Syukuro Manabe
Emeritus Faculty (Climate Modeling)
Address:
Program in Atmospheric
and Oceanic Sciences,
Sayre Hall, Forrestal Campus,
Princeton University,
Photograph
Princeton, NJ 08544-0710,USA
Phone: (609) 258-2790,
E-Mail: manabe@splash.princeton.edu
Vita
Publications
Research: Model Study of Climatic Change: Past, Present and Future
In the early 1960's, we developed a radiative-convective model of
the atmosphere, and explored the role of greenhouse gases such as water
vapor, carbon dioxide and ozone in maintaining and changing the thermal
structure of the atmosphere. This was the beginning of the long-term
research on global warming, which I have continued until now in
collaborating with the staff members of Geophysical Fluid Dynamics
Laboratory of NOAA.
In the late 1960's, Kirk Bryan and I began to develop a general
circulation model of the coupled atmosphere-ocean-land surface system,
which eventually became a very powerful tool for simulating global warming.
More recently, we have realized that a coupled model can successfully
simulate many low frequency variabilities of climate. This has encouraged
us to use a coupled model for exploring not only global warming but also
unforced, natural variability of climate with seasonal to decadal time
scales.
The analysis of deep-sea cores indicates that the Earth's climate
has fluctuated greatly during the geological past. Throughout my career,
past climate changes have provided many exiting issues, which we have
explored using climate models with various complexity.
Recent Publications:
Manabe, S., J. R. Knutson, R. J. Stouffer and T. L. Delworth, Exploring
natural and anthropogenic variation of climate, Quarterly Journal of Royal
Meteorological Society, 127A, 1-24, 2001.
Manabe, S., and R. J. Stouffer, Study of abrupt climate change by a coupled
ocean-atmosphere model, Quaternary Science Reviews, 19, 285-299, 2000.
Manabe, S., and R. J. Stouffer, The role of thermohaline circulation in
climate, Tellus, 51A-B, 91-109, 1999.
Manabe, S., and R. J. Stouffer, Are two modes of thermohaline circulation
stable? Tellus, 51A, 400-411, 1999.
Hall, A., and S. Manabe, The role of water vapor feedback in unperturbed
climate variability and global warming, Journal of climate, 12, 2327-2346,
1999.
Tsushima, Y., and S. Manabe, Influence of cloud feedback on annual variation
of global mean surface temperature, Journal of Geophysical Research
(Atmosphere), 106-D19, 22,635-226467, 2001.
Papers submitted for publication:
Wetherald, R. T., and S. Manabe, Simulation of hydrologic changes
associated with global warming, accepted by Journal of Geophysical
Research-atmosphere.
Stouffer, R. J., and S. Manabe, Equilibrium response of thermohaline
circulation to large changes in atmospheric CO2 concentration, submitted
to Climate Dynamics.