Canada's balance of international payments, fourth quarter 2015 Released at 8:30 a.m. Eastern time in The Daily, Monday, February 29, 2016 Canada's current account deficit (on a seasonally adjusted basis) edged up $0.1 billion in the fourth quarter to $15.4 billion. On an annual basis, the current account deficit increased from $44.9 billion in 2014 to $65.7 billion in 2015. Chart 1 Current account balances billions of dollars 5 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 IV I 2010 II III 2011 IV I II III 2012 Goods IV I II III 2013 IV I II III 2014 IV I II III 2015 IV Other current account components Total Note(s): Data are seasonally adjusted. Source(s): CANSIM table 376-0105. In the financial account (unadjusted for seasonal variation), transactions in the other investment category, mainly in the form of currency and deposits, led the inflow of funds into the economy in the quarter. These inflows were moderated by record Canadian investment in foreign securities. Current account The deficit on trade in goods narrows The deficit on international transactions in goods narrowed by $0.3 billion to $4.8 billion, as imports declined more than exports in the fourth quarter. However, for the year, the goods balance reached a record $23.6 billion deficit after posting a slight surplus in 2014. This change largely reflected a $44.8 billion decline in exports of energy products. The Daily, Monday, February 29, 2016 On a regional basis, the goods surplus with the United States was down by $2.4 billion in the fourth quarter, mainly on lower exports of energy products. On the other hand, the trade deficit with all other countries narrowed by $2.6 billion, led by a stronger surplus with the United Kingdom. Chart 2 Goods balances by geographic area billions of dollars 20 15 10 5 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 IV I 2010 II III 2011 IV I II III 2012 United States IV I II III 2013 IV I II III 2014 IV I II III 2015 IV All other countries All countries Note(s): Data are seasonally adjusted. Source(s): CANSIM table 376-0106. Total exports of goods declined $2.3 billion to $131.9 billion in the quarter. Exports of energy products were down by $2.3 billion mainly on lower prices. Crude petroleum accounted for the bulk of this reduction, as exports reached their lowest level in more than five years. Crude oil prices have fallen more than 40% since the fourth quarter of 2014. Exports of aircraft and other transportation equipment fell $0.6 billion during the quarter, as a result of lower volumes. Basic and industrial chemical, plastic and rubber products also contributed to the overall decline, with exports down $0.5 billion on lower prices. Partially offsetting these reductions was a $1.0 billion gain in motor vehicles and parts, largely on higher volumes and prices for passenger cars. Imports of goods were down $2.6 billion to $136.7 billion. As with exports, the most notable decline was recorded in imports of energy products, which fell $1.5 billion on lower prices and volumes. Electronic and electronic equipment and parts also accounted for an important share of the decrease, declining $0.7 billion after a strong third quarter. Trade in services deficit edges down The overall deficit on international trade in services narrowed $0.1 billion to $5.8 billion in the fourth quarter. In the quarter, the travel deficit was down $0.1 billion to $4.0 billion as Canadians further reduced their spending in the United States. The travel deficit narrowed in each of the four quarters in 2015. The transportation services deficit also narrowed in the quarter, but the reduction was offset by a lower commercial services surplus. 2 Component of Statistics Canada catalogue no. 11-001-X The Daily, Monday, February 29, 2016 For 2015 as a whole, the deficit increased slightly to $23.8 billion, reflecting a reduction in the commercial services surplus, which was moderated by a lower deficit on international travel. Deficits on investment income and current transfers expand The investment income deficit edged up $0.1 billion to $3.4 billion in the fourth quarter. For the year as a whole, the investment income deficit narrowed by $8.3 billion to $13.4 billion, largely on lower profits earned by foreign direct investors in Canada. Profits earned by Canadian direct investors on their assets abroad were down $1.5 billion in the fourth quarter, while those earned by foreign direct investors on their Canadian assets declined $0.5 billion. At the same time, receipts from portfolio investment advanced more than payments, moderating the overall increase in the investment income deficit in the fourth quarter. The deficit in current transfers rose $0.3 billion to $1.0 billion. Government transfer receipts were down more than payments in the quarter. Financial account Canadian investment in foreign securities hits record high Canadian investors acquired a record $37.1 billion of foreign securities in the fourth quarter, led by strong investment activity in November and December. Nearly two-thirds of these purchases were in US instruments. On an annual basis, Canadian investment in foreign securities totalled $60.3 billion in 2015. This was the largest such outflow of funds since 2006, before the global financial crisis. Canadian investors added $22.9 billion of foreign debt securities in the fourth quarter, led by record acquisitions of US Treasury bonds. At the same time, Canadian investors purchased $14.1 billion of foreign shares, almost evenly split between US and non-US instruments. Component of Statistics Canada catalogue no. 11-001-X 3 The Daily, Monday, February 29, 2016 Chart 3 Canadian investment in foreign securities billions of dollars 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 -5 -10 IV I 2010 II III 2011 Debt securities IV I II III 2012 IV I II III 2013 IV I II III 2014 IV I II III 2015 IV Equity and investment fund shares Source(s): CANSIM table 376-0132. Foreign acquisitions of Canadian securities resume Foreign investment in Canadian securities resumed in the fourth quarter, reaching $20.6 billion. Foreign acquisitions of Canadian bonds totalled $7.2 billion during the quarter, all bonds denominated in foreign currencies. Non-resident investors acquired $4.1 billion of Canadian money market instruments. This activity was led by purchases of US dollar-denominated instruments, mainly issued by Canadian private corporations. Non-resident investors added $9.3 billion of Canadian equities to their holdings in the fourth quarter, following a divestment in the third quarter. Canadian stock prices were down 2.2%, and the Canadian dollar depreciated by 2.7 US cents against the US dollar in the quarter. On an annual basis, foreign investment in Canadian securities was up compared with the previous two years to $95.5 billion. Overall, portfolio investment generated a net inflow of funds into the Canadian economy of $35.2 billion in 2015 and contributed in part to the financing of the current account deficit. The Canadian dollar lost 14.0 US cents against the US dollar in 2015. Outward and inward direct investment slow in the quarter Transactions in direct investment assets totalled $10.7 billion in the fourth quarter. Canadian investment in foreign affiliates in the form of equity was the main contributor, reaching $16.4 billion. However, Canadian affiliates reduced their assets in the form of debt instruments contracted by their foreign parents. On the other side of the ledger, direct investment liabilities generated an inflow of $8.9 billion in the fourth quarter. Equity investment in Canadian affiliates of $22.3 billion was partially offset by a reduction in debt liabilities of Canadian affiliates to their foreign parents. 4 Component of Statistics Canada catalogue no. 11-001-X The Daily, Monday, February 29, 2016 Cross-border mergers and acquisitions, both inward and outward, were down significantly from the previous quarter. For the year, outward direct investment reached a record $104.3 billion in 2015, led by strong mergers and acquisitions activity. Inward direct investment totalled $80.6 billion. As a result, the direct investment account recorded a net outflow of funds of $23.7 billion, the second highest on record. This activity contrasted with net inflows of funds recorded in the two previous years. Chart 4 Foreign direct investment billions of dollars 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 -5 IV I 2010 II III 2011 IV I Direct investment assets II III 2012 IV I II III 2013 IV I II III 2014 IV I II III 2015 IV Direct investment liabilities Source(s): CANSIM table 376-0104. The other investment category generates inflow of funds from abroad The other investment category of the financial account generated a net inflow of funds of $29.3 billion in the fourth quarter. A large increase in currency and deposits held by non-residents in Canada, mostly foreign currency deposits, more than offset the increase in those held by Canadians abroad. Transactions in currency and deposits of Canadian banks with their foreign affiliates and branches accounted for most of this activity. Component of Statistics Canada catalogue no. 11-001-X 5 The Daily, Monday, February 29, 2016 Note to readers Definitions The balance of international payments covers all economic transactions between Canadian residents and non-residents in three accounts: the current account, the capital account and the financial account. The current account covers transactions in goods, services, compensation of employees, investment income and secondary income (current transfers). The current account data in this release are seasonally adjusted. For information on seasonal adjustment, see Seasonally adjusted data – Frequently asked questions. The capital account covers capital transfers and transactions in non-produced non-financial assets. The financial account covers transactions in financial assets and liabilities. In principle, a net lending (+) / net borrowing (-) derived from the sum of the current and capital accounts corresponds to a net lending (+) / net borrowing (-) derived from the financial account. In practice, as data are compiled from multiple sources, this is rarely the case and gives rise to measurement error. The discrepancy (net errors and omissions) is the unobserved net inflow or outflow. For more information on the balance of payments, consult the Frequently asked questions section in the System of macroeconomic accounts module of our website. The module also presents the most recent balance of payments statistics. Real-time CANSIM table Real-time CANSIM table 376-8105 will be updated on March 7. For more information, consult the document Real-time CANSIM tables. Next release Balance of international payments data for the first quarter will be released on May 30. 6 Component of Statistics Canada catalogue no. 11-001-X The Daily, Monday, February 29, 2016 Table 1 Balance of payments – Not seasonally adjusted Fourth quarter 2014 First quarter 2015 Second quarter 2015 Third quarter 2015 Fourth quarter 2015 2014 2015 millions of dollars Capital account and current account Net lending / net borrowing, from capital account and current account Current account balances Goods and services Goods Services Primary income Compensation of employees Investment income Direct investment Portfolio investment Other investment Secondary income Capital account balance Financial account1,2 Net lending / net borrowing, from financial account Net acquisition of financial assets Direct investment assets Direct investment assets, equity Direct investment assets, debt instruments Canadian portfolio investment in foreign securities Foreign debt securities Foreign money market instruments Foreign bonds Foreign equity and investment fund shares Official international reserves Other Canadian investment abroad Loans Currency and deposits Trade credits and advances Other accounts receivable Net incurrence of liabilities Direct investment liabilities Direct investment liabilities, equity Direct investment liabilities, debt instruments Foreign portfolio investment in Canadian securities Canadian debt securities Canadian money market instruments Canadian bonds Canadian equity and investment fund shares Other foreign investment in Canada Loans Currency and deposits Special drawing rights Trade credits and advances Other accounts payable Discrepancy (net errors and omissions) -12,344 -12,329 -5,614 -595 -5,018 -6,241 -504 -5,737 -133 -5,418 -186 -475 -14 -20,784 -20,683 -13,559 -5,404 -8,155 -5,019 -411 -4,608 1,045 -5,486 -167 -2,106 -101 -17,440 -17,438 -14,228 -7,352 -6,876 -3,051 -469 -2,582 3,027 -5,450 -159 -160 -2 -14,437 -14,435 -11,344 -7,773 -3,571 -2,831 -416 -2,415 3,607 -5,512 -511 -260 -2 -13,160 -13,158 -8,268 -3,118 -5,150 -4,145 -398 -3,747 1,398 -5,184 39 -744 -2 -44,495 -44,893 -18,616 4,791 -23,407 -23,664 -2,036 -21,627 -7 -20,779 -841 -2,614 398 -65,821 -65,714 -47,399 -23,646 -23,753 -15,046 -1,694 -13,352 9,077 -21,632 -797 -3,270 -106 -11,502 55,072 34,571 32,439 2,132 -21,932 37,555 18,019 16,839 1,181 -15,109 53,403 40,876 31,109 9,766 -10,771 38,898 34,679 16,317 18,361 -7,403 79,199 10,746 16,380 -5,634 -43,195 147,881 69,424 64,412 5,012 -55,215 209,055 104,319 80,645 23,674 16,052 9,639 774 8,865 6,412 2,161 2,288 7,355 -3,038 -458 -1,572 66,573 22,042 21,832 210 -4,114 -514 -50 -464 -3,600 6,586 17,064 12,871 -2,709 238 6,664 59,488 8,721 5,398 3,323 25,216 10,642 532 10,110 14,574 -1,917 -10,772 -769 -7,253 -36 -2,714 68,512 27,916 24,443 3,473 2,112 1,798 -1,654 3,452 314 2,663 -557 11,166 -4,922 25 -6,824 49,669 35,076 29,176 5,901 37,087 22,946 -268 23,215 14,141 3,580 27,786 -2,505 26,651 -40 3,680 86,602 8,894 22,340 -13,447 56,428 20,622 -88 20,709 35,806 5,854 16,175 26,316 -8,247 -410 -1,484 191,075 72,542 68,115 4,427 60,302 34,873 -1,441 36,314 25,430 10,911 33,522 20,762 11,767 186 806 264,270 80,607 81,357 -751 2,863 6,328 -1,615 7,943 -3,466 41,669 6,712 34,219 0 553 185 46,341 36,876 -13,262 50,137 9,465 4,426 -326 4,185 0 386 180 29,539 24,627 19,617 5,010 4,913 11,056 7,909 3,094 0 -157 210 -969 8,317 -4,421 12,738 -9,286 15,561 2,772 12,246 0 286 258 20,610 11,316 4,124 7,192 9,294 57,098 1,393 55,526 0 -4 184 75,388 50,172 -2,755 52,928 25,216 43,146 2,552 38,205 0 1,730 659 95,522 81,135 6,058 75,078 14,387 88,141 11,748 75,050 0 510 833 842 -1,148 2,331 3,666 5,756 1,300 10,605 1. Transactions are recorded on a net basis. 2. In the financial account, a plus sign denotes an increase in investment and a minus sign denotes a decrease in investment. Source(s): CANSIM tables 376-0101, 376-0102, 376-0103 and 376-0104. Component of Statistics Canada catalogue no. 11-001-X 7 The Daily, Monday, February 29, 2016 Table 2 Current account – Seasonally adjusted Fourth quarter 2014 First quarter 2015 Second quarter 2015 Current account receipts Goods and services Goods Services Travel Transportation Commercial services Government services Primary income Compensation of employees Investment income Direct investment Interest Profits Portfolio investment Interest on debt securities Dividends on equity and investment fund shares Other investment Secondary income Private transfers Government transfers 180,485 156,577 132,343 24,235 4,886 3,825 15,140 383 21,144 370 20,774 12,407 1,206 11,200 6,684 1,915 4,769 1,684 2,764 916 1,848 177,548 152,758 128,206 24,552 4,957 3,749 15,456 390 22,220 412 21,808 13,075 1,139 11,935 6,851 1,991 4,861 1,882 2,570 926 1,644 179,858 153,808 129,241 24,566 5,133 3,752 15,275 407 23,333 416 22,918 14,021 1,211 12,810 7,008 2,132 4,876 1,889 2,717 1,089 1,629 Current account payments Goods and services Goods Services Travel Transportation Commercial services Government services Primary income Compensation of employees Investment income Direct investment Interest Profits Portfolio investment Interest on debt securities Dividends on equity and investment fund shares Other investment Secondary income Private transfers Government transfers 195,069 163,917 133,924 29,993 9,365 6,283 14,067 278 27,603 887 26,717 12,698 1,029 11,670 12,079 8,601 3,478 1,939 3,549 2,294 1,254 196,352 165,861 135,394 30,467 9,423 6,332 14,444 268 26,464 863 25,601 11,367 1,092 10,275 12,356 8,832 3,524 1,878 4,027 2,232 1,795 Current account balances Goods and services Goods Services Travel Transportation Commercial services Government services Primary income Compensation of employees Investment income Direct investment Interest Profits Portfolio investment Interest on debt securities Dividends on equity and investment fund shares Other investment Secondary income Private transfers Government transfers -14,584 -7,339 -1,582 -5,758 -4,479 -2,458 1,073 105 -6,459 -516 -5,943 -292 178 -469 -5,396 -6,686 1,290 -255 -785 -1,379 594 -18,804 -13,103 -7,188 -5,915 -4,465 -2,583 1,012 121 -4,244 -451 -3,793 1,708 47 1,660 -5,505 -6,841 1,336 4 -1,457 -1,306 -151 Third quarter 2015 Fourth quarter 2015 2014 2015 186,370 159,373 134,265 25,108 5,206 3,846 15,662 394 23,862 430 23,431 13,778 1,278 12,500 7,467 2,273 5,194 2,187 3,135 1,111 2,024 182,330 156,894 131,919 24,975 5,187 3,832 15,552 404 22,860 436 22,424 12,338 1,382 10,956 7,817 2,373 5,445 2,269 2,575 1,017 1,558 721,198 624,593 528,849 95,744 19,296 14,940 59,983 1,525 85,553 1,448 84,105 51,593 3,899 47,694 25,698 7,337 18,361 6,814 11,053 3,553 7,500 726,105 622,832 523,631 99,201 20,483 15,179 61,945 1,595 92,275 1,694 90,582 53,211 5,011 48,200 29,144 8,768 20,376 8,227 10,997 4,143 6,855 196,077 166,574 135,860 30,713 9,495 6,424 14,518 277 26,606 863 25,743 11,149 1,096 10,053 12,484 9,027 3,457 2,109 2,898 2,231 667 201,682 170,344 139,323 31,022 9,336 6,499 14,907 280 27,560 819 26,741 11,042 1,121 9,921 12,916 9,395 3,521 2,782 3,778 2,373 1,405 197,709 167,453 136,701 30,752 9,216 6,333 14,923 280 26,692 843 25,849 10,576 1,150 9,426 13,019 9,525 3,494 2,255 3,565 2,341 1,223 766,091 643,208 524,058 119,150 37,351 24,738 55,956 1,106 109,216 3,484 105,732 51,601 4,285 47,316 46,477 33,017 13,460 7,655 13,666 8,966 4,700 791,819 670,231 547,277 122,954 37,469 25,587 58,792 1,105 107,321 3,388 103,934 44,134 4,459 39,675 50,776 36,780 13,996 9,024 14,267 9,177 5,090 -16,219 -12,766 -6,619 -6,147 -4,362 -2,672 757 130 -3,272 -448 -2,825 2,872 115 2,757 -5,476 -6,896 1,419 -221 -181 -1,143 962 -15,312 -10,972 -5,058 -5,914 -4,130 -2,653 755 114 -3,698 -388 -3,309 2,736 157 2,579 -5,450 -7,123 1,673 -595 -643 -1,261 619 -15,379 -10,558 -4,782 -5,777 -4,028 -2,500 628 124 -3,831 -407 -3,425 1,762 232 1,530 -5,201 -7,153 1,951 15 -989 -1,324 335 -44,893 -18,616 4,791 -23,407 -18,055 -9,798 4,027 419 -23,664 -2,036 -21,627 -7 -386 378 -20,779 -25,680 4,901 -841 -2,614 -5,413 2,799 -65,714 -47,399 -23,646 -23,753 -16,986 -10,408 3,153 489 -15,046 -1,694 -13,352 9,077 552 8,526 -21,632 -28,012 6,380 -797 -3,270 -5,034 1,765 millions of dollars Source(s): CANSIM tables 376-0101 and 376-0105. 8 Component of Statistics Canada catalogue no. 11-001-X The Daily, Monday, February 29, 2016 Available in CANSIM: tables 376-0012, 376-0013, 376-0101 to 376-0108, 376-0110, 376-0111 and 376-0121 to 376-0124. Definitions, data sources and methods: survey numbers 1534, 1535, 1536 and 1537. The document "Revisions to Canada's Balance of International Payments," which is part of Latest Developments in the Canadian Economic Accounts (13-605-X), is available from the Browse by key resource module of our website under Publications. For more information, contact us (toll-free 1-800-263-1136; 514-283-8300; STATCAN.infostats-infostats.STATCAN@canada.ca). To enquire about the concepts, methods or data quality of this release, contact Denis Caron (613-808-2278; denis.caron@canada.ca), International Accounts and Trade Division. Component of Statistics Canada catalogue no. 11-001-X 9