POLICY BRIEFING Mapping climate disadvantage in England 4 August 2015 Steven Bland, LGiU Associate Summary A new online mapping tool has been developed by the Joseph Rowntree Foundation (JRF) in partnership with Climate UK, the Environment Agency and Manchester University. It aims to help local decision makers understand at a fine level of spatial detail the relationship between climate change and social vulnerability/disadvantage. It forms part of the Climate Just online portal – containing a range of resources to support local groups understand and integrate a socially-just approach to climate change mitigation and adaptation. The mapping tool can be used to overlay various climate change impacts (flood risk, heat risk) with a range of socio- spatial vulnerabilities (eg age, income, social isolation) at the neighbourhood scale. The online portal contains a wealth of more guidance and information to get the most from the mapping tool. The recommendation is to read this briefing, briefly! And then get stuck in to the map tool itself This will be relevant not just to those working in environmental or sustainability units, but also those in social welfare, housing, healthcare, spatial planning and community engagement. It is relevant for a wide range of local authorities; in both urban and rural areas, and those with flood management and/or coastal management responsibilities. The mapping tool itself only covers England. “Climate change is a route through which deprivation can be worsened.” © Local Government Information Unit, www.lgiu.org.uk, Third Floor, 251 Pentonville Road, London N1 9NG. Reg. charity 1113495. This briefing is available free of charge to LGiU subscribing members. Members are welcome to circulate internally in full or in part; please credit LGiU as appropriate. You can find us on Twitter at @LGiU POLICY BRIEFING Briefing in full Socio-spatial vulnerability and climate disadvantage Climate change will affect communities differently, depending on their personal, social and environmental situation. Local authority responses to climate change can also exacerbate or reduce existing social inequalities. This justice angle to climate change is explored in this LGiU briefing on a study by the JRF entitled “Climate Change and Social Justice: A Review”. It defines climate justice as being “about ensuring collectively and individually that we have the ability to prepare for, respond to and recover from climate change impacts, as well as the policies to mitigate or adapt to them by taking account of existing vulnerabilities, resources and capabilities” In this sense a socially just response to climate change requires that local authority programmes aiming to increase energy efficiency, change mobility patterns, react to flooding events, or promote healthy lifestyles etc- do so in a way that does not increase social inequality. The aim should be that policies designed to respond to climate change also strengthen wider social development goals. There are examples of this already happening in local authorities – in fuel poverty programmes, for example – where there is a clear climate-poverty link. But traditionally, climate response decision making has been heavily reliant on scientific information showing geographical patterns of exposure to climate risks. It has not necessarily taken into account the underpinning social factors that determine the health and well-being impacts of these events. Vulnerability is the degree to which external stresses impact on well-being. Vulnerability depends on the interactions between personal (eg health/age), environmental (eg green space, building quality) and social factors (income, neighbourhood cohesion, isolation). In the mapping tool vulnerability is represented spatially and is called socio-spatial vulnerability Climate disadvantage refers to the combination of socio-spatial vulnerability with exposure to current or future predicted climate hazards, such as heatwave or flooding events. The JRF summarises it so: Exposure to climate hazard + socio-spatial vulnerability = climate disadvantage. The mapping tool therefore maps all three in different map layers. The tool helps to bring together a wide range of data types. For example, age, tenure, social networks, mobility, local environmental or building characteristics and past flooding events are all included, none of which make it into the index of multiple deprivation, for example. © Local Government Information Unit, www.lgiu.org.uk, Third Floor, 251 Pentonville Road, London N1 9NG. Reg. charity 1113495. This briefing is available free of charge to LGiU subscribing members. Members are welcome to circulate internally in full or in part; please credit LGiU as appropriate. You can find us on Twitter at @LGiU POLICY BRIEFING Why this is relevant to local authorities, local care providers & others: related legislation Flood and Water Management Act 2010: The act requires LA’s to take account of the safety and wellbeing of people and ecosystems, reduce potential risks for future generations, and improve resilience. Health and Social Care Act 2012: Tackling inequality is an interwoven theme. Many of the determinants of health and wellbeing are linked to social vulnerability and therefore climate disadvantage (eg socio-economic determinants of health such as housing quality, income, age etc) Civil Contingencies Act 2004: Identifies LA’s as one of the key organisations for developing and implementing emergency plans Heatwave plan for England – while non-statutory it encourages LA’s to play a role in helping people reduce their exposure to heat, and to ensure that service provision is resilient to cope with extreme heat events Key Questions The Climate Just website portal contains a series of “Key Question” sections well worth reading before looking at the tool itself. Some of the key questions are briefly summarised below, but more can be found here. Who is vulnerable? In any one area, a similar hazard (eg a 1 in 10 year flood) will affect different people differently. The degree of social vulnerability to potentially the same climatic impact is determined by 3 key influencers: Sensitivity – determining a person’s susceptibility to the impact – eg age Exposure – determining the extent to which the impact is immediately felt - eg living in a top-floor flat, or in a house with air conditioning Adaptive capacity – determining the ability to adapt – eg access to medical establishments, income or mobility. The three groups most likely to be climate disadvantaged include: Older people. Especially from heat impacts, but also as a result of increased concentrations of older people living in coastal areas Those living in low-income households. Are less able to bounce-back from flooding or other disasters. © Local Government Information Unit, www.lgiu.org.uk, Third Floor, 251 Pentonville Road, London N1 9NG. Reg. charity 1113495. This briefing is available free of charge to LGiU subscribing members. Members are welcome to circulate internally in full or in part; please credit LGiU as appropriate. You can find us on Twitter at @LGiU POLICY BRIEFING Social/private rented housing tenants. Often have less control over implementing actions to protect themselves from a changing climate or reduce energy use, or in post-flooding recovery. An entire section of the website is devoted to each of the key vulnerable groups: Low income, older people, tenants, socially isolated, low mobility, lived in an area a short time. Which places are disadvantaged? Using the climate just tool The climate just tool is a mapping tool which aims to: Improve understanding of climate change at neighbourhood scale Facilitate adaptation planning and decision-making Support the spatial targeting of adaptation responses It focuses predominantly on two types of climatic changes: heat (both now and predicted temperatures in the 2050’s) and flooding (both current risk (2011) and previous risk (2001). The tool has produced national maps which we turn to first: The national picture of climate disadvantage The most concentrated vulnerabilities are found in large urban and coastal areas. In urban areas, the heat island affect is well documented but is not spatially consistent. Within a particular geography, socio-economic and environmental characteristics – such as access to green space – determine individual communities’ vulnerability to a heat event. For example – dense urban areas with little green space are often places of concentrated social vulnerabilities (eg low-income areas) The most climate disadvantaged coastal areas are South Wales, North West Scotland, Yorkshire and Lincolnshire, East Anglia and the Thames Estuary as – because of their combination of exposure to coastal flooding hazard, and high levels of vulnerability brought about by socio-economic deprivation. River and coastal flooding: 7% of English neighbourhoods are extremely flood disadvantaged, with Yorkshire and Humber faring worst. Surface water flooding: 5.6% of neighbourhoods are extremely flood disadvantaged for a 1 in 30 flood probability – with London the worst at risk © Local Government Information Unit, www.lgiu.org.uk, Third Floor, 251 Pentonville Road, London N1 9NG. Reg. charity 1113495. This briefing is available free of charge to LGiU subscribing members. Members are welcome to circulate internally in full or in part; please credit LGiU as appropriate. You can find us on Twitter at @LGiU POLICY BRIEFING Figure 1 Neighbourhood-scale flood disadvantage from surface water related flooding in England (1 in 30 years) (a) socio-spatial vulnerability (b) surface water flood hazard-exposure and (c) the combination of (a) and (b) to identify flood disadvantage (2011) High temperature: In general risk is concentrated in largest urban centres, with the North of England less at risk than the South. These risks interact with each other: 60% of neighbourhoods that are extremely vulnerable to coastal and river flooding (2011), are also extremely vulnerable to high temperatures. © Local Government Information Unit, www.lgiu.org.uk, Third Floor, 251 Pentonville Road, London N1 9NG. Reg. charity 1113495. This briefing is available free of charge to LGiU subscribing members. Members are welcome to circulate internally in full or in part; please credit LGiU as appropriate. You can find us on Twitter at @LGiU POLICY BRIEFING Using the tool This video and the detailed user guide are good places to start before you dive into using the tool. In summary: 3 climate variables are used: river/coastal flooding, surface water flooding (in 2001 and 2011) and heat (in 2050 based on current predictions of increasing temperatures) There are 3 maps per climate impact: one showing hazard exposure, one showing socio-spatial vulnerability, and one showing the combination of these two: climate disadvantage Socio-spatial vulnerability maps are based on 5 dimensions: Sensitivity, Enhanced exposure (physical environment attributes which enhance or offset the degree of impact felt), Ability to prepare, Ability to respond, Ability to recover Each dimension has a range of domains/indicators underpinning those, which are also mapped (eg age, income, building characteristic etc) As the user, you can therefore explore all of these variables and indicators, exploring not only what the climate disadvantage might be in a particular neighbourhood, but also the reasons behind it. A step-guide for using the tool: Use the map to profile your local area What kinds of neighbourhoods are in your area? What particular issues exist? Where are people most vulnerable? Verify the data with local knowledge/other data sources Discuss themes and draw up priorities in partnership with local groups. The tool can be a useful platform for holding discussions with stakeholders about local vulnerabilities and potential solutions/responses Review the recommended actions and specific actions for vulnerable groups on the Climate Just online portal. The site does warn against some of the limitations of using the tool- advising users to make use of a range of datasets and other knowledge bases (eg local interviews and community knowledge). In general, they warn against assuming that the broad characteristics of an area explain the characteristics of all the individuals within it. Some indicators are not available at a fine enough neighbourhood scale. Flooding in particular is often highly geographically constrained – so the relationship between vulnerable people and exact areas of flood risk may not be represented by the map. © Local Government Information Unit, www.lgiu.org.uk, Third Floor, 251 Pentonville Road, London N1 9NG. Reg. charity 1113495. This briefing is available free of charge to LGiU subscribing members. Members are welcome to circulate internally in full or in part; please credit LGiU as appropriate. You can find us on Twitter at @LGiU POLICY BRIEFING What actions support resilience and who needs to do what? The website portal contains a number of recommended actions for local authorities and goes into useful detail. General recommended actions include: 1. Understand your case for action: Why is climate justice important for your local authority? 2. Consider what existing social policies can help to address social vulnerability 3. Ensure co-operation between departments and agencies 4. Raise awareness and target actions at specific vulnerable groups 5. Work in partnership with local communities to understand local needs and solutions 6. Develop concrete plans with specific actions and targets – including those specifically targeted at vulnerable groups: eg raising awareness in the health and social care services to support older people and those with special needs, providing information to private landlords, and provision of green infrastructure to improve neighbourhoods where people are climate disadvantaged. As well as these general recommended actions, a comprehensive adaptation planning process can be useful to institutionalise and embed climate change risks and vulnerabilities into service delivery – in a way that works in partnership with all the relevant players and stakeholders locally. This adaptation planning guidance can be found here, but a number of important principles are worth noting: Take an integrated approach that involves all departments and local partners Use existing tools but complement them with locally-specific information Work hard at targeting communication in a way that people understand, especially vulnerable groups Be flexible; actions and solutions may need to change over time Learn from others © Local Government Information Unit, www.lgiu.org.uk, Third Floor, 251 Pentonville Road, London N1 9NG. Reg. charity 1113495. This briefing is available free of charge to LGiU subscribing members. Members are welcome to circulate internally in full or in part; please credit LGiU as appropriate. You can find us on Twitter at @LGiU POLICY BRIEFING Case studies of local authority action To help the learning process, a number of case study resources are provided in the portal: Climate change action planning, Wigan: showing how to use the map tool to strengthen adaptation planning Climate justice, environmental hazards and community resilience, Newcastle: Showing hot to map flood disadvantage data to identify relationships between vulnerability and hazards in a particular area Community flood warden scheme, Doncaster: Showing a resilience-building response to flooding in 2007 Extreme weather mapping tool, Leeds: showing how the data was used to create a local GIS map tool to help Leeds City Council partners prepare for extreme weather events Social vulnerability assessment, Hampshire: showing how to use the map tool and its data to develop your own, even more localised version of the data – if data specialists are available Comment Core Cities has described the tool as “a fantastic resource that will enable councils to understand the climate disadvantage in their area and respond accordingly, planning for a changing climate whilst also creating a more equal society”. The tool is indeed an amazing achievement – giving a scale of detail for local planners that I have not come across before. The map does require time to explore, however, and it is better if you’ve decided what you want to find out before you dive in. Using the tool itself, one can get frustrated by the fact the user guide text disappears as you click on each step it advises you to take, forcing you to go back and forth. It does take some time to get used to how to load and overlay the various maps – but once you have got the hang of it – it is possible to analyse the precise factors which make a particular area. I started with an area I knew in my home town in Watford, and was surprised to see that the flood risk in this area was only “average”, but the flood risk disadvantage strong because of the socio-economic characteristics (low insurability, relatively higher unemployment) of the area. Perhaps the maps biggest use is in providing an evidence base to justify targeted climate risk reducing interventions in areas that need it most. For example, with evidence that the map provides, a LA’s tree planting or green infrastructure budget could then be directed in that financial year to a low-income area projected to suffer from increased heat in the future. The national findings from the tool are already being used by the JRF to inform new research and advocacy. On 22nd July it published new research highlighting the mismatch between flood defence investments, and areas of high flood disadvantage according to the map. Only 100 of © Local Government Information Unit, www.lgiu.org.uk, Third Floor, 251 Pentonville Road, London N1 9NG. Reg. charity 1113495. This briefing is available free of charge to LGiU subscribing members. Members are welcome to circulate internally in full or in part; please credit LGiU as appropriate. You can find us on Twitter at @LGiU POLICY BRIEFING the 1,493 flood schemes in the pipeline could be found in the most flood disadvantaged neighbourhoods. Some of the most useful content on the overall online portal is in the adaptation planning guidance- particularly useful for a staff member looking to play a leading coordinating role with their local authority. One of the most important things when embarking on such a comprehensive planning journey is to strongly understand how the process itself can be embedded and tagged onto existing processes and channels of engagement of the local authority. Creating entirely new parallel processes, if people cannot easily find the hooks and links to their everyday, can work against you, keep you in your silo, and create fatigue among colleagues and partners. Related briefings and projects Project: Local Government flood forum (June 2015) Project Resilience (October 2014) Managing floods: Supporting local partnerships (July 2014) Flooding Inquiry Reports : Environment, Food and Rural Affairs Committee (May 2014) Climate Change and Social Justice: A Review (July 2013) The National Adaptation Programme: Making the country resilient to a changing climate For more information about this, or any other LGiU member briefing, please contact Janet Sillett, Briefings Manager, on janet.sillett@lgiu.org.uk © Local Government Information Unit, www.lgiu.org.uk, Third Floor, 251 Pentonville Road, London N1 9NG. Reg. charity 1113495. This briefing is available free of charge to LGiU subscribing members. Members are welcome to circulate internally in full or in part; please credit LGiU as appropriate. You can find us on Twitter at @LGiU