Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. FORIEGN POLICY WHAT’S AT STAKE? 19 WHAT’S AT STAKE? UNDERSTANDING FOREIGN POLICY W as it a gaffe, as critics claimed, or a reflection of good judgment? In a 2008 debate among contenders for the Democratic presidential nomination, Senator Barack Obama indicated that he would be willing to sit down with America’s enemies and attempt to find common ground. His Democratic opponents pounced and once he had locked up the nomination, Republican senator John McCain jumped on the remark as well, calling it reckless policy.1 He claimed that the idea that progress can be made by talking to grave enemies is naive and that such negotiations only embolden the enemy. Obama, on the other hand, continued to contend that “strong countries and strong presidents talk to their adversaries.” 2 The dilemma is a familiar one to most of us. Did you ever get so mad at someone that you simply refused to talk to him until he apologized to you or changed his ways? If so, you know what a mixed-bag this strategy can be. You use the silent treatment as a way to get your friend to change his attitude, but if he decides to keep on doing whatever got you mad in the first place, you have very little leverage since you’re not talking to him anymore. Even reaching out through a third person to keep the lines of communication open can be complicated and confusing. And having adjusted to life without talking to you, your friend may have decided he’s just fine that way. Of course, some transgressions are so serious that silence may be the best and permanent solution, but short of that, how do you decide when to “go silent”? The U.S. government confronts this dilemma regularly, and from time to time has decided that another country’s behavior is so contrary to American interests that we should not even talk to its leaders, at least not directly. For example, after Fidel Castro took power in the Cuban Revolution of 1959, and his government cracked down on political opposition and became allies with the Soviet Union, the United States cut off relations with the island nation. The tactic of not talking to enemy countries became standard practice, however, in the George W. Bush administration. In his address to a joint session of Congress, after the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, President Bush announced a key element of the emerging war on terrorism: The Post–Cold War Setting of American Foreign Policy Types of Foreign Policy WHO MAKES AMERICAN FOREIGN POLICY? The President The Executive Branch Congress Presidential-Congressional Power Struggles HOW DO WE DEFINE A FOREIGN POLICY PROBLEM? The American Style of Foreign Policy Global Pressures Domestic Pressures HOW DO WE SOLVE FOREIGN POLICY PROBLEMS? Strategies: Deterrence, Compellence, and Preemption Foreign Policy Instruments FOREIGN POLICY CHALLENGES Terrorism Conflicts and Alliances Free Trade Versus Protectionism Problems Without Borders Extending the Reach of Democracy THE CITIZENS AND FOREIGN POLICY WHAT’S AT STAKE REVISITED Every nation, in every region, now has a decision to make. Either you are with us, or you are with the terrorists. From this day forward, any 863 Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. 864 Chapter 19 Foreign Policy nation that continues to harbor or support terrorism will be regarded by the United States as a hostile regime.3 The administration decided that Iran and North Korea were indeed “against us” due to their support of terrorism and pursuit of nuclear weapons, and President Bush refused to talk one-on-one with either of these countries, whom he labeled (along with Iraq), as members of the “Axis of Evil.” While the Bush administration remained open to talks with these countries as long as other states were also at the table, they believed that to have “bilateral” talks with either nation would make the United States look weak. Before we would meet with them alone, they had to change their behavior. How are we as citizens to evaluate this policy? Was Obama’s position correct, that strong leaders can talk to their enemies, or was McCain a better judge of the situation? Diplomacy can be a crucial tool of American foreign policy. Nixon talked to Vietnam’s leaders during the Vietnam War, after all, and Reagan talked to the Soviets during the Cold War. At the same time, Reagan refused to talk to Cuba. Sometimes our “interests” might dictate that we talk to someone, because we have things in common even though we have other vast differences, but our “values” might suggest we shouldn’t talk, because our enemy’s actions are so repugnant to the basic tenets of democracy and freedom. This is not just a theoretical question; it’s one that our national leaders must answer as they steer the ship of state. What are advantages of talking, and the merits of refusing to meet? What is really at stake in deciding whether to talk with our enemies? We return to this question after we learn more about how U.S. foreign policy is made. ❋ Is There Common Ground to Be Found? This undated picture, released from Korean Central News Agency in June 2008, shows North Korean leader Kim Jong Il (left) chatting with female soldiers at an undisclosed location. One of the world’s most reclusive and poverty-stricken countries, North Korea, part of George W. Bush’s “Axis of Evil,” is known to have nuclear capabilities and has frequently broken or ignored arms treaties with the United States and other countries while threatening to enhance its nuclear weapons capacity. A sk Americans to name the top problem facing the country today, and about 25 percent will say the war in Iraq or terrorism. But there’s hardly a consensus that these are our leading problems; nearly 40 percent pick the economy and jobs; 25 percent say the price of gas; and issues like unemployment, poverty, and health care get lots of votes as well.4 Foreign policy, even in the wake of the attacks of September 11, 2001, still fails to capture most Americans’ attention. After all, foreign policy is so, well, foreign. Despite witnessing how vulnerable we can be, Americans tend to see the rest of the world as a place that doesn’t much affect us. And if we aren’t particularly attentive to policy issues within our own borders, why would we pay much attention to things that happen outside those borders? Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. What’s At Stake? In this chapter we discuss foreign policy—official U.S. policy designed to solve problems that take place between us and actors outside our borders. We will see that our foreign policy is crucial to our domestic tranquility, that without a strong and effective foreign policy, our security as a rich and peaceful country could be blown away in a heartbeat. Our foreign policy is almost always carried out for the good of American citizens or in the interest of national security. Even foreign aid, which seems like giving away American taxpayers’ hard-earned money to people who have done nothing to deserve it, is part of a foreign policy to stabilize the world, to help strengthen international partnerships and alliances, and to keep Americans safe. Similarly, humanitarian intervention, like the NATO (North Atlantic Treaty Organization) military action in Kosovo in 1999, is ultimately conducted to support our values and the quality of life we think other nations ought to provide for their citizens. Many politicians have tried to encourage Americans to turn their backs on the rest of the world, promoting a foreign policy called isolationism, which holds that Americans should put themselves and their problems first and not interfere in global concerns. The United States has tried to pursue an isolationist policy before, perhaps most notably after World War I, but this experiment was largely seen as a failure. Most recently, the events of September 11 have put to rest the fiction that what happens “over there” is unrelated to what is happening “over here.” In opposition to isolationism, interventionism holds that to keep the republic safe, we must be actively engaged in shaping the global environment and be willing to intervene in order to shape events. The United States has had a long history of interventionism—in the Americas and Asia in the 1800s, in World Wars I and II, and, since September 11, in the Middle East. Foreign policy exists to support American interests, but determining what American interests are can be very difficult. In crisis situations, as we will see, foreign policy decisions are often made in secret. At the beginning, only a handful of people knew about the Cuban missile crisis President John Kennedy faced, even though the consequences of that crisis could have sent us into a nuclear war. Similarly, part of the current war on terrorism takes place outside of public sight—although much of the war in Iraq is in full view. In secret decision-making situations, American interests are whatever elite policymakers decide they are. When situations are not critical, however, foreign policy decisions are made in the usual hubbub of American politics. Here, as we know, many actors with competing interests struggle to make their voices heard and to get policy to benefit themselves. Foreign policy, just like domestic policy, is about who gets what, and how they get it. The difference is that in foreign policy the stakes can be a matter of life and death, and we have far less control over the other actors involved. In this chapter we look at American foreign policy in far more depth than most Americans ever do. Specifically, you will learn about • • • • • • 865 foreign policy a country’s official positions, practices, and procedures for dealing with actors outside its borders isolationism a foreign policy view that nations should stay out of international political alliances and activities, and focus on domestic matters interventionism a foreign policy view that the United States should actively engage in the affairs of other nations in order to try to shape events in accordance with U.S. interests the nature of foreign policy who makes foreign policy the international and domestic contexts of foreign policy the strategies and instruments of foreign policy American foreign policy in the new century the challenges faced by democratic citizens in a policymaking context where secrecy is often necessary Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. 866 Chapter 19 Foreign Policy UNDERSTANDING FOREIGN POLICY Foreign policy focuses on U.S. governmental goals and actions directed toward actors outside our borders. This outward focus separates foreign policy from domestic policy, although sometimes the distinction between “foreign” and “domestic” policy is not so clear. Consider, for example, how environmental policy in America can have foreign repercussions. American industries located on the border with Canada have been the source of some tensions between the two countries because pollution from the U.S. factories is carried into Canada by prevailing winds. This pollution can damage forest growth and increase the acidity of lakes, killing fish and harming other wildlife. Environmental regulations are largely a domestic matter, but because pollution is not confined to the geography of the United States, the issue takes on unintended international importance. Or by not seriously reducing the emission of “greenhouse” gases in the United States, because many think doing so would be bad for business, the whole world is less capable of addressing global climate change, which has led to some anti-U.S. sentiment. In this chapter we focus our discussion of foreign policy on actions that are intentionally directed at external actors and the forces that shape these actions. External actors include the following: • Other countries—sovereign bodies with governments and territories, like Mexico or the Republic of Ireland. intergovernmental organizations bodies, such as the United Nations, whose members are countries nongovernmental organizations organizations comprising individuals or interest groups from around the world focused on a special issue multinational corporations large companies that do business in multiple countries • Intergovernmental organizations—bodies that have countries as members, such as the United Nations, which has 192 member countries; NATO, which has 26 members from North America and Europe; the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), which has 14 member countries from Africa, Asia, the Middle East, and Latin America; and the European Union (EU), which has 27 members from across Europe and 3 more waiting to join. • Nongovernmental organizations, or NGOs—organizations that focus on specific issues and whose members are private individuals or groups from around the world. Greenpeace (environmental), Amnesty International (human rights), International Committee of the Red Cross (humanitarian relief), and Doctors Without Borders (medical care) are NGOs. • Multinational corporations—large companies that do business in multiple countries and that often wield tremendous economic power, like Nike or General Motors. • Miscellaneous other actors—groups that do not fit the other categories, including those that have a “government” but no territory, like the Middle East’s Palestinians, and groups that have no national ties, such as terrorist groups like al Qaeda. THE POST–COLD WAR SETTING OF AMERICAN FOREIGN POLICY Before we can hope to have a clear understanding of contemporary American foreign policy, a historical note is in order. At the end of World War II, when the common purpose of fighting Adolf Hitler and ending German fascism no longer held the United States and the Soviet Union in an awkward alliance, the tensions that existed between the two largest and strongest superpowers in global politics began to bubble to the surface. Nearly all of Europe was divided between allies of the Soviets and allies of the Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. Understanding Foreign Policy United States, a division seen most graphically in the splitting of postwar Germany into a communist East and a capitalist West. On March 5, 1946, former British prime minister Winston Churchill, who led his country during the war, gave a famous speech at Westminster College in Fulton, Missouri, in which he warned of this new divided world: “From Stettin in the Baltic to Trieste in the Adriatic an Iron Curtain has descended across the continent.” Churchill’s words were not meant just as a description but as a call to action. For nearly fifty years following World War II the tension between the two superpowers shaped U.S. foreign policy and gave it a predictable order. The Cold War was waged between the United States and the Soviet Union from 1947 to 1989, a war of bitter global competition between democracy and authoritarianism, capitalism and communism. Although the tensions of the Cold War never erupted into an actual “hot” war of military action directly between the two countries, each side spent tremendous sums of money on nuclear weapons to make sure it had the ability to wipe out the other side, and a number of so-called proxy wars between allies of each superpower did break out in places like the Middle East, Asia, and Africa. In this era, American foreign policy makers pursued a policy of containment, in which the United States tried to prevent the Soviet Union from expanding its influence, especially in Europe. As we will see later in the chapter, a key part of this strategy of containment was to deter potential Soviet aggression against the United States or our allies with the threat of a massive nuclear response that would erase any gains the Soviets might make. But as dangerous as the world was during the Cold War, it—and the threat posed by nuclear deterrence—seemed easy to understand, casting complicated issues into simple choices of black or white. Countries were either with us or against us: they were free societies or closed ones, capitalist or communist economies, good or bad. Relations between nations might put us in treacherous waters, but we had a well-marked map. As late as the 1980s, President Ronald Reagan referred to the Soviet Union as the “Evil Empire,” an allusion to the popular Star Wars world, in which good and evil were clearly defined. Though the world was hardly this simple, it certainly seemed that way to many, and much of the complexity of world politics was glossed over—or perhaps bottled up, only to explode at the end of the Cold War in 1989.5 Perhaps the most dramatic image of the collapse of the Soviet Union and its iron curtain was the eager tearing down of the Berlin Wall by the citizens it had divided into two separate cities—capitalism and democracy on one side of the wall, communism and totalitarianism on the other. The countries in Eastern Europe that had been Soviet satellite countries broke away as the power holding the Soviet Union together dissolved. In some countries, like Germany, the end came more or less peacefully; in others, like Romania, the break was more violent. In 1991 the Soviet Union finally fell apart, to be replaced by more than a dozen independent states (see Consider the Source: “How to Become a Critical Reader of Maps”). While most Westerners have hailed the fall of the Soviet Union as an end to the tension that kept the Cold War alive, Russia (one of the states of the former Soviet Union) still holds the Soviet nuclear arsenal, and a majority of its citizens still hold a negative view of the leaders of the U.S. Anti-American sentiment continues to simmer, especially as efforts at Russian economic reform have been accompanied by suffering, deprivation, corruption, and an increasing fear about the exercise of civil liberties. At the same time, the Western military alliance NATO has enlarged by absorbing members of the former Soviet alliance, the Warsaw Treaty Organization, or 867 Cold War the half-century of competition and conflict after World War II between the United States and the Soviet Union (and their allies) containment the U.S. Cold War policy of preventing the spread of communism Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. 868 Consider the Source HOW TO BECOME A CRITICAL READER OF MAPS The next time you happen to be in Asia, take a look at a map of the world. Guess what? The United States is not in the center; in fact, it’s squished over to one side. Asia is in the center. Can it be that Asian mapmakers are just poorly trained or out of touch? Of course not. The Asia-centric maps used by schoolchildren in Korea, China, and Japan reveal an important feature of mapmaking—it is political. The national boundaries that we see on a map are not etched into the earth; they are made by humans and constantly being rearranged as the peoples of the earth rearrange themselves. For instance, mapmakers had their hands full in 1991, when the Soviet Union fell. As we can see in the map here, a giant republic had broken down into many small countries—as if the United States were all at once fifty separate nations. The lines of Eastern Europe had to be redrawn, and redrawn again, as the ethnic and national rivalries suppressed by Soviet domination began to work themselves out politically and militarily (see the map inset on Yugoslavia). The political nature of mapmaking means that we need to ask ourselves some important questions about the maps—in the media, in books, in classrooms—that purport to tell us what the world looks like. 1. What type of information is being conveyed by the map? Maps are not just graphic illustrations of national boundaries. They can also reveal topography (mountains, hills, oceans, rivers, and lakes), population density, weather patterns, economic resources, transportation, and a host of other characteristics. The map on page [I don’t believe this map is used in this edition] for instance, shows how the various colonies voted on the Constitution. Maps can also show regional patterns of colonization, immigration, industrialization, and technological development. 2. Who drew the map? This information can explain not only why Asia is at the center of a world map, but more overtly political questions as well. Palestinians and Israelis, for instance, might draw very different maps of contested territories. Mapmaking can be not only a precise way of delineating national borders, but also a way of staking a claim. 3. When was the map drawn? A map of today’s Europe would look very different from a map of Europe in 1810, when the continent was dominated by the Napoleonic, Austrian, and Ottoman Empires; the Confederation of the Rhine; and at least three separate kingdoms in what is now Italy. The map of Europe continued to change throughout the nineteenth and twentieth centuries until it reflected the Cold War division between the East and West from the mid-1900s on. The map at right shows how the end of the Cold War again changed the map of Europe. The maps of North America on page 105 show the patterns of national dominance over a much shorter period—before 1754 and after 1763. Not only do boundaries change over time, but even the names of countries can be different. The countries once known as Siam, the Congo, and Rhodesia have changed their names to Thailand, Zaire, and Zimbabwe, respectively. Name changes often reflect a country’s attempt to emphasize a particular part of its heritage, or to disavow foreign influences. Warsaw Pact, and the U.S. is moving toward placing a radar for its missile defense system inside a former member of the Soviet alliance, seen by many in Russia as a potential threat. This “new world order,” or post–Cold War era, has eluded easy description in terms of global organization and threats to the United States, especially in the days since September 11, 2001.6 Who is likely to be our most dangerous adversary? What threats must we prepare for? How much should we spend on military preparedness? Are we the world’s policeman, a global banker, or a humanitarian protector? We have experimented with all of these roles in the past decade.7 In September 2002, President George W. Bush opened the door to a new foreign policy role when he asserted that the United States’ role is to maintain its military supremacy and take preemptive action against hostile and threatening states. The president also said that the United States would Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. How to Become a Critical Reader of Maps THE BREAKUP OF YUGOSLAVIA SLOVENIA 869 Communist regimes overthrown since 1989 • Rise of Solidarity in Poland, 1980 • Czechoslovakia broken into Czech Republic and Slovakia in 1993 CROATIA BOSNIA AND Soviet Union, dissolved in 1991 and replaced by Commonwealth of Independent States SERBIA SWEDEN FINLAND Yugoslavia, dissolved in civil war, 1991-1992 NORWAY U.S. troops join NATO peacekeeping forces, Dec. 1995 MACEDONIA UNITED IRELAND KINGDOM North Sea NETH. DENMARK Baltic ESTONIA Sea LATVIA LITHUANIA Berlin GERMANY POLAND Gorbachev assumes power, 1985; Moscow coup fails, Boris Yeltsin declared President of Russia, 1990; USSR dissolved, 1991 BELARUS BELG. Fall of Berlin Wall, 1989; Germany unified, 1990 SWITZ. FRANCE CZECH UKRAINE REP. SLOVAKIA AUSTRIA MOLDOVA HUNGARY ROMANIA ITALY See inset Black Sea Sea GREECE TUNISIA SYRIA CYPRUS LEBANON Mediterranean Sea MOROCCO Aral Sea UZBEKISTAN GEORGIA KYRGYZSTAN ARMENIA AZERBAIJAN TURKMENISTAN TURKEY TAJIKISTAN CHINA ALBANIA SPAIN KAZAKHSTAN ian BULGARIA Chechnya declares independence, 1991; Russia attacks, 1994 C as p A TLA NTI C OC E A N PORTUGAL RUSSIA Moscow ISRAEL IRAN IRAQ AFGHANISTAN JORDAN Sea SAUDI ARABIA PAKISTAN lf Gu R ed EGYPT INDIA an LIBYA r si Pe ALGERIA 0 Arabian Sea 0 250 500 mi 250 500 km Source: Thomas Bailey, David M. Kennedy, and Lizabeth Cohen, The American Pageant, 11th ed. (Boston: Houghton Mifflin, 1998). Copyright ©1998 by Houghton Mifflin Company, Reprinted with permission. make no distinction between terrorist groups that threaten or attack the United States and countries that harbor those groups. In identifying an “axis of evil” of Iran, Iraq, and North Korea, President Bush set out a vision of American foreign policy that is rooted in taking active steps to promote democracy and to use force, alone if necessary, to eliminate perceived threats before they can more fully develop. This Bush Doctrine joins a long list of presidential foreign policy doctrines that have tried to define and protect U.S. interests in the world (see Who, What, How, and WHEN timeline). Bush Doctrine policy that supports preemptive attacks as a legitimate tactic in the U.S. war on state-sponsored terrorism TYPES OF FOREIGN POLICY We can more easily understand the complexity of American foreign policy if we break it down into three specific types:8 Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. 870 Chapter 19 Foreign Policy • Crisis policy deals with emergency threats to our national interests or values. Such situations often come as a surprise, and the use of force is one way to respond.9 This is the kind of policy people often have in mind when they use the term foreign policy. Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait in 1990 provoked a crisis for the United States, as did the terrorist attacks on New York and Washington, D.C., in 2001. • Strategic policy lays out the basic U.S. stance toward another country or a particular problem. Containment, for example, was the key strategy for dealing with the Soviets during the Cold War—the plan was to prevent communism from spreading to other countries. • Structural defense policy focuses largely on the policies and programs that deal with defense spending and military bases. These policies usually focus on, for example, buying new aircraft for the air force and navy, or deciding what military bases to consolidate or close down. And the Wall Came Tumbling Down In November 1989 an East German official announced that East Germans would be allowed to move freely between East and West Berlin. Almost immediately, people flocked to the wall that had kept them separated from their fellow Berliners for twenty-eight years, a wall that had symbolized the division not only of a city, but of ideals and political systems—capitalism and democracy on one side and totalitarianism on the other. crisis policy foreign policy, usually made quickly and secretly, that responds to an emergency threat strategic policy foreign policy that lays out a country’s basic stance toward international actors or problems structural defense policy foreign policy dealing with defense spending, military bases, and weapons procurement We come back to these distinctions in the next section, when we discuss what kinds of actors are involved in making each of these types of policies. They provide important insights into who is involved in different types of American foreign policy. In foreign policy, official government actors seek to solve problems that occur outside our borders. They WHAT do this by constructing crisis, strategic, and structural defense policies. HOW Americans also seek to define a role for themselves in the new world order that has replaced the politics of the Cold War. So far there has been no definitive answer to what role the world’s only remaining superpower will play. WHO WHO MAKES AMERICAN FOREIGN POLICY? Consider the following headlines: “U.S. Opens Relations With China” and “U.S. Attacks al Qaeda Base in Afghanistan.” These headlines make it sound as if a single actor—the United States—makes foreign policy. Even as a figure of speech, this is misleading in two important ways. First, the image of the United States as a single actor suggests that the country acts with a single, united mind, diverting our attention from the political reality of conflict, bargaining, and cooperation that takes place within the government over foreign policy.10 Second, it implies that all foreign policies are essentially the same—having the same goals and made by the same actors and processes. Our earlier description of the three different policy types indicates that this is not so; and in fact, as we will see, each type of policy is made by different actors in different political contexts. The political dynamics behind crisis policy, for instance, are dominated by the president and the small group of advisers around the Oval Office. Congress tends not to be much engaged in crisis policy but, rather, often watches with the rest of the Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. Who Makes American Foreign Policy? public (and the world) as presidents and their advisers decide how to respond to international crises. The choice of going to war in Iraq in 2003, for example, was made by President Bush and a number of key government policymakers around him. Strategic policy tends to be formulated in the executive branch, but usually deep in the bureaucracy rather than at the top levels. This gives interest groups and concerned members of Congress opportunities to lobby for certain policies. The public usually learns about these policies (and responds to and evaluates them) once they are announced by the president. The U.S. policy of containment of communism in the 1940s, for example, was developed largely in the State Department and was then approved by President Harry Truman. The Truman Doctrine said that the United States would use its power to help free people maintain their freedom in the face of aggressive movements, which is to say the United States would try to contain Soviet influence by helping make sure that no new countries fell to communism.11 Finally, structural defense policy, which often starts in the executive branch, is largely crafted in Congress, whose members tend to have their fingers on the pulses of their constituents, with much input from the bureaucracy and interest groups. When a plan to build and deploy a new fighter jet is developed, for example, it is made with coordination between Congress and the Defense Department—usually with members of Congress keeping a close eye on how their states and districts will fare from the projects. Clearly a variety of actors are involved in making different types of foreign policy. What they all have in common is that they are officially acting on behalf of the federal government. It is not official foreign policy when New York City and San Francisco impose economic sanctions on Burma, or when private citizens like former president Jimmy Carter or the Rev. Jesse Jackson attempt to help resolve conflicts in Africa or Serbia.12 Understanding why a particular foreign policy is developed means understanding what actors are involved in what processes. 871 Truman Doctrine policy of the United States starting in 1947 that the United States would aid free peoples to maintain their freedom in the face of aggressive communist movements To Serve and Protect Politicians and the U.S. military share an edict to protect the lives and rights of Americans, at home or abroad, and to defend democracy worldwide. Here, Michael Michaud, D-Maine, shakes hands with an Iraqi boy who lost his legs in an explosion and received a wheelchair from the family of a U.S. soldier killed in action in the area. Michaud was in Yusifiyah to observe the progress made in Iraq as of in April 2008. Given the billions of U.S. dollars invested in military operations in Iraq and Afghanistan, political officials are diligent in their oversight of where and how the money is being spent. Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. Who, What, How, and WHEN Presidential Foreign Policy Doctrine Over Time I n response to world events, presidents often publicly define U.S. foreign policy interests and state what the U.S. role in protecting those interests will be. Watch some of these doctrines change and develop, over time: 1947 Truman Doctrine ➤ In response to the Soviet Union and its control of the Iron Curtain in Eastern Europe, Truman declared the United States would support foreign governments facing internal or external subversion from communist movements. 1823 Monroe Doctrine ➤ In the wake of discussion between France, Britain, Spain, and Russia about expansion of trading colonies in South America, Monroe wished to limit European influence in North and South America to protect U.S. security and options for what became manifest destiny. He declared the Western Hemisphere off limits to further European colonization. 1904 1957 Roosevelt Corollary to the Monroe Doctrine Eisenhower Doctrine ➤ To keep Germany from intervening in Venezuela’s economic and political affairs, Teddy Roosevelt declared that the United States would act as a police power in Caribbean and Central American nations if they could not pay their debts, to keep European powers from controlling these countries. ➤ When the Soviet Union attempted to gain control of the Suez Canal and Egypt, Eisenhower declared the Middle East was a vital region to the United States, and that the United States would support the region with aid and respond to threats against the United States pertaining to the region. Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. Who, What, How, and WHEN 873 1985 Reagan Doctrine 1969 Nixon Doctrine ➤ As unrest over involvement in the Vietnam War continued to grow, Nixon declared that the United States would continue to provide help such as monetary aid to its allies but would expect these allies, such as South Vietnam, to start defending themselves. ➤ As Cold War tension with the Soviet Union resurged in the mid-1980s, Reagan declared the United States would provide aid to any country fighting communism by way of insurgents, or “freedom fighters,” particularly in Africa, Latin America, and Asia. 2001 Bush Doctrine 1980 Carter Doctrine ➤ After the September 11 attacks, Bush stated the United States would consider any country that harbored terrorists to be a threat to the country; later, the doctrine was expanded to defend attacks by the United States in an effort to preempt state-sponsored terrorism. ➤ After the Soviet Union invaded Afghanistan in 1979, Carter declared the United States would repel any attempt by an outside force to gain control of the Persian Gulf region using any means necessary, including military force. Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. 874 Chapter 19 Foreign Policy THE PRESIDENT As we saw in Chapter 8, the president has come to be seen as the chief foreign policy maker. Presidents are more likely to set the foreign policy agenda than are other actors in American politics because of the informal powers that come from their high-profile job and their opportunities to communicate directly with the public. Understanding the power that comes with agenda control is a key part of understanding presidential power. But the president’s foreign policy authority also derives from the Constitution, which gives him specific roles to play. Recall from Chapter 8 that the president is the head of state, the chief executive, the commander-in-chief, and the country’s chief diplomat. For a president, making foreign policy is a bit like walking a tightrope. On the one hand, presidents get a lot of power to make foreign policy from the Constitution, from their “implied powers,” and, sometimes, from Congress. On the other hand, the president is confronted with many obstacles to making foreign policy in the form of domestic issues (particularly if he is trying to get reelected) and other foreign policy makers, especially Congress and the bureaucracy, as well as the media and public opinion. THE EXECUTIVE BRANCH National Security Council (NSC) organization within the Executive Office of the President that provides foreign policy advice to the president The president sits at the top of a large pyramid of executive agencies and departments that assist him in making foreign policy. If he does not take time to manage the agencies, other individuals may seize the opportunity to interpret foreign policy in terms of their own interests and goals. It is largely up to the president to sort out conflicting goals in the executive branch. In a sense, the president provides a check on the power of the executive agencies, and without his leadership, foreign policy can drift. During his administration, President Reagan didn’t pay a lot of attention to foreign affairs and so staff members in the National Security Council began to make foreign policy themselves. The result was the Iran-contra affair in the mid-1980s, in which profits from selling arms to Iran (technically illegal in U.S. law but done in an effort to get Iran’s help to release western hostages) were used to help fund the Nicaraguan contra rebels, aid for whom Congress had refused to approve (see the box in Chapter 8, “Grounds for Impeachment”). Within the president’s inner circle (in the Executive Office of the President, or EOP) is the National Security Council (NSC), a body created in 1947 by the National Security Act to advise the president on matters of foreign policy. By law its members include the president, vice president, secretary of state, and secretary of defense. Additionally, the new director of national intelligence and the chair of the Joint Chiefs of Staff (the head of the commanders of the military services) sit as advisers to the NSC. Beyond this, though, the president has wide discretion to decide what the NSC will look like and how he will use it by appointing other members and deciding how the council will function. The national security adviser, the president’s chief adviser on foreign policy and national security matters, coordinates the NSC and its staff. When the national security adviser gets the ear of the president, as Condoleezza Rice had under President Bush during his first term, that person is uniquely positioned to shape foreign policy. Very few officials in the executive branch have the power to challenge the National Security Adviser, although likely competitors would be the secretary of state, the secretary of defense, and the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. Bush later showed his Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. Who Makes American Foreign Policy? 875 confidence in his national security advisor by making her his second secretary of state in 2004. See “Profiles in Citizenship” in Chapter 8. In addition to the NSC, several executive departments and agencies play a critical role in foreign policy making. The Department of State is charged with managing foreign affairs. It is often considered to be “first among equals” in its position relative to the other departments because it was the first department established by the Constitution in 1789. The State Department is headed by a secretary of state, who is part of the president’s cabinet and fulfills a variety of foreign policy roles. The first of these roles is maintaining diplomatic and consular posts around the world. These diplomatic posts are designed to facilitate communication between the United States and foreign countries, provide assistance for U.S. travelers, and grant visas or political asylum to foreign nationals seeking to enter the United States. A second function of the State Department is to send delegates and missions (groups of government officials) to a variety of international organization meetings. A third function of the State Department is to negotiate treaties and executive agreements with other countries. Among the bestknown employees of the State Department are the foreign service officers, the most senior of whom are U.S. ambassa- Traveling for World Peace dors. Foreign service officers play a key role in diplomacy as Palestinian Authority president Mahmud Abbas welcomes U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice in the West Bank city of Ramallah they represent the United States abroad, report back on on August 26, 2008. Rice was there to take part in Israeli-Palestinian events overseas, help manage ongoing negotiations, and as- peace talks. Such diplomatic contact with governments around the world is a necessary part of foreign policy. sist U.S. citizens traveling abroad. The second major department involved in foreign policy is Department of State the the Department of Defense, headquartered in the Pentagon—the distinctive fiveexecutive department charged sided building in Arlington, Virginia. The main job of the department is to manage with managing foreign affairs American soldiers and their equipment to protect the United States. The Defense Department is headed by a secretary of defense, whose job in part is to advise the presiDepartment of Defense the dent on defense matters and who, it is important to note, is a civilian. The idea that executive department charged the military should be under the authority of civilians is an important check in U.S. with managing the country’s politics. military personnel, equipment, The Joint Chiefs of Staff is part of the Defense Department. It consists, at the top, and operations of the senior military officers of the armed forces: the army and air force chiefs of staff, the chief of naval operations, and the commandant of the marine corps. The chairJoint Chiefs of Staff the senior man is selected by the president. The Joint Chiefs of Staff advises the secretary of demilitary officers from four fense, and the chairman is the primary military adviser to the president and the secbranches of the U.S. armed retary of defense. forces Another executive actor in foreign policy making is the group of agencies and bureaus that make up the intelligence community (see Figure 19.1). This community’s intelligence community job is the collection, organization, and analysis of information. That information can the agencies and bureaus be gathered in a number of ways from the mundane, such as reading foreign newsparesponsible for obtaining and pers, to the more clandestine, like spying by human beings and by more high-tech interpreting information for means like surveillance satellites. This community of about fifteen separate agencies, the government many housed inside the Defense Department, was until recently coordinated by the Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. 876 Chapter 19 Foreign Policy Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) the government organization that oversees foreign intelligence-gathering and related classified activities director of central intelligence, who was also the head of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA). The CIA oversees intelligence gathering and classified activities abroad. In addition to the CIA, there are intelligence components in each of the four branches of the armed forces, as well as intelligence groups within the Departments of State, Defense, Energy, and Treasury, and within the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI). The intelligence community also includes certain specialized agencies such as the National Security Agency (NSA), which is responsible for cryptology (code breaking) and monitoring communications with sophisticated satellites that can see and listen to much of the planet. At the end of 2004, in the wake of many studies and hearings about the events leading up to September 11, as well as current security concerns, President Bush signed legislation that altered how the intelligence community is managed. The job of the director of central intelligence was limited to directing the CIA. The job of coordinating the entire network of agencies now falls to the newly created director of national intelligence. While this person will not have direct authority over all members of the community, or budgetary authority over all of it either, the idea is that this person will have the ear of the president, meeting with the president each day, and that this, in concert with some other changes, will help make it clear who runs the intelligence community. A new National Counterterrorism Center was also created, which is to be a central hub for planning and intelligence about terrorism and counterterrorism. Because of the secrecy surrounding its activities, the exact size of the intelligence community, its budget, and its activities are not very clear. For 2006 it was widely estimated that the budget for the intelligence community was perhaps as high as $40 billion, although what that money was spent on will never be known publicly because much of what these agencies do is classified top-secret. director of national intelligence overseer and coordinator of the activities of the many agencies involved in the production and dissemination of intelligence information in the U.S. government, as well as the president’s main intelligence adviser President Nat. Security Council Secretary of State Secretary of Defense Dir. Nat. Intelligence Attorney General Secretary of Treasury Secretary of Energy Secretary of Homeland Security Joint Chiefs of Staff Dir. Nat. Intelligence staff Dir. CIA Bur. of Intelligence Nat. Counterterrorism Center Nat. Counterintelligence Exec. Central Intelligence Agency Defense Intelligence Agency Nat. Security Agency Nat. GeospatialIntelligence Agency Dept of Defense Airborne Nat. Intelligence Center Nat. Counterproliferation Center Nat. Reconnaissance Office National Intelligence Program FIGURE 19.1 Key Foreign Policy Agencies Military Intelligence Program Army Navy Air Force Marines Special Operations Command FBI CounterIntelligence Intelligence Coast Guard Intelligence and analysis FBI Intelligence Drug Enforcement Agency Intelligence support Operational control Coordination Source: Mark Lowenthal, Intelligence, 4th ed. (Washington, D.C.: CQ Press, 2009). Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. Who Makes American Foreign Policy? Another major change after September 11 was the establishment of the Department of Homeland Security, a new cabinet-level agency to better coordinate the steps taken by the government to keep us safe at home. Agencies that were spread throughout the government but that all had some role in protecting the homeland were pulled together under this new umbrella. Immigration services, the U.S. Secret Service, and the Coast Guard, to name a few, now all share a common home. In addition to the State Department, the Defense Department, the Department of Homeland Security, and the intelligence community, a variety of other departments also play a role in foreign policy. These include the Treasury Department and the Commerce Department, both of which are concerned with American foreign economic policy—for example, with the export of American goods abroad. The Department of Agriculture is interested in promoting American agricultural products abroad and gets involved when the United States ships food overseas as part of a humanitarian mission, for example, to help refugees in the aftermath of a civil war. Finally, the Department of Labor is involved with labor issues around the world, such as studying the impact of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) on American jobs. 877 Department of Homeland Security the executive department meant to provide a unifying force in the efforts of the government to prevent attacks on the United States and to respond to such attacks through law enforcement and emergency relief should they occur CONGRESS As we saw in Chapter 7, Congress has a variety of constitutional roles in making foreign policy, including the power to make treaties, to declare war, and to appropriate money, to name just a few. But Congress also faces obstacles in its efforts to play an active foreign policy role. For most of the twentieth century until the 1970s, the president took the lead on foreign policy, leading one scholar to refer to an “imperial” presidency.13 George W. Bush revived that role in fighting the war on terrorism. Even when Congress wants to play a role, it is limited in what it can do. One reason is that Congress is more oriented toward domestic than foreign affairs, given the constant imperative of reelection. Congressional organization can also hamper the congressional role in foreign policy. The fragmentation of Congress, the slow speed of deliberation, and the complex nature of many foreign issues can make it difficult for Congress to play a big role—particularly in fast-moving foreign events. PRESIDENTIAL-CONGRESSIONAL POWER STRUGGLES The relationship between the executive and legislative branches in the foreign policy realm has been called an “invitation to struggle” because both bodies have been given some power by the Constitution to act in foreign policy.14 The jurisdictions of each, however, are not clearly established by the Constitution and, in keeping with the principles of checks and balances, the powers are to some extent shared. In this inherent tension, the president and Congress both maneuver for the top position (see Figure 19.2). Presidents, for example, try to get around the need for Senate approval of treaties by using executive agreements instead, or they try to circumvent the Senate’s confirmation power by making appointments while Congress is in recess. Such strategies have real costs, however, since the Senate does not take kindly to being bypassed and the president needs the cooperation of Congress to accomplish his agenda. The Senate was so angry when President Bill Clinton made one appointment while they were on break that one senator vowed to block Clinton’s future nominations. Clinton eventually promised to make no more such appointments without notifying Senate leaders, and Senate leaders withdrew the block on Clinton’s other nominations. Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. 878 Chapter 19 Foreign Policy The foreign policy tension between the president and Congress is further exacerbated by the com• Chief of state • Ratify treaties • Chief executive • Confirm appointments plex issues surrounding the use of • Commander-in-chief • Declare war military force. The president is in • Chief diplomat • Appropriate funds charge of the armed forces, but • Chief legislator • Oversee agencies only Congress can declare war. • Enact legislation Substantive Presidents try to get around the Procedural power of Congress by committing troops to military actions that do not have the official status of war, but this too can infuriate the legisCONGRESS PRESIDENT lators. Presidents have sent troops abroad without a formal declaration of war on a number of occaFIGURE 19.2 sions, for example, in Korea Executive/Legislative “Struggle” Over Foreign Policy (1950), Vietnam (1965), Lebanon (1982), the Dominican Republic (1965), Grenada (1983), Panama (1989), the Persian Gulf (1990), Afghanistan (2001), and Iraq (2003)—among others. As the Vietnam War became a bigger issue, Congress became increasingly unhappy with the president’s role but did not take steps to try to challenge him until the early 1970s, when public opinion against the war became too much for Congress to resist. Then Congress turned on the commander-in-chief, passing the War Powers Act of 1973 over President Richard Nixon’s veto. The act makes the following provisions: Congress’s powers President’s powers 1. The president must inform Congress of the introduction of forces into hostilities or situations where imminent involvement in hostilities is clearly indicated by the circumstances. 2. Troop commitments by the president cannot extend past sixty days without specific congressional authorization (though another thirty days is permitted for the withdrawal of the troops). 3. Any time American forces become engaged in hostilities without a declaration of war or specific congressional authorization, Congress can direct the president to disengage such troops by a concurrent resolution of the two houses of Congress. The War Powers Act has not stopped presidents from using force abroad, however. Chief executives have largely sidestepped the act through a simple loophole: they don’t make their reports to Congress exactly as the act requires, and therefore they never trigger the sixty-day clock. They generally report “consistent with but not pursuant to” the act, a technicality that allows them to satisfy Congress’s interest in being informed without tying their hands by starting the clock. When President George W. Bush informed Congress of the campaign against terrorism in response to the September 11 attacks, for instance, he did so “consistent with the War Powers Act” but not pursuant to the act in a way that would begin the sixty-day clock. Nor have the courts stepped in to help Congress here, normally avoiding such issues as “political questions” rather than genuine legal or constitutional cases. Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. How Do We Define a Foreign Policy Problem? 879 Despite its difficulties in enforcing the War Powers Act, Congress has tried to play a fairly active role in foreign policy making, sometimes working with a president, sometimes at odds. The calculation for Congress is fairly straightforward: let the president pursue risky military strategies. If he succeeds, take credit for staying out of his way; if he fails, blame him for not consulting and for being “imperial.” Either way, Congress wins, or at least it doesn’t lose by seeming to meddle in the affairs that many people see as the president’s domain.15 Even after the Democrats took control of Congress after the 2006 elections, they were unable to alter Bush’s war policy in Iraq, due to these kinds of barriers, and because the president’s potential veto meant that they needed a supermajority in both houses, not just to mobilize their own simple majority of votes. A Popularity Contest American foreign policy making is just as crowded an arena as any other WHO aspect of American politics. Actors vie with each other to realize their goals and manipulate the rules to get their way. The primary direct actors WHAT in the process are the president, the various executive bodies with foreign HOW policy authority, and Congress. To maximize their power and influence, these actors use their constitutional powers where they can, the laws on the books, and their power to create new laws. We have seen this most graphically in the power struggle between the president and Congress, illustrated by the politics surrounding the War Powers Act. HOW DO WE DEFINE A FOREIGN POLICY PROBLEM? The War Powers Act of 1973 requires the president to inform Congress of any military engagements. Congress’s ability to stop the president, however, is very limited. Other than cutting off funding, the best they can do is vote on a resolution of support. Shown in this image from television is the vote total for U.S. House Resolution 104, voted on by the members of the U.S. House of Representatives in March 2003. House members approved their support for President Bush and the U.S. military troops fighting in the U.S.-led attack on Iraq. The actors we have just discussed work in a very distinctive political environment that helps them decide when a foreign situation constitutes a problem, and when and how it should be acted on. Most foreign policy is either action to correct something we don’t like in the world or reaction to world events. How do policymakers in Washington, members of the media, or average citizens on the street decide what is sufficiently important to Americans and American interests that a foreign policy should be made? What makes the United States act or react? The answer is complex. First, over the years a distinctive American approach to foreign policy has developed that reflects our view of our global role, our values, and our political goals. Because of inherent tensions among these roles, values, and goals, our approach to foreign policy is not always entirely consistent. Foreign policy is also shaped by politics, plain and simple. The political context in which American foreign policy is forged involves the actors we have just met, in combination with pressures both global and domestic. In this section we explore our distinctive approach to foreign policy and then examine the variety of global and domestic pressures that help to define American foreign policy problems. Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. 880 Chapter 19 Foreign Policy THE AMERICAN STYLE OF FOREIGN POLICY American foreign policy goals have consistently included the promotion of democracy, capitalism, and free trade. At the same time, the record of American foreign policy is full of inconsistencies. We change allies and friends from time to time. For example, Japan and Germany were enemies of the United States during World War II, while the Soviet Union was an ally. After World War II, those positions switched: Japan and Germany became our friends, whereas until the 1990s the Soviet Union was our enemy. After 1950 the United States supported Taiwan as the true China, then switched in 1979 and recognized the People’s Republic and the government in Beijing. In 1979, Iranian revolutionaries held fifty-four Americans hostage in the U.S. embassy for over one year; less than a decade later, the United States sold arms to Iran. Likewise, the United States sold weapons to Iraq in the 1980s, and then went to war against it in 1990 and again in 2003. These inconsistencies in American foreign policy are partly due to the fact that international and domestic pressures are not static; they change over time, sometimes presenting challenges to the United States and sometimes opportunities, sometimes forcing action, sometimes preventing action. But the inconsistencies in American foreign policy also result from three underlying tensions in Americans’ ideas about the world: global activism, moral values, and conflicting goals. These tensions help create a distinctive “American” approach to foreign policy. Global Activism The first tension concerns the way Americans see their global role.16 An hegemon the dominant actor in world politics internationalism a foreign policy based on taking an active role in global affairs; the predominant foreign policy view in the United States today American military presence hovers over many areas of the globe, we are a major exporter of goods and services, and American culture has spread throughout the world. In fact the United States is so involved and so powerful that it is often called a hegemon, or the dominant actor in world politics. Much of this involvement is a matter of choice. Since World War II, American leaders and the public have believed that it is important for the United States to play an active role in global affairs, a philosophy known as internationalism. Internationalism is still the predominant foreign policy view in this country. In 2002, 96 percent of the nation’s leaders thought that the United States should take an active world role; in a 2006 survey, 69 percent of the public agreed.17 Critics of internationalism argue that when the United States gets involved in other countries’ affairs, it often ends up with worse results than if it did nothing. The covert operation against Salvador Allende in Chile in the early 1970s is an example: in attempting to keep a constitutionally elected left-wing Marxist government from taking control, the United States helped a right-wing repressive regime come to power. This isolationist impulse has perhaps been on the rise since the end of the Cold War.18 Both courses of action have benefits and costs. The main benefit of internationalism is that the United States can steer the courses of others in ways it likes; the primary cost is that it drains attention and resources from domestic policy. The primary benefit of isolationism is that it keeps the United States from being bogged down in someone else’s problems; the primary cost is that their problems could become ours. American policymakers have responded to this dilemma by being inconsistent; at times they support internationalism, and at times they support isolationism. Moral Values A second tension that makes American foreign policy seem inconsistent is the dispute over whether American foreign policy should be guided more by pracUncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. How Do We Define a Foreign Policy Problem? 881 tical or by moral considerations. Moral statements try to define particular actions as right or wrong. For example, although many people believe that under certain circumstances going to war is the moral thing to do—for example, to defend America from foreign invasion or to stop human rights violations in another country—most people also consider it wrong to attack innocent civilians while fighting a war. An important question for Americans is whether foreign policy should be constrained by moral guidelines and, if so, to what extent the government should be bound by those essentially self-imposed restrictions. Just as Americans and their foreign policy leaders have fluctuated between internationalism and isolationism over time, so too have we flip-flopped between emphasizing morality and practicality in foreign policy.19 For example, under President Carter the moral component of American foreign policy found its way into policies reducing the number of arms America exported abroad, promoting human rights, improving our relations with the Soviets, and pulling back our support of repressive regimes, even though we might have supported them in the past for being anticommunist.20 Congress was also very assertive in this period, cutting military and economic aid to countries that did not support human rights. When President Reagan, much more of a pragmatist, came to power, he reversed much of what President Carter had done. For instance, in El Salvador, where Carter had tried to get tough on a repressive regime, Reagan put the fight against communism first and so backed the existing regime— death squads and all—rather than push for human rights and risk “losing” part of Central America to communism. Conflicting Goals A final tension affecting the American approach to foreign policy concerns three basic goals the United States tries to pursue: defending the homeland (security), encouraging the growth of our economy (economic), and supporting democracy in the world (political).21 Sometimes these goals cannot be attained simultaneously and we have to choose which goal we want to give priority to. One of the key flash points has been between the protection of political goals (particularly human rights) and security goals (containment). Despite its preference for taking the moral high ground, in practice the United States was largely willing to work with any anticommunist leader and country, regardless of its domestic policies on human rights. This led us into strategic alliances with some countries that were not only not democratic but in fact quite repressive, the Philippines being one such example. And, indeed, the United States has forged links with nondemocratic regimes, such as Pakistan and Saudi Arabia, as part of the war against terrorism. The current war on terrorism highlights nicely the tension between conflicting U.S. goals. When President Bush talked of the important role of the United States in promoting democratic change and extending human liberty around the globe, he drew on very “idealistic” principles often associated with President Woodrow Wilson after World War I. At the same time, though, his administration’s willingness to use torture against suspected terrorists cut at the very heart of the U.S. commitment to human rights and dignity.22 Finding the right balance between safety and security and liberty and freedom is a constant challenge to democratic governments. GLOBAL PRESSURES In addition to being influenced by the distinctive culture of American foreign policy, policy problems are defined by the combination of global and domestic pressures we Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. 882 Chapter 19 Foreign Policy The Power of Words The United States wields its power in the international arena in a number of ways. One way is by engaging in diplomatic talks with other countries to get them to agree to what the U.S. officials want. Here, Iranian, European and U.S. officials begin talks in July 2008 in Geneva in a bid to resolve the dispute over Tehran’s nuclear program. Iran’s top nuclear negotiator, Saeed Jalili (left), is pictured with European Union Foreign Policy Chief Javier Solana (right) and U.S. Undersecretary of State William Burn (third on the right). spoke of earlier. Global pressure is exerted by external forces, events that take place outside America. Although the United States is an independent sovereign nation and a global superpower, it is also just one state in a larger system of states. All the states, plus other actors such as the United Nations, together comprise the international system. The nature of the international system has an impact on what sorts of things are defined as problems requiring action or reaction from America.23 Here we discuss briefly some characteristics of that system. Anarchy and Power The international political system is characterized by two concepts we discussed in Chapter 1: anarchy and power. Anarchy is a theory of politics that holds that there should be no laws at all. In the international context, this means that there is no central authority that individual nations must obey. International laws are effective only to the degree that nations agree to be bound by them. Since they cannot be enforced, except by military might, they are more like conventions than laws. When nations get into conflicts with each other, there is no organization that can authoritatively resolve them without the cooperation of those nations themselves. Even though there is a world court—the International Court of Justice—the impact of its rulings and those of other world judicial bodies depends on the willingness of countries to abide by them. The condition of anarchy has special implications for what Americans define as foreign policy problems. First, because power is what ultimately counts, the United States has taken care to build on its natural advantages to become a very powerful country, rather than counting on other states to defend it should the need arise, as smaller, less wealthy nations sometimes have to do. Although we are involved in international organizations like NATO, we also have the capacity to act on our own, without the cooperation or consent of our allies if need be. Second, American foreign policy has tended to focus on the behavior and actions of other nations, rather than international organizations, since that is where the competing areas of power are. It is other states that pose a military threat, and so other states are most likely to be at the center of our foreign Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. How Do We Define a Foreign Policy Problem? 883 policy problems (although in recent years nonstate actors like international terrorists have also become a focus of American foreign policy, especially as they are increasingly able to obtain weapons of mass destruction). Finally, since power has traditionally been defined first and foremost in military terms, we tend to put a priority on threats to our security.24 Security issues often become the primary focus of our foreign policy. Economic Interdependence Even though the nations of the world are politically independent, more and more they are economically interdependent—that is, most of the national economies of the world are linked together through the trade of goods and services and currencies. As the global stock market panic following the collapse of the U.S. credit market in the fall of 2008 makes painfully clear, ups and downs in one economy tend to be felt throughout the global economy, which has a hand in shaping our foreign policy.25 The United States sells some of the goods it makes to actors outside the country, and individuals and companies inside the United States buy other products from abroad. Between domestic production and foreign trade, our economy often prospers, but we are increasingly dependent on what other countries do, and we are vulnerable to the effects of the economic crises they might encounter. The United States played a pivotal role in setting up the current world economic system in 1944, in a meeting that took place in Bretton Woods, New Hampshire. The meeting brought together forty-four countries (notably not including the Soviet Union), under the leadership of the United States, to design a system that would regulate international trade and the international money system, and help restore war-ravaged Europe. The participating countries agreed to found a global economic system based on the principles of capitalism at home and free trade between states. Free trade means that countries exchange goods across their borders without imposing taxes and tariffs that make goods from another country more expensive than those made at home. Because such measures protect their home producers at the expense of the global market, the imposition of such restrictions is known as protectionism. The Bretton Woods system, an example of a strategic economic policy, set up three key economic institutions that continue to play a central role in the global economy: • The International Monetary Fund (IMF) was created to make relatively small and short-term loans to help balance the flow of currency in and out of countries. Originally the IMF focused on making loans to address balance-ofpayments deficits. While it still does so, increasingly the IMF and World Bank work together on massive loans for economic restructuring. free trade economic system by which countries exchange goods without imposing excessive tariffs and taxes protectionism the imposition of trade barriers, especially tariffs, to make trading conditions favorable to domestic producers International Monetary Fund (IMF) economic institution that makes short-term, relatively small loans to countries to help balance their currency flows Money Makes the World Go ‘Round Global economic interdependence was never more evident than in late 2008, when a financial crisis in the United States triggered stock losses worldwide. Fears of a global recession pummeled world markets. Representative of what was happening everywhere, Tokyo’s Nikkei stock index plunged more than 11 percent October 16, 2008, the biggest loss in two decades. Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. 884 Chapter 19 Foreign Policy World Bank economic institution that makes large, low-cost loans with long repayment terms to countries, primarily for infrastructure construction or repairs • The World Bank, or International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, was created to make large loans with long repayment terms and better interest rates than those available from banks. It addresses the needs of building and rebuilding economic infrastructure in countries—roads, dams, ports, bridges, and so on. General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) a series of agreements on international trading terms; now known as the World Trade Organization (WTO) most favored nation the status afforded to WTO trading partners; a country gives the same “deal” to member nations that it offers to its “most favored” friend • The General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (or GATT, which has now evolved into the World Trade Organization, or WTO) was an agreement about the terms on which member countries would trade with each other. At the heart of GATT was the principle of most favored nation, which meant that a country gives the same “deal” to all other GATT members as it gives to its “most favored” friend. The idea was to develop a multilateral trade organization that would work over time to move toward freer and freer trade among member nations. By the 1970s, however, it was becoming increasingly difficult to manage the world economy. First, other countries such as Japan were becoming more powerful economically. Second, some less-developed countries felt that free trade gave countries like the United States and Europe an advantage, and they wanted to protect their markets. Finally, the U.S. leadership role was not as strong as it was originally. The United States was beginning to pay larger costs to maintain the system, and its own economy was losing strength.26 The world economy affects the definition of foreign policy problems in several ways. First, Americans seek to preserve the capitalist free trade system, partly for ideological reasons and partly because of its benefits. Inevitably the United States gets into conflicts with states that want some limits on free trade. For example, when Japan put up protectionist barriers that made it harder for American companies to sell their products in Japan, American foreign policy aimed to get Japan to remove or at least reduce these barriers. One should note that the United States also uses protectionist measures to insulate the U.S. economy from foreign competition. For example, “domestic content” rules on automobiles require that a certain percentage of a car’s components be built or assembled in the United States. And the public can have strong views about the role of U.S. foreign policy in promoting economic interests. In 2004, 78 percent of those surveyed in the general public thought it was a very important role of U.S. foreign policy to protect American jobs and workers, while 73 percent thought it was to stop the spread of nuclear weapons. Only 41 percent of the nation’s “leaders” in the survey thought it was the purpose of foreign policy to protect jobs and workers, however, and 87 percent thought we ought to stop the spread of nuclear weapons.27 The public is clearly more worried than their leaders about the “outsourcing” of jobs abroad, in which generally high-wage jobs that had been held at home by Americans are shipped overseas, where wages are lower. Some studies predict that by 2015 as many as three million jobs could be lost to overseas.28 While not everyone agrees with this prediction, it certainly is the case that the complexity of globalization and the imperatives of international economic competition can run secondary to the sense of the public that their jobs are being taken and that it is the role of foreign policy to do something about it. This creates tough conflicts for policymakers. U.S. foreign policy makers also address the challenge of aiding and shaping the economies of Eastern Europe and the fifteen states that emerged out of the former Soviet Union. All of these countries had centrally planned economies, in which the government basically determined what goods would be produced, how much they would cost, how they would be distributed, and what workers’ wages would be. Since the fall Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. How Do We Define a Foreign Policy Problem? 885 of the Soviet Union, the eastern countries are no longer isolated economically from the rest of the world. As a result, many American entrepreneurs see the possibility of expanding their markets into these countries, and the U.S. government wants to facilitate the growth of democracy in these states and increase their stability by giving them economic aid. A final international economic factor that affects U.S. foreign policy is the state of the economies in the rest of the world. One problem here is a worsening of the terms of trade—the relative level over time of the prices a country receives for its exports compared with the prices it pays for the products it imports. The prices that developing countries receive for their exports can vary dramatically in the short run; an entire year’s crop can be wiped out by drought or floods. Furthermore, these countries’ prices probably decrease in the long run. Meanwhile, the prices these countries pay for imports, typically manufactured goods, tend only to increase in the long run. This leaves many developing economies in a difficult spot, to say the least. The main goal for the United States is to guarantee itself access to these markets, maximizing its profits, without alienating developing nations. The United States does try to help struggling economies with foreign aid, but there are concerns about whether such aid is effective.29 DOMESTIC PRESSURES Global pressures are not the only ones that shape what is defined as a foreign policy problem. Three important forces within America can have an influence on government policymakers: public opinion, the media, and interest groups. Public Opinion Public opinion influences foreign policy in a number of ways. First, since broad-based public beliefs are relatively stable, public opinion can limit drastic changes in foreign policy because decision makers believe the public will not stand for a radical new policy direction.30 This is the case particularly when it comes to taking risks that can lead to U.S. casualties—Americans might quickly reject a policy if the costs in human lives are high. Second, public opinion matters in foreign policy because, on occasion, changes in public opinion actually help bring about changes in foreign policy. For example, people supported the idea of recognizing the People’s Republic of China long before President Carter changed our strategic policy toward China and decided to recognize it; the public became vocally dissatisfied with Vietnam policy before U.S. leaders did; and popular support for a nuclear freeze preceded President Reagan’s resumption of nuclear arms control negotiations with the Soviet Union.31 Third, public opinion may be used as a bargaining chip in diplomacy. Here the idea is that a leader negotiating policies with other countries’ leaders can use public opinion to set limits on what positions are acceptable. The Media The media also exert domestic pressure on the definition of American foreign policy problems. All media sources cover foreign policy, but their role is limited for three reasons: the media must also pay attention to domestic issues; the media are effective only to the point that people actually pay attention to what they say; and the government can limit the media’s coverage of certain sensitive stories, as it did during the Persian Gulf War in 1990–1991, the war in Afghanistan (2001), and the ongoing war in Iraq. Generally, foreign news is shrinking as a percentage Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. 886 Pressure in Numbers? Several thousand antiwar demonstrators fill Waterfront Park in downtown Portland, Oregon, in mid-March 2003, to protest a possible war with Iraq. Although their voices did not prevent the war, public opinion of the protracted conflict continued to get more critical over the next couple of years and forced the Bush administration to defend its policies. Chapter 19 Foreign Policy of the news. For example, ABC’s nightly news foreign coverage dropped from 3,733 minutes in 1989 to 1,838 minutes in 1996—and ABC offers the most foreign coverage of the three major networks.32 Some of this drop in coverage has been picked up by the Internet and twenty-four-hour news networks. The aftermath of the September 2001 terrorist attacks made some foreign coverage more relevant to Americans, although much of the coverage focused on domestic issues or American concerns overseas, and in recent years, coverage of foreign news has declined to pre-9/11 levels. The relationship between the media and the government in foreign policy is a twoway street. First, the media can influence the government by providing policymakers with pertinent information. Policymakers learn much in their daily talks with journalists. This appears to have been the case during the operations in Somalia and Haiti, when the military commanders learned a lot about what was going on around them from reporters and CNN.33 Second, the media can stimulate changes in elite attitudes, which are then dispersed throughout society. The coverage of the famine in Somalia in 1991, for example, appears to have had an impact on President George H. W. Bush, who decided that the United States must do something to help. He then sold this policy to the American public.34 Third, the media can create foreign policy issues that the government must deal with. By focusing the public’s attention on a problem, such as pictures of a dead American soldier being dragged through the streets in Somalia in October 1993, the media can in a sense create a problem to which policymakers must respond quickly. Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by compellence any means, electronic using foreign or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. policy strategies to persuade, or How Do We Define a Foreign Policy Problem? 887 However, the government can also influence the media. Government officials can give cues to the media as to what the government leaders think is important and should be told to the public—they can leak stories or put a certain spin or interpretation on a story. And since CNN and other networks carry live news briefings, the administration can speak for hours directly to the public. The government can also restrict access to information as it has done during the war on terrorism. The media rely heavily on official sources for information on foreign affairs. Recent revelations that some reporters were secretly on the government payroll to promote administration policies, and the recognition that especially in matters of foreign affairs the government sometimes gives false news to confuse our enemies (but also potentially confusing us) shows how blurry the line between the media and the government can get. On the other hand, as the media communicate even faster with the public, leaders in Washington feel the pressure to act equally quickly, which can make for hasty and less effective foreign policy.35 Interest Groups The final source of domestic pressure that helps define foreign policy problems comes from interest groups. Some groups are issue focused, like Human Rights Watch, which monitors and advocates human rights policy, and USA*Engage, which generally opposes U.S. economic sanctions and supports free trade. Many groups are organized around diaspora, or ethnic groups in the United States, with a common ethnic or religious background or homeland. These groups lobby for foreign policies related to their countries of origin. Such groups have become increasingly active in recent years. For example, Cuban Americans lobby about U.S. policy toward Cuba, and both Jewish Americans and Arab Americans lobby for policies that affect the Middle East. Iraqi exiles also worked hard to promote the policy of “regime change” to oust Saddam Hussein from power.36 Organized interest groups representing the interests of big businesses that compete for defense contracts tend to be especially powerful. The interesting thing about policymaking in this area is that here the president and the Pentagon on the one hand, and members of Congress on the other hand, tend to share an interest in increased defense spending. Policy therefore tends to be made in fairly nonconfrontational ways. This mutual interest among defense groups and contractors, Congress, and the Pentagon is an example of the iron triangle policy relationship we noted in other chapters. While this metaphor might be too strong, it nevertheless illustrates the roles that interest groups can play in foreign policy.37 The Influence of Interest Groups Interest groups bring the concerns and opinions of individuals to the attention of political officials, and this is just as true for U.S. foreign policy as it is for domestic policy. In June 2008, the American Israel Public Affairs Committee hosted Israel’s prime minister, Ehud Olmert, at its 2008 policy conference. Olmert told American Jewish leaders that he hoped renewed contacts with Syria would lead to peace talks that could transform the Middle East. Defining foreign policy problems is the business of the foreign policy actors who are influWHAT enced by interests and pressures from both inside the United States and abroad. Their goal HOW is to focus on problems that are supported by the prevailing American ideology about our role in the world and are consistent with American values and goals. To some extent, they must work within a distinctive culture of American foreign policy. At the same time, they are buffeted by global and domestic political pressures that help to determine which foreign situations can be defined as solvable policy problems, and which cannot. WHO Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. 888 Chapter 19 Foreign Policy HOW DO WE SOLVE FOREIGN POLICY PROBLEMS? Most U.S. foreign policies are designed to influence other actors in the world to act in a manner consistent with American goals.38 Once foreign policy makers have defined a situation as a problem, they have to make key decisions about how best to approach it and what sort of instrument to use: political, economic, or military. We explore each of these in turn, after we examine the different approaches open to policymakers. STRATEGIES: DETERRENCE, COMPELLENCE, AND PREEMPTION deterrence maintaining military might so as to discourage another actor from taking a certain action compellence using foreign policy strategies to persuade, or force, an actor to take a certain action coercive diplomacy the calibrated use of threats of the use of force aimed to make another actor stop or undue an aggressive action preemption action that strikes and eliminates an enemy before it has a chance to strike you preventive war to use force without direct provocation in order to assure that a chain of events does not unfold that could put you at immediate risk at some later date Traditionally, foreign policy makers could use two accepted strategies to influence other political actors: deterrence and compellence. The goal of deterrence is to prevent another actor from doing something it might be expected to do.39 Earlier in this chapter we saw that the United States spent a great deal of money on military weapons from the end of World War II until about 1989 to deter the Soviet Union from attacking Western Europe. The cost of the nuclear program alone from 1940 to 1996 was $5.5 trillion.40 This is an example of deterrence because the United States employed threats to prevent the Soviets from doing something that the United States did not want them to do. The goal of compellence, on the other hand, is to get another actor to do something that it might otherwise not do, such as starting a new policy or stopping an existing one.41 For example, after the war in the Persian Gulf between Iraq and a U.S.-led multinational coalition of states, the United States wanted Iraq to stop producing weapons of mass destruction (biological, chemical, and nuclear), and to destroy the weapons it had already stockpiled. The United Nations imposed strict economic sanctions on Iraq, prohibiting other countries from trading with Iraq until compliance with the international demands was verified. When, in December 1998, the United States had reason to believe that Iraq’s Saddam Hussein had resumed production of weapons of mass destruction, it began bombing raids to destroy Iraq’s weapons-producing capacity. Both economic sanctions and military strikes were foreign policies of compellence, designed to force Iraq to disarm, to increase global security, and perhaps to overthrow Hussein, thereby making democratic reform possible. Foreign policies can deter or compel in positive or negative ways. We often refer to foreign policies as “carrots” or “sticks.” A carrot, or positive foreign policy, is a reward or a promise to do something nice for another country, or to lift a punishment or sanction. Good examples of positive foreign policy are economic or foreign aid and increased opportunities for trade and commerce. A stick, or negative foreign policy, is a punishment or a threat to enact a punishment, or the withdrawal of an existing reward. The U.S. government frequently cuts off or diminishes foreign aid to countries as a form of punishment. The careful manipulation of threats of the use of force as a form of negotiation, while hoping to avoid war, is often called coercive diplomacy.42 In 2002, President George W. Bush added a third foreign policy to the mix—one that seemed to break with previous practice and with the way international law had generally been understood to that point. The new strategy was one of preemption, striking an enemy and removing it from action before it has the chance to strike you. The administration uses the word preemption, indicating the need to act now to stop an immediate and imminent threat, but the strategy may be better thought of as waging preventive war, waging war now so as to prevent a sequence of events that could Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. How Do We Solve Foreign Policy Problems? 889 pose a threat later. Bush’s strategy was based on the idea that some enemies cannot be deterred or compelled to act appropriately because they are motivated by implacable hate for the United States. If we know that such an enemy, either a hostile state or a stateless entity like a terrorist network, has the means to attack the United States or U.S. interests and to do horrible damage—using weapons of mass destruction such as chemical or biological weapons, for example—then there is no point in waiting for them to strike first. In fact, Bush’s position is that the United States has a duty to act first in such a situation, lest America and the world suffer the consequences of inaction. Bush asserted that he was willing to act preemptively and unilaterally, if necessary, to prevent such first strikes. The new strategy was announced shortly after Bush had asked the United Nations to pass a resolution allowing force to be used to remove Hussein from power in Iraq, again for his failure to allow weapons inspections and, it was thought, for continuing to develop those weapons. In a 2002 document titled “The National Security Strategy of the United States of America,” Bush made it clear, however, that he would act alone if the United Nations failed to approve the action. The policy was immediately controversial, as critics both at home and abroad pointed out that it set a dangerous precedent and argued that Bush should not ignore his allies. Many critics of the plan worry that it puts tremendous pressure on the government to “get it right” when it comes to intelligence, and to get it right early—since there’s no time to wait. Others are concerned that this could lead to a dangerous new reality in international relations, where “shooting first and asking questions later” becomes the new norm. Nevertheless, Bush was resolved to act, and the new policy of preemption was put into effect in Iraq in 2003, although it turned out, in retrospect, that Hussein had not in fact begun his nuclear, biological, and chemical weapons programs again as had been feared. FOREIGN POLICY INSTRUMENTS Once leaders in Washington decide to make a foreign policy, they can take a wide range of actions.43 That is, once the president or Congress has decided to deter, compel, or preempt a country and has decided to use a positive or negative action, a menu of practical options is open to them. These actions can be grouped into three main categories: political, economic, and military. Preemptive action is likely to be exclusively military. Each category contains several instruments. Political Instruments Political instruments include propaganda, diplomacy, and covert operations. Propaganda is the promotion of information designed to influence the beliefs and attitudes of a foreign audience. The hope behind American propaganda is that the people of the targeted foreign country will view America more favorably or will apply pressure on their government to act more democratically. Propaganda is a form of communication that can be conducted via the media—radio broadcasts, television, film, pamphlets—or through scholarly exchanges, such as speaking tours of Americans abroad or tours given to foreign officials visiting the United States. American efforts at what is sometimes called “public diplomacy” are relatively new. The Voice of America began broadcasting in 1942, Radio Free Europe (to Eastern Europe) in 1951, and Radio Liberty (to the Soviet Union) in 1953. Much of U.S. propaganda is the responsibility of the United States Information Agency (USIA), also established in 1953.44 More recent additions to American propaganda efforts are Radio Marti and TV Marti, directed toward Cuba, and now, Radio Free Afghanistan. propaganda the promotion of information, which may or may not be correct, designed to influence the beliefs and attitudes of a foreign audience Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. 890 Chapter 19 Foreign Policy diplomacy the formal system of communication and negotiation between countries Diplomacy, formal communication and negotiation between countries, is a second political tool—perhaps the oldest political tool of the United States. The State Department is primarily responsible for American diplomatic activities.45 Diplomats perform a variety of functions. They represent America at ceremonies abroad, gather information about what is going on in foreign countries, and conduct negotiations with foreign countries. Diplomats can often be recognized in media accounts by titles like “ambassador,” “special envoy,” and “special representative.” Diplomacy is a tricky business in many ways, including the decision of whether or not to talk to those nations we view as enemies, as we discussed in “What’s at Stake?” at the beginning of this chapter. But even when we know we want to open communications, spreading Washington’s message abroad and correctly interpreting other countries’ messages can be difficult. An infamous meeting took place during the summer of 1990 between U.S. ambassador to Iraq April Glaspie and Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein; the conversation may have led Hussein to believe that the United States was prepared to let the Persian Gulf states deal with their own interests themselves, which implied (incorrectly as it turned out) that the United States would not get involved in Persian Gulf disputes. This interpretation may have been seen by Hussein as a green light to proceed as he wished in the Gulf and facilitated the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait. A more recent example may be seen in the apparent divisions within the Bush administration between “hawks” like then–Deputy Secretary of Defense Paul Wolfowitz, who were more willing to act forcefully and unilaterally against Iraq, and more moderate actors like former secretary of state Colin Powell, who wished to pursue a more diplomatic and multilateral approach to global problems in general and Iraq in particular. When she became secretary of state, Condoleezza Rice seemed to weigh in on the Powell side, traveling around the world to press the message that the United States stands for freedom and liberty, in part as a way to combat the image of the country as an aggressive military force in world affairs. The importance of diplomacy has been lessened today by two important developments: the technological revolution in communications and transportation, and increasing scrutiny by the media. Faster communications mean that if an American president wants to talk to the French prime minister, the German chancellor, or the Russian president, all he needs to do is pick up the phone. Indeed, following the attacks of September 11, Russian president Vladimir Putin was the first to call President Bush to offer his sympathies and support. Faster transportation means that the secretary of state or the secretary of defense or the president can fly anywhere at any time when negotiations or meetings need to take place within hours. These technological developments have made shuttle diplomacy possible as heads of state or their personal envoys travel back and forth to deal directly with one another and have to some extent taken the professional diplomats out of the loop. Broader publicity as a result of greater media attention has also diminished the effectiveness of diplomacy. Sometimes diplomacy needs to be started, if not undertaken completely, in secret. Secrecy allows the diplomats to explore various bargaining positions without initially having to worry about whether those positions are politically feasible and publicly supported back home. Today, that secrecy is much harder to obtain. For instance, the constant publicity around the peace processes in the Middle East and Northern Ireland provides leaders with opportunities to score points with their constituencies rather than buckle down and hammer out an agreement. A final type of political tool, one with potential military implications, covert operations are undercover actions in which the United States is a primary mover, although covert operations undercover actions in which the prime mover country appears to have had no role Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. How Do We Solve Foreign Policy Problems? it does not appear to have had any role at all. The main ingredients in a covert operation are secrecy (the covert part) and the appearance that the U.S. government has nothing to do with the action. The CIA is the American agency primarily charged with conducting covert operations, although in recent years the Defense Department has become more engaged in this area as well. Covert operations can take several forms.46 Efforts to assassinate foreign leaders are one example. Perhaps the leader most often on the receiving end of such efforts is Fidel Castro, who came to power in Cuba in 1959. However, the United States and many other countries view such actions as ineffective, with the added disincentive of seeming to invite retaliation on their own chief executives. President Gerald Ford banned such efforts by executive order in 1976. So despite calls to assassinate Saddam Hussein, such an attempt was never implemented. Covert operations also involve efforts to change the governments of countries the United States does not like, by facilitating a coup d’état—an internal takeover of power by political or military leaders—against the ruling government. Examples include the overthrows of the Iranian prime minister Mohammad Mosaddeq in 1953 and of Chilean president Salvador Allende in the early 1970s. A final example of covert political operations is meddling in foreign countries’ elections, for example, by giving money to a political party for the purpose of helping U.S.-preferred candidates to win and keeping others out of power. The secrecy of covert operations is worth touching on because, more than any other instrument of foreign policy available to U.S. policymakers, this policy instrument seems to be at odds with democratic principles—aside from the fact that covert operations often involve illegal or unethical undertakings. Only beginning in the 1970s did the media and Congress begin to seek out information on covert operations. In 1980, President Carter signed into law the Intelligence Oversight Act, which was intended to keep Congress informed. If anything, the bits of information that do surface have contributed to the increasing public opinion that conspiracies abound in American politics. Economic Instruments We have already touched briefly on the two basic economic in- struments available to foreign policy makers: foreign aid and economic sanctions (see Figure 19.3). Foreign aid is economic aid or military assistance given from the United States (or other countries) to poorer states; here we focus primarily on economic aid. Foreign aid became a major part of U.S. foreign policy after World War II when the United States instituted the Marshall Plan. The war had devastated the economies of Western Europe, and with the consolidation of power by the Soviet Union in Eastern Europe, Washington worried that economic instability would contribute to political instability and open the door to communism in the west as well. Economic aid would bolster the European economies and thus prevent the spread of communism. The Marshall Plan announced by Secretary of State 891 foreign aid assistance given by one country to another in the form of grants or loans Marshall Plan America’s massive economic recovery program for Western Europe following World War II Building Peace and Prosperity Former U.S. president Bill Clinton greeted villagers after he visited the Godino Health Center August 1, 2008, in Debre Zeit, Ethiopia. Clinton visited Clinton Foundation projects in four African countries. Such a presence helps the U.S image abroad, particularly in countries with which the United States has sometimes had strained relations. Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. Chapter 19 Foreign Policy 892 RUSSIA CANADA UNITED KINGDOM BELARUS GERMANY FRANCE SLOVENIA CROATIA SERBIA YUGOSLAVIA GEORGIA MACEDONIA SYRIA JORDAN IRAQ NORTH KOREA SOUTH KOREA JAPAN PAKISTAN Egypt CUBA MEXICO CHINA IRANAFGHANISTAN SAUDI ARABIA BURMA SUDAN VENEZUELA COLOMBIA 1. Top ten countries with which the U.S. trades, May 2008 CÔTE D’IVOIRE FORMER LIBERIAN REGIME OF CHARLES TAYLOR KENYA D. R. CONGO ZIMBABWE 2. Top ten recipients of economic assistance, 2006 3. Countries faced with U.S.imposed economic sanctions, as of September 2008 4. Countries that are on list numbers 2 & 3 above FIGURE 19.3: U.S. Foreign Policy Economic Instruments George Marshall in June 1947 was the first major economic aid package designed to help the ruined economies of Europe recover. While the plan was extended to the Soviets, the United States knew the Soviet Union, with its communist economy, would not accept the capitalist recovery plan. Indeed, the Soviets rejected the plan and forced their newly acquired Eastern European satellites to join them. Thus the Marshall Plan covered only Western Europe, and the Cold War division of Europe was made even more distinct. Since the Marshall Plan days, the United States has given money and assistance to many countries around the world. Economic aid comes in three forms: grants, loans, and technical assistance. Grants are gifts of aid. Loans are monies that must be paid back (at least in theory) to the United States, though usually at very good interest rates (much lower than you get on your Visa card). Technical assistance is the sending of knowledgeable people to help with economic projects (such as construction, agriculture, and technology). The United States gives foreign aid to strengthen foreign countries, to pursue developmental goals—such as improving a nation’s health care system, education system, or agricultural output; to promote international stability; and for humanitarian reasons. Note, however, that there is a good deal of self-interest behind foreign aid even though we sometimes think of foreign aid as an “altruistic” act.47 Many Americans believe we give too much aid. However, this is in part because many Americans Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. How Do We Solve Foreign Policy Problems? think that the U.S. government gives much more aid than it actually does. For instance, in one study, Americans thought aid constituted as much as 15 percent of the federal budget, whereas in reality it is only about half of one percent of government spending, and U.S. spending on foreign aid as a portion of its gross domestic product (GDP) puts it near the bottom of a list of major countries that give aid.48 In terms of actual amounts, the United States, which used to be the foremost aid donor, is now fourth, behind Japan, Germany, and France.49 Furthermore, much of what we give in foreign aid actually comes back home because we often grant aid to countries with the provision that they buy goods and services from the United States.50 The second type of foreign economic instrument is economic sanctions. We discussed economic sanctions earlier, in our consideration of compellence policy toward Iraq. In common parlance, economic sanctions are thought of as negative sanctions— that is, as a punishment imposed on a nation, such as the economic sanctions enacted by the U.S. against Cuba in 1960 in an effort to destabilize the Castro regime. During the period 1914–1990, the United States enacted seventy-seven sanctions on various countries, or about one per year.51 Economic sanctions have become a major foreign policy tool since the end of the Cold War. Between 1993 and 1996, government estimates identify sixty-one American economic sanctions.52 A recent study finds the use of sanctions increasing in recent years.53 The rise in sanctions may be explained as the result of the decreasing utility of both political tools (as noted earlier) and the increased stakes and decreased public popularity involved with the use of military force. The removal of sanctions, as the United States is about to do with North Korea as part of an agreement to, it is hoped, end their nuclear weapons program, can be a way that sanctions are used as a “carrot” as well. One of the most serious forms of economic sanctions is an embargo, or the refusal by one country to trade with another in order to force changes in the other country’s behavior or to weaken it. In rare circumstances, all trade is forbidden except shipments of a purely humanitarian nature, such as medicine. This means that the country can neither export nor import goods. A classic example is the U.S. policy toward Cuba. Since Fidel Castro came to power in Cuba’s 1959 revolution, the United States has imposed heavy sanctions on the communist island so close to the Florida coast. The United States currently has severe restrictions on the right of its citizens to travel to the island and allows the sale of food and medicine from U.S. firms only under special circumstances. The Bush administration tightened the sanctions policy that had been in place since Eisenhower and Kennedy were in office. This use of embargoes and other economic sanctions raises a number of problems, however. First, for such a sanction to have real teeth, most nations must go along. If some countries refuse to observe the embargo, the targeted nation may do just fine without trading with the United States. Second, the goal of economic sanctions is to hurt the government so that it changes its policies. But negative sanctions often hurt ordinary citizens, such as Iraqis who couldn’t get food and other imported items while sanctions were in effect. Third, sanctions can alienate allies. For example, U.S. efforts to enact a strong embargo against Cuba have hurt American relations with countries that trade with Cuba, such as Canada. Finally, economic sanctions, because they prohibit exports to a particular country, may deprive U.S. companies of billions of dollars of export earnings. Overall, it may be more effective to use positive sanctions as a tool of foreign policy, but giving rewards to change behavior may be politically unpalatable. For instance, many Americans cringe over opening trade relations with China, believing it rewards that country for its many human rights violations. 893 economic sanctions restrictions on trade imposed on one country by another state or group of states, usually as a form of punishment or protest embargo the refusal by one country to trade with another in order to force changes in its behavior or to weaken it Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. 894 nuclear triad the military strategy of having a threepronged nuclear capability, from land, sea, or air Chapter 19 Foreign Policy Military Instruments The final instrument of foreign policy available to policymakers in Washington is military power. With the Cold War over, the United States has emerged as the most powerful military state in the world, possessing a wide range of technologically sophisticated weapons systems and developing new technologies for the battlefields of the future. This military might has not been inexpensive to build and maintain. Every year the United States spends hundreds of billions of dollars on defense: the Bush administration request for the 2009 defense budget totaled well over $600 billion, when you add to the baseline budget the cost of operations in Afghanistan and Iraq (which is budgeted separately) and the cost of defense programs that are in other parts of the federal budget. This is about ten times as much as Russia spends and is about as much as the rest of the world spends combined.54 Military power can be used for its threat value, to deter or compel an adversary, or to strike preemptively or in retaliation for an attack on us. The United States has used its military in a variety of interventions, from small-scale conflicts such as bombing Libya in 1986 to all-out war in Iraq in 2003. Every postwar president has sent U.S. troops to fight abroad (see Table 19.1). These troops have been called into service most recently in Afghanistan and Iraq. Interestingly, the commitment to such a large military is a relatively new phenomenon in American history. The United States has always been distrustful of a large standing peacetime military. British occupation in the American colonies fed the American conviction that there should not be an army during peacetime. Thus Americans mobilized large armies when needed, as at the outset of the two world wars, and demobilized the troops after those wars ended. President Truman was one of the first to believe that America should stay active in world affairs after World War II, and to argue for a large and permanent military. Nevertheless, skepticism continued, prompting President Dwight Eisenhower to warn about the growing influence of a military-industrial complex in his presidential farewell address in January 1961. In addition to a huge army, the United States also possesses the most sophisticated weapons of war. The United States was the first, and currently is the largest, nuclear power in the world. America developed atomic weapons during World War II and dropped two of the bombs on Japan, at Hiroshima and Nagasaki, in August 1945, bringing an end to the war in the Pacific. American scientists quickly developed an even more powerful successor: the hydrogen bomb, also known as a nuclear bomb. The U.S. arsenal today still revolves around the notion of the nuclear triad. Like three legs of a stool, some nuclear weapons are based on land (on intercontinental ballistic missiles), some at sea (on missiles on board submarines), and some in the air (to be dropped by aircraft like the B-2 Stealth bomber). In addition, nuclear warheads can be attached to cruise missiles that can be launched from the ground, sea, or air. The idea is that even if one of these legs were destroyed or disabled by an enemy, the others would still be able to retaliate against attack. This swift and assured retaliation is meant to deter an attack on the United States from ever happening in the first place. U.S. nuclear weapons, the backbone of a policy of mutual assured destruction, or MAD—may actually have helped keep the peace between the Americans and Soviets after World War II, because the Soviets believed we would use these weapons if provoked.55 Even though President Bush and Russian president Putin agreed in May 2002 to reduce each country’s arsenal from about six thousand nuclear weapons to about Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. How Do We Solve Foreign Policy Problems? 895 TABLE 19.1 Presidential Uses of Force Since 1981 PRESIDENT YEAR PLACE ACTION U.S. DEATHS Reagan 1981 Libya Shot down Libyan warplanes over Gulf of Sidra 0 Reagan 1982 Egypt Deployed troops to the Sinai buffer zone between Egypt and Israel 0 Reagan 1982 Lebanon Deployed Marines to assist the withdrawal of Palestinian Liberation Organization forces 0 Reagan 1982 Lebanon Deployed forces as part of multinational peacekeeping force Reagan 1983 Egypt Deployed AWACS radar planes after Libya bombed a city in Sudan and invaded northern Chad 0 Reagan 1983 Grenada Invaded in order to topple leftist government and to protect American students 19 Reagan 1986 Libya Engaged Libyan ships and missiles in clash over extent of Libya’s territorial waters 0 273 Reagan 1986 Libya Used air strikes to retaliate for terrorist activity 2 Reagan 1987 Persian Gulf Engaged Iranian naval vessels 0 Reagan 1987 Persian Gulf Attacked Iranian (armed) oil-drilling platform 0 Reagan 1988 Persian Gulf Attacked Iranian (armed) oil-drilling platforms and naval vessels 0 Reagan 1988 Persian Gulf Engaged Iranian naval craft and (mistakenly) shot down Iranian commercial jetliner 0 Reagan 1988 Persian Gulf Engaged Iranian naval vessels 0 Bush 1989 Philippines Provided air support to suppress rebellion 0 Bush 1989 Panama Invaded to topple and arrest Manuel Noriega 23 Bush 1990 Saudi Arabia Deployed troops in Operation Desert Shield 84 Bush 1991 Kuwait Launched Operation Desert Storm to force Iraqi forces to withdraw from Kuwait Bush 1992 Somalia Started Operation Restore Hope to provide relief Clinton 1993 Balkans Authorized U.S. participation in enforcing no-fly zone over Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 Clinton 1993 Macedonia Sent ground troops to join UN forces 0 Clinton 1993 Iraq Attacked Baghdad with cruise missiles in retaliation for alleged Iraqi plot to assassinate George H. W. Bush 0 299 43 Clinton 1993 Haiti Enforced UN blockade of Haiti with naval forces 4 Clinton 1995 Bosnia Participated in air operations, then “IFOR,” a NATO-led multinational force 1 Clinton 1998 Iraq Launched air strikes (continuing) 0 Clinton 1999 Kosovo Launched air strikes 0 Bush 2001 Afghanistan Launched Operation Enduring Freedom Bush 2003 Iraq Launched Operation Iraqi Freedom 562 4,133 Source: Adapted from John T. Rourke, Ralph G. Carter, and Mark A. Boyer, Making American Foreign Policy, 2d ed. Copyright © 1996 by Times Mirror Higher Education Group, Inc. Reprinted by permission of Dushkin/McGraw-Hill, a division of the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Updated by the authors. Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. 896 peace dividend the expectation that reduced defense spending would result in additional funds for other programs Chapter 19 Foreign Policy two thousand (each state is likely to store many of these weapons rather than destroy them, however), each country’s goal is still deterrence. Nuclear weapons, which can seem awesome because of their incredible destructive power, are relatively cheap compared to more conventional weapons. War on a battlefield, like the war in Iraq begun in 2003, requires more expensive elements: tanks, guns, planes, ships, and troops. Each F/A-18 Hornet, the Navy’s most advanced fighter jet, for example, costs nearly $90 million; each of the Air Force’s new F-22 Raptors will cost around $150 million. These weapons of war can be used to deter attacks on the United States, as well as to compel other actors to comply with American objectives.56 Sending troops to ports of call in other countries is one way to show the world that the United States has an interest in what goes on in that country. For example, when the Chinese fired missiles into the water near Taiwan on the eve of Taiwan’s 1996 presidential election, the United States sent naval ships, including an aircraft carrier, to the region to bolster Taiwan and symbolically warn the Chinese not to intervene. A second type of military compellence is sending troops or weapons to another country to demonstrate that the United States has a commitment to that country. U.S. troops in South Korea contribute to the security of that state by making North Korea think twice about an invasion. Much of the violence that U.S. policymakers must contend with does not fit the model of armies squaring off on a battlefield with defined limits between combatants and noncombatants. Civil wars inside countries like the former Yugoslavia in the mid1990s and situations where a government faces ongoing violent resistance from organized groups inside its borders, like Colombia in 2002, are just two examples of complicated challenges that U.S. policymakers face. The use of force in these settings tends to revolve around unconventional means, like sniper attacks against a larger military force, or bombing runs on a force’s supply depots. The United States has often tried to stay out of these situations, in part because our military structure is not as well suited to this kind of activity as it is to conventional warfare. The case of Somalia, where a peacekeeping mission led to gruesome U.S. casualties (the subject of the recent film Blackhawk Down), serves to underscore these difficulties. Special Operations Command in the Pentagon centralizes control over the various units in the armed forces—such as the Army Rangers, the Navy SEALS, and groups that focus on psychological operations—that prepare to fight in these unconventional environments. Indeed, in recent years the Pentagon has paid increasing attention to the means of unconventional warfare and has employed many of those means recently, notably in Afghanistan. Many observers believed that the end of the Cold War would bring about a peace dividend, a surplus of money formerly spent on defense that could be shifted into social issues. Early efforts to shrink the military and redefine its role in the post–Cold War world proved contentious, however. Many people are dependent on the military for jobs, and whole communities and local economies are founded on nearby military bases. And who was to say that no new threats would arise, only to find a complacent America disarmed and unready? The attacks of September 11 appear to have closed this debate for the moment, as the defense budget seems certain to continue to rise in order to fund an ongoing war against terrorism, to replenish materiel used or damaged in the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, and to bring into the arsenal a new generation of sophisticated weapons. But even with this war on terrorism—which seems to provide at least some focus for U.S. Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. Foreign Policy Challenges 897 foreign policy—policymakers, scholars, and commentators alike still ask, What should the military look like in the twenty-first century? How big should it be? What sorts of conflicts should it be prepared to wage, with what types of weapons? These and other questions that will play a large role in determining what U.S. foreign policy will look like in the future are discussed in the next section. American foreign policy makers have many options when it comes to creating solid, effective policies. They may choose to use strategies of deWHAT terrence, compellence, or preemption, and they may lure with a carrot or brandish a stick. The foreign policy instruments open to them are politHOW ical (propaganda, diplomacy, and covert operations), economic (foreign aid and sanctions), and military (potential and actual use of force). WHO FOREIGN POLICY CHALLENGES The foreign policy issues of the Cold War have not disappeared entirely, but they have changed dramatically. Although no single threat on the scale of the old Soviet nuclear arsenal exists today—and although the smaller and aging leftovers of that arsenal now in Russian control are still dangerous—a variety of critical foreign policy issues still face the United States. TERRORISM As we learned painfully on September 11, 2001, even superpowers are vulnerable to external threats. A chief foreign policy issue today is dealing with the threat of terrorism. Terrorism is normally defined as an act of violence that specifically targets innocent civilians for the purpose of provoking widespread fear that will force government to change its policies. Those who use terror as a tactic are not usually states, but rather individuals or groups (though they may have state support) who face an opponent much more powerful than they are. The U.S. government keeps a list of foreign terrorist organizations, such as al Qaeda, and a list of states that support terrorism, such as Iran and Syria. The attacks of September 11 and al Qaeda’s campaign against the United States and U.S. interests abroad provide a classic case of terrorism. The goals of these attacks were not so much to force U.S. policy change as to provoke U.S. reaction and fuel a rebellion against our Middle Eastern allies, many of which deny their own citizens basic rights. Sometimes, however, states can use terrorist tactics against their own people as a way to quash dissent. Iraq’s use of chemical warfare against minorities in that country is but one example. Weapons of Terrorism Terrorists have used weapons as simple as box cutters and as elaborate as bombs to kill citizens by striking undefended targets like office buildings and shopping malls. The attacks of September 11 were essentially low tech, taking advantage of security weaknesses in our open society rather than relying on advanced weaponry. There is, however, some concern that terrorists in the future may gain access to more sophisticated and dangerous weapons of mass destruction, including chemical, biological, and even nuclear weapons that can kill huge terrorism an act of violence that targets civilians for the purpose of provoking wide-spread fear that will force government to change its policies weapons of mass destruction nuclear, biological, or chemical weapons that can kill huge numbers of people at one time Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. 898 Chapter 19 Foreign Policy superterrorism the potential use of weapons of mass destruction in a terrorist attack numbers of people in one blow. We have witnessed a biological weapons attack in the form of the anthrax spores put into the U.S. mail in 2001, and we have also seen other isolated cases of biological and chemical attacks, such as the sarin nerve gas attack on the Tokyo subway in 1995. The potential use of weapons of mass destruction in terrorist attacks has come to be called superterrorism.57 Approximately two dozen countries possess these kinds of weapons, and there is growing concern that some of these weapons could be bought or stolen by a terrorist group. Of particular concern to the United States are rogue states—countries like Iran, North Korea, and a handful of others58 that break international norms and might produce, sell, or use these destructive weapons.59 Some of these rogue nations have known or suspected links to terrorist organizations. A strong effort to stop the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction will likely be a hallmark of U.S. foreign policy for decades to come. rogue states countries that break international norms and produce, sell, or use weapons of mass destruction antiterrorism measures to protect and defend U.S. citizens and interests from terrorist attacks Fighting Terrorism U.S. policy toward terrorism focuses on two fronts: antiterror and counterterrorism activities to stop terrorists from using force and responding when they do counterterror efforts. Antiterrorism measures are designed to protect and defend U.S. citizens and interests from terrorist attacks. Metal detectors at airports and concrete barricades in front of government buildings to prevent car bombings are examples. Counterterrorism measures include a range of activities to stop terrorists from using force and responding when they do. Examples include using electronic means to track communications of terrorists, trying to cut off the flow of money to terrorist groups by freezing bank accounts, bombing terrorist training sites, arresting those conspiring to carry out such attacks, and arresting or bombing those who have in fact carried out terrorist attacks. In the wake of September 11, all of these kinds of steps have been taken, though the most prominent step was the military campaign in Afghanistan against al Qaeda and the Taliban ruling forces that harbored al Qaeda and its leader, Osama bin Laden. Petals for Profit For centuries Afghanistan farmers have grown poppies for their opium, which is then exported worldwide to fuel the international drug trade. A large percentage of the profits earned has been used to support terrorist activities in the country and globally. For this reason, the Afghan government and the U.S. military destroy the poppy fields before the flowers can be harvested. Here, Mohammed Agha has started his harvest early to try and avoid the government destroying his crop. Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. Foreign Policy Challenges 899 Fighting terrorism is complicated. When a state attacks you, you know who did it, and you have targets to hit in retaliation. And because states own targets of value, you can try to deter aggression by having your own weapons aimed at them, saying, essentially, “Don’t attack me, or I’ll attack you right back.” Terrorists, on the other hand, usually do not provide good targets and are often willing to die for their cause. Further complicating matters is the fact that terrorist organizations, like al Qaeda, are often transnational—they exist across several states, and they can move across borders with little notice. It is not clear whom to threaten or attack in response to a terrorist attack waged by a stateless entity. In the war on terrorism, the Bush administration tried to translate the strategies of a state-based world where U.S. military can be brought to bear onto the nonstatebased world of global terrorism. By linking al Qaeda to the Taliban in Afghanistan, the Bush administration was able to respond to the September 11 attacks by taking aim against identifiable targets: not just known al Qaeda camps but also the Taliban forces and government. They tried to make a similar link to Iraq as part of the lead-up to war. How this “war” will unfold as it moves beyond Afghanistan and Iraq, however, remains to be seen. (See the box “Global War on Terrorism.”) Defending Ourselves at Home Another important component of the war on terrorism is organizational and bureaucratic in nature: how do we organize our government’s efforts to fight terrorism and prevent future attacks and future intelligence failures? President Bush created the Office of Homeland Security in October 2001 and appointed Pennsylvania governor Tom Ridge as its head. After initially resisting the notion, Bush proposed that the office be converted to a cabinet-level department in 2002, and, as we mentioned earlier, in March 2003 the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) was born. This new department brought together twenty-two agencies and bureaus that had been scattered across the landscape of the federal government but that all have something to do with defending the homeland and responding to emergencies. The Coast Guard was moved from the Transportation Department; the Secret Service was moved from Treasury; the Immigration and Naturalization Service was reformed and moved from the Department of Justice under the new name U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services; and the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) was moved into DHS. The total DHS budget for 2009 will likely be about $50 billion. The purpose of the Department of Homeland Security is to coordinate the efforts of the government’s many agencies as they focus on preventing future terrorist attacks on the United States, as well as working with state and local governments and agencies that also deal with these issues. This is a difficult task, since a variety of fairly independent agencies are involved in this process, including the intelligence community, as we discussed earlier. Traditional divisions of labor complicate the issue: for example, the CIA is not permitted Rights of the Detainees U.S. Army military police escort a detainee to his cell in Camp X-Ray at Naval Base Guantanamo Bay, Cuba. Human rights groups have been concerned about reports of torture and abuse of the detainees, those captured in Afghanistan and Iraq in the Bush administration’s war on terrorism. As they have been held without charges, the legal status of these “enemy combatants” is anything but clear. Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. Chapter 19 Foreign Policy 900 Global War on Terrorism F ollowing the tragic terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, the United States embarked on what President George W. Bush called a global war on terrorism. The American military and intelligence community began to prosecute this war on terrorism in Afghanistan with Operation Enduring Freedom, which began October 7, 2001. But the battle in Afghanistan is only one part of a large and global effort to strike at terrorist groups around the world—an effort in which the United States is sometimes joined by other nations. This war on terrorism, as President Bush outlined it, involves not just military efforts but also diplomatic, intelligence sharing, and financial components as well. President Bush initiated military action in Iraq in March 2003, in what he termed the second major military phase of the war on terrorism. After the September 11 attacks on the United States there were two clear targets for retribution: the Taliban and al Qaeda, both of which were then centered in Afghanistan. The Taliban was a group of Muslim clerics and students who rose to power out of the chaos that had enveloped Afghanistan in the late 1980s and early 1990s. Over time their rule became increasingly repressive and violent, and they developed close links with Osama bin Laden’s al Qaeda terrorist network-allowing al Qaeda to set up training camps in Afghanistan, while reaping many financial rewards from the partnership.1 U.S. military action destroyed al Qaeda’s camps in Afghanistan and the Taliban government was run out of power. Now years later, stabiliza- tion efforts still go on in Afghanistan, as NATO forces continue to battle a resurgent Taliban, remaining al Qaeda terrorists (including hunting for Osama bin Laden), and Afghan warlords who are opposed to NATO and the central Afghan government, led by Hamid Karzai. The security situation in Afghanistan remains difficult; there are over 40,000 NATO troops in Afghanistan, and in the summer of 2008, the monthly death toll by allied troops actually exceeded the toll in Iraq. Many expect that in the coming months the battle for Afghanistan will require an influx of U.S. and NATO forces. To wage a global war on terrorism, the United States has also forged new military partnerships with a number of countries with which it has not traditionally been close. A key American ally in this war is Pakistan, even though the United States had placed sanctions on Pakistan as recently as 1998, due to its nuclear weapons tests, and 1999, due to the military coup that was led by Pervez Musharraf, who ruled Pakistan until the autumn of 2008. The U.S. government has sent special forces to act as advisers in the Philippines as that government fights with a terrorist group linked to al Qaeda. And the United States has sent a large amount of military aid to Colombia, as that government fights with a “narco-terrorist” rebel group. Besides attacking terrorist groups in Afghanistan, the United States and its allies have tried to find and block the financial assets of suspected terrorists all around the world. According to President Bush, more to spy on domestic targets and does not typically share its information with the FBI, which is permitted to engage in such activities. The FBI, for its part, has historically tried to solve crimes after they have happened and to bring criminals to justice. It has not traditionally been involved in preventing crimes, like terrorist attacks, before they happen. The relationship between the agencies of the federal government and state and local officials is a complicated one. President Bush also created a Homeland Security Council built on the same principles as its older cousin, the National Security Council (NSC), as a vehicle for bringing together key officials in agencies across the government who focus at least in part on keeping the homeland safe. The job of providing security at home poses a number of difficult trade-offs, not only between intelligence gathering and law enforcement but also, as we indicated in Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. Foreign Policy Challenges than 150 nations have blocked over $100 million of suspected terrorist assets. And an allied effort, led by the United States, to break up terrorist cells and disrupt their activities has led to the arrest of more than 1,600 people in ninety-five nations.2 The U.S. government is offering a reward of up to $25 million for information that leads to the arrest of major terrorists. We do not yet know where else the battle against terrorism may lead. President Bush certainly took the battle to Iraq as part of the new strategy of preemption, claiming that Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction and had supported al Qaeda and other terrorists. Bush’s goal was to disarm Iraq and to remove Hussein from power, which could open a long-term role for the United States in building and supporting an Iraqi government friendly to the United States, a job we are still struggling with in Afghanistan. But even though elections were held in Iraq in January 2005, the job is far from complete. The security environment there continues to be problematic. U.S. forces alone had suffered more than 4,000 combat-related deaths by July 2008, the vast majority of which occurred after combat was officially declared to be over in May 2003. Over 100,000 American troops are due to stay in Iraq through 2008. Beyond these difficulties on the ground, the U.S. also must cope with the damage done to its reputation since it has become clear that there were no weapons of mass destruction in Iraq, and the ties to al Qaeda that were alleged by the Bush administration were specious. Two prominent foreign policy experts, one a Demo- 901 crat, Joseph Nye, and one a Republican, Richard Armitage, have gone so far as to admit that “people around the globe are questioning America’s values, commitment, and competence.” 3 And beyond this reputation issue, the U.S. government again faces the problem of dealing with intelligence about nuclear programs, this time in Iran. What if taking military action against Iran, to stop its alleged nuclear weapons program, actually is the right thing to do, but because of the failed claims that led to the invasion of Iraq, the United States is unable or unwilling to use force before it is too late? Conversely, what if the U.S. president were to order a military strike against Iran, only to be proven wrong yet again? The stakes in war are always high, but they are particularly high right now. The serious challenges we face include how we manage the next stage of the war and the new strategy of preemption, as well as how we take on the Taliban and al Qaeda and nation building in Afghanistan, help build a stable and democratic Iraq, confront Iran, and perhaps North Korea, and repair relations with our allies when we have declared our willingness to act alone. 1. See, for example, Peter L. Bergen, Holy War, Inc.: Inside the Secret World of Osama Bin Laden (New York: Free Press, 2001). 2. The White House, “Financial Actions in the War on Terrorism,” www.whitehouse.gov/response/financialresponse.html. 3. Richard L. Armitage and Joseph S. Nye, Statement before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, “Implementing Smart Power: Setting an Agenda for National Security Reform,” April 24, 2008, www.senate. gov/~foreign/testimony/2008/NyeTestimony080424a.pdf. earlier chapters, between national security and civil liberties. Resolving these trade-offs in ways that keep us both safe and free is one of the primary challenges of the future. CONFLICTS AND ALLIANCES Now that the Cold War is over, the East-West split no longer defines world politics, and old alliances are not necessarily relevant to the new world order. The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), formed in 1949 and dominated by the United States, was designed to defend Europe from the Soviets and was a quintessential part of our containment policy. The Soviets initiated their own military alliance—the Warsaw Treaty Organization (or Warsaw Pact) to counter NATO. Since the end of the Cold War, the Warsaw Pact is gone, but NATO lives on—so much so, in fact, that in 1999 it North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) multinational organization formed in 1949 to promote the Cold War defense of Europe from the communist bloc Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. 902 Chapter 19 Foreign Policy admitted to membership the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland, all former Warsaw Pact members. In 2004, more countries from the old “other side” joined NATO: Bulgaria, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Romania, Slovakia, and Slovenia; and more are on the way. NATO’s expansion and recent missions in Bosnia and Kosovo show that it is trying to add to its original defensive mission to include an ability to create order beyond the borders of Western Europe.60 In 2002 the NATO partnership with Russia expanded to give Russia an official voice in NATO policymaking on issues like weapons proliferation and peacekeeping.61 The 2008 crisis between Georgia and Russia over the status of Ossetia, as well as the controversy over adding Ukraine to NATO, underscores that old tensions between the West and Russia have not entirely disappeared. While no new Cold War is in the offing, the potential for deep disagreements between the United States and NATO on the one hand, and a stronger, oil-rich Russia on the other, can still be dangerous. Today the world is focused on other regional conflicts that were once dwarfed or silenced by Cold War politics but now clearly have consequences for all nations. These include conflicts in the Middle East, Kashmir, Darfur, Northern Ireland, Korea, parts of Africa, the former Yugoslavia, and Chechnya.62 It is difficult to predict where these conflicts might arise in the future, let alone predict in which ones we might become involved, but it is a safe bet that events like those in Bosnia, Somalia, Rwanda, and Kosovo will recur. Although it is not in the power of the United States to solve all of the world’s problems, many observers would argue that the United States is in a unique position to be able to bring disputing parties to the table for negotiation and, it is hoped, to reach a peaceful settlement. Especially in a conflict like that between India and Pakistan, where both parties have nuclear weapons, the costs of standing by while countries go to war can be very high. It is not clear what will trigger future U.S. involvement—whether preventing violence against regional inhabitants will be enough to cause the United States to intervene, or whether the violence must threaten some important U.S. goals or allies in order to push us to act.63 Our need for allies in dealing with Iraq, for instance, creates constraints on other choices the administration might wish to make concerning states like Syria, Pakistan, Turkey, and other Persian Gulf states like Qatar, as well as our European allies. The way we try to cultivate allies in the Middle East to deal with Iraq can also have implications for the politics of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, since not all of these potential allies are partners with us in the peace process. It is too soon to know how the new partnerships formed to wage war on terrorism will affect the calculus used by U.S. policymakers in determining when and how to intervene with diplomacy as well as force. As an example of how complicated this can get, perhaps no other partner is more central to the U.S. mission in Afghanistan than Pakistan, yet Pakistan is locked in a struggle with India over Kashmir, and India—as a democracy in the region—is also an important friend of the United States. And both India and Pakistan have a nuclear arsenal. Balancing these interests and commitments is the age-old challenge of statecraft. FREE TRADE VERSUS PROTECTIONISM As noted earlier, economics stands alongside security issues at the heart of day-to-day foreign policy. The central economic issues for the United States is the global competitiveness of the U.S. economy, which is strengthened through both domestic and foreign economic policy, and the price of oil, which has huge implications for the strength Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. Foreign Policy Challenges 903 of the U.S. economy. How the United States reacts to trade pressures, for example, is critical. Every country wants to maximize its exports while minimizing its imports. Exports make money; imports cost money. The United States has a number of ways to try to cajole foreign countries to sell more American goods abroad, and it could also take steps to try to limit imports at home. However, such protectionist measures can spark other countries to behave likewise, ultimately hurting trade for everyone. Another critical issue is how we deal with regional trading blocs. The United States has to compete with a trade bloc in Europe—the European Union, twenty-seven nations that have agreed to merge their economies and use a single currency—and a series of competitive economies in Asia. So as not to be at a relative disadvantage, the United States set up the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) with Canada and Mexico. Establishing a North American trade group seemed to make sense not only for domestic economics but for foreign economic policy as well.64 But good economics does not always make good politics. NAFTA is very controversial at home because loosening trade barriers with Canada and Mexico has made it easier for American jobs to go south, where labor costs are cheaper, and many worry that NAFTA has accelerated environmental degradation. This movement toward free trade is not without its detractors. Recent meetings to promote more free trade, such as the 2001 Summit on a Free Trade Area of the Americas in Quebec City and the 1999 meeting of the World Trade Organization in Seattle, met with fervent and even violent protests. Those who oppose more free trade come from a variety of perspectives. Some are concerned about the impact of global capitalism on local development around the world, some about the impact on the environment, and some about workers’ rights. And some simply protest the loss of local control over local affairs that seems to come with globalization. Since these summits are often held behind closed doors, many people protest the lack of democracy involved in the process of moving toward more free trade. This controversy promises to be with us for the foreseeable future. Plus, as we discussed earlier, a world with fewer Cleaning Up the Mess One criticism of free trade agreements is their lax oversight of environmental and working standards. Here, Cesar Luna, an attorney for the Environmental Health Coalition, points to an estimated 6,600-ton mountain of debris from the former plant of Metales y Derivados. The ash-like residue often blows over a workingclass Tijuana neighborhood below the plant. The Mexican government ordered the U.S.-based operators to shut down the lead recycling plant in 1994. Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. 904 Chapter 19 Foreign Policy trade barriers is a world where goods and services—and jobs—can move across borders more easily and cheaply. Many Americans are against this move toward increasing free trade because of its implications for “outsourcing” jobs and thus making American workers less secure. PROBLEMS WITHOUT BORDERS Additional challenges facing the United States in the post–Cold War era have taken on larger prominence as the old security issues have changed. These global issues are those that do not stop conveniently at national borders: the environment, international narcotics trafficking, and transnational organized crime. Environmental problems are most notable in this respect. Problems such as global climate change affect everyone, not just Americans.65 While the United States can take some actions to help the environment worldwide, such as trying to cut so-called greenhouse gases (emissions that promote global warming), one country acting alone cannot save the world’s environment. Every country has to pitch in. This means that dealing with the issue must be a multilateral affair, involving most countries, and on the home front it must involve a combination of political and economic tools. The United States has displayed a reluctance to push the environment as a foreign policy issue. In 2001, for instance, the Bush administration refused to ratify the Kyoto Protocol, a treaty requiring the United States and other nations to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases. The administration did not like the targets that were set for states on how much greenhouse gases they can emit; claimed that restrictions on the United States were unfair, compared with those on developing states like India and China; and disagreed with some of the science of global warming on which the treaty was premised. International narcotics dealers and organized crime, ranging from the Colombian drug cartels to the Russian mafia, also affect the United States. Perhaps the key question is whether fighting drugs and organized crime should be foreign or domestic policy, or both. Where should the United States meet the threat? Until recently the drug problem has been regarded as a domestic issue, and the strategy has been to treat Americans with drug addictions and to fund police and Drug Enforcement Agency efforts to stem the distribution of drugs. During the administration of George H. W. Bush, the United States got more interested in stopping drugs before they entered the country through interdiction, using intelligence monitoring and force to stop the flow of drugs, either by arresting the smugglers or by destroying the cargo. President Bush, for example, gave military assistance to Bolivia, Colombia, and Peru to try to compel those states to fight drugs more vigorously in their countries. Bush also authorized the invasion of Panama in 1989, in part because of President Manuel Noriega’s links to the drug trade. Noriega was a longtime ally of the United States who fell out of favor because of the new emphasis on a drug war; he is now in a Florida prison. The worldwide leader in producing poppies, which are processed into heroin, is Afghanistan once again. But shutting down the poppy fields is difficult, and doing so takes away Afghanistan’s major cash crop. How to balance the drug war against the war on terrorism is another example of how complicated these issues can get. Today’s policy of “Plan Colombia,” a U.S. aid package that helps fight narcotics in Colombia, which is now intimately linked to the funding of anti-government terrorism (“narco-terrorism”), also brings these tensions quickly to the forefront. Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. Foreign Policy Challenges 905 EXTENDING THE REACH OF DEMOCRACY Finally, although much of our foreign policy is focused on issues like national and economic security, pollution, and international crime, the United States also takes an active role in promoting its ideology around the globe. Over the past few decades, the number of democracies in the world has increased dramatically as a percentage of total countries.66 The number of democracies has, according to ratings kept by the group Freedom House, increased from fewer than 70 countries in 1986 to over 120 today, or from about 40 percent of the world’s countries to over 60 percent.67 The United States would like to see even more countries become democratic and thus has a policy of promoting democracy whenever and wherever possible. But this policy has created a number of problems for the United States. First, the United States has long believed that building a strong capitalist economy is a key step toward democracy, but encouraging capitalism often involves infusing large amounts of money into an economy. The United States doesn’t seem to be as willing to provide that money as it was in 1947. While President George W. Bush requested about $16 billion per year in foreign aid, this amount only restored levels to just above where they were at the beginning of the Clinton administration. A second problem associated with increased democratization is that countries that are moving toward greater democracy require support, such as impartial election monitors, advice on how to set up democratic institutions, and occasionally troops to fend off those who would push the country in a nondemocratic direction. The Bush administration, with a strong disinclination to engage in “nation building,” even showed reluctance to offer long-term support to the fledgling Afghan government. A third problem arises from the fact that the United States promotes capitalism and open markets abroad as well as democracy, and some countries with capitalist economies are not particularly democratic. This puts the United States in the position of having to decide whether to place a priority on capitalism or democracy.68 Another critical political issue facing the United States today concerns human rights.69 As noted earlier, a number of countries have ongoing civil conflicts, which invariably produce millions of refugees, as well as casualties, starvation, and disease. Aid for such human rights refugees is expensive, and Americans increasingly view this involvement with little enthusiasm.70 Furthermore, some of the governments of countries with which the United States has close relationships are human rights violators. As we have indicated, this tension between morality and pragmatism in American foreign policy is not new and is not likely to fade. Our need for allies in the Middle East, for example, has caused us to turn a blind eye to civil rights violations in countries like Saudi Arabia and Egypt. In the case of China, too, issues like democracy and human rights have been edged aside by economic and security issues. The genocide in Darfur is another example of how complicated these tragedies can be, because the only country with much leverage over the government of Sudan is China, and no one seems to have much leverage over them right now. On the other hand, the United States and NATO did use force in Kosovo in 1999, maintaining that Slobodan Milosevic’s campaign of ethnic cleansing was a horrific violation of human rights demanding immediate and drastic action. The debate over whether to be actively engaged around the world or to pursue a more minimalist or even isolationist approach has been reopened, but no consensus exists on the proper course of American action. Witness the reactions to the use of force in Kosovo: many pundits and citizens did not see suffiUncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. 906 Profiles in Citizenship LEE HAMILTON worked in. You get the It wasn’t until 1960, when he was asked to organize a recepsense, I think, in the Contion in Columbus, Indiana, for a young senator from Massagress that you’re a bit chusetts who was running for president, that Lee Hamilton player in the big drama got bitten by the politics bug. It was a frozen January day, and you really are a witand Hamilton could get only thirty-five ness to history if nothing people to turn out to meet the candidate. “. . . it isn’t written in else. . . . I had very good Even his wife didn’t go. To make matters the stars or in granite relationships with high ranking officials— worse, the candidate had laryngitis and anywhere that the all of the presidents I worked with, seccouldn’t talk. Still, despite Hamilton’s efUnited States is always retaries of state, and others. So I enjoyed forts, John F. Kennedy went on to win the going to be preeminent that, and they would often ask me to Democratic nomination, and the presiin everything.” join them for various kinds of discussions dency of the United States. Kennedy’s asso I participated in that.” sistant, Ted Sorenson, later told Hamilton Hamilton’s area of expertise was foreign policy. Members laughingly that it was the worst event they had during the of Congress try to get committee assignments that will help entire campaign. It was enough to hook Hamilton, though. them serve the folks back home. Hamilton tried to get on Growing up in Evansville, Indiana, Lee Hamilton didn’t Public Works and Agriculture, with no luck, but landed on have much interest in anything but basketball. In Hamilton’s Foreign Affairs (now called the Committee on International day, he didn’t have too many options for playing past high Relations) instead—an assignment he accepted figuring he’d school, so he went to college and then to law school withwait his turn for a more appropriate spot to open up. But, as out any clear idea of what he wanted to do with his life. He he tells the tale, “I got on it and I liked it. So I stayed. And was bored practicing law, so when Kennedy and his ensome years later, Carl Albert, the Speaker, came to me and tourage came through he was ripe to be tempted by another said he wanted me to go on the Ways and Means Commitcareer. Two years later, his fraternity brother Birch Bayh ran tee, which is usually considered a plum assignment. And I for the Senate and asked Hamilton to head up the campaign told him I’d think about it. And the next day I came into his in his county. That was all it took—two years after that he office and told him no, which surprised him. And a month or had gotten himself elected to the U.S. House of Representaso later I was on the House floor and he came up to me and tives, where he stayed for the next thirty-four years. said in a good natured way, ‘Lee, I keep thinking about the He had clearly found his niche. He says, “Well, I enjoyed time you turned me down on Ways and Means. You must be the Congress and I had a sense of being at the center of the dumbest man in the United States.’ ” things. I felt that I was having an impact in the areas that I cient national interest to warrant the spending of American money and the risking of American lives. The dawn of the twenty-first century finds the United States facing an array of unprecedented foreign policy issues. International terrorism, WHAT globalization, global climate change, international crime, humanitarian and environmental catastrophes, and expanding democracy pose chalHOW lenges for U.S. foreign policy makers that cannot be solved with the old Cold War paradigm. U.S. policymakers must resolve inherent tensions between valued but conflicting resources in order to deal with problems and issues that transcend national borders, and they must craft solutions that reflect the new world order. WHO Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. Profiles in Citizenship Hardly. Over the years, Hamilton made his name in foreign policy. He went on to chair the committee and developed an expertise that has kept him busy in “retirement,” in such positions as the vice chair of the National Commission on Terrorist Attacks Upon the United States (the bipartisan September 11 Commission), and as the president and director of the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars. Like so many others who have left Congress with considerable expertise and access to top-level decision makers, Hamilton could be cleaning up as a lobbyist. Instead, relaxed and content in his airy office at the Woodrow Wilson Center, this big, grandfatherly man is content to share his years of knowledge and insights with students, scholars, and the public. We are lucky to be among them. Here are some of his thoughts: On patriotism: I think patriotism manifests itself in a lot of different ways. And you usually think of patriotism as saluting the flag or serving in the armed forces or doing something dramatic— winning medals for something in combat. But you have a quiet kind of patriotism as well. People who love their country, maybe they’re not as rhetorical about it but live very good, solid, constructive lives. And I think they’re patriotic as well. They exemplify the virtues of democratic society. You know one of the words used by the founding fathers quite a bit is the word “virtue.” And we don’t use that word as much. If I got up on a political stump today and talked about virtue they’d throw me out in the hall. They meant, of course, different things by it, but they were not 907 afraid to talk about values. In a sense for a representative government to work, the people have to be, in their words, virtuous. And by that they really meant what I guess we would mean by participation and involvement. On keeping the republic: Well you know, Lincoln asked, “Whether this nation so conceived and so dedicated can long endure,” and that was the operative question at Gettysburg. But I think it still is a good question today. And I think we try to impress on students that it isn’t written in the stars or in granite anywhere that the United States is always going to be preeminent in everything. It depends on us and the choices that we make now. I think I would say to young people that their nation, their country, really makes a wager on them. And it says to them, in effect, we’ll give you freedom, we’ll give you opportunity, and in return for that we want you to live your life constructively. And beneficially. I’ve always been attracted to the idea of the common good. You don’t hear as much about it now. Maybe it’s a little out of date. But I think there is more to life than just earning money and having a good time. I don’t think there’s anything wrong with either one of those things, we all do that, but that’s not the sum and substance of life. And so I believe and try to convey that we have an obligation that runs beyond ourselves. I think a lot of young people need to understand how fortunate they are. I would say to them that they’re the most fortunate young people in the world—without any doubt. You travel all over the world and every teenager wants to come to the United States. THE CITIZENS AND FOREIGN POLICY As we have seen throughout this chapter, the terrain of foreign policy is complex, dangerous, and confusing in the post–Cold War and post–September 11 era. But a related complexity is that, in the United States, policy—including foreign policy—is supposed to be made in a democratic fashion. The story of foreign policy making that we have examined here shows it to be largely an elite activity, even though elites may take public opinion into account. Much of foreign policy, at least since World War II, has been dominated by the president and the executive agencies with foreign policy authority— perhaps the least democratic and least accountable actors in American politics. The shroud of secrecy surrounding foreign policy, especially during the Cold War, has made it hard for citizens to know not only what policymakers know but even what they do in our name. It is thus difficult for citizens to evaluate their elected represenUncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. 908 Chapter 19 Foreign Policy tatives and the important unelected actors in the bureaucracy, and to hold them accountable for their actions. This secrecy seemed necessary during the Cold War because of the obvious dangers of the nuclear age, but we should recognize that clear trade-offs were made between steps taken in the name of security (secrecy) and processes required by democracy (openness and accountability). Some of this secrecy has been lifted in the wake of the Cold War, but there is still much to learn and new foreign policy to be crafted. Policymaking in the wake of September 11 was tightly controlled, too, with few members of Congress even privy to the plans of the Bush administration. The tension between foreign policy and democracy is perhaps unavoidable. Crisis policy is by its very nature made quickly, often out of sight, by the president and a small group of advisers. Presidents take the likely reaction of the public into account when they make crisis policy, but citizens have little input and often little information about what happened.71 Strategic policy is normally made in the bureaucracy of the executive branch. While interest groups and Congress may have some voice in the process and anticipated public reaction is probably taken into account, this kind of policy too is made with little citizen input. And even structural defense policy, which is largely crafted in Congress with heavy input from interest groups, defense contractors, and the military, is made without a large degree of public scrutiny. So the dual challenge of keeping the republic comes into sharp focus: foreign policy must keep the republic safe, but it must also meet some meaningful democratic standard. Sometimes it is hard to know which is the greater challenge. Unfortunately, meeting a democratic standard in foreign policy making is even harder than we think. As we saw earlier in this chapter, a large part of the American public does not pay much attention to foreign policy issues and knows little about them. This makes it even more difficult to hold policymakers like the president accountable in the arena of foreign policy. Just as it would be hard for you to hold someone accountable for the job he or she is doing when you know little about how that job works, so too is it hard to hold policymakers accountable for their foreign policy acts if you have little or no information about them. The old question—Who guards the guardians?—is nowhere so complex as in the foreign policy and national security realm. The end of the Cold War presented an opportunity to open up the foreign policy process, to cut through the shroud of secrecy that has cloaked America’s foreign and security policy. The “excuse” that information could leak that might trigger World War III or lead to the global triumph of the Soviet Union was no longer plausible. The CIA and the rest of the intelligence community especially come under fire in this new era for their perceived failures. For example, despite the attention they lavished on the Soviet Union, Americans watched it crumble live on CNN with no warning from the CIA.72 A book by former senator Daniel Patrick Moynihan, D-N.Y., makes an intriguing observation about the pernicious effects of secrecy, one worth considering here.73 Moynihan argues that we should see secrecy as a form of government regulation—part of the list of rules and procedures for how the government works. We are in a position now when people from both political parties argue that government is too big, that it has too many rules and regulations; it must be redesigned to have less red tape; it must be more effective and more efficient. Moynihan proposes that as we scale back other rules, we also Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. What’s At Stake Revisited 909 rethink these secrecy regulations. Designed to protect the United States, over time they have tended to endanger the republic more than protect it because they shut down the process of discussion and evaluation that is so important to developing wise policy. Moynihan argues that regulations be eliminated not just so that foreign policy can be more open and accountable to the public but also so that it can be made better in the future. Yet while so many people across both parties want smaller government, we have actually increased the size of government in recent years and returned to the wholesale classification of information. Legislation like the Patriot Act passed after the attacks of September 11 are meant to help law enforcement work better to track terrorists, but many of its provisions can make it easier for the government to track any of us. Balancing security and liberty, safety and freedom, is the never-ending challenge of keeping the republic. WHAT’S AT STAKE REVISITED W e began this chapter by asking what is at stake when U.S. leaders decide whether or not to talk to the country’s enemies. Many people argue that national leaders have to deal with the world as it is, and that includes talking to our enemies. It might be nice to ignore them, but to think that we could do so is folly, as a practical matter, and potentially dangerous.74 Others argue that negotiating with our enemies is actually the more dangerous course of action, giving them a strategic asset that they would not otherwise have, and thus an advantage over us.75 The stakes involved in this question, are perhaps the highest imaginable. What if talking might prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons? But, on the other hand, what if we start negotiating with Hugo Chavez in Venezuela or Raul Castro in Cuba and these negotiations serve to strengthen their Thinking Outside the Box antidemocratic control over their countries, by making them look as though they are equals to the United States of America? Getting the an• Does being the world’s sole swer right isn’t just about some trade deal, it could make the difference remaining superpower carry any between war and peace, life and death. special obligations? As we discussed in this chapter, the Bush administration was • Are there enough checks and very opposed to negotiating with enemies like North Korea, thinking balances in the foreign policy that it only emboldened North Korea’s leaders, who they believed process? Are there too many? would cheat on any agreement anyway. As the Bush administration’s • How much should foreign policy second term continued, however, Assistant Secretary of State Christoreflect the will of the people? pher R. Hill successfully persuaded his superiors that bilateral talks with North Korea could lead to progress in halting North Korea’s nuclear weapons program.76 Though strongly criticized by many Republicans, especially members of Bush’s foreign policy team from the first term, who believed that talking directly to North Korea amounted to appeasing the enemy, these talks eventually led to a new agreement that may in fact halt North Korea’s nuclear program. Only time will tell for sure, but this certainly makes it look like a real opportunity to make the world a safer place would have been missed had we continued to refuse to speak to North Korea. Can we draw a lesson Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. 910 Chapter 19 Foreign Policy from that one case? Just because it was the right thing to do with North Korea, does that mean it is the right thing to do with Iran? With Cuba? With Syria? With Venezuela? With Burma? @UPDATE:As an example of just how important elections are to our democracy, the 2008 U.S. presidential election posed voters with a stark choice: John McCain was against talking to enemies; Barack Obama was inclined to have discussions with our enemies. This is a complex and weighty question, to talk or not to talk, and now that the votes have been counted, the new president and his advisers will have the difficult task of weighing how to deal with America’s enemies in order to help keep the republic. space for an extra 75-100 words Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetuer adipiscing elit. Sed euismod aliquet dui. Quisque eleifend. Sed consequat condimentum ipsum. Fusce tristique scelerisque lacus. Vestibulum lacinia metus ut diam. Fusce quis quam. Proin sed erat ut elit sodales pellentesque. Suspendisse sollicitudin. Proin nisi. Sed luctus porttitor leo.Integer eros velit, laoreet ac, cursus at, accumsan quis, metus. Mauris placerat enim eget tortor. Etiam leo risus, laoreet eget, mollis nec, molestie in, libero. Maecenas ut turpis quis ligula eleifend lobortis. Sed mollis molestie magna. Nunc lacus. Aliquam magna. Aliquam egestas luctus metus. Phasellus. Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. To Sum Up KEY TERMS http://republic.cqpress.com antiterrorism (p. ) Bush Doctrine (p. ) Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (p. ) coercive diplomacy (p. ) Cold War (p. ) compellence (p. ) containment (p. ) counterterrorism (p. ) covert operations (p. ) crisis policy (p. ) Department of Defense (p. ) Department of Homeland Security (p. ) Department of State (p. ) deterrence (p. ) diplomacy (p. ) director of national intelligence (p. ) economic sanctions (p. ) embargo (p. ) foreign aid (p. ) foreign policy (p. ) free trade (p. ) General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) (p. ) hegemon (p. ) intelligence community (p. ) intergovernmental organizations (p. ) International Monetary Fund (IMF) (p. ) internationalism (p. ) interventionism (p. ) isolationism (p. ) Joint Chiefs of Staff (p. ) Marshall Plan (p. ) most favored nation (p. ) multinational corporations (p. ) National Security Council (p. ) nongovernmental organizations (p. ) North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) (p. ) nuclear triad (p. ) peace dividend (p. ) preemption (p. ) preventive war (p. ) propaganda (p. ) protectionism (p. ) rogue states (p. ) strategic policy (p. ) structural defense policy (p. ) superterrorism (p. ) terrorism (p. ) Truman Doctrine (p. ) weapons of mass destruction (p. ) World Bank (p. ) 911 Key terms, chapter summaries, practice quizzes, Internet links, and other study aids are available on the companion web site at http://republic.cqpress.com. SUMMARY http://republic.cqpress.com • Foreign policy refers to a government’s goals and actions toward actors outside the borders of its territory. These foreign actors may include other countries, multinational corporations, intergovernmental organizations, nongovernmental organizations, or groups that fall outside these categories. • Strained relations rather than actual battles marked the Cold War, waged from 1947 to 1989 between the United States and the Soviet Union. The American foreign policy of containment sought to halt the development of communism in all parts of the world. Having achieved that goal, American leaders still struggle to develop a foreign policy for the post–Cold War era and to combat global terrorism. • There are three types of American foreign policy, each dominated by different actors. Crisis policy requires immediate decision making and is controlled by the president and his national security advisers. Strategic policy (long range) tends to be formulated within the executive branch. Structural defense policy, which deals primarily with defense spending and military bases, is most often crafted by the Defense Department and Congress, which has the ultimate authority when it comes to spending. • The American public and its leaders since World War II have embraced internationalism, the active role of a country in global affairs. Internationalists endorse free trade and favor involvement in the United Nations and World Trade Organization. Other actors, whose focus is mostly domestic, advocate both economic protectionism and isolationism from foreign affairs. • The United States has three basic foreign policy goals: security of the homeland, economic growth, and support of democracy in the world. However, when these goals conflict, support for democracy has often lost out. The anarchical international system and increasing global economic interdependence ensure that security and economic problems will be top priorities. • American foreign policy makers use many strategies and tools to create effective policy, including deterrence and compellence strategies and economic tools such as foreign aid and sanctions, political tools such as diplomacy, coercive diplomacy, and covert operations, and, when these options fail, military action. • Ongoing foreign policy challenges include dealing with the war on terrorism, ongoing operations in Iraq and Afghanistan, forming alliances in a post<en>Cold War world, protecting American interests in a global economy, managing problems without borders (like smuggling and pollution), and balancing pragmatic security concerns with the desire to extend democracy throughout the world. • Tension may be unavoidable between foreign policy and democracy. Secrecy may be essential for successful foreign policy; crisis policy in particular requires both surprise and quick decision making. Democracy, on the other hand, demands openness and accountability on the part of public officials. Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. To Sum Up (continued) PRACTICE QUIZ SUGGESTED RESOURCES http://republic.cqpress.com http://republic.cqpress.com 1. The three major types of foreign policy are Books a. crisis policy, war policy, and peace policy. b. war policy, peace policy, and Cold War policy. c. strategic policy, nonstrategic policy, and tactical policy. d. crisis policy, strategic policy, and structural defense policy. e. defense policy, spending policy, and terrorism policy. 2. The executive department charged with managing diplomacy and foreign affairs is the a. State Department. b. National Security Council. c. Defense Department. d. Foreign Relations Council. e. Homeland Security Council. 3. Restricting the sale of arms to countries that violate human rights would be an example of a. a policy driven by economic goals. b. a policy based on moral concerns. c. policy decisions designed to reduce international conflict. d. a return to isolationism. e. disarmament. 4. The doctrine of protectionism is defined as a. the imposition of trade barriers such as tariffs to make trading conditions favorable to domestic producers. b. the formation of organizations such as NATO to ensure protection from military threats. c. civil defense policies that protect populations from attack. d. the policy of trying to guarantee human rights to minorities around the world. e. the use of military force to achieve foreign policy goals. 5. An example of a transnational challenge to the United States is a. the Arab League. b. the European Union. c. al Qaeda. Allison, Graham, and Philip Zelikow. 1999. Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis, 2d ed. New York: Longman. The classic study of decision making by President Kennedy and his advisers during the Cuban missile crisis; this revised edition reflects much of the new scholarship on the crisis that has emerged since the Cold War ended. Bergen, Peter L. 2002. Holy War, Inc.: Inside the Secret World of Osama Bin Laden. New York: Free Press. An in-depth look at Osama bin Laden’s terrorist network and how he managed to attack the United States and U.S. interests so efficiently. Chandrasekaran, Rajiv. 2006. Imperial Life in the Emerald City: Inside Iraq’s Green Zone. New York: Knopf. Awardwinning book by a Washington Post reporter about the steps, and missteps, at the start of the U.S. occupation of Iraq. Clarke, Richard. 2004. Against All Enemies: Inside America’s War on Terror. New York: Free Press. A veteran counterterrorism expert from the Clinton and Bush years, Clarke’s memoir is gripping and, at times, depressing. Crawford, John. 2005. The Last True Story I’ll Ever Tell: An Accidental Soldier’s Account of the War in Iraq. New York: Penguin. An eyewitness account of one soldier’s war in Iraq, and the journey home again. Fried, Amy. 1997. Muffled Echoes: Oliver North and the Politics of Public Opinion. New York: Columbia University Press. An interesting study of the relationships between policymakers, the public, and the media, seen through the lens of Oliver North and the Iran-contra scandal. Gelb, Leslie H., and Richard K. Betts. 1979. The Irony of Vietnam: The System Worked. Washington, D.C.: Brookings Institution. A classic study of the roots of U.S. policy in Vietnam. Gelb and Betts reject the popular idea that Vietnam was a “quagmire” in which we got caught; rather, they argue, U.S. involvement was the predictable result of a calculated policy to “not lose this year.” Hinckley, Barbara. 1994. Less Than Meets the Eye: Foreign Policy Making and the Myth of the Assertive Congress. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. A strongly argued view of the overrated role that Congress plays in making American foreign policy. d. Serbian nationalism. e. the Cold War. Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher. To Sum Up 913 Janis, Irving L. 1989. Crucial Decisions: Leadership in Policymaking and Crisis Management. New York: Free Press. An incisive study of how presidents lead and manage advisers in foreign policy--sometimes well and sometimes poorly. Woodward, Bob. 2006. State of Denial: Bush at War, Part III. New York: Simon and Schuster. An interesting, if largely unattributed, account of the behind-the-scenes policy struggles that surrounded decisions about the war in Iraq. Johnson, Loch K. 1989. America’s Secret Power: The CIA in a Democratic Society. New York: Oxford University Press. A classic presentation of the roles and tensions of the secret organization at the heart of our open society’s intelligence community. Web Sites Kolko, Gabriel. 1969. The Roots of American Foreign Policy: An Analysis of Power and Purpose. Boston: Beacon Press. A different view: a Marxist analysis of the roots of American foreign policy, emphasizing the economic interests at the heart of U.S. policy. McDougall, Walter. 1985. . . .the Heavens and the Earth: A Political History of the Space Age. New York: Basic Books. An outstanding overview of the race for space by the United States; it won the Pulitzer Prize in 1986. O’Rourke, P. J. 1992. Give War a Chance: Eyewitness Accounts of Mankind’s Struggle Against Tyranny, Injustice and Alcohol-Free Beer. New York: Atlantic Monthly Press. A collection of very funny and provocative essays by satirist O’Rourke, most drawn from his reporting on foreign policy (and other) events. Schulzinger, Robert D. 2007. U.S. Diplomacy Since 1900, 6th ed. New York: Oxford University Press. An excellent history of U.S. foreign relations, with especially insightful chapters about the path of American foreign policy before our rise to global preeminence. Sheehan, Neil. 1988. A Bright Shining Lie: John Paul Vann and America in Vietnam. New York: Random House. A fascinating look into America’s war in Vietnam through the eyes of controversial war hero Vann, by one of the journalists who covered the war. Strobel, Warren P. 1997. Late-Breaking Foreign Policy: The News Media’s Influence on Peace Operations. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Institute of Peace Press. A good discussion of the effects of the modern media on U.S. foreign policy making, highlighting recent case studies such as Somalia, Haiti, and others. Foreign Policy Association. www.fpa.org. The Foreign Policy Association (FPA) is a national, nonprofit, nonpartisan educational organization founded in 1918 to inform Americans about significant world issues that have an important impact on their lives. The FPA web site provides historical background on important foreign policy decisions, monthly news analysis of major foreign policy issues, and an opportunity for readers to voice their opinions. Council on Foreign Relations. www.cfr.org. The Council on Foreign Relations is a nonpartisan organization that promotes understanding of foreign policy and America’s role in the world. It also publishes the journal Foreign Affairs, which for decades has been perhaps the most significant publication of its kind. Movies Charlie Wilson’s War. 2007. Starring Tom Hanks, this movie is based on the real-life efforts of former Texas congressman Charlie Wilson’s efforts to increase support for the Afghan rebels fighting the Soviets in the Carter and Reagan years. Dr. Strangelove or: How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Bomb. 1964. A comedy-thriller satirizing Cold War madness and featuring manic performances from George C. Scott and Peter Sellers (who plays three separate roles, including the title part). It’s so good, I’m watching it as I write this. The Fog of War. 2003. A probing documentary focusing on former secretary of defense Robert McNamara and U.S. involvement in Vietnam. Seven Days in May. 1964. Outstanding “conspiracy theory” movie based on the novel by the same name about a military coup attempt against the U.S. government. It delves into Cold War politics and civilian-military relationships. Suskind, Ron. 2006. The One Percent Doctrine: Deep Inside America’s Pursuit of its Enemies Since 9/11. New York: Simon and Schuster. A penetrating journey through the Bush administration’s policies for the war on terrorism. Uncorrected page proof. Copyright (c) 2009 by CQ Press, a division of SAGE. CQ Press is a registered trademark of Congressional Quarterly Inc. No part of these pages may be quoted, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without permission in writing from the publisher.