’s ex ante estimate of the value created through the recapitalization was quite accurate. Table 9 lists a chronology of the major announcements in the Wall Street Journal in the course of the contest for control of Kroger. The Dow Jones Table 9 Chronology of events surrounding Kroger’s recapitalization proposal Date 9/ 12/88 g/13/88 Event Stock price Haft family receives clearance to buy unspecified Kroger stake. 51t Kroger proposes restructuring that may include special dividend. 503 Kroger receives a takeover bid from Haft family with indicated value of $55 per share 522 KKR makes unsolicited bid for Kroger with indicated value of $58.50 per share. AR CAR (15.3) 43.8% (3.6) -2.3% 41.5% 29.4% 1.2) (3.4) 3.7% (1.9) 46.0% 564 6.5% (3.4) 52.5% Kroger rejects KRR’s bid and announces plans to proceed with its restructuring. 552 - 0.9% ( -0.4%) 51.5% 1O/5/88 Kroger receives a revised KKR offer valued at $64 per share. 584 5.2% (2.7) 55.3% (3.8) 10:17/88 Kroger rejects latest KKR offer and says it will pursue its leveraged recapitalization 58 - 2.5% (- 1.3) 52.6% (3.6) 10,111/88 KKR withdraws its hostile bid. 55 - 4.5y-t 47.3% 9/‘19/88 g/20/88 g/26/88 (- ( - 2.3) (3.6) (4.0) (3.8) (3.2) For each event, Kroger’s stock price, the abnormal return (AR) on that day, and the cumu!ative abnormal return (CAR) extending from 40 davs prior to the control contest through the event date are listed. “Abnormal returns are computed using the standard market model technique with parameters estimated over the 250-day period beginning 290 days prior to the start of Kroger’s control contest. T-statistics are presented in parentheses below each CAR. 220 D.J. Denis,‘J~urnal of Financial Economics 36 (1994) 193-224 Broadtape is examined to obtain the exact time of day for each announcement. For each event, Table 9 reports the stock price on that day, the abnormal stock return on that day, the cumulative abnormal stock return from forty days prior to the start of the control contest through the event date, and the t-statistics associated with the abnormal returns. (Abnormal returns are again computed using the standard market model technique with parameters estimated over the 250.day period beginning 290 days prior to the start of the control contest.) Not surprisingly, the control contest is associated with significant abnormal returns for Kroger shareholders. The initial announcement of a toehold investment by the Haft family (9/12/88) is associated with an abnormal return of 29.4?6 (t = 15.3).Similarly, the subsequent takeover bids by the Haft’s (9/19,/88) and KKR (9/20/88), and the revised KKR bid (10/S/88) are all met with substantial abnormal upward revisions in Kroger’s share price. There are four events relevant to assessing the marginal impact of Kroger’s proposed recapitalization: the initial announcement of the recapitalization, the two rejections of KKR’s bids, and the announcement of KKR’s withdrawal from the control contest. Kroger first announced its restructuring plan following the Haft family’s initial disclosure. On that day (9/13/88), Kroger’s share price fell by $0.875 fo: an abnormal return of - 2.396 (t = - 1.2).Similarly, after rejecting KKR’s bid on 9/26/88, there was a small negative AR of - 0.9% (t = - 0.4). On 10/7/88 Kroger rejected KKR’s second bid and announced that it would proceed with its recapitalization. On that day, the share price fell by an abnormal - 2.5% (t = - 1.3). Finally, when KKR withdrew its hostile bid (10/l l/88), clearing the way for Kroger to pursue its recapitalization, the stock price fell by $3 for an abnormal return of - 4.5% (t = - 2.3). Between the time of KKR’s revised bid on 10/5/88 and their vithdrawal from the contest on 10/l l/88, Kroger’s cumulative abnormal return fell from a high of 55.3% to 47.3%, a loss of 8% (t = - 2.1) ($219 million) of the firm’s pre-recap equity value. This most likely represents a lower bound on the total value lost by rejecting KKR’s bid, since the market already appears to have discounted some probability of a failed bid at the time of KKR’s revised offer. On October 5, 1988 analysts valued KKR’s revised bid at $44 per share (see ‘KKR Sweetens Bid for Kroger to $5 billion’, W/allStreet Journal, October 5, 1988), yet Kroger’s market price on that day was only %58$ The difference between the estimated value of KKR’s bid ($64 per share) and the price of Kroger’s common stock following the withdrawal of KKR on October 11 ($55 per share) is therefore probably the most accurate estimate of the additional expected value associated with the KKR buyout offer. This suggests that Kroger’s shareholders lost 14%, or $383 million, by rejecting KKR’s offer and pursuing the recapi talization. Note also that the premium of KKR’s bid over the stock price suggests that the negative CARS following KKR’s withdrawal cannot be attributed to the D.J. DenisiJournal of Financial Ecmontics 36 ( 1994 &193-224 2.21 market having incorrectly anticipated a higher valued alternative to Kroger’s recap proposal. These results are similar to those documented in Dann and DeAngelo’s (1988) study of defensive restructurings, and suggest that the expected value‘of Kroger’s recapitalization was below the expected value of the various takeover proposals. Moreover, there is no evidence in press accounts to suggest that Kroger made any attempt to bargain for a higher bid. In fact, Kroger appeared to go to great lengths to retain its independence in the face of the takeover bids of both the Haft family and KKR. The evidence is thus consistent with the hypothesis that a KKR-led buyout of Kroger would have generated greater gains for Kroger shareholders than the firm’s recapitalization. Moreover, the fact that Kroger’s board rejected a higher-valued bid suggests that concerns other than value maximization were important in determining the choice of restructuring method For example, it is clear from Safeway’s experience that a KKR-led buyout of Kroger would have resulted in large changes in corporate governance, and involved closer monitoring of managers by the board of directors. One plausible interpretation of the evidence is that, given the small financial incentives of Kroger’s officers and directors, they may have chosen the recapitalization as a means of avoiding these changes in governance and monitoring while still generating some value for shareholders. 6. Conclusions Several large-sample studies have documented significant shareholder gains and operating improvements following highly leveraged transactic -1s. These gains are generally attributed to changes in the incentive, monitoring, and governance structures of the firms. This study highlights the role of organizational form in determining the consequences of HITS. The results suggest that, while high leverage is important in giving Kroger managers the incentive to generate cash, higher managerial ownership of shares and improved monitoring from the board of directors at Safeway are important in ensuring that c? ;h is generated in a way that maximizes returns to shareholders. It is important to note that, despite no major changes in r;lanagerial ow:lership, board composition, or executive compensation, Kroger’s recapitalization still generates an improvement in performance This suggests that the adoption of an entirely new organizational form is r;ot a necessary condition for motivating many of the value-enhancing changes associated with highly leveraged transactions. For example, Wruck’s (1994) clinical study of Sealed Air Carp’s leveraged special dividend suggests that leverage can be used to increase the effectiveness of internai control systems. However, lacking the financial incentive of significant managerial equity ownership or the monitoring of a large blockholder, this strategy may be risky. Recent evidence of poor ex post D.J. Denis/ Journal of Financial Economics 36 (1994) 193-224 222 perfiyrmance for defensive leveraged recapitalizations documented in Palepu and Truck (1992) provides support for this view. Thz analysis presented here also provides the basis for some conjectures as to why Kroger managers favored recapitalization over an LBO, even though it appears (ex postjthat the LB0 would have made them wealthier than did the recapitalization. The evidence suggests that Safeway’s increase in value comes at a personal cost to Safeway managers in the form of substantially closer monitoring of top executives. Therefore, it is possible that Kroger’s managers were willing to give up some expected value in exchange for a corporate governance system that involved less monitoring. Moreover, in order to realize the larger returns earned by Safeway managers, some Kroger executives would have had to increase the amount of their personal wealth at stake by contributing capital to a buyout Thus, even though the expected payoff to the buyout may have been higher, riskaverse Kroger manage rs may have preferred the recapitalization, since it involved an immediate payout and did not require any additional contribution of capital. Appendix This appendix summarizes the major asset sales following Kroger’s recapitalization and Safeway’s LBO. The sales price and buyer are also listed when available. Dates listed are the dates on which the asset sale was announced in the Wall Street Journal. Table 10 Bate ~___-- Transaction _-- -- --.-_____. (A) Kroger 10/13/88 FTC approved the sale of 24 Florida Choice supermarkets and 24 liquor stores to Kash ‘N Karry Food Stores Inc. for about $55 million. 2/l /89 Announced it will sell twelve of its food processing plants as part of its restructuring plan. Later (1 l/7/89) the firm announced it will keep eight of the twelve plants it had intended to sell. 4/5/ 89 Completed the sale of its Fry’s Food Stores division to Save Mart Supermarkets ior an undisclosed price. /89” Sold Welcome Inc., a six-unit superwarehouse venture and 25 supermarkets in North and South Carolina, for approximately $34 million. 189” Sold certain land and buildings in Texas for an undisclosed price. Total net proceeds = $351 million -__------ -----.-- ..~______ .__ _~_________ __~_________.__~__ D.J. Denis,‘Jowral of Financial Economics 36 (1994) 193-224 223 Table 10 (continued) Date Transaction (B) Safeway l/26/87 Sold Distillers unit to Agryll PLC for $1.04 billion. 4/6/87 Scld eight retail food stores in Texas to Kroger for an undisclosed price. 4129187 Sold Salt Lake City division to Borman’s for $75 million. 6/4/87 Sold its Liquor Barn discount retail operation to Majestic Wine Warehouses Ltd. for over $100 million. 8117187 FTC tentatively approved the sale of 59 grocery stores in Texas and New Mexicc to Supermarket Dew%-k.-~e?t COT. 11/27j87 Sold its Oklahom:s ‘XX rn to a company formed by the division’s management and Clayton & Dubiller 2~ for $165 million. 12/4/87 Vons Cos. agreed t _ ‘r~c;{Jiresubstantially all cf firm’s Southern California operations for cash and stock sdari h $408 million. 6/l 6188 Agreed to sell its 99-s&e :!ouston division to a management-led group for an undisclosed price. 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