The Concept of Zero Emissions in the 21st Century Motoyuki Suzuki United Nations University, Tokyo Japan Introduction Since the Meiji Restoration, Japan saw a steady economic growth of about 1.8 percent. After the reconstruction that followed World War II, economic growth shot up to eight percent, but reduced to 3.3 percent after the first oil shock of the 1970s. Thus, growth of the Japanese economy has not been steady - taking a more S-shape logistic curve, and reflecting a more natural mechanization and industrialization of the development of the country. Since then, Japan's growth has made it an advanced nation - with the second largest economy in the world. Economic growth has come at a cost, however - the social patterns of lifestyle that Japan adopted has seen high resource consumption patters, which has created a herewithto unknown problem among advanced, industrial countries: the need for the collection and disposal of huge amounts of waste that the current consumption -oriented society has generated. The urgency of a viable and long-term plan for management of wastes has taken on added significance due to the limited amount of land available for land-based systems of waste disposal. High density living conditions, and varied patterns of living etc. have only exasperated the situation. It has been estimated that in Japan, the annual resource intake from domestic sources is about 10.2 tons per person and about five tons of imported resources. But in order to produce the domestic resources, approximately 40 tons of natural resources needs to be converted. A negative output from these processes is approximately 0.8 tons of waste generated per person that is disposed through land-fills. For the whole nation, this is about 100 million tons of waste that is disposed via land-fills per year. While land-fills are an expensive solution for an island nation, extensive incineration has also generated its own problems in producing toxic pollutants. Reclaimed land and artificial islands have been short and medium term solutions, but may not be able to handle the future volume of projected waste generation. While the current situation has come about as a result of the mass-consumption and an emphasis on improving the quality of life, there is a need to generate better and more sustainable lifestyles that consume less and generate less waste. A key strategy for the next century will definitely be sustainable development patterns - development that can last. Such strategies have become bywords for a number of recent international conferences and reports, starting from the 1972 Stockholm conference (WCED), the Bruntland Report, and 1987 Rio Conference. The earlier misconstructed emphasis on 'economic growth that can last' has given way to the now-well-known and pragmatic definitions for sustainable development that calls for 'the use of resources that satisfy present needs without sacrificing the needs of the future'. A number of interrelated and interlinked issues in the cycle of design-manufacture-use-disposal have been brought under the umbrella of long-term sustainable development. How do we understand and interpret the implications of sustainable development? There are two main goals that can be adopted within a sustainability framework: 1. To achieve human well-being within the framework of natural and sustainable bio/eco systems 2. To maintain steady economic growth within the framework of sustainable natural resource management It is clear that Goal (1) is an idealistic long-term one, but would appear to be difficult to achieve within the current situation. Thus while the ultimate goal may be Goal (1), from an engineering point of view, it is more appropriate to aim for Goal (2). Utilization of Natural Resources and Economic Activities Considering the wide range of human activities and products/outputs, it would be appropriate to divide natural resources into two types - resources that are mined, and biological resources. Within mined geological resources, there are those that will loose its function at the end (after it enters the anthropogenic sphere) - for example, petrol or coal. The other type of resources are elements that remain within the anthropogenic sphere. It is clear that depending on the type of resource being used, the consumption levels or extraction levels of a resource needs to be at levels that guarantee long-term sustainability. Utilization of resources needs to be done within some universal principles that transcend individual objectives: biological resources needs to be extracted within the amount that can be reproduced or replaced; mined resources need to be extracted based on perfect recycling systems. Quite clearly, with regards to resources such as petrol and coal, it is important to firstly, use such resources within certain limits as these are finite non-renewable resources, and secondly, to simultaneously consider and develop cost-effective and renewable energy systems. We therefore come to the realization that to achieve the goals of resource utilization mentioned above, we have to institute a fundamental change in the structure of production and consumption from the bottom up, within the anthropogenic sphere. From a more developmental perspective, this would mean a reversion from a structure where we achieved a high GNP through mass utilization and consumption, and mass waste generation patterns - to achieve high level GNP by utilizing limited and lesser resources and minimize waste generated. These objectives lead us to the idea of using the same set of resources repeatedly within the anthropogenic sphere, leading to the effective utilization of resources for high resource productivity. The issue here is to design, develop and utilize complete material circulation. The Aim of Zero Emissions The high growth and high production periods of 1950s to 70s of the post-war era, and its consequent development and environmental impacts, have had negative effects in the form of atmospheric pollution and water contamination. This led to the extensive development, in the 1970s, of technology specifically to monitor negative environmental impacts of such industrial development processes. The main function of such technology was to purify the pollutants, contaminated materials and toxic wastes generated at the end of industrial processes (known as end-of-pipe technologies). Such technologies and processes were also regulated by law - in calling for the installation of large scale pollution prevention facilities that reduce wastes and contaminating materials. It has to be understood that the technologies and facilities set up for pollution prevention and waste treatment did not produce any economic effects, or did not affect the growth of the economy. Indeed, such technologies were simply considered as an additional 'burden' on industries, and the long-term benefits of such measures were not clearly understood or appreciated. Clearly, the pressure to install and implement such technologies partly came from the national governments and ministries who pushed for pollution prevention policies and measures. Since the 1980s however, newer concepts have come into vogue – particularly 'cleaner production'. The management of wastes at the end of the production processes, popularly called as 'end-of-pipe' wastes, requires the setting up of various facilities in order to regulate the waste output that are expensive and technology intensive. The idea of cleaner production calls for a detailed review of individual production processes and identify/rectify those stages in the production that generate wastes – using unique technology or management inputs. The basic drawback of this methodology is a lack of interlinking and supporting mutual policies and an underlying fundamental principle that can unify the method. This also prevents the achievement of a broad and lasting impact of the initiatives and measures taken. While the concept of 'cleaner production' is frequently used, there are too many individual actions for a unified approach to the problem. It is within this scenario that the concept of 'zero emissions' was put forth – in contrast to cleaner production, zero emissions concept calls for the establishment of networks of different types of industries into clusters – aiming for the effective (re)utilization of resources which cannot be achieved through a single or simple process. It also further aims to reduce the burden on the environment and to achieve hierarchical material circulation of the natural system within the industrial system. Zero emissions take the more holistic approach of a needs-oriented technology development. Contrary to the end-of-pipe approach mentioned above, zero emissions considers the overall material circulation and flows – to look at upstream issues in the production processes, including the conversion of raw materials, as well as clustering of industry based on the use of both raw materials and intermediate products. This is popularly known as 'upsizing'. Key to operationalizing this concept is the creation of new kinds of industry, creation of new and diversified revenues, and new types of employment. This is in clear contrast to ordinary pollution prevention measures or clean processes, which leads to negative investment. Zero emissions is related to the enforcement of productivity measures that eventually leads to profit and a better environment. The Development of Zero Emissions Technology Research concerning zero emissions tends to be interpreted as 'no waste' or 'zero waste' – that is, attempting to develop a complete set of technologies for waste treatment or attempting to develop a technology that requires no energy consumption. These ideas while valid, are not the true intentions of the concept of zero emissions. As stated in the previous section, zero emissions focuses on sustainable development aiming to achieve its goals through upsizing, technology development, and higher productivity of resources. Technology development within the zero emissions concept takes on a different approach from ordinary developmental processes. Currently, the development of technology for cleaner processes focuses on technology to reduce sub or waste materials, and to reuse waste within individual manufacturing processes. Specifically, the aim of the zero emissions concept is to develop technology to recover 'valueadded' waste from individual processes. It also envisages the development of technology to revive such waste so that it can be used as raw material in other processes, establish material cycle/circulation, and in general develop concepts and purpose-oriented factors which would best fit the overall production process. This, in general, calls for a more holistic view that incorporates different types of industries. Within such an approach, existing technology is rehabilitated in order to develop new and separate industries on the basis of market demand – or already existing industries may be used for a totally different area of production/manufacture. This does not of course negate the need for new technology to be developed within the concept of zero emissions. The key issue here is that we evaluate the need for technology and management practices not on the basis of the limited idea of profit motives of individual/separate processes, but to look at the development of an overall development concept and seek technology that will fit into this concept and have a specific function in the overall material circulation. Therefore, in development of new technology, it is important to establish accountability and clearly define the meaning and role of such new technologies and its position within overall material cycles. Comparison between Zero Emissions and Cleaner Production Attempts to decrease downstream wastes Decrease in waste production Cost minimization Already existing process – countermeasure to the process's termination Cleaner production (reduce, reuse and recycle) Attempts to decrease downstream wastes Decrease in waste production Cost minimization Changes in individual unit processes. Input-output analysis The starting point The middle point End-of-pipe Total Productivity Creation of new industries upstream Value-added creation of waste (waste as a resource) Increase in income Holistic view of production and manufacturing process and the creation of new industry and employment Final goal Thematic Research on Zero Emissions The above mentioned concept of Zero Emissions was promulgated in 1994 at the United Nations University by a team headed by Gunter Pauli under the banner of 'Zero Emissions Research Initiative (ZERI)'. This initiative brought together concepts such as industrial ecology, ecorestructuring and other macro issues, along with examples of various industrial experiments. An intensive information campaign targeted at different stakeholders popularized the term 'ZERI'. The initiative organized the 4th World Congress in Namibia in 1998. Among the current research themes of ZERI is integrated biomass systems (IBS), within which experiments were conducted in Fiji and other countries in Southeast Asia, and other such systems and experiments in Africa (for example, utilization of IBS for water hyacinth). The 5th World Congress was held in October 1999 in Columbia, where issues such as water management practices, production systems, selfgenerating and conserving energy systems for houses, and utilization of coffee bean residue was discussed. As can be seen, the concept of Zero Emissions has relevance for both developing and industrialized economies. Emphasizing the broad relevance of zero emissions to various regions and problems, the current research cycle started in 1997 for a three-year period (research on 'Development and Establishment of Material Circulation Aiming at Zero Emissions' which is coordinated by the author). This project consists of an overall coordinating committee to manage activities, and three research groups representing the academic, industrial and local community spheres. One of the issues to be covered in the research activities, for example, concerns sound material circulation and engineering/technology solutions in the chemical industry. Conclusions The paper has attempted to illustrate the concept behind zero emissions and the basic approach to achieve the aims of the concept. One of the key issues that needs to be explored in relation to the discussion above is the economic implications of the zero emissions concept. In order to pursue upsizing, it will be necessary to coordinate already existing social systems where individual industries can pursue its own profit agendas and social systems based on free competition among industry players. In order to pursue a zero emissions society, it will become necessary to expect producers and industrialists to exercise strict caution and manufacture their products for the market within the principles and concepts of zero emissions – both in terms of quality and the manufacturing processes. This would mean that every single product is to be regulated – also taking into consideration the state/process after the product becomes a 'waste'. A large part of this will be the responsibility of the producer – we simply cannot consider and 'react' to waste material as we have been doing until now. A number of rules and regulations were drawn up in Japan during the early 1990s relating to, for example, regulating waste material processes (industry producers are required to products that will not generate wastes during production or sale, and develop containers and packaging that will not be difficult to dispose and recycle once it is becomes a 'waste'). Laws on recycling, or the cooperative system concerning the processing of waste electrical appliances were also instituted recently. While these laws are welcome and do cover a broad range of issues, these may not be sufficient when we consider the generation and processing of waste from a broader, long-term perspective. There is a clear need for a change in attitudes towards purchase and consumption behaviour of customers. When consumers purchase a product – a car for example – they purchase a function of the product and not the materials which compose the product. These once the consumer is no longer satisfied with the function, the responsibility of disposing and reusing/recycling the discarded product should rest with the manufacturer – without burdening the cost of disposal on the consumer. Once such a culture of purchasing a function rather than a product is established, then a drastic change on the part of the producer can be effected in scrutinizing the entire production process and in the purchase, use and disposal of products.