GROUP EXERCISE “II” – Urban Multilane IL 64, DuPage County, Illinois: IL Route 64, an east-west state highway initiates at Lake Michigan in the City of Chicago and terminates at the Mississippi River at the west border of Illinois. In DuPage County, 1987 population of 780,000, IL Route 64 is known as North Avenue traversing the cities of Elmhurst and Villa Park and through rural unincorporated areas west to St.Charles Illinois in Kane County. IL Route 64 was improved to 4 lanes in the 1960’s throughout this length with intersection improvements at major crossroads such as other state routes and county routes consisting of left turn lanes and traffic signal control during the 1960’s and 1970’s. Posted Speed Limit = 45 mph Cross-Section: 4 12-foot wide lanes with double yellow centerline dividing the opposing directions of travel 8 foot wide aggregate shoulders 12 foot wide left turn lanes at all major intersections No left turn lanes at minor street intersections nor at commercial driveways No highway illumination other than some minor intersection lighting by local municipalities and the County Highway Department; no automated speed enforcement Study Section: Bloomingdale Road to Main Street-Glen Ellyn Length of Section = 0.97 miles AADT = 37,000 vpd No Horizontal Curves; 2.8% vertical curve west of Shopping Center for 0.35 mi Side slope = 1:6 Trees and Power poles 18.0 feet from edge of pavement; Hazard Rating of 5.0 Driveways: Residential driveways (minor) Minor commercial driveways (less than 50 parking spaces) Major commercial driveways (more than 50 parking spaces) Total # of Driveways 7 7 10 24 Total number of Unsignalized Intersections with left turn lanes 0 Total number of Unsignalized Intersections without turn lanes Mildred Av Diane Av Virginia Av Evergreen Av Bernice Av Amy Av Western Ave Newton Ave Pearl Ave 9 Exercise II – Prediction of Crashes for IL 64-North Avenue as a Suburban Multilane Highway 1 Unsignalized Intersections: Mildred Virginia Bernice Western Pearl Diane Evergreen Amy Newton 700 AADT 700 AADT 700 AADT 700 AADT 1,500 AADT 700 AADT 700 AADT 700 AADT 700 AADT Signalized Intersections: Bloomingdale Road Shopping Center (north and south) Main Street-Glen Ellyn 16,100 AADT 2,400 AADT 16,700 AADT Substantive Safety Performance: 3-years crash data 1986, 1987, 1988 Total Crashes 84 Injury Crashes 26 Total Crashes Mildred 9 Virginia 12 Bernice 16 Western 11 Pearl 22 Diane 16 Evergreen 11 Amy 7 Newton 12 Bloomingdale Rd 170 Shopping Center 18 Main St-Glen Ellyn 146 Sub Total: 450 Total Segment + Intersections: 534 Rdwy Segment Intersections: Day 57 Night 27 Injury Crashes 2 3 3 4 6 5 4 4 5 68 5 45 154 Day Night 6 9 11 7 16 11 7 4 8 122 13 100 314 3 3 5 4 6 5 4 3 4 48 5 46 136 180 371 163 Exercise II – Prediction of Crashes for IL 64-North Avenue as a Suburban Multilane Highway 2 1. Predict the Crash Frequency Performance for the following: a. Suburban Multilane Base Model Multiple Vehicle Non-Driveway: e(a + b Ln ADT + Ln L) Nspf mv = = e( = e( = e( = + * ln + + + ln ) ) crashes per year b. Suburban Multilane Base Model Single Vehicle Non-Driveway: e(a + b Ln ADT + Ln L) Nspf sv = = e( + * ln e( + + = e( ) = = + ln ) crashes per year Exercise II – Prediction of Crashes for IL 64-North Avenue as a Suburban Multilane Highway 3 c. Driveway Related Crashes: Nspf dwy = SUM (nj Nj (ADT/15,000)t ) x 0.182 (37,000/15,000)1.172 = + x 0.058 (37,000/15,000)1.172 + x 0.198 (37,000/15,000)1.172 + x 0.026 (37,000/15,000)1.172 + x 0.096 (37,000/15,000)1.172 + x 0.018 (37,000/15,000)1.172 + x 0.029 (37,000/15,000)1.172 = crashes per year Nspf rs = Nspf mv(non-driveway) + Nspf sv(non-driveway) + Nspf dwy = + + = d. CMF’s for Parking, Roadside Objects, Median Width, Lighting, and Automatd Speed Enforcement: CMF1r = 1 + Ppk* (fpk -1.0) Where parking is prohibited, Ppk is zero =1+ * (fpk -1.0) = Exercise II – Prediction of Crashes for IL 64-North Avenue as a Suburban Multilane Highway 4 CMF2r = foffset x Dfo x pfo + (1 – pfo) For power poles at 160 foot spacing one side located 18 feet from travel lane, foffset = 0.0614 pfo = 0.037 = x (5280/ + (1 – )x ) = CMF3r = Does not apply, it’s only applicable to divided roadway segments. This segment is undivided with double yellow centerline CMF4r = 1- (pnr x (1.0– 0.72 pinr – 0.83 ppnr ) ) Base condition is no lighting, hence, CMF4r = 1.000 = CMF5r = for Automated Speed Enforcement Base condition is no automated speed enforcement, hence, CMF5r = 1.000 = e. Predicted Crashes with CMF’s Applied Nbr = Nspf rs x CMF1r x CMF2r x CMF3r x CMF4r x CMF5r = x x x x = crashes per year Exercise II – Prediction of Crashes for IL 64-North Avenue as a Suburban Multilane Highway 5 f. Pedestrian Crashes (Posted SL>30 mph) Npedr = Nbr x fpedr for 4U, fpedr = 0.009 = x = crashes per year g. Bicycle Crashes (Posted SL>30 mph) Nbiker = Nbr x fbiker for 4U, fbiker = 0.002 = x = crashes per year h. Base Roadway Crashes for Segment (multilane Suburban 4U) Nbr = Nbr + Npedr + Nbiker = + + = crashes per year Exercise II – Prediction of Crashes for IL 64-North Avenue as a Suburban Multilane Highway 6 Is the Substantive Safety Performance for the geometrics for IL 64 (Driveway, Parking, and Lighting) safer than predicted value? Substantive Safety Performance = _____ crashes in 3 years = ______ crashes per year Predicted Crash Frequency with CMF’s applied for the Segment Crashes per year = Substantive Safety less than Predicted Crash Frequency ? Exercise II – Prediction of Crashes for IL 64-North Avenue as a Suburban Multilane Highway 7