1 Supplementary information for manuscript# 2003-02-00378A: Supplementary Table S1. Observed (HO) and expected (HE) heterozygosity values and mean value of Garza & Williamson’s1 M* for each M. s. natalensis colony in South Africa. Colony (No of each sex Variance HO HE M De Hoop (22♀; 17♂) 0.626 0.712 0.783 0.025 Die Hel (4♀; 15♂) 0.621 0.774 0.699 0.050 Steenkampskraal (8♀; 12♂) 0.597 0.697 0.728 0.047 Koegelbeen (20♀; 20♂) 0.598 0.691 0.839 0.035 Grahamstown (17♀; 20♂) 0.650 0.673 0.785 0.022 Maitland Mines (20♀; 17♂) 0.654 0.693 0.761 0.021 Shongweni Dam (14♀; 15♂) 0.664 0.724 0.739 0.059 Jozini Dam (19♀: 9♂) 0.705 0.708 0.770 0.035 Peppercorn (10 ♀; 9 ♂) 0.649 0.772 0.823 0.038 Sudwala (15♀; 18♂) 0.652 0.720 0.860 0.023 sampled)** of M *M is the mean ratio between the number of microsatellite alleles (k) and the range of allele sizes (r), and can be used to predict the demographic history of the M. s. natalensis colonies. It was calculated using AGARst2. Values of M above 0.70 are indicative of historically stable, outbred populations1. **♀= number of females; ♂= number of males. In total, 307 individuals were sampled, but six were excluded from the microsatellite analysis due to lack of PCR amplification at four or more loci. 2 Supplementary Table S2. Pairwise Rho (below diagonal) and ()2 values (above diagonal) indicating the extent of genetic differentiation between M. s. natalensis colonies‡ in South Africa. DHP DHL SKK KB G MM SHD JD PC SW - 0.105 4.242 5.286 3.326 2.635 3.203 2.899 2.666 2.265 - 3.419 4.313 2.842 2.259 2.794 2.487 2.157 1.931 - 0.098 2.408 2.445 1.524 1.959 1.033 1.646 0.014 - 2.594 2.793 1.807 2.232 1.312 2.103 - 0.084 0.446 0.107 0.355 0.388 0.005 - 0.344 0.062 0.319 0.206 0.045 - 0.138 0.234 0.257 DHP DHL 0.013 SKK 0.590* 0.498* KB G 0.686* 0.602* 0.594* 0.520* 0.382* 0.445* MM 0.551* 0.475* 0.374* 0.449* SHD 0.546* 0.477* 0.269* 0.336* 0.068* JD 0.555* 0.481* 0.320* 0.386* -0.005 0.005 - 0.194 0.176 PC 0.482* 0.400* 0.152* 0.215* 0.073** 0.034 0.023 0.015 - 0.122 SW 0.532* 0.453* 0.283* 0.374* 0.067* 0.040 0.024 -0.004 - 0.007 0.030 *Significant differentiation at p 0.01. **Significant differentiation at p 0.05. ‡Names of colonies are abbreviated as follows: DHP = De Hoop, DHL = Die Hel, SKK = Steenkampskraal, KB = Koegelbeen, G = Grahamstown, MM = Maitland Mines, SHD = Shongweni Dam, JD = Jozini Dam, PC = Peppercorn, SW = Sudwala. 3 Supplementary Table S3. Results of an assignment test3 on ten M. s. natalensis colonies* in South Africa: the percentage of individuals correctly assigned to each colony, the modal and range of likelihood ratios between most likely and second most likely colonies, and the colonies to which individuals were incorrectly assigned** are shown. Percent of Modal Range of individuals likelihood ratio: likelihood ratios: SubColony* correctly most likely most likely population assigned to colony to 2nd colony to 2nd colony most likely most likely Southern Western Northeastern Colonies to which individuals were incorrectly assigned** (% of individuals incorrectly assigned) DHP 82 14.60 1.20 - 1.30x103 DHL (18%) DHL 74 18.40 1.18 - 1.42x103 DHP & KB (~10% each); SKK (5%) SKK 90 98.40 1.33 - 8.82x102 KB (10%) KB 90 10.50 1.11 - 2.43x103 SKK (10%) G 70 5.10 1.13 - 111.00 MM (16%); JD (5%); SHD, PC & SW (3% each) MM 62 2.41 1.08 - 27.70 G (24%); SHD (5%); SW, KB & SKK (3% each) SHD 69 8.77 1.02 - 341.00 MM (14%); JD (7%); SW, PC & DHP (~3% each) JD 76 5.70 1.22 - 52.40 SHD, G & SW (7% each); MM (~3%) PC 80 3.07 1.07 - 1.12x103 JD (~10%); MM & G (5% each) SW 73 8.16 1.10 - 3.68x103 G (12%); JD (9%); PC (6%) *Names of colonies are abbreviated as follows: DHP = De Hoop, DHL = Die Hel, SKK = Steenkampskraal, KB = Koegelbeen, G = Grahamstown; MM = Maitland Mines, SHD = Shongweni Dam, JD = Jozini Dam, PC = Peppercorn, SW = Sudwala **In most cases, incorrect assignments placed individuals in colonies located within the same subpopulation as the colony from which they were actually sampled (in bold text). 4 Supplementary Table S4. Pairwise comparisons of aspect ratio between M. s. natalensis colonies‡ in South Africa (Dunn’s method4). DHL SKK KB G MM SHD JD PC SW DHP NS NS NS NS NS 5.005 5.689 4.917 NS DHL - NS 5.154 NS NS 6.596 7.056 6.569 4.499 - NS NS NS 4.865 5.445 4.874 NS - 3.953 4.047 NS NS NS NS - NS 6.009 6.695 5.817 NS - 6.118 6.793 5.903 NS - NS NS NS - NS NS - NS SKK KB G MM SHD JD PC *NS, not significant at p ≤ 0.01; critical Q0.01;10 = 3.692 ‡Names of colonies are abbreviated as follows: DHP = De Hoop, DHL = Die Hel, SKK = Steenkampskraal, KB = Koegelbeen, G = Grahamstown, MM = Maitland Mines, SHD = Shongweni Dam, JD = Jozini Dam, PC = Peppercorn, SW = Sudwala. 5 Table S5. Results of mismatch distribution5-7 and linkage disequilibrium (LD)8 analyses for mtDNA haplotypes obtained from M. s. natalensis. Raggedness statistic (r)9 KolmogorovSmirnov (ks) statistic* p-value for ks statistic % sites showing significant LD** Total population 0.006 0.263 0.144 22 Southern subpopulation 0.041 0.581 <0.0001 0 Western subpopulation 0.042 0.429 0.003 0 Northeastern subpopulation 0.019 0.355 0.04 5 *Observed mismatch distributions (see also Supplementary Figure S2) were compared to expected Poisson distributions for an expanding population by means of Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests. **In the LD analysis, Fisher’s exact test was used to determine the number of pairwise comparisons of informative sites that showed significant (p < 0.05) LD, after Bonferroni correction. Both mismatch distribution and LD analyses were performed in DnaSP10. 6 Supplementary Figure S1 Legend Figure S1. Graphical representations of the results of an assignment test3 for M. s. natalensis individuals captured in a, the western, b, southern and c, north-eastern subpopulations. In each case, the log likelihood of each individual belonging to the subpopulation where it was sampled is plotted against the log likelihood of it belonging to one of the other two subpopulations. In all three plots, the gene frequencies of the subpopulations are highly distinctive, with the majority of individuals falling above the diagonal (along which the log likelihood of an individual belonging to the subpopulation where it was captured is equal to that of another subpopulation). Some migrants or dispersers are evident in the southern (b) and north-eastern subpopulations (c), where a few data points fall below the diagonal. 7 Supplementary Figure S2 Legend Figure S2. Observed mismatch distributions (pairwise differences, calculated in DnaSP10) of M. s. natalensis mtDNA control region haplotypes (dashed line) compared to the expected Poisson distribution (solid line) for a population experiencing either expansion or decline; a, the entire South African population, b, the southern subpopulation, c, the western subpopulation, d, the northeastern subpopulation. 8 Supplementary References 1. Garza,J.C. & Williamson,E.G. Detection of reduction in population size using data from microsatellite loci. Mol. Ecol. 10, 305-318 (2001). 2. Harley,E.H. AGARst. A program for calculating Allele frequencies, Gst and Rst from microsatellite data plus a number of other population genetic estimates and outputting files formatted for "Genepop", "RstCalc" and "PCA-Gen" v. 2.4 (Department of Chemical Pathology, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, 2001). 3. Paetkau,D., Waits,L.P., Clarkson,P.L., Craighead,L. & Strobeck,C. An empirical evaluation of genetic distance statistics using microsatellite data from bear (Ursidae) populations. Genetics 147, 1943-1957 (1997). 4. Zar,J.H. Biostatistical Analysis. 2nd edn (Prentice-Hall International, Inc., New Jersey, 1984). 5. Harpending,H.C. et al. Genetic traces of ancient demography. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A 95, 1961-1967 (1998). 6. Rogers,A.R. & Harpending,H. Population growth makes waves in the distribution of pairwise genetic differences. Mol. Biol. Evol. 9, 552-569 (1992). 7. Schneider,S. & Excoffier,L. Estimation of past demographic parameters from the distribution of pairwise differences when the mutation rates vary among sites: application to human mitochondrial DNA. Genetics 152, 1079-1089 (1999). 8. Slatkin,M. Linkage Disequilibrium in Growing and Stable Populations. Genetics 137, 331-336 (1994). 9. Harpending,H.C. Signature of ancient population growth in a low-resolution mitochondrial DNA mismatch distribution. Hum. Biol. 66, 591-600 (1994). 9 10. Rozas,J. & Rozas,R. DnaSP version 3: an integrated program for molecular population genetics and molecular evolution analysis. Bioinformatics 15, 174-175 (1999).