Part II. Chapter 4 THE SAN DIEGO TIJUANA REGIONAL BORDER (Written 1996) In 1848 when the Treaty of Guadelupe Hidalgo was signed, Tijuana was the largest of a group of cattle ranching villages in the Tijuana River Valley. Ensenada was a development of a North American real estate company during the Southern California land boom of the 1880s. Because of poor communications and transportation, both communities were relatively isolated from the mainstream of Mexican life. During the speculative land boom of the 1880s, two wealthy Mexican families living in the United States, the Arguello and Olivera families, developed the first urban plan for the town of Tijuana --- then called Zaragosa. Much of the development was to be located close to the international border. By 1921, the population of the new town had grown to more than 1,000. Two events marked the subsequent growth of Tijuana up to World War II. First, the Mexican government allowed gambling in Baja California. The first racetrack in Tijuana dates to 1916. Second, prohibition laws passed in the United States led to a major boom in tourism from the United States. Tijuana became best known for its gambling houses, bars, and other entertainment establishments. By 1940, the population of Tijuana had growth to 16,486. The growth of the city after World War II is traced basically to the Bracero program. Many of those who worked in the United States would ultimately settle in Tijuana. Those unable to find employment either north or south of the border became a large group of extremely poor people living in colonias along the border. From the end of World War II to the present, the population of Tijuana has grown tremendously. Year 1900 1910 1921 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 Population of Tijuana 350 969 1,228 11,271 21,977 65,364 165,690 340,583 709,340 1,129,000 About two-thirds of this population growth was the result of migration from the interior of Mexico. Many people settled in squatter settlements, especially in the southwestern zone of the city, known as "popular neighborhoods" (colonias populares). Squatter settlements are estimated to represent 38% to 42% of Tijuana's population and to occupy about one-fourth of the urban area. The population of Tijuana, as in all of Mexico, is very young. As of 1990, 34.1% of the population of Tijuana was under age 15 (compared to 38% for Mexico as a whole). 67.8% (roughly 2/3) of the population was under age 30. Page 2 In Tijuana, high-income people tend to reside in areas near downtown, in the hills to the south, or along the coast on the road to Rosarito. The wealthy thus tend to live near the border in contrast to San Diego, where the wealthy tend to live farther from the border. Middle and working class neighborhoods in Tijuana are adjacent to the wealthy areas but are slightly farther from downtown. Generally, social class becomes lower as one goes farther from the central business district and the River Zone. In contrast, in San Diego, social class becomes generally lower as one moves closer to the central business district. Tijuana's economy has grown rapidly --- at an annual rate of 3.8% from 1970 to 1990. This was faster than the economic growth of Mexico as a whole. However, income per capita has stagnated and may have even fallen slightly. This means that, although income rose, it was not able to keep up with the very rapid rise in population. By 1990, income per capita in Tijuana was 17% above that of Mexico as a whole. Education levels are also higher (6.6 years of schooling on average, compared to the Mexican average of 4.7 years) as are literacy rates (95.6% in 1990 compared to 87.3% for all of Mexico). However, as of 1990, 22.2% of people in Tijuana did not complete grade school while another 21.5% of people completed grade school but had no further education. Life expectancy in Tijuana had risen to 71 years, about two years more than Mexico as a whole. And during the 1970s and 1980s, the distribution of income in Tijuana became more equal. This distribution is significantly more equal than that of Mexico as a whole. Labor force participation is also higher in Tijuana than in Mexico as a whole --- 51% in 1990 compared to 43%. This is especially true for women, a result of the maquiladoras. And unemployment in Tijuana is extremely low --- 1.4% as of 1994. Between 1950 and 1980, the structure of Tijuana's economic activity changed away from the primary (agriculture and ranching) and secondary (manufacturing) sectors into services. By 1990, about 56% of Tijuana's employment was in services. Several urban projects increased Tijuana's role as a tourist center. However, 38% of Tijuana's employment was classified as "Industry", a classification that includes manufacturing, construction, transportation, communications, and utilities. As a comparison, only about 19% of San Diego's employment was in these categories, meaning that Tijuana was much more industrial than San Diego. Tijuana's industry is also much more concentrated geographically; San Diego allocates twice as much land to industry as does Tijuana. Much of this focus on industry is due to the maquiladoras. Of the total number of jobs created in Tijuana in the 1980s, the maquiladoras were responsible for 48%. There are over 1,100 manufacturing firms in Tijuana. More than half of these are maquiladoras. As of 1994, there were 510 maquiladora plants in Tijuana employing almost 83,000 people. Of these, 42% have affiliate companies in San Page 3 Diego. Maquiladoras were covered in an earlier section. In terms of importance, the manufacturing industries of Tijuana are: Number of Firms Food Products, Beverages and Tobacco Textiles, Clothing, and Leather Wood Industry, Including Furniture Paper and Paper Products, Printing and Publishing Chemical Substances Mineral products Without Metals Basic Metal Industries Metal Products, Machinery, and Equipment Employment Value of Production 26% 11% 24% 12% 7% 5% 10% 16% 9% 9% 4% 3% 6% 3% 12% 11% NA 2% 1% 3% 25% 53% 44% Notice the importance of the Metal products, Machinery, and Equipment category. This is largely dominated by electronic equipment. The minimum wage in Tijuana was 15.27 pesos per day as of 1994. The average wage in the maquiladoras in Tijuana was 35.50 pesos. (In 1994, this would have equaled about $11 per day.) Tijuana has built 38 business parks to attract maquiladora business. The major one has been built on Otay Mesa. The border crossing opened there in 1985. Many of the plants built there are "Twin Plants", with complementary operations on each side of the border. Housing was planned for about 250,000 on the American side of the border, but little of this has yet been built. On the Mexican side of the border, the land on Otay Mesa was once part of two ejidos. This land was expropriated by the government in 1970 and separated into two areas: one for industrial development and the other for residences for about 10,000 people. Construction for the residential area began in 1972. The industrial park was constructed on the eastern edge of Otay Mesa in 1977. There are about 100 companies located on this industrial park (called "New Tijuana"). Mexico is well ahead of the United States in developing its side of the border. Besides the industrial park, it has already built an international airport, two universities, and a large regional shopping center. Mexico has added other industrial sites and residential developments as well. The two nations have only begun to coordinate their land use decisions. This lack of coordination has often resulted in incompatible uses of the land. For example, the decision of the City Council of San Diego to locate a major prison on Otay Mesa did not fit with the goal of Mexico of having the area grow with new residences and businesses. Page 4 International trade thus far has been a growing, but underutilized area in San Diego. In 1993, international trade accounted for only about 7% of the gross regional product of San Diego (up from 3.5% in 1987). In volume of export sales, San Diego ranks 17th among the largest metropolitan areas. However, over 40% of San Diego's trade was with Mexico. And about 2/3 of San Diego's trade involved the Pacific Rim countries of Mexico, Canada, Japan, etc. NAFTA should lead to increased trade between San Diego and Mexico. However, the infrastructure in Tijuana is woefully inadequate (as it is as well in San Diego). (1) Only 40% of the roads in the Tijuana region are paved and much of this is in disrepair. San Diego does not presently have enough road space for the projected traffic flow. As a result, State Route 905 is being considered to connect I-5 and I-805. And State Route 125 was built as a privately financed and operated toll road. (2) Port facilities are also inadequate. The port of Ensenada is now mainly used for recreational and cruise ship operations. It plans a major increase in handling of cargo by 2003 with the goal of becoming a major international port by 2015. The port of San Diego has been focusing on hotel development along the bay. (3) Cargo shipping has been limited by the lack of railroad facilities to transport the cargo once it reaches port. (Much of the cargo presently shipped to the Port of San Diego is shipped by truck to Los Angeles, where it is put on trains to head east.) The hope for rail facilities has been the San Diego and Arizona Eastern Railway (SDA&E). However, this railroad is currently not being utilized. Funding is needed for repairs and improvements; this funding has thus far not been forthcoming. The SDA&E could be a "NAFTA train", as it is scheduled to travel from downtown San Diego down to Tijuana and then across to Tecate before coming back into the United States and traveling north to Plaster City and Campo. It would ultimately join the Southern Pacific Railway at El Centro. The Southern Pacific would then ships the goods to Chicago for distribution to the east and midwest. If the repairs are completed, a large increase in trade through the Port of San Diego could result. The ability of San Diego to increase its trade (especially with Mexico) is a major component of the ability of San Diego to grow economically. Border crossings are also an important part of the San Diego economy. The large majority of those who cross do so legally. In 1992, there were 56 million border crossings. Tijuana residents spend an estimated $2.8 billion annually, paying over $100 million in sales taxes to San Diego county. (Immigration issues were considered in Chapter 3.) Finally, many environmental problems have resulted from the rapid growth of the region that began in the 1960s. First, there are problems of water. Because Tijuana occupies a higher elevation than San Diego, urban runoff or sewage discharge flow toward San Diego. Vast areas of Tijuana have remained without any connection to a sewage discharge line. Only 50.8% of Tijuana households are served by the sewer system. In the 1980s, about 10 million gallons per day Page 5 of sewage spilled across the border daily. As a result, the beaches in the south county have been quarantined on many occasions over the years. Farmlands are threatened in San Diego, as are endangered plants and animals. An International Wastewater Treatment Plant was completed in 1996, at a cost of $260 million. This has a primary treatment plant with a capacity of 25 million gallons per day and a secondary treatment plant. It is expected to be in full operation by 1997, treating only the sewage headed for the United States. Also, during heavy storms, enormous amounts of water flow from Mexico into the United States. The flood plain on the American side of the Tijuana River contains agricultural property, horse farms, and a wildlife refuge. Air pollution is also a regional problem. The biggest polluter in the region is the thermal electric plant in Rosarito. However, due to the wind conditions, San Diego does not experience this pollution very often. But autos registered in Mexico, where leaded fuel is still used, cause an estimated 12% of pollution in the San Diego area. Estimates were made (1993) that $7.6 billion is needed for wastewater treatment, water supplies, solid waste disposal facilities, and other infrastructure in the border area. The North American Development Bank (NADBANK) was created with $3 billion in capital contributed by both Mexico and the United States to promote projects for environmental purposes. The United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) estimated that, from this and other sources, $8 billion will be available for border infrastructure projects over the next ten years. In the fall of 1996, the Final Border XXI Program Framework document will be released. This will identify environment priorities of the border, divide them geographically, and come up with implementation plans. It will act to coordinate many federal, state, and local government agencies to deal with border environmental problems. The future of the relationship between San Diego and Tijuana will be very different than the past. The populations are much greater in both cities. The problems are greater and are clearly inter-regional. Better coordination of policies will be essential to deal with these problems. That improved coordination has just begun to be implemented. With improved coordination, San Diego - Tijuana may become an economically integrated region, one of the few in the world to involve two sovereign countries.