Real Estate Economics Syllabus Introduction This course applied the latest economic thinking and research to the task of analyzing real estate market and forecasting supply or demand, especially with the reference of Taiwan. The course will employ a mix of lectures, discussion of cases and a variety of papers to supplement the text. Class Information Class Hours: Monday 9:10-12:00 Class Location: A216 Instructor Information Chien-wen Peng (彭建文) Assistant Professor Office phone: 2500-9151 E-mail: cwpeng@mail.ntpu.edu.tw Textbook and Supplementary Notes 1. DiPasquale, D. and W. Wheaton “ Urban Economics and Real Estate Market” Prentice Hall.1996 (華泰書局代理 2377-3877) 2. Journal articles (see reading list) Evaluation Class participation and homeworks 60% of grade. Final term paper 40% of grade. 1 Real Estate Economics Course Outline Week 一 二 三 四 五 六 七 八 九 Topics Introduction A. Review of economic concepts B. The real estate sector: the capital and property markets C. Micro and macro economics analysis The urban land market:rents and prices (1) A. Location and rent: the indifference principle B. Submarkets and land use segregation The urban land market:rents and prices (2) A. Urban growth, rents and prices B. Housing price: some empirical evidence The urban housing market: structure attributes and density(1) A. Housing attributes: housing preference and new construction B. The hightest use for residential development The urban housing market: structure attributes and density(2) A. Location and residential density B. Pattern of urban development and C. Land use transition between land uses (gentrification) Firm site selection, employment, decentralization, and multicentered cities (1) A. Historical development and changing technology B. Transportation, and shipping costs C. Tax and public policy effects Firm site selection, employment, decentralization, and multicentered cities (2) A. The office market and labor market B. Theories of multiple centered cities 1. Agglomeration and clustering 2. The commercial land market Retail location and market competition (1) A. Retail travel patterns and the distribution of stores B. Pricing and spatial competition Retail location and market competition (2) A. Shopping centers and store clustering B. Forecasting shopping behavior C. Market and retail sales 2 Materials Ch1, 2 Ch3 Ch3 Ch4 Ch4 Ch5 Ch5 Ch6 Ch6 十 十一 十二 十三 十四 十五 十六 十七 十八 Economic growth and metropolitan real estate markets A. The determinants of metropolitan growth 1. Export demand and industrial development 2. Bath rates, migration and wages B. A model analyzing metropolitan growth (demand and supply shocks, real estate and the cost of living) The market foe housing units: households, prices, and financing A. Units, household and tenure choice B. Demographic influence C. Housing appreciation, mortgages and the cost of owning The market for housing services: moving, sales, and vacancy A. Income and housing consumption B. Housing consumption and life cycle C. Moving, vacancy and sales: the demand for housing quality The cyclical behavior of metropolitan housing markets A. The time series properties of housing and commercial space markets. B. Stock-flow theory and real estate cycles. C. Expectations, information, efficient markets D. The issue: can market be forecast? The operation of nonresidential property market A. The operation of nonresidential property markets 1. Vacancy, absorption, market frictions 2. Leasing, tenure, tenant “synergy” B. Long term trend in space usage and demand C. Herd behavior and development games Econometric analysis of metropolitan office and industrial market A. The market for office space in san francisco B. The market for industrial space in philadelphia Local governments, property taxes, and real estate market A. Property taxes, public expenditure and local services B. Community choice, capitalization and income segregation C. The fiscal incentives for land use regulation Public goods, externalities, and development regulation A. Public goods and neighborhood effects B. Internalizing external effect through government or contracts C. Transportation infrastructure and land use planning Final report presentation 3 Ch7 Ch8 Ch9 Ch10 Ch11 Ch12 Ch13 Ch14 4