INTRODUCTION 1. GENERAL Tourist is defined as a person traveling outside his usual environment, in order to see other places, to enjoy himself or to visit relatives and friends. According to the UNWTO (United Nations World Tourism Organization), a business trip is also defined as a type of tourism – business tourism. Businesses in every industry provide the necessary services for tourists before their trip, during it and afterwards. The main services are accommodation, travel agencies, transportation and attractions operators, sales of equipment to tourists, etc. The purpose of this publication is to present the added value of tourism; i.e., to examine what is the economic contribution of tourism to the national product. This publication describes the process of calculating the tourism share of various industries in the economy, which is defined as a tourism product (TVA – Tourism Value Added). Calculation of the tourist product is done according to a method developed by the UNWTO (United Nations World Tourism Organization), the TSA – Tourism Satellite Account1. The model of the tourism satellite account presents input-output tables of all industries related to tourism, compared with all other industries.2 The data in the publication relate to 2004. The previous satellite account was produced for 1995. In addition, the publication presents comparisons between the two above years. The source of the data that were used for preparing the tourism satellite account are both supply data and demand data. 1 Methodology and detailed definitions can be found in a previous publication on the subject, published by the Central Bureau of Statistics, Tourism Satellite Account in Israel, Current Statistics No. 3/2005, Jerusalem, 2005. 2 Detailed tables according to UNWTO recommendations appear below in the Tables Section of the publication. - XV - Following is a breakdown of the data sources: The Supply and Use Table3 for 2004 is the basis of the tourism satellite account system. An additional important source is the Central Bureau of Statistics Household Expenditure Survey for 2004, which – among other things – also examines households’ expenditures on trips and travel. The Central Bureau of Statistics’ trade and services survey and manufacturing survey for 2004 served as a source of data on output, intermediate inputs and the value added of commerce and services industries. The inbound tourism survey conducted by the Ministry of Tourism provided estimates for distribution of expenditures by tourists from abroad in the country. Additional surveys of the Central Bureau of Statistics on subjects related to hotels in the country, as well as data on inbound and outbound tourists and Israelis, assist in examining the results of the tourism satellite account. 3 Data from the Balance of Payments published by the Central Bureau of Statistics. Central Bureau of Statistics, Supply and Use Table 2004 and Supply Table 2005-2006, Publication No. 1370, Jerusalem, 2009. - XVI - 2. MAIN FINDINGS A. Summary of findings (Table A) In 2004 the total tourism consumption4 in the economy stood at approximately NIS 21,764 million5 (at consumer prices). The added value of tourism (local product of tourism) totaled approximately NIS 8,970 million, which is approximately 1.8% of the national product (Table 6 in the tables section). TABLE A.- SELECTED INDUSTRIES AS A PERCENTAGE OF THE TOTAL NATIONAL PRODUCT, COMPARED WITH THE TOURISM INDUSTRY 2004 Percentages Tourism 1.8 Agriculture, forestry and fishing 1.6 Manufacturing 13.4 Electricity and water 1.9 Construction 4.3 In 2004 Israeli tourism consumption in the country contributed approximately 61% of total tourism consumption. The rest of tourism consumption – 39% - is assigned to inbound tourism to Israel from abroad. 4 Consumption of local goods and services characteristic of, or connected with, tourism, excluding imports. 5 All the data in this publication are at 2004 prices, unless otherwise stated. - XVII - B. Background In 2004 there was an economic recovery in Israel – the gross national product rose by 5.2%, compared with 2003. The per capita product grew by 3.6%, after a continuing drop of three years. The economic growth in Israel’s economy in 2004 was mainly focused in hi-tech industries, similar to that of commercial and financial services industries, that grew significantly. Other industries as well enjoyed an expansion, but at a lower rate. The growth in the services industries stemmed mainly from a rise in the demand for IT products of the world, which caused a rise in the export of computer and R&D services; and as a result, to a growth in the activities of commercial and financial services. In 2004 the commercial and financial services industry reached 20% of the product, compared with its share in 1995 – approximately 16% of the product. TABLE B.- ECONOMIC INDICATORS OF THE ENTIRE ECONOMY AND EXTENT (MOVEMENT) OF INTERNAL TOURISM, INBOUND TOURISM AND OUTBOUND TOURISM 1995 2003 2004 Percentage of change 2004 1995 Percentage of change 2004 2003 Economic indicators of the entire economy NIS at 2004 prices Gross domestic product (millions) 421,049 534,549 563,713 34 5 Gross domestic product per capita 75,934 79,906 82,789 9 4 Private consumption expenditure per capita 42,412 44,434 46,389 9 4 Tourist movement Thousands Tourist entries into the country 2,216 1,063 1,506 -32 42 Israeli departures abroad 2,259 3,299 3,614 60 10 Tourist person-nights in hotels 9,790 3,518 5,028 -49 43 Israeli person-nights in hotels 6,737 12,460 12,991 93 4 - XVIII - In the accepted indicators for estimating the state of tourism – tourist entries, person-nights in hotels, departures of Israelis abroad – there were also increases recorded in 2004, compared with 2003: In inbound tourism – The economic growth in the world, and the improved state of security in Israel, caused a rise of approximately 42% in the number of tourist entries into Israel in 2004, compared with 2003; after the sharp drops recorded in inbound tourism in 2002-2003, due to the security situation. Despite the rise in the number of tourist entries, a slump was still recorded in inbound tourism in 2004. Compared with 1995, the number of tourist entries in 2004 was lower by 32%. In 1995 tourist person-nights were approximately 60% of all person-nights in hotels, whereas in 2004 the tourist share of person-nights constituted approximately 28% of all person-nights in tourist hotels. In internal and outbound tourism – Economic growth and the rise in the standard of living in Israel in 2004 caused a rise in the Israeli demand for tourism services. According to the household expenditures survey, the number of Israelis going on trips in the country rose in 2004 by 14%, compared with 2003. The number of Israeli personnights in hotels rose by 4%, and the number of Israeli departures abroad rose by approximately 10% that year. Compared with 1995 the number of Israeli departures abroad rose in 2004 by approximately 60%, and the number of Israeli person-nights in hotels in the country almost doubled. The data on Israeli person-nights in 2004 were among the highest experienced by hotels in Israel till that period. As for hotel occupancy, the rise in the number of Israeli person-nights served to counter the drop that occurred in the number of tourist person-nights. This publication translates the changes in movement of all the above types of tourists (inbound tourism, internal tourism and outbound tourism) into financial terms used in national accounts, and they present the economic contribution of all the types of tourist activity to the economy. The estimation of tourist consumption constitutes the first phase of the process of producing tables for the tourism satellite account. - XIX - C. Components of tourism consumption Estimating tourism consumption in the economy constitutes a basis for the calculation of the output and the product of the tourism industry. Tourism consumption was measured in industries defined as tourism industries (such as accommodation services, transportation services, travel agencies, cultural activities, entertainment, etc.) and other industries defined as connected to tourism6 (food and beverages, clothing, gift items and jewellery, insurance, etc.). In 2004 tourism consumption totaled approximately NIS 21,764 million (a drop of approximately 1% compared with 1995 – at 2004 prices). 61% of all tourism consumption was that of Israelis, and the rest – 39% - of tourists from abroad. In 1995, the first year for which a tourism satellite account was compiled, the composition of tourism consumption was completely different from that of 2004 – 65% was contributed by tourists from abroad, and 35% by Israeli tourists; in accordance with the change in tourist movements in the two years examined (Table B and Diagram 1). DIAGRAM 1.- DISTRIBUTION OF TOURIST DEMAND IN 1995 AND 2004 (NIS millions, at 2004 prices) 25,000 NIS Millions 20,000 15,000 Israelis Tourists 10,000 5,000 0 1995 6 2004 For a list of tourist industries and industries connected to tourism and their codes according to the Standard Classification of Economic Activities – see page 31. - XX - Despite the fact that Israeli tourism consumption rose in 2004 by 75%, compared with that of 1995, no significant change has occurred in total tourism consumption, and it has dropped by only 1%, because the tourism consumption of foreign tourists dropped by 41% (Table C). With regard to the change in the consumption data of foreign tourists, as expected, the consumption of products defined as “luxury” – souvenirs, jewellery, shopping – dropped by a greater rate than the consumption of products without which the trip would be impossible – accommodation services, food services7 and transportation services. In Israeli tourism consumption in 2004, a sharp rise can be seen in consumption of transportation services, due to the rise in expenditures related to private vehicles (following the rise in the number of trips in the country), but mainly due to the rise in expenditures on air transport services of Israeli companies (a growth of 55%, as a result of the rise of 60% in the number of Israelis who left the country in 2004, compared with that of 1995). Following the rise in internal tourism and in the number of Israeli departures abroad, the consumption of services provided by travel agencies also rose by approximately 27%. The sharp rise in tourism consumption of dining services by Israelis stems from the rise in internal tourism, as well as technical reasons of changes in the definition of the industry. 7 7 Part of the difference stems from the change in definition of the restaurants and dining services industry (Division 56). In 1995 the output in this industry was equal to the revenue, after deducting the expenditures on food that were included in private consumption. As of 2003, the output of this industry includes the expenditures on food that were classified as input. - XXI - In conclusion, it can be said that the total tourist demand in industries that mainly supply services to foreign tourists, and less to Israelis for trips within the country, dropped in 2004 compared with 1995; and therefore, there were sharp drops recorded in tourism demand in industries belonging to the category of “tourism connected products” – souvenirs, jewellery, food, etc., as well as in bus services, taxi services and car rentals. However, the total tourist demand for transportation services rose (Table C) because of the rise in demand for air transport services, which constitute approximately 60% of the tourist demand for transportation services. TABLE C.- TOURIST CONSUMPTION8 OF GOODS AND SERVICES9 NIS millions at 2004 prices,* unless otherwise stated 1995 Services and goods Total Percentage of change 2004 1995 2004 Foreign Israelis tourists Total Foreign Israelis tourists Foreign Israelis tourists Total 21,983 14,344 7,639 21,764 8,424 13,340 -1 -41 75 Accommodation services 5,033 2,887 2,146 5,364 1,653 3,711 7 -43 73 Restaurants and dining services 1,521 1,096 424 2,018 926 1,092 33 -16 157 Public transportation and private vehicle services 6,992 4,347 2,644 8,365 3,196 5,170 20 -27 96 Travel and tourist agencies 2,267 656 1,611 2,328 288 2,040 3 -56 27 Entertainment and sport services 756 453 302 661 180 481 -13 -60 59 Other tourismconnected services 1,597 1,373 224 915 599 316 -43 -56 41 Other tourismconnected goods 3,818 3,531 287 2,114 1,582 531 -45 -55 85 Total * 1995 data were calculated at 2004 prices, according to the change in the Consumer Price Index, which rose by 46% between 1995 and 2004. In 1995 the hotel and air transport services industries served mainly foreign tourists. In 2004 the target groups of the industries changed from tourists to Israelis, and thus the total consumption in these industries rose. 8 Without imports. 9 See Tables 1,2 and 4 in the Tables Section. - XXII - In industries whose main users for trips are Israelis, such as services related to private vehicles and travel agencies, the demand rose in comparison with 1995. Items of expenditures on tourist goods and services (Diagram 2 below, and Table 4 in the tables section): In 2004 transportation services, which include public transportation, air transport and services related to private vehicles, constituted the greatest expenditure of the total tourism consumption – approximately 38%, especially due to the demand for air transport services, which constituted approximately 24% of total consumption. Accommodation services constituted approximately 25% of all tourism consumption in 2004 (20% among tourists and 28% among Israelis). Travel and tourist agencies services constituted approximately 11% of all tourism consumption (3% among tourists and 15% among Israelis). Following them are restaurant services, which constituted approximately 9% of tourism consumption (11% among tourists and 8% among Israelis). Entertainment, culture and sport services constituted approximately 3% of all tourism consumption. DIAGRAM 2.- DISTRIBUTION OF TOTAL TOURISM CONSUMPTION, BY EXPENDITURE ITEMS 1995, 2004 45 40 Percentages 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 A cco mo datio n services Restaurants and dining services P ublic transpo rtatio n services and private vehicles Travel and to urist agencies 1995 Entertainment and spo rt services Other pro ducts Other services co nnected to co nnected to to urism to urism 2004 Import components of tourism consumption among foreign tourists are goods in the “other goods” category, which include food, clothing, jewellery and other equipment, and constitute 19% of all consumption by foreign tourists. The value added of tourism components was calculated on the basis of tourism consumption data (see below). - XXIII - D. Output and national product of tourism – value added of tourism (TVA) Value added is the difference between the value of the goods or service provided and the value of the inputs used to produce the goods or service. It is common to measure the contribution of a specific industry to the local economy by presenting the added value of that industry relative to the total of the goods in the economy. Therefore, the tools used in national accounts are also used in tourism, in order to make it possible to compare it with the rest of the industries in the economy, as well as with other countries. The tourist output in 2004 reached NIS 20,591 million, 6% less than the tourism output in 1995 (Table D below, and Table 5 in the Tables Section). During that same period the total output in the economy grew by approximately 40%. TABLE D.- TOURISM OUTPUT10 At 2004 prices 1995 Services and goods 2004 Tourism output Tourism output rate of the total industry output Tourism output Tourism output rate of the total industry output NIS Millions Percentages NIS Millions Percentages Total 21,982 20,591 Accommodation services 4,843 89.0 5,135 99.6 Restaurants and dining services 1,407 14.0 1,737 13.0 Public transportation and private vehicle services 6,865 18.0 7,972 14.0 Travel and tourist agencies 2,212 100.0 2,253 100.0 719 7.0 606 18.0 Other tourism-connected services 1,472 3.0 860 1.0 Other tourism-connected goods 4,464 3.0 2,028 1.0 Entertainment and sport services In industries in which tourist demand dropped compared with 1995, the output also dropped, such as in tourist-connected goods and bus and taxi services (the rise in output of transportation services stems from the rise in output of air transport services, which constitute 64% of the tourism output of transportation services). 10 See Table 6 in the Tables Section. - XXIV - In 2004 the Tourism Value Added (TVA) totaled approximately NIS 8,970 million, which is 1.8% of the total product, compared with 3.4% in 1995 (Table E and Table 6 in the tables section). TABLE E.- TOURISM VALUE ADDED (TVA) (at base prices) 1995, 200411 At 2004 prices Goods and services 1995 Percentage of change 2004 1995 2004 NIS Millions Percentages NIS Millions Percentages 11,805 100 8,970 100 -24 Accommodation services 3,353 28 2,443 27 -27 Restaurants and dining services 1,091 9 538 6 -51 Public transportation and private vehicle services 2,770 23 3,046 34 10 Travel and tourist agencies 1,086 9 1,319 14 21 418 3 340 4 -19 Other tourism-connected services 1,296 11 454 5 -65 Other tourism-connected goods 1,790 15 830 9 -54 Total Entertainment and sport services Compared with 1995, in 2004 the TVA dropped by approximately 24%. This occurrence is explained by the change that took place between these years in the composition of the tourists. Whereas 1995 was characterized by record levels of inbound tourism from abroad, 2004 was a good year for internal tourism, but very weak in inbound tourism. During 1995-2004 the total value added to the economy rose by approximately 42%, whereas the share of tourism in the GDP dropped from 3.4% in 1995 to 1.8% in 2004. The reason for that is that the commercial and financial services industries have developed greatly, and their contribution to the domestic product has become much more significant, whereas the share of tourism and other industries in the economy have shrunk. Thus, for example, the ICT industry that constituted 6% of the GDP in 1995, reached approximately 11% of the GDP in 2004. The greatest component of the tourism product in 2004 was the transportation services industry, which contributed 34% to the tourism product, and rose by 10% compared with 1995; mainly due to a rise of 32% of the product of air transport services. 27% was 11 See Table 6 in the Tables Section. - XXV - contributed by the accommodation services (a drop of 27% compared with 1995), and an additional approximately 14% was contributed to the tourism product by travel and tourist agents. It should be noted that industries whose valued added rose in 2004, such as air transport services and travel agencies, served mainly local clients. In contrast, a drop in value added was recorded in the accommodation services industry in 2004, compared with 1995, following a drop in prices which occurred when the industry was transferred to the local market. In a survey conducted by the CBS - “Hotels – Income, Expenditure and Product 2004”12 – which relates to tourist hotels, a similar phenomenon can be seen; the value added does not necessarily change in the same direction as the demand. In 2004 hotel incomes rose by 2%, compared with 1995, whereas the hotel product dropped by 8%. The value added of tourism-connected products dropped by approximately 54%, in correspondence with the drop in demand and output. According to the estimates obtained by the TSA method, in the characteristic industries of tourism, the number of employed persons in 2004 was approximately 64,000 (approximately 2.6% of all employed persons in the economy); 53% of them were women and 47% were men. The estimate of employed persons was obtained, as were the calculations of tourism product, by applying the tourism rate (presented in Table D above13) to the number of employed persons in characteristic industries of tourism. 12 See Central Bureau of Statistics, Tourism 2006, Publication No. 1302, Jerusalem, 2007. 13 See also Table 6 in the Tables Section. - XXVI - E. International comparisons The TSA method was affirmed by the UN Statistics Committee and the international statistics community as the accepted framework for calculating economic indicators of tourism. Several countries publish tourism satellite accounts, some for each year and some for only selected years. The comparison between data of various countries is not always unequivocal, since the subject is relatively new and there are still differences of definition. Table F below presents several tourism indicators from a number of countries around the world. (TSA Data Around the World, Madrid, March 2009, WTO). TABLE F.- ECONOMIC INDICATORS OF TOURISM IN SELECTED COUNTRIES New Zealand Spain Canada Ireland Austria Israel 2004 2004 2002 2000 2005 2004 Tourism consumption – total (millions of dollars) 17,459 92,440 36,045 6,287 34,895 4,856 TVA (millions of dollars) 6,700 49,149 14,861 2,299 16,595 2,001 5.2 5.8 2.0 2.4 5.5 1.8 2,163 52,430 20,057 6,646 19,952 1,506 49 13 56 97 100 53 TVA as a percentage of the GDP Number of tourist arrivals14 (thousands) Percentage of departures of residents abroad, (compared to the total population) Ireland is a country to which Israel can be compared (with regard to its size and GDP). The number of tourist arrivals to Ireland in 2004 was four times that of tourist arrivals in Israel, and the number of Irish departures for other countries was also greater than that of Israeli departures abroad. The tourism consumption in Ireland was higher by approximately 27% than the tourism consumption in Israel, and the value added of tourism was higher by 12% than that of Israel. 14 Who stayed in the country for at least one night. - XXVII - Table G below shows the distribution of tourism consumption in the above countries. TABLE G.- DISTRIBUTION OF TOURISM CONSUMPTION BY GOODS AND SERVICES AND BY CONSUMER Percentage of total tourism consumption of each consumer group in each of the countries 15 Spain Canada Ireland Austria Israel 2004 2002 2000 2003-2004 2004 Accommodation services Total 28 16 13 10 25 Residents 32 12 7 9 28 Foreign tourists 25 24 19 12 20 Total 25 15 28 15 9 Residents 29 14 31 17 8 Foreign tourists 28 17 26 9 11 Total 21 35 27 17 38 Residents 14 38 24 13 39 Foreign tourists 20 27 29 29 38 Total 5 5 3 3 11 Residents 5 7 5 3 15 Foreign tourists 1 1 0.3 1.4 3 Total 2.8 8 6 5 4 Residents 2.9 6 7 6 2 Foreign tourists 2.5 12 5 3 7 Total 9 4 5 13 4 Residents 9 6 6 10 2 11 0.3 5 20 7 Total 9 18 18 37 10 Residents 9 17 20 41 4 13 20 6 25 19 Restaurants and dining services Public transportation and private vehicle services Travel and tourist agencies Entertainment and sports services Other tourism-connected services Foreign tourists Other tourism-connected goods Foreign tourists 15 For each consumer group, the tourism consumption of all the goods and services totals 100%. - XXVIII - In most countries the expenditure on public transportation is in first place of the total tourism consumption, and following it is the expenditure on accommodation services. The distribution of the rest of the items is not consistent, and depends particularly on the tourism activities of each country. Thus, for example, in Spain, Canada, Ireland and Austria the total consumption of restaurant and dining services is higher than the consumption of accommodation services, or almost equal to it. In Israel and Spain the percentage of expenditure of local residents on accommodation services, out of their total expenditure on tourism services, is higher than that of foreign tourists. F. Summary of findings From the analysis presented above, the relative importance of tourism industries can be seen. The 2004 Tourism Satellite Account shows the special contribution of internal and outbound tourism, which replaces inbound tourism during periods of economic crises and security events in Israel. The TSA method provides a tool that makes it possible to conduct a general analysis of the tourism phenomenon. Similarly to the input-output tables, this method makes it possible to perform analyses and forecasts also for years for which there are no final statistical data. In this publication a comparison was made between 1995 and 2004, but it must be remembered that the TSA for 1995 was prepared as a preliminary exercise, and the definition of industries and processing of data did not always conform to the more advanced procedure that existed in 2004. It should be noted that the TSA method is partially based on demand, and there is great difficulty in measuring demand on the basis of consumer reports, due to the problem of forgetfulness and non-reporting for other reasons. Therefore, it can be expected that data regarding tourism demands will have a downward bias. An additional field of tourism demand that has not yet been sufficiently examined is commercial tourism demand, which has been growing in recent years. In the next stage of developing tourism satellite accounts, the goal will be to devise a quality multi-annual series that can be compared, based on published data as well as data estimated according to previous TSA tables. An emphasis will be placed on improving the data from internal tourism by conducting new surveys and integrating them in the existing surveys. These actions will make it possible to devise an annual/quarterly series of tourism indicators that will also include the economic aspect, as well as the quantitative aspect, of the tourist movement. - XXIX - 3. TERMS, DEFINITIONS AND EXPLANATIONS16 Tourism – the activity of individuals (tourists) traveling outside of their usual environment for a period that does not exceed one consecutive year, for vacation, business or other purposes, and not for the purpose of receiving wages from the place to which they travel. Usual environment – a place of usual/daily activity, such as a place of residence, study, work and pleasure. Internal tourism – Israelis traveling and vacationing in the country; also including business travel that includes sleeping away from home. Inbound tourism – foreign tourists coming into the country. Outbound tourism – Israeli tourists leaving to travel abroad. Value added of tourism (TVA) (at base prices) – the value added that is created in the economy as a result of the activity of tourism and tourism-connected industries, as a response to local tourism consumption. The Tourism Satellite Account (TSA) – An accounting system developed by the United Nations World Tourism Organization (UNWTO). The system includes definitions, a methodology, and tables that aim to present tourism as a separate industry. In that way, the components of industry can be analyzed and compared with all other industries. Supply and uses tables – part of an accounting system that presents more detailed information from ongoing national accounts, and focuses on presenting the reciprocal relations between the various economic industries. The supply table describes the resources that were available to the economy: local output and imports at base prices. The uses table presents the value of production in each industry and the use of each product, at base prices and at buyer’s prices in the economy. Tourism consumption of Israelis (domestic tourism) – internal tourism consumption and consumption in Israel by Israelis departing for a trip abroad. Tourism consumption of inbound tourism – consumption created as a result of a visit by foreign tourists in the country, and the demand for goods and services that the Israeli economy provides. Total of tourism consumption in the economy – tourism consumption of Israelis and inbound tourism consumption. Volume of tourism – the movement of tourists that includes internal tourism, outbound tourism and inbound tourism. 16 According to the definitions of UNWTO – the United Nations World Tourism Organization. - XXX - Industries characteristic of the tourism industry (tourist industries)17 – industries whose production will be significantly reduced in the absence of tourists. Industries that are not characteristic of the tourism industry but are connected to it17 – industries that are important for tourist activity, but were not included in the category of tourism industries. Intermediate inputs – the value of materials and services used in the production process. 17 See list of industries on page 31. - XXXI -