MATH 302 SOLUTIONS Q [ points]. In this problem, explain all factors arising in your solution. (a) Compute the probability that a poker hand contains: (a) One pair (aabcd with a, b, c, d distinct card ranks). e answer is .. (b) Two pairs (aabbc with a, b, c distinct card ranks). e answer is .. (b) Poker dice is played by simultaneously rolling dice. Compute the probabilities of the following outcomes: (a) All ve dice have distinct numbers. e answer is .. (b) One pair (aabcd with a, b, c, d distinct numbers). e answer is .. (c) Two pairs (aabbc with a, b, c distinct numbers). e answer is .. Solution . (a) (52( ) points) e size of the sample space is the number of poker hands, which is 5 . ( ) (12) (a) ere are 13 ways to choose the face value of a and for each of these ways 1 3 (4) to choose the face values of b, c, d . ere are 2 choices of suits for the cards with value a , and (4)3 1 such choices for the other cards. erefore (13)(12)(4)(4)3 P (pair) = (b) ere are (13) 2 1 3 2 1 (52) = 0.4226. 5 ways to choose the face values of a, b and for each of these ( )2 (11) 1 ways to choose the face value of c . ere are 42 choices of suits for the cards () with value a, b , and 41 such choices for the other card. erefore (13)(11)(4)2 (4) P (two pair) = 2 1 2 (52) 1 = 0.04754. 5 (b) ( points) ink of the dice as having different colors, so that there are 65 possible outcomes. (a) ere are ways to assign a value to the rst die, ways to assign a value to the second( die, ..., so the probability is 6 × 5 × 4 × 3 × 2/65 = 0.09259. )( ) (b) ere are 61 53 ways to choose the values of a and b, c, d , and there are 5!/2! ( )( ) ways to assign these values to the dice, so the probability is 6−5 61 53 5!/2! = 0.4630. ( )( ) (c) ere are 62 41 ways to choose the values of a, b and c , and there are 5!/(2!2!) ( )( ) ways to assign these values to the dice, so the probability is 6−5 62 41 5!/(2!2!) = 0.2315. Q [ points]. A coin is tossed until a head appears twice in a row. What is the sample space for this experiment? If the coin is fair, what is the probability that it will be tossed exactly four times? Solution ( points). e sample space is S = {2, 3, 4, . . .} where outcome j ∈ S is the outcome that the experiment terminates on the j th toss. Another way of describing the sample space is S = {HH, THH, TTHH, HTHH, TTTHH, THTHH, HTTHH,…}. (Other answers are also possible.) ( points) e outcome 4 ∈ S corresponds to the possibilities TTHH, HTHH, and there 2 are 24 = 16 possible results in a sequence of tosses, so the desired probability is 16 = 81 . Q [ points]. Let E , F,G be three events. Find expressions for the events that of E , F,G : (a) only F occurs, (b) both E and F occur but not G , (c) at least one event occurs, (d) at least two events occur, (e) all three events occur, (f) none occurs, (g) at most one occurs, (h) at most two occur. Solution . . (a) F ∩ E c ∩G c , (b) E ∩ F ∩ G c , (c) E ∪ F ∪ G , (d) (E ∩ F ) ∪ (E ∩G) ∪ (F ∩ G), (e) E ∩ F ∩ G , (f) E c ∩ F c ∩ G c , (g) (E ∩ F )c ∩ (E ∩ G)c ∩ (F ∩G)c , (h) (E ∩ F ∩ G)c . Q [ points]. Show that the probability that exactly one of the events E or F occurs (not both) is equal to P (E ) + P (F ) − 2P (E ∩ F ). Solution . e event A that exactly one of the events E or F occurs (not both) is A = (E ∩ F c ) ∪ (F ∩ E c ), and this union is disjoint. erefore P (A) = P (E ∩ F c ) + P (F ∩ E c ). We also have the disjoint unions E = (E ∩ F ) ∪ (E ∩ F c ) and F = (F ∩ E ) ∪ (F ∩ E c ), so P (E ∩ F ) = P (E ) − P (E ∩ F c ) and P (F ∩ E ) = P (F ) − P (F ∩ E c ). Inserting these last two equations into the equation for P (A) gives the desired result. Q [ points]. Show that P (E c ∩ F c ) = 1 − P (E ) − P (F ) + P (E ∩ F ). Solution . Since E c ∩ F c = (E ∪ F )c (by De Morgan’s law), we have [ ] P (E c ∩ F c ) = 1 − P (E ∪ F ) = 1 − P (E ) + P (F ) − P (E ∩ F ) , which gives the desired result.