Globalization, Environmental Crisis and Social Change: The Unfair Case on the South http://www.meghbarta.net/globalization/moyeen.html Dr Abdul Moyeen Khan Khan Foundation Dhaka, Bangladesh "... forests preceded civilization, deserts followed ..." Anonymous The Global Context I would like to begin with a rather simple question and hope the learned audience will forgive me for being so naive. How can we achieve globalization: economic, environmental or otherwise, when nearly 90% of the earth's resources are being consumed by about 10% of the planet's population? Further, how can we continue to strive for at least a minimal quality of life for the millions of poor in the South while the North continues to perpetuate extravagant life styles? Countries of the North even group together to ensure their future prosperity through economic domination of the poor, once military domination had ceased to be the order of the day! I do not want to sound skeptical, as globalization indeed has its own advantages, but whether it will reward all equally is the question. The learned professors who have come here from ten thousand miles away will deliberate on these issues during the two days of the Conference and I have no means to be pedagogical in their presence. Yet, there are a few down to earth problems that I, as a mere practitioner at the grass roots level, cannot but draw to the attention of this august gathering. As you rationalize and theorize, with a view to achieving the most out of this process, it will become clear that there is no way the poor countries in the South can go against the strong thrust of this not too new wind of globalization. Nonetheless, from a pragmatic point of view, I would like to add to the concept of globalization a new element. That element is the consumption pattern of the North. The fact of the matter is that the issue of sustainable development in the South does not quite go hand in hand with the prevalent concept of (over) consumption in the North. I would like to broaden the concept of the "sustainable development" of the poor by redefining it, in the context of their survival, as the question of their "sustainable livelihood." But even at this level, the greatest challenge to the concept of globalization lies in the conflict between the survival of the poor in parts of Asia, Africa and Latin America, and the arrogance of over-consumption and of the mindless waste of resources occurring in North America, Europe and Australia. The solutions to the various problems arising out of this highly sensitive contradiction become even more complex when we consider the case of Bangladesh, an extreme case in the South. As you all know, the situation in Bangladesh is already critical. In subsequent sections of this address, I will provide some details of some "practical" approaches to a sustainable livelihood for the people who live on the borderline between survival and extinction. The approaches are consistent with what I would call "rational 1 globalization." Intimately related to this concept is the issue of the carrying capacity of the globe, which has been dealt with in great detail in the recent literature. Yet, it is necessary to highlight the issue, in the context of the prevailing concepts of globalization in investment, trade, financing as well as, in trade regimes. While there is no doubt that the social issues of overpopulation of the South continue to be a threat to a homogeneous globalization process, few people in the North comprehend that adding just one new child in the North amounts, in consumption terms, to adding as many as a hundred newborns in a country like Bangladesh. Thus, the notion of planetary carrying capacity is as much dependent on new and advanced technological breakthroughs as it is on the concept of globalization. Moreover, the notion also depends on the limits that we will accept in order to restrict both our consumption and the squandering of our "limited" global resources. The resolution of the conflict between global interests and the legitimate national interests of Bangladesh may in fact lie in restriction the consumption pattern to a "realistic level" in countries other than Bangladesh. Thus, the challenge of sustainable development of Bangladesh is not quite confined within the localized parameter sets inside the country, which are only subsets of a much wider global set and are thereby intimately related to the issue of globalization. Whether reducing the consumption patterns of the North to the "realistic level" mentioned above is a "practicality" in the context of the present day trend towards a consumer world and the northern concepts of globalization, as opposed to what I called "rational globalization," is a different issue. But the fact remains that the ultimate carrying capacity of the planet will eventually be determined on a global basis and the questions of equity in this context is something which cannot just be forgotten altogether. Any major imbalance between the North and the South may jeopardize not just the South, but even the affluent society of the North since the various regions of the world interact economically and socially. The basic instincts of sustainable livelihood, in whatever part of the world it occurs, may require decisionmakers to take into account the concept of a rational globalization as the only viable mechanism to ensure the survival of Homo sapiens. The National Context: Socio-Economic Changes Prologue As they say, there is no country like Bangladesh, anywhere on the planet. No country less understood, less well known, less misperceived. The images of the country carried in the minds of people around the world are not encouraging. People remember Kissinger's "basket case economy," and CNN TV shots depicting disasters in which countless people drown from floods and cyclones as the sea surges over the low islands of the Ganges-Bramhaputra delta. Yet, without exception in my experience, visitors to Bangladesh fall in love with the beautiful land and the simpleminded people once they are here. They never really forget us, and many keep returning, as if to their first love. The saying goes “The diplomats posted to Bangladesh weep twice, first when they get the transfer order to come here, since their perception of Bangladesh is the one most miserable in the world and they want to cancel the order; next when they are transferred out of Bangladesh, for, they had already changed their perception to the most loved one in the world." 2 The charm of the country lies in the simplicity of the lives of the people; in their expression of contentment with "so little" in this materialistic world; and, in their amazing resiliency as they emerge again and again from the scourge of repeated natural calamities. The country is almost totally devastated as family, home, hearth, cattle and crops are washed away by ravages of the mighty waves and tidal bores of the Bay. Yet, the people, in their quest for lives, rebuild and continue to sustain a lifestyle so poor in its extravagance, yet so rich in their hearts! Bangladesh is a microcosm of the challenge of globalization for the planet. The problems of sustainable ecology and development are at their extreme in this national context. If we can work out globalization in Bangladesh, perhaps we can achieve it worldwide. Escapism is not the solution. Nor must continued struggle be our perpetual fate. Sustainability, even if at a bare minimum level, is the key for the survival of the teeming millions of Bangladesh. Once this is achieved, we are sure we will be able to cross the threshold and our transition into a world of peace and prosperity can then be accelerated in the natural course. This might take a longer time, yet it would be more worthwhile than plundering our scarce resources for short-term exigencies. As we have learned from the example of Nigeria, abuse of plentiful resources is not sustainable in the longer run. The National Commitment Rio's Agenda 21 called for a "global partnership for sustainable development" and for the "fulfillment of basic needs, improved living standards for all." The Rome Food Summit envisaged the "right to adequate food and the right of everyone to be free from hunger." The Habitat II Agenda spoke of "adequate shelter for all," i.e. sustainable development of the world's cities, towns and villages by 2020. The WHO programme envisages "health for all by the year 2000." What do all these mean in the context of globalization of free capital flow and removal of trade barriers! We have already learnt the hard way that non-tariff barriers can be worse than tariff barriers. During the last five years of democratic governance in Bangladesh we committed ourselves to achieve all these. We aspire for self-sufficiency in food, appropriate shelter in particular for the urban poor and health for all our citizens, in time for the new millennium. Shultz said "Future productivity of an economy is not foreshadowed by space, energy and cropland. It will be determined by the abilities of its human beings." The productivity of Bangladesh will no doubt be determined by the abilities of its populace, which has to be trained and converted into our resource. We are determined to transform the basket case into a success case, may be in a small but nonetheless positive way, and the path is that of sustainable development. But in the process we will also need the global touch in order that we can restore our past glory. The Golden Age of the Past Yet, it was not always like this. A few centuries age, the land of Bengal was a rich country, with a vibrant economic life and quite a lavish lifestyle. It was more sustainable, no doubt, than today's "lavish lifestyles" and impressive with its colour and pageantry. It so impressed the Europeans that we were flattered with a colonial experience. Our resources, and the fruits of our resources, drained away to a distant 3 land in the "modus operandi of globalization of the past!" Our people fell behind, first in their prosperity, then in their most basic development. Half a century ago, we started again with a clean slate, at least politically if not economically. We inherited new ideals of democracy, ideals, which in all fairness, had not been known before colonialism. Some good things did come from that experience. And so, we tried to sustain people for half a century. But it was only a partial success. The demographic explosion had begun, and the population began to burgeon. The race between numbers and resources commenced. Our experiments with western democracy and with the process of moving to a market economy have been only partial successes because we have not been able to establish the appropriate links between democracy, development and globalization. The Harsh Reality of the Present With 816 persons to the square kilometer (120 million people on a landmass of 147,000 square kilometres), Bangladesh is the most densely populated, large nationstate in the world. The country was considered devoid of any significant natural resources, although recently considerable reserves of natural gas have been identified. However, at the same time, there is acute shortage of both energy and power since we lack the assets to develop this resource. While lucrative offers of investment are coming from the North in the process of globalization, a few examples (e.g., the Occidental disaster and the Kafco fraud) show that the investors take away the cream, leaving behind the scum for us. Meanwhile coal mining started in the country just a few years ago, finally overcoming the great difficulty in organizing the investments it required. But the dilemma of choice between fossil fuel and "cleaner" alternatives continue to baffle our energy planners since the real choice for Bangladesh is one between having a not too small component of fossil fuel in its energy mix or continuing to be as energy starved as we are now! Besides, the international financing institutions like the World Bank continue to obstruct the process of developing coal-powered energy on the grounds of so-called "holistic” global interests. Lighting and fuelling of at least 20 millions earthen hearths in rural Bangladesh occurs by "twiggies" from the trees, often collected by children (child labour?), in order to prepare two meals every day. In the absence of any formal source of energy, the process contributing to the vanishing tree lines in the country is gradually leading to an ecological disaster. Whether to continue this enormous consumption of bio-mass every day when their replacement cycles are anywhere from 20 to 50 years, or take recourse to fossil fuel, which may be less environment friendly than what one might like, for a transitional period is the key question. How do we strike a balance between our most immediate critical energy requirements (only 15% of the people receive formal energy sources in the country right now, and more than two-thirds of our foreign exchange reserves are annually used to import oil and oil products) and a ecologically sound energy policy in Bangladesh? Having given just one example, the solution to any of these critical problems is not an easy task by any standard for the justifiable reason that struggling at subsistence level must not be an inevitable fate of Bangladesh forever. We could, of course, look to sister nations for inspiration. Malaysia's income per capita has tripled in the past 30 years - a time when it was below ours. The tiger economies of Southeast Asia have produced impressive growth. However, they are 4 confronting instabilities right now and their confident growth rates may be a thing of the past. But they have achieved wonders nonetheless, and their problems are those of important economics wrestling with globalization and the associated predilections of modern exploitation. The Tough Challenge of the Future The problems of Bangladesh are not only daunting but they have become sad and rather perverse. Thirty years ago in Bangladesh, people may have been poor, yet nobody starved. They just caught fish. In the 1990's one cannot do that any more. In most places, fish from the ponds are not fit for consumption; in others, the fishes are simply not there. Sustainable development for a country like Bangladesh will only succeed if human activity becomes reconciled with the natural order. We must not exploit our resources, but use them in a natural judicious order. Humankind must not exploit mother Earth any more. We must change our mind-sets. We must attain peaceful living and cohabitation with nature. We must harness rather than dominate nature, and sustain life for both humans and all other life-forms beginning with the royal Bengal Tiger, of which only a few remain. Over the long-term, exploitation of nature will mean deprivation of humans. We must live with the planet, not off it, so that both humanity and the planet survive together. The choice is extremely difficult for policy-makers, in the short-term they face dauntingly tough challenges. If they relent from the harsh discipline of their decisionmaking for the sake of short-term demands arising out of political exigencies or otherwise, they destroy the long-term base of sustainability for future generations. If, however, they survive the pressure and are courageous enough to make decisions that sometimes sacrifice the short-term interest, they face the danger of getting voted out. The critical social problems listed below are not served by the profit concepts of globalization, they need to be taken care of by philanthropic social welfare gestures of governments, even those of poor countries. Food Security Poor countries like Bangladesh are often forced to do things they do not wish to do. Globally, DDT is illegal, but in Bangladesh we are still using it. We know it is harmful; we do not want to use it; yet, there seems to be no choice at the moment. There is no answer apart from optimizing our interests. Two decades ago we experienced the Green Revolution - a breakthrough in rice yield produced by significantly increasing the use of water, insecticides, and pesticides. Productivity doubled. It was just as well, for it allowed us to keep pace with the population growth that has also doubled. But in the process of this survival, the dependency on agro-chemicals increased dramatically. At the same time, the fact remains that our agricultural productivity (yield/ hectare) is only one-fourth of that of Japan and about one-half that of other countries in South East Asia. While intensive monoculture might achieve a four-fold increase in yield, thus showing enormous elasticity in our carrying capacity, new questions arise as to whether it is advisable to so stretch the carrying capacity for the sake of the consumer society, or whether we should restrain ourselves and settle at a more realistic level that will sustain a reasonable life-style for centuries to come. Meanwhile, the chemicals continue to destroy the micronutrients in the soil. Even at the current rate of use, they are poisoning the fish in the ponds. Moreover, people are focusing in growing only one crop, HYV rice, and this monoculture approach further reduces the nutrient balance in the soil. Some of the damage is irreversible, 5 not only to the material order of things, but to the psyche of the people living in the area. In the future, we shall need a better balance, a balance between technology and psychology. Rivers of Life Water is the most critical problem for the whole planet in the 21st century and Bangladesh, again, shows the extreme. Our rivers - the holy Ganges, the mighty Bhramhaputra (Meghna) and the treacherous Jamuna - all originate in the Himalayan foothills in India and Nepal. India has not been beyond violating international law in the past and diverting the Ganges to its own national needs. On our side of the friendly border, silting first made the river un-navigable, then the water completely dried up, parching an otherwise fertile land and making life a torment for millions struggling for subsistence. The Farraka Barrage became internationally known, but no compulsory jurisdiction by the International Court existed to resolve a dispute between a large country and a small country that is striving for survival both economically and ecologically. Recently, an agreement has been reached between the two governments. But the dispute between a large and a small country is worse than ever, and the toll produced over three decades can never be undone. A poor country becomes poorer. Artesian water has its own problems: there is arsenic poisoning in the ground around the wells as the subsoil water is increasingly drained off to support irrigation for modern agriculture. People dig deeper but the concentration of arsenic in the water has risen to dangerous levels, already resulting in fatal cases of poisoning. In the southwestern part of the country, a different problem with the soil exists. We should further develop the “Sundarbans”, the world’s largest mangrove forest in the Ganges Delta. But the flora already suffers from “top-dying” - the leaves at the top of the trees are dying from the increased salinity of the soil resulting from massive withdrawal of the water at the upper reaches of the Ganges. One bright solution is aquaculture -especially shrimp farming in the many inland ponds. But as I noted, the quality of the pond water will require improvement and protection. There are also proposed solutions to the land congestion. Some say that high-rise buildings are the answer to the population, since it takes less land per person. I do not fully advocate that, but we may be forced into it as the availability of land recedes. Population Planning vis-a-vis Basic Education The dilemmas are many but the solutions could be many as well. Each will have its own merits and demerits. Take population planning for example. The population growth rate during the past five years has been brought below the rate projected by the UNFP because the government’s success at providing services to the rural population was better than expected by external donors. Five years ago, the government realized that although pills and condoms were crucial for family welfare, the more fundamental item was, in fact, education and, in particular, the education of girls. The government then prevailed on the donor community as to where the real thrust should be. So, forty-five years after the end of colonial rule and twenty years after the birth of Bangladesh, the government took the bold step of requiring compulsory basic primary education and the unprecedented steps of providing free education for girls and scholarships for all rural girls up to the secondary level. There 6 were three interesting conditions attached to the eligibility of girls for the programme: a) the girls had to maintain at least 75% attendance at school, b) they had to obtain at least the minimum qualifying marks in the class exams, and most importantly, c) the girls could not get married while they are at school. May I mention that although the legal marriageable age for girls is 18, younger marriages are not at all uncommon, and are often the choice of parents whenever a reasonable groom is at hand. The results of the programme have been conspicuous. Within the short span of five years, we have a population planning scenario far better than anybody had expected, notwithstanding the fact that this plan resulted in an enormous increase in school enrolments, significant decrease in drop-out rates, and a significant rise in the literacy rates, particularly for girls. The infrastructure developed in five years include building or reconstructing 50,000 primary schools (existing and new) each at a cost of US$ 10,000, and nearly 10,000 secondary school and pre-university colleges, at an average cost of US$ 20,000 apiece. Sustainable development for one of the poorest countries in the world, yes! But the dilemma remains! The initial success of the program has now led the donors to want to wash their hands of the population programme, saying that enough has been done. However, the reality in population planning is that we have just about seen the beginning of an end and not the end itself. A lot more remains to be done and the development partners still need to support us, at least during this critical transition period. Health for All In addition to education, the concept of sustainable population planning includes adequate health services, proper shelter and the other fundamental rights of food security and a minimum standard of living. Five years ago, emphasis was also put on enhancing health services. The government created a “free” maternal child health care centre at each of nearly 4500 Union in the country (a combination of about 15 to 20 villages in the rural areas) and a “free” 31-bed hospital with “full emergency operation table facilities for maternity care services,” and related x-ray and emergency ambulance service in each of the 469 Thanas (a combination of 10 unions on the average). These facilities served the country side occupied by a rural population of some 100 million people. The programme was not simple by any standards! At the same time, the government committed to provide at least a simple bamboo hut (maybe a thatched one) for everybody to have a place to take shelter during rain and sun, a modest “dal-bhat” (rice & lentil) dream for Bangladesh. Such goals are rather realistic and are consistent with the planetary interest, as I will elucidate later. Globalization and Ecological Sustainability In general, one can refer to poverty, ignorance, greed, local custom, natural hazards, unplanned exploitation of resources, backward technology and the conventional concept of development itself, as major stressors of our environment. It has also become a custom, if not a fashion, with development planners and policy masters, to overemphasize poverty as the worst form of pollution. True, poverty is a 7 major constraint, but to attribute all evils to it is, perhaps, an oversimplification of the reality of the situation. In fact, poverty and environmental degradation may have been locked in a vicious circle. This is not as much as a consequence of the poverty of the people, as it is, in many cases, due to reasons originating in the rich countries. The point I would like to emphasize is that we really need to move away from the traditional concept of overexploitation of nature in the North, to that of harnessing it from a global approach. It is true that the complex interactions among economic, social, political and the technological status in a poor country like ours make things extremely delicate for our eco-system as a whole. But at the same time, I would hasten to add that the process of globalization does not make things any easier, since the profit motive works supreme in the area of industrialization and production efforts of consumer goods. In fact, there is only a limited capacity for examining the environmental consequences of a development project at the Planning Commission of the Government of Bangladesh. There are few relevant professionals in the Planning Commission to do this job. Most decision-making is in the hands of bureaucrats anyway. At the moment, there exists only one formal department, called the Department of Environment Pollution Control (DEPC) under the Ministry of Environment & Forests, and it deals only with a very specific area of our environment, namely industrial pollution. Over recent years, however, some efforts are being made by a few NGOs to create environmental awareness among the public and some consciousness among the decision-makers. Let me now briefly point out the key areas of concern in the overall environmental perspective of Bangladesh, concerns that have been done away with as a consequence of globalization. Whether our decision-makers appreciate it or not, the situation is already critical, even more so because nowhere else in the world does the land have to withstand so much pressure from people. By the simple act of adding fuel to a fire, the existing poor are playing an important role in making the situation more critical day by day. Incidentally, the subcontinent has more or less similar historical and cultural traditions, yet, in contrast to the situation in India, and some other countries in the same region, Bangladesh is far more vulnerable. Actual resource constraints coupled with a lack of awareness for their proper management and high population growth results in severe depletion of both living and nonliving resources. The immediate demands of the large population are so intense that in most planning and implementation decision-making processes, the considerations of conservation and sustainability are altogether overridden. How to strike a balance between our immediate and longer-term needs is not a trivial problem. For me, the following areas need to be addressed by environmental researchers, as well policy planners, in order to formulate a strategy for harnessing and conserving our resources for the sustained development of Bangladesh. Soil Resources The often-unseen important factor in the environment is the soil. Although it may sound unbelievable, studies indicate that soil erosion and land degradation is occurring so fast in Bangladesh that the productivity of our soil is being reduced and irreversible processes are being set into action. Nearly 120 million people are being supported by about 8.3 million hectares of arable land and a significant fraction of 8 this land is lost every year due to river bank erosion, industrial use, burial of fresh sediments by major rivers and flash floods, non-judicious agricultural planning on slopes, and urbanization. With the population increasing at the rate of 1.8% per annum, the stress due to increased agricultural efforts on our soil over the next 2030 years is going to be immense. This stress may result in serious depletion of micronutrients in the soil. Probably it would not be an overstatement to mention that traditionally farming practices in Bangladesh were ecologically compatible with the available natural resources. However, population pressure coupled with increasing demands for a better life style have led to fast deterioration of this system leading to overexploitation of the soil. But at the same time, it is true that there is no going back to the past. We must now look for an environmentally sound equilibrium using more advanced technology that can ensure food security for our large population. A serious problem is arising because of increased use of renewable biomass for food, fodder and fuel. For example, in the northwestern parts of the country, the repeated overuse of the same land for rice production has produced zinc and sulphur deficiencies in the soil. This deficiency problem is consuming an alarming portion of the Gangetic flood plain in the western part of Bangladesh. Soil erosion is occurring in the eastern region of low hills where slope cultivation coupled with sudden high rainfall and floods cause loss of agricultural lands. Splashes of raindrops on slopes already subject to deforestation contribute to the erosion of top soil, as do certain recently introduced cropping patterns (e.g. those for pineapples). Obviously, extreme care must be taken in all future agricultural planning if we do indeed intend to retain our already scarce arable land and its quality. HYV Rice/Pesticides/Chemical Fertilizers and the Environment The HYV rice paddy is a partial answer to the problem of providing feed grains for the expanding population of Bangladesh. However, its use is not without a cost. The problem is not just with the excessive focus on rice (see a previous section) but also with the support activities used to maximize yields. Our agricultural extension service (although spreading virtually all over the country) is inexperienced and inefficient and has failed to make our rural users aware of the environmental consequences of the use of hazardous materials such as DDT (which is still produced and used in Bangladesh). Fertilizers and pesticides are being marketed indiscriminately by multinationals that enticing farmers to take them as panacea for all yield problems. The farmers obviously do not have the background education or the technical knowledge on the proper use of these items. Thus, in many cases, overuse or improper combinations of various chemicals are leaving a disastrous trail. The private sector primarily controls the distribution of fertilizers and pesticides; there is very little scope for controlling their distribution and use. The abuse is depleting micro-flora and fauna from the soil and is causing an inability to sustain high yield levels over longer time periods. Fortunately, detailed work on such problems has already been done in some developed countries. Unfortunately, there seems to be an time lag in disseminating this information in our country. Perhaps the immediate needs have taken priority over long-term considerations and the process of globalization has not really worked where it could have worked positively. It is time that the dangers of such negligence be brought into focus and given due importance in our overall globalization process. 9 Water Resources Management It has already been predicted in many quarters that the most difficult problems for mankind in the coming century will relate to the use of water resources. Bangladesh, although fondly referred to as the land of rivers, obviously has its problems with rivers, monsoons and droughts, floods, and tidal waves. While monsoon flooding continues to disrupt the lives of millions every year, they also are use to it bringing to the agricultural flood plains the alluvial soil that adds natural fertility to the flood plain. This led to a basic concept to our livelihood, living with the floods. More recently however, Flood Control and Drainage (FCD) programmes undertaken by Government agencies (some well planned and many unplanned) have upset the natural balances and, in many cases, have resulted in man-made flash flooding and other important ecological imbalances. On top of the questionable surface water system management, there is a severe depletion of the ground water resource because of increased use of irrigation water needed for HYV rice paddies. These two apparently distinct, but obviously interrelated, areas of surface and ground water systems have already had serious impacts on the environment of Bangladesh. The FCD projects have been implemented after considering their impacts on hydrology, morphology and the socio-economic aspects of the people in the area. But the projects have affected livelihoods and eco-system in general. Almost 90% of the population of Bangladesh depends on ground water for potable water supplies, particularly during the dry season. Moreover, agriculture is becoming more dependent on irrigation from ground water sources with uses already exceeding the annual recharge rate. In the northern part of the country, irrigating tubewells have to be sunk considerable deeper than they were ten years ago, and, in an increasing number of cases, one is ending up with dry bores. The riverine system has its own problems. The Farakka dam on the Ganges River has been withdrawing water from the upper reaches without any consideration for the lower riparian. As a consequence, there is desertification in the northern part of Bangladesh as well as intruding salinity on the southwestern coast. A belated agreement signed by the two water sharing countries late last year failed to rectify the irreversible processes that had been set in motion and that are upsetting the ecology of one-half of Bangladesh and affecting the livelihood of over 50 million people. The other problem resulted from the Karnafully Hydro Electric Project, which dislocating and consequently required the total rehabilitation of a tribal group in the eastern part of the country. Such a social impact was hardly understood by experts 50 years ago when the project was first initiated as a process of early globalization by no other than the Canadians. Forestry and Wild Life The largest tract of the Mangroves forest eco-system is the Sundarbans in the southwest, while other important forest tracts include the evergreen forests in the East and North-East in the districts of Chittagong and Sylhet. In the central part of the country, Modhupur forest constitutes a considerable part of the reserved forest in Bangladesh. At present, forests barely cover 8% of Bangladesh. The figure, low as it is, is going down fast every year as the resources are being used to meet the timber and fuel wood requirements of the millions around the countryside who lack formal power sources. 10 The Shal forests of the Modhupur tract are also vanishing fast, giving way to human habitation, agriculture, and various industrial projects in this relatively sparsely populated area. The poorest eco-system of the eastern and northeastern parts in the districts of Sylhet and Chittagong are also being depleted by anthropogenic interference in the form of agro-forestry, plantation agriculture, and human settlement. Under the prevailing circumstances, the choice of “Social Forestry” seems to be the most effective way of saving our ecology. The slogan “plant trees in your household and save the country,” raised by the government five years ago, has already affected rural lifestyles. Nonetheless, the demand for monoculture cropping in the reserved forests continues to destroy the bio-diversity of the rich forest flora and fauna. In most imminent danger is the mangrove forest eco-system of the Sundarbans. It is on the verge of extinction as result of unplanned exploitation and management, and from “top dying” resulting from the increased salinity of the land. The problem of deforestation in these three major areas has to be addressed with genuine seriousness. The fauna of Bangladesh is unique in that it shares the fauna of the subcontinent as well as of the Malayan region. However, the WWF is already striving hard to save our famous Royal Bengal Tigers, their number perhaps being countable on fingers. The elephants, which use to plunder the eastern belt of Bangladesh, are also rarely seen now. Significant ecological changes are taking place in the northeastern “Haor” region of Bangladesh, which traditionally was a sanctuary for migratory birds from as far away as the Siberian and Himalayan regions. Recent observations report a significantly decline in the number of birds resulting from increasing human habitation and related economic activities in this region. It is important to realize that various shortsighted development projects are already severely straining the natural balance of habitat for the wildlife of Bangladesh. Fisheries and Shrimp Culture As the saying goes “Machhe Bhate Bangali”, so to say, the people of Bangladesh cannot live without fish and rice. This saying is no longer to be taken as a true statement regarding the life and culture of Bangladesh. Over the centuries, fish have been consumed in the riverine country of Bangladesh without either taking recourse to modern methods of fish cultivation, or having shown any regard for a sustainable fisheries management system. The consequences of such practices are now too obvious. A more important ecological conflict has recently emerged in the form of the more lucrative shrimp culture in the bay areas of the coastlines. Shrimping is a consequence of the process of globalization, originating because of its popularity and profitability in the northern countries. However, it is resulting, on the one hand, in the depletion of the naturally occurring post larvae of shrimps from the bay waters along the beaches (in the absence of adequate number of hatcheries capable of meeting the increasing demands), and, on the other, in brackish water pools along our southern coasts that destroy the more environmentally-friendly rice paddy fields. The consequence is massive degradation of coastal areas. Consequently, open water, as well as, marine fisheries management systems are needed to regulate destructive fishing practices and to increase productivity while sustaining fish population dynamics. Land Use 11 Earlier I mentioned that land is possibly the most scarce resource in Bangladesh and perhaps is more valuable than gold. The increased population pressure is putting enormous stress on its land resources. Due to the recent Government policy of decentralization there has been a growth in the number of urban centres in the country. At present more than 20 million people live in various urban centres and the number is growing rapidly. Rural dwellers, in search of jobs and employment, are migrating to urban centres and this has resulted in an unmanageable urban expansion. In order to cope with the unemployment situation, as well to upgrade the overall economic condition of the country, the policy of the Government has been to emphasis the development of the industrial sector of the country. As a consequence, many industrial estates are being established around the countryside, often taking over agricultural land with areas much larger than they need. Expansion of urban and industrial areas in Bangladesh, in most cases, occurs at the cost of our best agricultural lands. In the absence of a National Land Use Plan, such development programmes are taking place indiscriminately, without due consideration to their environmental consequences. Global Warming and Rising Sea Water I would conclude this section by drawing your attention to the most alarming environmental development of our time i.e. global warming. It is a process to which Bangladesh, as a country, contributes the least but could be affected by it the most. Even a rise of few degrees in global temperature would result in one-fourth of the deltaic flood plain of Bangladesh going under the sea and would destroy one-third of the crop and the corresponding livelihood of our people. Such a situation can no longer be brushed away as a figment of imagination in the light of the Kyoto Conference on Global Warming. There experts from all over the world deliberated on how to curtail the emission of greenhouse gases in the North to pre-1991 levels. While the principle of “the polluter pays” has been accepted in the national context, a big question is whether the principle should not be extrapolated to global context. At a time when, in the environmental sense, the concept of geographical sovereignties transcends national boundaries and the security of nations is transformed to the security of all people - whither globalization? Electricity, sanitation, and sewage other than in the streets - modest accomplishments. But 50 million Bangladeshis do not have it even today. Such goals depend on the kind of technology we desire and connote the kind of lifestyle we want. Americans strive to have a “two-car family;” our contentment is in “two square meals a day.” Americans want to send their children to university; we would like to send ours at least to primary schools. Just as every American want the best of health insurance; we want to have at least basic health services. Some 50 million human beings, 40% of our population, do not yet have these basic human needs. It is “legitimate national interest” to have these basic needs as the birthright of having been born into the species and it is this “legitimate national interest” that we are talking about being synthesized into our concept of a rationale globalization. And there is a Dream of the Earth too. The Rev. Thomas Berry wrote about it in a book by that title. It is of an environment like the one we inherited when we came of age as a species, pristine and natural, untrammeled by the perdition of humanity; one where economic theories are not inherently destructive of the planet and its resources. It is the global dream. The Bangladeshi Dream and the Dream of the 12 Earth are one and synonymous with the American dream too. For Thomas Berry is an American! Globalization must have two purposes: one of vital global interest, the other, of legitimate national interest. They are relevant to the case of my country. The global interest has to lie in a sustainable development for all the world’s people, not just for flourishing the financial deal and packages of multinationals and quasinationals in the name of free enterprise and market forces. We have not yet reached a stage where a global ethic is truly entertained by all countries, but we certainly shall, and it has to happen within the next century. Once this is secured, policy making will intensify and be directed at protecting genuine global interests. It will be seen as grotesque and normatively unacceptable - unfashionable - to engage in disproportionate financial and economic excesses in the North, on the one hand, and deprive even minimal welfare to the people of the South, on the other. Have the architects of globalization ever questioned the morality and justification of this and asked why the North did not agree to even a minimum decorum of diverting just a nominal 0.7% of their GDP towards the South to achieve an equitable globalization. Even the EC had to accept a similar policy when it was formed. The question of “Europization” within the EC depended critically on removing regional disparities within the EC before “one economy” could start, in the real sense of the term. For that purpose, enormous resources were mobilized as “structural funds” prior to attempting what I called Europization. In comparison to the period prior to the much publicized process of globalization, the contribution of the recommended 0.7% of the GDP of northern countries to the South is actually shrinking! The scenario on the trade regime is no different from that for aid! When the booming economies of the Far Eastern countries hit hard on the North, the lofty ideals of globalization vanished in thin air. Their unholy alliance attempted to destroy the economies the Far East. Similarly, when the North failed in economic competition with China, India and even Bangladesh, non-tariff barriers were raised high to preclude free market competition. What harm does Bangladesh cause if it is capable of capturing the whole North American market in RMGE with the lowest prices? The North imposed quotas, regulations and even invoked restrictions on the use of primary “gray” materials on the pretext that they are not produced in Bangladesh. How do free market concepts fit in there? Where go the lofty words of globalization then? Why do the WTO or the Uruguay Rounds restrict exports of products from the primary producers of raw materials while protecting the interests of the North through the pretension of so-called intellectual rights? One last simple example, and I will be very frank with our fellow intellectuals from the North! If the “products” of the North can have free accesses to the south by virtue of their competitive price (the North’s products will always be cheaper as they can be produce in the millions and by more advanced technology (carefully planned to be protected by virtue of the intellectual rights)), why can’t the “factors of production” from the South (the migrant labourers and workers, skilled or unskilled) find their way to the labour markets of the North by virtue of their being the cheapest? The dishonest protectionism, which contradict the basic principles of free market and globalization, comes in the form of such “non-tariff barriers” as visa restrictions and immigration laws. Meanwhile, may I ask the North, not only the United States, will you address these issues today, not fifty years from now. What is a legitimate globalization pattern for 13 you, as the South struggles to sustain its livelihood on the dawn of a new century and the new millennium? These are questions which need to be resolved on a rational basis for the sake of promoting globalization, in the real sense of the term, and of making the process beneficial for everyone, not only for the rich. There is no scope for deceit! Just as global interests must be examined, so do claims of legitimate national interests. National policies will have to induce more modest levels of consumption, not compared with what we already have, but in a relative sense compared with what the “elasticity” could conceivably provide for the richest. Technology will allow continued improvement in the human condition, but social norms will persuade a degree of self-restraint on the richest for the sake of those striving to attain basic human needs elsewhere on the planet. Anything beyond that will be seen as exceeding the “legitimate national interest” of a country. Finally, there remains the basic question of the fact that trillions of dollars are being spent in this world every year on war efforts. If only a fraction of this could be diverted towards the process of what I termed rational globalization, we might well be able to leave a more peaceful and harmonious world for future generations. We do not want to leave behind “deserts” for our posterity! 14