Tactical Guidelines, TG-17-7216 J. Grigg Research Note 17 September 2002 Financial Engineering: The Outsourcing Challenge Outsourcing firms are reeling as a result of renegotiating financially engineered service contracts. Enterprises should understand how financial engineering works so they can separate deal funding from service delivery. Core Topic Business Management of IT: Financial Management Key Issue What strategies will enterprises use to track, manage and optimize IT investments? Tactical Guidelines Enterprises should only use financial engineering in relationships with external service providers in cases of extreme shortterm financial pressure, and where the nature and magnitude of the engineering is well-understood. Make the loans inherent in financial engineering explicit, and ensure that they are kept separate from the price of service delivery at all times. Note 1 Definition of Financial Engineering The process of manipulating the pricing algorithm for a service relationship so that the payment structure is tailored to meet cash flow needs and is no longer connected to the actual cost of delivering the services. This typically involves the use of explicit or implicit financial loans by the service provider, which are not easily separable from service delivery cost in the new payment structure. Where financial engineering is used by an ESP, these loans are often securitized and sold to third parties in the form of structured credit derivative products. A persistent driver toward the consideration of external service provider (ESP) models such as outsourcing is cost reduction. For most utility task loads, such as data center or help desk services, this can be a supportable long-term premise, due to the ESP's ability to leverage its overheads and other indirect costs across multiple service relationships. Yet, for many reasonably efficient IS organizations, there is not likely to be any significant cost saving from best-in-class processes once the ESP’s contingency and margin is factored in. In addition, even where there are longterm savings to be obtained, transition and establishment requirements invariably raise the costs at the beginning of a new service relationship. Since most outsourcing deals are chosen with cost savings in mind, the service provider faces the quandary of how to win the deal when its delivery costs will rise immediately after contract execution. To assuage these concerns and present the service recipient's CFO with apparent short-term savings, ESPs often engage in the process of financial engineering (see Note 1). This is a circumstance in which the service provider overlays an implicit loan structure upon the underlying costs of transition, delivering services and improving delivery efficiency in such a way that prices are artificially cheap in the first few years and rise rapidly at the back end of the contract term (see Figure 1). Gartner Entire contents © 2002 Gartner, Inc. All rights reserved. Reproduction of this publication in any form without prior written permission is forbidden. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. Gartner shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in the information contained herein or for interpretations thereof. The reader assumes sole responsibility for the selection of these materials to achieve its intended results. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice. Figure 1 The Difference Between Cost and Price in Financial Engineering $ Loss Financially Engineered Price Profit Cost of Functional Delivery Transformed Cost of Delivery Reorganization Crisis Time Break-Even Breakeven Point Source: Gartner Research The straight line in Figure 1 marked "Cost of Functional Delivery" depicts the gently rising cost of service delivery over time for a given scope of work and using a given technology platform, typically driven by rising labor costs. The curved function marked "Transformed Cost of Delivery" depicts the actual costs borne by the service provider in making the transition to the operating state necessary to deliver the service in question, as well as the long-term recurrent savings from doing so due to its continuous improvement activities. The function marked "Financially Engineered Price" reflects the new price structure, in which the service recipient pays less cost at the front of the deal, and steadily more as time progresses. The viability of such a model is predicated on two conditions: 1. Uninterrupted payment for services until the break-even point, at which the net present value (NPV) of the funds received equals the NPV of the upfront investment. 2. An extremely high profit for each service delivered after the break-even point is reached. It is this high marginal profit that provides such a strong incentive for the ESP to use financial engineering. In operation, these assumptions rarely hold true for the length of the contract, due to the increasingly rapid evolution of service requirements over time and the extreme unpalatability to the service recipient of paying prices that are above market during the cost-recovery part of the curve. For these reasons, service recipients often drive for renegotiation of the financial terms of the relationship well before the break-even point is reached, a trend that is particularly evident in times of economic downturn. If the new service requirements are substantially less than those Copyright 2002 TG-17-7216 17 September 2002 2 initially contracted for, the service provider can be financially exposed by such a renegotiation. Additionally, financial troubles within the service recipient may render adhering to the agreed-to payment structure difficult or impossible, leading to a similar exposure. The well-publicized crisis in the EDS-WorldCom outsourcing relationship provides a vivid example of this phenomenon, and clearly demonstrates the financial impact of terminating a deal well before the break-even point. ESPs deal with this problem by insisting on conditions such as minimum payments or resource utilization in the contract, which provide legal recourse to protect the ESP from the ramifications of a breach. When the service recipient attempts to renegotiate as an alternative to breaching the contract, the ESP is faced with a difficult choice: Should it try to recover historical investments in the deal through legal action despite the hostility and disruption to the relationship with its client, or should it accept a lesser deal that at least keeps cash flowing to service the upfront investment in the engineered price structure? The use of financial engineering presents a number of problems for all parties that are affected by changes in their incentive structures: 1. Service recipients face dramatically rising service prices at the back end of these deals, which may not always be apparent. 2. Service providers' margin models are at risk from early renegotiation or client bankruptcy. 3. Internal IS organizations can't be price-competitive with ESPs because of artificially low short-term pricing, skewing the outsourcing decision against them. 4. Financial analysts who cover ESPs wonder why these service firms are signing more business but not increasing their profitability proportionately. To address these problems, we advise enterprises to eschew financially engineered ESP deals by: 1. Ensuring that service pricing is based on cost of delivery, and will be periodically adjusted to take advantage of continuous improvement opportunities. 2. Separating funding from service delivery costs in the pricing structure of ESP relationships. In this way, any renegotiation of service contracts can be based on a clear understanding of service requirements, and the cash-flow management Copyright 2002 TG-17-7216 17 September 2002 3 issue may be dealt with explicitly. Taking this approach also assists in ensuring that the service provider's resistance to renegotiating service levels during the term of the contract is minimized, and, thus, supports the notion of a true partnership between the parties. Bottom Line: Enterprises should be wary of entering into outsourcing relationships that employ financial engineering, because their long-term service cost can be prohibitive and their ability to adjust the scope of services delivered can be severely compromised. Copyright 2002 TG-17-7216 17 September 2002 4