THE FEASIBILITY OF ESTABLISHING SICKLE CELL DISEASE SCREENING SERVICES AT HEALTH CENTERS IN UGANDA By OKWI ANDREW LIVEX, MSc., University of Wales, UK A THESIS SUBMITTED TO THE SCHOOL OF POSTGRADUATE STUDIES FOR THE AWARD OF THE DEGREE OF DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY OF MAKERERE UNIVERSITY OCTOBER 2009 Table of Contents Declaration ix Dedication x Acknowledgement xi List of Table xii List of Figures xvii List of Abbreviations xviii Definition of terms xix Abstract xxiv 1.0 Chapter One: Introduction 1 1.1. Background of the study 1 1.2. Problem statement 3 1.3 Research questions 3 1.4. Objectives 4 1.4.1. General objective of the study 4 1.4.1. Specific objectives 4 1.5. Justification of the study 4 Chapter Two: Literature review. 6 2.1. Emergence of non-communicable diseases 6 2.2 Early history sickle cell disease 9 2.3. The genetic characteristics of human heamoglobins 10 2.3.1. Genetics of normal human haemoglobins 10 - ii - 2.3.2. Genetics of haemoglobin variants 13 2.4. Mode of transmission and inheritance of sickle cell anemia and its traits 14 2.5. Epidemiology of sickle cell disease 15 2.5.1. Global prevalence of sickle cell disease 15 2.5.2. Status of sickle cell disease in Uganda 17 2.6. Pathophysiology of sickle cell disease 18 2.7. The management of sickle cell disease 23 2.7.1. Awareness about SCD and community education programmes 23 2.7.2. Screening the communities for sickle cell disease 25 2.7.2.1. Principles of screening 26 2.7.2.2. Screening models 26 2.7.2.3. Screening programmes 29 2.7.2.4 Screening for sickle cell disease 29 2.8. Sickle cell screening methods 30 2.9. Cost benefit analysis of screening for sickle cell disease 34 Chapter Three: Materials and Methods 36 3.1. Study design 36 3.2. Study sites 36 3.3. Study population selection 40 3.3.1. Knowledge gaps of the study populations about sickle cell disease 40 3.3.1.1. Household participants selection 40 3.3.1.2. Selection of health staff and secondary school students 42 3.3.2. Selection of the population for prevalence study 44 - iii - 3.3.3. Selection of the population for reliability study 45 3.3.4. Selection of study sites and sampling procedure for cost benefit analysis 46 3..4. Sample size determination 47 3.4.1. Sample size determination for knowledge gaps and attitudes 47 3.4.1.1. Sample size determination for household survey 47 3.4.1.2. Sample size determination for secondary schools and health centers 50 3.4.2 Sample size for prevalence studies 51 3.4.3 Sample size for reliability study 51 3.4.4. Sample size determination for cost benefit analysis study 52 3.5 Data collection procedure 53 3.5.1. Data collection for knowledge gaps and beliefs 53 3.5.1.1. Data collection from household participants 53 3.5.1.2. Data collection from health staff and secondary school students 54 3.5.2.. Data collection for sickle cell disease prevalence 55 3.5.3. Data collection for reliability study 57 3.5.3.1 Sickling screening test principle 57 3.5.3.2. Solubility screening test principle 57 3.5.3.3. Peripheral blood film screening method principle 58 3.5.3.4. Hb electrophoresis screening method principle 58 3.5.4 Data collection for determination of costs and benefits of different sickle cell screening methods 60 3.5.4.1. Training laboratory technicians 60 - iv - 3.5.4.2. Measure of technical feasibility 61 3.5.4.3. Cost benefits analysis of different sickle cell screening methods 61 3.6 Data analysis 63 3.6.1 Data analysis on knowledge gaps and beliefs on sickle cell disease 63 3.6.2. Data analysis on prevalence of sickle cell disease 63 3.6.3 Data analysis on reliability study 64 3.6.4. Data analysis on cost benefit analysis 66 3.6.5 Ethical issues 74 Chapter Four: Results 76 4.1 Socio-demographic characteristics 76 4.2 Knowledge gaps on sickle cell disease 76 4.2.1 Knowledge gaps of the communities about sickle cell disease 77 4.2.2 The beliefs of the respondents about sickle cell disease 81 4.2.3 Attitudes of the communities about sickle cell disease 82 4.2.4 Sources of information about health. 84 4.3 Prevalence of sickle cell disease 86 4.4 Comparative analysis of reliability of different screening methods 91 4.5 Determination of the cost effective methods for screening for SCD at health centers 96 4.5.1 Measure of technical feasibility 96 4.5.2 Cost benefit analysis of different screening tests for SCD 97 4,5.2.1 Comparative analysis of scenarios A1 and A2 (automated capillary Hb elctrophoresis) 98 4.5.2.2 Scenarios B1 versus B2 (Automated Hb electrophoresis and sickling) -v- 101 4.5.2.3 Automated Hb electrophoresis and solubility 104 4.5.2.4 Automated Hb electrophoresis and peripheral blood method. 107 4.5.2.5 Scenarios A1 and A2 (cellulose acetate Hb elctrophoresis. 110 4.5.2.6 Scenarios B1 versus B2 (Cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis and Sickling). 113 4.5.2.7 Scenarios B1 versus B2 (Cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis and solubility test 116 4.5.2.8 Scenarios B1 versus B2 (Cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis and peripheral blood film method). 119 4.5.2.9 Establishment of the screening services in Bundibugyo hospital using the automated and Cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis. 122 4.5.2.10 Establishment of the screening services in Bundibugyo hospital using the automated and Cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis and sickling test 124 4.5.2.11 Projection of the costs (USh) of the automated Hb electrophoresis screening service with time 126 4.5.2.12 Projection of the costs (USh) of cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis screening service with time. 129 4.5.2.13 Projection of the costs (USh) of sickling and automated Hb electrophoresis screening service with time. 132 4.5.2.14 Projection of the costs (USh) of solubility and automated Hb electrophoresis screening service with time. 4.5.2.15 Projection of the costs (USh) of peripheral blood film method and - vi - 135 automated Hb electrophoresis screening service with time. 138 4.5.2.16 Projection of the costs (USh) of sickling and cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis screening service with time. 141 4.5.2.17 Projection of the costs (USh) of solubility and cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis screening service with time. 144 4.5.2.18. Projection of the costs (USh) of peripheral and cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis screening service with time. 147 4.5.2.19. Projection of the costs (USh) of automated and cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis screening services with time in Bundibugyo hospital . 150 4.5.2.20. Projections of the costs (USh) of establishing automated and cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis screening services with time in Bundibugyo hospital 147 4.6 Methodological issues 4.6.1. Logistics 152 4.6.2. Knowledge, attitudes and beliefs of the communities in Eastern and Western Uganda about sickle cell disease and its detection (KAP 152 4.6.3. Current prevalence of sickle cell disease in Eastern, Mbarara/Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West. 152 3.6.3. Reliability study 153 3.6.4 Cost benefit analysis study 153 - vii - Chapter Five: Discussion . 154 5.1 Knowledge gaps attitudes and beliefs about SCD 154 5.2 Prevalence of sickle cell disease 157 5.3 Reliability of the different methods for sickle cell disease screening 160 5.4 Cost benefit analysis of sickle cell disease screening methods 161 Chapter Six: Conclusions and Recommendations 166 6.1: Conclusions 166 6.2 Recommendations 167 References 169 Appendices 194 Appendix (i) Questionnaire :Attitudes, beliefs and knowledge gaps of the rural and urban people about sickle cell disease (SCD) and its detection in the districts of Mbale and Sironko in Eastern Uganda and Ntungamo and Mbarara in the West 194 Appendix (ii) Questionnaire : Attitudes, beliefs and knowledge gaps of the health workers about sickle cell disease (SCD) and its detection in the districts of Mbale and Sironko in Eastern Uganda and Ntungamo and Mbarara in the West. 204 Appendix (iii) Consent form 206 Appendix (iv) Laboratory request form 210 Appendix (v) Sickling test protocol 211 - viii - Appendix (vi) Solubility test protocol 212 Appendix (vii) Peripheral blood film method protocol 213 Appendix (viii) Hb electrophoresis cellulose acetate method 215 Appendix (ix) Paper on knowledge gaps, attitudes and beliefs of the communities in Eastern and Western Uganda about SCD ( attached) Appendix (x) Paper on an up-date on the prevalence of SCD in Eastern and Western Uganda ( attached) Appendix (xi) Manuscript on the reliability of SCD screening methods accepted . for publication in Clinics in Mother and Child Health 2010. (attached) Appendix (xii) Paper on: A cost benefit analysis of sickle cell disease screening methods (attached) - ix - DECLARATION I hereby declare that this thesis is the result of my own work and due references are made where necessary to the work of other researchers and authors. I further declare that this thesis has not been accepted in substance for any former degree and is not currently been submitted in candidature for any degree other than mine. CANDIDATE OKWI ANDREW LIVEX, MSc., UNIVERSITY OF WALES, UK SIGNATURE…………………………………………………………………………. SUPERVISORS PROF. WILSON BYARUGABA; (MSc, PhD) …………………………..Date………………… PROF. CHRISTOPHER M NDUGWA (M.Med, DTM &H)………………………Date………... PROF. MICHAEL OCAIDO (MSC, PhD)…………………………………….Date……………... DR. ARTHUR PARKES (MSc, PhD)……………………………………Date…………………… - ix - DEDICATION I would like to dedicate this thesis to the following: my late mother and father Mrs Ajore Magdalena and Mr. Okwi Enos respectively, who nurtured me up to the time they parted from me. My daughter, Martha Alupo and all the children with sickle cell anemia whose condition inspired me to carry out this study. My wife Rose Okwi and all the rest of my children namely:- Clare Ajore, Emmanuel Okwi and Esther Mamu who stood by me throughout the difficult times especially when I was away in the University of Wales, in the field and during the writing of this thesis. -x- ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS First and foremost I would like to thank all my supervisors Professor Wilson Byarugaba , Professor Ndugwa Christopher Magala, Professor Ocaido Michael, Dr. Arthur Parkes for guiding me throughout this study and Professor Tumwine James K. for his mentorship. I would also like to thank the College of Health Sciences, Makerere University for the approval and the Innovations at Makerere University Committee (I@Mak.Com) for funding this study. My sincere gratitude goes to the National Council for Science and Technology (UNCST) for their approval. I thank the district leaders, the staff in charge of health centers and the mothers of the participant children for their cooperation. I also thank Mrs Nangosa Hamida Ngira. Mr. Ayika Ponsiano, Mr. Patrick Byanyima all of Mulago hospital, Dr. Othieno Emmanuel, Mr. Kiguba Ronald and Mr Ekwaru Amos for their assistance. - xi - List of Tables Table1 : The population distribution, counties, sub-counties, schools and health centers of the study districts. 39 Table 2: The sites surveyed for urban and rural populations in Eastern and Western Uganda. 42 Table 3: The sites identified for student and health staff populations in Eastern and Western Uganda. 44 Table 4: The Socio-Demographic Characteristics of all the respondents. 71 Table 5: Knowledge of respondents about SCD in Eastern and Western regions of Uganda 79 Table 6: Beliefs of the rural and urban household respondents with primary education about the causes of SCD in Eastern and Western Uganda. 80 Table 7: Beliefs of respondents about SCD in Eastern and Western Uganda 82 Table 8: Attitude of respondents about SCD in Eastern and Western Uganda. 84 Table 9: The main sources of information of the household and student respondents about health in Eastern and Western 85 Table 10: The main sources of information of the household and student respondents about health in Eastern and Western 86 Table 11: The statistical difference in the prevalence of AS and SS between the study districts. 88 Table 12 : The percentage prevalence of AS in the study districts of Uganda by the current and Lehman study. Table 13: Observed prevalence of AS and SS and expected prevalence - xii - 89 90 Table 14: The summary of the children detected with SS according to age. 92 Table 15: The summary of the haemoglobin AA, AS /SS detected by Hb electrophoresis (Gold standard) and demonstrated by the sickling and solubility tests and peripheral blood film method 93 Table 16: Reliability detectability of sickling and solubility tests and peripheral blood film method. 96 Table 17: The turn around time (TAT) in minutes of sickling, solubility and peripheral blood film methods 97 Table 18: The costs (Ug Shs) incurred in the first three months in scenario A1 and A2 in Mbale and Sironko in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West when using only automated capillary Hb electrophoresis. 100 Table 19: The costs (Ug Shs) incurred in the first three months in scenario B1 and B2 in Mbale and Sironko in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West when using automated capillary Hb electrophoresis and sickling test. 103 Table 20: The costs (Ug Shs) incurred in the first three months in scenario B1 and B2 in Mbale and Sironko in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West when using automated capillary Hb electrophoresis and solubility test. 106 Table 21 The costs (Ug Shs) incurred in the first three months in scenario B1 and B2 in Mbale and Sironko in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West when using automated capillary Hb electrophoresis and peripheral blood film method. - xiii - 109 Table 22: The costs (Ug Shs) incurred in the first three months in scenario A1 and A2 in Mbale and Sironko in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West when using only cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis. 112 Table 23: The costs (Ug Shs) incurred in the first three months in scenario B1 and B2 in Mbale and Sironko in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West when using cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis and sickling test. 115 Table 24: The costs (Ug Shs) incurred in the first three months in scenario B1 and B2 in Mbale and Sironko in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West when using cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis and solubility test. 118 Table 25 The costs (Ug Shs) incurred in the first three months in scenario B1 and B2 in Mbale and Sironko in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West when using cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis and peripheral test. 121 Table 26: The costs (Ug Shs) incurred in the first three months when automated and cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis methods are used in Bundibugyo hospital. 123 Table 27: The costs (Ug Shs) incurred in the first three months when automated and cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis methods are used with sickling test in Bundibugyo hospital. Table 28: The reflection of the accumulative costs (Ug Shs) with time in A1 - xiv - 125 and A2 using automated Hb electrophoresis screening method in Mbale and Sironko in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West. 128 Table 29 : The reflection of the accumulative costs (Ug Shs) with time in A1 and A2 using cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis screening method in Mbale and Sironko in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West. 131 Table 30: The reflection of the accumulative costs (Ug Shs) with time in B1 and B2 using automated Hb electrophoresis with sickling test in Mbale and Sironko in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West. 134 Table 31: The reflection of the accumulative costs (Ug Shs) with time in B1 and B2 using automated Hb electrophoresis with solubility test in Mbale and Sironko in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West. 137 Table 32: The reflection of the accumulative costs (Ug Shs) with time in B1 and B2 using automated Hb electrophoresis with peripheral blood film method in Mbale and Sironko in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West. 140 Table 33: The reflection of the accumulative costs (Ug Shs) with time in B1 and B2 using cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis with sickling test in Mbale and Sironko in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West. - xv - 143 Table 34: The reflection of the accumulative costs (Ug Shs) with time in B1 and B2 using cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis with solubility test in Mbale and Sironko in the east and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West. 146 Table 35: The reflection of the accumulative costs (Ug Shs) with time in B1 and B2 using cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis with peripheral blood film method in Mbale and Sironko in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West. 149 Table 36: Projection of the accumulative costs (Ug Shs) of automated and cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis screening services and sckling test with time in Bundibugyo hospital. - xvi - 151 List of Figures Figure 1: The schematic diagram of the beta gene clusters. 12 Figure 2. : Conceptual frame work for genetic screening and policy 28 Figure 3: The map of Uganda showing the location of the study districts 38 Figure 4 : Simple random sampling chart 41 Figure 5: Graph for sample size determination using the reliability coefficient. 52 Figure 6: The flow chart on data collection procedure for prevalence studies. 56 Figure 7: The flow chart of laboratory procedure 59 Figure 8: A Simple decision model for sickle cell disease screening suing scenarios A1 and A2. 70 Figure 9: A Simple decision model for sickle cell disease screening suing scenarios B1 and B2. 71 Figure 10: The flow chart for scenarios A1 and A2. 72 Figure 11: The flow chart for scenarios B1 and B2. 73 Figure 12: The percentage of haemoglobin A, AS and SS detected in the study population of Mbale and Sironko (East); Mbarara, Ntungamo and Budibugyo in the (West). 87 Figure 13: Photomicrograph of Hb electrophoresis from Mbale district 91 Figure 14: Photomicrograph of Hb electrophoresis from Ntungamo district 91 Figure 15: Photomicrograph of Hb electrophoresis from from Bumdibugyo district 91 Figure 16: Sickling method showing SS (photomicrograph taken after 30 minutes). 94 Figure 17: Solubility method showing Hb SS 94 Figure 18: The peripheral blood film method showing Hb SS. 95 - xvii - List of Abbreviations ADAMS 13 a distergrin-like and metalloproteases domain with thrombospondin type 13 mortifs. CAM Cellulose Acetate Membrane strip CBA Cost Benefit Analysis CI Confidence Interval DDHS Directors of District Health Services DEOS District Education Officers EDTA Ethylene Diamine Tetracetic Acid HCV Hepatitis C virus HHV8 Human Herpes Virus 8 HPFH Hereditary Persistence of Heamoglobin F HPLC High Performance Liquid Chromatography HU Hydroxyurea KAPs Knowledge gaps, Attitudes and Practices SMR Survival Mean Ratio SPSS Software Package for Social Science OPENEPI Open Source Epidemiologic Statistic Programme for Public Health PCR Polymerase Chain Reaction PBMC Peripheral Blood Mononuclear Cells SAO South East Asian Ovalocytosis SCA Sickle Cell Aneamia SCD Sickle Cell Disease - xviii - SCT Sickle Cell Trait TAT Turn Around Time TNFα Tumour Necrosis Factor alpha ULVWF von Willerbrand Factor Multimers WHO World Health Organization - xix - Definitions of Terms Screening: According to Concise Medical Dictionary, 2nd Edition, screening may simply be defined as the detection of persons in the population who probably have a specified disease from those who do not have it. Sensitivity: Is the ability of a test to correctly detect those who have a disease among persons with the disease. It means therefore that a test with high sensitivity will have few false negatives. Specificity: It is the ability of a test to correctly detect those who do not have a disease. among persons without the disease In other words it means that a test with high specificity will have few false positives. Predictive value: This measures whether an individual actually has a disease or not given the results of a screening test. So there is positive predictive value and negative predictive value. Positive predictive value: Is defined as a proportion of persons who actually have the disease (true positive) among all the positive results of the screening test. Negative predictive value: Is the proportion of individuals who actually do not have the disease (true negative) among all the negative results of the screening test. - xx - Confidence interval: Defines the variability of estimate say of a disease in certain samples. That is to say how likely the disease occurs in certain samples. It uses upper and lower limits . Confidence limits: This are upper and lower levels (ends) of confidence interval. Frequency: Is the measure of the occurrence of a disease in the population. Prevalence: This is the proportion of the population that are cases of a disease during a specific period of time. Incidence: This is a rate at which new cases of a disease occur in a population during specific period of time. Cross sectional study: This is a study in which a representative sample of study subjects from the population is obtained regardless of exposure or outcome status. Cost effectiveness analysis: Is the method applied to evaluate the economic outcomes or gains of interventions (test methods or treatments). It usually provides policy makers and health providers critical data needed for decision making or informed judgment about problem case management. Usually money is assigned to an increase in health benefits. Cost benefit analysis: Just like cost effective analysis, cost benefit analysis is the analysis of the costs and benefits of a new programme such as medical care programme. - xxi - It usually measures costs and benefits in monetary terms. However, it is usually difficult to assign monetary value to an improved health out come. Hereditary persistence of sickle cell heamoglobin: Is an inherited condition in which fetal heamoglobin levels persistently remain higher than 2% of the total heamoglobin. Sickle cell anemia: Is a group of inherited red blood cell disorders, or a collection of recessive genetic disorders characterised by a heamoglobin variant called heamoglobin S. Sickle cell anemia is at times used interchangeably with sickle cell disease. A sample: Is a special sub-set of a population observed for the purposes of making inferences about the nature of the total population itself. A sampling frame: Is actual or quasi-list of sampling units from which the sample or some stage of sampling is selected. The representativeness of the sample depends directly on the extent to which a sampling frame contains all the members of the total population which the sample is meant to represent. Haemoglobin: It is the normal colouring matter of the red blood cells of vertebrate animals. It has haematin and globulin and is at times known as haematoglobulin. In arterial blood it is combined with oxygen and is called oxyhaemoglobin. - xxii - However, in different animals, it crystallizes into different forms where it is called haemoctyocrystallin. Odds Ratio: Is the ratio of the chance or likely hood of the occurrence of the disease to the chance of it not occurring. - xxiii - ABSTRACT A cross sectional study was done to determine the feasibility of introducing sickle cell disease (SCD) screening services at health centers in the districts of Uganda. The knowledge gaps, attitudes and beliefs of the communities about SCD and its detection were determined. The prevalence of SCD among infants was established. The reliability and cost benefit analysis of solubility and sickling tests; and peripheral blood film method was done. Respondents from the East were more aware of SCD than those from the West (p <0.001). Less than 20% of the respondents knew their SCD status and (<14%) of the health staff knew how to screen it. The prevalence of sickle cell trait (AS) was higher in the East (17.5%) and Bundibugyo (13.4%) than in Mbarara and Ntungamo (3%) (p<0.001), The difference in the prevalence of homozygous genotype (SS) was statistically insignificant between Bundibugyo (3%) and the East (1.7%) (p>0.05). No SS was detected in Mbarara and Ntungamo. The sickling test had sensitivity and specificity (65%; 96.5%) and positive and negative predictive values (61.9%; 96.1%) respectively. The solubility test and peripheral blood film method had sensitivities of 45.0% and 35.0% respectively. Their positive and negative predictive values were (33.3%; 85.5%) and (53.9% ; 93.1%) respectively. Screening children at health centers using sickling test, then confirming positive samples - xxiv - at the regional hospital using cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis would be both sensitive and cheaper than confirming positives in Mulago National referral hospital. Detection of SCD children would be expensive for districts far from the regional hospitals. There is a need to sensitize the communities about SCD and screen children for SCD at district health centers using sickling test, then confirm positive cases at regional hospital (for near districts) or at district hospitals (for districts far from regional hospital) using cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis. - xxv - CHAPTER ONE INTRODUCTION 1.1. Background of the study Sickle cell disease (SCD) is a genetic blood disease which is due to the presence of an abnormal form of hemoglobin S which precipitates under low oxygen tension and results in the cell assuming the shape of a sickle. Sickle cell disease is at times used interchangeably with sickle cell aneamia (SCA) which is a recessive genetic disorder due to a point mutation in globin gene chain on chromosome 11 that leads to substitution of glutamic amino acid by valine amino acid at the sixth postion of the beta globin chain 1. Sckle cell anemia is associated with high morbidity and mortality among sickle cell suffers in developing countries2. The emergence of sickle cell hemoglobin S in some populations including those from Africa, India, the Mediterranean area and Saudi Arabia has been linked to the selective advantage which sickle cell carriers enjoy as they have some resistance to P. falciparum 3,4,5,6. The available data on the prevalence of sickle cell trait (SCT) and annually estimated number of SCA cases in Uganda is based on the past survey by Lehman and Rapper 7. The prevalence of SCT varied among Ugandan tribes, with the Karimojong, Bakiga, Banyakole and Bahima recording the lowest frequency of 1-5%, Baganda, Iteso, Acholi and Banyoro recording 16-20%, Basoga, Bagisu and Lugbara recording 20-28% and Bamba recording the highest frequency of 45% which is believed to be the highest in the whole world7. -1- In Uganda, sickle cell anemia remains the most frequent and traumatizing genetic disease which continues to devastate the families of sickle cell patients both mentally and economically. It is estimated that approximately 20% of the population in Uganda are carriers (AS) and 0.1% of children are born with sickle cell anemia each year. Therefore with the current population of about 30.000.000 8, approximately 30.000 children are born with SCA and 80%) of this children probably die before their 5th birth day9. This number probably contributes to16.2% of all children who die annually in Uganda.10. This may be because there are limited health care resources in the country and it makes early detection and management of SCD very difficult. Although developed countries such as USA and UK are today making successful attempts to cure sickle cell disease using bone marrow transplants11, such technologies are expensive for resource poor countries including Uganda. However, advances have been made by some developing countries such as Jamaica and Ghana to establish comprehensive cost effective SCD screening and intervention programmes for management of SCD among patients with improved survival 12,13. In Uganda sickle cell identification and management programmes are still limited to teaching University hospitals, Mulago national referral hospital and some private health institutions thus leaving the entire country without these services. It was therefore found imperative to explore the feasibility of establishing SCD screening services at health centers in the districts of Uganda in order to detect sickle cell disease among infants as early as possible so that they can benefit from medical interventions. . -2- 1.2. Problem statement of the study According to the available literature on SCD in Uganda, no population based studies have been carried out on knowledge gaps, attitudes and beliefs of the communities and health workers about SCD. Besides, the current prevalence of SCA and its variants in all districts of Uganda remains unknown. Availability and accessibility to diagnostic services for SCD in the rural settings is lacking. The reliability of sickle cell screening methods is not known and above all the most beneficial sickle cell screening method to be used at rural health centers in Uganda has not been determined. 1.3. Research questions of this study i. What are the knowledge gaps, attitudes and beliefs of the communities in the districts of Uganda about sickle cell disease? ii. What is the current prevalence of sickle cell disease in the districts of Uganda? iii. How reliable are the currently used methods (sickling and solubility tests and, peripheral film method) in the detection of sickle cell anemia? iv. What is the cost benefit of using the currently used methods (sickling and solubility tests and, peripheral film method) for the detection of sickle cell disease? -3- 1.4. Objectives 1.4.1 General objective of the study was:- To study the feasibility of establishing sickle cell disease screening services at district health centers in Uganda. 1.4.2 Specific objectives were:- i) To determine the knowledge gaps, attitudes and beliefs of the communities in some districts of Uganda about sickle cell disease and its detection. ii) To establish the current prevalence of sickle cell desease in five districts of Uganda. iii) To determine the sensitivity, specificity and predictive values of currently used sickle cell screening methods. iv) To carry out a cost benefit analysis on three existing sickle cell screening methods. 1.5. Justification of the study If SCD screening services are not established at health centers in the country, deaths among infants and pregnant mothers with sickle cell anemia will continue unabated despite the possibility of controlling the infant and maternal mortality. Hence it was found necessary to determine the knowledge gaps, attitudes and beliefs of the communities and health workers about SCD in some districts of Uganda, establish the -4- current prevalence of sickle cell anemia and its variants in five districts of Uganda, determine the reliability of the currently used SCD screening methods and carry out cost benefit analysis on these screening methods to determine the most beneficial method for detection of SCD at district health centres. These findings would be used as a basis for the proper planning and provision of sickle cell management programmes at district health centers IV in the country. -5- CHAPTER TWO LITERATURE REVIEW 2.1. Emergence of non-communicable diseases While infectious diseases are being put under control, more genetic diseases and diseases of life style are becoming more significant in the world, including the African setting. Such diseases include cardiovascular diseases, lung cancer, diabetes mellitus, hypertension and haemoglobinopathies such as sickle cell anemia (SCA) which is an important problem in Uganda. Early biomedical studies using different restriction endonucleases showed that the origin of the sickle cell gene was linked to certain haplotypes (chromosome loci) which were different from those bearing haemoglobin A14. From these studies the origin of sickle cell gene in Africa came to be associated with three haplotypes namely; Benin, Senegal and Bantu haplotypes, while the origin of sickle cell gene in Saudi Arabia and India came to be linked to Asian haploype. The Benin and Senegal haplotypes are the most common in West Africa while Bantu haplotype is the one which is probably most commonly seen today in East Africa14,15. All these areas in question were, and some are still, endemic for malaria which probably explains why factors such as malaria have been associated with the emergence of sickle cell haemoglobin S (HbS) in some populations including those from Africa, India, the -6- Mediterranean area and Saudi Arabia. The emergence of sickle anemia in malaria endemic areas has been linked to the selective advantage which sickle cell carriers enjoy as they have some resistance to P. falciparum 3,4,5,6. These carriers are therefore able to survive and perpetuate the sickle cell gene. Several mechanisms are believed to be playing the role in this persistence. It has been thought that accelerated acquisition of malaria specific immunity could be conferring the sickle cell traits with resistance to malaria. This is probably due to the ability of the ring forms of P.falciparum developing in infected red blood cell to stimulate the production and expression of hemichromes associated with enhanced oxidant membrane damage, which results into an aggregation of band 3 protein and binding of immunogloblin G (IgG) and complement C3c. This process culminates in enhanced phagocytosis and clearance of the sickled AS red blood cells infected with ring shape P.falciparum parasites16. Other studies from Gabon have also postulated that more increase in number of P.faciparum strains in Hb AS individuals could be exposing these persons to a plethora of P.falciparum antigens capable of inducing malaria specific immunity17. According to studies from Gambia, it was found that the expression of the variant surface antigen called P.falciparum erythrocyte membrane protein-1 on the surface of malaria infected red blood cell, caused the increased production of antibodies towards P.falciparum antigens leading to the destruction of the malaria infected red blood cell18. Other studies also noted that the production of peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC) against P.falciparum circulating soluble antigens in AS children was higher than in AA and SS children and were therefore protected against malaria 19. However, studies in Kenya, showed that the protective effect of AS against malaria among children was only very pronounced after -7- sixteen months of age probably because children below sixteen months were still enjoying maternal immunity before the development of their own protective immunity 20. Other protective mechanisms of AS individuals against malaria include defective invasion or growth of parasites in AS red blood cells which has been linked to acidity and increased sickling of the red blood cells and formation of the rigid fibres 21. The studies by Eugene22 have equally associated protection against malaria in sickle traits with a condition called glucose 6-phopshate dehydrogenase deficiency which inhibits the growth of P.Falciparum in the cells probably because of its inability to maintain glutathione in its reduced state and inability to generate ribose for purine nucleotide synthesis 22. Besides hemoglobin AS, protection against malaria has also been associated with conditions such as homozygous hemoglobin C, E, alpha thalassaemia trait and Southeast Asian Ovalocytosis (SAO)4. Although some of the studies have linked the emergence of sickle cell disease in other areas such as the USA, United Kingdom, Spain, France, Begium, Holland, German and Sicily to the slave trade, migration and travel 2,23,24, other studies have hypothesized that the sickle cell gene probably existed in some of these communities, e.g. Sicily, before the start of the slave trade, probably as a result of the selective pressure of malaria infection which was endemic to these regions at the time 25. Besides malaria, the high persistence of sickle cell anemia in certain communities in countries such as India, Saudi Arabia and, probably, the Bambas in Uganda among others has been linked to factors such as inbreeding (consanguinity)26,27. This is a phenomenon in which first cousins or closely related persons share a set of grandparents. It has been noted that the marriage between -8- the first cousins or closely related persons leads to the generation of autosomal recessive diseases such as sickle cell anemia. 2.2. Early history of sickle cell anemia The first documented data on sickle cell anemia was first published by Herrick in the United States in 1910 28. The first diagnosis of SCA was made from a dental student whose blood film was shown to contain irreversibly sickled red blood cells. Although sickle cell anemia is believed to have originated among the Venddoits in the Middle East, there are still conflicting reports on the origin of the disease in Africa. According to Desai and Hiren, it is believed that the first presentation of SCD was in 1670 in one of the Ghanian families in Africa15. While others believe that SCD was first reported from a Nigerian patient by Africanus Horton in 1874 29, some of the authors believe that sickle cell disease was first reported from a Sudanese patient by Achibald in 1925 30. Initially sickle cell anemia was believed to be familial until it was later found that sickle cell anemia was an autosomal recessive inheritable disease associated with the sickling of the red blood cell as a result of oxygen depletion31. The association between sickle cell anemia and abnormal haemoglobin was first noted 1945 in which abnormality was found within the haemoglobin molecule and sickle cell haemoglobin could be separated from the normal haemoglobin using gel electrophoresis. Later studies found that sickle cell anemia was due to substitution of glutamic amino acid by valine amino acid at the sixth position of the beta globin chain32,33,34.. -9- 2.3. The genetic characteristics of human haemoglobins 2.3.1. Genetics of normal human haemoglobins Early studies have shown that human haemoglobins are derived from zeta (ε), epsilon ( ζ ), alpha (α), beta (ß), delta (δ) and gamma (γ) chains 32,35. The gene cluster of alpha family chain is located on the short arm of chromosome 16, on the 25 kilo-base (kb) region and has 141 amino acids. The alpha globin locus contains four alpha globin genes which constitute for the synthesis of the alpha globin protein. The alpha gene cluster also has zeta gene which is only expressed during the early weeks of embryogenesis for the synthesis of zeta chains needed for production of embryonic haemoglobins called grower 1 and portland 2 but are later on replaced by the production of alpha genes. Grower 1 has two zeta and two epsilon chains (ε2 ζ2) while potland 2 has two zeta and two gamma chains (ε2 γ2). The gamma, beta and delta genes are located within the beta gene cluster located on the short arm of chromosome 11 on 60 kb region and has 146 amino acids32. Within the beta gene cluster there is epsilon gene which is synthesized only during embryogenesis for the production of grower 1 and 2 haemoglobins. Grower 2 has two alpha chains and two epsilon chains (α2 ζ2). The gamma gene is required mostly during foetal (HbF) hemoglobin formation after which its synthesis reduces while beta gene production rises and plays a major role together with alpha gene in the synthesis of adult hemoglobin (Hb - 10 - A). The schematic diagram of the globin gene clusters is shown in figure 1 adapted from http://sickle.bwh.havard.edu/haemoglobinopathy.html 36. The normal detectable haemolobins in an adult have been found to be hemoglobin A (HbA) and haemoglobin A2 (HbA2). The haemoglobin A has two α chains and two ß helix chains (α2ß2) while haemoglobin HbA2 has two α chains and two delta δ chains (α2δ2). - 11 - Figure I: The schematic diagram of the beta gene clusters. BETA GLOBIN GENE CLUSTER LOCATED ON CHROMOSOME 11 Epsilon Gamma G Delta Gl Val (Hbs) Beta A 6th 5/ 3/ Grower 1 & 2 Hb F Hb A2 Hb A ALPHA GLOBIN GENE CLUSTER LOCATED ON CHROMOSOME 16 Zeta 2 Zeta1 Alpha2 5/ Alpha 1 3/ Grower 1 and Potland 2 Hb A Epsilon, alpha, gamma and zeta genes play Delta, beta and alpha genes play an important a major role in the synthesis of role in the synthesis of adult haemoglobins. embryonic and fetal haemoglobins. - 12 - However, a small amount of foetal haemoglobin (HbF), which is in form of two α and two γ chains (α2γ2) and is a major haemoglobin seen in foetus, has been detected in an adult in less significant amounts (less than 1% to 2%). Levels higher than 2% of the total have been observed in certain conditions of sickle cell disease, beta thallaseamia and inherited condition known as hereditary persistence of foetal haemoglobin (HPFH) which is common among Kuwaitis 37. 2.3.2. Genetics of haemoglobin variants However, today many structural haemoglobin variants have been identified that are due to a point mutation in globin gene chain on chromosome 11 that leads to the generation of a single amino acid substitution in a globin chain. According to Clarke and Berlin, most of the substitutions have been seen to occur in ß globin chain, in which the evolvement of heamoglobin S has been based on the substitution of glutamic amino acid by valine amino acid in the 6th position of beta globin chain (β6 Glu → Val)33. The occurrence of haemoglobin C has been found to be due to substitution of glutamic amino acid by lysine amino acid in the 6th position of the beta globin chain (β6 Glu → Lys). Haemoglobin D Punjab and haemoglobin D Ibadan have been linked to the substitution of glutamic amino acid by glycerine amino acid in the 121st position of the beta globin chain (β121 Glu → Gly) and threonine amino acid by lysine amino acid in the 7th position of the beta globin chain (β7Thr → Lys) respectively. Other haemoglobin variants such as alpha and beta thallasemias have equally been associated with mutation in the alpha and beta globin - 13 - chain genes with loss of alpha and beta globin genes and abnormal production in alpha and beta chains respectively38. 2.4. Mode of transmission and inheritance of sickle cell anemia and its traits It is well documented that sickle cell anemia is an autosomal recessive inherited haemoglobinopathy which is due to acquisition of two abnormal genes, one from each parent. This disease is therefore transmitted from one generation to another. Sickle cell anemia evolves when a heterozygote (AS) (carrier) marries either a fellow carrier or a homozygote (SS) (sufferer). The marriage between carriers has been found to have 25% chance of having sickler, 25% normal and 50% carrier39. The marriage between heterozygote (AS) and homozygote (SS) has been shown to have 50% chance of having a sickler and 50% carrier. The marriage between normal (AA) and homozygote (SS) has been shown to have 100% chance of having carriers. There is 50% chance of having normal children and 50% carriers between the normal and the carrier marriage. The marriage between sicklers is very rare. If it occurs then it has 100% chance of having sicklers. Sickle cell heamoglobin has also been inherited in association with other heamoglobin variants such as Hb SC, Hb SD, Hb SE and Hb S alpha or beta thalassemia. These sickle cell traits occur when a gene for sickle cell haemoglobin is inherited from one parent and a gene for either haemoglobin A,C,D,E alpha or beta thalassemia is inherited from the other parent 40. Although many of the sub-types such as heterozygote haemoglobin HbSD and HbSE are of little clinical significance, a few important sub-types such Hb SC, HbS beta - 14 - thalassemia and HbS alpha thalassemia have been isolated that may present with clinical conditions similar to sickle cell disease40. Today sickle cell disease synonymously called sickle cell anemia is the commonest and most severe variant widely distributed throughout the world. 2.5. Epidemiology of sickle cell disease 2.5.1. Global prevalence of sickle cell disease The true global data on the incidence and prevalence of sickle cell disease is currently not available41. However, sickle cell disease is believed to be the most commonly inherited blood disorder on the globe affecting an estimated 100 million people word-wide and, in particular, the black races and persons of Mediterranean origin42. Approximately 5% of the world population is believed to be carrying the genes responsible for the different haemoglobinopathies and about 300,000 infants are born annually with major haemoglobin disorders including sickle cell disease43. In the United States of America (USA), sickle cell anemia has been found to be the most frequent autosomal recessive gene disorder affecting approximately 1:375 persons of African ancestry44, with a prevalence of 0.2%. Notably, sickle cell variants such as haemoglobin S alpha and beta thalassemia have been found to be highly prevalent in some of the Euopean countries such as Turkey, Italy and Greece45. - 15 - In India, the frequency of sickle cell gene has been found to be as high as 0.31 in some parts of the country. Studies in the Tuluka district of the Indian State of Maharashtra showed that out of 4116 persons screened for sickle cell anemia, 814 (19.8%) were carriers and 44 (1.07%) were sicklers46. Studies carried out among the Pradesh and Orissa tribes in India found the frequencies of sickle cell trait and sickle cell anemia to vary among these tribes respectively47 with some communities having haemoglobin variants SD and SE. The prevalence of sickle cell gene in the Arab countries of Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Iran has been found to be very low comparable to other haeamoglobinopathies such thalassemia and SE39. In Iran the prevalence of sickle cell trait has been estimated to be 1.43% while that of Hb SS is 0.1% 48. In some parts of the African continent, sickle cell anemia has been found to affect 1 in 60 newborn infants49, giving a prevalence of (2%), whilst the sickle cell trait ranges between 10% to 40% across wet equatorial Africa and decreases to less than 2% in the dry parts of Northern and Southern Africa. According to Diallo et al;(2002), the African continent has been regarded as the epicenter of sickle cell disease with an annual estimated number of 200,000 new born affected by sickle anemia50. This constitutes 66.6 % of the children born with the haemoglobin disorders in the whole world. Approximately 5% of these children are believed to die before they reach five years of age. However, according to Kwaku, it is believed that over 400,000 children are born with sickle cell disease per year in Africa and about 15,000 children are born with sickle cell disease in Ghana annually13. According to the Tropical Health and Education Trust Nigeria, it is estimated that 25,000 children are born with sickle cell anemia every year in Nigeria and over 80% of these - 16 - children die before they celebrate their fifth birth day51. However, today it is actually believed that about 150,000 children are born with sickle cell disease every year in Nigeria 52. Haemoglobins such as heamoglobin C have equally been found to be prevalent in West Africa and among persons with heritage from West Africa. Whilst the prevalence of haemoglobin C and other variants are believed to be very low in East Africa except in migrants from areas where these variants do occur7, it may be possible that the prevailence of these variants could now be increasing due to travel and intermarriage. 2.5.2. Status of sickle cell disease in Uganda Sickle cell anemia was first described in Uganda in 1945 by Trowel 53. The studies undertaken in the late 1940s indicated that the prevalence of sickle cell trait varied among Ugandan tribes, ranging from 1-5% among Karimojong, Bakiga, Banyankole and Bahima, 16-20% among Baganda, Iteso, Acholi and Banyoro, 20-28% among Basoga, Bagisu and Lugbara and 45% among Baamba which is believed to be the highest in the whole world7. Of the 900,000 thousand children born annually in Uganda8 approximately 2.8% have sickle cell aneamia and a staggering 20,000 (70-80%) of sickle cell anemia patients possibly die before their 5th birth day98. This number constitutes 16.3% of all children (123,000) who die annually in Uganda 10. However, the available data on the prevalence of sickle cell trait and the estimated annual number of sickle cell anemia cases in Uganda is based on the past survey by Lehman and Raper7, and reports by Serjeant and Ndugwa 9 respectively. - 17 - 2.6. Pathophysiology of sickle cell disease The clinical symptoms of sickle cell anemia originate from the unique properties of sickle cell haemoglobin and from haemolytic anemia. The sickling process at times known as polymerization is due to exhibition of low oxygen tension by the red blood cells. This is believed to be due to the loss of the negative charge during the substitution glutamic acid by valine leading to inability of the red blood cell to bind ferric iron. This results into the insolubilization of the haemoglobin in reduced or deoxygenated state 54.. This phenomenon causes deoxygenated haemoglobin molecules to rigidify into rods called polymers which culminate into the distortion of the shape of the red blood cell which assumes a sickle or cresent shape 55. This process is possibly due to increased binding of calpromotin to the red blood cells membranes56. Other factors such as haemoglobin concentration and acidity have been linked to sickling. Increased acidity has been shown to stimulate the release of potassium ions from the cell resulting into increased concentration of calcium ions in the cell. The loss of potassium ions therefore affects the normal function of the cell membrane pump resulting into the failure of the Gardos channels to close leading to excess release of water from the cell. This process finally causes dehydration which increases the density of the haemoglobin S within the cell, thereby accelerating the sickling process leading to excessive disruption of red blood cells which is characteristic of anemia in sickle cell patients57. Some molecular studies have showed that dehydration is probably due to over expression of phosphotidylserine on the surface of dense and older sickle cells 58. It may therefore be hypothesized that sickling process involves apoptosis since phosphotidylserine is usually expressed by cells - 18 - that are undergoing shrinkage during early apoptosis59. However, further studies need to be done to elucidate these molecular processes. Some of the clinical symptoms include the painful crisis due to vaso-occlusion or blockage of the micro-vascular vessels by sickled cells. This is thought to be due to high affinity interaction of rigid polymers with vascular endothelium membrane and leucocytes through adhension process involving the sub-endothelial extracellular matrix molecules such as intergrins60. These processes culminate into vaso-occlusion and painful crisis among sickle cell patients 61,62,63. It has also become evident that adhension between sickle red blood cells and activated endothelium further enhances vascocclusion process by prolonging their transit time leading to further polymerization. Many other adhension molecules and their receptors have been implicated in sickle cell adhesion. One mechanism is linked to von Willerbrand factor ULVWF multimers of 20,000 kDa or bigger which are normally released at the site of blood vessel injury from activated endothelial cells known as Weilbel Palade bodies and act as binding sites for platelets. The release of von Willerbrand factor is believed to be due to increase of cytosolic calcium ions and increase of permeability as a result of the activation of endothelial protease receptor 2 (PAR2) probably by mast cell trypsin64. Normally (ULVWF) are cleaved into smaller particles by plasma proteases such as metallo-protease ADAMSTS 13 “a distergrin–like and metalloprotease domain with thrombospondin type 13 motifs. However, the deficiency of these proteases has been associated with the persistence of ULVWF multimers in sickle cell - 19 - disease which have been found to act as receptors for adhesion of young sickle red blood cells to the endothelium thus precipitating vasocclussion process 65. However, the high levels of haemoglobin F among persons with sickle cell disease has been found to ameliorate this condition37. A vasocclusion crisis due to polymerization of HbS has been shown to be inhibited by the high binding oxygen capacity of HbF. For example, increased synthesis of HbF in sickle cell patients following treatment with hydroxyurea (HU) was linked to decreased morbidity due to vaso-occlusion conditions among these patients66,67. The molecular mechanism of hyroxyurea is still unclear, however, according to Orringer and DePass, the role of hyroxyurea in reducing morbidity due to vasocclusion is believed to be due to its ability to increase the water content of red blood cells and decrease the adhesion of sickled red blood cells to the endothelium 68,69. Other researchers have linked heamoglobin F production during hyadroxyurea treatment to the transcription of genes within the X-linked F-cell production locus which has been found to account for 40% of Hb F production in certain persons with Hb SS 70. The vasoclusion inhibitory effect of HbF has further been supported by findings showing that Kuwaitis have mild sickle cell anemia because they have a hereditary persistent of HbF37. Whether increased synthesis of HbF has a role to play in amelioration of vasoclusion in other sickle cell variants remains to be elucidated. Other complications in children with sickle cell disease include stroke, in which increased levels of prothrombin and decreased levels of anti-coagulators or coagulation - 20 - inhibitors namely protein S and heparin factor II, has been found to be associated with cerebrovascular disease 71. In some of the studies, it is believed that patients with sickle cell disease are predisposed to inflammation and tissue damage probably due to protein 91 (p91 phox) gene expression and glycoprotein 47 (gp47 phox) phosphorylation which results in the release of the cytokine interferon gamma (INFγ) from the monocytes culminating in increased inflammatory activity of these cells72. Other complications, such as pulmonary hypertension arising from the inhibition of nitric oxide activity, has been linked to sickle cell disease. This condition has been found to be prevalent in sub-saharan Africa especially Nigeria41. However, published data on the incidence and prevalence of pulmonary hypertension in association with sickle cell disease in Uganda remains scanty. Association between SCD and viral, bacterial and parasitic infections have been documented. Although, according to the studies in Uganda, higher levels of HHV-8 were detectable in transfused than non-transfused sickle cell patients 73, the role of HHV–8 in the pathophysiology of sickle cell disease remains to be elucidated. Sickle cell patients have also been found to be at a risk for acquiring hepatitis C Virus (HCV) infection through transfusion of blood74 in which combination between HCV and iron over load has been linked to progressive liver disease characterized by haemolysis75. The most notable bacterial infection in sickle cell patients has been found to be pneumonia caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae and is responsible for high mortality among infants probably due to low immunity76. However, use of prophylactic penicillin has been found to be beneficial in the amelioration of this condition 77. The most common - 21 - parasitic infection among sickle cell patients has been found to be P.falciparum malaria and is responsible for severe anemia and thus high morbidity and mortality in sickle cell patients from developing countries78. The studies in Kenya indicated that P.falciparum was a cause of severe anemia among children reporting to health centers with sickle cell anemia and was responsible for high morbidity and mortality 79,80. Similar studies on SCD mothers have been reported in Western Tanzania81. Anemia manifests from infancy and is usually associated with high fatality before 30 years. Hb levels are between 5 and 11.5 g/dL whilst in clinical conditions with increased haemolysis, the Hb levels can fall to 5g/dL in which sicklers have characteristic jaundice. Anemia may also occur in sicklers due to mechanical break down of the red blood cells in circulation and from bone marrow failure from primary hyperactivity (hyperplasia) in response to chronic anemia and infection. Haemolytic anemia is occasionally linked to dactylitis of the hands and feet in childhood 82 Weight loss is also common in patients with SCD. This has been linked to a number of factors including the over expression of TNF-α in sickle cell patients with infections compared to normal individuals83. The molecular mechanism for this occurrence remains to be elucidated. Loss in body weight in sickle cell patients has also been linked to increased calorific value and protein intake with deficient intake of zinc, folic acid and vitamin A, C and E probably due to socio-economic variations84,85. Another condition which has been linked to sickle cell disease is called priapism, and has been found to affect about 30-45% of male patients suffering from SCD86. It is worth - 22 - mentioning here that, although sickle cell trait state rarely causes any major complications, it has been associated with fatality from hypoxia, severe axertion and abnormal renal function leading to rhabdomyolysis87. Laboratory haematological indicators include low Hb, marked poikilocytosis, macrocytosis due to folate deficiency or microcytosis due to beta-thallasemia variants, polychromasia due to reticulocytosis with heavy blue stippling in the background of thick films, leucoytosis due to bacterial infection and thrombocytosis following infarctive crisis and neutophilia often with a left shift 88. Therefore sickle cell disease covers a larger group of pathological conditions which require proper management. 2.7. Management of sickle cell disease 2.7.1. Awareness about sickle cell disease and community education prorammes The management of SCD has remained a matter of concern in both developed and developing countries, A greater awareness and understanding of the communities and health care personnel about SCD and its detection has been found to be beneficial in the management of the disease 89,90. Such models include:- (a) continued community education especially for areas with high prevalence of the disease (b) use of prophylactic drugs namely chloroquine and penicillin (c) ongoing basic and clinical research (d) provision of primary health care (access of sickle cell children to health centers) and (e) improved standard of living and better feeding for patients with SCD. Today, developed countries such as USA and Britain have successfully reduced morbidity and mortality due - 23 - to SCD with life expectancy now standing at 50 years 44. In developing countries such as Jamaica, children with sickle cell disease have survival rate of 85% for SS compared to 95% with heamoglobin AS/SC and 99% with normal hemoglobin AA91 and they have median survival at 53 years for men and 59 years for women 92. Some of the studies have found that increased understanding within communities about sickle cell disease and the continuous assessment of parental beliefs about SCD was necessary for the management of this disease at home through the programmes targeting the prevention of malarial and pneumoccocal infections 93. It has also been noted that improvement in scientific understanding of SCD within the caretakers leads to improvement of the conditions and increase in life expectancy in sickle cell patients 42. Understanding of the risk factors and benefits of screening has been found to play a vital role for the surveillance, prevention and /or management of sickle cell disease 94. Indeed some of the studies found that, in communities where parents had a high level of awareness about SCD, they were more willing to take their children for screening 95. Notably intensive and wide spread education programmes in areas where βthallasemia was more prevalent was associated with the reduction of the prevalence of βthallasemia in these communities89. However, limited community education programmes and knowledge about haemoglobinopathies among parents has been associated with late diagnosis of these diseases and subsequent poor management 96. - 24 - Lack of familiarity with SCD among the health professionals in areas with low prevalence of SCD, was associated with low awareness about the disease and lack of skills on screening tests97,98. In some studies, it was found that although most of the respondents, including health workers, were more knowledgeable about the genetic basis of sickle cell anemia and its pathophysiology, they were not aware of their own sickle cell status90. However, according to the available literature on SCD in Uganda, no population based studies have been carried out on knowledge gaps, attitudes and beliefs of the communities and health workers about SCD and its detection. 2.7.2. Screening Screening is a medical procedure used to detect or predict the presence of disease in individuals at risk for disease within a population, family, or workforce 99.Screening may be performed to monitor disease prevalence, manage epidemiology, aid in prevention, or strictly for statistical purposes 100. Normally screening is done to identify the disease as early as possible so that the affected persons benefit from early medical interventions. Today screening is widely used in early identification of several conditions such as precancerous lesions in cervical cancer using Pap smear, breast cancer using mammography and colonoscopy for early detection of colorectal cancer and early detection of heamoglobinopathies such as sickle cell disease to mention but a few. - 25 - 2.7.2.1 Principles of screening According to World Health Organisation guide lines 101, several factors have been found to be prerequisites or determinants of any screening programme. They include the following: The magnitude of the disease or condition on the ground should be known and the disease should be in its latent stage, the natural history of the disease should be adequately understood, the diagnostic and treatment facilities should be available, the screening cost of finding a case should be economically balanced in relation to medical expenditure as a whole, the screening test must be reliable and acceptable by the population, there should be an agreed policy on who to treat and screening programme must be a continuous process in other words it must be sustainable. 2.7.2.2. Screening models Today there are conceptual framework models which have been developed for genetic screening and policy making. These include a model shown in figure 2 adopted after Anne Andermann102. This frame work describes the broad and complex arena within which genetic screening policy-making is carreid out. Population-based genetic screening interventions have been shown to interface between the spheres of genetics and public health, each with their own patterns, frames of reference, and approaches to improving health. The area of genetics has been found to be centered on individual patient and family at risk as opposed to public health which is also concerned with improving the overall health outcome of the general community. So their should be a balance between these factors before any policy can be formulated and approved. It has been noted that - 26 - genetic screening policy-making be may be influenced by pressures both nationally and internationally. For instance, the introduction of a new technology in a state or country has been found to exert pressure on other authorities to agree even if there are many other complex issues to be considered before making such a decision. For example, it has been found that before any screening is done, there is a need to know whether such a screening programme will reduce suffering, provide hope, promote research, and stimulate industry. Besides, there is a need to determine the cost benefit and risks associated with such a programme. It has equally been found imperative to find out whether a screening programme respects human rights. It is believed that before any decision to screen is carried out, a concept must be developed first, followed by piloting, implementing, evaluating and sustaining the programme. - 27 - Figure 2: Conceptual frame work for genetic screening and Policy-making (adopted after Anne Andermann 2010) KEY STAKEHOLDERS Society Medicine Patient support Patients and Groups families Community groups General public Government Health sector Health profess- Pharmaceuticals Other sector ionals Researchers Biomedical VALUES, EXPECTATIONS, PREFERENCES, CONCERNS Pressure in favour of screening - reduce suffering - provide hope - promote research - stimulate industry Assessment process - meet criteria ? - evidence based ? - values up-held ? - feasible? - worth developing? Industry Biotechnology Ethical Legal Autonomy Privacy Justice Laws Jurisprudence Declaration Social Other Individuals Families Communities Psychological Economic Political Genetic screening programme 1. DECISION TO DEVELOPMENT 1.Pilot and Development 2. Programme implementation 3. Evaluation of performance 3. DECISION TO CONTINUE Screening \criteria and principles - improve health - cost effective - benefits and risks - respect human rights 2.7.2.3 Screening programmes - 28 - 2. DECISION TO IMPLEMENT Different types of screening programmes or approaches have been adopted for specific situations. Targeted screening is used to identify or detect disease among individuals in a population with very low prevalence of the disease, while universal screening is applied when the prevalence of the disease is very high. These programmes have been widely used in developed countries such as USA and UK 92. Screening has been found to have both advantages and disadvantages. Screening has the advantage that it allows early detection of a medical condition before symptoms advance and paves away for early treatment with good prognosis than when the disease is detected later. Usually this type of intervention is associated with improved survival outcome. Screening has been associated with several disadvantages. In a number of cases the results generated by the screening test may turn out to be false positive. False positives have been linked to stigmatization, stress and anxiety, unnecessary treatment intervention and waste of resources, while false negative results have been found to lead to repeats, waste of resources and delays in interventions with poor outcomes. There are two types of stage screening namely one in which a test of high sensitivity is used in the first stage and a test of high specifity in the second stage. This is usually done in order to get a test which is both highly sensitive and specific. - 29 - 2.7.2.4 Screening for sickle cell disease Screening the communities for haemoglobinopathies including SCD has been found to be vital for the management and control of these conditions. Sickle cell screening is used to identify children with sickle cell anemia and sickle cell trait. Identification of affected infants and carriers by screening provides opportunities for educational and medical interventions that significantly reduce morbidity and mortality during childhood and adolescence103. In some of the developed countries such as Belgium, Brazil and USA, screening of all newborns for sickle cell anemia regardless of ethnic race has been made mandatory103. In developing countries namely Jamaica and Ghana programmes for screening of SCA have been introduced in the rural communities with considerable success12,13. The success in these screening programmes was attributed to the introduction of the most comprehensive sickle cell screening programmes.104 . In Uganda sickle cell screening is limited to Mulago National referral hospital, some teaching hospitals and private health institutions thus leaving the entire country without these services.. 2.7.2.4.1 Sickle cell disease screening methods Several methods of varying cost, accuracy, efficacy and ease of applicability are today available for sickle cell screening105,106. In developed and highly resourced countries such as USA, UK, Italy, Canada and France, more advanced methods such as high performance liquid chromatography (HPLC) and iso-electric focusing (IEF) are the principle tools for neonatal screening for sickle cell disease 107,108 - 30 - More detailed analysis of the genetic basis of the disease can also be obtained using polymerase chain reaction (PCR) which detects mutations in a beta globin chain associated with sickle cell anemia. Polymerase chain reaction (PCR) is particularly useful for both pre-natal and neonatal diagnosis of haemoglobinopathies, including sickle cell disease109. The principle of PCR is based on the use of bi-directional allele specific PCR amplifications protocol which amplifies a 517 bp fragment from the normal β-globin gene (wild-type primer set) and a 267 bp fragment from homozygous mutant DNA (Hb S/S) conferring sickle cell anemia (mutant primer set) .The bands (amplicons) formed are then compared with the known bands characteristic of Hb A, Hb S/S or Hb A/S. Although the PCR method is used for prenatal diagnosis in developed countries109, its application in the developing countries is not possible because it is not cost effective 110. Therefore the use of these methods in developing countries including Uganda remains elusive because of high costs. Methods using monoclonal antibodies for sickle cell screening are also available111. The HemoCard monoclonal antibodies have been designed to differentiate between heamoglobin variants which cannot be differentiated by Hb electrophoresis because they have similar charges and therefore have similar electrophoretic migration patterns. Although results of some of the studies have found monoclonal antibodies reliable for sickle cell screening112, other studies have found them unsuitable for sickle cell screening because they are unreliable and production costs are high54. Besides, samples with very low and very high haemoglobin levels have been found to give erroneous results and samples containing heamoglobin S and E have been found to give false positive results - 31 - for haemoglobin A54. These monoclonal antibodies have also been associated with cross reactivity with haemoglobin A113. Their use for sickle cell screening is yet to be clinically accepted. Hb electrophoresis method has been found to be reliable for routine sickle cell screening. Today, it is extensively used in Jamaica, Ghana and Brazil as a sickle cell screening procedure 12,13,114. The principle of this method is based on the fact that proteins carry positive and negative charges determined by their charged amino acid structure and the balance of these positive and negative charges will give the whole molecule either a positive or negative charge. When an electric field is applied to a solution containing these protein molecules, positively charged proteins will move to the cathode and negatively charged proteins will migrate to the anode. Depending on their charges, size and shape, different haemoglobins will separate and migrate at different rates. They can then be visualized by staining and the bands compared with the known controls54. However, its use in most of the resource constrained countries, including Uganda, is limited due to the high running costs of this procedure13. In Uganda, the availability of Hb electrophoresis equipment is limited to some of the teaching hospitals, the national referral hospitals such as Mulago and some private health institutions. There are other more affordable methods of varying reliability, ease of applicability and cost available for early screening for SCD in low income countries; these include the sickling and solubility tests and the peripheral blood film methods115,116. The solubility - 32 - test is based on the formation of turbidity whilst the sickling test and peripheral blood film methods are based on the formation and detection of sickle cell shapes. Notably all screening tests have been found to give at least incorrect results, with resultant stigmatization, stress and/or anxiety. It has therefore been noted that before any screening programme is implemented there is a need to carry out statistical analysis to ensure that it is associated with minimal risks and high outputs. Randomized studies have been used to evaluate a screening test to find out whether it will be associated with minimal risks and improved out comes 117. This usually involves comparing statistics of mortality due to a disease in a screened and unscreened population. Most of the screening tests have been found to be associated with lead time bias, length time bias, selection bias, over diagnosis bias and avoidance bias. In lead time bias, the survival time since diagnosis has been found to be longer although the life span may be shorter. In length time bias, the screening test may detect a condition which probably would not have killed the patient or even been detected before death from other causal factors. In selection bias, certain factors have been found to influence the decision of an individual to undertake screening. The decision to screen persons at a higher risk of a disease has been seen to favour only persons who have family history of that condition since they will be the only ones who will go for screening. So in this way, the reliability/validity of a screening test will be influenced as the test may turn out to be more reliable than it really is. Notably, some tests have been found to detect abnormal cases that are sometimes not necessarily harmful leading to over-diagnosis bias, while using a large - 33 - study sample which may take a long time and is costly has been linked to avoidance of bias. However, studies on cost benefit analysis are necessary to determine which of these methods is most appropriate for sickle cell screening in low income countries such as Uganda. 2.7.2.5 Cost benefit analysis of screening for sickle cell disease Many developing countries including Uganda, find it difficult to fund all the health programmes because of limited resources118. It is therefore imperative that resources should be allocated in the most efficient and beneficial manner. Cost benefit analysis is performed to determine the programmes or options which offer the greatest benefits at minimum cost and provides decision makers with information on which programme to recommend119. Just like preventive services, establishment of cost effective sickle cell screening and intervention programmes has been found to be beneficial in the reduction of morbidity and mortality among children with sickle cell disease with improved survival out come120,,121,122. The cost benefit of any screening programme is influenced by several factors which include the risk or prevalence of the disease in the population, reliability and ease of applicability of the screening method (s) adopted, the cost of these screening services and their acceptability to the community123. For example, some studies found that the cost - 34 - benefit of the screening intervention decreased as the prevalence decreased, notably because high costs would be incurred on detecting one person in the population with the disease120. Similarly, the cost benefit of the screening programme decreased as the reliability of the screening tool decreased 124,125 In health care, cost benefit analysis is used to evaluate the costs of an intervention and to determine those interventions which are associated with the highest survival outcomes 125 In some of the developed countries such as USA, Belgium, France and UK and Belgium, cost effective screening tools are today available for mandatory screening of all newborns for sickle cell disease regardless of ethnic race92,24,124 125.126 Although most of the governments in the developing countries, including Uganda, are finding it difficult to fund all the medical pogrammes because of scarce resources, some of the developing countries including Jamaica and Ghana have made remarkable effort to introduce cost effective sickle cell screening programmes with considerable success using affordable methods 12,13. In Kenya, studies on cost benefit analysis recommended the peripheral blood film method for screening SCD at district health centers116. In Malawi, the most cost effective methods such as HemoCue AB-haemoglobin photometer has been recommended to be used for haemoglobin estimation at district hospitals and health centers 127. While the countries mentioned above have carried out cost benefit analysis on sickle cell screening tests/methods, no such studies have been done in Uganda. - 35 - CHAPTER THREE MATERIALS AND METHODS 3.1. Study design Four varieties of study designs were used in this work as follows:- A descriptive cross sectional study was carried out to determine the knowledge gaps, attitudes and practices of the communities about sickle cell anemia and its detection. A cross sectional survey was used to determine the prevalence of sickle cell anemia and its variants in five selected districts of Uganda.. A descriptive laboratory based study was used to determine the sensitivity, specificity and reliability of the current sickle cell screening methods. Calculation of costs, hypothetical scenarios and assumptions were used for cost benefit analysis on the existing sickle cell screening methods. Study sites The districts of Sironko and Mbale in the East, Mbarara, Ntungamo in the West were conveniently selected because these were the districts that had been involved in Innovations at Makerere University Committee (I@Mak.Com) project. However, the district of Bundibygyo in the West was purposively identified as one of the study sites because of its uniqueness in that a prevalence of 45% of SCT had been reported as the highest in the whole world according to Lehman and Raper study 7. - 36 - The locations of the districts are shown in Figire 3 (Map of Uganda adopted from Monitor News Paper)128. According to Uganda District Information Hand Book130 Sironko district boarders Kapchorwa in the East, Kumi in the West, Nakapiripirit in the North and Mbale in the South. The district of Mbale boarders Sironko in the North, Tororo in the South-West, Kumi in the North-West, Pallisa in the West and Republic of Kenya in the East. Mbarara district boarders Rakai in the East, Bushenyi in the West, Masaka in the NorthEast, Kabarole in the North, Ntungamo and the Republic of Tanzania in the South. Ntungamo district boarders Mbarara in the East, Bushenyi in the North, Rukungiri in the North-East, Kabale and Rwanda in the South. The district of Bundibugyo boarders Kabarole district in the East, Kasese in the South, Lake Albert in the North and Democratic Republic of Congo in the West. It is in the extreme Western part of the former District of Toro.Figure 3 shows the location of the study districts 129. - 37 - Figure 3: The map showing the location of the study districts 128. N W E S Ntungamo Mbarara Mbale Sironko Bundibugyo The population distribution of the study districts and the number of counties, subcounties, schools and health centers in each district are as shown in Table 1. - 38 - Table 1: The population distribution, counties, sub-counties, schools and health centers of the study districts. Sironko Mbale Mbarara Ntungamo Bundibugyo Rural 280,671 650,488 996,636 373,474 198,732 Urban 11,235 70,437 92,115 13,342 14,161 Total 291,906 720,925 1,089,051 386,816 212,884 Females 146,488 368,856 552,046 200,469 109,732 Males 146,418 357,069 537,005 186,347 103,732 No counties 2 4 8 4 3 No subcounties HC III 19 13 46 15 8 19 9 38 6 2 HCIV 3 4 6 3 1 Hospitals 0 2 2 1 1 Secondary schools 26 64 102 27 11 - 39 - 3.3. Study population selection From the general populations of the districts, sub-set of the populations were selected to suit the study objectives as follows: 3.3.1. Knowledge gaps, attitude and beliefs of the study populations about sickle cell disease 3.3.1.1. Household participantants selection The stratified random sampling chart for knowledge gap study is as shown in Figure 4. Adult participants between 18-60 years were identified from counties, sub-counties, parishes and villages for knowledge gap population (KAP) studies because it was hoped that all participants in this age bracket would be able to personally consent and were physically fit to participate in the KAP interview. Both rural and urban females and males were selected. The parents or caretaker were identified only from households which had children to avoid bias. One county was selected from each district using random sampling procedure. The names of the counties were written in small pieces of paper and then folded and put in a basket. They were mixed and one was independently picked. Using the same sampling procedure, one sub-county, two parishes and four villages were selected. - 40 - Fig 4: Simple stratified random sampling chart DISTRICT COUNTY SUB-COUNTY PARISH PARISH village village village village village village village The sites surveyed for urban and rural populations are as shown in Table 2. In Sironko district, Budadiri County, Busulani Sub-county, Bugumunye and Nakiwodwe parishes were identified within the rural community. The urban community was sampled in Sironko Town Council. In Mbale district, Bungonko county, Busiu sub-county and Bumasikye and Bunabutye parishes were identified in the rural community. The urban population was interviewed from Mbale Municipality. In Mbarara district, the rural community was interviewed from Ibanda county, Nyabuhikye sub-county and Ruhoko and Bufunda parishes, while the urban community - 41 - village was interviewed from Mbarara Municipality. In Ntungamo district, the rural community was sampled from Rushenyi county, Rubaare sub-county, Itojo and Omugyenyi parishes. The urban community was interviewed from Ntungamo Town Council. Table 2. The sites surveyed for urban and rural populations in Eastern and Western Uganda District County Sub-county Rural Communities (parishes) Urban communities Sironko Budadiri Busulani Bugimunye and Nakiwodwe Sironko Town Council Mbale Bungonko Busiu Bumesikye and Bunabutye Mbale Municipality Mbarara Ibanda Ibanda Ruhoko and Bufunda Mbarara Municipality Ntungamo Rushenyi Rubaare Mutojo and Omugyenyi Ntungamo Town Council 3.3.1.2.Selection of health staff and secondary school students The summary of the sites identified for student and health staff populations in Eastern and Western Uganda is as shown in Table 3. Nurses, clinical officers and laboratory staff from district health centers IV were recruited from health centers IV for KAP studies, while students were identified from both government and private secondary schools. The health centers where training of laboratory personnel was to be done were not included in - 42 - KAP interviews to avoid bias. All participants were above 18 years and none was mentally ill. Because of limited logistics, only four schools were randomly picked from each region to generate enough data since a single school had sufficient number of senior five and six students for the study. Most of these students were eligible to participate in the interview since most of them were above 18 years. They were selected from cardinal directions in order to have a proper representation of the district. Using the same procedure, four health centers IV were also selected from each region. The names of the health centers and rural and urban secondary schools in each district were obtained from Directors of District Health Services (DDHS) and District Education Officers (DEOs) and written on small pieces of paper. They were folded and put in separate containers and lottery-picked to get two health centers and one rural and one urban school. This gave a total of four health centers and four schools in each region. In Sironko district, Highway Secondary School was identified within the rural setting and Sironko Secondary School was identified within the urban population. Buwasa and Muyembe health centers IV were selected. In Mbale district, Semei Kakungulu rural and Mbale Progressive urban schools were identified together with health centers IV of Bubulo and Kolonyi respectively. In the district of Mbarara, the urban secondary school students were interviewed from St Joseph Secondary School and Mary Hill Girls School while rural secondary school students were interviewed from Nyakayonjo Secondary School respectively. The health centers IV of Kinoni and Bwizibwera were identified. In the district of Ntungamo, the - 43 - urban students were sampled from Hillside Academy while the rural secondary school students were interviewed from Ntungamo Trust High School. The health staff were interviewed from Rwashamire and Ruhama health centers IV. Table 3. The sites identified for student and health staff populations in Eastern and Western Uganda District Rural schools Urban schools Health centers Sironko Highway Secondary School Sironko Parents Secondary Buwasa and Muyembe HCenters IV Mbale Semei Kakungulu High School Mbale Progressive School Bubulo and Kolonyi HCenters IV Mbarara Nyakayonjo S.S St. Joseph S.S (boys) and Mary Hill Girls School. Kinoni and Bwizibwera HCenters IV Ntungamo Ntungamo Trust High Secondary School Hillside Academy Rwashamire and Ruhama 3.3.2. Selection of the population for sickle disease prevalence study Male and female infants or children between 6 months to 5 years were selected for the establishment of the prevalence of sickle cell anemia irrespective of whether they were already known cases of sickle cell anemia or not. The reason for this is that infants/children aged 6 months to 5 years have developed their own hemoglobin which is in high and detectable quantities. While those less than 6 months have not yet developed enough of their own haemoglobin which is in high and detectable quantities. However, - 44 - all the infants who had received blood transfusion in the last four months were not recruited into the study in order to avoid getting false negative results. The infants/children were selected from health centers IV and nursery schools which were randomly selected. The nursery schools were taken because most of the children were below 5 years, representing the high frequency of haemoglobin SS genotype in the population. Secondly these children were from different parts of the distrcit which had been randomly selected and were therefore representative of all the areas in the district. The random sampling procedure was used only when there was more than one health center IV and nursery school. The eligible children were consecutively recruited into the study after obtaining consent from their parents or guardians. In the case of nursery schools, consent was obtained from parents through District Education Officers (DEOs, District Directors of Health Services (DDHS) and incharge of nursery schools. In Sironko and Mbale districts, children were identified from Budadiri and Busiu health centers IV. In Ntungamo and Mbarara districts, children were selected from Rubaare and Ruhoko health centers IV and from Divine Mercy and Ibanda Junior nursery schools respectively. In Bundibugyo district, children were sampled from Nyahuka health center IV and from Super and Bundibugyo Junior nursery schools. Although the study was not about tribes, the children who were sampled from Mbale and Sironko were predominantly Bagisu, while those from Mbarara and Ntungamo were predominantly Banyankole. The children sampled in Bundibugyo district were mostly Baamba. - 45 - 3.3.3. Selection of the population for reliability study of sickle screening methods The 200 blood samples which were used for the determination of the reliability of sickling and solubility tests and peripheral blood film method were selected from samples which had been taken from children between 6 months to 5 years for prevalence studies. All the haemolysed blood samples were excluded for reliability study. The minimum number of 200 samples were selected using systematic sampling procedure. The samples were first assigned new numbers and the samples were then picked sytematically starting with first number in the first raw. The second number was left out then third number was picked, fourth was left out and fifth was picked and so on until the end of the first raw was reached. The same procedure was used for the second raw. The remaining numbers were also sampled until the required number of 200 samples were obtained. The analysis of the samples was undertaken in the Department of Pathology, Faculty of Medicine (now known as Makerere University College of Health Sciences), Departments of Haematology and Clinical Chemistry, Mulago Hospital. 3.3.4. Selection of study sites and sampling procedures for cost benefit analysis study of sickle cell screening methods One health center IV and two laboratory technicians were selected in each district to be trained for the establishment of pilot screening sites using sickling and solubility tests and peripheral blood film method. The pilot screening sites were not established in Bundibugyo because it was only selected for prevalence study. With the assistance of DDHS, the names of the health centers IV with a microscope were obtained in each - 46 - district and written in pieces of paper which were folded and put in a basin. One health center IV was then randomly picked. However, random sampling procedure was only applied to the districts which had more than one health center IV. 3.4. Sample size determination 3.4.1. Sample size determination for knowledge gap studies on sickle cell disease 3.4.1.1. Sample size determination house hold surveys The minimum sample size of 571 respondents (279 for Mbale and Sironko in Eastern Uganda and 292 from Mbarara and Ntungamo in the West) was calculated using the Kish and Leshlie formula130. For the purpose of sample size determination, the prevalence of 23.8% was taken for Eastern and 5% for Mbarara and Ntungamo in Western Uganda as established by Lehman and Raper7. The precision of 5% was used for estimated prevalence above 15% in order to get representative sample size. The precision below 5% was chosen for estimated prevalence below 15% since the frequency of the disease is low at this prevalence 131. The precision of 5% was therefore taken for Mbale and Sironko in Eastern and 2.5% was taken for Mbarara and Ntungamo. Ninety five percent confidence interval was used. The formula is as shown below. n = Z2 PQ D2 Where n = minimum sample size. Z = The confidence interval (95%) where confidence limit (CL) is + 1.96. - 47 - P = Estimated prevalence. Q = 100-P D = The precision Using this formula, the estimated sample size for Sironko and Mbale was n = (1.96)2 x 23.8 x (100-23.8) 52 = 279 while Ntungamo and Mbarara was n = (1.96)2 x 5 x (100-5) = 292 2 2.5 The total number of villages which were to be sampled in the districts of Mbale and Sironko in Eastern region and Mbarara and Ntungamo in the West was calculated using the formula below. C = n x deff K where C = the number of villages to be sampled n == Z2 PQ = calculated sample size. D2 deff = design error effect value of 2.8 was used because the error which would be introduced from sampling the cluster of villages would be unknown. K = cluster size. Therefore using this formula, the total number of villages which were sampled in Sironko and Mbale was . C = 279 x 2.8 = 11 villages 70 The number of villages sampled in Mbarara and Ntungamo districts was C = 292 x 2.8 70 = 12 villages - 48 - iii) The proportional distribution of villages among the districts of Sironko and Mbale was calculated using probability proportions based on population size of the districts and estimated sample size of the villages in both districts as shown below:n = a x (b or c) b + c where n = required sample size of villages in the district. a = estimated sample size of villages in both the districts of Sironko and Mbale b = population of Sironko (291,906) c = population Mbale (720,925) The calculated number of villages in Sironko district was:N= 11 x 291,906 291,906 + 720,925 = 3 villages While in Mbale district the number of villages interviewed were 8. Using the same formula, the proportional distribution of 4 and 8 villages were identified and interviewed from the districts of Ntungamo and Mbarara respectively. The number of rural respondents in each village in the districts of Mbale and Sironko and Mbarara and Ntungamo was determined using the calculated number of villages and the estimated samples size of rural respondents in the districts. It was based on the assumption that equal number of rural and urban respondents would be interviewed. The calculated number of rural respondents per village is as shown in the formula below: N = a x (b or c) b + c where N= number of rural respondents to be interviewed in each village. - 49 - a = estimated sample size of rural respondents in both the districts of Sironko and Mable b = calculated number of villages in Sironko c= calculated number of villages in Mbale The calculated number of rural respondents per village in Sironko district was:N= 140 x 3 = 38 (which was approximately 40 respondents 11 = 13 respondents per village). The calculated number of rural respondents per village in Male district was:N= 140 x 8 11 persons per village) = 101 (which was approximately =13 Using the same formula, the proportional distribution of approximately 12 rural repondents were identified and interviewed per village from the districts of Ntungamo and Mbarara respectively. 3.4.1.2. Sample size determination for secondary schools and health centers Twenty four female and twenty four male students were to be interviewed from one rural and one urban secondary school in each district. The selection of equal number of males and females was based on approximate equal population distribution of females and males in the districts of Uganda 129 and it was also based on the prevailing movement towards equal rights and gender balance. This gave a sample size of 192 students. Twelve health staff were to be selected from each health center IV in each district giving a total of 96 health workers in each region respectively. - 50 - 3.4.2. Sample size determination for sickle cell disease prevalence studies The minimum sample size of 571 calculated for households using Kish and Leshlie formula130 formula was also used for prevalence studies. Two hundred and seventy nine household respondents were sampled in Sironko and Mbale districts in Eastern Uganda and 292 in Mbarara and Ntungamo . The mimimum sample size of 194 was calculated for Bundibugyo using the same formula (Kish and Leshlie) which was used for KAPs. In this case, the prevalence of 45% was used as established by Lehman and Raper studies of 1949. The precision of 7% and 95% confidence interval were used in order to get the manageable sample size 131. n = (1.96)2 x 45 x (100-45) 72 = 194 3.4.3. Sample size determination for sickle cell screening methods reliability studies The graph adopted after Browner and Newman for estimation of the minimum sample size for reliability studies is as shown in Figure 5. The minimum sample size of 200 was calculated using standard graphs based on correlation (reliability) coefficient132. This was based on the assumption that at 95% confidence interval, the expected coefficient of reliability detection of sickle cell disease is 0.05. Using this coefficient, the minimum sample size of 200 was used for the determination of reliability of the methods. - 51 - Figure 5: Graph for sample size determination using the reliability coefficient. 1000 No. 800 C.I. = 0.05 600 400 200 0 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.10 Reliability coefficient of detectability at 95% confidence interval. 3.4.4. Sample size determination for studying cost benefit analysis of sickle cell screening methods Sample size estimation was not done for the cost benefit analsyis study since it involved only determination of costs and benefits. However, the number of children sampled for prevalence studies were first screened at health centers IV pilot sites by the technicians using sickling and solubility tests and peripheral blood film method before the blood - 52 - samples were sent to the Departement of Pathology for confirmation using Hb electrophoresis method. 3.5. Data collection procedures 3.5.1. Data collection for knowledge gap studies about sickle cell disease 3.5.1.1. House hold survey on knowledge gap studies about sickle cell disease Households were interviewed according to World Heath Organization (WHO) protocol133. With the help of local council one (LC1) chairman, the center of the village was located. The pen was picked and thrown up and the interview began in the direction where the tip faced, starting with the first home which had a child. The first home with a child was purposively sampled. In some cases, an estimated 450 turn right or left was made to select another direction. The households were first briefed about the purpose of the study. The informed consent was obtained using the consent form shown in shown in appendix (iii). At times an interpreter was used to obtain the consent from the participants who did not understand English using the language they could understand. Although the questionnaire as shown in appendix (i) was given to them to fill, many of the rural respondents could not physically fill the questionnaire and were therefore assisted by the investigator and research assistants who had earlier been trained by investigator on how to administer - 53 - questionnaires. In some cases the questionnaire papers were self administered and picked later. The interview was carried out until the required number of respondents was obtained. Two hundred and eighty rural and urban household respondents were interviewed from the districts of Mbale and Sironko and 309 from the districts of Mbarara and Ntungamo respectively. This gave a total of 589 household respondents, which was a little (1.03 %) more than the minimum calculated sample size of 571. 3.5.1.2. Perception studies on sickle cell disease by secondary school students and health staff In each school, the participants from senior five were selected by random sampling procedure. The list of names of students were obtained from the head teachers of the schools. Female and male names were separated and written in small pieces of paper and put in separate plastic basins. The names were lottery-picked to select 12 female and 12 male respondents. After briefing the participants on the purpose of the study and obtaining consent, the questionnaire as shown in appendix (ii) was then selfadministered. Eighty eight students were interviewed from Mbale and Sironko and 85 from Mbarara and Ntungamo giving a total of 173 students in all the study populations. The paramedical health staff to be interviewed were not randomly selected because some health centers had as few as 6 eligible staff. Instead, all eligible staff at the health center were consecutively interviewed after obtaining informed consent. Thirty four health workers respondents were interviewed in Mbale and Sironko in Eastern Ugnada and 42 - 54 - in from Mbarara and Ntungamo in the West giving a total of 76 health workers respondents. 3.5.2 Sickle cell disease prevalence studies The flow chart of the data collection procedures for prevalence studies was as shown in Figure 6. Using a 21 mm gauge syringe needle, a 2 ml sample of blood was collected from eligible infants/children (6 months to 5 years) from antecubital vein in ethylene diamine tetra acetic acid (EDTA) vacutainers. This was done after obtaining consent from either their parents or guardians or in-charge of nursery schools. In some cases where blood sample colud not be obtained from antecubital area, blood was collected into tubes by finger prick or heel puncture. The blood samples were taken with the help of the clinical officer and research assistants (senior laboratory technologists). Before withdrawing blood, the area to be punctured was sterilized by methylated spirit using absorbent cotton wool. Some of the complications due to swelling and venepuncture were medically managed. The laboratory request form shown in Appendix (iv) was used during blood collection. Two hundred and eighty six blood samples were collected from the children in Sironko and Mbale districts in Eastern Uganda (82 Sironko; 204 Mbale) and 370 blood samples from Mbarara and Ntungamo (267 in Mbarara and 103 in Ntungamo) in Western region of Uganda. This gave a total of 656 samples collected in these districts, which was a little (1.15 %) more than the minimum calculated sample size of 571. Two hundred and one blood samples were collected from the district of Bundibugyo which was (1.04 %) more - 55 - than the calculated sample size of 194. This therefore gave an overall total of 857 samples collected from all these districts. The samples were then transported in cool boxes to the Department of Pathology, College of Health Sciences for analysis of hemoglobin S using Hb electrophoresis54,134. Figure 6: The flow chart on data collection procedure for prevalence studies. HOUSEHOLDS DISTRCIT HEALTH CENTERS FOM (COHS) MAKERERE UNIVERSITY Hb electrophoresis method As +ve ss+ve Hb A To be referred to Mbale, Mbarara or Bundibugyo referral hospitals. Determination of prevalence - 56 - NURSERY SCHOOLS 3.5.3. Reliability studies on sickle cell disease screening methods The flow chart of the laboratory procedures used is shown in Figure 7. The 200 blood samples were independently analysed by the principal researcher and two senior technologist using the solubility and sickling tests and peripheral blood film method (adopted after Barbara et al; 2001)134. Hb electrophoresis was used as a gold standard (adopted after Junius et al; 1991) 135. 3.5.3.1. Sickling test The sickling test was based on observing the sickling of red blood cells exposed to a low oxygen tension under the microscope. Twenty micro litres of each blood sample, was mixed with 20 micro liters of 2% sodium metabisulphite on a cover slip. A slide was then gently pressed onto the cover slip and after inversion, the cover-slip was ringed with candle wax. The slide preparations were left in a humidified chamber for 15 minutes at room temperature and then examined under the microscope (x10). Further observations were taken after 30 minutes, 1 and 2 hours. Sickling was considered to be positive when more than 25% of the red blood cells sickled. 3.5.3.2. Solubility test The solubility method was based on turbidity created when HbS is incubated with sodium dithionate. Twenty micro-liters of each sample was mixed with 2 ml of 0.02% sodium dithionate in a test tube and left to stand at room temperature for 5 minutes. The samples - 57 - were examined using light against the background of black lines. The results were interpreted as positive when the black lines were not visible. 3.5.3.3. Peripheral blood film screening method The peripheral blood film screening method was based on examining the blood film stained with Giemsa using light microscopy (x100) for red blood cells with sickle shapes. The results were considered positive when the sickle cell count was greater than 25% of the total red cell count. 3.5.3.4. Hb elecrophoresis screening method The cellulose acetate membrane Hb electrophoresis method at pH 9.2 was used to determine the presence of AA, AS, and SS in the samples and to confirm the results generated by the above methods. The principle of this method is based on the fact that proteins normally have either positive or negative charge that is determined by the charged amino acid they contain. When electric field is applied to a solution containing protein molecules, positively charged proteins will move to the cathode and negatively charged proteins will migrate to the anode. Depending on their charges, size and shape, different haemoglobins will separate and migrate at different rates. They are then stained with a chromogen and their bands compared with the known controls 134. the protocols of these methods are shown in Appendices v,vi,vii and viii - 58 - The details of Fig 7: The flow chart of laboratory procedure. 200 BLOOD SAMPLES Sickling test +ve Peripheral blood film method Solubility test -ve +ve -ve Hb electrophoresis method AS Hb AA SS - 59 - +ve -ve 3.5.4. Determination of the costs and benefits of different screening methods for SCD at district health centers 3.5.4.1. Training laboratory technicians Two laboratory technicians were trained from each Health Center IV on how to perform sickling and solubility tests and peripheral blood film method. The training was based on:-the average time it took the laboratory technician to take the blood sample from each child, how long it took her/him to perform each method starting with the preparation of the solutions to final reading of the tests (generation of results) and the ability of the individual technician to correctly perform each test. First, the trainees were shown by the trainers how to prepare solutions using the chemicals and reagents which had been bought. Each demonstration was timed. The trainees then independently prepared these solutions using the same reagents and chemicals and each process was timed. Secondly, while timing, the trainees were then shown how to take two mls of blood in EDTA vacuutainer tubes from antecubital vein from children between 6 months and 5 years whose mothers or guardians had been consented. They were also shown how to take blood from either the finger or heel prick.This was then followed by the trainees them selves performing the bleeding. The complications which arose during bleeding were managed with the assistance of either the clinical or medical officer. - 60 - Later, the trainees were shown how to perform sickling and solubility tests and peripheral blood film method. The positive control (Hb SS) and negative control (Hb AA) unknown to the trainees were used in parallel with the test samples. The time taken to perform each test was recorded. Later each trainee independently carried out each test on the same samples while timing each process. This process continued until each trainee was able to perform each method correctly. The number of practical tests taken by each trainee before correctly performing each method was recorded. The trainees then continued to screen for SCD using these method for a period of six months and 656 blood samples were brought to Mulago hospital in cool boxes for Hb electrophoresis. 3.5.4.2. Measures of technical feasibility The turn around time of sickling and solubility tests, and peripheral blood film method was also determined as one of the measures of technical feasibility. This was done by timing each process starting with the preparation of working solutions, setting the test and final reading of the results. The average time taken to collect blood samples from each child was also taken by timing each process during bleeding. 3.5.4.3. Cost benefit analysis of different SCD screening methods Cost benefit analysis was done to determine which method is best suited for screening for SCD at district health centers IV in Uganda. Simple decision models were designed for - 61 - cost benefit analysis (CBA) using the hypothetical scenarios and assumptions to determine the benefits and/or profitability of sickling and solubility tests and peripheral blood film method. The calculation of the costs was in Uganda shillings (Ug Shs) and was based on the following: i) Costs for buying equipment such as microscopes. ii) Cost of buying consumables: the reagents and materials iii) Training costs. The calculation was based on mean hourly training allowance based on monthly salary. iv) Transport costs of patients to the SC testing centres and transportation of blood samples by medical technicians from district health centers to Hb electrophoresis centers . v) Loss of productivity cost by mothers who bring children to health centers for screening. The calculation was based on income per capita (which is the total average income each family member received per year) vi) Other costs included depreciation cost of the laboratory equipment which was calculated at each fiscal year. It was done by dividing the total cost of the equipment by the useful life years of the equipment which was taken as 5 years for medical equipment 136. The calculations were in Uganda shillings. - 62 - 3.6. Data analysis 3.6.1 . Data analysis on knowledge gap studies on sickle cell disease The data was entered and analysed using soft-ware package for social science 10.0 (SPSS 10.0) 137. The open source epidemiologic statistic programme for public health version 2.2.1 (Openepi)138 was used for the comparison of these study populations and 95% confidence interval was used and pvalue of 0.05 was considered statistically significant. 3.6.2. Data analysis on prevalence of sickle cell disease studies The statistical programmes used for KAP study were also used for data entry, analysis and comparison of the statistical difference in the prevalence of sickle cell disease in these study populations. The prevalence of sickle cell disease was calculated by dividing the true positive tests by the total number of samples and multiplied by 100. The formula is shown below: P1 = P2 X100 N Where P1 = prevalence P2 = true positive tests N = Total number of samples The calculation of allele frequencies from genotype frequencies was done using Populations Genetics and the Hardy Weinberg Law 139. - 63 - * Where f are the frequencies of the three genotypes (AA), (Aa) and (aa) and p and q the frequencies of (A) and (a) alleles respectively. Expected prevalence of SS was calculated according to Mordell and Darlison formula shown below140. E =square root of AS percentage . Where E= expected prevalence of SS (homozygous sickle cell genotype). AS is sickle cell trait. 3.6.3. Data analysis on reliability of sickle cell disease screening tests The entry and statistical analysis of the data was undertaken using the same programme used for KAP study 137. The open source epidemiologic statistic programme for public health version 2.2.1 (Openepi) 138 was used for the comparison of these methods and 95% confidence interval was used and pvalue of 0.05 was considered statistically significant. The sensitivity and specificity and predictive values as measures of reliability of SCD screening tests were calculated using the formulae given by Trap and Dawson 141. Sensitivity = A A+C Where A = the number of persons with a disease who test true positive C= persons with a disease who test false negative. The results were recorded as a percentage of persons who truly tested positive among - 64 - persons with the disease ( A x100 ) . A + C. The method was interpreted to have high sensitivity when it measured nearer to 100%. ii) Specificity = D B+D Where D = number of persons without a disease who test true negative and B= number of persons without a disease who test false positive. The results were recorded as a percentage of persons who truly tested negative among persons without the disease ( D x100 ) . B+D The method was interpreted to have high specificity when it measured nearer to 100%. Positive predictive value of the methods was calculated using the formula below:PV of +ve results = TP . TP + FP Where TP= true positive results FP= false positive The results would be recorded as a percentage of true positive results among the positive results ( TP x100 ) . TP + FP The method was interpreted to have high predictive value when it measured nearer to 100%. Negative predictive value of the methods was calculated as follows:- - 65 - PV of -ve results = TN . TN + FN Where TN= true negative results FP= false negative The results were recorded as a percentage of true negative results among the negative results. ( TN x100 ) . TN + FN The method was interpreted to have high predictive value when it measured nearer to 100%. 3.6.4. Data analysis on cost benefit analysis The simple decision model used for choosing either scenarios (A1 or A2) is as shown in Figure 8. The simple decision model used for choosing either scenarios (B1 or B2) is as shown in Figure 9. It was assumed that the operations for scenarios A1, A2 and B1, B2 would be as shown in Figures 10 and 11 respectively. The costs and benefits of establishing each SCD screening method at health centre were compared. The outputs/ benefits of establishing the SC screening services at district health centers was taken as human lives saved if SCD screening service were introduced at district health centers besides Mulago. The calculation of human lives saved was based on Lindas theory that if children with SCD are detected and treated, 85% of the children with SS will grow into adulthood while 95% of those with AS will live normal life 91. - 66 - The accumulative costs of the screening services were projected for a period of five years and it was projected that more children with SCD would be detected and more money would be saved because the only costs incurred would be service maintenance costs. These were calculated annually on 3% basis of the previous year maintenance costs since there would be an expected 3% annual increase of the general population8. The following assumptions were considered when cost benefit analysis was performed: (i) Each of the sickle cell screening method established at the district health center would be the recommended method for screening SCD . (ii) Both automated capillary and cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis systems would be ‘gold standards’. (iii) Sample and material storage costs (use of electricity or generator) would not affect the previous billing costs at the health centers. (iv) Cost of laboratory space and its maintenance would not be considered in cost benefit analysis because the space was already existing. (v) All children who test negative at district health centers would be free off the sickle cell disease except those who later develop symptoms . (vi) Only children who test positive at the district health centers would be confirmed and those found truly positive would benefit from treatment interventions. (vii) Only screening costs would be considered but not treatment costs (viii) The persons performing these tests would be doing routine work and getting monthly salary. - 67 - (ix) The glassware which does not fall under consumables would be replaced in the second year (x) Basing on Linda theory, 95% of children with sickle cell trait would live normal life and 85% with sickle cell anemia would grow to adulthood if detected and treated early91. (xi) When no screening and medical intervention services are in place, it would be assumed that all children with SS would die at early age 91. (xii) The costs of running these sickle cell tests would take into account regional prevalence of SCD among infants. (xiii) The costs of buying consumables would be increasing annually corresponding to 3% population growth 8. (xiv) Based on the three months results of the pilot screening from Eastern Uganda, it would be assumed that 302 children would be screened in three months in Bundibugyo district. It would equally be assumed that sickling test would demonstrate the presence of 21 AS, 9 SS, solubility 11 AS, 6 SS and peripheral blood film 6 AS, 5SS in these children respectively. xv) The automated Hb electrophoresis equipment would depreciate at USh 11,571,750 per year, while cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis would depreciate at Ug. Shs 600,000 per year. Each microscope and weighing balance would depreciate at Ug Shs 300,000 and Ug Shs 50,280 per year respectively. - 68 - Cost benefit analysis was performed under the following scenarios :i) When there are no sickle cell screening services at district health centers and all children would be referred to Mulago hospital for Hb lectrophoresis (scenario A1). ii) When there are no screening services at district health centers and all children would be referred to the regional hospital for Hb electrophoresis, (scenario A2). iii) When there are sickle cell screening services at district health centers and only positive samples would be brought to Mulago hospital for confirmation usig Hb electrophoresis (scenario B1). iv) There are screening services at district health centers and only positive samples would be brought to the regional hospital for confirmation using Hb electrophoresis (scenario B2). - 69 - Figure 8: A Simple decision model for sickle cell disease screening using scenarios A1 and A2. Intervene Outcome survive A) No screening at HC IV Test +ve A1) Go to Mulago Hospital A2) Go to regional Hospital Test -ve No intervention - 70 - Outcome survive Figure 9: A Simple decision model for sickle cell disease screening using scenarios B1 and B2. Intervene Outcome survive B) Do screening at HC IV Test +ve B1) Take +ves to Mulago Hospital B2)Take+ves to regional Hospital Test -ve No intervention Outcome survive square =decision node; circle = probability (chance node); and rectangle = out come node. - 71 - Fig 10: The flow chart for scenarios A1 and A2. MOTHERS FROM HOUSEHOLDS Mulago hospital (A1) or Regional hospital (A2) for Hb electrophoresis method ss-ve No intervention (95% live normal life) +ve ss Intervene (85% grow to adult hood) - 72 - Fig 11: The flow chart for scenarios B1 and B2. MOTHERS FROM HOUSEHOLDS DISTRCIT HEALTH CENTERS Sickling method Solubility method +ve +ve Peripheral blood film method +ve Mulago hospital (B1) or Regional hospital (B2) for Hb electrophoresis method +ve (SS) Intervene (85% grow to adulthood) +ve (AS) Usually no intervention. 95% live normal life - 73 - -ve ss (AA) No intervention (99% live normal life The SCD screening methods were compared to the golden standard methods (automated Hb electrophoresis and cellulose acetate). The costs incurred overtime and benefits of lives saved were compared. The benefits of costs saved in introduction of SCD screening tests in Health centre IV were estimated. The percentage of money saved was calculated using the formula below: C1-C2 S = x 100 C1 Where S = percentage of money saved C1 = Original cost price C2 = Second cost price Sensitivity analysis was done on the benefits of introducing SCD screening tests on : i) Prevalence of SCD ii) Distance of the population to reach Health IV screening centres iii) Human population in an area 3.7. Ethical issues Clearence: The permission to carry out this study and use human materials such as blood samples was sought from the then Faculty of Medicine, Ethics and Research Committee (ERC) and Uganda National Council of Science and Technology (UNCST). - 74 - Consent: Written informed consent was directly obtaind from adult participants using a form shown in appendix (iii). All participating children had written informed consent obtained from a relevant authority parent/guardian. Justice: The risks due to bleeding and swelling which arose during the taking of blood samples from the children were medically managed. The information which was generated from these blood samples was treated as confidential. Beneficence: If the findings of this study were adopted for policy formulation, the communities would benefit from sickle cell screening services available at district health centers. Besides, sickle cell disease would be detected and managed as early as possible thus minimizing child and mertanal mortality due to the disease - 75 - CHAPTER FOUR RESULTS 4.1 Knowledge gap study . 4.1.1 Socio-demographic characteristics The details of the socio-demographic characteristics of the respondents are shown in Table 4. The recruited male and female participants, were aged between 18-60 years and were from urban and rural settings. The majority of the respondents were peasants and students with primary and secondary education respectively. Table 4: The Socio-Demographic Characteristics of all the respondents. The bracketed figures are in percentages. Variable Age: (18-60 years) Sex: Male Female Education: Informal Primary Secondary Tertiary University Eastern 402 188 (46.8) 214 (53.2) 22 (5.5) 129 (32.1) 192 (47.8) 51 (12.7) 8 (2.0) Western 436 207 (47.5) 229 (52.5) 24 (5.5) 155 (35.6) 157 (36.0) 68 (15.6) 32 (7.4) Occupation: Employed Student Peasant Self employed 82 (20.4) 121 (30.1) 141 (35.1) 58 (14.4) 120 118 99 209 (27.5) (27.1) (22.7) (47.9) Religion: 85 (21.1) 142 (35.3) 111 (27.6) 4 (1.0) 10 (2.5) 174 188 18 7 16 (40.0) (43.1) (4.1) (1.6) (3.7) 215 (53.5) 187 (46.5) 237 (54.4) 199 (45.6) 115 138 81 68 99 103 50 184 Location: Catholic Protestant Moslem Orthodox Reedemed Rural Urban Distance to health center: <3 km 3-10 km > 10 km Non-commital (28.6) (34.3) (20.1) (16.9) - 76 - (26.4) (22.7) (11.5) (42.2) 4.1.2 Knowledge gaps of the communities about sickle cell disease The summary of the knowledge gaps of the respondents about SCD are as shown in Table 5. Seventy three percent of the household respondents from Eastern Uganda were aware of SCD compared to 59% from the Western p<0.001) (OR 1.85: 95% CI: 1.312.62) with 49% from the East reporting that persons with SCD had been detected in their communities compared to only 20% from the west p<0.001) (OR 3.93: 95% CI: 2.466.20). Notably, 3% of the household respondents from the East and 1% from the West reported to have been screened for SCD. Seventy one percent of the students from the East were aware of SCD compared to 59% from the West, while 45% of the students from the East reported that persons with SCD disease had been detected in their communities compared to 18% from the West (p<0.001) (OR 3.94: 95% CI: 1.73-8.93). Two percent of the student respondents from Eastern Uganda and none from the West reported that they knew their sickle cell status. Fifty two percent of the health staff from the East reported that they knew sickle cell screening methods compared to 50% from the West, with 14% from the East reporting that they screened for SCD compared to only 9% from the West. Fourteen percent of the health staff from the East and 6% from the West reported that they knew their sickle cell status. - 77 - The commonly used name for SCD in the communities of Eastern was ‘Enkaka’ meaning yellow fever and a few correctly calling it ‘siko-cello’ which in English means sickle cell. The Western communities were mostly calling it ‘siko-celo’ although others were calling it ‘Okupumpura (plague like), Binyoro (yaws) and Kisipi (herpes zoster). - 78 - Table 5: Knowledge of respondents about SCD in Eastern and Western regions of Uganda. Eastern Western N=280 N=309 Odds Ratio 95% CI P value 204 (72.9) 183 (59.2) 1.85 1.31- 2.62 <0.001 (Only for those aware of SCD) Seen persons with SCD in community (only for those aware) Know they could possibly have children with SCD. Knows his/her SC status 100 (49.0) 36 (19.7) 3.93 2.46- 6.20 <0.001 30 (14.7) 5 (2.5) 32 (17.4) 2 (1.1) 1.04 2.78 1.61- 1.76 0.55-20.9 0.887 0.234 Students n =88 n =85 Awareness about sickle cell disease (SCD) 62 (70.5) 50 (58.8) 1.67 0.89-3.13 0.114 (Only for those aware of SCD) Seen persons with SCD in his/her community (only those aware) Knows his/her SC status n =62 n =50 28 (45.2) 9 (18) 3.94 1.73-8.98 <0.001 1 0 (0) - - 0.052 Health workers n=34 n=42 29 (85.3) 32 (76.2) 1.81 0.55- 5.93 0.342 27 (79.4) 33 (78.6) 1.05 0.35- 3.20 0.936 n =29 n=32 15 4 4 20 16 3 2 10 1.07 1.55 2.4 4.57 0.39- 2.93 0.32- 7.58 0.41-14.21 1.71-12.24 0.896 0.617 0.366 0.002 Households (nonstudents) Awareness about sickle cell disease (SCD) Awareness about sickle cell disease (SCD) Know can be managed if diagnosed early (Only for those aware of SCD) Correctly know screening method (s) Screen for sickle cell disease Knows his/her SC status Came across SCD patients (1.6) (51.7) (13.8) (13.8) (69) (50) (9.4) (6.3) (31.3) The details of the knoeledge about sickle disease of the rural and urban respondents in Eastern and Western Uganda are as shown in Table 6. - 79 - FNotably, 62% of the rural household respondents in Mbale and Sironko were aware of SCD compared to 76% of the urban respondents (p>0.05) (OR 0.70: 95% CI: 1.41-1.18), while 55% and 65% of the rural and urban household respodents were aware of SCD in Mbarara and Ntungamo respectively (p>0.05) (OR 0.66: 95% CI: 0.42-1.04). Table 6: Knowledge of the rural and urban household respondents about SCD in Sironko and Mbale in Eastern region of Uganda and Mbarara and Ntungamo in the West. Rural Urban OR 95% CI PV n= 140 n=140 Awareness about sickle cell disease (SCD) 97 (62.3) 107 (76.4) 0.70 0.41-1.18 0.183 Only for those aware Person has been detected with SCD in his/her community 52 (53.7) 48 (34.3) 1.42 0.82-2.47 0.216 16 (16.5) 14 (1.0) 1.32 0.60-2.85 0.500 Mbarara and Ntungamo n=150 n=159 Awareness about sickle cell disease (SCD) 82 (54.7) 103 (64.8) 0.66 0.42- 1.04 0.072 Only for those aware Person has been detected with SCD in his/her community 11 (7.3) 5 (3.4) 3.04 1.01-9.13 0.047 Know they could possibly have children with SCD before they got 11 (7.3) 21 (13.2) 0.61 0.27- 1.34 Sironko and Male Know they could possibly have children with SCD - 80 - 0.220 4.1.3 The beliefs of the respondents about SCD. The beliefs of the respondents about sickle cell disease from Eastern and Western Uganda are as shown in Table 7. Fifty seven percent of the household respondents in the East and 51% from the West believed that SCD could be acquired from parents. Ninety two percent of the household respondents from the East believed SCD could be prevented by premarital screening compared to 76% from the West (p<0.001) (OR 3.69: 95% CI: 2.22-6.14). Eight percent of the household respondents in Sironko and Mbale believed that SCD was a punishment from God compared to 2% from Mbarara and Ntungamo. Two percent of the household respondents in both regions believed that SCD was due to witchcraft. Fifty eight percent of the student respondents from Eastern and 60% from Western believed that SCD was acquired from parent while 76% from the East and 82% from the West belived that it could be prevented by premarital screening. Ninety percent of the health staff from the East and 94% from the West believed that SCD is acquired from parents, while 93% from the East and 91% from the West believed that it can be prevented by screening before marriage - 81 - Table 7: Beliefs of respondents about SCD in Eastern and Western Uganda. Households (nonstudents) Causes of SCD (Only for those aware of SCD) Natural Punishment from God Witchcraft Acquired from parents Can be prevented by screening before marriage Eastern Western N=280 N=309 n=204 n=183 59 17 4 117 72 4 3 94 (28.9) (8.3) (1.9) (57.3) (39.3) (2.2) (1.6) (51.3) 158 (77.5) 135 (73.8) 62 50 22 (35.5) 0 (0) 0 (0) 36 (58.1) 15 0 0 30 47 41 (82.0) Odds Ratio 95% CI P value 0.88 4.92 1.48 1.64 0.60-1.30 1.73- 17.22 0.30- 8.0 1.17-2.30 0.518 0.002 0.63 0.004 1.2 0.77- 1.94 0.403 1.56 0.92 0.74-3.25 0.43- 1.97 0.246 0.84 0.63 0.30- 1.34 0.324 Students Only for those aware of SCD) Natural Punishment from God Witchcraft Acquired from parents Can be prevented by screening before marriage (75.8) (30) (0) (0) (60) Health workers (Only for those aware of SCD) Natural Punishment from God Witchcraft Acquired from parents Can be prevented by screening before marriage n=29 n=32 5 0 0 26 (17.2) (0) (0) (89.7) 3 (9.4) 0 (0) 0 (0) 30 (93.8) 2.21 1.30 0.47-12.07 0.46-3.67 0.318 0.634 27 (93.1) 29 (90.6) 1.40 0.22-9.01 0.298 4.1.4. Attitudes of the communities about SCD The summary of the attitudes of the respondents about SCD are as shown shown in Table 8 Fifty eight percent of the household respondents who reported to have had ill patients from the East felt sympathetic about patients’ illness compared to 67% from the West. - 82 - Thirty eight percent of the household respondents from the East felt depressed about patients illness compared to 22% from the West(p<0.001) (OR 3.69: 95% CI: 2.22-6.14).. Ninety two percent of the household respondents from the East and 87% from the West were willing to be screened. Notably, 12% of the respondents from the West were not willing to be screened, compared to 8% from the East. Fourty nine percent of the student respondents from the East and 51% from the West felt sympathetic about patients’ illness, while 22% from the East and 35% from the West felt depressed. Fifteen percent of the students from the East reported that they were not wiling to be screened compared to twenty one percent from the West. - 83 - Table 8 : Attitude of respondents about SCD in Eastern and Western Uganda. Household respondents Attitude towards patients. Sympathetic Depressed Angry Embarrassed Not affected Attitude towards SC screening Willing to be screened Not willing East West n=180* n=185* 105 69 20 20 2 124 40 7 5 4 (58.3) (38.3) (11) (11) (1) Odds Ratio 95% CI P value 0.69 2.25 3.18 4.50 0.51 0.45-1.05 1.42-3.57 1.31-7.72 1.65-12.27 0.09-2.81 0.088 <0.001 0.008 0.001 0.469 1.61 0.68 0.94-2.78 0.39-1.18 0.083 0.169 (51.0) (35.3) (2.0) ( 2.0) (5.9) 0.93 0.52 7.73 8.86 0.28 0.44- 1.97 0.22- 1.20 1.18-176.6 1.38- 202.6 0.01- 2.70 0.851 0.132 0.030 0.016 0.299 n= 85 73 (85.9) 18 (21.1) 0.95 0.65 0.41-2.22 0.29-1.42 0.906 0.282 (67) (21.6) (3.8) (2.7) (2.1) n=280 n=309 257 23 270 (87.4) 36 (11.7) (91.8) (8.2) Students repondents n =59* n =51* Attitude towards patients. Sympathetic Depressed. Angry Embarrassed Not affected 29 13 8 9 1 26 18 1 1 3 (49.1) (22.0) (13.6) (15.3) (1.7) Attitude towards SC screening Willing to be screened Not willing n =88 75 (85.2) 13 (14.8) Key: * only respondents who reported to have had an ill person. 4.1.5 Sources of information about health. The summary of the household respondents on the main sources of information about health is as shown in table 9. The main sources of information of the household respondents from both regions about health in descending order were radio, health visitors, community, newspapers and lastly television. The main sources of information - 84 - about health of the student respondents in the East were health visitors, radio, news papers, radio, community and television, whilst those in the West they were health visitors, radio, television, newspapers and lastly community. Table 9: The main sources of information of the household and student respondents about health in Eastern and Western. Variable East West Households N=280 N=309 Haealth visitors Radio TV News papers Community 125 174 41 47 96 188 202 45 68 101 Students N =88 Haealth visitors Radio TV News papers Community 53 38 16 20 17 (44.6) (62.1) (14.6) (16.8) (34.3) (60.2) (43.1) (18.2) (22.7) (19.3) (60.8) (65.4) (14.6) (22.0) (32.7) Odds Ratio 95% CI Pvalue 0.52 0.87 0.61 1.25 1.07 0.37-0.72 0.62- 1.22 0.40- 0.93 0.82-1.92 0.76- 1.51 0.001 0.313 0.016 0.305 0.5 11 1.77 1.09 0.51 1.27 4.81 0.98-3.27 0.54- 1.99 0.26-1.97 0.61- 2.65 1.56-15.08 0.046 0.594 0.048 0.401 0.001 N=85 39 35 27 16 4 (45.9) (41.2) (31.8) (18.8) (4.7) The summary of the main sources of information of the rural and urban respondents from the East and Western Uganda about health are as shown in Table 10. The main sources of information about health of the rural and urban household respondents from both regions were mostly radio, health visitors and community. Twenty one percent of the urban respondents from the East reported that their other sources of information were television and news papers. Thirty two percent and 26% from the West - 85 - reported that their other sources of information about health were television and news papers respectively. Table 10: The main sources of information of the rural and urban household respondents about health in Eastern and Western Uganda. Variable Rural Urban Eastern N=140 N=140 Health visitors Radio TV News papers Community 76 (54.3) 75 (53.6) 7 (5.0) 17 (12.1) 18 (12.9) 50 99 29 30 58 Western N =150 N=159 Health visitors Radio TV News papers Community 97 (64.7) 120 (80.0) 10 (6.7) 17 (11.3) 41 (27.3) 4.3. 91 82 42 51 60 (35.7) (70.7) (20.7) (21.4) (41.4) (57.2) (51.6) (31.8) (26.4) (37.7) Odds Ratio 95% CI Pvalue 2.14 0.48 0.20 0.51 0.21 1.32-3.45 0.29- 0.78 0.09- 0.48 0.27-0.97 0.11- 0.39 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.0.02 0.001 1.37 3.75 0.20 0.27 0.62 0.86-2.16 2.26- 6.24 0.10-0.21 0.15- 0.50 0.38-1.0 0.09 0.001 0.001 0.401 0.03 Prevalence of sickle cell disease The percentage of the haemoglobins detected in the study districts is summarized in Figure 12. In Mbale and Sironko districts, 231/286 (80.8%) children were positive for Hb AA, 50/286 (17.5%) for Hb AS and only 5/286 (1.7%) were positive for Hb SS. In Mbarara and Ntungamo districts, 359/370 (97%) children were positive for Hb AA, 11/370 (3%) for Hb AS and none for Hb SS. In Bundibugyo district, 168/201 (83.6%) were positive for AA, 27/201 (13.4%) for AS and 6/201 (3%) were positive for SS. - 86 - Fig 12: The percentage of haemoglobin A, AS and SS detected in the study population of Mbale and Sironko (East); Mbarara, Ntungamo and Budibugyo in the (West). 120 100 80 60 40 AA 20 AS SS 0 Mbale and Sironko Mbarara Bundibugyo and Ntungmao The statistical difference in the prevalence of AS and SS between the study districts is as shown in Table 11. The statistical difference in the prevalence of AS between Mbale and Sironko in the East 17.5% (50/286) and Mbarara and Ntungamo in the West 3% (11/370) was highly significant (p<0.001). The statistical difference in the prevalence of AS between Bundibugyo in the West 13.4% (27/201) and Mbarara and Ntungamo in the West 3% (11/370) was also highly significant (p<0.001). There was no statistical - 87 - difference in the prevalence of AS between Mbale and Sironko in the East (17.5%) and Bundibugyo in the West 13.4% (p>0.05). The difference in the prevalence of homozygous state (SS) of sickle cell disease between Bundibugyo in the West 3% (6/201) and Mbale and Sironko in the East 1.7% (5/286) was statistically insignificant (p>0.05). Table 11: The statistical difference in the prevalence of AS and SS between the study districts. Variable Mbaleand Sironko Mbararaand Ntungamo Odds Ratio CI P-value AS 50 (286) 11 (370) 6.91 3.53-13-13.6 0.001 Bundibugyo Mbararaand Ntungamo 27(201) 11 (370) 5.06 2.46-10.45 0.001 Mbaleand Sironko Bundibugyo AS 50 (286) 27 (201) 1.36 0.82-2.27 0.110 SS 5 (286) 6 (201) 0.58 0.17-1.92 0.193 AS The percentage prevalence of SCD in the current and Lehman study is as shown in Table 12. The current study found the prevalence of sickle cell trait and homozygous state as (17.5%) in the districts of Mbale and Sironko, (3%) in Mbarara and Ntungamo (13.4%) in the district of Bundibugyo respectively. Lehman study found between (20-28%) of sickle cell trait in Mbale and Sironko, 1-4% in Mbarara and Ntungamo and 45% in Bundibugyo. - 88 - Table 12: The percentage prevalence of sickle cell trait in the study districts of Uganda by the Current and Lehman study. District Sironko and Mbale districts Mbarara and Ntungamo Bundibugyo district (%) (%) districts (%) Current Study 17.5 Lehman study 20-28 3 13.4 1-4 45 The details of the observed prevalence of AS and SS and expected prevalence of SS in Eastern and Western Uganda is as shown in Table 13. The observed prevalence of AS and SS and expected prevalence of SS in Eastern and Western Uganda was as shown in Table 13. The observed prevalence of homozygous sickle cell genotype (SS) in the districts of Mbale and Sironk was 1.7% instead of 4.2% and 0.0% instead of 1.70 in Mbarara and Ntungamo. The prevalence of SS in Bundibugyo was found to be (3%) instead of (3.7%). - 89 - Table 13: Observed prevalence of AS and SS and expected prevalence of SS in Eastern and Western Uganda, 2007. Study area Mbale/Sironko (eastern Uganda) n=286 Observed prevalence Observed prevalence of Expected prevalence of AS (%) SS (%) of SS* 17.5 1.7 4.20 [95% CI 13.5-22.3] [95% CI 0.63-4.15] Mbarara/Ntungamo (western Uganda) N=370 3.0 0.0 [95% CI 1.61-5.31] [95% CI 0.0-1.24] Bundibugyo N=201 13.4 3.0 [95% CI 9.35-18.94] [95% CI 0.31-4.50] Key: 1.70 3.70 *Expected prevalence of SS =square root of AS 140 Some of the Hb electrophoresis results of the test samples in these districts are as shown in Figures 13, 14 and 15. Using Hardy Weinberg Law139, the total percentage of abnormal genes within the population of Eastern Uganda was found to be ([17.5/2 +1.7]) or simply 10.45%. This yielded a gene frequency of 0.105. The expected gene frequency of the homozygotes in Eastern Uganda, was found to be (0.105)2 or 1.1% In Western Uganda (Bundibugyo), percentage of abnormal genes within the population was found to be ([13.4/2 +3]) or simply 9.7 %. The expected gene frequency of the homozygotes in Bundibugyo was found to be (0.097)2 or 0.94% . - 90 - Figure 13: Photomicrograph of Hb Figure 14: Photomicrograph of Hb electrophoresis from Mbale district electrophoresis from Ntungamo district AS AA SS AA AS (+ve control) Figure 15: Photo micrograph of Hb Electrophoresis from from Bundibugyo district AA AS AA AA Key: AA SS AA Direction of migration of the bands. - 91 - AS AA AA AA AS (+ve control) The summary of the chidren detected with SS according to age is as shown in Table 14. Out of a total of 11 chidren detected with SS in Mbale and Sironko in the East and Bundibugyo in the West, 4 children were between 6 months to one year old, 2 were between one year to two years old , 2 children were between two to three years old, 2 were between three to four years old and 1 was between four to five years old. Table 14: The summary of the chidren detected with SS according to age. Age 6mths-1 yr 1 yr-2yrs Number of 4 SS 2 2 yrs-3 yrs 3 yrs-4yrs 4 yrs-5yrs 2 2 1 Key: mnths =months, yr= year, yrs =years.. 4.4. Comparative analysis of reliability of different sickle cell disease screening methods The summary of the haemoglobins detected by Hb electrophoresis (Gold standard) and demonstrated by the sickling and solubility tests and peripheral blood film method are as shown in Table 15. Of the 200 blood samples included in the study, Hb electrophoresis detected 178 samples with Hb AA, 20 AS and 2 SS. Ou of the total of 21 positive detected by sickling test, it The sickling method demonstrated the presence of 172 AA and 13 sickle cell cases, whilst the solubility method demonstrated 162 AA and 9 samples with sickle cells. The peripheral blood film method showed 174 AA and 7 cases with sickle cells. However, based on the results of cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis - 92 - each of these methods demonstrated the presence of 2 cases of in these samples. Sickling demonstrated the presence of 11 AS, solubility 7 AS and peripheral blood film 5 AS. Table 15: The summary of the haemoglobin AA, AS /SS detected by Hb electrophoresis (Gold standard) and demonstrated by the sickling and solubility tests and peripheral blood film method Variable Sickling Solubility Peripheral blood Film Hb electrophoresis (gold standard) True negative for sickle cells 172 162 174 178 False positive for sickle cells 8 18 6 0 True positive for sickle cells 13 (11AS, 2SS) 9 (7AS, 2SS) 7 (5AS, 2SS) 22 (18 AS, 2SS) False negative for sickle cells 7 11 13 2 Total 200 200 200 200 Some of the photomicrographs of positive samples by sickling and solubility tests and peripheral blood film method are as shown in Figures 16, 17 and 18 respectively. - 93 - Figure 16: Sickling method showing SS (photomicrograph taken after 30 minutes). Sickle cells Figure 17: Solubility method showing Hb SS +ve -ve - 94 - Figure 18: The peripheral blood film method showing Hb SS. Sickle cell Summary of reliability detectability of sickling and solubility tests and peripheral blood film method is as shown in Table 16. Notably, the sickling method showed a sensitivity of 65% (CI: 43.3-81.9) and specificity of 95.6% (CI: 91.5-97.7) . It had a positive predictive value of 61.9% and a negative predictive value of 96.1 The level of agreement (diagnostic accuracy) between the sickling method and the gold standard was 92.5% with a kappa score of 0.6 (CI: 0.5-0.7). The solubility method had sensitivity of 45% (CI: 25.8-65.8) and specificity 90.0% (CI: 84.8-93.6). It had a positive predictive value of 33.3% and a negative predictive value of 93.6%. The solubility method had diagnostic accuracy of 85.5% and Cohen kappa of 0.3 (CI: 0.2-0.4. The peripheral blood film method had a sensitivity of 35.0% (CI: 18.1-56.7) and a specificity of 96.7% (CI: 92.998.5). It had a positive predictive values of 53.9% and a negative predictive value of - 95 - 93.1$% respectively. The peripheral blood film had diagnostic accuracy of 90.5% and kappa score of 0.4 (CI:0.2-0.5) respectively. Table 16. Reliability detectability of sickling and solubility tests and peripheral blood film method. Variable Sickling test Sensitivity Specificity +ve predictive value -ve predictive value Diagnostic accuracy Likelihood ratio of positive test Likelihood ratio of negative test Diagnostic Odds Cohen’s kappa 4.5. Solubility test % 65 95.6 61.9 96.1 92.5 14.6 95 % CI (43.3-81.9) (91.5-97.7) (40.9-79.3 (92.1-98.1) (88.8-95.4) (10.6-20-3) % 45 90 33.3 93.6 85.5 4.5 95% CI (25.8-65.8) (84.8-93.6) (18.6-52.2) (89.0-96.4) (80.0-89.7) (3.1-6.5) Peripheral blood film method % 95% CI 35 (18.1-56.7) 96.7 (92.9-98.5) 53.9 (29.1-76.8) 93.1 (88.4-95.9) 90.5 (85.6-93.8) 10.5 (4.5-24.5) 0.4 39.9 (0.3-0.5) (12.5-127.4) 0.6 7.3 (0.5-0.7) (2.7-20.2) 0.7 15.6 0.6-0.8) (4.6-53.3) 0.6 (0.5-0.7) 0.3 (0.2-0.4) 0.4 (0.2-0.5) Determination of the cost effective methods for screening for SCD at health centers 4.6. 4.5.1. Measure of technical feasibility The turn around time (TAT) in minutes of sickling, solubility and peripheral blood film methods method is as shown in Table 17. The technician performed an average of thirty tests per 38 minutes per test when using sickling test, 35 tests per 70 minutes per test when using solubility test and an average of 60 tests per 44 minutes per test when using peripheral blood film. On average each technicians took 6 minutes to bleed one child. - 96 - Table 17: The turn around time (TAT) in minutes of sickling, solubility and peripheral blood film methods. Method Preparation of stock Solution Preparation of working Solution Sickling - 8 min. Average time of performing a test including reading and recording results 30 min Solubility 56 min. 4 min. Peripheral blood film - 20 min. 4.5.2. Average number of tests done Average time per test 30 38 min 10 min 35 70 min 24 min 60 44 min Cost benefit analysis of different screening tests for sickle cell disease Based on the results of the pilot screening exercise in which 286 children were screened for three months in the East, Hb electrophoresis detected 50 AS and 5 SS. The sickling test demonstrated the presence of 26 AS, 5 SS, the solubility test 13 AS, 4SS and the peripheral blood film method 7 AS and 2 SS. In the districts of Mbarara and Ntungamo, Hb detect 11 AS and the sickling test demonstrated the presence of 5 AS, the solubility test 3 AS and the peripheral blood film method 2 AS out of 370 children who were screened for SCD. When simulation was performed using the three months’ results from Sironko and Mbale districts, and prevalence study results from Bundibugyo, 302 children would be screened in Bundibugyo in three months. Out of these children, Hb electrophoresis would detect 39 AS and 9 SS, while the sickling test would demonstrate the presence of 21 AS, 9 SS, the solubility 11 AS, 6 SS and the peripheral 6 AS and 5 SS. These results were then subjected to different hypothetical scenarios and assumptions to - 97 - determine the benefit /profitability of screening for SCD at health centers IV using each of these methods. 4.5.2.1. Comparative analysis of scenarios A1 and A2 (automated capillary Hb elctrophoresis) The summary of the costs in Sironko and Mbale in the east and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the west using only automated capillary Hb electrophoresis are as shown in Table 18. When automated capillary Hb electrophoresis is used, a cost of Ug Shs 75,655,253 would be incurred on screening 286 children brought to Mulago hospital from Mbale and Sironko districts (scenario A1), at Ug Shs 264,564 per test in the first three months. When children are screened at the regional hospital (scenario A2), a cost of Ug Sh 61,822,853 would be incurred, costing Ug Shs 216,164 per test, saving 22.4% of the original cost (A1). Fifty children with AS and 5 with SS would be detected in both A1 and A2. In all these scenarios, forty eight AS children would live a normal life and two would not, while four children with SS would grow to adulthood and only one would succumb to the disease. In scenario A1 the cost per AS case detected would be Ug Shs 1,513,305 while the cost per SS case detected would be Ug Shs 15,133,052. In scenario A2 the cost per AS case detected would be Ug Shs 1,236,457 while cost per SS case detected would be Ug Shs 12,364,571. In Mbarara and Ntungamo a cost of Ug Shs 82,005,135 would be incurred on screening 370 children brought to Mulago hospital in scenario A1 (costing Ug Shs 221,636 per test) - 98 - and a cost of Ug Shs 63,727,135 would be incurred in scenario A2 (costing Ug Shs 172,235/= per test) therefore saving 26.7% of the original cost (A1). Eleven children with AS and none with SS would be detected in both scenario A1 and A2. In both scenarios, ten children would live normal life and one would not. In A1 the cost per AS case detected would be Ug Shs 7,455,012 while cost per AS case detected in A2 would be Ug Shs 5,793,375. In Bundibugyo, a cost of Ug Shs 78,473,421 would be incurred on screening 302 children brought to Mulago hospital in scenario A1 (costing Ug Shs 259,846 per test) and a cost of Ug Shs 76,661,421 would be incurred in scenario A2 (costing Ug Shs 259,846 per test) thereby saving 23.1%% of the original cost (A1). Thirty nine children with AS and 9 with SS would be detected in both scenarios A1 and A2. In both scenarios, thirty seven children would live normal life and two would not. Eight would grow to adulthood and 1 would die. In scenario A1 the cost per AS case detected would be Ug Shs 2,651,078 while cost per AS case in A2 would be Ug Shs 2,606,412. In scenario A1 the cost per SS case detected would be Ug Shs 8,719,269 while in scenario A2, the cost per SS case detected would be Ug Shs 8,517,936/=. - 99 - Table 18 The costs (Ug Shs) incurred in the first three months in scenarios A1 and A2 in Mbale and Sironko in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West when using only automated capillary Hb electrophoresis. Sironko and Mbale Mbarara and Bundibugyo Ntungamo Variable Scenario A1 Scenario A2 Scenario A1 Scenario A2 Scenario A1 2,106,225 1,719,135 Cost of automated capillary Hob electrophoresis Consumables for Hb electrophoresis Transport cost of mothers to Mulago, maintenance plus accommodation Transport cost of mothers to regional hospital Loss of productivity costs Total cost Cost per test % of costs saved by using A1 and A2 Cases which would be detected Lives which would be saved Cost per AS 57,858,750 57,858,750 Scenario A2 57,858,750 57,858,750 57,858,750 57,858,750 1,628,055 2,106,225 Cost per SS A1.15,133,051/= A2. 12,364,571 1,628,055 1,719,135 16,130,400 - 21,978,000 - 18,844,800 - - - - 2,288,000 3,700,000 17,032,800 48,048 48,048 62,160 62,160 50,736 50,736 75,665,253 61,,822,853 82,005,135 63,727,135 78,473,421 76,661,421 262,902 216,164 221,635 172,235 259,846 253,846 22.4% 26.7% 23.1% 50AS, 5SS 11 AS 52 A1.1,513,305/= A2. 1,236,457/= 10 A1.=7,455,012/= A2. 5,793,377/= 39 AS, 9 SS 45 A1.2,651,078/= A2. 2,606,412./= A1 8,719,269./= A2 8,517,936./= - 100 - 4.5.2.2 Scenarios B1 versus B2 (Automated Hb electrophoresis and sickling ) The summary of the costs in Sironko and Mbale in the east and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the west using automated capillary Hb electrophoresis and sickling test are as shown in Table 19. When the sickling test is used to screen children at health centers IV and only positives cases are confirmed in Mulago hospital, using automated Hb electrophoresis (scenario B1), the cost Ug Shs 65,991,528 would be incurred in Mbale and Sironko in the first three months, costing Ug Shs 230,740 per test. When only positive samples are confirmed at the regional hospital (scenario B2), Ug Shs 65,433,528 would be incurred costing Ug Shs 228,689 per test therefore saving 0.9% of the original cost.Twenty six children with AS and 5 with SS would be detected in both B1 and B2 . Twenty five AS would live a normal life and only one would not while 4 SS would live to adulthood and one would not. The cost per AS detected in scenario B1 would be Ug Shs 2,538,136 while the cost per AS case in scenario B2 would be Ug Shs 2,516,674. The cost per SS case detected in B1 would be Ug Shs 13,198,305 and the cost in B2 would be Ug Shs 13,086,706. In Mbarara and Ntungamo, the cost of Ug Shs 66,633,583 would be incurred in the first three months in B1 (costing Ug Shs 180,091 per test) and a cost of Ug Shs 65,993,583 would be incurred in B2 (costing Ug Shs 178,361 per test) therefore saving 0.96% of the costs. Five children with AS and none with SS would be detected in both scenarios B1 and B2. All five children with AS would live normal life. The cost per AS detected in scenario B1 would be Ug Shs 13,326,717 while the cost per AS case in scenario B2 would be Ug Shs 13,198,717. - 101 - In Bundibugyo districts Ug Shs 62,845,402 would be incurred when using sickling test on 302 children in the first three months in B1 (costing Ug Shs 208,097 per test) and Ug Shs 62,821,402 in B2 (costing Ug Shs 208,018 per test) thereby saving 0.04%/= of the original cost. The same scenarios would detect 21 AS and 9 SS. Twenty children with AS would live normal life and 1 would not while eight children with SS would grow to adult hood and one would not. The cost per AS and SS case detected in scenario B1 would be Ug Shs 2,992,638/= and Ug Shs 6,982,822 respectively. The cost per AS case detected in scenario B2 would be Ug Shs 2,991,495 and cost per SS case would be Ug Shs 6,980,156. - 102 - Table 19 The costs (Ug Shs) incurred in the first three months in scenarios B1 and B2 in Mbale and Sironko in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West when using automated capillary Hb electrophoresis and sickling test. Variable Cost of automated Hb electrophoresis Consumables for Hob electrophoresis Training costs during establishment of suckling screening services. Cost of equipment, materials and consumables for sickling method Transport cost of mothers to health center Loss of productivity costs Costs on one health staff who delivers positive samples to Mulago hospital Costs on health staff who deliver positive samples to regional hospital Total Cost per test % of costs saved by using B1 and B2 Cases detected Lives saved Cost per AS Sironko and Male Scenario B1 Scenario B2 Mbarara and Ntungamo Scenario B1 Scenario B2 Bundibugyo Scenario B1 Scenario B2 57,858,750 57,858,750 57,858,750 57,858,750 57,858,750 204,930 204,930 51,233 51,233 155,369 155,369 2,261,000 2,261,000 2,280,000 2,280,000 1,415,000 1,415,000 3,890,800 3,890,800 4,097,440 4,097,440 2,092,515 2,092,515 858,000 858,000 1,100,000 1,100,000 906,000 906,000 48,048 48,048 62,160 62,160 33,768 33,768 870,000/= - 1,184,000 - 384,000 - - 312,000 544,000 - 360,000 65,991,528 230,740 0.9% 65,433,528 228,689 65,993,583 178,361 62,845,402 208,097/= 0.04% 62,821,402 208,018/= 26 AS, 5 SS 29 B1 2,538,136, B2. 2,516,674 - 66,633,583 180,091/= 0.96% 5 AS 5 B1 13,326,717 B213,198,717 57,858,750 21 AS, 9 SS 28 B1. AS =2,992,638 B2 = 2,991,495 Cost per SS B1. 13,198,305/=, B2. 13,086,706 B1 SS = 6,961,463 B2 =6,980,156 - 103 - 4.5.2.3 Scenarios B1 versus B2 (Automated Hb electrophoresis and solubility ) The summary of the costs in Sironko and Mbale in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West using automated capillary Hb electrophoresis and solubility test are as shown in Table 20. Using the solubility test, a cost of Ug Shs 63,530,316/= would be incurred in Mbale and Sironko districts in the first three months in B1 (costing Ug Shs 222,134 per test) and Ug Shs 62,972,316 in B2 (costing Ug Shs 220,183 per test) thereby saving Ug Shs 0.9 of the original cost. Thirteen children with AS and 4 with SS would be detected in both B1 and B2. Twelve children with AS would live a normal life and one would not while three SS would live to adulthood and one would not. The cost per AS detected in scenario B1 would be Ug Shs 4,886,947/= mean while the cost per AS case in scenario B2 would be Ug Shs 4,844,024. The cost per SS case detected in B1 would be Ug Shs 15,882,579 and the cost in B2 would be Ug Shs 15,743,079. In Mbarara and Ntungamo districts, Ug Shs 64,128,213 would be incurred in B1 (costing Ug Shs 173,321 per test) and Ug Shs 63,488,213 in B2 (costing Ug Sgs 171,590 per test) thereby saving 1% of the costs. Three children with AS and none with SS would be detected in both scenarios. All 3 children with AS would grow to adulthood. The cost per AS detected in scenario B1 would be Ug Shs 21,376,071 while the cost per AS case in scenario B2 would be Ug Shs 21,149,404. In Bundibugyo, Ug Shs 62,019,646/= would be incurred in the first two months in B1 (costing Ug Shs 205,363 per test) and Ug Shs 61,995,646 in B2 (costing 205,284 per test) - 104 - therefore saving 0.04%. Eleven children with AS and 6 with SS would be detected in both B1 and B2. Ten children with AS would live normal life and one would not mean while 5 with SS would grow to adult hood and one would not. The cost per AS detected in scenario B1 would be Ug Shs 6,201,965 meanwhile the cost per AS case in scenario B2 would be Ug Shs 6,199,565. The cost per SS case detected in B1 would be Ug Shs 15,504,912 and the cost in B2 would be Ug Shs 15,498,987. - 105 - Table 20 The costs (Ug Shs) incurred in the first three months in scenarios B1 and B2 in Mbale and Sironko in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West when using automated capillary Hb electrophoresis and solubility test. Variable Cost of automated Hb electrophoresis Consumables for Hob electrophoresis Training costs during establishment of sickling screening services. Cost of equipment, materials and Consumables for solubility test Transport cost of mothers to health Center Loss of productivity Costs Costs on one health staff who delivers positive samples to Mulago hospital Costs on health staff who deliver positive samples to regional Hospital Total Cost per test % of costs saved by using B1 and B2 Cases detected Lives saved Cost per AS Cost per SS Sironko and Mbale Scenario B1 Scenario B2 57,858,750 57,858,750 Mbarara and Ntungamo Scenario Scenario B2 B1 57,858,750 57,858,750 153,698 153,698 170,775 170,775 153,698 153,698 2,261,000 2,261,000 2,280,000 2,280,000 1,415,000 1,415,000 1,480,820 1,480,820 1,592,070 1,592,070 1,251,462 1,251,462 858,000 858,000 1,100,000 1,100,000 906,000 906,000 48,048 48,048 62,160 62,160 50,736 50,736 870,000/= - 1,184,000 - 384,000 - - 312,000/= - 544,000 - 360,000 63,530,316 222,134 0.9% 62,,972,316 220,183 64,128,213 173,321 1% 63,488,213 171,590 62,019,646 205,363 0.04% 61,995,646 205,284 13 AS and 4 SS 15 B1 4,886,947/= B2 4,844,024/= 3 AS 3. B1=21,376,071/= B2 21,149,404= B115,882,579,/= B2 15,743,079/= Bundibugyo Scenario B1 Scenario B2 57,858,750 57,858,750 10 AS and 4 SS 14 B1. =6,201,965 B2=6,199,565 B1. 15,504,912. B2 15,498,987 - 106 - 4.5.2.4 Automated Hb electrophoresis and peripheral blood method. A summary of the costs in Sironko and Mbale in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West using automated capillary Hb electrophoresis and peripheral blood film method are as shown in Table 21. Using the peripheral blood film method, Ug Shs 65,769,148 would be incurred in B1 in Mbale and Sironko in the first three months (costing 229,962/= per test). In scenario B2, Ug Shs 65,211,148 would be incurred (costing Ug Shs 228,011/= per test) thereby saving 0.8% of the original cost. Seven AS and 2 SS would be detected in both B1 and B2. The cost per AS case detected in scenario B1 would be Ug Shs 9,395,593 meanwhile the cost per AS case in scenario B2 would be Ug Shs 9,315,878. The cost per SS case detected in B1 would be Ug Shs 32,879,574 and the cost in B2 would be Ug Shs 32,914,632. In Mbarara and Ntungamo Ug Shs 66,469,264 would be incurred in scenario B1 in the first three months and the (costing Ug Shs 179,647 per test). In scenario B2, Ug Shs 65,829,264 would be incurred (costing Ug Shs 177,917 per test) thereby saving 0.9%. The cost per AS detected in scenario B1 would be Ug Shs 33,234,632 meanwhile the cost per AS case in scenario B2 would be Ug Shs 32,914,632. In Bundibugyo, Ug Shs 62,793,883 would be incurred in the first two months in B1 (costing Ug Shs 207.927 per test) and Ug Shs 62,769,883 in B2 (costing Ug Shs 207,847 per test) therefore saving 0.04%. All 6 children with AS would live normal life while 4 children with SS would grow to adult and one would not. The cost per AS detected in scenario B1 would be Ug Shs 10,465,639 meanwhile the cost per AS case in scenario B2 - 107 - would be Ug Shs 10,461,647. The cost per SS case detected in B1 would be 12,558,777/= and the cost in B2 would be 12,553,977/=. - 108 - Table 21: The costs (Ug Shs) incurred in the first three months in scenarios B1 and B2 in Mbale and Sironko in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West when using automated capillary Hb electrophoresis and peripheral test. Sironko and Male Mbarara and Bundibugyo Ntungamo Variable Scenario Scenario B1 B2 Cost of automated Hb 57,858,750 57,858,750 electrophoresis Consumables for 79,695 79,695 Hb electrophoresis Training costs 2,261,000 2,261,000 during establishment of sickling screening services. Cost of equipment, 3,793,655 3,793,655 materials and consumables for peripheral method Transport cost of mothers 858,000 858,000 to health center Loss of productivity costs 48,048 48,048 Costs on one health staff 870,000 who delivers positive samples to Mulago hospital Costs on health staff who 312,000 deliver positive samples to regional hospital Total 65,769,148 65,211,148 Cost per test 229,962 228,011 % of costs saved by using 0.8% B1 and B2 Cases detected 7 AS and 2 SS Lives saved 9 Cost per AS B1=9,395,593/= B2=9,315,878/= Cost per SS Scenario B1 57,858,750 Scenario B2 57,858,750 Scenario B1 57,858,750 Scenario B2 57,858,750 39,848 39,848 96,773 96,773 2,280,000 2,280,000 1,415,000 1,415,000 3,944,506 3,944,506 2,082,624 2,082,624 1,100,000 1,100,000 906,000 906,000 62,160 1,184,000 62,160 - 50,736 384,000 50,736 - - 544,000 - 360,000 66,469,264 179,647 0.9% 65,829,264 177,917 62,793,883 207,927 0.04% 62,769,883 207,847 2 AS 2 B133,234,632/= B2.32,914,632/ B1 32,879,574 B232,605,574/= 6 AS and 5 SS 10 B110,465,647/= B210,461,647 /= B112,558,777/= B2 12,553,977./= - 109 - 4.5.2.5 Scenarios A1 and A2 (cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis) A summary of the costs in Sironko and Mbale in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West using only cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis are as shown in Table 22. When cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis is used for sickle cell screening at Mulago National referral hospital, Ug Shs 20,060,448/= would be incurred in A1 on screening 286 children in Mbale and Sironko, in the first three months, (costing Ug Shs 70,141/= per test). In A2, six million, two hundred eighteen thousand and fourty eight shillings (Ug Shs 6,218,048). would be incurred when cellulose acetate is used at the regional hospital (costing Ug Shs 21,714 per test) thereby saving 69% of the original cost. Fifty children with AS and 5 with SS would be detected in both scenarios B1 and B2. In all these scenarios, 48 AS children would live a normal life and 2 would not, while 4 children with SS would live to adulthood and only one would. In A1, the cost per AS case detected would be Ug Shs 401,209, while cost per SS case detected would be Ug Shs 4,012,090. In scenario A2 the cost per AS case detected would be Ug Shs 130,361 meanwhile the cost per SS case detected would be Ug Shs 1,303,610. In Mbarara and Ntungamo Ug Shs 26,165,160 would be incurred in scenario A1 (costing Ug Shs 70,717/= per test) and Ug Shs 7,887,160 in scenario A2 costing Ug Shs 70,717 per test therefore saving 69.9% of the original cost. Ten AS children would live normal life and 1 would not. The cost per AS case detected in scenario A1 would be Ug Shs 2,378,650 while the cost per AS case detected in scenario A2 would be Ug Shs 717,015. - 110 - In Bundibugyo district 22,826,878/= would be incurred in scenario A1 on screening 302 children in the first three months (costing Ug Shs 75,586 per test) and Ug Shs 21,014,878 in scenario A2 (costing Ug Shs 69,586 per test) therefore saving 7.9% of the original cost. In all these scenarios, 39 AS and 9 SS children would be detected and 37 children would live a normal life and two would not, meanwhile 8 children with SS would grow to adulthood and only one would. In scenario A1 the cost per AS case detected would be Ug Shs 585,305/=, while cost per AS cace detected in A2 would be Ug Shs 555,186/=. The cost per SS case detected in A1 would be Ug Shs 2,536,320 while in scenario A2, the cost per SS case detected would be Ug Shs 2,368,320/=. /=. - 111 - Table 22: The costs (Ug Shs) incurred in the first three months in scenarios A1 and A2 in Mbale and Sironko in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West when using only cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis. Sironko and Male Mbarara and Ntungamo Vraibale Scenario A1 Scenario A2 Scenario A1 Cost of cellulose acetate Hb Electrophoresis Consumables for Hb electrophoresis Transport cost of mothers to Mulago, maintenance plus accommodation Transport cost of mothers to regional hospital Loss of productivity costs Total cost Cost per test % of costs saved by using A1 and A2 Cases which would be detected Lives which would be saved Cost per AS 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 882,000 882,000 1,125,000 1,125,000 16,130,400 - 21,978,000 - - 2,288,000 48,048 48,048 62,160 20,060,448 70,141 69% 6,218,048 21,714 26,165,160 70,717 69.9% Scenario A2 3,000,000 3,000,000 931,342 931,342 18,844,800 - 3,700,000 - 17,032,800 62,160 50,736 50,736 22,826,878 75,586/= 7.9% 21,014,878 69,586/= Cost per SS A1 4,012,090/= A2. 1,303,610/= 7,887,160 21,317 11 SS 52 Scenario A1 3,000,000 - 50AS, 5SS A1 401,090/= A2. 130,361/= Scenario A2 10 A1.=2,373,650/= A2. =717,015 Bundibugyo 39 AS, 9 SS 45 A1.585,305/= A2. 555,186./= A12,536,320./= A2 2,368,320./= - 112 - 4.5.2.6 . Comparative analysis of of scenarios B1 versus B2 using cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis and sickling tests A summary of the costs in Sironko and Mbale in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West using cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis and sickling test are as shown in Table 23. When the sickling test is used at district health centers IV and only positives are confirmed at the regional hospital using cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis, Ug Shs 11,119,848 would be incurred in Mbale and Sironko in the first three months in scenario B1 (costing Ug Shs 38,880 per test) and Ug Shs 10,561,848 in B2 costing Ug Shs 36,930 per test) thereby saving 5% of the initial cost. Twenty six children with AS and 5 with SS would be detected in both B1 and B2. In both scenarios, twenty five AS would live normal life and only 1 would not while 4 SS would live to adulthood and 1 would not. The cost per AS case detected in scenario B1 would be Ug Shs 444,794 while the cost per AS case detected in B2 would be Ug Shs 406,225. The cost per SS case detected in B1 would be Ug Shs 2,223,970 while the cost per AS detected in B2 would be Ug Shs 2,112,370. In Mbarara and Ntungamo, Ug Shs 11,855,600 would be incurred in the first three months in B1 (costing Ug Shs 32,042 per test) and Ug Shs 11,215,600 in B2 (costing 30,312 per test) thereby saving 5.4% of the original cost. Five children with AS and none with SS would be detected in both scenarios B1 and B2. All five children with AS would live a normal life. The cost per AS case detected in scenario B1 would be Ug Shs 2,371,120 while the cost per AS case detected in scenario B2 would be Ug Shs 2,243,120 - 113 - In Bundibugyo, Ug Shs 7,973,921 would be incurred in the first three months in B1 (costing Ug Shs 26,404 per test) and Ug Shs 7,949,921 in B2 (costing Ug Shs 26,324 per test) therefore saving 3.0% of the original cost. Twenty one children with AS and nine with SS would be detected in both scenarios B1 and B2. Twenty children with AS would live a normal life and one would not meanwhile eight children with SS would grow to adult hood and one would not. The cost per AS detected in scenario B1 would be Ug Shs 379,711 while the cost per AS case in scenario B2 would be Ug Shs 378,568. The cost per SS case detected in B1 would be Ug Shs 885,911 and the cost in B2 would be Ug Shs 883,325. - 114 - Table 23: The costs (Ug Shs) incurred in the first three months in scenarios B1 and B2 in Mbale and Sironko in the east and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the west when using cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis and sickling test. Sironko and Mbale Mbarara and Ntungamo Variable Scenario B1 Scenario B2 Scenario B1 Scenario B2 Cost of cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis Consumables for Hb electrophoresis and cost of other materials Training costs during establishment of sickling screening services. Cost of equipment, materials and consumables for sickling method Transport cost of mothers to health center Loss of productivity costs Costs on one health staff who delivers positive samples to Mulago hospital Costs on health staff who deliver positive samples to regional hospital Total Cost per test % of costs saved by using B1 and B2 Cases detected Lives saved Cost per AS 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 192,000 192,000 132,000 132,000 192,199 192,199 2,261,000 2,261,000 2,280,000 2,280,000 1,415,000 1,415,000 3,890,800 3,890,800 4,097,440 4,097,440 2.025,986 2,025,986 858,000 858,000 1,100,000 1,100,000 906,000 906,000 48,048 48,048 62,160 62,160 50,736 60,736 870,000/= - 1,184,000 - 384,000/= - - 312,000 544,000 - 360,000 11,215,600 30,312 5.4% 7,973,921 26,404 11,119.848 38,881 10,561,848 36,930 5% 26 AS and 5 SS 29 B1.427,686 /= B2 406,225 /= Scenario B1 - 11,855,600 32,042 Scenario B2 Bundibugyo 5 AS 5 B1 = 2,371,120 /= B2.t= 2,243,120/= 21 AS and 9 SS 28 B1.379,711./= B2. 378,568/= Cost per SS B1.2,223,970/= B2 2,112,370 /= B1 885,991/= B2 883,325/= - 115 - 7,949,921 26,324 0.3% 4.5.2.7. Comparative analysis of scenarios B1 versus B2 using cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis and solubility tests A summary of the costs in Sironko and Mbale in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West using cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis and solubility test are as shown in Table 24. Using the solubility test, Ug Shs 8,585,368 would be incurred in Mbale and Sironko in the first three months in B1 (costing Ug Shs 30,019 per test) and Ug Shs 8,027,368 in B2 (costing Ug Shs 28,067 per test) thereby saving 6.5% of the original cost. Thirteen children with AS and 4 with SS would be detected in both scenarios B1 and B2. In both scenarios twelve children with AS would live a normal life and one would not while 3 SS would grow to adulthood and one would not. The cost per AS case detected in scenario B1 would be Ug Shs 660,413, meanwhile the cost per SS case detected would be Ug Shs 2,146,342. The cost per AS case detected in scenario B2 would be Ug Shs 617,490 while the cost per SS case detected would be Ug Shs 2,006,842. In the districts of Mbarara and Ntungamo, Ug Shs 9,389,230/= would be incurred in B1 (costing Ug Shs 25,376 per test and Ug Shs 8,749,230 in B2 (costing Ug Shs 23,647 per test) thereby saving 6.8% of the original cost. Three children with AS and none with SS would be detected in both scenarios B1 and B2. All three children with AS would grow to adulthood. The cost per AS case detected in scenario B1 would be Ug Shs 3,129,743 while the cost per AS detected in scenario B2 would be Ug Shs 2,916,410. - 116 - In Bundibugyo district, Ug Shs 6,861,556/= would be incurred in the first three months in B1 (costing Ug Shs 22,,720 per test) and Ug Shs 6,837,556 in B2 (costing Ug Shs 22,641 per test) therefore saving 3.4% of the original cost. Eleven children AS and 6 with SS would be detected in both scenarios. Ten children with AS would live a normal life and one would not, while five children with SS would grow to adulthood and one would not. The cost per AS detected in scenario B1 would be Ug Shs 623,778 while the cost per AS case in scenario B2 would beUg Shs 621,596. The cost per SS case detected in B1 would be Ug Shs 1,143,593/= and the cost in B2 would be Ug Shs 1,139,592 /= - 117 - Table 24: The costs (Ug Shs) incurred in the first three months in scenarios B1 and B2 in Mbale and Sironko in the east and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the west when using cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis and solubility test. Sironko and Mbale Mbarara and Ntungamo Variable Scenario B1 Scenario B2 Scenario B1 Cost of cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis Consumables for Hb electrophoresis Cost of other Materials Training costs during establishment of sickling screening services. Cost of equipment, materials and consumables for solubility test Transport cost of mothers to health center Loss of Productivity costs Costs on one health staff who delivers positive samples to Mulago hospital Costs on health staff who deliver positive samples to regional hospital Total Cost per test % of costs saved by using B1 and B2 Cases detected Lives saved Cost per AS Cost per SS 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 67,500 67,500 2,261,000 Scenario B1 Scenario B2 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 171,000 171,000 144,000 144,000 2,261,000 2,280,000 2,280,000 1,415,000 1,415,000 1,480,820 1,480,820 1,592,070 1,592,070 961,671 961,671 858,000 858,000 1,100,000 1,100,000 906,000 906,000 48,048 48,048 62,160 62,160 50,736 50,736 870,000/= - 1,184,000 - 384,000/= - 312,000/= - 544,000 - 8,585,368 30,019 8,027,368 28,067 6.5% 13 AS and 4 SS 15 B1. 660,413 /= B2 617,484/= B1. 2,146,342/= B2 2,006,842 /= 9,389,230 25,376 Scenario B2 Bundibugyo 8,398,230 23,647 10.6% 3 AS 3 B1Cost per AS = 3,129,743/= B2.Cost per AS=2,916,410/= - 118 - 6,861,556 22,720 360,000 6,837,556 22,641 0.3% 11 AS and 6 SS 15 B1. 623,778./= B2. 621,596/= B1 1,143,592/= B2 1,139,592 /= 4.5.2.8 Comparative analysis of scenarios B1 versus B2 using cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis and peripheral blood film method The summary of the costs in Sironko and Mbale in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West using cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis and peripheral blood film method are as shown in Table 25. Using the peripheral blood film method, Ug Shs 10,968,703 would be incurred in B1 the East in the first three months (costing Ug Shs 38,352 per test). In scenario B2, Ug Shs 10,410,703 would be incurred (costing Ug Shs 36,401 per test) therefore saving 5.1% of the original cost). Seven children with AS and 2 with SS would be detected in both scenarios B1 and B2. In both scenarios, all seven children with AS would live a normal life and all two with SS would grow to adulthood. The cost per AS detected in scenario B1 would be Ug Shs 1,566,958 and the cost per SS detected would be Ug Shs 5,484,352. In scenario B2, the cost per AS detected would be Ug Shs 1,487,243 and the cost per SS detected would be Ug Shs 5,205,352. In Mbarara and Ntungamo districts, Ug Shs 11,679,666 would be incurred in scenario B1 in the first three months (costing Ug Shs 31,567 per test). In scenario B2, Ug Shs 10,989,666 would be incurred (costing Ug Shs 29,702 per test) therefore saving 5.5% of the original cost. Two children with AS and none with SS would be detected in both scenarios A1 and A2. The cost per AS detected in scenario B1 would be Ug Shs 5,839,833 while the cost per AS detected in scenario B2 would be Ug Shs 5,494,833. - 119 - In Bundibugyo, Ug Shs 7,927,452 would be incurred in the first three months in B1 (costing Ug Shs 26,250 per test) and Ug Shs 7,903,452 in B2 (costing Ug Shs 26,170 per test therefore saving 3.7%. Six children with AS and 5 with SS would be detected in both scenarios B1 and B2. All six children with AS would live a normal life, while four children with SS would grow to adulthood and one would not. The cost per AS detected in scenario B1 would be Ug Shs 1,321,242 while the cost per AS case in scenario B2 would be Ug Shs 1,317,242. The cost per SS case detected in B1 would be Ug Shs 1,580,690/= and the cost in B2 would be Ug Shs 1,580,690. - 120 - Table 25: The costs (Ug Shs) incurred in the first three months in scenarios B1 and B2 in Male and Sironko in the east and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the west when using cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis and peripheral blood film. Sironko and Male Mbarara and Ntungamo Variable Scenario B1 Scenario B2 Scenario B1 Cost of cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis Consumables for Hb electrophoresis Cost of other Materials Training costs during establishment of sickling screening services. Cost of equipment, materials and consumables for peripheral method Transport cost of mothers to health center Loss of productivity Costs Costs on one health staff who delivers positive samples to Mulago hospital Costs on health staff who deliver positive samples to regional hospital Total Cost per test % of costs saved by using B1 and B2 Cases detected Lives saved Cost per AS 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 28,000 28,000 110,000 Scenario B1 Scenario B2 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 14,000 14,000 34,000 34,000 110,000 95,000 95,000 55,092/= 55,092 2,261,000 2,261,000 2,280,000 2,280,000 1,415,000 1,415,000 3,793,655 3,793,655 3,944,506 3,944,506 2,082,624 2,082,624 858,000 858,000 1,100,000 1,100,000 906,000 906,000 48,048 48,048 62,160 62,160 50,736 50,736 870,000 - 1,184,000 - 384,000 - - 312,000 - 544,000 - 360,000 Cost per SS B1. 5,484,352/= B2 5,205,352/= 10,968,703 38,352 10,410,703 36,401 5.1% 7 AS and 2 SS 9 B1. 1,566,958/= B2. 1,487,243/= 11,679,666 31,567 Scenario B2 Bundibugyo 11,039,666 29,837 5.5% 2 AS 2 B1 = 5,839,833/= B2.=5,579,833/= 7,927,452 26,250 7,903,452 26,170 0.3% 6AS and 5 SS 10 B1. 1,321,242/= B2. 1,317,242/= B1 1,585,490/= B2 1,580,690 /= - 121 - 4.5.2.9 Analysis of establishment of the screening services in Bundibugyo hospital using the automated and Cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis as sickle cell disease screening methods The summary of the costs (Ug Shs) incurred in the first three months when automated capillary and cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis methods are used in Bundibugyo hospital are as shown in Table 26. When the screening services are established at Bundibugyo district hospital using automated Hb electrophoresis, a cost 62,195,621/= would be incurred on 302 children in the the first three months costing 205,946/= per test. Using cellulose acetate, it would cost 6,549,078 costing 21,686 per test and therefore saving 89.5% of the original cost. Thirty nine children with AS and nine with SS would be detected in both scenarios. The cost per AS case detected by automated Hb electrophoresis would be Ug Shs 1,594,760 and cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis Ug Shs 167,927. - 122 - Table 26: The costs (Ug Shs) incurred in the first three months when automate capillary and cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis methods are used in Bundibugyo hospital. Variable Automated Cellulose acetate Cost of automated Hb electrophoresis Consumables for electrophoresis 57,858,750 - Hb 1,719,135 Cost of cellulose acetate Consumables for cellulose acetate Cost of consumables for Hb electrophoresis and other materials Transport cost of mothers Bundibugyo hospital Lunch Loss of productivity costs Total Cost per test % of costs saved by using Automated and cellulose Cases detected Lives saved Cost per AS to 2,114,000 Cost per SS 453,000 50,736 62,195,621 205,946 - 3,000,000 604,000 327,342 2,114,000 453,000 50,736 6,549,078 21,686 89.5% 39 AS and 9 SS 45 Automated 1,594,760/= Cellulose 167,925 /= Automated 6,910,625 Cellulose 729,673/= - 123 - 4.5.2.10 Analysis of establishment of the screening services in Bundibugyo hospital using the automated and Cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis and sickling tests The summary of the costs (Ug Shs) incurred in the first three months when automated capillary and cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis methods are used in Bundibugyo hospital together with sickling test are as shown in Table 27. When the automated Hb electrophoresis service is established in Bundibugyo hospital for confirmation of positive cases generated by the sickling test established at district health center IV, a cost of 62,569,402/= would be incurred on 302 children in the first three months costing 207,183/= per test. When cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis is used, cost of 7,597,722 would be incurred on these children in the first three months costing 25,158 per test thereby saving 87.9% of the original cost. Twenty one children with AS and nine children with SS would be detected by both automated and cellulose. The cost per AS case detected by automated would be Ug Shs 2,979,495 and cellulose Ug Shs 461,796. The cost per SS case detected by automated and cellulose acetate would be Ug Shs 6,952,156 and 844,191. Twenty one children with AS and nine with SS would be detected by both services. The summary of the costs were as shown in Table 27 - 124 - Table 27: The costs (Ug Shs) incurred in the first three months when automated and cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis methods are used with sickling test in Bundibugyo hospital. Variable Automated and sickling Cellulose and sickling Cost of automated Hob electrophoresis Consumables for automated Hb electrophoresis Cost of cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis consumables for cellulose Hb electrophoresis Other costs Training costs during establishment of sickling screening services. Cost of equipment, materials and consumables for sickling method Transport cost of mothers to health center Loss of productivity costs Costs on one health staff who delivers positive samples to Bundibugyo Hospital Total Cost per test % of costs saved by using Automated and cellulose Cases detected Lives saved Cost per AS Cost per SS 57,858,750 - 204,930 - - 3,000,000 1,415,000 72,000 327,342 1,415,000 2,025,986 2,025,986 906,000 906,000 50,736 108,000 50,736 108,000 62,569,402 207,183 7,597,722 25,158 87.9% 21 AS, 9 SS 28 Automated 2,979,495/= Cellulose 361,796 /= Automated 6,952,156 Cellulose 844,191/= - 125 - 4.5.2.11. Projections of the costs (Ug Shs) of establishing the automated Hb electrophoresis screening service with time The summary of the accumulative costs, number of children detected, money saved in Sironko and Mbale in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West using Automated cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis method are as shown in Table 28. The costs of the screening services were projected forward for a period of five years. In one year, 1,144 children would be screened in Mbale and Sironko and 1480 children in Mbarara and Ntungmao districts. One thousand two hundred eight children would be screened in Bundibugyo district. When the automated Hb electrophoresis screening method is used, a cost of Ug Shs 71,226,012 would be incurred in year 1 in scenario A1, in Eastern Uganda, (costing Ug Shs 62,261 per test). In A2, Ug Shs 15,856,412 in A2 would be incurred (costing Ug Shs 13,861 per test) therefore saving 77.7% of the original cost. Two hundred AS and 20 SS children would be detected in both scenarios, (costing Ug Shs 356,130 and 79,282 per AS case detected in A1 and A2 respectively. The cost per SS case detected in A1 would be Ug Shs 3,561,301 and in A2 Ug Shs 792,821 respectively. In Mbarara and Ntungamo, Ug Shs 96,585,540 would be incurred on scenario A1 in year 1 (costing Ug Shs 65,261 per test) and Ug Shs 23,473,540 in A2 (costing Ug Shs 15,861 per test) therefore saving 75.7% of the original cost. Forty four children with AS would - 126 - be detected in both scenarios costing Ug Shs 2,195,126 per AS case detected in A1 and costing Ug Shs 533,490/= per AS detected in A2. In Bundibugyo district, a cost of Ug Shs 82,458,684 would be incurred in year1 in scenario A1 (costing Ug Shs 68,261 per test) and Ug Shs 75,210,684 in scenario A2 (costing 62,261 per test) therefore saving 8.8% of the original cost. One hundred and fifty six AS and 36 SS would be detected in both A1and A2. A cost per AS case detected in A1 would be Ug Shs 528,581 and cost per AS case detected in A2 would be Ug Shs 482,120. The cost per SS cases detected in A1 and A2 would be Ug Shs 2,290,519/= and Ug Shs 2,089,186 respectively. - 127 - Table 28: The reflection of the accumulative costs (Ug Shs) with time in scenarios A1 and A2 using Automated Hb electrophoresis screening method in Mbale and Sironko in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West. Variable A1 A2 AS SS Money saved A1 A2 AS SS Money saved A1 A2 AS SS Money saved A1 A2 AS SS Money saved A1 A2 AS SS Money saved Sironko / Mbale Mbarara/ Ntungamo Bundibugyo Year 1 71,226,012 15,856,412 200 20 77.7% Year2 144,588,804 32,188,516 406 41 155.4% Year 3 220,152,480 49,010,583 618 63 233% Year 4 297,983,066 66,337,312 837 86 310.8% Year 5 378,148,570 84,183,843 1,063 110 388.5% Year 1 96,585,540 23,473,540 44 0 75.7% Year 2 196,068,646 47,651,286 85 0 151.4% Year 3 298,536,245 72,554,364 131 0 227.1% Year 4 404,077,872 98,204,534 181 0 302.8% Year 5 512,785,748 124,624,209 230 0 398.9 Year 1 82,458,684 75,210,684 156 36 8.8% Year 2 167,391,129 152,677,689 317 73 17.6% Year 3 254,871,547 232,468,705 483 111 26.4% Year 4 344,976,378 314,653,451 654 150 35.2% Year 5 437,984,354 399,303,739 830 190 44% - 128 - 4.5.2.12. Projections of the costs (Ug Shs) of establishing cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis screening service with time A summary of the calculations of the accumulative costs and the children detected and money saved when using cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis as a screening method in the districts of Male and Sironko in the East and Mbarara /Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West are as shown in Table 29. When cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis screening method is used, a cost of 67,844,792/= would be incurred in Mbale and Sironko in year1 (costing Ug Shs 59,305 per test), in scenario A1 and 12,475,192/= in scenario A2 (costing Ug Shs 10.905 per test) therefore saving 81.6% of the original cost. Two hundred AS and 20 SS children would be detected in both A1and A2. The cost per AS case detected in A1 would be Ug Shs 339,224 and in A2 Ug Shs 62,376 respectively. The cost per SS case detected in A1 and A2 would be Ug Shs 3,392,240 and Ug Shs 623,760 respectively. In Mbarara and Ntungamo, Ug Shs 92,240,640 would be incurred on scenario A1 and Ug Shs 19,128,640/= in A2 in year 1 thereby saving Ug Shs 79.3%. The cost per test in A1 would be Ug Shs 62,325 and Ug Shs 12,925 in A2. Fourty four AS cases would be detected in both A1 and A2. Ther cost per AS in A1 would be Ug Shs 2,096,378 while the cost per AS case deteced in A2 would be Ug Shs 434,742. More children with sickle disease would be identified and more money would be saved in the subsequent years by both interventions. - 129 - In Bundibugyo district, a cost of 79,307,512/= would be incurred in year 1 in scenario A1 and (costing Ug Shs 65,652 per test) and Ug Shs 72,059,512 in scenario A2 (costing Ug Shs 59,652 per test) therefore saving Ug Shs 9.1% of the original cost. One hundred and fifty six AS and 36 SS children would be detected in both A1 and A2. A cost per AS case detected in A1 would be Ug Shs 508,381 and cost per AS case detected in A2 would be Ug Shs 461,920. The cost per SS cases detected in A1 and A2 would be Ug Shs 2,202,986 and 2,001,653 respectively. In year 2 and subsequent years, more children - 130 - Table 29: The reflection of the accumulative costs (Ug Shs) with time in scenarios A1 and A2 using cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis screening method in Mbale and Sironko in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West. A1 A2 AS SS Money saved A1 A2 AS SS Money saved A1 A2 AS SS Money saved A1 A2 AS SS Money saved A1 A2 AS SS Money saved Sironko / Mbale Mbarara/ Ntungamo Bundibugyo Year 1 67,844,792 12,475,192 200 20 81.6% Year2 132,368,032 25,324,640 406 41 163.2% Year 3 206,796,969 38,559,571 618 63 244.8% Year 4 279,338,774 52,191,550 837 86 326.4% Year 5 354,056,833 66,232,488 1,063 110 408% Year 1 92,240,640 19,128,640 44 0 79.3% Year 2 187,248,499 38,831,139 85 0 158.6% Year 3 285,106,594 59,124,713 131 0 237.9% Year 4 385,900,434 80,027,094 181 0 317.2% Year 5 489,718,089 101,556,546 230 0 396.5% Year 1 79,307,512 72,059,512 156 36 9.1% Year 2 160,994,249 146,280,791 317 73 18.2% Year 3 245,131,588 222,728,708 483 111 36.4% Year 4 331,793,047 301,470,062 654 150 45.5% Year 5 421,054,350 382,573, 656 830 190 54.6% - 131 - 4.5.2.13. Projections of the costs (Ug Shs) of establishing sickling test and automated Hb electrophoresis screening service with time. A summary of the accumulative costs, number of children detected and money saved in Sironko and Mbale in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West using Automaated Hb electrophoresis method with sickling test are as shown in Table 30. When the sickling test is used together with the automated capillary Hb electrophoresis method, Ug Shs 9,565,912 would be incurred in the East in B1 and Ug Shs 7,147,912 in B2 in year 1, therefore saving 25% of the original cost. The cost per test in scenario B1 and B2 would be Ug Shs 8,362 and Ug Shs 6,248 respectively. One hundred and four AS and 20 SS children would be detected in both scenarios B1 and B2. The cost per AS case detected in B1would be Ug Shs 91,980 and in B2 Ug Shs 68,780. The cost per SS case detected in B1 and B2 would be Ug Shs 478,296 and Ug Shs 357,396 respectively. In Mbarara and Ntungamo Ug Shs 10,920,130 would be incurred in B1 and Ug Shs 8,840,130 in B2 thereby saving 19% of the cost. The cost per test in scenario B1 and B2 would be Ug Shs 7,378 and 5,973 respectively. Twenty AS 0 SS children would be detected in both B1 and B2. The cost per AS case detected in B1would be Ug Shs 546,007 and Ug Shs 442,007 in B2. In Bundibugyo, when the sickling test is used, a cost of Ug Shs 7,949,008 would be incurred in B1 and Ug Shs 7,805,008 in B2 therefore saving 1.8% of the original cost. The cost per test in scenario B1 and B2 would be Ug Shs 6,580 and Ug Shs 6,461 respectively. - 132 - Eighty four AS and 36 SS children would be detected in both B1 and B2. The cost per AS case detected in B1 would be Ug Shs 94,631 and in B2 Ug Shs 92,917. The cost per SS case detected in B1 and B2 would be Ug Shs 220,806 and 216,806 respectively. - 133 - Table 30: The reflection of the accumulative costs (Ug Shs) with time in scenarios B1 and B2 using Automated Hb electrophoresis screening method with sickling in Mbale and Sironko in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West. B1 B2 AS SS Money saved B1 B2 AS SS Money saved B1 B2 AS SS Money saved B1 B2 AS SS Money saved B1 B2 AS SS Money saved Sironko / Mbale Mbarara/ Ntungamo Bundibugyo Year 1 9,565,912 7,147,912 104 20 25% Year2 19,418,801 14, 510,261 211 41 50% Year 3 29,567,277 22,093,480 321 63 75% Year 4 40,020,207 29,904,196 434 86 100.8% Year 5 50,786,725 37,947,233 550 110 388.5% Year 1 10,920,130 8,840,130 20 0 19% Year 2 22,167,864 17,945,464 41 0 38% Year 3 33,753,030 27,323,9 58 63 0 57% Year 4 44,685,751 36,938,807 86 0 76% Year 5 42,202,361 41,653,242 110 0 95% Year 1 7,9 49,008 7,805,008 84 36 1.8% Year 2 16,136,486 15,844,166 169 73 3.6% Year 3 24,569,683 24,124,499 257 111 5.4% Year 4 33.255,683 32,653,242 348 150 7.2% Year 5 42,202,361 41,653,242 442 190 9.0% - 134 - 4.5.2.14. Projections of the costs (Ug Shs) of establishing solubility test and automated Hb Hb electrophoresis test screening service with time A summary of the accumulative costs, number of children detected and money saved in Sironko and Mbale in the east and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the west using automaated Hb electrophoresis method with solubility test are as shown in Table 31. Using the solubility method, a cost of Ug sh 11,766,602 would be incurred in year 1 in scenario B1 and Ug Shs 9,348,602 in B2 in Mbale and Sironko therefore saving 20.5% of the original cost. The cost per test in scenario B1 and B2 would be Ug Shs 10,285 and 8,172 respectively. Fifty two AS and 16 SS cases would be detected in both B1 and B2. The cost per AS case detected in B1would be Ug Shs 226,280 and in B2 Ug Shs 179,780. The cost per SS case detected in B1 and B2 would be Ug Shs 735,413/= and 584,288/= respectively. In Mbarara and Ntungamo, a cost of Ug Shs 13,376,820 and Ug Shs 11,296,820 would be incurred in B1 and B2 respectively therefore saving 15.5% of the original cost. Twelve AS and 0 SS cases would be detected. The cost per test in scenario B1 and B2 would be Ug Shs 9,038 and 7,633 respectively. The cost per AS case detected in B1 would be Ug Shs 1,114,735 and in B2 Ug Shs 941,402. Using the solubility test, a cost of Ug Shs 10,645,982/= would be incurred in B1 and Ug Shs 10,501,982 in B2 in Bundibugyo district therefore saving 1.4% of the original cost.. The cost per test in scenario B1 and B2 would be Ug Shs 8,813 and Ug Shs 8,694 - 135 - respectively. Fourty four AS and 24 SS cases would be detected in both scenarios. The cost per AS case detected in B1 would be 241,954/= and in B2 Ug Shs 238,681. The cost per SS case detected in B1 and B2 would be Ug Shs 443,583 and 437,583 respectively. - 136 - Table 31: The reflection of the accumulative costs (Ug Shs) with time in scenarios B1 and B2 using Automated Hb electrophoresis screening method with solubility in Mbale and Sironko in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West. B1 B2 AS SS Money saved B1 B2 AS SS Money saved B1 B2 AS SS Money saved B1 B2 AS SS Money saved B1 B2 AS SS Money saved Sironko / Mbale Mbarara/ Ntungamo Bundibugyo Year 1 11,766,602 9,348,602 52 16 20.5% Year2 23,886,202 18,977,662 106 33 41% Year 3 36,369,390 28,895,594 162 51 61% Year 4 49,227,074 39,111,064 220 70 82% Year 5 62,470,489 49,632,998 280 90 102.5% Year 1 13,376,820 11,296,820 12 0 15.5% Year 2 27,154,945 22,932,545 24 0 31% Year 3 41,346,414 34,917,342 37 0 46.5% Year 4 55,963,627 47,261,683 50 0 62% Year 5 71,019,356 59,976,354 64, 0 77.5% Year 1 10,645,982 10,501,982 44 24 1.4% Year 2 21,611,343 21,319,023 89 49 2.8% Year 3 32,905,665 32,460,575 135 75 4.2% Year 4 44,538,817 43,936,374 182 102 5.6% Year 5 56,520,964 55,756,447 230 130 7.0% - 137 - 4.5.2.15. Projections of the costs (Ug Shs) of establishing peripheral blood film method and automated Hb electrophoresis screening service with time. A summary of the accumulative costs, number of children detected and money saved in Sironko and Mbale in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West using automated Hb electrophoresis method with solubility test are as shown in Table 32. When the peripheral blood film method is used together with Hb electrophoresis, Ug Shs 8,876,392 would be incurred in year 1 in scenario B1 and Ug Shs 6,458,392 in B2 in Eastern Uganda therefore saving 27%. The cost per test in scenario B1 and B2 would be Ug Shs 7,759 and 5,645 respectively. Twenty four AS and 12 SS children would be detected in both B1 and B2. The cost per AS case detected in B1 would be Ug Shs 369,850 and in B2 Ug Shs 269,100. The cost per SS case detected in B1 and B2 would be Ug Shs 739,699 and 538,199 respectively. In Mbarara and Ntungamo, a cost of Ug Shs 10,262,854 would be incurred in B1 and Ug Shs 8,182,854 in B2 therefore saving 20% of the original cost. The cost per test in scenario B1 and B2 would be Ug Shs 6,934 and 5,529 respectively. Eight AS and 0 SS children would be detected in both B1 and B2. The cost per AS case detected in B1would be Ug Shs 1,282,857 and in B2 Ug Shs 1,022,85 respectively. When the peripheral blood film is used in Bundibugyo district, a cost of Ug Shs 7,742,930 would be incurred in B1 and Ug Shs 7,598,930 in B2 therefore saving 1.9 % of the original cost. The cost per test in scenario B1 and B2 would be Ug Shs 6,410 and - 138 - 6,291 respectively. Twenty four AS and 20 SS children would be detected in both A1 and A2. The cost per AS case detected in B1 would be Ug Shs 322,622 and in B2 Ug Shs 316,622. The cost per SS case detected in B1 and B2 would be Ug Shs 387,147 and 379,947 respectively. More money will be saved and more children with AS and SS will be detected by these methods in the subsequent years. - 139 - Table 32: The reflection of the accumulative costs (Ug Shs) with time in scenarios B1 and B2 using Automated Hb electrophoresis screening method with peripheral blood method in Mbale and Sironko in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West. Sironko / Mbale Mbarara/ Ntungamo Bundibugyo Year 1 Year 1 Year 1 B1 B2 AS SS Money saved 8,876,392 6,458,392 10,262,854 8,182,854 7,742,930 7,598,930 24 12 27% Year2 8 0 20% Year 2 24 20 1.9% Year 2 B1 B2 AS SS Money saved 18,019,076 13,110,536 20,833,324 16,611,194 15,485,860 15,425,828 49 24 54% Year 3 16 0 40% Year 3 49 41 3.8% Year 3 B1 B2 AS SS Money saved 27,436,041 19,962,244 31,721,186 25,292,384 23,700,335 23,487,533 62 37 81% Year 4 24 0 60% Year 4 75 62 5.7% Year 4 B1 B2 AS SS Money saved 37,135,515 27,019,503 42,935,684 34,234,010 32,161,244 31,791,089 87 50 109% Year 5 33 0 80% Year 5 102 85 7.6% Year 5 B1 B2 AS SS Money saved 47,125,973 34,288,480 54,486,617 43,443,885 40,879,980 40,343,752 113 64 136% 42 0 100% 130 109 9.5% - 140 - 4.5.2.16. Projections of the costs (Ug Shs) of establishing sickling and cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis screening service with time A summary of the accumulative costs, number of children detected and money saved in Sironko and Mbale in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West using cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis method with sickling test are as shown in Table 33. When the sickling test is used together with cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis, Ug Shs 9,131,192 would be incurred in the Mbale and Sironko in B1 and Ug Shs 6,713,192 in B2 in year 1, thereby saving 27% of the original cost. The cost per test in scenario B1 and B2 would be Ug Shs 7,982 and 5,868 respectively. One hundred and four AS and 20 SS children would be detected in both A1 and A2. The cost per AS case detected in B1 would be Ug Shs 87,800 and in B2 Ug Shs 64,650 respectively. The cost per SS case detected in B1 and B2 would be Ug Shs 456,560 and 335,660 respectively. In Mbarara and Ntungamo Ug Shs 10,812,200 would be incurred in B1 and Ug Shs 8,732,200 in B2 therefore saving 19% of the original cost. The cost per test in scenario B1 and B2 would be Ug Shs 7,305 and 5,900 respectively. Twenty AS and 0 SS would be detected in both B1 and B2. The cost per AS case detected in B1would be Ug Shs 540,610 and 436,610 in B2. In Bundibugyo, when the sickling test is used, a cost of Ug Shs 7,898,084 would be incurred in B1 and Ug Shs 7,754,084 in B2 therefore saving 1.8% of the original cost. The cost per test in scenario B1 and B2 would be Ug Shs 6,538 and 6,419 respectively. Eighty - 141 - four AS and 36 SS children would be detected in both B1 and B2. The cost per AS case detected in B1 would be Ug Shs 94,025 and in B2 92,311. The cost per SS case detected in B1 and B2 would be Ug Shs 219,391 and Ug Shs 215,391 respectively. - 142 - Table 33: The reflection of the accumulative costs (Ug Shs) with time in scenarios B1 and B2 using cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis screening method with sickling test in Mbale and Sironko in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West. Sironko / Mbale Mbarara/ Ntungamo Bundibugyo Year 1 Year 1 Year 1 B1 B2 AS SS Money saved 9,131,192 6,713,192 10,812,200 8,732,200 7,898,084 7,754,084 104 20 27% Year2 20 0 19% Year 2 84 36 1.8% Year 2 B1 B2 AS SS Money saved 18,536,320 13,627,780 21,948,766 17,726,366 16,033.111 15,740,791 211 41 54% Year 3 41 0 38% Year 3 169 73 3.6% Year 3 B1 B2 AS SS Money saved 28,223,602 20,749,806 33,419,429 26,990,357 24,412,189 23,967,099 321 63 81% Year 4 63 0 57% Year 4 257 111 5.4% Year 4 B1 B2 AS SS Money saved 38,201502 28,085.493 45,234,212 36,532,268 33,042,639 32,440,196 434 86 109% Year 5 86 0 76% Year 5 348 150 7.2% Year 5 B1 B2 AS SS Money saved 48,478,739 35,641,251 57,403,439 46,360,436 41,932,003 41,167,486 550 110 136% 110 0 95% 442 190 9.0% - 143 - 4.5.2.17. Projections of the costs (Ug Shs) of establishing solubility and cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis screening services with time A summary of the accumulative costs, number of children detected and money saved in Sironko and Mbale in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West using automated Hb electrophoresis method with solubility test are as shown in Table 34. Using the solubility test, a cost of Ug Shs 11,381,272 would be incurred in year 1 in scenario B1 and Ug Shs 8,963,272 in B2 in Mbale and Sironko therefore saving 21% of the original cost. The cost per test in scenario B1 and B2 would be Ug Shs 9,947 and Ug Shs 7,835 respectively. Fifty two AS and 16 SS children would be detected in both B1 and B2. The cost per AS case detected in B1 would be Ug Shs Ug Shs 218,871 and Ug Shs 172,371 in B2 . The cost per SS case detected in B1 and B2 would be Ug Shs 569,060 and 560,205. In Mbarara and Ntungamo, a cost of Ug Shs 13,122,720 and Ug Shs 11,042,720 would be incurred in B1 and B2 respectively therefore saving 16% of the original cost. The cost per test in scenario B1 and B2 would be Ug Shs 8,867 and 7,461 respectively. Twelve AS and 0 SS children would be detected in both B1 and B2. The cost per AS case detected in B1would be Ug Shs 1,093,560 and Ug Shs 920,227 in B2 respectively. When the solubility test is used in Bundibugyo district, a cost of Ug Shs 10,391,788 would be incurred in B1 and Ug Shs 10,247,788 in B2 therefore saving 1.4% of the cost. The cost per test in scenario B1 and B2 would be Ug Shs 8,602 and 8,483 respectively. - 144 - Fourty four AS and 24 SS children would be detected in both B1 and B2. The cost per AS case detected in B1 would be Ug Shs 236,177 and in B2 Ug Shs 232,904 The cost per SS case detected in B1 and B2 would be Ug Shs 432,991 and Ug Shs 426,991 respectively. - 145 - Table 34: The reflection of the accumulative costs (Ug Shs) with time in scenarios B1 and B2 using cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis screening method with solubility in Mbale and Sironko in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West. Sironko / Mbale Mbarara/ Ntungamo Bundibugyo Year 1 Year 1 Year 1 B1 B2 AS SS Money saved 11,381,272 8,963,272 13,122,720 11,042,720 10,391,788 10,247,788 52 16 21% Year2 12 0 16% Year 2 44 24 1.4% Year 2 B1 B2 AS SS Money saved 23,103,982 18,195,442 26,639,122 22,416,722 21,095,533 20,803,010 106 33 42% Year 3 24 0 32% Year 3 89 49 2.8% Year 3 B1 B2 AS SS Money saved 35,178,373 27,704,577 40,561,016 32,120,181 31,674,889 162 51 63% Year 4 34,917,342 37 0 48% Year 4 B1 B2 AS SS Money saved 47,614,996 37,498,986 54,900,567 46,198,622 43,475,568 42,872,924 220 70 84% Year 5 50 0 64% Year 5 182 102 5.6% Year 5 B1 B2 AS SS Money saved 60,424,718 47,542,227 72,670,302 58,627,300 54,830,955 54,406,900 280 90 105% 64, 0 80% 230 130 7.0% - 146 - 135 75 4.2% Year 4 4.5.2.18. Projections of the costs (Ug Shs) of establishing peripheral blood and cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis screening services with time A summary of the accumulative costs, number of children detected and money saved in Sironko and Mbale in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West using automated Hb electrophoresis method with solubility test are as shown in Table 35. When the peripheral blood film method is used together with Hb electrophoresis, Ug Shs 8,823,812 would be incurred in year 1 in scenario B1 and Ug Shs 6,405,812 in B2 in Eastern Uganda therefore saving 27.4% of the original cost. The cost per test in scenario B1 and B2 would be Ug Shs 7,713 and 5,599 respectively. Twenty four AS and 12 SS children would be detected in both B1 and B2. The cost per AS case detected in B1would be Ug Shs 367,659 and Ug Shs 266,909 in B2. The cost per SS case detected in B1 and B2 would be Ug Shs 735,318 and 533,818. In Mbarara and Ntungamo, a cost of Ug Shs 10,198,464 would be incurred in B1 and Ug Shs 8,118,464 in B2 therefore saving 20.4% of the original cost. The cost per test in scenario B1 and B2 would be Ug Shs 6,890 and 5,485 respectively. Eight AS and 0 SS children would be detected in both B1 and B2. The cost per AS case detected in B1would be Ug Shs 1,274,808 and Ug Shs 1,014,808 in B2. When the peripheral blood film method, is used in Bundibugyo, a cost of Ug Shs 8,327,335 would be incurred in B1 and Ug Shs 8,183,335 in B2 therefore saving 1.7% of the original cost. The cost per test in scenario B1 and B2 would be Ug Shs 6,927 and - 147 - 6,807 respectively. Twenty four AS and 20 SS children would be detected in both B1 and B2. The cost per AS case detected in B1 would be Ug Shs 346,639 and in B2 Ug Shs 342,639. The cost per SS case detected in B1 and B2 would be Ug Shs 4,18,367 and 411,168 respectively. - 148 - Table 35: The reflection of the accumulative costs (Ug Shs) with time in scenarios B1 and B2 using cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis screening method with peripheral blood method in Mbale and Sironko in the East and Mbarara, Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West. Sironko / Mbale Mbarara/ Ntungamo Bundibugyo Year 1 Year 1 Year 1 B1 B2 AS SS Money saved 8,823,812 6,405,812 10,198,464 8,118,464 8,327,335 8,183,335 24 12 27% Year2 8 0 20.4% Year 2 24 20 1.9% Year 2 B1 B2 AS SS Money saved 17,912,335 13,993,798 20,833,324 16,611,194 16,904,490 16,612,170 49 24 54% Year 3 16 0 40.8% Year 3 49 41 3.8% Year 3 B1 B2 AS SS Money saved 27,273,517 19,799,724 31,522,433 25,093,361 25,738,960 25,293,870 62 37 81% Year 4 24 0 61.2% Year 4 75 62 5.7% Year 4 B1 B2 AS SS Money saved 36,915,564 26,799,528 42,666,570 33,964,625 34,834,464 34,236,021 87 50 109% Year 5 33 0 80.6% Year 5 102 85 7.6% Year 5 B1 B2 AS SS Money saved 46,846,842 34,009,326 54,145,032 43,102,029 44,206,951 40,343,752 113 64 136% 42 0 101% 130 109 9.5% - 149 - 4.5.2.19. Projections of the costs (Ug Shs) of establishing automated and cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis screening services with time in Bundibugyo hospital A summary of the accumulative costs, number of children detected and money saved when screening is done in Bundibugyo hospital in the west using either automated or cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis methods with sickling test are as shown in Table 36. Using the automated Hb electrophoresis in Bundibugyo hospital, a cost of Ug Shs 17,347,484 would be incurred on 1,208 children in year one at Ug. Shs 14,361 per test. One hundred and fifty six AS and 36 SS would be detected. Using cellulose acetate Hb elecetrophoresis, Ug Shs 14,196,912 would be incurred on these children in year one at Ug Shs 11,752 per test. Eighty four AS and 36 SS would be detected therefore saving 18%. When the automated is used together with sickling test, a cost of Ug Shs 6,113,022 would be incurred on these children in year one at Ug Shs 5,060 per test. The same number of AS and SS would be detected. When cellulose acetate is used together with sickling test, Ug Shs 6,602,656 would be incurred on these children in year one at Ug Shs 5,466 per test. The same number of AS and SS would be detected, therefore saving Ug Shs 7% of the original cost. - 150 - Table 36: The reflection of the accumulative costs (Ug Shs) with time of establishing either automated or cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis alone or with sickling test in Bundibugyo hospital. Period Money incurred AS SS Money Saved Period Money incurred AS SS Money saved Period Money incurred AS SS Money saved Period Money incurred AS SS Money saved Period Money incurred AS SS Money saved Automated Cellulose alone alone Year 1 Year 1 17,347,484 14,196,912 156 156 36 36 18.2% Year 2 Year 2 35,215,393 28,819,731 317 317 73 73 36.4% Year 3 Year 3 Automated with sickling Year 1 6,113,022 84 36 53,619,339 18,894,740 482 111 Year 4 72,575,403 652 150 Year 5 92,100,149 827 190 43,881,235 482 111 54.6% Year 4 Year 2 12,409,431 169 73 Year 3 257 111 Year 4 59,394,584 652 150 72.8% Year 5 25,574,604 348 150 Year 5 75,373,334 827 190 91% 32,454,864 442 190 - 151 - Cellulose with sickling Year 1 6,602,656 84 36 7.4% Year 2 13,403,392 169 73 15.4% Year 3 20,408,150 257 111 22.8% Year 4 27,623,051 348 150 30.2% Year 5 35,054,399 442 190 37.6% 4.6 Methodological issues 4.6.1 Logistics Although I wanted to sample more districts, it was not possible because of financial constraints. 4.6.2 Knowledge, attitudes and beliefs of the communities in Eastern and Western Uganda about sickle cell disease and its detection (KAP). The estimated sample size might have been under estimated because in the analysis I did not take into consideration or account of the possible design effect by multistage sampling. Since the study sampled only the households with children, the findings were therefore not representative of all the households. The fact that the selection of the study districts was done using convenient sampling, the rest of the districts in Eastern and Western Uganda were therefore not given equal chance to be represented. So the results on knowledge, attitudes and beliefs about SCD can not be generalized as representative of the whole Eastern and Western Uganda. 4.6.3 Current prevalence of sickle cell disease in Eastern, Mbarara/Ntungamo and Bundibugyo in the West. Since our study sampled only children and not adults, our findings could have biased the statistical comparison between these findings and findings of Lehmann and Raper study which used all ages including adults. Just like KAP study, the current results on - 152 - prevalence can not be generalized as representative of the whole Eastern and Western Uganda. 3.6.3. Reliability study It was not possible to differentiate between haemoglobin AS and SS using sickling and solubility tests and peripheral blood film method. They only demonstrated the presence of sickle cells in the samples which were then confirmed by Hb electrophoresis as either AS or SS. Although Hb electrophoresis was used as “a gold standard”, better screening methods such as automated capillary Hb electrophoresis, iso-electric focusing (IEF) and high liquid chromatography (HPLC) are today available. 3.6.4 Cost benefit analysis study Some of the costs in cost benefit analysis were estimated and were therefore not accurate costs. - 153 - CHAPTER FIVE DISCUSSION 5.1. Knowledge gaps attitudes and beliefs about sickle cell disease This study was undertaken with the main aim of establishing sickle cell screening services at health centers IV in the districts of Uganda so that cases of SCD can be detected as early as possible to enable optimal management of the disease. It focused on finding out about knowledge gaps, attitudes and beliefs of the communities in some districts about sickle cell disease as one of its specific objectives. Whereas there was increased awareness about SCD among household communities in the Eastern region compared to those from the West 142, (see appendix ix) as expected, these findings could have been influenced by differences in the prevalence SCD in these study populations 7,. These results were similar to those presented by Armeli in which it was noted that persons from areas of high prevalence of SCD were more likely to be more aware of it than those from areas of low prevalence89. This observation was further augmented by the fact that although the urban respondents who had secondary, tertiary and university education, watched televisions and read news papers (Table 11) were more aware of SCD than their rural counterparts ((Table 7) who - 154 - mostly had primary education and whose main sources of information about health were health visitors and radio (Table 11), the difference was statistically not significant. The likely reason for this finding was that the awareness of SCD was probably sensitve to the prevalence of SCD other than location and education back ground. The beliefs about SCD were diverse among the respondents in these communities. Whilst the majority believed SCD was acquired from parents, a few believed that it was acquired as “a curse from GOD”, and was due to witchcraft (Table 8). These observations are in agreement with the study by Ohaeri and Shokunbi which indicated that whilst the majority of the respondents believed that SCD was a natural or genetic phenomenon, a few believed it was acquired as a curse from God and witchcraft42. These findings are also similar to those of Treadwell and colleagues which noted that although the majority of the respondents correctly believed that sickle was inherited from parents, a few believed that it was acquired through blood transfusion and was contagious90. These imaginations at times degenerate into witch-hunting, leading to unnecessary deaths of innocent people within the communities. Sensitization and community education is therefore of paramount importance in areas with high prevalence of such diseases. Whereas certain studies have found high positive attitude towards sickle cell disease screening to be linked to improved management of SCD143, this study showed that although the majority of the respondents who included health workers were positive towards sickle cell screening, the screening services were lacking at the health centers in the district of Uganda. This probably explains why most of the district health centers - 155 - were not screening for SCD and highlights why many children are probably dying from sickle cell disease undected and why most of these respondents did not know their sickle cell status. This finding is in conformity with the study by Rahimy, which found that lack of skills among the medical staff and limited health care facilities were probably responsible for high morbidity and mortality among children with sickle cell anemia in sub-Saharan Africa 144. These findings are similar to reports in the study by Okwi et al;145 which found that whilst a majority of the health staff at the health centers were aware about cervical cancer, they lacked skills on cervical cancer screening procedures and were therefore not screening for it. Besides, most of the respondents who included female health staff had not been screened for cervical cancer. These findings are also in conformity with the study by Odunybum et al;143 who found that although the majority of the respondents were willing to have their babies screened for SCD, most of them did not know their sickle cell status. This observation was equally noted by Cynthia and Wonkam who found that although the majority of health workers considered sickle cell screening as acceptable, absence of such screening services at health centers was associated with lack of familiarity of health service providers to SCD screening methods and poor decision making. Whereas other studies have linked lack of skills on SCD screening tests among health staff to low prevalence of SCD in the community 97, on the contrary, this study noted that the health workers in the districts of Mbale and Sironko, with high prevalence of sickle - 156 - cell disease, had low skills on sickle cell screening methods just like health workers from Mbarara and Ntungamo with low prevalence of SCD. 5.2. Prevalence of sickle cell disease The observed prevalence of sickle cell trait of 17.5% in the districts of Sironko and Mbale was found to be slightly lower than the 20-28% reported by Raper and Lehamn7 (Table 13). The most likely reason for this low observed prevalence is that since Lehman and Raper study sampled adults which is a stable population, our study sampled only children between 6 months to 5 years who are vulnerable to several infant mortality causes such as malaria, pneumonia and so forth thereby reducing their number in the population. Surprisingly the observed prevalence of sickle cell trait in the district of Bundibugyo of 13.4% was found to be much lower than that estimated by Lehman and Raper (45%) (Table 12). One hypothesis may be used to explain this finding. Based on the first survey of 1949, which was 60 years ago, the Baamba were one of the exclusively preserved tribes in Uganda which practiced high level of endogenous marriages. However, due to the movement of the people, probably as a result of wars, hunger and trade, the Baamba people may have intermarried other tribes leading to a sickle cell gene dilution.. Although this hypothesis does explain for a decline of the sickle cell trait in Bundibugyo, it is possible that the Lehman and Raper studies could have correctly estimated the impact of sickle cell disease in Bundubugyo. The fact that this study found the higher prevalence of 3% of sickle cell anemia among the Baamba children than the 1-2% reported by Serjeant - 157 - and Marsden9,146, it could possibly be reflecting a higher prevalence of sickle cell trait among the Baamba adult population 147 (see appendix x.). This hypothesis is supported by the fact that this study sampled only children as compared to Lehman and Raper study which sampled adults. Generally the prevalence of sickle cell trait of 3% had remained low in the districts of Mbarara and Ntungamo and was in conformity with the 1-4% noted by Raper. The probable reason is that the level of intermarriage between these communities and other tribes could still be very low and as a result, emergence of new cases of sickle cell disease due to gene admixture may have been curtailed. Although the prevalence of 1-2% of SS reported by Serjeant and Marsden was lower than 3% found in Bundibugyo and was within 1.7% seen in Mbale and Sironko, the observed prevalence of SS in all these districts may actually be much lower than expected (Table 13). The question is, what happened to these missing children?. It is possible that many children could have succumbed to the disease before reaching their fifth birth day because of the absence of comprehensive sickle cell screening and management programmes in these districts. Serjeant and Ndugwa alluded to this in their advocacy paper9. This hypothesis appeared to have been supported by the fact that 10 out of 11 children detected with SS in Mbale and Sironko in Eastern and Bundibugyo in the West were less than <4 years old (Table 14). It is not surprising then that SS cases are rarely detectable at 5 years since affected children would have died before their fifth birth day. - 158 - This would also explain why the data on median survival times of persons with sickle cell anemia in many developing countries including Uganda is scarce. The fact that no children with SS were detected in Mbarara and Ntungamo (Figure 11 ) does not mean that these children do not exist. The reason for this observation may be that since the AS prevalence was very low in these districts, establishment of new effective malaria intervention progammes could probably have kept AS numbers further low by natural law of selection, as they are no longer selected for against malaria by the sickle cell gene. Therefore this could have had influence on the occurrence of SS cases in these districts. Another possible reason for this could be that the detectability power (precision) or study design used was probably not sensitive enough such that if some body today repeated the study using a more sensitive power, he/she could probably detect children with SS in Mbarara and Ntungamo and in Bundibugyo and Mbale and Sironko. Although the study did not cover all the districts of Uganda, it is quite clear that sickle cell disease is still a public health problem in Uganda which requires un urgent medical attention. - 159 - 5.3. Reliability of the different methods for sickle cell disease screening Despite the availability of SCD screening methods such as the solubility and sickling tests and peripheral blood film method, their reliability for SCD screening at district health centers in Uganda has, hitherto, not been ascertained. This was the first study to determine the reliability of these methods using Hb electrophoresis as gold standard Whilst all these methods could reliably demonstrate haemoglobin S gene, they showed variability in their ability to demonstrate the carrier state of haemoglobin (AS) (Table 15). The solubility test in particular was found to have low sensitivity for Hb AS. This finding is in agreement with a study by Chasen and others 148 in which it was found that the solubility test was not sensitive for the detection of carriers and was therefore unsuitable for screening purposes. Besides, the solubility test could lead to stigmatization and unnecessary referrals because it is associated with high false positive rate which is characteristic of a test with low diagnostic accuracy and low positive likehood ratio (Table 16). The probable reason for this high false positive rate was that some of the samples might have shown erythrocytosis, highly marked leucocytosis and/or hyperlipidemia149. Unfortunately, none of these parameters were measured in this study. However, this observation was noted by other workers who found that erythrocytosis, highly marked leucocytosis and hyperlipidemia were responsible for high false positivity by this method 150. - 160 - Although the solubility test was easier to perform, it had a high turn around time because of reagent preparation (Table 17). The sickling test was the most reliable for the detection of haemoglobin AS because it had high sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values and Cohen’s kappa than the rest of the methods 151, ( see appendix xi) although it also had some false positive cases (Tables 15 and 16). The false positivity of the sickling test was probably due to anemia. Unfortunately, this study did not estimated hemoglobin levels in these blood samples because of inadequate funds. However, the study by Scheneider et al;152 found that the presence of anemia was associated with a false positive result when using the sickling test. While the peripheral blood film method was found reliable in detecting normal haemoglobin AA, it was found un-reliable for the detection of haemoglobin AS (Table 15). The probable reason for this was that most of the children who had been recruited into the study with hemoglobin AS, were looking normal (asymptomatic) and probably had very few circulating sickle cells in their blood at that time. 5.4. Cost benefit analysis of establishing sickle cell disease screening tests This study found that the cost benefit of screening for SCD was sensitive to various variables. As expected, the cost effectiviness of the screening programme was found to be sensitive to prevalence, the cost, reliability of the screening tools, number of cases screened and the distance to the screening center125,129,. Whilst automated capillary Hb - 161 - electrophoresis153 would initially incur over 75 million Ug Shs, when children are referred to Mulago hospital from Mbale and Sironko districts (scenario A1) and more than Ug Shs 61 million when they are referred to the regional hospital (scenario A2), 50 children with AS and 5 with SS would be detected by both scenarios respectively (Table 18). On the contrary, whilst an expenditure of more than Ug Shs 82 million would be incurred on scenario A1 in Mbarara and Ntungamo districts and more than Ug Shs 63 million on scenario A2, only eleven children with AS would be identified by both scenarios (Table 18). The most likely reason for this difference would be that Mbarara and Ntungamo had a low prevalence of SCD as was found by this study and by Lehman and Raper7. In addition, screening costs in Mbarara and Ntungamo would be higher than Sironko and Mbale in both scenarios A1 and A2 because as expected, more children would have to be screened in Ntungamo and Mbarara in order to detect those with the disease. Although operational costs of automated capillary and cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis would drop in year one and subsequent years, in both scenarios A1 and A2, these costs would remain particularly high in scenario A1 (Tables 28 and 29) because the mothers would have to travel a greater distance from Mbale and Sironko and Mbarara and Ntungamo to Mulago hospital. Whereas the initial operational costs of cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis54 would be much lower than automated capillary Hb electrophoresis in both scenarios A1 and A2 because of high cost of establishing automated Hb electrophoresis (Tables 21 and 22), operational costs of cellulose acetate would drastically increase in year one and in subsequent years in scenario A1 (Table 29) - 162 - because of the same reason cited above. Although the screening costs of cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis in A2 would be increasing in year one and subsequent years, they would comparatively remain cheaper than automated Hb electrophoresis (Tables 28 and 29) because of its’ low maintenance cost.. Notably, when scenarios A1 and A2 are used in Bundibugyo district, operational costs in the subsequent years would remain very high instead of decreasing (Table 28 and 29) because of the long distance from Bundibugyo to Mulago National referral hospital and/or Hoima regional hospital. This would therefore render both A1 and A2 screening interventions less cost effective since they would be associated with minimal savings. When children are screened first at health centres IV using sickling test, and positives are confirmed at either Mulago hospital (scenario B1) or regional hospital (scenario B2) using either automated Hb electrophoresis or cellulose acetate (Tables 19 and 23), the same cases of SS would be detected as with scenarios A1 and A2 (Tables 18 and 22) at very low cost Using sickling test would therefore both cheaply and reliability detect children with haemoglobin SS 154.(see appendix xii). Notably the solubility test would be associated with high operational and maintenance costs and less savings. The probable reason for this is that solubility test would be associated with high maintenance costs since it has many reagents and chemicals as compared to both sickling and peripheral blood film methods. Surprisingly, just like scenarios A1 and A2, the scenarios B1 and B2 would have minimal savings in initial and subsequent years when used in Bundibugyo district. This is - 163 - probably because the mothers would have to travel a greater distance from Bundibugyo district to either Mulago hospital or Hoima regional hospital. When the children are screened in Bundibugyo hospital using either cellulose acetate or automated Hb lectrophoresis, initial screening costs of cellulose acetate would seemingly look cheaper than automated capillary Hb electrophoresis because of high purchasing costs of automated Hb system (Table 26). However, these costs would decrease in the subsequent years rendering automated fairly as cheap as cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis. However, cellulose acetate would still remain the cheapest probably because of its low maintenance costs (Table 36). Notably when either automated capillary or cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis is used in Bundibugyo hospital as confirmatory method and sickling test is used at the district health centers IV, their operational costs would drastically reduce in year one and subsequent years (Table 36), making automated Hb electrophoresis slightly cheaper than cellulose acetate Hb electrophoersis in terms of average cost per test. This is probably due to the reduction in travel distance since Bundibugyo hospital is very near to the health center. However, initial establishment costs of the automated screening service would still remain inhibitory because of the high purchasing cost of the system. Therefore, using cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis as a screening method in the district hospitals for districts which are far from the regional hospitals, would remain the most affordable and non-inhibitory intervention for low resource countries like Uganda. - 164 - Besides, establishment of these screening programmes in most of the regions of Uganda, would be feasible, thus allowing wider utilization of the service. Although Lane and Eckman believe that universal screening of children in areas with low prevalence would be more effective and less costly155, the findings of this study seemed to agree with the studies by Tsevat and Macintyre et al; which found that screening all persons in a population with low prevalence or risk of the disease was associated with very high costs122,123. It is therefore logical to say that screening all the population in Mbarara and Ntungamo with low prevalence of AS and worse still with rarely detectable SS using Hb electrophoresis method, would not be cost effective because a lot of money would be required to identify these children as compared with Mbale, Sironko and Bundibugyo where using the same programme would cost effectively identify many of these children 121. However, having no screening and intervention at all would mean denying medical services to these vulnerable groups which is not ethically acceptable. The argument, therefore, would be to carry out targeted screening in the populations of Mbarara and Ntungmo for the identification of only those children who are at high risk of having SCD. In this case, clinically identifying children at health centers IV with symptoms of SCD and referring them to the regional hospital for screening using cellulose acetate would therefore be the most cost effective intervention. - 165 - CHAPTER SIX Conclusions and Recommendations 6.1. Conclusions 1. People from Mbale and Sironko were more aware of SCD than those from the Mbarara and Ntungamo. Few believed it was a ‘curse from God’ or that it was due to witch craft. Only 12% of health workers claimed to have participated in screening. The majority of the respondents did no know their sickle cell status. 2. The prevalence of both sickle cell trait and sickle cell anemia was higher in Mbale and Sironko in Eastern Uganda,and Bundibugyo than in Mbarara and Ntungamo districts in the West. The Bundibugyo, Mbale and Sironko had the highest prevalence of SS. No cases of SS were detected in Mbarara and Ntungamo districts. 3. The sickling test was the most reliable and easiest to perform. It had a high specificity, sensitivity and kappa score and low turn around time of 38 minutes. The solubility test was found unreliable for sickle cell screening because it had both low sensitivity and kappa score and had high turn around time of 44 minutes. The peripheral film method was the most unreliable among all methods because it had lowest sensitivity and kappa score and highest turn around time of 70 minutes. - 166 - 4. Screening all the children in Mulago hospital using both cellulose acetate and automated capillary Hb electrophoresis would not be cost beneficial although it would be sensitive. The cost of identifying a child with sickle cell disease in an area with low prevalence would be higher than that in an area with high prevalence. Screening all the children at health centers IVs or IIIs using the sickling test and confirming the positive samples at the regional hospital using cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis would be cheaper for the districts with high prevalence and are nearer to the regional hospitals. Confirming positive samples at a district hospital using cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis would be cost effective for the districts distant from a regional hospital. 6.2. Recommendations 1. Given the magnitude of SCD and the non-availablity of neonatal screening, there is a need to sensitise the communities and policy makers about prevention, screening and management of SCD. As a matter of urgency, there is need to carry out an update survey of SCD prevalence in all other districts of Uganda. The information generated should be used as a basis for the planning of a comprehensive intervention management programme for SCD in Uganda. 2. Intervention programmes for management and detection of SCD should be established in health centers in order to save infants with SCD. Sickling test should be used for screening SCD at health centers and then confirming positives using cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis at either:- (i) regional hospitals for - 167 - districts nearer regional hospital or (ii) district hospitals for districts distant from regional hospital. 3. Programmes targeting the screening of children who are at high risk of disease at regional hospitals using cellulose acetate Hb electrophoresis should be adopted for areas with low prevalence of SCD. 4. The above SCD screening services should be augmented by the establishment of tracking programmes at district hospital for children detected with the disease so that they can be registered. 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The Journal of Paediatrics, 120: 162-163. - 193 - Appendices Appendix (i) Questionnaire ATTITUDE AND KNOWLEDGE GAP OF THE RURAL AND URBAN PEOPLE ABOUT SICKLE CELL DISEASE AND ITS’ DETECTION IN THE DISTRICTS OF NTUNGAMO, MBARARA , SIRONKO AND MBALE. (To be filled by secondary school students and heads of families or care takers). Circle and Tick where appropriate. Questionnaire No:……………………. Date…………………………………... District…………………………………………………………… Sub-county……………………………………………………….. Respondent: Interview No…………………………… 1) Sex (i) Male (ii) Female 2) Age (i) 10-17 years (ii) > 18 years 3) Marrital status (i) Married (ii) Unmarried 4) Education background (i) Primary (ii) Secondary (iii) Tertiary - 194 - (iv) University (v) No formal education 5) Occupation (i) Employed (ii) Student (iii) Peasant (iv) Other(s) Specify………………………………………………………… …………………………………………………………………………………… 6) Religion (i) Catholic (ii) Protestant (iii) Moslem (iv) Orthodox (v) Redeemed Church (vi) Other(s) Specify…………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………. 7) Tribe……………………………………………………………………………… 8) Number of pregnancies…………………………………………. 9) Number of live children…………………………………………. - 195 - 10) Number of marriages…………………………………………… 11) What is the relationship between you and your sexual partner(s)? (i) Niece (ii) Cousin (iii) Nephew (iv) Aunt (v) None 12) Has any member of your family had any serious sickness in the last one year? (i) YES (ii) NO 13) Do you have an idea of what might have been the cause of the illness? (i) YES (ii) NO 14) If (YES) What might have been the cause of the illness ?. …………………………………………………………………………………………… …………………………………………………………………………………………… …………………………………………………………………………………………… ………………………………………………………………………………………… 15) Has any relative of yours had any member of the family who has had serious sickness in the last one year? - 196 - 16) If (YES) what might have been the cause? ………………………………………………………………………………………….. …………………………………………………………………………………………… …………………………………………………………………………………………… 17) How did you handle this illness or sickness? (i) Treated the patient at home using herbs (ii) Treated the patient at home using the drugs bought from the drug shop (iii) Took the patient to a witch-doctor (iv) Took the patient to clinic, dispensary or hospital. (v) Did nothing 18) If it is number (iv) above, how far is the health center from your home? (i) <3 km (ii) 3-10 km (iii) >10 km 19) How soon did you take the patient to the health center? (i) Immediately (ii) After 2 days (iii) After 1 week (iv) After 1 month 20) How do you feel about the patients’ illness? (i) Angry - 197 - (ii) Embarrassed (iii) Depressed (iv) Sympathetic (v) Not affected 21) Is there any history of serious illness among members in your family tree? (i) YES (ii) NO 22) Have you heard about sickle cell disease? (i) YES (ii) NO 23) If (YES) , What do you think the cause(s) is (are)? (i) Natural (ii) Punishment from God (iii) Witchcraft (iv) Acquired from parents 24) Has any body been detected with sickle cell disease in your family or community? (vi) YES (vii) NO 25) If (YES) Where was it detected? - 198 - (i) (ii) (iii) (iv) In the hospital At the clinic At home by the health worker By the witch doctor 26) Would you like your family to be tested for sickle cell disease? (viii) YES (ix) NO 27) If (NO) Why? (i) Our custom does not allow (ii) Our religion prohibits (iii) We fear to know the results (iv) I don’t want it (v) Any other(s) Specify …………………………………………………………………………………. …………………………………………………………………………………. …………………………………………………………………………………. 28) Do you think this disease can be prevented by early screening before marriage? (i) YES (ii) NO - 199 - 29) Did you and your spouse think that you could have children with sickle cell disease before marriage? (i) YES (ii) NO 30) Have you been screened for sickle cell disease? (i) YES (ii) NO 31) Where do you get your information concerning health? (i) From the community. (ii) Health visitors (iii) Radio (iv) TV (v) News papers (vi) Any other(s) specify ……………………………………………………………………………….. ……………………………………………………………………………….. ……………………………………………………………………………….. 31) Is your area having high cases of malaria? (i) YES (ii) NO Thank you for your participation - 200 - Appendix (ii) ATTITUDE AND KNOWLEDGE GAP OF HEALTH WORKERS ABOUT SICKLE CELL DISEASE AND ITS DETECTION IN THE DISTRICTS OF NTUNGAMO, MBARARA, SIRONKO AND MBALE. To be filled by health workers (Circle and Tick where appropriate) Questionnaire No:……………………. Date…………………………………... District…………………………………………………………… Sub-county……………………………………………………….. Name of health center…………………………………………………………… Respondent:………………………………………………………………….. Interviewee No……………………… 1) Sex (i) Male (ii) Female 2) Age (i) 10-17 years (ii) > 18 years 3) Marrital status (i) Married (ii) Unmarried 4) Education background (i) Primary (ii) Secondary (iii) Tertiary - 201 - (iv) University (v) No formal education 5) Occupation (i) Employed (ii) Student (iii) Peasant (x) Other(s) Specify………………………………………………………… …………………………………………………………………………………… 6) Religion (i) Catholic (ii) Protestant (iii) Moslem (iv) Orthodox (v) Redeemed Church (vi) Other(s) Specify…………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………. 7) Has any member of your family had any serious illness in the last one year? i) YES ii) NO - 202 - 8) Do you have an idea of what the illness was? i) YES ii) NO 9) If (YES) What might have been the cause of the illness ?. …………………………………………………………………………………………… …………………………………………………………………………………………… …………………………………………………………………………………………… ………………………………………………………………………………………… 10) Has any relative of yours had serious sickness in the last one year?. (i) YES (ii) NO 11) If (YES) what the disease?. ………………………………………………………………………………………….. …………………………………………………………………………………………… …………………………………………………………………………………………… 12) Is there any history of serious illness among members in your family tree? (iii) YES (iv) NO 13) Have you heard about sickle cell disease? (i) YES - 203 - (ii)NO 14) Have you been screened for sickle cell disease? (i) YES (ii) NO 14) Have you ever come across persons with sickle cell disease ?. (i) YES (ii) NO 15) If (YES) how often do they present ……………………………………….. ……………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………… 16) What age are they ?……………………………………………………….. 17) Do you think sickle cell disease can be prevented by early screening before marriage?. (i) YES (ii) NO 18) Are you aware that complications due to sickle cell disease can be managed if diagnosed early? (i) YES (ii) NO 19) Do you know of any technique (s) involved in early diagnosis of sickle cell disease? (i) YES (ii) NO - 204 - 20) If yes, which one?.……………………………………………………….. ………………………………………………………………………….. 21) Do you perform this/ these technique or techniques here?. (i) YES ( ii) NO 22) If (ii) Would you be willing to have these protocols introduced at your health center? (i) (ii) YES NO Thank you for your participation - 205 - Appendix (iii) CONSENT TO PARTICIPATE IN THE STUDY Study title: To study the feasibility of the establishment of sickle cell screening services at health centers in Uganda. Purpose: Andrew Livex Okwi of Makerere University is the Principal Researcher in the study of “The feasibility of establishing sickle cell anemia screening services at health centers in Uganda”. The study aims at finding out the knowledge gaps, attitudes and practices of community about sickle cell anemia and its detection, determining the current prevalence of SCA in the districts and establishing the most cost effective sickle cell screening method among infants. The results obtained therefrom may help in the introduction sickle cell screening services at district health centers for the control and management of sickle cell disease. I am being requested to participate because I and my family members may be carrying sickle cell gene and I am aware that if I chose to participate I or my infant/s may be asked to donate a sample of blood. - 206 - Procedures I have understood that if I choose to participate in this study, I will be subjected to any of the following procedures according to the state of my health. I will be asked a few personal questions related to my health or my infants. I am free to ask any relevant questions to the investigator. My child or I may be examined physically Blood sample may be taken from me or my infant/s. I may be involved in a later part of the study for assessment Risks and disorders. I am aware that asking questions and examining me or my child physically will cause no harm or discomfort to me or them. When drawing blood from me or my child, I or my child may feel pain at site of puncture but I have appreciated that pain will be slight and the risk of bleeding is negligible. In the unlikely invent of any complications directly related to taking blood, the local medical officer in charge of health center shall be available for assistance and shall inform the researcher. - 207 - I have understood that the findings from the study may help establish sickle cell disease screening services at health centers in the districts of Uganda. I am participating at my own free will and I will not ask for payment Consent I have been asked to participate in the above study and I give my free consent by signing this form. I understand that: 1) My consent to participate is voluntary and I may withdraw from the study any time I wish to do so. 2) I have understood the information that has been given to me about the study in my vernacular and I have had all my questions answered to my satisfaction. 3) I am further aware that information I give will be treated in a confidential manner and I will not be personally identified with the information. 4) A member of the team may examine me or my infant/s physically and I am aware that examining me or my infant/s physically will cause no harm or discomfort to me or them. - 208 - 5) Blood samples may be taken from me or my infant/s, I or my infant/s may feel pain at the site of puncture but I will appreciate that the pain will be slight and the risk of bleeding will be negligible. 6) In the unlikely event of any complications directly related to taking of blood, the local medical officer in charge of health center unit will be available for assistance. ……………………………………… …………………………………. Thumb/Signature of the participant Signature of interviewer (Researcher) - 209 - Appendix (iv) LABORATORY RESULT FORM Date…………………District…………………….……Sub-county…………………………….. Village…….………………………………..Health center……………………………………….. Study No…………….. Sex……….Age………Time of taking blood sample………….….…….. Sample taken by………………………………. Received by ……………………………… I/C Health center Researcher Received in Laboratory: Time………………………..Date………………………………….. Lab No:…………………………………………. Results: Sickling Solubility Peripheral blood film Hb Electrophoresis . The results were recorded in the columns as either positive (+ve) or negative (-ve). - 210 - Appendix (v) Sickling method (Metabisulphite protocol) adopted after Barbara and colleagues 54. Requirements Sodium-metabisulphite, slides, wet chamber and microscope. The sodium metabisulphie was prepared as described by the manufacturer. Principle When a drop of blood is mixed with Sodium metabisulphite, the oxygen will be removed from the red blood cells resulting into their sickling if the person is a sickler or sickle cell trait. Protocol 1). 20 micro liters of blood was placed at the center of the of a slide 2). 20 micro litres of sodium-metabisulphite was added without allowing air bubbles to form. 3. The coverslip was lowered on to the glass slide and ringed around using condle wax. 4). The slide was then supported by two sticks or glass rods on a wet chamber ( petri-dish with wet filter paper or soaked cotton wool placed inside) and left to stand at R/T for 15 min and examined under the microcope using x 40. 5). The slide was re-examined after 1 hr and 2 hours respectively. 6). The results were interpreted as positive when sickle cell count was more than 2% of the total cell count. - 211 - Appendix (vi) Solubility test method adopted after Barbara et al;.54. Requirements: Buffer, Sodium dithionite, slides and microscope. The buffer pH 7.1 and working solution of sodium dithionite were prepared as described by the manufacturer Principle This is a qualitative method which determines the presence of haemoglobin S by turbidity formation. Its principle is based on the immediate lysis of the red blood cells by saponin and deoxygenation of the haemoglobin tetramers by diothinate resulting into lateral displacement of the beta S globin chains. This leads to the interaction of tetramers to form microfilaments which form microcables which finally form nematic liquid crystals characteristic of turbidity. These crystals disperse light and obscure the black lines during examination. Where as the normal heamoglobin AA and AF remain un affected. Protocol 1). 0.02 mls of blood was added to 2 ml of 0.01% Na dithionate in a test tube and mixed. 2). The mixture was left to stand at room temperature (R/T) for 3-5 minutes and examined using good light against background of dark lines. 3). The turbidity was suggestive of either As or SS when the dark lines were not clearly seen and the clearity was suggestive of Hb AA, A2 or AF. - 212 - Appendix (vii) Peripheral blood film method adopted after Barbara et al;129. Requirements: Giemsa stain, paateur pipette (droper), buffer pH 6.8. The Giemsa stain and buffer were prepared according to manufactures instructions. Principle When the blood film is fixed in methanol and stained by Romanowisky stain, the red blood cells stain pinkish. If sickled red cells are present, then they will be seen as pinkish stained sickled cells under the microscope at high power magnification (x100 objective). Preparation and fixation of blood film. a) The thin film was quickly made by evenly spreading a small drop of blood on a clean (grease free) slide and left to dry. b) The film was then fixed in methanol or ethanol alcohol for 2-3 minutes. Staining protocol 1) The blood film was immersed in Giemsa stain diluted with two parts of buffered water at Ph 6.8 to one part of stain and left to stain for 10-15 minutes. 2) It was then washed in buffered water and left to dry. 3) The film was finally examined under the microscope using oil immersion objective The results were interpreted as positive when sickle cell count was more than 2% of the total cell count. - 213 - Appendix (viii) Hb electrophoresis cellulose acetate method adopted after Junius et al;130. Requirements Titan Power supply, Electrophoresis tank, Sample plates and applicators, plastic holder for CAM, Plastic pots for soaking CAM and fixing bands, test tubes preferably 3 x 0.5 inch, plastic pasteur pipettes with bulbous ends, what man No 1 filter paper sheet for blotting, plastic peg racks for tubes, scissors, small forceps. 5% Ponceau Red, Barbital Tris Buffer buffer pH 9.2, 5% acetic acid, distilled water and normal saline. Preparation of the reagents Some of the reagents were prepared according to manufactures guidelines. a) Barbital Tris Buffer pH 9.2 : Weigh 10.3 grams of Sodium Barbita, 1.84 grams of Barbital and 7.2 gramms of Tris. Dissolve all of them in 1000 L of distilled water. b) 5% Ponceau Red : Was made by weighing 50 grams of Ponceau Red powder and dissolved in 1000 ml of distilled water. c) Colour contrast: 5% acetic acid, which was made by adding 5mls of acetic acid to 95 mls of distilled water. Principle The principle of the method is based on the fact that proteins normally have either positive or negative charge that is determined by the charged amino acid they contain. If - 214 - the electric field is applied to a solution containing protein molecules, positively charged proteins will move to the cathode and negatively charged proteins will migrate to the anode. Using this principle, different haemoglobins will separate and migrate at different rates depending on their size and shape. They are then stained and their bands compared with the known controls. Protocol 1) First the cellulose acetate strip was soaked in Tris buffer for a minimum of 15 minutes to soften it. 2) The blood was span at 4000 revolutions per min (rpm) for 5 min to separate the plasma from red blood cells (The samples whose plasma had already separated, were not centrifuged). 3) The plasma was pooled and the red blood cells were then washed by adding 1 ml of normal saline to the cells and centrifuged as per above for two times. 4) Red blood cells were haemolysed to get haemoglobin by adding a few mls of distilled water to the tubes and then shaken. 5) 20 micro mls of haemoglobin were placed in each well. 6) The cellulose acetate membrane strip (CAM) was removed from buffer, blotted using filter paper. 7) The strip was then made securely firm on strip stand or aligning base. 8) Using sample applicators, the test samples which included positive control were lined up into cellulose strip. 9) The CAM was then lowered down into an electrophoretic tank and power supply was adjusted to 200 volts and switched on and left to run until the bands had clearly - 215 - separated (Excess running was avoided to minimize over running and destroying the bands) 10) The bands were then stained in Poncaeu Red for 5 min. 12) Excess Poncaeu Red was washed off with 5% acetic acid until the bands were distinctively clear red against unstained background. 13) The Hb bands of the test samples were then compared with control bands. The results were interpreted according to the marching of the test bands and control bands. - 216 -