www.fbbva.es COMMUNICATION DEPARTMENT PRESS RELEASE New data and analyses on regional spending and equal opportunity in key public services* Disparities in regional per capita spending on education, health and social protection amount to just under 60% Inter-regional variations in per capita spending extend to 55 percentage points (pp) in education, 37 pp in health and 87 pp in social protection. Differing territorial needs only account for a third of this disparity. Regions’ efforts to preserve the Welfare State despite health and education spending cuts are reflected in the higher percentage of GDP assigned to key public services, up from 23% in 2007 to 28% in 2013. The sustainability of expenditure on key public services will require the kind of financial planning implemented with the pensions reserve fund. The report’s authors propose the set up of a reserve fund for education and healthcare policies, and a review of regional funding disparities that undermine equality of access to public services. Madrid, May 4, 2015.- The BBVA Foundation and Valencian Institute for Economic Research (Ivie) have presented the study Servicios públicos, diferencias territoriales e igualdad de oportunidades, led by Francisco Pérez, the Institute’s Research Director and Professor of Economic Analysis at the University of Valencia , and co-authored by Ivie economists Vicent Cucarella and Laura Hernández. The report analyzes spending on key public services (education, health and social protection) in Spain and its autonomous regions between 2002 and 2013 in order to provide objective data for input to social debate and policy decisions. Among its main conclusions is that in the year 2013 inter-regional disparities in per capita public spending on education, health and social protection ran to almost 60%. Even after the cutbacks implemented since 2009, better funded regions like the Basque Country, Asturias and Navarra (figure 1) were spending more in 2013 than other autonomous regions had spent before the onset of austerity. These differences owe considerably more to funding disparities than they do to each region’s differing needs. Low-income regions have not only accepted the restrictions imposed by the crisis, but also face additional, ongoing limitations in their delivery of key services. * Key public services are activities relating to the delivery and management of health services (primary, specialist and hospital care, public health, clinical research), education (pre-school, primary, secondary, post-secondary and higher, grants and ancillary services) and social protection (services to do with retirement, sickness and disability, old age, family protection, unemployment, housing and social exclusion). Figure 1. Per capita spending on key public services in the autonomous regions, 2009-2013. Constant 2013 euros per capita Source: BBVA Foundation-Ivie Spending cuts and spending diversity in key public services The report highlights the extent of inter-regional variation in Spain as regards public spending on public services, and the intensity of the adjustments made in response to economic recession and the crisis in public finances. The prolonged recession made large inroads into public revenues and drove real per capita spending on key public services sharply lower in the study period (2007-2013). This was despite the authorities’ efforts to safeguard social expenditures through the crisis years by allotting them a growing share of GDP and public revenues. In 2013, specifically, spending on key services amounted to 28% of GDP and 74% of non-financial public revenues (excluding funds raised through borrowing). These percentages are sizably higher than the equivalent pre-crisis levels (23% of GDP and 55% of revenues in 2007). (Figure 2). 2 Figure 2. Spending on key public services. 2007-2013. a) Euros per capita, in real terms b) Percentage of GDP Source: BBVA Foundation-Ivie Major differences emerge in the treatment of key public services. Pensions spending, for instance, benefited from the greater stability of social contributions compared to other public revenue items, the support provided by the Social Security reserve fund set up in 1994, and the Government’s decision to maintain pension expenditures through the crisis. Conversely, education and health spending were directly affected by the decline in autonomous region tax revenues, in the absence of a reserve fund that would enable them to meet their commitments. Nor was there any undertaking from government authorities to ring-fence the equivalent policies. This is apparent from the financial scenarios set out in the Kingdom of Spain Budgetary Stability Program, which envisaged scaling back expenditure on these services over the projection period, while plotting a more stringent fiscal consolidation path for the autonomous regions. 3 “The varying trajectories of government authorities evidence how public services depend for their sustainability on financial planning and political priorities,” the study concludes. Large spending divergences across autonomous regions Per capita spending on key public services by all government authorities (table 1 at the end of this press release) ranges from 5,253 euros in the Canary Islands to 8,532 euros in the Principality of Asturias. And differences in the percentages of regional GDP spent on these services are wider still, running from 19% in the Madrid Region to 43% in Asturias. In education – now basically decentralized to the autonomous regions – the report finds differences in per capita expenditure of up to 55 percentage points. Although education spending has shrunk since the start of the crisis, almost all autonomous regions strove throughout the period to keep up levels of expenditure in terms of GDP. Extremadura and Andalusia were the regions spending most on education as a percentage of GDP (6.5% and 5.7% respectively) with the Madrid Region and Catalonia bringing up the rear (2.6% and 3.4% respectively). The regions with the highest expenditure in per capita terms in 2013 were the Basque Country and Navarra (1,224 and 1,107 euros respectively) with Madrid at the opposite extreme (791 euros per capita). Health spending – also the responsibility of the autonomous regions – underwent major adjustments in the period. Almost all Spanish regions reduced their real per capita expenditures as far as a 2013 average on a par with 2004 (1,357 euros per capita). Further, per capita health spending exhibited interregional differences in excess of 30 percentage points both before and after the austerity drive; in 2013, for instance, the Basque Country spent 37% more on health than Andalusia. Again, despite the crisis, public spending on healthcare remained broadly unchanged as a percentage of GDP (6% en 2013). Spending on social protection – primarily handled by central government and the social security administration and linked in the main to the individual rights acquired by each worker – moved up sharply during the first years of crisis, due to unemployment benefits, pensions and early retirements, and has stayed broadly flat in real per capita terms since 2009. In terms of GDP, all the regions increased their outlays from 2007 onwards as far as a 2013 average of over 17%. In Asturias and the Basque Country, 2013 per capita outlay on social protection was almost double that of lower-spending regions like the Canary Islands (5,751 and 5,516 euros for the former respectively against the latter’s 3,074 euros). Indeed, per capita social protection expenditure in Asturias and the Basque Country exceeded the national average in that same year by 45% and 39% respectively. These examples indicate that although lower-income regions with higher unemployment or a more aged population may spend more per inhabitant on social protection services, a certain regional casuistry is also at work. 4 Spending disparities derived from funding inequalities “The main disparities in spending on key public services were not caused by decentralization, and in fact existed previously because central government did not roll out services equally to all autonomous regions. However, the persistence of such inequalities is one reason for the instability of the regional state,” according to the study. The causes of the large variations observed in spending on key public services lie in some cases with regions’ levels of per capita income and, in others, with differences in the per capita funding at their command. The best funded regions, the comunidades forales (with the power to manage their own taxes), are more than 40-50% better off than the worst funded, among them Andalusia, the Valencia Region, Castilla-La Mancha and Murcia. This revenue disparity goes a long way to explaining their differing expenditure capacity: the regions with most funding spend more and provide better public services. “Failure to correct these inter-regional spending disparities,” the authors contend, “could deprive citizens of equal access to vital services because of where they live.” When tax revenues shrink, as has occurred with the crisis, spending on key public services takes up a larger slice of budgets. The study finds that lowerrevenue regions earmark a higher percentage of their funding for such services at the cost of making cuts elsewhere. And this effort, say the authors, shows that education, health and social services are a priority for regional governments. Some regions also borrow more heavily to finance such expenditures, so it is important, the authors stress, “to consider regions’ income and expenditure levels in these years, when analyzing their deficits and the progress made in fiscal consolidation.” The data reveal that spending divergences are only weakly explained by differing per capita needs: needs being equal, expenditure disparities reflect inequalities of access to education and healthcare services. In effect, variations in needs would only justify differences of some 15 percentage points in per capital outlays, and certainly not the 40 points reported in the study. Key public services and equal opportunity The authors warn that “inter-regional differences in public spending on education, health and social protection undermine compliance with the principle of equal opportunities in Spain, which should guarantee access to public services regardless of place of residence.” The origin of this failure mainly lies in the unequal funding of regional governments; a situation known to exist but which has been left uncorrected. One repercussion of postponing the problem is the sharp institutional tensions now being experienced, but there are also implications for social equity that cannot be ignored. Although attention has focused on health and education 5 cutbacks and their consequences across all of Spain’s regions, it bears mention that spending adjustments were imposed on very different baseline levels: before the crisis, some underfunded regions were already operating with levels of expenditure that better-off regions have since been reduced to. But this disadvantaged start did not save them from further cuts. “Unless regional funding inequalities are tackled at the root,” the authors affirm, “spending on key public services in Spain will continue to suffer asymmetries incompatible with inter-regional equity and equality of opportunity.” Recommendations Despite the difficulties of these past years, Spain can boast high levels of public service coverage, the study says. However these services confront three kinds of problems: they are pressured by the spending austerity imposed by government; they exhibit major efficiency and equity shortcomings in their design and execution; and they face additional problems of financial sustainability due to the long-term growth trend in expenditure on pensions and long-term care. The study concludes that four central issues must be addressed in order to improve public policies in respect of key public services: - The sustainability of these services requires the setting of medium- and long-term financial horizons, prudently determined and accompanied by reserve funds paid into during expansion years. - Promote institutional loyalty such that all government authorities give priority to these services and fund them accordingly, regardless of the authority in charge of their management. To this end, Spain should launch an urgent debate to determine what is a sustainable spend on key public services, bearing in mind that the baseline situation is one of a high public deficit and elevated public debt. - Review the large inter-regional spending disparities which undermine equal opportunity policies. - Align regional funding systems with the constitutional principle of interterritorial equity. 6 Table 1. Spending on key public services. 2013 a) Per capita euros Per capita spending Total KPS Health Education Social protection Per capita GDP Regional nonfinancial* revenues per capita Asturias 8,531.5 1,714.1 1,066.6 5,750.8 20,037.0 3,409.4 Basque Country 8,360.2 1,620.7 1,223.6 5,515.9 29,303.0 4,019.5 Nav arre 7,164.4 1,482.8 1,106.7 4,574.9 27,795.0 4,481.8 Cantabria 7,052.1 1,530.5 1,003.1 4,518.6 20,659.0 3,794.1 Castilla y León 6,737.6 1,457.1 928.9 4,351.6 21,395.0 3,184.0 Aragón 6,667.0 1,487.4 906.7 4,272.9 24,698.0 3,095.5 Catalonia 6,639.5 1,322.7 890.0 4,426.8 26,509.0 3,323.0 Galicia 6,619.9 1,429.9 914.9 4,275.1 19,893.0 3,227.8 La Rioja 6,363.9 1,429.5 890.3 4,044.1 24,414.0 3,449.9 Extremadura 6,168.7 1,463.9 1,007.7 3,697.1 15,500.0 3,684.0 Madrid Region 5,948.1 1,377.2 790.7 3,780.2 30,661.0 3,091.8 Castilla-La Mancha 5,801.8 1,334.2 858.8 3,608.7 18,279.0 2,827.3 Valencia Region 5,709.7 1,301.1 866.7 3,541.8 19,704.0 2,839.3 Andalusia 5,659.4 1,182.2 959.3 3,517.8 16,845.0 2,784.3 Murcia Region 5,652.9 1,453.4 994.8 3,204.6 18,392.0 2,849.0 Balearic I slands 5,431.8 1,274.5 830.8 3,326.5 23,624.0 3,543.5 Canary I slands 5,252.5 1,332.2 846.1 3,074.2 19,311.0 3,002.2 Spain 6,230.2 1,356.9 914.9 3,958.4 22,518.0 3,130.5 b) Percentage difference vs. the average Per capita spending Total KPS Health Education Social protection Per capita GDP Regional nonfinancial* revenues per capita Asturias 36.9 26.3 16.6 45.3 -11.0 8.9 Basque Country 34.2 19.4 33.7 39.3 30.1 28.4 Nav arre 15.0 9.3 21.0 15.6 23.4 43.2 Cantabria 13.2 12.8 9.6 14.2 -8.3 21.2 Castilla y León 8.1 7.4 1.5 9.9 -5.0 1.7 Aragón 7.0 9.6 -0.9 7.9 9.7 -1.1 Catalonia 6.6 -2.5 -2.7 11.8 17.7 6.2 Galicia 6.3 5.4 0.0 8.0 -11.7 3.1 La Rioja 2.1 5.4 -2.7 2.2 8.4 10.2 Extremadura -1.0 7.9 10.2 -6.6 -31.2 17.7 Madrid Region -4.5 1.5 -13.6 -4.5 36.2 -1.2 Castilla-La Mancha -6.9 -1.7 -6.1 -8.8 -18.8 -9.7 Valencia Region -8.4 -4.1 -5.3 -10.5 -12.5 -9.3 Andalusia -9.2 -12.9 4.9 -11.1 -25.2 -11.1 Murcia Region -9.3 7.1 8.7 -19.0 -18.3 -9.0 Balearic I slands -12.8 -6.1 -9.2 -16.0 4.9 13.2 Canary I slands -15.7 -1.8 -7.5 -22.3 -14.2 -4.1 (*) In the case of Navarra, less contribution to central government finances. Basque Country revenues are affected by the role of the diputaciones forales (provincial governments with tax powers). Source: BBVA Foundation-Ivie. The study comes with a database available on www.fbbva.es, containing unpublished data on the territorial distribution of key public service expenditures by central government, the autonomous regions, local authorities and the social security administration. For more information, contact the BBVA Foundation Department of Communication and Institutional Relations (+34 91 374 5210; 91 537 3769; 91 374 8173/comunicacion@fbbva.es) or visit www.fbbva.es 7