Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Research notes for selected case studies Research notes prepared for Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet To be read in conjunction with Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Opportunities and Impediments 20 November 2006 Financial & Economic Consultants www.marsdenjacob.com.au Marsden Jacob Associates Financial & Economic Consultants ABN 66 663 324 657 ACN 072 233 204 Internet: http://www.marsdenjacob.com.au E-mail: economists@marsdenjacob.com.au Postal address: Level 3, 683 Burke Road, Camberwell Victoria 3124 AUSTRALIA Telephone: (03) 9882 1600 International: +61 3 9882 1600 Facsimile: (03) 9882 1300 International: +61 3 9882 1300 Author(s): Dr John Marsden and Phil Pickering Copyright © Marsden Jacob Associates Pty Ltd 2006 This report has been prepared in accordance with the scope of services described in the contract or agreement between Marsden Jacob Associates Pty Ltd ACN 072 233 204 (MJA) and the Client. Any findings, conclusions or recommendations only apply to the aforementioned circumstances and no greater reliance should be assumed or drawn by the Client. Furthermore, the report has been prepared solely for use by the Client and Marsden Jacob Associates accepts no responsibility for its use by other parties. TABLE OF CONTENTS Page 1. NEW SOUTH WALES ..................................................................................................................... 7 1.1. Institutional and governance arrangements .............................................................. 7 1.2. Case study : Sydney ................................................................................................... 8 1.2.1. Water availability ....................................................................................................... 8 1.2.2. Financial analysis of water utilities ........................................................................ 14 1.2.3. Key issues................................................................................................................ 20 1.3. Case study: Hunter Water ........................................................................................ 21 1.3.1. Water availability ..................................................................................................... 21 1.3.2. Financial analysis of water utilities ........................................................................ 26 1.3.3. Key issues................................................................................................................ 31 1.4. Case study: Gosford–Wyong .................................................................................... 33 1.4.1. Water availability ..................................................................................................... 33 1.4.2. Cost of options ........................................................................................................ 36 1.4.3. Financial analysis of water utilities ........................................................................ 37 1.4.4. Key issues................................................................................................................ 41 2. VICTORIA ..................................................................................................................................... 42 2.1. Institutional and governance arrangements ............................................................ 42 2.2. Case study: Melbourne ............................................................................................ 44 2.2.1. Water availability ..................................................................................................... 44 2.2.2. Financial analysis of water utilities ........................................................................ 51 2.2.3. Key issues................................................................................................................ 56 3. QUEENSLAND.............................................................................................................................. 58 3.1. Institutional and governance arrangements ............................................................ 58 3.2. Case study : SEQWater ............................................................................................. 59 3.3. Case study : Brisbane Water .................................................................................... 63 3.4. Case study : Gold Coast Water ................................................................................. 67 3.4.1. Financial analysis of water utilities ........................................................................ 68 3.5. Key issues ................................................................................................................ 71 4. SOUTH AUSTRALIA ..................................................................................................................... 72 4.1. Institutional and governance arrangements ............................................................ 72 4.2. Case study : Adelaide ............................................................................................... 74 4.2.1. Water availability ..................................................................................................... 74 4.2.2. Financial analysis of water utilities ........................................................................ 80 4.2.3. Key issues................................................................................................................ 84 5. WESTERN AUSTRALIA ................................................................................................................ 85 5.1. Institutional and governance arrangements ............................................................ 85 5.2. Case study : Perth .................................................................................................... 86 5.2.1. Water availability ..................................................................................................... 86 5.2.2. Financial analysis of water utilities ........................................................................ 91 5.2.3. Key issues................................................................................................................ 96 6. TASMANIA ................................................................................................................................... 98 6.1. Institutional and governance arrangements ............................................................ 98 6.2. Case study: Hobart ................................................................................................... 98 6.2.1. Water availability ..................................................................................................... 98 6.2.2. Financial analysis of water utilities ...................................................................... 100 6.2.3. Key issues.............................................................................................................. 102 7. AUSTRALIAN CAPITAL TERRITORY ......................................................................................... 103 7.1. Institutional and governance arrangements ..........................................................103 7.2. Case study: Australian Capital Territory..................................................................104 7.2.1. Water availability ................................................................................................... 104 7.2.2. Financial analysis of water utilities ...................................................................... 109 7.2.3. Key issues.............................................................................................................. 113 8. NORTHERN TERRITORY ........................................................................................................... 114 8.1. Institutional and governance arrangements ..........................................................114 8.2. Case study : Darwin ................................................................................................114 8.2.1. Water availability ................................................................................................... 114 8.2.2. Financial analysis of water utilities ...................................................................... 117 8.2.3. Key issues.............................................................................................................. 120 List of Figures Figure 1: Available Storage in Sydney Dams 12 October 2006 ........................................................................... 9 Figure 2: Minimum Impact of Factors affecting Sydney Water Supply .............................................................. 10 Figure 3: Sydney Water - 2004/05 Revenue By Customer Group ..................................................................... 15 Figure 4: Total Supply from Sources – 1893 to 2005........................................................................................ 22 Figure 5: Historical and Projected Non-Residential Demand ............................................................................. 23 Figure 6: Yield and Demand Forecast ................................................................................................................. 23 Figure 7: Hunter Water - 2004/05 Revenue By Customer Group ..................................................................... 27 Figure 8: Water Restriction Rules and Total Water Storage as at October 2006 ............................................. 34 Figure 9 : Supply Demand Balance Through Time – Pre-drought Estimates .................................................... 36 Figure 10: Gosford Wyong - 2004/05 Revenue By Customer Group ................................................................ 38 Figure 11: Melbourne’s Main Water Storages .................................................................................................... 45 Figure 12: Total System Storage Growth since 1960 ......................................................................................... 46 Figure 13 : Inflows into Thomson Reservoir ........................................................................................................ 47 Figure 14: Melbourne’s Potential Supply/Demand Shortfall ............................................................................. 48 Figure 15: Existing and possible interconnections in the Central Region Sustainable Water Strategy ........... 49 Figure 16: Melbourne Retail Companies - 2004/05 Revenue By Customer Group ......................................... 51 Figure 17: Forecast of Dam levels ....................................................................................................................... 62 Figure 18: Brisbane Water - 2004/05 Revenue By Customer Group ............................................................... 64 Figure 19: Gold Coast Water - 2004/05 Revenue By Customer Group ............................................................ 68 Figure 20: Illustrative Water Cycle – Adelaide .................................................................................................... 74 Figure 21: Changing Sources in Drought............................................................................................................. 75 Figure 22: Mains Water Supply and Demand – pre Water Proofing Strategy ................................................... 76 Figure 23 : SA Water for Adelaide - 2004/05 Revenue By Customer Group .................................................... 80 Figure 24 : Yearly Streamflows for Major IWSS Surface Water Sources ........................................................... 87 Figure 25: Water Supply / Demand Balance over time ...................................................................................... 89 Figure 26: Canberra’s Water Supply System.................................................................................................104 Figure 27: Combined Dam Volumes in 2005/2006 ........................................................................................ 105 Figure 28: ACTEW - 2004/05 Revenue By Customer Group ........................................................................... 110 Figure 29: Darwin Water Supply Map ................................................................................................................ 115 Figure 30: Darwin River Dam Storage ............................................................................................................... 116 Figure 31: PAWC - 2004/05 Revenue By Customer Group.............................................................................. 117 List of Tables Table 1: Bulk Water and Water Service Providers in NSW ................................................................................... 7 Table 2: Cost of Water Supply / Demand Options .............................................................................................. 13 Table 3: 2004/05 Sydney Water Cost Recovery - Water Only............................................................................ 16 Table 4: Sydney Water Cash Outflows 2000/01 to 2004/05 ($ million) .......................................................... 17 Table 5: Sydney Catchment Authority Cash Outflows 2000/01 to 2004/05, ($ million)............................ 17 Table 6: Sydney Water Performance Indicators .................................................................................................. 19 Table 7 : Cost of Water Supply and Demand Options......................................................................................... 25 Table 8: 2004/05 Hunter Water Cost Recovery - Water Only ............................................................................ 28 Table 9: Hunter Water Cash Outflows 2000/01 to 2004/05 ($ million) .......................................................... 29 Table 10: Hunter Water Performance Indicators ................................................................................................ 31 Table 11 : Current Water Storages, as at 2 October 2006 ................................................................................ 33 Table 12 : Preliminary Comparison of Unit Costs - Annual Cost/Yield at Full Capacity .................................... 37 Table 13: 2004/05 Gosford-Wyong Cost Recovery - Water Only ....................................................................... 39 Table 14: Gosford Wyong Performance Indicators ............................................................................................. 40 Table 15: Bulk Water and Water Service Providers in Victoria .......................................................................... 42 Table 16: Melbourne’s Water Sources ................................................................................................................ 44 Table 17: Cost of Water Supply / Demand Options ............................................................................................ 50 Table 18: 2004/05 Melbourne Cost Recovery (Water Only) .............................................................................. 52 Table 19: Melbourne’s Three Retail Companies Combined - Cash Outflows 2000/01 to 2004/05 .............. 53 Table 20: Melbourne Water Cash Outflows 2000/01 to 2004/05 ................................................................... 54 Table 21: Melbourne Performance Indicators .................................................................................................... 56 Table 22: Overview of operation and ownership in Brisbane and the Gold Coast ............................................ 60 Table 23: 2004/05 Brisbane Cost Recovery (Water Only) ................................................................................. 64 Table 24: Brisbane Water Dividends and Taxes 2000/01 to 2004/05 ($ ‘000) ............................................. 65 Table 25: Brisbane Water Performance Indicators............................................................................................. 66 Table 26: 2004/05 Gold Coast Cost Recovery (Water Only).............................................................................. 69 Table 27: Gold Coast Water Dividends and Taxes 2000/01 to 2004/05 ($ ‘000) .......................................... 69 Table 28: Gold Coast Water Performance Indicators ......................................................................................... 70 Table 29: Anticipated Water Savings .................................................................................................................. 77 Table 30 : Cost of Water Supply / Demand Options ........................................................................................... 79 Table 31: 2004/05 SA Water Cost Recovery (Water Only) ................................................................................ 81 Table 32: SA Water Cash Outflows 2000/01 to 2004/05................................................................................. 82 Table 33: SA Water Performance Indicators ....................................................................................................... 83 Table 34 : Water Service Providers in WA ........................................................................................................... 85 Table 35 : Cost of Water Supply / Demand Options ........................................................................................... 90 Table 36: 2004/05 Perth (Water Corporation) Cost Recovery - Water Only ..................................................... 92 Table 37 : Water Corporation Cash Outflows 2000/01 to 2004/05 ................................................................ 93 Table 38 : Water Corporation Performance Indicators ....................................................................................... 95 Table 39 : Sources of Supply for Hobart, 2003-04 to 2004-05 (ML) ................................................................ 99 Table 40: 2004/05 Hobart Water Cost Recovery (Water Only) ....................................................................... 100 Table 41 : Hobart Water Cash Outflows 2000/01 to 2004/05 ....................................................................... 101 Table 42 : Water Conservation Measures ......................................................................................................... 106 Table 43: Future Water Options for the ACT Region- Implementation Plan .................................................... 108 Table 44 : 2004/05 ACTEW Cost Recovery (Water Only) ................................................................................. 111 Table 45 : ACTEW Cash Outflows 2000/01 to 2004/05 ................................................................................. 111 Table 46 : ACTEW Performance Indicators........................................................................................................ 113 Table 47: 2004/05 PAWC Cost Recovery (Water Only) .................................................................................... 118 Table 48: PAWC Water Cash Outflows 2000/01 to 2004/05 ......................................................................... 118 Table 49: PAWC Performance Indicators .......................................................................................................... 119 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies 1. NEW SOUTH WALES 1.1. Institutional and governance arrangements In New South Wales, the two major bulk water storage operators are Sydney Catchment Authority (SCA) and State Water Corporation. The former provides bulk water storage for Sydney and the latter operates bulk storages in regional and rural areas. In general, the bulk water providers do not treat the water or distribute water beyond the river systems, which is the responsibility of water utilities and local councils. Hunter Water and local councils also own and operate a number of other bulk storages throughout the State. Distribution and retail services are provided by Sydney Water in the Sydney metropolitan area, Hunter Water in Newcastle and local councils for the remaining urban areas. The urban water delivery arrangements are summarised in Table 1. Table 1: Bulk Water and Water Service Providers in NSW Area Name Services Institutional Structure Sydney Sydney Water Corporation Treatment, distribution and retail Statutory State owned corporation Sydney Catchment Authority Bulkwater, catchment management Statutory Authority Newcastle and Hunter Valley region Hunter Water Bulkwater, treatment, distribution and retail Statutory State owned corporation Other urban centres Local Governments (e.g. Wyong City Council, Gosford City Council, Goulburn Mulwaree Council) Bulkwater, treatment, distribution and retail Local Government State Water Corporation Regional and rural bulkwater delivery Statutory State owned corporation The Department of Natural Resources sets the overall policies for ensuring water resources are sustainable and the department provides licences for the extraction and use of water in NSW. The private sector does not provide water services in NSW, but public-private partnership arrangements have been developed by Sydney Water for the Prospect Water Treatment Plant (Australia’s largest) and two smaller plants. Outside the metropolitan areas, there are Design 7 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Build Operate (DBO) arrangements either in place or in train for several municipalities including Wagga Wagga and Bega. A recent investigation by the Independent Pricing and Regulatory Tribunal (IPART) into water service provision recommended that there be no major industry restructure at this time, however the Tribunal made several recommendations, including:1 making better use of competitive procurement practices. In particular, the Tribunal noted that Sydney Water should be required to make greater use of competitive sourcing to procure additional water supplies; introducing open access to infrastructure. IPART recommended that access be state-based using a negotiate-arbitrate model. The Australian Competition Tribunal was unable to form a definitive view as to whether IPART’s state-based proposal would develop into an effective access regime and therefore, following an application by Services Sydney, handed down a decision to declare Sydney Water’s sewage interconnection and transportation services for 50 years under Part IIIA of the Trade Practices Act 1974; and removing certain legal and regulatory barriers to competition, private sector participation and innovation. 1.2. Case study : Sydney In 1999, responsibility for water infrastructure in Sydney was divided between two organisations Sydney Catchment Authority and Sydney Water Corporation. The Sydney Catchment Authority is a State government agency established to manage water catchments to ensure water quality and to supply bulk water to Sydney Water from a system of dams and other infrastructure. Sydney Water Corporation is a statutory state-owned corporation that provides water, wastewater and stormwater services to a population of around 4.2 million people in the greater Sydney metropolitan area. The Sydney Water Act (1994) stipulates that Sydney Water’s principal objectives are not only to be a successful business, but also to protect the environment and public health. 1.2.1. Water availability Water Supply Sydney’s potable water supply is currently sourced from 11 major dams, of which the largest is Warragamba Dam, with several smaller dams in the catchments of the Upper Nepean, Woronora, Blue Mountains and Shoalhaven. Precipitation in Sydney occurs throughout the year, trailing away slightly in the second half of the calendar year, however, on occasion large proportions of the annual rainfall are delivered in a single event. In addition, El Niño events can cause alternating wet and dry periods of between a few years up to a decade. Consequently, runoff into Sydney catchments is highly variable and, to compensate for the 1 IPART (2005), Investigation into Water and Wastewater Service Provision in the Greater Sydney Region. 8 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies long, dry periods, Sydney’s dams can store around 2,400 gigalitres of water at full capacity – around four years of supply under zero inflow conditions.2 Sydney is currently experiencing the second worst drought on record and dam levels have fallen to 41.0 per cent compared with levels of 80 per cent – 90 per cent in 2001, as shown in Figure 1.3 Figure 1: Available Storage in Sydney Dams 12 October 2006 Source: SCA Bulk Water Storage & Supply Report – 12 October 2006 http://www.sca.nsw.gov.au/dams/278.html In response to the low storage levels, the NSW Government introduced Level One restrictions in 2003 and these have been progressively upgraded to Level Three restrictions on 1 June 2005. Studies by CSIRO indicate that the amount of water available in NSW in the longer term may reduce on average, while the frequency and intensity of storm events may increase.4 Over the next ten years, the following factors (which are already in place or agreed on by the NSW Government) contribute to the amount of water now available annually from the storage system: the effect of low inflows during the current drought (recent inflow data has been incorporated into the water supply modelling which recognises a reduction of annual water availability by 25 GL); agreed Upper Nepean environmental flows, which will reduce annual water availability by 25 GL; the effect of removing Level Four and Five restrictions from the suite of possible drought response options (the Water Plan does not specify the impact on water requirements); 2 NSW Government (2006) Metropolitan Water Plan. 3 Dam levels available at http://www.sca.nsw.gov.au 4 Hennessy, K. et al (2004) Climate Change in New South Wales - Part 1: Past climate variability and projected changes in average climate, CSIRO. Available at http://www.cmar.csiro.au/e-print/open/hennessy_2004b.pdf 9 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies building access to deep storages at Warragamba and Nepean Dams (boosting annual water availability by 40 GL); the Western Sydney Recycled Water Initiative, one component of which will replace the current flow releases from Warragamba Dam and saving up to 27 gigalitres per year by 2015; readiness to build a desalination plant in the event that storages fall to around 30 per cent which will increase annual water availability by between 30 and 70 gigalitres; and readiness to access groundwater if storages fall to around 40 per cent which may increase annual water availability by between 5 and 10 gigalitres (the amount of water available from groundwater sources is yet to be determined); and the effect of the current Shoalhaven transfers scheme (without raising Tallowa Dam wall and assuming current operational settings. The volume available is not specified in the Water Plan).5 The identified impact on annual water availability is shown in Figure 2. Figure 2: Minimum Impact of Factors affecting Sydney Water Supply Change in Annual Water Availability (GL) 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 gr ou nd w at er Sy dn ey R R ec ea yc di ne lin ss g fo rd es al Ac in at ce io s n to de ep st or ag es w s W es te rn to en ta lf lo Ac ce ss vi ro nm En U pd at ed in flo w da ta -30 Source: NSW Government (2006) Metropolitan Water Plan After accounting for the above factors, the 2006 Metropolitan Water Plan indicates that a sustainable supply of 575 gigalitres of water will be available on an annual basis. 5 NSW Government (2006) Metropolitan Water Plan, p. 12. 10 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Supply / Demand Balance Prior to the introduction of water restrictions in 2003, Sydney used around 420 litres per person per day, of which 256 litres per person per day was used for residential purposes (within two per cent of the Australian average at the time). In 2004/05, after the introduction of Level Two water restrictions, residential water use per capita fell by 17 per cent and commercial and industrial water use fell by nine per cent.6 Sydney’s population is expected to grow to around 5.3 million by 2031.7 Without existing and planned demand management strategies in place, water use would be expected to grow to over 800 gigalitres per annum over the same period.8 It has also been foreshadowed that, by 2015, the State Government will have the information needed to decide the environment flows to be provided to the Hawkesbury River from Warragamba Dam, which could reduce supply availability by approximately 80 gigalitres per annum.9 Without intervention, current storage levels would be inadequate to service the pre-restriction level of water demand in Sydney, however, the 2006 Metropolitan Water Plan outlines an aggressive strategy of demand reduction and wastewater recycling to address the shortfall, including:10 non-residential water conservation programs (38 gigalitres): A combination of regulatory (Water Savings Action Plans), funding (Water Savings Fund) and cooperative partnerships (Every Drop Counts Business Program) and other smaller programs to work with organisations to reduce water use; recycling (35 gigalitres): This involves the use of recycled water, from sewage treatment plants, replacing potable water use in industry (notably BlueScope Steel); pressure and leakage reduction (33 gigalitres): This includes Active Leak Detection Program, pressure reduction and improved break/leak response time; stepped tariff for pricing and outdoor water savings measures (24 gigalitres): This includes the introduction of step pricing as recommended by IPART. The outdoor water saving measures involve the Residential Landscape Assessment and Rainwater Tank Rebate Programs, and the introduction of ongoing low-level outdoor water use measures commencing at the end of the current drought and supported by ongoing community education; BASIX (23 gigalitres): The Building Sustainability Index (BASIX) is an assessment tool that mandates a level of water demand reduction in new and renovated homes and apartments; appliance standards (15 gigalitres): This program involves the introduction of mandatory labelling followed by minimum standards for a range of water-using appliances under the Commonwealth Government’s Water Efficiency Labelling Scheme (WELS); and 6 For the years 2002/03 and 2004/05. Source: WSAAfacts 2005. 7 See http://www.metrostrategy.nsw.gov.au/ 8 Institute for Sustainable Futures, ACILTasman and SMEC (2006), Review of the Metropolitan Water Plan: Final Report, April. 9 See Institute for Sustainable Futures (2004), ACILTasman and SMEC (April 2006), Review of the Metropolitan Water Plan: Final Report, p. 38 and Metropolitan Water Plan. 10 2006 Metropolitan Water Plan, p. 13. 11 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies residential indoor (12 gigalitres): Promotion of the use of water efficient appliances in the home through retrofits and rebate programs. Demand management targets endorsed in the Sydney plan are substantially higher than targets developed in most other States (except Victoria). While plans for several capital cities, including Brisbane, Adelaide, Perth and Canberra, are targeting per capita reductions of around 20 per cent compared with unrestricted water use, the Metropolitan Water Plan implies per capita reductions of around 35 per cent by 2030. It is unclear from the plan why Sydney has adopted such aggressive, and potentially difficult, targets compared with other cities. The base case demand, water availability and water saving strategies are shown graphically in Figure 10 below. Figure 10: Supply/Demand Balance Through Time Base case demand WELS/appliance standards BASIX Recycling Pressure and leakage reductio Non-residential sector Outdoor residential Indoor residential Available Supply Projected demand Reduced available supply with potential Warragamba environmental flows (demand lower than supply gives surplus) Drought restricted demand Year end June Source: Institute for Sustainable Futures, ACILTasman and SMEC (2006), Review of the Metropolitan Water Plan: Final Report, April. In addition to the proposed recycling and demand management targets, the NSW Government has indicated that water restrictions “will remain an important, socially acceptable and relatively low cost tool for responding to future droughts.”11 In a January 2005 survey of Sydney Water’s customers (when Level Two restrictions were in force), more than 60 per cent of people surveyed thought the level of water restrictions was “about right” while 28 per cent believed that the restrictions were “not severe enough”.12 11 2006 Metropolitan Water Plan, p. 20. 12 2006 Metropolitan Water Plan, p. 21. 12 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Cost of Options Financial considerations are one element of a complete economic, social and environmental analysis of proposed options for water management. Table 2 provides the cost of various options examined in the Metropolitan Water Plan. Table 2: Cost of Water Supply / Demand Options Option Total Water Supplied / Saved (GL pa) Levelised Cost / Kilolitre ($/kL) Appliance standards and labelling1 15 $0.04-$0.05 Residential outdoor (excluding rain tanks) 1 22 $0.10 - $0.20 Pressure and leakage reduction1 30 $0.20 Non-residential1 36 $0.30 - $0.50 Residential indoor - retrofits and rebates1 12 $0.50 - $0.60 500ML/day Desalination3 182 $1.73 - $1.984 500 ML/day Indirect Potable Recycling3 182 $2.23 - $2.615 28 $1.00 - $3.00 2 $3.00 BASIX1 23 $0.30 – $4.00 Western Sydney Recycled Water Initiative1, 2 27 $5.80 Committed/approved recycling schemes1 Rainwater tank rebates - residential and schools1 Sources: 1. Institute for Sustainable Futures, ACILTasman and SMEC (April 2006), Review of the Metropolitan Water Plan: Final Report. 2. Institute for Sustainable Futures confirmed that the total water supplied/saved was 27 GL13 (pers. comm. 8 August 2006) at a cost of $5.80/kL. 2 GL identified in ISF report relates only to potable replacement, net of BASIX. The Western Sydney Recycled Water Initiative consists of a number of sub-initiatives, including a residential dual pipe scheme, recycled water for agriculture and environmental flow replacement. MJA understand that the environmental flow replacement program is significantly less expensive than the $5.80/kL average cost for the entire project. 3. A smaller, 125 ML/d has also been considered – details were unavailable. Sydney Water, Indirect potable recycling and desalination - a cost comparison, available at www. sydneywater.com.au [accessed 24 July 2006]. 4. Range represents uncertainty over asset lives, which was not provided in the fact sheet. Calculation utilises 100 years and 25 years respectively. Based on capital expenditure $2.5 billion, operating $165 million per annum, discounted at 6 per cent (real pre-tax). 5. Range represents uncertainty over asset lives, which was not provided in the fact sheet. Calculation utilises 100 years and 25 years respectively. Based on capital expenditure $3.8 billion, operating $175 million per annum, discounted at 6 per cent (real pre-tax). 13 Comprising 4.2 gigalitres for dual reticulation supply, 3.3 gigalitres for local non-potable schemes, 18.25 gigalitres for environmental flows, 1.5 gigalitres for irrigation. 13 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Table 2 indicates that several proposed projects, including the Western Recycling Initiative, BASIX and rainwater tank rebates, may be significantly more expensive than a major desalination plant or indirect potable recycling. Environmental and other considerations may provide additional benefits that outweigh the financial cost for these programs. Demand management options (other than BASIX and rainwater tank rebates) appear significantly less costly than any of the other options examined in the Water Plan. As indicated above, the demand reduction targets are substantially higher than those proposed by other States and may therefore be more difficult to achieve. Furthermore, it is unclear which costs have been included in the calculation of demand management costs. In some cases, regulatory requirements for new water efficiency standards may avoid the cost of augmenting water sources, but increase the cost burden to developers, appliance manufacturers or customers. To analyse options from the standpoint of all stakeholders, demand management costs should include the incremental costs to business and the community in addition to the costs to the utility (e.g. the additional compliance costs for appliance manufacturers). Third party proposals, such as the wastewater recycling scheme proposed by Services Sydney, have not been reviewed in the Metropolitan Water Plan. Services Sydney proposes to construct a new water reclamation facility that would extract and then treat raw wastewater from Sydney Water’s main sewers and return the treated water to the base of Sydney's catchment dams to replace water otherwise needed for environmental flows. A comprehensive review of options should examine the risk associated with each project in addition to the economic, social and environmental consequences. 1.2.2. Financial analysis of water utilities Revenue and Cost Recovery In 2004/05, Sydney residents were charged the highest average water price of any Australian capital city ($330.87 for 250 kilolitres).14 The charge for residential wastewater was 4 per cent higher than the Australian average (Sydney Water charged a flat annual fee of $346.66). Residential revenue represented 78 per cent of Sydney Water’s total water revenue, significantly more than the proportion of water used by residential customers (residential use represented 63 per cent of the total water supplied to Sydney15). A breakdown of revenue sources is shown in Figure 3. 14 WSAAfacts 2005 15 WSAAfacts 2005 14 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Figure 3: Sydney Water - 2004/05 Revenue By Customer Group Wastewater NonResidential 12% Water NonResidential 10% Water Residential 36% Wastewater Residential 42% Source: Extrapolated from WSAAfacts 2005 Sydney Water’s revenue over the past five years has been insufficient to recover all cash costs (including operating, capital investment, taxation, interest and dividend payments), as demonstrated by the organisation’s increase in net debt from $1.6 billion to $2.7 billion over the period.16 Increasing debt is not uncommon in industries with a growing customer base and significant capital expenditure, where investors expect new customers to provide sufficient revenue to service both debt and shareholder requirements over time. An alternative, and more meaningful, measure of cost recovery is the degree to which the organisation’s annual revenue recovers the full annualised cost of providing water services. The full annualised cost includes operating costs, depreciation and a standard industry return on the written down replacement cost of assets.17 Sydney (consolidated) had the third lowest annualised cost recovery for water (76 per cent) for a capital city after Melbourne (68 per cent) and Perth (74 per cent). Annualised cost recovery for all capital cities falls between 68 per cent and 84 per cent. Table 3 shows the cost recovery from Sydney customers compared with other Australian cities. 16 WSAAfacts 2005. 17 This method of cost annualisation is often referred to as the Building Block approach and underpins the economic regulation of prices in the water sector. However, price regulation will typically not reflect “full” cost recovery and will use a Regulatory Asset Value rather than the Written Down Replacement Cost of assets. The Building Block method ensures that operating costs are represented in the year they occur and capital investment is represented over time through depreciation and a return on assets. Depreciation and return on assets act in a similar manner to a debt repayment schedule, where the depreciation corresponds to an annual principal repayment and the return on assets corresponds to the annual interest payments, however the return on assets reflects a weighted average cost of debt and equity. 15 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Table 3: 2004/05 Sydney Water Cost Recovery - Water Only Sydney Water SCA Consolidated5 Notes: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Annual revenue/property1 Annual cost/property2 Annualised Full Cost Recovery3 Ave Australian Cost Recovery4 349 450 77% 80% 72 82 88% 80% 349 460 76% 80% Total revenue per property represents total revenue raised by the organisation (including customer revenue and Community Service Obligation payments from government) divided by the total number of properties. Total cost represents the total annual cost of supply, including operating cost, depreciation and a 6 per cent return on assets. See footnote 17 for further information. Differs from the Productivity Commission’s measure of cost recovery, which does not include a return on assets. Sydney Water’s cost recovery peaked at 84 per cent in 2003/04. SCA cost recovery peaked at 97 per cent in 2002/03. Average for all Australian capital cities reported in WSAAfacts 2005 (Hobart cost per property not reported). Excludes SCA and Melbourne Water to avoid double counting. Consolidated revenue/property equals retail revenue only to avoid double counting. Consolidated cost/property equals retail cost plus the average loss per property for Sydney Catchment Authority (cost/property minus revenue/property) to represent additional cost not captured in bulkwater charges to Sydney Water. Expenditure Over the past five years, cash outflows from Sydney Water have averaged $1.7 billion per annum (including payments to Sydney Catchment Authority). Just over 50 per cent of these outflows was expenditure for operations, while 27 per cent of outflow was used for property, plant and equipment (capital investment).18 On average, a net $139 million was returned to the State Government each year in the form of: an average $99 million of dividend payments to the State Government from Sydney Water and $19 million from SCA (representing 54 per cent of combined net profit after tax); an average $83 million of tax payments to the State Government19 from Sydney Water and $14 million from SCA; and Sydney Water received an average of $77 million from the State Government in the form of “cash receipts for social programs” (primarily for pensioner and other rebates). Table 4 shows Sydney Water’s total cash outlays over the past five years and Table 5, those of Sydney Catchment Authority. 18 Purchases of water from Sydney Catchment Authority are regarded as operating expenditure. SCA’s invested an average of $23 million per year over the period (compared with average cash operating expenditure of $73 million per year). Treating SCA capital expenditure as a capital rather than as an indirect operating expense for Sydney Water increases capital expenditure to 28 per cent. 19 Sydney Water and SCA make “tax equivalent payments” to the State government. Tax equivalent payments are similar to the tax payments made by the private sector, but are paid to the State rather than the Commonwealth government. 16 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Table 4: Sydney Water Cash Outflows 2000/01 to 2004/05 ($ million) 20 2000/01 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 Total 5 Years % Operations 791 818 904 881 905 4,298 51% Property, plant and equipment 420 507 528 442 398 2,295 27% Borrowing costs paid 162 156 160 181 185 845 10% Tax equivalent payments 114 91 98 70 40 413 5% Dividends payments 104 53 110 115 115 497 6% 87 26 15 12 9 150 2% 1,678 1,651 1,815 1,702 1,652 8,498 100% Other21 TOTAL Source: Sydney Water annual reports Table 5: Sydney Catchment Authority Cash Outflows 2000/01 to 2004/05, ($ million)22 2000/01 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 Total 5 Years % Operations 55 74 76 87 74 366 45% Property, plant and equipment 32 23 12 19 31 116 14% Borrowing costs paid 12 12 13 13 13 62 8% Tax equivalent payments 36 13 9 5 8 71 9% Dividends payments 11 30 19 19 18 96 12% - 21 26 39 14 100 12% 146 172 154 181 158 812 100% Other23 TOTAL Source: Sydney Catchment Authority annual reports Note: Discrepancies in totals may occur due to rounding. Constraints to investment Investment in the water industry can be constrained in three primary ways: ability to recover costs; organisation’s financial capacity; and the financial capacity of the State Government. 20 Sydney Water Authority Annual Reports 2000/01, 2002/03, 2004/05. 21 ‘Other’ includes net repayment of borrowings (i.e., borrowing repayments minus proceeds from borrowings, where aggregate result is a cash outflow). 22 Sydney Catchment Authority Annual Reports 2000/01, 2002/03, 2004/05. 23 See footnote 21. 17 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Each is examined in turn below. Ability to recover costs: Sydney Water is regulated by the Independent Pricing and Regulatory Tribunal (IPART), which uses a building block methodology (i.e., operating, maintenance and administration costs, depreciation, return on assets and adjustments for tax) for calculating total revenue requirements for the business. Through this mechanism, Sydney Water is able to pass on the efficient cost of constructing new water sources or managing demand. The current price determination by IPART for the period 1 October 2005 to 30 June 2009 saw customer charges for water, wastewater and stormwater increase by an average of 7.5 per cent above inflation in 2005/06 and further increases of 1.1 per cent above inflation have been approved for each of the remaining years. Prices were also restructured to include a two-tiered water tariff to encourage water conservation. If Sydney Water were required to construct a 500 ML per day desalination plant (32 per cent of existing supply) in addition to the other options outlined in IPART’s recent price determination, prices could rise by $175 for an ‘average’ customer (an additional 20 per cent on combined water, wastewater and stormwater charges).24 Note that that this represents the maximum price to customers, as future growth in population would share the cost over a greater customer base and therefore lower the overall cost per household. Financial constraints: Sydney Water has a strong balance sheet and steady income stream. IPART has indicated that both Sydney Water and Sydney Catchment Authority should be able to meet operating, capital and borrowing repayments and still maintain an overall credit rating of at least BBB+ and BB+ respectively until 2008/09.25 According to IPART, the NSW Government believes that a BBB rating is the minimum target rating to ensure financial viability. Over the past five years, Sydney Water and SCA have taken on an additional $1.3 billion in debt. Of this, $693 million has been required to meet net returns to the State Government (i.e., dividends plus tax payments less community service obligation payments). However, debt levels remain low at only 37 per cent of the total regulatory asset value for both Sydney Water and SCA,26 compared with the international industry ‘benchmark’ rate of 60 per cent.27 Sydney Water and SCA could afford to borrow a further $1.9 billion and $240 million respectively before reaching the ‘benchmark’ gearing level of 60 per cent. State Government’s financial capacity: Sydney Water’s and SCA’s dividend and tax payments are included as revenue in the State budget and therefore impact on State Government financial policy and credit rating. The NSW Government has maintained a ‘triple A’ domestic credit rating with Standard & Poor’s and Moody’s since ratings 24 Based on capital expenditure $2.4 billion (excludes $94m approved in current price path), operating $165 million per annum, using the Building Block method (operating and maintenance, depreciation based on a 50 year life and a return on assets based on the WACC applied by IPART of 6.5 per cent real pre-tax (IPART determination, p. 70)). Total revenue requirement equals $369 million in the first year, divided by IPART’s estimated total metered water sales of 525,686 ML in 2008/09 (desalination plant would require a year or more for construction), totalling $0.702/kL or $175 per year for an “average” customer using 250 kilolitres. On a levelised cost basis, the cost would be $0.624/kL or $156 for an “average” customer. 25 IPART determination, p. 133. 26 IPART determination, p. 146 and p. 133. 2005/06 regulatory asset base $8,311m and $1,040m respectively (p. 70). 27 60 per cent gearing has been adopted for the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital by IPART, ESC and ERA. 18 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies commenced in 1987.28 The net dividend and tax payments from Sydney Water and SCA accounted for only 0.4 per cent of general State government revenue in 2004/05.29 By contrast, the net debt positions of Sydney Water and SCA have a significantly greater impact on the State Government’s net debt level. The organisations had net debt totalling $2.9 billion in 2004/05, which represented 10 per cent of total State government borrowing or 25 per cent of net debt ($11.7 billion).30 With almost $2.8 billion of capital expenditure anticipated between 2005/06 and 2008/09, Sydney Water and SCA’s net debt is expected to grow to $4.7 billion by 2008/09 (excluding any major source augmentation costs).31 The impact on the State’s credit rating has not been determined at this stage. Performance Table 6 shows several key indicators of performance for Sydney Water in 2004/05. (SCA does not provide treatment, transmission or retail services and therefore the indicators shown below are not relevant for this authority.) Table 6: Sydney Water Performance Indicators Performance Indicator Number of water main breaks per 100 km of water main Sydney Water Australian Average1 37.8 29.9 Infrastructure leakage index (real losses / unavoidable real losses) 1.8 1.7 Percentage of water recycled 2.8% 8.2% Number of water quality complaints per 1,000 properties 1.1 4.5 25.9 27.6 Average connect time to operator (seconds) Water quality standard ADWG 1996 See below Note: 1. Weighted average of Australian organisations appearing in WSAAfacts 2005. The number of main breaks in Sydney is higher than the Australian average, however, with 37.8 breaks per 100 kilometres, Sydney Water’s performance is better than five of the 18 Australian water utilities reported in WSAAfacts. Sydney Water’s leakage performance was similar to the Australian average, as was the average time to respond to telephone enquiries. In 2004/05 Sydney recycled only 2.8 per cent of wastewater compared with the Australian capital city average of 8.2 per cent. This will be significantly bolstered by the wastewater 28 NSW Treasury (2005), Treasury Focus Newsletter, March. 29 2004/05 NSW General Government revenue $41,364 million. ABS Catalogue 5512.0, 2004-05 Government Finance Statistics. 30 Net debt includes offsetting financial assets such as cash and investments. State Government total public sector borrowing $29.1 billion. ABS Catalogue 5512.0, 2004-05 Government Finance Statistics. 31 IPART Final Determination, p. 133 and p. 146. 19 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies recycling initiatives outlined in the 2006 Water Plan. wastewater is expected to be recycled by 2015.32 Approximately 15 per cent of Sydney has comparatively few water quality complaints and provides water in accordance with the 1996 Australian Drinking Water Guidelines. The more recent Australian Drinking Water Guidelines 2004 focus on a multiple barrier approach to managing water quality, however, most water businesses are still under transition from the 1996 guidelines to these new arrangements. In 2004/05, Sydney Water met microbiological and physical-chemical compliance. It had quality approved systems in place and had public disclosure of its compliance. The SCA met its physical-chemical compliance requirements, had a quality approved system in place and publicly disclosed its compliance. 1.2.3. Key issues The analysis highlights the following key issues with regard to water management in Sydney. Demand management targets in Sydney are much higher than the targets adopted by most other Australian cities and may be difficult to achieve. If demand targets are not met, Sydney will be required to implement one or more contingency options including groundwater access, desalination, ongoing restrictions, or additional water accessed from the Shoalhaven River. Some options, such as the Western Sydney Recycled Water Initiative, BASIX, and rainwater tank rebates appear more expensive than desalination, indirect potable recycling, or other forms of demand management. However, these programs may provide other environmental and social benefits that outweigh the additional financial cost. If a 500 ML per day desalination plant were required to meet demand in Sydney, the cost would be significant, increasing the average residential water bill by up to $175 per year. Neither Sydney Water nor SCA have any immediate cash constraints. Dividends and tax paid to the State Government amounted to $693 million over the last five years; however the organisations remain in a strong financial position and could effectively borrow up to $1.9 billion and $240 million respectively before reaching the international ‘benchmark’ level of 60 per cent debt to total assets. The dividend and tax payments made by Sydney Water and SCA to the NSW Government accounted for only 0.3 per cent of State revenue in 2004/05. The net debt of the two organisations accounted for almost 25 per cent of the State’s net debt. Over the coming years, net debt is projected to grow, and could be even higher, if additional source augmentations are required. The proportion of wastewater recycled by Sydney Water is the lowest of any capital city in Australia. The initiatives identified in the Water Plan are expected to increase recycling in Sydney to around 15 per cent by 2015. 32 2006 Metropolitan Water Plan, p. 33. 20 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies 1.3. Case study: Hunter Water Hunter Water is a statutory state-owned corporation and provides water and wastewater services for over half a million people in the lower Hunter region. The area of operation covers 5,366 km2 with a population of 512,432 in the local government areas of Cessnock (48,089), Lake Macquarie (192,797), Maitland (60,222), Newcastle (147,621) and Port Stephens (63,703). In addition, Hunter Water supplies bulk water to Dungog Council and to small parts of Singleton and the Great Lakes area. Hunter also supplies an average six megalitres per day to the Central Coast and provides some stormwater services to the lower Hunter, with 100 km of stormwater channels in Cessnock, Newcastle and Lake Macquarie. In total, Hunter Water delivers on average 200 ML of water a day using assets worth around $2 billion. There are 211,212 properties connected to the water network and 199,212 to the wastewater network. Hunter Water is responsible for the collection, treatment and delivery of drinking water, and the transportation and disposal of the region’s wastewater. 1.3.1. Water availability Water Supply Hunter Water’s raw water storages are:33 Grahamstown Dam (190 gigalitres capacity) (from runoff in its catchment or when water is pumped from the Williams River); Chichester Dam (21.5 GL) (from the Chichester River); Tomago sand beds (60 GL) (as a result of direct rainfall); and Anna Bay sand beds (16 GL) (as a result of direct rainfall). Two of the storages are coastal (Grahamstown Dam and Tomago sand beds) which means that they often receive rainfall when inland storages miss out and Chichester Dam, is located in a region that receives above average rainfall compared with the rest of the region. When full the Hunter Water storages represent almost four years worth of water supply.34 As of June 2005 storage levels were at 95 per cent. With the current infrastructure, the sustainable yield for the Hunter system is 73.5 gigalitres and on occasion, this yield has been exceeded (presumably requiring a draw down of storage supplies) as shown in Figure 4. 33 The analysis that follows draws from the Integrated water Resource Plan 2003 and the IWRP Annual Report 2005. 34 Based on 2004/05 water use of 76.7 GL. WSAAfacts 2005. 21 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Figure 4: Total Supply from Sources – 1893 to 2005 Sustainable Annual Yield 79 GL 73.5 GL (prior to new spillway) User pays pricing introduced Water restrictions due to drought Source: IWRP Annual Report 2005 The current drought across Australia has resulted in seriously depleted water storages in many parts of the east coast of NSW. The Central Coast region immediately to the south of Hunter Water’s area of operations is also experiencing low and declining storage volumes (currently around 25 per cent) and has severe water use restrictions in place. In contrast to many other parts of the State, the Lower Hunter received good rainfalls in 2004/05 and storage levels were as high as 94 per cent. Inflows have not been as good this year and storage levels are currently at around 80 per cent of capacity (as at 25 September 2006).35 Unlike other regions, Hunter does not anticipate that water demand will exceed its annual supply capacity. The completion of a larger capacity spillway at Grahamstown Dam early in 2006 will provide an increase of around 60 gigalitres to the safe capacity of the dam. The spillway will increase the annual safe yield of all available sources to around 79 gigalitres per year, compared with a current demand in average climate conditions of around 73 gigalitres per year. During each year, storage levels vary – in 2004/05 storage levels ranged from just under 70 per cent full in September to over 95 per cent in June. Supply / Demand Balance Demand on the Hunter Water system spiked in 1982 and then fell dramatically after the introduction of user pays charges. Since that time demand has fluctuated, but industrial water use has been trending down, in part due to the closure of several large water users (see Figure 5). By contrast, residential water use has been steadily trending up with the growth in population, almost exactly offsetting the reduced usage from industry (around 10 gigalitres since 1985). 35 See www.hunterwater.com.au 22 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Figure 5: Historical and Projected Non-Residential Demand Source: IWRP Annual report 2005. Note vertical axis begins at 20 GL. Total water demand estimates for the next ten to twenty years are driven almost entirely by residential growth. Figure 6 shows the estimates of water supply and demand (taking into account a number of demand management initiatives outlined in the Integrated Water Resource Plan (IWRP) plus population growth). Assuming the continuation of average annual streamflows, the projected demand for water does not approach Hunter Water’s annual safe yield of 79 gigalitres until 2013 or later. Figure 6: Yield and Demand Forecast Source : IWRP 2005. Note vertical axis begins at 60 GL. Hunter Water developed an Integrated Water Resource Plan in 2003 to examine the requirements for balancing supply and demand into the future. A subsequent annual report was developed in 2005. The 2005 report identifies projects to address water conservation and water loss minimisation, but does not identify any specific resource augmentation infrastructure works within the timeframe of the IWRP. 23 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Hunter Water provided an average of 4.5 ML/day of water to the Central Coast over 2004/05 to help alleviate water shortages.36 The Corporation is investigating construction of additional pipelines to provide water to, and receive water from, the Central Coast and is also developing a water recycling strategy.37 Hunter Water plans to ensure sufficient capacity exists to maintain the probability of restrictions at less than 10 per cent, with the duration spent in restrictions at less than five per cent. Planning is based on recent climate trends, with no allowance made for potential changes in climate conditions.38 Hunter Water is also currently reviewing its drought management plan, including a review of water restrictions and their trigger points. In parallel with revising the drought management plan, Hunter Water has undertaken a detailed hydrogeological investigation of the North Stockton Sandbeds. Installation of an emergency borefield in North Stockton Sandbeds is the main approach for Hunter’s Water to meet drought contingency measures. While North Stockton Sandbeds are not expected to provide a long-term reliable supply, they do hold a significant volume of fresh water that could be accessed over the short term during drought. Cost Of Options Hunter Water’s IWRP does not contemplate augmenting supply to meet potential supply/demand imbalances. The IWRP focuses primarily on demand management efficiency and leakage reduction to redress future imbalances. Both demand and supply side options were costed (including power savings) and are shown in Table 7 (note that costs have not been indexed to the current year). Financial considerations are only one element of a complete economic, social and environmental analysis of proposed options for water management. 36 IWRP Annual Report 2005, p. 3. 37 IWRP Annual Report 2005 p. 9. 38 IWRP 2003, p. 35. 24 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Table 7 : Cost of Water Supply and Demand Options Option Total Water Supplied / Saved (ML) Levelised Cost / Kilolitre ($/kL) DEMAND SIDE OPTIONS Residential water efficiency AAA showerheads -0.80 – -0.76 Targeted residential indoor retrofit -0.38 – -0.34 Toilet weight/cistern displacement device 0.16 – 0.20 Outdoor water efficiency measures 0.49 – 1.45 Dual flush toilets 0.91 – 1.01 Front-loading washing machines 0.90 – 1.00 Rainwater tank – outdoor use & flushing 1.90 – 2.10 Grey water reuse 2.04 – 2.44 Rainwater tank – outdoor use only 3.00 – 3.20 Net saving Losses from water system Reservoir replacement 0.06 – 0.08 Service replacement 0.19 – 0.23 Improved leakage response 1.40 – 1.50 Recycled water Belmont WWTP 0.08 – 0.10 Urban landscapes 0.50 – 1.10 Industrial reuse 0.65 – 1.65 Direct potable 3.50 – 4.50 Urban dual reticulation 5.00 – 5.20 SUPPLY SIDE OPTIONS Grahamstown Dam Increase Transfer Rates through Balickera pumping stations (requires Stage 2 implementation) 9 0.15 – 0.19 Stage 3 spillway augmentation works 19 0.40 – 0.46 5.5 0.65 – 0.70 5 – 30 0.50 – 1.20 Small 55 0.95 – 1.05 Large 123 1.30 – 3.00 95 1.50 – 3.00 North Stockton Sand beds Stages 1 and 2 Lostock Dam Staged development Tillegra Dam Desalination plant Sources: IWRP 2003, p. 45 and p. 64. 25 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Although water demand in not expected to be greater than water supply until 2013, Hunter Water is pursuing a number of water conservation strategies including water recycling, leak minimisation and public education campaigns. Hunter Water is also offering residential tank rebates ranging from $300 to $650. From the measures costed by Hunter, rainwater tanks (and some leakage minimisation strategies) appear to be among the most expensive water conservation solutions. Hunter Water are also selling REFIT kits including a AAA-rated showerhead, trigger nozzle for a hose and two compact fluorescent light bulbs. It is unclear to what extent these kits are subsidised if at all. 1.3.2. Financial analysis of water utilities Revenue And Cost Recovery In 2004/05, a Hunter resident would be charged $278 for consumption of 250 kL of water – around eight per cent lower than the Australian average (Hunter Water’s fixed charge was only $25.37 in 2004/05). It is important to note that Hunter residents also had one of the lowest consumption figures across Australia at 197 kilolitres per property. Interestingly, Hunter Water has had a declining block tariff, with usage under 1,000 kilolitres per year attracting a charge of $1.01/kL and usage over 1,000 kilolitres charged at $0.93/kL. 39 Wastewater charges rely more on the fixed element – the indicative charge for residential wastewater was $291.85 with over 80 per cent derived from the fixed charge.40 Residential revenue represented 71 per cent of Hunter Water’s total customer revenue, significantly more than the proportion of water supplied to residential customers (residential water consumption represented only 55 per cent of combined residential, commercial and industrial and “other” water supplied by Hunter Water41). A breakdown of revenue sources is shown in Figure 7. 39 This declining block tariff is to be phased out over the four years from 2005-06. 40 WSAAfacts 2005. 41 Excluding bulk water sales and environmental water. 26 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Figure 7: Hunter Water - 2004/05 Revenue By Customer Group Wastewater non-residential 9% Water non-residential 20% Wastewater residential 40% Water residential 31% Source: Extrapolated from WSAAfacts 2005 Hunter Water has also considered IPART’s recommendation that an inclining block usage tariff should be applied to houses using more than 400 kilolitres per year. There are factors that suggest such a pricing structure would achieve much less in the Lower Hunter than could be expected in Sydney. For instance, only around 10 per cent of houses in the Lower Hunter use more than 400 kilolitres per year and Hunter Water has reported that households already have a solid track record of reductions in response to demand management measures. Average household consumption in the Hunter region is some 20 per cent lower than the average of other major Australian water authorities and 14 per cent less than the average per property consumption in Sydney.42 Hunter Water’s revenue over the past six years has been insufficient to recover all cash costs (including operating, capital investment, taxation, interest and dividend payments), as demonstrated by the organisation’s increase in net debt from $60 million in 2001/02 to $150 million in 2004/05.43 Increasing debt is not uncommon in industries with a growing customer base and significant capital expenditure, where investors expect new customers to provide sufficient revenue to service both debt and shareholder requirements over time. 42 IWRP, p. 7. 43 WSAAfacts 2005 27 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies An alternative, and more meaningful, measure of cost recovery is the degree to which the organisation’s annual revenue recovers the full annualised cost of providing water services. The full annualised cost includes operating costs, depreciation and a standard industry return on the written down replacement cost of assets.44 Hunter Water’s full cost recovery rate for water (65 per cent) is well below the Australian average. For capital cities, annualised cost recovery falls between 68 per cent and 84 per cent. Table 8 shows the cost recovery from Hunter Water customers compared with other Australian cities. Table 8: 2004/05 Hunter Water Cost Recovery - Water Only Total annual revenue/ property1 Total annual cost/property2 Annualised Cost Recovery3 Average Australian Cost Recovery4 297 458 65% 80% Hunter Water Notes: 1. Total revenue per property represents total revenue raised by the organisation (including customer revenue and Community Service Obligation payments from government) divided by the total number of properties. 2. Total cost represents the total annual cost of supply, including operating cost, depreciation and a 6 per cent return on assets. This differs from the Productivity Commission’s measure of cost recovery, which does not include a return on assets. 3. Hunter Water’s cost recovery has varied between 75 per cent and 83 per cent over the past six years. 4. Average for all Australian capital cities reported in WSAAfacts 2005 (Hobart cost per property not reported). Expenditure Over the past four years, cash outflows from Hunter Water have averaged $196 million per annum. Just under 40 per cent of these outflows were expenditure for operations, while 29 per cent of outflow was used for property, plant and equipment (capital investment). On average, a net $45 million was returned to the State Government each year in the form of: an average $34 million of dividend payments to the State Government (representing 83 per cent of net profit after tax); An average $20 million of tax payments to the State Government45; and an average Community Service Obligation payment of $9 million received from the State Government. Table 9 shows Hunter Water’s total cash outlays over the past five years. 44 This method of cost annualisation is often referred to as the Building Block approach and underpins the economic regulation of prices in the water sector. However, price regulation will typically not reflect “full” cost recovery and will use a Regulatory Asset Value rather than the Written Down Replacement Cost of assets. The Building Block method ensures that operating costs are represented in the year they occur and capital investment is represented over time through depreciation and a return on assets. Depreciation and return on assets act in a similar manner to a debt repayment schedule, where the depreciation corresponds to an annual principal repayment and the return on assets corresponds to the annual interest payments, however the return on assets reflects a weighted average cost of debt and equity. 45 Hunter Water makes ‘tax equivalent payments’ to the State government. Tax equivalent payments are similar to the tax payments made by the private sector, but are paid to the State rather than the Commonwealth government. 28 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Table 9: Hunter Water Cash Outflows 2000/01 to 2004/05 ($ million) 2000/011 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 Total 5 Years % Operations 54 66 72 75 93 306 39% Property, plant and equipment 43 53 50 46 80 228 29% 6 4 8 8 10 31 4% Tax equivalent payments 17 13 19 25 21 78 10% Dividends payments 28 30 31 38 36 135 17% 0 0 1 5 0 6 1% 148 166 181 198 239 785 100% Borrowing costs paid Other TOTAL Notes: 1. Data for 2000/01 are not included in the overall average as they appear inconsistent with later years – both cash receipts and payments for operations appear to have been revised in consecutive years. Discrepancies may occur due to rounding. Constraints To Investment Investment in the water industry can be constrained in three primary ways: ability to recover costs; organisation’s financial capacity; and the financial capacity of the State Government. Each is examined in turn below. Ability to recover costs: Hunter Water is regulated by the Independent Pricing and Regulatory Tribunal (IPART), which uses a building block methodology (i.e., operating, maintenance and administration costs, depreciation, return on assets and adjustments for tax) for calculating total revenue requirements for the business. Through this mechanism, Hunter Water is able to pass on the efficient cost of constructing new water sources or managing demand. The current price determination by IPART for the period 1 October 2005 to 30 June 2009 saw the usage charge for residential customers for water increase by an average of 7.9 per cent (including inflation) in 2005/06 and further increases of 6.4 per cent above inflation have been approved over the remaining years. As noted, Hunter Water provided large users with a discounted price. This is to be phased out by 2008/09 with the usage charge for usage above 1,000 kilolitres to equal the rate for usage less than 1,000 kilolitres by 2008/09. The price rises approved by IPART includes revenue to meet the cost of augmentation of Grahamstown Dam. Financial constraints: IPART has indicated that Hunter Water should be able to meet operating, capital and borrowing repayments and still maintain an overall credit rating of at least A until 2008/09.46 According to IPART, the NSW Government believes that a BBB rating is the minimum target rating to ensure financial viability. 46 IPART determination, p. 157 29 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Over the past four years, Hunter Water has taken on an additional $90 million in net debt. Over the same period, Hunter has made dividend payments of $135 million and tax equivalent payments just under $80 million. Debt levels remain low and are projected by IPART to increase to only 30 per cent of the total regulatory asset value,47 compared with the international industry ‘benchmark’ rate of 60 per cent.48 Hunter Water could afford to borrow up to a debt level of $500 million before reaching the “benchmark” gearing level of 60 per cent. The financial capacity of the State Government: Hunter Water’s dividend and tax payments are included as revenue in the State budget and therefore impact State Government financial policy and credit rating. The NSW Government has maintained a ‘triple A’ domestic credit rating with Standard & Poor’s and Moody’s since ratings commenced in 1987.49 The net dividend and tax payments from Hunter Water accounted for only 0.1 per cent of total State revenues in 2004/05.50 The net debt position of Hunter Water is not a significant component of the State Government’s net debt level. The organisation had net debt totalling $150 million in 2004/05, representing one per cent of the net debt reported by the NSW State Government ($11.7 billion).51 IPART projects that Hunter Water’s net debt position will increase to $418 million by 2008/09.52 The impact on the State’s credit rating has not been determined at this stage. 47 IPART determination, p. 158. 2005/06 regulatory asset base $1,105.9 (p. 70). 48 Sixty per cent gearing has been adopted for the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital by IPART, ESC and ERA. 49 NSW Treasury (2005), Treasury Focus Newsletter, March. 50 2004/05 NSW State Government revenue $55,794 million. ABS Catalogue 5512.0, 2004-05 Government Finance Statistics. 51 ABS Catalogue 5512.0, 2004-05 Government Finance Statistics. 52 IPART Final Determination, p. 158. 30 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Performance Table 10 shows several key indicators of performance for Hunter Water in 2004/05. Table 10: Hunter Water Performance Indicators Performance Indicator Number of water main breaks per 100 km of water main Hunter Water Australian Average1 42.2 29.9 Infrastructure leakage index (real losses / unavoidable real losses) 1.7 1.7 Percentage of water recycled 6.2% 8.2% Number of water quality complaints per 1,000 properties 6.3 4.5 Average connect time to operator (seconds) Water quality standard 34 ADWG 1996 27.6 See below Note. 1. Weighted average of Australian organisations appearing in WSAAfacts 2005 The number of main breaks in the Hunter region is significantly higher than the Australian average. Hunter Water’s leakage performance was equal to the Australian average, but its average time to respond to telephone enquiries was above. In 2004/05 Hunter Water recycled 6.2 per cent of wastewater compared with the Australian average for urban areas of 8.2 per cent. Hunter is developing a Recycled Water Strategy and has set a target of 13 per cent reuse by 2007 within their Environmental Management Plan. Hunter has only slightly above average numbers of water quality complaints. The Corporation provides water in accordance with the 1996 Australian Drinking Water Guidelines. Hunter Water met all microbiological and physical-chemical water quality compliance requirements. The more recent Australian Drinking Water Guidelines 2004 which focus on a multiple barrier approach to managing water quality are yet to be implemented and most water businesses are still under transition to these new arrangements. 1.3.3. Key issues The analysis highlights the following key issues with regard to water management in the Hunter region. In contrast to many other regions in NSW, the Hunter region had good rainfalls in 2004/05, although inflows to storages have not been as strong thus far for the current year. Hunter Water has also recently completed a major spillway upgrade that increased sustainable annual yield by more than seven per cent. Hunter Water does not anticipate demand will exceed supply capacity until around 2013. Therefore, no augmentations of the water supply system are being considered in the short- to medium-term. 31 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies A review of Hunter Water’s drought management plan is currently being undertaken, including a review of water restrictions and their trigger points. Installation of an emergency borefield in North Stockton Sandbeds is the main strategy for meeting Hunter Water’s supply-side drought contingency measures. Hunter Water plans to maintain sufficient capacity to ensure the probability of restrictions at less than 10 per cent, with the duration of restrictions less than five per cent. Planning is based on recent climate trends, with no allowance made for potential changes in climate conditions. In 2004/05, Hunter residents had one of the lowest consumption figures in Australia at 197 kL per property. In recent years, industrial water use has reduced significantly in the Hunter region due, in part, to the closure of several large water users. Forecast growth in water use is driven almost entirely by residential growth. Although water demand in not expected to be greater than water supply until 2013, Hunter Water is pursuing a number of water conservation strategies including water recycling, leak minimisation, and public education campaigns. Hunter Water is also offering residential tank rebates ranging from $300 to $650. From the measures costed by Hunter Water, rainwater tanks (and some leakage minimisation strategies) appear to be among the most expensive water conservation solutions. Hunter Water’s dividend and tax payments do not represent a significant component of State Government revenue nor does the Corporation’s net debt represent a significant proportion of State net debt. The level of water recycling in the Hunter region is only 6.2 per cent, compared with the national average of 12 per cent. Hunter Water is developing a Recycled Water Strategy and has set a target of 13 per cent reuse by 2007 within their Environmental Management Plan. 32 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies 1.4. Case study: Gosford–Wyong Located between Sydney and Newcastle, Gosford City Council is one of the largest non-metropolitan water authorities in NSW, serving a population of approximately 160,000. Gosford and Wyong councils and the NSW Government adopted a joint water supply scheme to serve Gosford City and Wyong Shire in 1985, expanding the scheme adopted in 1975. As such, responsibility for water management and infrastructure is shared by the Gosford-Wyong Councils Water Authority (GWCWA), resulting in the Gosford-Wyong Joint Water Supply System. The system was intended to service a future Central Coast population of 460,000 and to supply projected future demand of up to 106 gigalitres per year. Water is harvested from Wyong River, and Mangrove, Mooney Mooney and Ourimbah creeks, supported by a major water storage dam on Mangrove Creek. The scheme was to be built in three stages, however, given slower than expected population growth and decreasing per capita demand (in 2003, this was half the demand envisaged in 1985), the scheme has developed more slowly than under the original 1985 plan. 1.4.1. Water availability Water Supply The Gosford-Wyong Joint Water Supply System (GWWS) is sourced from four small coastal streams: Wyong River, Ourimbah Creek, Mooney Mooney Creek and Mangrove Creek. Drought security is provided by Mangrove Creek Dam (190,000 ML), Mardi Dam (7,400 ML) and Mooney Mooney Dam (4,600 ML). While storage levels were around 45 per cent in July 2002, they have reduced to 16 per cent in October 2006 (see Table 11 and Figure 8). The Central Coast is currently experiencing the worst drought in 100 years, and water restrictions have been in force since the end of 2002. As storage levels have declined since 2002, water restrictions have increased, with Level 3 restrictions commencing in June 2006. Table 11 : Current Water Storages, as at 2 October 2006 Storage Capacity Full (ML) Mangrove Dam Volume in Storage (ML) % Full Storage Change (ML) since 2002 190,000 24,954 13.1% Down 984 ML Mardi Dam 7,400 5,239 70.8% Down 4 ML Mooney Dam 4,600 2,196 47.7 Up 26 ML 202,000 32,389 16.0 Down 324 ML Total Source: http://www.gwcwater.nsw.gov.au/frame2.htm accessed 4 October 2006. 33 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Figure 8: Water Restriction Rules and Total Water Storage as at October 2006 Source: http://www.gwcwater.nsw.gov.au/frame2.htm accessed 16 August 2006. Current Urban Water Allocation As at July 2003, the NSW Department of Natural Resources has flagged the conversion of urban water licences to a volumetric basis, which would convert existing GWCWA licences to a volumetric allocation totalling 47 gigalitres per year. This corresponds to the assessed safe yield of the existing water supply headworks under licence conditions existing at the introduction of the Water Management Act 2000 (the Act). For the traditional demand projection (current population projections with current demand levels), 47 gigalitres per year is sufficient to meet demand until 2031. Given the baseline demand projection and expected increases in water efficiency, 47 gigalitres per year may be sufficient to meet demand as far as 2051. Some uncertainty over this figure exists given the nature of water sharing plans, which result in availability of less than the full allocation of 47 gigalitres in years of low flow, and therefore the need to harvest and store a larger amount of water from high flows in wet years. Water Sharing And System Limits The amount of water that can be diverted for town water supply depends on the diversion structures, pumping capacities and water sharing arrangements. A significant proportion of the flows occurs as flood flows which exceed the capacity of the diversion pumps and cannot be harvested. A proportion of the remainder is required to pass the GWWS diversion structures to provide downstream environmental flows, and a proportion is diverted by rural users. 34 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies The introduction of new water access rules and water sharing plans under the Act will limit the capacity of the existing water supply headworks. Under the new arrangements, it is proposed to allocate to water users between 30 per cent and 60 per cent of daily flows when flows exceed the base flow, depending on existing usage and local environmental conditions. There is an expectation that where circumstances allow, the long-term objective is to provide the maximum allocation to the environment. The secure yield of the existing system after upgrading of peak day capacity at Mardi will be between 35 gigalitres and 47 gigalitres per annum depending on the precise water access rules to be adopted. It is important to note that these estimates were made during the review of the water plan in 2003. As noted earlier, the water supply situation has worsened dramatically since this time and water storage levels are now at only 16 per cent. A number of emergency solutions have been examined by the councils, including a connection with Hunter Water and seawater desalination. The $27 million connection with Hunter Water is currently being undertaken and could increase water supply by 27 megalitres per day (up to 10 gigalitres per year). The project is scheduled for completion by November 2006. The project involves a 19.8 kilometre water main which will link the Central Coast system with that of the Hunter Region. The Commonwealth Government will provide $6.6 million towards the project from the Australian Government Water fund with the remaining funds to be contributed by Wyong and Gosford Councils and Hunter Water Corporation. The councils are considering the construction of a permanent seawater desalination plant as one of the options to help secure their water supplies. The proposed plant would produce over seven gigalitres per year from seawater, although the councils view this as a last resort option. A development application has been lodged with the NSW Department of Natural Resources so that if the desalination plant is required in the future, the necessary paperwork will already have been completed. A comprehensive environmental impact assessment (EIS) has also been prepared, to determine the impact of the desalination scheme on the community and environment. In addition, a temporary desalination unit has also been proposed, which could be in place in as little as three months and would be located at Budgewoi Beach south. The unit would be fed by seawater and would have the capacity to produce 0.7 gigalitres of water a year. Wyong and Gosford councils are also currently considering a range of other drought management options available to them, including groundwater access, reducing weir bypass flows, a temporary weir on Porters creek and a link between lower Mangrove Weir and Mooney Dam. Quite apart from the current drought situation, if the new access rules limit the yield at Mardi dam to 35 gigalitres per year (the lower limit of expected water access rules), there will be insufficient surface water available to meet growth in Gosford-Wyong as early as 2011, regardless of the additional surface water system improvements that may be implemented. Harvesting would then be required from potentially more costly alternative water sources, either remote surface water sources, roofwater harvesting, water reuse or desalination to meet projected urban water needs through to 2050. 35 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Population and Tenement Projections Population projections were made for Gosford City and the Wyong Shire in 2002, which allow for a serviced population of approximately 464,000 by the year 2051. Newcastle University has developed a detailed daily demand sequence for use in the WATHNET daily simulation model. The model varies daily demand according to simulated rainfall and temperature behaviour on the Central Coast. The average annual demand generated by the model is consistent with the average annual demand. Average annual demand for all users is expected to increase from 31 gigalitres in 2001 to 43 gigalitres in 2031, with uncertainty ranging from around 37 gigalitres to 50 gigalitres, depending on the rainfall. By comparison, the system is designed with a security buffer of approximately 10 per cent over the expected average year demand (i.e. 47 gigalitres in 2031). The water supply/demand balance – as outlined in 2003 – is summarised in Figure 9. System Demand GL/a Figure 9 : Supply Demand Balance Through Time – Pre-drought Estimates Range of possible water access rules Existing Very Dry Year Drought Design Average Year Very West Year Source: NSW Department of Commerce, 2003. Development of Further Options for the Gosford Wyong Joint Water Supply Scheme – Working Paper 1. July, 2003. page 6 1.4.2. Cost of options Comparison Of Costs Table 12 shows the comparative costs of the surface water options in terms of annual cost per kilolitre. The current access arrangements allow for different levels of water sharing being set between water users and the environment. Different water sharing rules will imply a different yield from each option. The yields of each option are shown for two cases - a 60 per cent urban and rural water share and for a 30 per cent urban and rural water share. The corresponding annual costs per kilolitre are calculated assuming each system is operating at full capacity. 36 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Table 12 : Preliminary Comparison of Unit Costs - Annual Cost/Yield at Full Capacity Source: NSW Department of Commerce (2003) Development of Further Options for the Gosford Wyong Joint Water Supply Scheme – Working Paper 1, p. 36. 1.4.3. Financial analysis of water utilities Revenue And Cost Recovery In 2004/05, Gosford-Wyong residents were charged $190 for consumption of 250 kL of water.53 Including the fixed charge of $25.37, this Gosford-Wyong resident would pay 12 per cent less than the weighted Australian average. It is important to note that Gosford-Wyong residents also had one of the lowest consumption figures across Australia at 184 kilolitres per residential property. The fixed wastewater charge was $424.29.54 Residential revenue for water services represented 85 per cent of Gosford-Wyong’s total customer revenue, slightly more than the actual proportion of water supplied to residential customers (residential water consumption represented only 81 per cent of combined residential, commercial and industrial water supplied by Gosford-Wyong55). A breakdown of revenue sources is shown in Figure 10. 53 Note, however, there is no separate volumetric charge for water and wastewater usage. 54 WSAAfacts 2005 55 Excluding bulk water sales and environmental water. 37 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Figure 10: Gosford Wyong - 2004/05 Revenue By Customer Group Wastewater nonresidential 8% Water non-residential 7% Water residential 33% Wastewater residential 52% Source: Extrapolated from WSAAfacts 2005 IPART (2005)56 has set water usage prices for 2006/07 at $1.12/kL (in 2004/05 they were $0.76) rising to $1.57 (plus CPI) in 2008/09. These prices represent real increases of 18 per cent each year. IPART noted that the size of the increases reflected the effects of the drought (storages were less than 18 per cent at the time) and the need to finance necessary services. The increased prices will allow financing of: works to allow transfer of 20ML/day from Hunter Water; fast-tracking of groundwater projects; pre-construction work for a desalination plant; augmentation works for pumping stations and raising Mardi Dam; and various stormwater, wastewater and renewals works. The price increases will also allow a better return on assets for the councils. Separate net debt figures are not provided for Gosford-Wyong to examine a rudimentary estimate of cost recovery. One measure of cost recovery is the degree to which the organisation’s annual revenue recovers the full annualised cost of providing water services. The full annualised cost includes operating costs, depreciation and a standard industry return on the written down replacement cost of assets.57 Gosford-Wyong’s full cost recovery rate for water, at 56 IPART (2005) Gosford City Council, Wyong Shire Council - Prices of Water Supply, Wastewater and Stormwater Services : From 1 July 2006 to 30 June 2009 57 This method of cost annualisation is often referred to as the Building Block approach and underpins the economic regulation of prices in the water sector. However, price regulation will typically not reflect “full” cost recovery and will use a Regulatory Asset Value rather than the Written Down Replacement Cost of assets. The Building Block method ensures that operating costs are represented in the year they occur and capital investment is represented over time through depreciation and a return on assets. Depreciation and return on assets act in a similar manner to a debt repayment schedule, where the depreciation corresponds to 38 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies 45 per cent, is just over half that of the Australian average and underlines the need for price increases noted above. Indicatively, for capital cities, annualised cost recovery falls between 68 per cent and 84 per cent. Table 13 shows the cost recovery from Gosford-Wyong customers compared with other Australian cities. Table 13: 2004/05 Gosford-Wyong Cost Recovery - Water Only GosfordWyong Notes: 1. 2. 3. 4. Total annual revenue/ property1 Total annual cost/property2 Annualised Cost Recovery3 Average Australian Cost Recovery4 244 545 45% 80% Total revenue per property represents total revenue raised by the organisation (including customer revenue and Community Service Obligation payments from government) divided by the total number of properties. Total cost represents the total annual cost of supply, including operating cost, depreciation and a 6 per cent return on assets. Differs from the Productivity Commission’s measure of cost recovery, which does not include a return on assets. Hunter Water’s cost recovery has varied between 75 per cent and 83 per cent over the past six years. Average for all Australian capital cities reported in WSAAfacts 2005 (Hobart cost per property not reported). Expenditure Gosford-Wyong Councils Water Authority does not produce a separate annual report from its controlling councils. Constraints To Investment Investment in the water industry can be constrained in three primary ways: ability to recover costs; organisation’s financial capacity; and the financial capacity of the State Government. Each is examined in turn below. Ability to recover costs: Gosford-Wyong is regulated by the Independent Pricing and Regulatory Tribunal (IPART), which uses a building block methodology (i.e., operating, maintenance and administration costs, depreciation, return on assets and adjustments for tax) for calculating total revenue requirements for the business. Through this mechanism, Gosford-Wyong is able to pass on the efficient cost of constructing new water sources or managing demand. The current price determination by IPART was for the period 1 October 2006 to 30 June 2009. The price rises from this review were discussed above. As noted, substantial price increases were set by IPART to enable the major works to be funded. Financial constraints: IPART has indicated that despite the low rates of return (albeit improved), the councils should maintain a sound financial position through the price path. an annual principal repayment and the return on assets corresponds to the annual interest payments, however the return on assets reflects a weighted average cost of debt and equity. 39 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies For the purposes of its analysis, IPART believed that a payout ratio of 50 per cent would be feasible. Under these circumstances, IPART believed the councils would maintain an investment grade rating of BBB+.58 The financial capacity of the State Government: Gosford-Wyong does not pay tax or dividends to the State Government. In terms of the councils, water costs represented 14 per cent of Gosford City Council’s operating expenses, 10 per cent of its revenues and 15 per cent of its capital expenditure in 2004/05. Water and wastewater revenues totalled around $47 million of total revenues of $191 million. IPART’s analysis indicated that the necessary revenue required by Gosford City Council is in excess of $60 million. Similarly for Wyong Council, IPART indicated that the necessary revenue would exceed $50m by 2008/09. In 2004/05, Wyong received $34 million from water and sewerage charges out of total Council revenue of $143 million. Performance Table 14 shows several key indicators of performance for Gosford-Wyong in 2004/05. Table 14: Gosford Wyong Performance Indicators Performance Indicator Gosford-Wyong Australian Average1 Number of water main breaks per 100 km of water main 29.8 29.9 Infrastructure leakage index (real losses / unavoidable real losses) 0.3 1.7 Percentage of water recycled 0.1% 8.2% Number of water quality complaints per 1,000 properties 13.4 4.5 Average connect time to operator n/a 27.6 Water quality standard ADWG 2004 See below Notes: 1. Weighted average of Australian organisations appearing in WSAAfacts 2005. The number of main breaks in the Gosford-Wyong region is close to the Australian average. In contrast, Gosford-Wyong’s leakage performance was significantly lower than the Australian average. In 2004/05 Gosford-Wyong recycled only 0.1 per cent of wastewater compared with the Australian average of 8.2 per cent. Gosford-Wyong has almost three times the rate of water quality complaints as the Australian average. The Authority provides water in accordance with the Australian Drinking Water Guidelines 2004, focussing on a multiple barrier approach to managing water quality. Gosford-Wyong met both its microbiological and physical-chemical water quality compliance requirements. 58 IPART determination, p. 88. 40 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies 1.4.4. Key issues The analysis highlights the following key issues with regard to water management in the Gosford-Wyong region. Current water storage levels are critically low. Several proposals are being considered by the councils to rectify water shortages. The councils have planned significant expenditure to ensure supply is sufficient to meet demand, including extending transfers from the Hunter catchment. Substantial price increases are required to fund capacity and meet future demand. Water (and wastewater) services represent a substantial element of the councils’ activities and revenues. The level of water recycling is minimal. Although the volumetric charge in this region is low, water consumption is also one of the lowest in Australia. 41 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies 2. VICTORIA 2.1. Institutional and governance arrangements Victoria’s water businesses provide water and wastewater services to customers within 21 geographic regions. Three retail businesses (City West Water, South East Water and Yarra Valley Water) and one bulk water company (Melbourne Water) service the Melbourne area. These three retail businesses provide water and wastewater services to households and businesses within their region and undertake some sewage collection and treatment. Melbourne Water provides bulk water and sewerage services to the three retailers and a number of regional businesses and provides drainage services throughout Melbourne. Fifteen regional urban water businesses provide services throughout regional Victoria. These businesses serve a number of towns or cities within their region and many are vertically integrated, being responsible for water storage, treatment and delivery, and wastewater treatment and disposal. In addition, three rural water businesses overlap the regional urban areas, providing farm supply, irrigation, stock and domestic supply, and the wholesale supply of water to regional urban distributors. The urban water delivery arrangements are summarised in Table 15. Table 15: Bulk Water and Water Service Providers in Victoria Area Name Services Institutional Structure Melbourne City West Water South East Water Yarra Valley Water Distribution and retail State-owned company Melbourne Water Bulkwater, catchment management, treatment Statutory state-owned Corporation Regional water authorities (e.g. Central Highlands Water, Western Water, Coliban Water) Bulkwater, treatment, distribution and retail Statutory Authority Rural water providers (e.g. Goulburn Murray Water, Southern Rural Water) Bulkwater, irrigation, domestic and stock supplies Statutory Authority Rural and regional areas The Victorian Department of Sustainability and Environment acts as the administrator and regulator of water licences and water planning in the State. The Essential Services Commission (ESC) regulates the prices and service standards of water businesses throughout the State. 42 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies In Victoria, the Our Water Our Future White Paper (released in 2004) sets out a series of wide ranging initiatives to “enable smarter water use and management across the State.”59 The paper outlines 110 initiatives including repairs to rivers and groundwater systems, water pricing and other initiatives to encourage water conservation, and improvements to water allocation and trading systems. The Water (Resource Management) Act 2005 implements proposals contained in the White Paper, including: creating an “Environmental Water Reserve” to set aside an explicit share of water for the environment; unbundling water entitlements into three components – a water share, a water-use licence and a delivery share; turning ‘sales’ water into a separate and tradeable lower reliability water share; establishing a new water resource management and planning system – featuring Sustainable Water Strategies, long-term water resource assessments and reviews, and a clear and certain process for any permanent qualification of water shares; providing for a single, web-based public water register to be set up and a water registrar appointed; and providing for a clear and transparent process for reconfiguring water supply infrastructure, which embodies community participation. The White Paper also recognises the important role of Catchment Management Authorities (CMAs) in the management and delivery of environmental water. CMAs will become the managers of specific environmental water entitlements that form part of the Environmental Water Reserve. Private Sector Participation The private sector does not provide water services in Victoria. However, the Partnerships Victoria policy and its predecessor have provided a framework for a whole-of-government approach to the provision of public infrastructure and related ancillary services through public-private partnerships. Many public-private partnerships have been conducted in the water industry, including: Ballarat North Water Reclamation Plant; Enviro Altona Wastewater Treatment Plant; Campaspe Water Reclamation Scheme; Wodonga Wastewater Treatment Plant; Ballarat Water Treatment Plant; Grampians Water Treatment Plant; Aqua 2000 Water Treatment for the Coliban system; Coliban Castlemaine Wastewater Project; Yan Yean Water Treatment Plant; CHW Small Towns Water Treatment; and 59 Victorian Government (2004), Our Water Our Future White Paper, p. 1. 43 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Barwon Water Biosolids Management Project (currently at the evaluation stage). The use of private sector contracts to design and build water infrastructure is common throughout Victoria. The Melbourne retail businesses retain the management function and ownership of assets, but contract out most other functions. South East Water, for example, contracts out operating and maintenance; civil, mechanical and electrical engineering; some design and project management; and meter reading. Customer service functions, including billing, have been retained internally by the State authority, however, bill production is also outsourced to the private sector. 2.2. Case study: Melbourne In Melbourne, responsibility for water services is divided between a wholesaler, Melbourne Water, and three retail water businesses – City West Water (serving approximately 700,000 people), South East Water (approximately 1.4 million people) and Yarra Valley Water (approximately 1.5 million people). The three retail businesses are state-owned companies that operate under the Corporations Act 2001. Melbourne Water operates under the Melbourne Water Corporation Act 1992 which stipulates that Melbourne Water must, as far as practicable, perform its functions in a manner consistent with sound commercial practice. 2.2.1. Water availability Water Supply Sources of water The majority of water used in Melbourne today comes from rivers and reservoirs (see Table 16). 60 Table 16: Melbourne’s Water Sources Water source Volume used Rivers and reservoirs 435 GL in 2004/2005 474 GL (average from 1990 – 2005) 60 Recycled water 46 GL (most recycled at sewage treatment plants) Groundwater up to 33 GL Rainwater and stormwater less than 1 GL The following analysis of water availability is drawn from the Victorian Government publication, Water Supply-Demand Strategy for Melbourne 2006 – 2055, Draft Strategy and www.drought.melbournewater.com.au . 44 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Melbourne Water has nine major reservoirs that currently supply Melbourne (not including Tarago). Water is stored and then delivered to the metropolitan retail water companies, Western Water and Gippsland Water. Water is also released from the Thomson Dam for Southern Rural Water's irrigators. Melbourne Water’s major reservoirs are Thomson Reservoir in Gippsland, and the Upper Yarra, Maroondah and O’Shannassy Reservoirs in the Yarra catchment. Most of Melbourne’s water is from uninhabited catchments and requires minimal treatment to meet drinking water standards. Water is also extracted from the mid Yarra River near Yarra Glen and transferred into Sugarloaf Reservoir. Water is also sourced from the Wallaby and Silver Creeks which are part of the Goulburn River catchment. The Yarra and Thomson Rivers and Wallaby Creek provide an average, reliable supply of 555 gigalitres per year for Melbourne (subject to climate change over time). This will increase to around 576 gigalitres in 2011 when the Tarago Reservoir is reintroduced to the Melbourne supply system. The storage capacity of each of the major water storages is shown in Figure 11. Figure 11: Melbourne’s Main Water Storages CAPACITY (Total usable capacity 1,773 GL) GL Source: www.drought.melbournewater.com.au As part of the Central Region Sustainable Water Strategy, the Government has established a total average annual cap of 555 GL for urban consumption in Melbourne from the Yarra and Thomson Rivers and the Silvan and Wallaby Creeks. This includes the granting of bulk entitlements for an average annual cap of 400 GL per year for urban use from the Yarra River. Up to 33 gigalitres per year of groundwater is licensed for use in the greater Melbourne area, primarily for watering market gardens and golf courses. A deep, saline groundwater storage has been identified in the Werribee area, but little is currently known about this groundwater source and further investigation would be required to determine if there are sustainable volumes available for extraction. This water would also require a level of desalination before being pumped to the water supply distribution system. 45 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Current Conditions Melbourne has more wet days than other cities, such as Sydney, but its average annual rainfall (655 millimetres) is about 40 per cent less than Sydney's (1107 millimetres). Like other parts of Australia, Melbourne is also affected by El Niño weather patterns and year to year fluctuations in rainfall, creating droughts that may last a few months or many years. The capacity of Melbourne’s water supply has increased significantly since the construction of the Thompson Dam and these dams are currently 45.8 per cent full (as at 3/10/2006), compared with levels of 80 per cent – 100 per cent in the early to mid 1990s (as shown in Figure 12).61 Figure 12: Total System Storage Growth since 1960 Source: www.drought.melbournewater.com.au In response to the low storage levels, the Victorian Government introduced Stage 1 restrictions in 2002. The restrictions were upgraded to Stage 2 in the following year, but all restrictions were eventually lifted in March 2005. Temporary water restrictions were replaced in 2005 with five Permanent Water Saving Rules. The Victorian Government announced on 31 July 2006 that tighter restrictions would not be applied at the current time, but would be considered for 1 September 2006 if required storage targets were not met by the end of August 2006. Supply / Demand Balance Prior to the introduction of water restrictions in 2002, Melbourne used around 369 litres per person per day, of which 223 litres per person per day was used for residential purposes (around 14 per cent below the Australian average at the time). In 2004/05, while Stage 2 restrictions were still in place, residential water use per capita fell by 10 per cent and commercial and industrial water use fell by nine per cent.62 61 Dam levels available at www.melbournewater.com.au 62 For the years 2001/02 and 2004/05. Source: WSAAfacts 2005 46 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Future Demand Melbourne’s population is expected to grow to around 4.7 million by 2055, 63 an increase of approximately 31 per cent. If water consumption per capita returns to the level that occurred prior to the introduction of restrictions, water demand could be as high as 602 gigalitres per annum by 2055 - up from approximately 430 gigalitres in 2004/05. The Victorian Government has released a series of papers outlining the water plans for Victoria’s Central Region. The final Central Region Sustainable Water Strategy was released in October 2006 and sets targets to reduce per capita water use across the Central region by at least 25 per cent by 2015 (compared to the average 1990s use), increasing to 30 per cent by 2020. The Government’s long term vision is for the residential sector to use about 70 per cent less water by 2055 than it does today. To assist in meeting these targets, a new clause of the Victoria Planning provisions (Clause 56) requires developers to undertake water sensitive design for residential subdivisions. This clause also provides water authorities with the power to mandate dual pipe (water recycling) systems for areas where they are identified as the best solution for balancing overall supply and demand. The Central Region Strategy outlines the potential water shortfalls under a number of climate scenarios, focussing on two in particular – what the Strategy terms a “medium impact” climate change scenario and the more extreme scenario in which streamflows continue at the low levels that have been experienced over the last ten years. Figure 13 shows that inflows into Thomson Reservoir over the period 1997 to 2004 have fallen by around 34% compared with preceding years (the reservoir began operation in 1984). Figure 13 : Inflows into Thomson Reservoir 350,000 1984-1997 Ave 254,000 ML 300,000 1997-2004 Ave 167,000 ML 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 04 20 02 20 00 20 98 19 96 19 94 19 92 19 90 19 88 19 86 19 19 84 0 Source: www.melbournewater.com.au and MJA analysis 63 Victorian Government (2004). Beyond 5 Million– the Victorian Government’s Population Policy. 47 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Under a medium climate change scenario, the combined supply and demand forecast shows that, if no further action were taken, Melbourne’s water demand could begin to exceed reliable supply by 2021. Under the ’10-year’ scenario, water supplies are already below reliable supply – as demonstrated by current watering bans that are in force. The Victorian Government’s strategy to address the shortfall in Melbourne prior to 2015 includes: accelerated conservation and efficiency programs for homes, businesses and within the distribution system, including maintaining existing water savings – to start immediately (79,000 ML by 2015); additional local reuse and recycling initiatives (at least 6,200 ML by 2015); investment in irrigation system efficiencies in the Yarra basin by 2010 (1,500 ML); the existing infrastructure which connects Tarago Reservoir to the Melbourne water supply system will be reintroduced in 2010. This infrastructure was taken out of the system in 1994 due to water quality issues. Before reintroducing Tarago Reservoir, a water treatment plant will be built to improve water quality (up to 21,000 ML); upgrade the Eastern Treatment Plant to Class A standard by 2012; business cases for Eastern Water Recycling Proposal, desalination and stormwater options to enable decision and construction by 2015. The Eastern Water Recycling Proposal involves Class A recycled water from Melbourne’s Eastern Treatment Plant being piped to the Latrobe Valley for use in power generation. In addition to providing secure water for industry to grow in the Latrobe Valley, this proposal would free up 139,000 ML of entitlements to water that could be used for environmental flows and urban use across Gippsland and Melbourne. (80,000 ML initially); The potential shortfall between water supply and demand is shown graphically in Figure 14. Figure 14: Melbourne’s Potential Supply/Demand Shortfall Source: Central Region Sustainable water Strategy 48 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Further large scale water supply opportunities include desalination and potential interconnection between water supply schemes. The Central Region Strategy notes that there are few ideal locations for desalination around Melbourne, however the Strategy states (p. 66) “While the Government will not immediately implement large scale seawater desalination projects, it has not been ruled out as a supply option to meet future water needs for Melbourne.” The Central Region Strategy does not countenance the possibility that large scale water supplies for Melbourne could be sourced from rural areas, however a number of supplies from Melbourne to other areas are foreshadowed in the report. The interconnections that have been considered are shown in Figure 15 below. Figure 15: Existing and possible interconnections in the Central Region Sustainable Water Strategy Source: Central Region Sustainable Water Strategy A Melbourne–Geelong interconnection will be investigated immediately as a contingency option to provide additional water to Geelong. Furthermore, it is possible that Westernport will also need to connect to Melbourne in order to supplement its supplies. Cost Of Options Financial considerations are one element of a complete economic, social and environmental analysis of proposed options for water management. Table 17 provides the cost of various options examined in the Draft Water Supply-Demand Strategy for Melbourne. It is important to clarify that the cost of water supply-demand options presented in the Victorian Government’s draft Central Region Sustainable Water Strategy seems to have been calculated using a different levelised cost methodology than other Australian States (see note 2 to Table 17). Therefore, unit cost results are unlikely to be comparable with similar options proposed by other jurisdictions which are presented elsewhere in this report. 49 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Table 17: Cost of Water Supply / Demand Options Option Total Water Supplied / Saved by 2055 (GL pa)1 Cost / Kilolitre ($/kL)2 Water efficient showerheads 18 <$0.05/kL Large commercial water users 9 <$0.05/kL 1.2+ $0.05-$0.15/kL 2 $0.15-$0.25/kL Water efficient evaporative air conditioners 4.5 $0.15-$0.25/kL Blue Rock Lake Interconnection 20 $0.25-$0.35/kL Water efficient washing machines 16 $0.25-$0.35/kL Local water sources (i.e., capture of rainwater, stormwater and recycled water) 5+ >$0.95/kL 100 $0.25-$0.35/kL 15-45 $0.35/kL-$0.45/kL Unlimited $0.55/kL-$0.65/kL 50 $0.55/kL-$0.65/kL Unknown Unknown Investing in irrigation efficiencies around Melbourne Reduce water leaks and wastage Potential long term supplies Recycled water (for drinking) Stormwater (for drinking) Desalination Eastern Water Recycling Proposal Groundwater Notes: 1. Victorian Government, Water Supply-Demand Strategy for Melbourne 2006 – 2055, Draft Strategy. 2. Victorian Government, Central Region Sustainable Water Strategy – Draft for Community Comment. Costs have been calculated based on the Net Present Cost (NPC) for capital expenditure + NPC for option operation divided by the 50-year cumulative volume of water from the option. It does not appear that the volume of water has been discounted, which is the more common method of calculating levelised costs and may render these results incomparable with the results from other States. Water efficiencies related to demand management play a central role in the Melbourne water strategy. Unlike other cities, such as Sydney and Perth, Melbourne appears to have a significant existing buffer between water supply and demand and even without planned demand management measures, it is anticipated that intervention would only be required after 2021 (assuming a medium climate change scenario). The proposed demand management and water efficiency measures would extend this timing until 2030. Selected demand management options appear significantly less costly than many other options examined in the Water Plan. It is unclear which costs have been included in the calculation of demand management costs. In some cases, regulatory requirements for new water efficiency standards may avoid the cost of augmenting water sources, but increase the cost burden to developers, appliance manufacturers or customers. To analyse options from the standpoint of all stakeholders, demand management costs should include the incremental costs to business and the community in addition to the costs to the utility, e.g. the additional compliance costs for appliance manufacturers. 50 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies A comprehensive review of options should examine the risks associated with each project (such as yield uncertainty, impact of climate scenarios and construction risk) in addition to the economic, social and environmental consequences. 2.2.2. Financial analysis of water utilities Revenue And Cost Recovery In 2004/05, South East Water and Yarra Valley Water charged the lowest average residential water price of any Australian capital city ($241 and $255 respectively for 250 kilolitres).64 City West Water’s residential charges were marginally above average ($292 for 250 kilolitres). All three organisations charged residents less for wastewater than other capital cities, with City West Water charging the least (South East Water $303, Yarra Valley $286, City West Water $245). The revenue from the two larger retailers (South East and Yarra Valley) is dominated by residential revenue (71 per cent and 75 per cent respectively). City West Water still has a substantial residential revenue base (60 per cent), but also services a large number of commercial and industrial customers in Melbourne’s Central Business District and inner and western suburbs. A breakdown of revenue sources is shown in Figure 16. Figure 16: Melbourne Retail Companies - 2004/05 Revenue By Customer Group 100% 80% Wastew ater non-residential 60% Water non-residential Wastew ater residential 40% Water residential 20% 0% City West Water South East Water Yarra Valley Water Combined, the revenue from Melbourne’s water businesses over the past five years has almost been sufficient to recover all cash costs (including operating, capital investment, taxation, interest and dividend payments), as demonstrated by the only marginal increase in combined net debt from $2.2 billion to $2.4 billion over the period.65 Over the period, the 64 WSAAfacts 2005 65 WSAAfacts 2005 51 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies debt levels of the retail companies rose between 19 per cent and 28 per cent, while Melbourne Water’s debt fell by around five per cent. An alternative, and more meaningful, measure of cost recovery is the degree to which the organisation’s annual revenue recovers the full annualised cost of providing water services. The full annualised cost includes operating costs, depreciation and a standard industry return on the written down replacement cost of assets.66 In 2004/05, Melbourne Water recovered only half of full annualised costs, however, the three retail companies recorded the highest full cost recovery of any capital city in Australia, ranging between 89 per cent and 92 per cent. Table 18 shows the full cost recovery from Melbourne customers compared with the average of other Australian cities. Table 18: 2004/05 Melbourne Cost Recovery (Water Only) Revenue/ property1 Full annualised cost/property2 Annualised Full Cost Recovery (%) Average Australian Cost Recovery3 Melbourne Water 107 210 51% 80% City West Water 371 419 89% 80% South East Water 252 273 92% 80% Yarra Valley Water 265 290 91% 80% Consolidated4 281 412 68% 80% Notes: 1. Revenue per property represents total annual revenue raised by the organisation (including customer revenue and Community Service Obligation payments from government) divided by the total number of properties. 2. Full annualised cost represents the total annual cost of supply, including operating cost, depreciation and a 6 per cent return on assets. See footnote 17 for further information. Differs from the Productivity Commission’s measure of cost recovery, which does not include a return on assets. 3. Average for all Australian capital cities reported in WSAAfacts 2005 (Hobart cost per property not reported). 4. Consolidated revenue represents weighted average retail revenue (Melbourne Water revenue excluded to avoid double counting). Consolidated cost/property equals weighted average retail cost plus the average loss per property (cost/property minus revenue/property) to represent additional cost not captured in bulkwater charges to retailers. Melbourne is one of the lowest cost water providers in Australia, with an average cost per property of $412 compared with the Australian weighted average of $495 per property (of the organisations listed in WSAAfacts 2005 only Hobart was less expensive at $312 per property). 66 This method of cost annualisation is often referred to as the Building Block approach and underpins the economic regulation of prices in the water sector. However, price regulation will typically not reflect “full” cost recovery and will use a Regulatory Asset Value rather than the Written Down Replacement Cost of assets. The Building Block method ensures that operating costs are represented in the year they occur and capital investment is represented over time through depreciation and a return on assets. Depreciation and return on assets act in a similar manner to a debt repayment schedule, where the depreciation corresponds to an annual principal repayment and the return on assets corresponds to the annual interest payments, however the return on assets reflects a weighted average cost of debt and equity. 52 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Expenditure Over the past five years, cash outflows from the three Melbourne retail companies have averaged $1 billion per annum (including payments to Melbourne Water). Just over 57 per cent of these outflows were expenditure for operations, while 15 per cent of outflow was used for property, plant and equipment (capital investment). Treating Melbourne Water capital expenditure as a capital rather than as an operating expense for the Melbourne retailers would increase capital investment to 28 per cent of total outflows.67 On average, a net $275 million was returned to the State Government each year in the form of: an average $160 million of dividend payments to the State Government from the three retail companies and $91 million from Melbourne Water (representing a reported 74 per cent of combined net profit after tax);68 an average $49 million of tax payments to the State Government 69 from the three retailers and $20 million from Melbourne Water; and the retail businesses are reimbursed for the value of concessions provided to pensioners and others, and for the administration of the concession schemes. These figures were not reported separately in some prior years, but total around $45 million per year.70 Table 19 shows the three retail companies’ total cash outlays over the past five years and Table 20, those of Melbourne Water. Table 19: Melbourne’s Three Retail Companies Combined - Cash Outflows 2000/01 to 2004/05 2000/01 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 Total 5 Years % Operations Property, plant and equipment Borrowing costs paid Tax equivalent payments Dividends payments Other 522 115 64 34 172 11 540 114 63 47 157 0 569 129 64 58 204 - 588 174 67 63 144 0 633 234 74 44 121 - 2,852 766 331 246 798 11 57% 15% 7% 5% 16% 0% TOTAL 918 921 1,024 1,036 1,105 5,004 100% Note: Discrepancies may occur due to rounding 67 Purchases of water from Melbourne Water are regarded as operating expenditure. Melbourne Water invested an average of $128 million per year over the period (compared with average cash operating expenditure of $311 million per year). 68 Based on dividend payout ratios for 2000/01 to 20045/05 reported in WSAAfacts 2005. 69 Melbourne Water and the retail companies make “tax equivalent payments” to the State Government. Tax equivalent payments are similar to the tax payments made by the private sector, but are paid to the State rather than the Commonwealth Government. 70 Productivity Commission (2005) Financial Performance of Government Trading Enterprises 1999-00 to 2003-04 and water business Annual Reports. 53 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Table 20: Melbourne Water Cash Outflows 2000/01 to 2004/05 2000/01 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 Total 5 Years % Operations Property, plant and equipment Borrowing costs paid Tax equivalent payments Dividends payments Other 138 113 78 7 120 21 181 84 74 8 99 49 186 115 72 24 99 23 203 158 76 39 96 - 225 166 78 23 41 13 933 638 378 100 455 106 36% 24% 14% 4% 17% 4% TOTAL 478 494 520 571 546 2,609 100% Note: Discrepancies may occur due to rounding. Constraints To Investment Investment in the water industry can be constrained in three primary ways: ability to recover costs; organisation’s financial capacity; and the financial capacity of the State Government. Each is examined in turn below. Ability to recover costs: Melbourne water businesses are regulated by the Essential Services Commission (ESC), which uses a building block methodology (i.e., operating, maintenance and administration costs, depreciation, return on assets and adjustments for tax) for calculating total revenue requirements for the business. Through this mechanism Melbourne water businesses are able to pass on the efficient cost of constructing new water sources or managing demand. The current price determination by ESC will see customer charges for water, wastewater and stormwater increase between 1.8 per cent and 2.2 per cent above inflation (on average) over the period 2005/06 to 2007/08. A tiered pricing system for domestic water customers was also introduced by the Victorian Government on 1 October 2004 to encourage water conservation. Financial constraints: Melbourne water businesses have strong balance sheets and steady income streams. Interest cover and other indicators of financial capacity indicate no signs of financial distress.71 Based on advice provided to the Minister by the ESC, the prices outlined in the current determination should ensure that Melbourne Water and the three retail companies are able to meet operating, capital and borrowing repayments and still have cash flows consistent with maintaining a BBB or better credit rating until at least 2007/08. 72 (The ESC regards it as desirable to ensure that businesses are financially viable and that cash flows are consistent with at least a BBB credit rating.) Over the past five years, Melbourne Water and the retail businesses have taken on relatively little additional debt between them (only $0.2 billion combined). Despite this, $1.6 billion 71 In 2003/04, the organisations had debt to total assets ratios between 28.1 – 39.3 per cent, interest cover between 3.3 – 9.5 times (EBIT/gross interest expense) and current ratio between 12 – 44 per cent. Productivity Commission (2005) Financial Performance of Government Trading Enterprises 1999-00 to 2003-04. 72 IPART determination, p. 133. 54 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies has been returned to the State Government (i.e., dividends plus tax payments). Debt levels remain low at 25 per cent to 40 per cent of the total regulatory asset value, 73 compared with the international industry ‘benchmark’ rate of 60 per cent.74 Melbourne Water and the three retail businesses could afford to borrow a further $2.4 billion between them before reaching the ‘benchmark’ gearing level of 60 per cent. The financial capacity of the State Government: The dividend and tax payments from Melbourne Water and the three retail companies are included as revenue in the State budget and therefore impact on the State Government’s financial policy and credit rating. The Victorian Government has maintained a ‘triple A’ domestic credit rating with Standard & Poor’s and Moody’s since 1998.75 The net dividend and tax payments from the Melbourne water businesses accounted for only 0.6 per cent of total State revenues in 2004/05.76 By contrast with State revenues, the net debt positions of the water businesses have a significantly greater impact on the State Government’s overall net debt level. The water businesses had net debt totalling $2.4 billion in 2004/05. This compares with total State Government borrowings of $21.4 billion, however owing to significant offsetting assets (investments, loans or placements) the State Government’s net debt was a negative $11.7 billion in 2004/05.77 Melbourne water businesses are expected to spend an additional $1.25 billion in capital expenditure over the period 2005/06 and 2007/08. The impact of water expenditure on the State’s credit rating has not been determined at this stage, but is not expected to be significant. Performance Table 21 shows several key indicators of performance for the Melbourne water businesses in 2004/05. 73 IPART determination, p. 146 and p. 133. 2005/06 regulatory asset base $8,311m and $1,040m respectively (p. 70). 74 Sixty per cent gearing has been adopted for the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital by IPART, ESC and ERA. 75 Standard and Poor’s (2004) Victoria (State of), RatingsDirect Australia and New Zealand, 9 August, p. 3 and Standard and Poor’s (2006) Victoria’s ‘AAA’ Rating: A Comparative Study of Financial and Economic Performance. 76 2004/05 Victorian State Government revenue $35,548 million. ABS Catalogue 5512.0, 2004-05 Government Finance Statistics. 77 ABS Catalogue 5512.0, 2004-05 Government Finance Statistics. 55 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Table 21: Melbourne Performance Indicators Performance Indicator Number of water main breaks per 100 km of water main City West Water South East Yarra Valley Melbourne Australian Water Water Water Average1 65.9 22.7 41.4 9.3 29.9 Infrastructure leakage index (real losses / unavoidable real losses) 1.2 1.0 1.4 n.a 1.7 Percentage of water recycled n.a. 17.9% Number of water quality complaints per 1,000 properties 1.3 1.8 Average connect time to operator (seconds) Water quality standard 15 25 2.2% 11.3% 8.2% 6.5 n.a. 4.5 29.8 n.a. 27.6 Safe Drinking Water Act (2003) See below Notes: 1. Weighted average of Australian organisations appearing in WSAAfacts 2005. The number of main breaks appears high for two of the three retail organisations, however, when combined with Melbourne Water, the consolidated result is below the Australian average at 15.6 breaks per 100 km. Melbourne’s leakage performance was better than the Australian average. While City West’s average time to respond to telephone enquiries was well below the Australian average, the other two retailers were little better and slightly worse. In 2004/05 Melbourne Water (which collects 92 per cent of Melbourne’s wastewater) recycled 11.3 per cent of wastewater, considerably higher than the Australian average of 8.2 per cent. Consolidated across the retailers and Melbourne Water, 11.6% is recycled. This would be significantly increased by the Eastern Water Recycling Proposal, which is currently being examined by the State Government, which would supply up to 115 gigalitres per year. The State Government has set a water recycling target of 20 per cent for Melbourne by 2010.78 Melbourne has comparatively few water quality complaints and utilities provide water in accordance with the Victorian Safe Drinking Water Act (2003). All Melbourne providers met their microbiological and physical-chemical water quality compliance requirements. 2.2.3. Key issues The analysis highlights the following key issues with regard to water management in Melbourne. The recently released Central Region Sustainable Water Strategy outlines the potential water shortfalls under a number of climate scenarios, focussing on two in particular – what the Strategy terms a “medium impact” climate change scenario and the more extreme scenario in which streamflows continue at the low levels that have been experienced over the last ten years. 78 Victorian Government, Central Region Sustainable Water Strategy— Draft for Community Comment, p. 55. 56 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies The Victorian Government’s water supply–demand strategy for Melbourne estimates that, under a ’10 year scenario’, Melbourne will face a shortfall of 109 GL by 2015. A number of initiatives have been proposed to be implemented immediately to improve water supplies including accelerated conservation and efficiency programs, local recycling initiatives, reconnection of the Tarago Reservoir and preparation for the Eastern Water Recycling initiative. Melbourne water businesses have no immediate cash constraints. Dividends and tax paid to the State Government amounted to $1.6 billion over the past five years (more than double the return from the Sydney water businesses); however, the organisations remain in a strong financial position and could effectively borrow up to an additional $2.4 billion before reaching the international ‘benchmark’ level of 60 per cent debt to total assets. Melbourne is one of the lowest cost water providers in Australia, potentially due to factors such as the density of development, access to significant surface water sources, and the excellent condition of its catchments (implying a low cost for water treatment). Due to the low prices charged to customers, the Melbourne water businesses also have the lowest full cost recovery rate of any Australian capital city. The dividend and tax payments made by the Melbourne water businesses accounted for only 0.6 per cent of State revenue in 2004/05. The net debt of the four organisations totalled $2.4 billion compared with the negative State net debt position of $11.7 billion. The cost of water supply–demand options for the future, presented in the Victorian Government’s water strategy (demand management, recycling, desalination), appear to be calculated using a different levelised cost methodology than other Australian state or territory. Therefore, results cannot be compared with similar options elsewhere. 57 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies 3. 3.1. QUEENSLAND Institutional and governance arrangements In Queensland, bulk water supply is provided in a number of regions by corporatised entities of the State Government. These major bulk water suppliers include: the South East Queensland Water Corporation Limited (SEQWater); SunWater; Gold Coast Water (GCW); Redlands Water & Waste (RWW); Gladstone Area Water Board (GAWB); and Fitzroy River Water (FRW). SEQWater is the major supplier of untreated water in bulk to local governments and industries in the South East Queensland (SEQ) region, through ownership of Wivenhoe, Somerset and North Pine dams. SEQWater is a public company owned by the Queensland Government (20 per cent), Brisbane City Council (BCC) (45 per cent), and eleven other local governments in SEQ (35 per cent). SEQWater services 18 Local Government Areas (LGAs), including Beaudesert, Boonah, Brisbane, Caboolture, Caloundra, Esk, Gatton, Gold Coast, Ipswich, Kilcoy, Laidley, Logan, Maroochy, Noosa, Pine Rivers, Redcliffe, Redland and Toowoomba. SunWater is a Queensland government-owned corporation. It owns and operates a regional network of water supply infrastructure throughout regional Queensland which supports irrigated agriculture, mining, power generation, industrial and urban development. SunWater's water storage and distribution infrastructure includes 26 major dams, 81 weirs and barrages, 72 major pumping stations and more than 2,500 kilometres of pipelines and open channels. SunWater supplies approximately 40 per cent of the water used commercially in Queensland. Gladstone Area Water Board operates as a commercialised statutory authority with responsibility for water management and bulk supplies. It owns and operates Awoonga Dam on the Boyne River in Calliope Shire along with a network of delivery pipelines, water treatment plants and other bulk water distribution infrastructure in Gladstone City and Calliope Shire in Central Queensland. Fitzroy River Water supplies bulk water to Livingstone and Fitzroy Shires and water and wastewater services to 60,000 Rockhampton residents. It is a commercialised business unit of the Rockhampton City Council. In towns and cities, water is supplied to households and businesses by 125 local governments. Some councils operate standalone water supply systems, while others purchase water from one of the bulk water service providers. Councils typically operate the delivery network and, in many cases, water treatment infrastructure. Some of the larger council operations include: 58 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Brisbane Water, a commercialised business unit of the Brisbane City Council (BCC), provides infrastructure to treat and deliver water purchased from SEQWater; Gold Coast Water is a Directorate of the Gold Coast City Council (GCCC). The northern part of the Gold Coast is supplied by SEQWater while the remainder of the Gold Coast mainly relies on supplies from Hinze Dam and Little Nerang Dam, which are owned by Gold Coast City Council; Redland Water and Waste is a commercial business unit of Redland Shire Council. In Redland, water is sourced from Leslie Harrison Dam on Tingalpa Creek and North Stradbroke Island. The Queensland Government oversees a planning system that is designed to facilitate sufficient supply – through catchment planning, providing allocations of water to consumptive use and environmental requirements. While a number of State agencies share a variety of roles for water policy, planning regulation and management is the responsibility of the Natural Resources, Mines and Water (NRMW). NRMW has the responsibility for establishing Water Resource Plans (WRPs) under the Water Act that broadly allocate water between environmental and consumptive uses. NRMW also has responsibility for the broad regulatory oversight of water service providers in terms of system performance, dam safety, water quality and maintenance of minimum environmental flows. The Environment Protection Agency (EPA) has responsibility for water recycling as well as setting the legislative framework and licensing businesses for water quality. The Department of Local Government and Planning assists councils with their water and sewerage infrastructure, as well as through planning and building requirements, such as water efficiency standards for new housing. While the State Government has broad responsibilities for water resources planning, responsibility for much of the infrastructure planning lies with the actual service providers (e.g. SunWater, SEQWater and Brisbane Water). Storage and major water distribution infrastructure is owned by a mix of SEQWater and local government service providers, while reticulation infrastructure is generally owned by local government infrastructure providers. With regard to water pricing, the Queensland Competition Authority (QCA) oversees the pricing practices of declared government monopolies or simply monitors the prices charged by them when directed by the Ministers. To date, only three investigations have been referred to the QCA: the Burdekin Haughton Water Supply Scheme and two on the Gladstone Area Water Board. The QCA also has responsibility for assessing whether local governments are implementing competition reforms effectively and appropriately and, based on that assessment, providing recommendations on payments to local governments. 3.2. Case study : SEQWater In South East Queensland (SEQ), there has traditionally been a degree of separation of responsibilities for water supply planning, managing bulkwater infrastructure and managing 59 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies the reticulation of services to customers. An overview of this situation is provided in Table 22. Table 22: Overview of operation and ownership in Brisbane and the Gold Coast Brisbane Gold Coast Infrastructure Operators Owners Operators Owners Storage (dams) SEQWater Queensland Government and Local Governments (incl. BCC and GCCC) SEQWater and GCW Queensland Government and Local Governments (incl. BCC and GCCC) Treatment/ transport BW BCC GCW GCCC Reticulation BW BCC GCW GCCC The current drought has exacerbated and highlighted the apparent failings in the coordination of resource and infrastructure planning and the investment in water supply infrastructure in SEQ in the past 12-18 months. In response to this problem, the State Government, in conjunction with local governments is developing a strategy to improve the coordination of water management across the region. This includes the SEQ Regional Water Supply Strategy and the establishment of the Queensland Water Commission. The purpose of the Water Commission is to provide advice to government on achieving water security through supply options and demand management measures; preparing and enforcing operating rules for the water supply system; and facilitating new water infrastructure as directed. Fundamental actions in response to the water shortages in SEQ include the potential establishment of new dams on the Logan/Albert River (42 gigalitres per annum by 2011) and Mary River (up to 150 gigalitres per annum in the longer term). In addition, approximately $330 million has been provided for the Western Corridor Recycling Scheme (WCRS) designed to supply recycled water to industry in the expanding western corridor. Regional institutional and coordination arrangements are rapidly evolving, and changes are occurring on almost a weekly basis. Supply / Demand Balance SEQ is currently experiencing its worst drought in over 100 years. The combined capacity of the dams in the region has fallen below 30 per cent and without significant rainfall is expected to fall even further. Most SEQ local governments are now on level three water restrictions, which ban garden watering with hose pipes or sprinkler systems, with more stringent restrictions likely in coming months. The figure below illustrates current and forecast water levels in the Wivenhoe, and North Pine Dams up to June 2010. The forecast is based on a scenario where inflow into the dams continues at the levels experienced between April 2004 and March 2005. 60 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies The prominent numbers on the chart indicate the implementation of different drought contingency options, some of which we discuss below. If no drought contingency measures are developed and use levels remain constant (blue line), then the Wivenhoe, Somerset and North Pine dams will be almost empty by September 2008. The yellow line depicts the situation with all 13 proposed options implemented (timing shown in Figure 17). The green line is without (number 10) the Western Corridor Recycling Water Scheme. To put further strain on water supplies, SEQ (Brisbane and Gold Coast areas in particular) is also Australia’s fastest growing metropolitan region and this area is predicted to continue to grow strongly from its 2006 population of 2.8 million to a 2026 population of 3.7 million.79 This growth has placed additional strain on existing water supplies and resulted in the adoption of an extensive ‘drought response strategy’ (DRS) in the region. The drought response strategy includes a three-tier approach to reducing water usage including: implementation of water restrictions (i.e., from May 2005); a widespread marketing campaign targeting water savings; and fast tracking, or bringing forward, the implementation of a number of long-term demand management and water saving programs (i.e., subsidy schemes for retro-fit of water efficient appliances, rainwater tanks, home water efficiency audits, leakage reduction programs). The drought response strategy includes the development of additional supplies, including: the Western Corridor Recycling Scheme; Tugun desalinisation plant; and bore water schemes. 79 Department of Local Government, Planning, Sport and Recreation, Planning Information and Forecasting Unit (2003) Queensland's Future Population 2003 Edition, 61 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Figure 17: Forecast of Dam levels Source: http://mp3.news.com.au/bcm/water/water.html Notes: the options are: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. Recommission Lake Manchester (30 ML/d) and Enoggera Reservoir (5 MU/d) Tarong Power Station redirected to Bundooma Dem (volume incl. in 9 below) Regional system pressure reduction end leakage management (3 Stages, each 20 ML/d) WCRWS, recycled water to Swanbank Power Station (20 ML/d) Indoor and non-residential water efficiency (2 Stages, each 10 ML/d) Brisbane Aquifer Project (20 ML/d) Cedar Grove Weir (10 ML/d) Major Source Addition - Gold Coast regional desalination plant (including Southern Regional Water Pipeline) (110 ML/d) WCRWS, recycled water to Tarong and Tarong North Power Stations (75 ML/d) Major Source Addition (treated sewerage from WCRWS, water harvesting or other source opportunity) (110 ML/d) System interconnect on opportunities - Redlands to Brisbane and Sunshine Coast to Caboolture (30 ML/d) Recycled water substitution to industries - Brisbane CC to Trade Coast, Pine Rivers SC, Caboolture SC opportunities (20 ML/d) Major Source Addition (2nd desalination plan, water harvesting or other source opportunity) (120 ML/d) The first stage of the Western Corridor Recycled Water Scheme will provide recycled water to Tarong and Swanbank power stations and local industry. The second stage of the project aims to deliver remaining water supplies to industry and the potential to deliver farmers in the Lockyer Valley. The scheme has the potential to use recycled water as a replacement for up to 110 megalitres per day, or more than 40 gigalitres per annum, of fresh water from the region’s dams. For the areas supplied by SEQWater including Brisbane and the Gold Coast, Level 1 restrictions (which relate to voluntary reduction outdoor use) were introduced in May 2005. Following continuing poor rainfall, level three restrictions are currently in place and if these conditions continue, level four restrictions may be introduced in coming months.80 80 See Q&A on http://www.waterforever.com.au/home/inner.asp?ID=131&pnav=68&onav=68 62 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies 3.3. Case study : Brisbane Water Brisbane Water is a commercialised business unit of the BCC providing water and wastewater services to almost one million consumers. It manages: 49 water reservoirs, three water treatment plants, 93 water pumping stations, 11 wastewater treatment plants and 199 wastewater pumping stations treatment and supply of over 170,000 megalitres per year (ML/yr) of drinking water to Brisbane; treatment of over 115,000 ML/yr of wastewater (including trade waste). Water Use In 2005, Brisbane used on average 417 litres of water per person per day.81 The introduction of Level 3 restrictions in June 2006 resulted in a 27 per cent decline in use82 relative to the pre-drought period. Revenue And Cost Recovery In 2004/05, Brisbane residents were charged $317.50 for 250 kilolitres of water.83 The charge for managing residential wastewater in Brisbane was only marginally higher than the Australian average (Brisbane Water charged a flat annual fee of $347.80). Residential revenue from water services represented 67 per cent of Brisbane Water’s total customer revenue, which is slightly higher than the proportion of water used by residential customers compared with total consumption (commercial, industrial and other nonresidential customers represented 57 per cent of Brisbane’s total water use). A breakdown of revenue sources is shown in Figure 18. 81 Based on ABS Regional Population Growth Cat. No. 3218.0 (population statistics) and SEQWater. 82 Water savings targets (expressed as a percentage of water-use under the BAU scenario) have been set for each water-restriction level. However, these targets (and the actual reductions in water use reported by water suppliers and Governments) relate to the overall reduction in water use. That is, the reductions in water use arising from the combined effect of each of the three main water savings measures outlined above. 83 WSAAfacts 2005. 63 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Figure 18: Brisbane Water - 2004/05 Revenue By Customer Group Brisbane Water Wastew ater nonresidential 18% Water nonresidential 15% Water residential 33% Wastew ater residential 34% Source: Extrapolated from WSAAfacts 2005 Over the past five years, BW’s revenue has been sufficient to recover all cash costs (including operating, capital investment, taxation, interest and dividend payments), as demonstrated by the organisation’s decrease in net debt from $0.47 billion to $0.38 billion over the period.84 An alternative, and more meaningful, measure of cost recovery is the degree to which the organisation’s annual revenue recovers the full annualised cost of providing water services. The full annualised cost includes operating costs, depreciation and a standard industry return on assets. Brisbane Water had the highest annualised cost recovery for water (84 per cent) of any capital city. Annualised cost recovery for all capital cities falls between 68 per cent and 84 per cent. Table 23 shows the cost recovery from Brisbane. Table 23: 2004/05 Brisbane Cost Recovery (Water Only) Brisbane Water Total annual revenue/property1 Total annual cost/property2 Annualised Cost Recovery Average Cost Recovery3 437 522 84% 80% Source: WSAAfacts 2005 Notes: 1. Total revenue per property represents total revenue raised by the organisation (including customer revenue and Community Service Obligation payments from government) divided by the total number of properties. 2. Total cost represents the total annual cost of supply, including operating cost, depreciation and a 6% return on assets. Differs from the Productivity Commission’s measure of cost recovery, which does not include a return on assets. Average for all Australian capital cities reported in WSAAfacts 2005 (Hobart cost per property not reported). Excludes SCA and Melbourne Water to avoid double counting. 3. 84 WSAAfacts 2005. 64 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Expenditure Over the past two years, Brisbane Water’s total expenditure has been around $0.5 billion.85 The organisation has consistently generated a positive result leading to positive tax contributions and dividend payments. Table 24 shows Brisbane Water’s outlays in the form of dividend and taxes over the past five years. Table 24: Brisbane Water Dividends and Taxes 2000/01 to 2004/05 ($ ‘000) 2000/01 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 Brisbane Water Tax equivalent payments 26,148 22,306 17,754 14,312 16,443 Dividends payments 43,455 41,600 33,139 26,712 30,706 Source: WSAAfacts 2005 Constraints To Investment Investment in the water industry can be constrained by the ability to recover costs and financial capacity. In the following, we examine these issues for Brisbane. Brisbane Water is unlike many other Australian water utilities as the prices it charges are not regulated using a building block methodology (i.e., operating cost, depreciation and a return on assets) for calculating total revenue requirements for the business. It is therefore not clear how Brisbane Water will pass on the cost of constructing new water sources or managing demand. There is, however, a range of methods that the cost of the Western Corridor Recycling Water Scheme (WCRWS) could be allocated. For example: apportioning the total costs of the WCRWS across all customers utilising bulk water from the Wivenhoe Somerset North Pine Dams system; apportioning the total costs of the WCRWS across all bulk water supplied in SEQ; or other variations such as the fixed costs of the WCRWS are allocated across all bulk water supplies with only the incremental costs (largely energy, chemicals and membrane replacement) borne by the customers sourcing recycled water from the WCRWS. In terms of financial capacity, Brisbane Water would not appear to be facing any severe financial constraints in its operation. It has a strong balance sheet and steady income stream and hence should be able to meet operating, capital and borrowing repayments in the near future. Further, BCC’s financial capacity during the year of 2005 (and historically) has been sound. In 2005, the value of BCC assets increased by more than $2,400 million. This was the result of the purchase and construction of new assets, and the increase in value of existing assets. BCC had a current asset to current liability ratio of 0.94 in 2005. This is below their target of one, which creates a balance between funds needed and funds available to run the business. BCC also has immediate access to funds of $165 million held in a repay and 85 BCC Annual Report 2004–05, p.128. 65 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies redraw facility. Current assets plus this facility, compared to current liabilities, provides an above target result of 1.51 for 2005. In terms of total assets to total liabilities, BCC had a ratio of 11 in 2005. BCC’s debt servicing and redemption cost measured against total revenue was 8.80% in 2005. This means that less than ten per cent of the amounts raised during the year were used to meet loan repayments required during the year. More than 90 per cent of revenue was available, if needed, to deliver services to the community. Standard and Poor’s has assigned an ‘AA+’ credit rating to BCC. This means BCC’s capacity to meet its financial commitments is sound. Performance Table 25 below shows several key indicators of performance for Brisbane Water in 2004/05. Table 25: Brisbane Water Performance Indicators Performance Indicator Brisbane Number of water main breaks per 100 km of water main Australian Average1 40.0 29.9 Infrastructure leakage index (real losses / unavoidable real losses) 2.5 1.7 Percentage of water recycled 5% 8.2% Number of water quality complaints per 1,000 properties 3.7 4.5 15.6 27.6 Average connect time to operator (seconds) Water quality standard ADWG 1996 See below Source: WSAAfacts 2005 Note: Weighted average of Australian organisations appearing in WSAAfacts 2005. The number of main breaks in Brisbane is higher than the Australian average. In fact, with 40 breaks per 100 kilometres, BW’s performance is better than only 4 of the 18 Australian water utilities reported in WSAAfacts. Brisbane Water’s leakage performance was worse than the Australian average. In 2004/05 Brisbane recycled only five per cent of wastewater compared with the Australian average of 8.2 per cent. This figure should be expected to rise with the implementation of the Wester Corridor Water Recycling Scheme. The average time to respond to telephone enquiries for BW was better than the Australian average. Brisbane Water seeks to meet the 1996 Australian Drinking Water Guidelines. 66 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies 3.4. Case study : Gold Coast Water Gold Coast Water (GCW) is a Directorate of the Gold Coast City Council (GCCC). It provides water and wastewater services through the management of the council's water and wastewater assets. GCW also manages the Hinze Dam and Little Nerang Dam. As noted above, the northern part of the Gold Coast is supplied by SEQWater while the remainder of the Gold Coast mainly relies on supplies from Hinze Dam. Most of the Gold Coast’s water is sourced from the Hinze Dam. As such, we will not repeat the observations made above concerning supply through SEQWater. GCW's services are provided through 2,835 kilometres of water mains, 2,774 kilometres of wastewater infrastructure, two water treatment plants and four wastewater treatment facilities. Preliminary investigations into the Tugun desalination plant on the Gold Coast has recently been approved between the State Government and the GCCC. The program is designed to allow construction and commissioning of the desalination plant to be completed by the end of November 2008, as per local and regional requirements. The plant is expected provide 125 ML/d. Initial investigation suggests the design will cost $100 million.86 In addition to this investigation, the State Government through the Regional Water Supply Strategy, is undertaking an extensive $2 million investigation into desalination as a longer term option for the region. Aside from the Gold Coast proposal, no other regional locations for desalination facilities have been investigated in detail at present. Detailed investigations would be required to confirm the suitability or otherwise of providing desalination facilities and would need to address key issues such as location, environmental impact (power use and brine release), project costs, water pricing and power supply issues. Water Use In 2005, the Gold Coast used around 531 litres on average per person per day. 87 The introduction of level 3 restrictions in June 2006 resulted in a 27% decline in use88 relative to the business as usual case (i.e., average water-use in the pre-drought period). As noted above, in addition to implementing general water restrictions, each Council has pursued other avenues to ensure water savings. In June 2005, the GCCC for example mandated the introduction of rainwater tanks in all new developments throughout the city. These tanks can provide water for toilet flushing, the cold water washing machine tap and for outdoor use. In addition, GCW has progressed with many demand management initiatives. Examples of these include: Waterwise Schools Program; Waterwise Community Program; 86 A final decision regarding the implementation of desalination as an emergency water source will be made at the end of November 2006 to allow for additional investigations to be completed. 87 Based on ABS Regional Population Growth Cat. No. 3218.0 (population statistics) and SEQWater. 88 Water savings targets (expressed as a percentage of water-use under the BAU scenario) have been set for each water-restriction level. However, these targets (and the actual reductions in water use reported by water suppliers and Governments) relate to the overall reduction in water use. That is, the reductions in water use arising from the combined effect of each of the three main water savings measures outlined above. 67 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Gold Coast Home Watersaver Rebate Scheme; and Garden Professionals Water Conservation Training Program. GCW has also implemented a Water Pressure and Leakage Management Program throughout the city. 3.4.1. Financial analysis of water utilities Revenue And Cost Recovery In 2004/05, Gold Coast residents were charged $366.50 for 250 kilolitres of water.89 The charge for managing residential wastewater was 24 per cent higher than the Australian average for the Gold Coast (Gold Coast charged a flat annual fee of $413.20). Residential revenue from water represented 74 per cent of GCW’s total customer revenue, which is slightly higher than the proportion of water used by residential customers compared with total consumption (commercial, industrial and other non-residential customers represented 68 per cent of the Gold Coast’s total water use). A breakdown of revenue sources is shown in Figure 19. Figure 19: Gold Coast Water - 2004/05 Revenue By Customer Group Gold Coast Water Wastew ater nonresidential 15% Water nonresidential 11% Water residential 36% Wastew ater residential 38% Source: Extrapolated from WSAAfacts 2005 Over the past five years, GCW’s revenue has not been sufficient to recover all cash costs (including operating, capital investment, taxation, interest and dividend payments), as demonstrated by the organisation’s slight increase in net debt from $122 million to $140 million over the period.90 Increasing debt is not uncommon in industries with a growing customer base and significant capital expenditure, where investors expect new customers to provide sufficient revenue to service both debt and shareholder requirements over time. 89 WSAAfacts 2005. 90 WSAAfacts 2005. 68 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies An alternative, and more meaningful, measure of cost recovery is the degree to which the organisation’s annual revenue recovers the full annualised cost of providing water services. The full annualised cost includes operating costs, depreciation and a standard industry return on assets. While Brisbane Water had the highest annualised cost recovery for water of any capital city, the figure for the Gold Coast was higher still at 95%. Annualised cost recovery for all capital cities falls between 68% and 84%. Table 26 shows the cost recovery from Gold Cost. Table 26: 2004/05 Gold Coast Cost Recovery (Water Only) Total annual revenue/property1 Total annual cost/property2 Annualised Cost Recovery Average Cost Recovery3 451 476 95% 80% Gold Coast Water Source: WSAAfacts 2005 Notes: 1. Total revenue per property represents total revenue raised by the organisation (including customer revenue and Community Service Obligation payments from government) divided by the total number of properties. 2. Total cost represents the total annual cost of supply, including operating cost, depreciation and a 6 per cent return on assets. Differs from the Productivity Commission’s measure of cost recovery, which does not include a return on assets. Average for all Australian capital cities reported in WSAAfacts 2005 (Hobart cost per property not reported). Excludes SCA and Melbourne Water to avoid double counting. 3. Expenditure GCW had expenses of $200 million in 2004/05.91 It has consistently generated a positive result leading to positive tax contributions and dividend payments. Table 27 shows GCW’s outlays in the form of dividend and taxes over the past five years. Table 27: Gold Coast Water Dividends and Taxes 2000/01 to 2004/05 ($ ‘000) 2000/01 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 Gold Coast Water Tax equivalent payments Dividends payments 62,358 27,872 15,068 21,337 24,076 57,893 63,521 40,993 43,606 Source: WSAAfacts 2005 Constraints To Investment Investment in the water industry can be constrained by the ability to recover costs and financial capacity. In the following, we examine these issues for the Gold Coast. Like Brisbane Water, GCW is not regulated using a using a building block methodology. It is therefore not clear how GCW would pass on the cost of constructing new water sources or managing demand. 91 Gold Coast City Council, Our Annual Report 2004-05, p. 113. 69 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies As noted previously, the Tugun desalination plant on the Gold Coast has recently been approved after the signing of a deal between the State Government and the GCCC. The plant is expected to be completed by the end of November 2008 and provide 125 ML/d. The total cost of this project has been quoted at $580 million. For the year ending June 2005, GCW had accumulated assets worth $1.98 billion and a net result of $76 million.92 Key financial indicators for 2004/05 were: a current assets to current liabilities of 3.6, which measures the ability to meet current liabilities commitments. This indicates that the ability of GCW to meet immediate commitments is very good; a debt ratio (total asset to total liabilities) of ten per cent. This is high very and indicates that reliance on debt is minimal; and debt servicing ratio (interest and redemption measured relative to revenue) of 11 per cent indicating that GCCC’s ability to service its outstanding debt is good. All in all these indicators confirm Standard & Poor’s observations that GCCC: 93 …has a record of solid financial performance, manageable debt burden and a demonstrated ability to adequately deal with the challenges afforded by strong population growth. Accordingly the GCCC has received an ‘AA’ long-term credit rating. Performance Table 28 shows several key indicators of performance for GCW in 2004/05. Table 28: Gold Coast Water Performance Indicators Performance Indicator Gold Coast Australian Average1 18.5 29.9 1.5 1.7 Number of water main breaks per 100 km of water main Infrastructure leakage index (real losses / unavoidable real losses) Percentage of water recycled 14% Number of water quality complaints per 1,000 properties 6.1 Average connect time to operator (seconds) Water quality standard 8.2% 4.5 123 ADWG 1996 27.6 See below Source: WSAAfacts 2005 Note: Weighted average of Australian organisations appearing in WSAAfacts 2005. The number of main breaks in Gold Coast is significantly lower than the Australian average. 92 Gold Coast City Council, Our Annual Report 2004-05, p. 113. 93 Gold Coast City Council, Our Annual Report 2004-05, p. 99. 70 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies GCW’s leakage performance was slightly better than the Australian average. In 2004/05, the Gold Coast recycled 14 per cent of wastewater, well above the Australian average of 8.2 per cent. The average time to respond to telephone enquiries for the Gold Coast suggests there is significant room for improvement with a connection time that is more than four times the average. Gold Coast Water seeks to meet the 1996 Australian Drinking Water Guidelines. 3.5. Key issues The analysis highlights the following key issues with regard to water management in Brisbane and the Gold Coast. With the severe drought conditions facing South-East Queensland, investment in alternative supply infrastructure is inevitable. The Tugun desalination plant and the WCRWS are two options that are being actively pursued in the region and will shape supply and demand management conditions in the future. Nevertheless, even with these additions to supply, it is unlikely that water restrictions will be removed in the short term (even with favourable rainfall). Brisbane Water had the highest annualised cost recovery for water (84 per cent) of any capital city. Annualised cost recovery for all capital cities falls between 68 per cent and 84 per cent. However, annualised cost recovery for the Gold Coast was even higher at 95 per cent. Neither Brisbane Water nor Gold Coast Water appear to be facing any immediate financial constraints. As business units in their respective councils, both organisations remain in a strong financial position. Nevertheless, successful implementation of water restrictions imply a lower water consumption and hence losses in revenue to both Brisbane Water and Gold Coast Water. In addition, there are increased costs of subsidising alternative water collection mechanisms and support programs. Budgetary pressures cannot, therefore, be ruled out. How increased costs in water supply options will be passed on to consumers is unclear. The cost of the WCRWS and Tugun desalination plant indicate that prices paid for water in the Brisbane and Gold Coast region will need to increase substantially in the short- to medium-term in order to recover costs. The proportion of wastewater recycled by Brisbane Water is fairly low compared with other capital cities; however recycling is expected to increase with the implementation of the WCRWS. It is interesting to note that water resource plans for South-East Queensland are yet to be completed given the economic and social importance of this region to the State. This could be due to a number of factors, including growing population and the complex nature of the institutional arrangements and the numerous State and local entities responsible for managing water in the region. 71 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies 4. SOUTH AUSTRALIA 4.1. Institutional and governance arrangements The South Australian Water Corporation (SA Water) is responsible for providing water, wastewater and related services across the State and is a wholly owned business enterprise of the South Australian Government. In 1996, the SA Government awarded a consortium, United Water a 15-year contract to operate and manage the water and wastewater systems in metropolitan Adelaide on behalf of SA Water. SA Water remains the owner of all metropolitan water and wastewater assets. SA Water’s contract with United Water sets strict performance targets for customer service based on response times to water mains bursts and other problems. (See Box 2 for further details.) The Essential Services Commission, at the direction of the Treasurer, may undertake inquiries into government processes for setting SA Water's water and wastewater (sewerage) charges. The results of the most recent first inquiry were released in November 2005. 72 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Box 1: Examples of Existing Private Participation – SA Water United Water International (UWI) In 1994, the South Australian Commission of Audit recommended that the Engineering & Water Supply Department be corporatised and that its Metropolitan Adelaide water and wastewater operations should be contracted out. In 1995, the operation and maintenance of water and wastewater services in the Adelaide metropolitan area (including the delivery of capital works for rehabilitation and augmentation) were outsourced to United Water, a consortium between Vivendi Water, Thames Water and Kinhill under a 15.5 year contract (to end 30 June 2010). The concept of private sector involvement in the provision of water and wastewater services was relatively new to Australia in 1996. The contract is still the largest water outsourcing contract in Australia and remains unique in its current form. The key focus is on the provision of services rather than the development of infrastructure – the aim is to realise significant efficiency gains, performance improvements and risk transfer while retaining ownership and investment control. The cost reduction objective has been met with an estimated 20 per cent saving when compared to SA Water’s historical costs, a saving in excess of $160 million over the life of the contract. As the asset owner, SA Water maintains control of all asset investment decisions for rehabilitation, renewal and infrastructure augmentation. SA Water continues to provide services in rural areas and responsibility for bulk water supply. SA Water remains an informed purchaser and is able to benchmark its country operations. SA Water retains all customer billing services and customer service standards decisions. The contract contains a broad range of 180 discrete performance standards. Financial penalties apply for failure to meet any of these performance standards. All standards are higher than those achieved by SA Water prior to the commencement of the contract. United Water has consistently delivered these performance targets with greater than 99 per cent compliance. United Water has a contracted obligation to develop the South Australian Water Industry. As a result SA Water and United Water played a vital role in establishing the Water Industry Alliance, a collaborative initiative based on 'clustering' as expounded by Doug Henton of the Stanford Research Institute. More than 160 companies are now part of the Alliance. Effectively, the partnership created by the contract is not just with UWI but with all SA Water industry participants. In spite of the intervening Asian economic crisis, export orders for South Australian services and goods have increased from some $20m in 1995 to more than $329m in 2001, $100m in excess of United Water’s contractual target. A major feature of the Adelaide contract has been its ability to provide not only a step change in performance but also continuous improvement. The contract is outcome focused with operational performance being the key criterion upon which success is based. A large proportion of United Water’s remuneration (reimbursables) includes an incentive mechanism whereby additional efficiencies are shared equally between United Water and SA Water. Also, the contract partnership has provided a platform to transfer parent company expertise, in particular in realtime monitoring, to biological nutrient removal pilot plants in the Environment Improvement Program. The contract enables SA Water to focus on the strategic and critical issues of running a business – moving to steering the boat rather than rowing the boat. Source: SA Water 73 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies 4.2. Case study : Adelaide SA Water is a statutory state-owned corporation that provides water, wastewater and stormwater services to a population of around 1.4 million people across the State. 4.2.1. Water availability Water Supply Water for Adelaide is part of an overall water balance for the lower Murray, as illustrated in Figure 20. Figure 20: Illustrative Water Cycle – Adelaide Source: Water Proofing Adelaide (2004), p. 13. 74 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies In contrast to the approach of other Australian major cities that have built storages capable of meeting three to four years’ demand, SA Water does not have large storage reservoirs with the total capacity of the storages in the Mt Lofty Ranges equal to less than a year’s demand. The level of storage is equivalent to that required to reliably service a population of around 30 per cent the size of Adelaide. The water supply security is promoted through extensive pipelines from the River Murray that provides a second water source. Figure 21 highlights the importance of alternative sources between ‘normal’ and drought years. In drought years, Adelaide will draw more from the Murray, but not at the expense of other identified communities. Figure 21: Changing Sources in Drought 250 Annual volume (GL) 200 150 37% 79% 100 56% 65% 56% 50 14% 0 Adelaide Rural Normal year Adelaide Rural Drought year Adelaide Hills catchments River Murray Stormwater / recycled water Groundwater (metro) Groundwater (rural) Rainwater tanks The Murray Darling Basin (MDB) Cap for metropolitan Adelaide and associated country areas is measured on a five-year rolling basis of 650 gigalitres (or an average of 130 gigalitres per annum). Diversions for this area have averaged around 100 gigalitres per annum since 2000/01. The reported usage for the five years to 2004/0594 was: 2004/05 2003/04 2002/03 2001/02 2000/01 94 72 GL 82 GL 165 GL 82 GL 104 GL Murray-Darling Basin Commission (2006)2004/05 Water Audit Monitoring Report , June, p. 32. 75 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Water Supply / Demand Balance While access to two water sources (Mt Lofty Ranges and the Murray) reduces the likelihood of a drought affecting Adelaide, the Water Proofing Adelaide Strategy noted: In 2003 residents faced the first compulsory water restrictions imposed since the construction of the Mannum to Adelaide pipeline in 1955. This came about as a result of reduced rainfall across the Adelaide Hills in 2002, combined with several years of low rainfall across the Murray-Darling Basin, and showed that Adelaide needed to do more to manage its water supplies in a sustainable manner. (p. 14.) Figure 22 illustrates the range of supply levels available for Adelaide across drought and ‘normal’ years against projected demand based on the State’s preferred population growth series.95 Note that the supply figures refer solely to the mains supply. By 2025, this implies a 40 gigalitres shortfall for drought years. Planning in the Water Proofing Adelaide Strategy included a projected 20 gigalitres decline in available water due to climate change. Figure 22: Mains Water Supply and Demand – pre Water Proofing Strategy Source: Water Proofing Adelaide (2004), p. 16. To address the shortfall identified above, South Australia has produced the Water Proofing Adelaide Strategy 2005 – 2025. The strategy has three components: efficient use of existing resources; responsible water use; and developing additional supplies. Table 29 summarises the anticipated gains from the strategy. Across the Adelaide region (including country towns), extra water available for consumptive purposes of 70 gigalitres 95 This includes stronger growth than projected by the ABS preferred series. 76 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies are anticipated in the future. This compares with demand of over 300 gigalitres overall (and over 200 gigalitres for metropolitan Adelaide). Table 29: Anticipated Water Savings Mains water Measures relating to: Responsible water use • Permanent water conservation measures • Reduce indoor household water use • Reduce outdoor household water use (additional to permanent water conservation measures) • Reduce community purposes water use (additional to permanent water conservation measures) • Reduce commercial and industrial water use • Reduce losses from mains water system • Prescription of Western Mount Lofty Ranges – see Environmental flows Sub-total: Additional water supplies and fostering innovation • Large scale stormwater use projects • Rainwater tanks in new homes • Water sensitive urban development in new land divisions • Recycled water Sub total: Totals: Environmental flows • River Murray • Western Mount Lofty Ranges Totals: Annual impacts (ML) UnGroundEnvironallocated water ment water1 0 0 Totals (ML) 11,500 12,000 500 6,500 500 7,000 2,000 1,000 3,000 1,500 500 2,000 1,000 12,000 12,000 1,000 37,000 6,000 4,000 2,500 2,500 11,000 4,000 2,000 2,000 500 7,000 8,500 16,000 33,000 47,000 12,000 11,000 70,000 See note 2 See note 3 10,0004 0 10,000 10,000 Source: Water Proofing Adelaide (2004) pp. 8-9. Notes: 1. Additional water that may become available for as yet unallocated purposes. 2. Additional environmental flow increases for the River Murray do not have a direct bearing on environmental flows within the Adelaide geographic area, and is therefore excluded from the table. 3. Greater regulation of surface water capture by farm dams and groundwater use in the Adelaide Hills will maintain status quo, and is not additional water. Nevertheless, in the absence of greater regulation it is estimated that farm dam capture will reduce surface runoff by a further 7 gigalitres per year by 2025. 4. Prescription of the Western Mount Lofty Ranges is expected to lead to a requirement for environmental flow releases to waterways downstream of reservoirs. An additional 10 gigalitres in ‘average years’ is assumed. The amount ultimately allocated and the timing of releases would be established in a water allocation plan if prescription proceeds. 77 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies These measures will have the effect of removing much of the risk associated with drought through to 2025, as illustrated in Figure 26. There is expected to be only a five gigalitres shortfall between projected drought year supply and projected ‘high’ demand. Figure 26: Demand /Supply Balance Outlook Post Water Proofing Adelaide Strategy Cost Of Options Financial considerations are one element of a complete economic, social and environmental analysis of proposed options for water management. The Water Proofing Adelaide strategy report notes that evaluation of options was based on a multi-criteria analysis. In addition, it anticipates that further work, including cost effectiveness, will be undertaken over time. At the time of the analysis, the costs of alternative options were evaluated. These are aggregated in Table 30. 78 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Table 30 : Cost of Water Supply / Demand Options Option Total Water Supplied / Saved (GL pa) Levelised Cost / Kilolitre ($/kL) up to 25 GL up to 25 $1.10 25 – 40 GL 25 – 40 $1.20 40 – 80 GL 40 – 80 Purchasing water from River Murray Grey water recycling (theoretically up to 50 GL) Large-scale water re-use (possibly stormwater option for customers) competing with $1.30 0.7 $5.00 - $6.00 10 $1.00 - $1.75 Large-scale water supply scheme from Bradfield Qld 10 $6.00 from Clarence R NSW 65 $1.30 from Ord R WA 150 $9.30 from Great Artesian Basin SA 30 $6.60 Management of Adelaide Hills resources better allocations $13m capital + $2m pa New reservoirs in Adelaide Hills Finniss R 9.2 North Para R 3.5 Localised wastewater recycling 60 $1.55 not costed $5.10 – $5.30 Rainwater use for households and industry reflects take-up (if all houses and average 100m2 roof and 4.5 kL storage and use 350 in toilet etc.) 18 $5.60 3 $1.40 7 $5.00 3.5 $2.60 Reducing losses in bulk water supply covering reservoirs (chemical) covering reservoirs (floating cover) replace aqueducts with pipelines Reduce water use in home 18 not shown Saving water outside home 4.6 not shown additional savings restrictions with increased Seawater desalination Stormwater reuse Sustainable water use by agriculture permanent 4 50 10 not shown $2.20 $0.10 – $1.50 not shown Sources: Water Proofing Adelaide – Options Assessed, located at: http://www.waterproofingadelaide.sa.gov.au/main/options.htm , assessed 11 August 2006 79 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies 4.2.2. Financial analysis of water utilities Revenue And Cost Recovery In 2004/05, an Adelaide resident using 250 kilolitres would be charged close to the highest average water price of any Australian capital city ($324.75).96 In addition, the charge for residential wastewater was also well above average at a flat rate of $390.77 – some 17 per cent higher than the Australian average. Non-residential revenue represented 27 per cent of total customer revenue in Adelaide, closely matching the proportion of water used by non-residential customers compared with total consumption (commercial and industrial non-residential customers represented 24 per cent of Adelaide’s total water use). A breakdown of revenue sources is shown in Figure 23. Figure 23 : SA Water for Adelaide - 2004/05 Revenue By Customer Group Wastewater non-residential 14% Wastewater residential 39% Water non-residential 15% Water residential 32% Source: Extrapolated from WSAAfacts 2005. SA Water Corporation (the entire entity) has generated sufficient revenue over the past five years to broadly recover all cash costs (including operating, capital investment, taxation, interest and dividend payments), as demonstrated by the organisation’s relatively stable level of net debt ranging between $1.2b and $1.3b over the period.97 An alternative, and more meaningful, measure of cost recovery is the degree to which the organisation’s annual revenue recovers the full annualised cost of providing water services. The full annualised cost includes operating costs, administration costs, depreciation and a standard industry return on the written down replacement cost of assets.98 SA Water has an 96 WSAAfacts 2005 97 WSAAfacts 2005 98 This method of cost annualisation is often referred to as the Building Block approach and underpins the economic regulation of prices in the water sector. However, price regulation will typically not reflect “full” cost recovery and will use a Regulatory Asset Value rather than the Written Down Replacement Cost of assets. The Building Block method ensures that operating costs are represented in the year they occur and capital investment is represented over time through depreciation and a return on assets. Depreciation and 80 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies annualised full cost recovery for water of 82 per cent, around the average of all capital cities. Annualised cost recovery for all capital cities falls between 68 per cent and 92 per cent. Table 31 shows the cost recovery from Adelaide customers compared with other Australian cities. Table 31: 2004/05 SA Water Cost Recovery (Water Only) SA Water Total annual revenue/property1 Total annual cost/property2 Annualised Cost Recovery Average Cost Recovery3 424 517 82% 80% Source: Adapted from WSAfacts 2005 Notes: 1. Total revenue per property represents total revenue raised by the organisation (including customer revenue and Community Service Obligation payments from government) divided by the total number of properties. 2. Total cost represents the total annual cost of supply, including operating cost, depreciation and a 6 per cent return on assets. See footnote 17 for further information. Differs from the Productivity Commission’s measure of cost recovery, which does not include a return on assets. 3. Average for all Australian capital cities reported in WSAAfacts 2005 (Hobart cost per property not reported). Excludes SCA and Melbourne Water to avoid double counting. Expenditure Over the past five years, cash outflows from the entity SA Water have averaged $1.7 billion per annum. Just over 37 per cent of these outflows were expenditure for operations, while 17 per cent of outflow was used for property, plant and equipment (capital investment). On average, a net $125 million was returned to the State Government each year in the form of: an average $153 million of dividend payments to the State Government (87% of net profit after tax); an average $67 million of tax payments to the State Government; and SA Water received an average of $95 million from the State Government in the form of community service obligation payments (for lower than commercial pricing in the country and for pensioner rebates and other concessions). Table 32 shows SA Water’s total cash outlays over the past five years. return on assets act in a similar manner to a debt repayment schedule, where the depreciation corresponds to an annual principal repayment and the return on assets corresponds to the annual interest payments, however the return on assets reflects a weighted average cost of debt and equity. 81 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Table 32: SA Water Cash Outflows 2000/01 to 2004/05 2000/01 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 Total 5 Years Operations 241.4 283.4 302.0 315.3 241.4 1,361.4 37% Property, plant and equipment 107.4 123.8 174.0 105.1 107.4 611.9 17% Borrowing costs paid 99.0 94.4 88.7 89.0 99.0 469.0 13% Tax equivalent payments 58.0 62.6 72.1 82.6 58.0 335.4 9% 137.2 164.8 164.1 165.2 137.2 766.8 21% 26.0 16.0 13.2 10.9 26.0 95.8 3% Dividends payments Other TOTAL 1,162.3 1,219.8 1,343.9 1,427.0 1,400.3 3,640.3 100% Notes: ‘Other’ includes all recorded gross outflows where proceeds/repayments of loans are treated as one item. Discrepancies may occur due to rounding. Constraints To Investment Investment in the water industry can be constrained in three primary ways: ability to recover costs; organisation’s financial capacity; and the financial capacity of the State Government. Each is examined in turn below. Ability to recover costs: SA Water’s charges are not directly set by the independent economic regulator in South Australia (the Essential Services Commission of South Australia – ESCoSA) but by the Minister for Administrative Services. In examining whether the SA Government has appropriately applied CoAG pricing principles to water and wastewater pricing, ESCoSA has reviewed99 the Treasury’s “Transparency Statement” which sets out the Government’s methodology. It has not undertaken a review of the prices themselves. The Government’s approach seeks to move to “upper bound” prices for metropolitan users by 2008, continue to at least achieve lower bound prices for non-metropolitan but with an intention to move to upper bound where practicable. The prices set in the Treasury’s Transparency Statement, which was approved by ESCoSA, promote economic efficiency and “other matters that contribute to the public benefit, such as equity, social justice, environmental issues and regional development”.100 Financial constraints: SA Water has a strong balance sheet and steady income stream. Interest cover and other indicators of financial capacity indicate no signs of financial distress.101 99 ESCoSA were directed by the Treasurer to undertake the review. 100 Department of Treasury (2005) Transparency Statement Water and Wastewater Prices in Metropolitan and Regional South Australia 2006-07, August, p. 4 82 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies The financial capacity of the State Government: SA Water’s dividend and tax payments are included as revenue in the State budget and therefore impact on State Government financial policy and credit rating. The SA Government achieved a ‘triple A’ domestic credit rating with Standard & Poor’s and Moody’s in 2004.102 Dividends and tax payments from SA Water represent accounted for only 1.4 per cent of total State revenues in 2004/05.103 By contrast, the net debt position of SA Water has a significantly greater impact on the State Government’s net debt level. The organisation had net debt totalling $1.3 billion in 2004/05, compared with the SA State Government net debt of negative $0.6 billion.104 The impact on the State’s credit rating of the proposed capital works to “Water Proof Adelaide” has not been determined at this stage. Performance Table 33 shows several key indicators of performance for SA Water in 2004/05. Table 33: SA Water Performance Indicators Performance Indicator SA Water Aust Average1 Number of water main breaks per 100 km of water main 24.6 29.9 Infrastructure leakage index (real losses / unavoidable real losses) 1.2 1.7 Percentage of water recycled 20.7% 8.2% Number of water quality complaints per 1,000 properties 1.2 4.5 Average connect time to operator (seconds) 20 27.6 Water quality standard ADWG 1996 See below Notes: 1. Weighted average of Australian organisations appearing in WSAAfacts 2005. The number of main breaks in Adelaide is slightly lower than the Australian average. SA Water’s leakage performance is significantly better than the Australian average, as was the number of complaints and the average time to respond to telephone enquiries. In 2004/05 Adelaide recycled 20.7 per cent of wastewater compared with the Australian average of 8.2 per cent. Adelaide’s large-scale water recycling program began in 1999 with the provision of recycled water from Adelaide's Bolivar STP for vegetable growing on the Northern Adelaide Plains. Since that time, two additional stages of the Bolivar plant have been constructed, in addition to recycling works at Port Adelaide, Glenelg and Christies Beach. 101 In 2003/04, debt to equity was 24.4 per cent, interest cover 4.4 times (EBIT/gross interest expense) and current ratio 76.1 per cent. Productivity Commission (2005) Financial Performance of Government Trading Enterprises 1999-00 to 2003-04. 102 SA was upgraded from AA to AA+ in December 1999. 103 2004/05 SA State Government revenue $13,730 million. ABS Catalogue 5512.0, 2004-05 Government Finance Statistics 104 Total public sector net debt: ABS Catalogue 5512.0, 2004-05 Government Finance Statistics. 83 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies As noted, Adelaide has comparatively few water quality complaints and provides water in accordance with the 1996 Australian Drinking Water Guidelines. Most water businesses are still under transition from the 1996 guidelines to the more recent 2004 Australian Drinking Water Guidelines, which focus on a multiple barrier approach to managing water quality. 4.2.3. Key issues The analysis highlights the following key issues with regard to water management in Adelaide. SA Water has substantial drought security owing to the availability of increased extraction from the River Murray in times of drought. Nevertheless, recent drought conditions demonstrate the need for improved water security. The SA Government plans to achieve this through a mixture of demand management, water sensitive urban design, and water recycling (wastewater and stormwater). Adelaide’s water recycling program is the most substantial in Australia, representing almost 21 per cent of total wastewater collected in 2004/05. Importantly, recycled water in Adelaide is mainly used for irrigation rather than substitution of potable water and therefore does not typically improve the supply of water to the city itself. The Water Proofing Adelaide strategy outlines plans to increase water recycling by 16 gigalitres per annum (16 per cent of current wastewater collected105) and develop large-scale stormwater reuse for a further 11 gigalitres per annum by 2025. 105 Proportion will be lower in 2025, based on larger volume collected. 84 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies 5. WESTERN AUSTRALIA 5.1. Institutional and governance arrangements The Water Corporation provides wholesale and retail water services to all Western Australian cities and towns except Bunbury and Busselton. The Water Corporation also provides wastewater collection and disposal, and stormwater services across the entire State. Water services for Bunbury and Busselton are provided by the Aqwest-Bunbury Water Board and the Busselton Water Board respectively. Wastewater services in a number of rural and regional towns are provided by local government. The urban water supply arrangements in Western Australia are summarised in Table 34. Table 34 : Water Service Providers in WA Area Name Services Institutional Structure Western Australia (other than Bunbury and Busselton) Water Corporation Bulkwater, catchment management, treatment, distribution and retail Statutory State owned corporation Bunbury Aqwest-Bunbury Water Board Bulkwater, treatment, distribution and retail Statutory Authority Busselton Busselton Water Board Bulkwater, treatment, distribution and retail Statutory Authority The Department of Water is charged with gathering water resources information, issuing licences, regulating water use, protecting water quality, and preparing water resource policies and plans for Western Australia. The Economic Regulation Authority oversees regulation and licensing and investigates matters referred to it by the State Government (such as the recent review of urban water and wastewater prices). The private sector does not provide water services in WA, but public-private partnerships have been developed for a number of major infrastructure projects, including the Perth Seawater Desalination Plant and the Woodman Point Wastewater Treatment Plant. The Water Corporation also utilises the private sector through alliance contracts for operations and maintenance in Perth. 85 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies 5.2. Case study : Perth In 1996, the Water Authority was reconstituted as the Water Corporation, a state-owned statutory corporation. It was established to provide water, wastewater and stormwater services to a population of around 1.5 million people across the State. The Water Corporation Act (1995) stipulates that the functions of the Water Corporation include: the acquisition, treatment and distribution of water; the collection and disposal of wastewater; the use of the organisation’s expertise and resources to provide consultative, advisory or other services for profit; and the use or exploitation of fixed assets for profit so long as the proper performance of other functions is not affected. 5.2.1. Water availability Water Supply Perth’s potable water is supplied from the Water Corporation’s Integrated Water Supply Scheme (IWSS), which also supplies water to the Goldfields and Agricultural region to the east and to many towns in the South West and Great Southern regions in the south. Under this scheme, water is drawn from a series of interconnected surface water sources (including Canning Dam, Mundaring Weir, Serpentine Dam, North and South Dandalup Dam and Stirling Dam) and ground water sources.106 In fact Perth relies on groundwater to a greater degree than any other capital city. The IWSS draws around 60 per cent of its water from groundwater sources, including the Gnangara and Jandakot mounds. The Water Corporation and the State Government are currently examining the viability and sustainability of drawing water from the vast groundwater resources held in the South West Yarragadee aquifer. Precipitation in Perth is highly seasonal and the majority of rain falls in the winter months with very little during summer. Annual inflows into Perth dams averaged 338 gigalitres from 1911 to 1974. Streamflow levels have reduced substantially since 1975, when flows fell by almost 50 per cent. Since 1997, average annual streamflows have fallen again by a further 30 per cent, reducing inflows to only 114 gigalitres per year. The marked changes in stream inflows that have occurred since 1911 are demonstrated in Figure 24. 106 The following summary of the water supply situation is drawn from Water Corporation publications, Planning for Perth’s water needs and Integrated Water Supply Scheme – Source Development Plan, in addition to information sourced from the Water Corporation website at www.watercorporation.com.au. 86 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Figure 24 : Yearly Streamflows for Major IWSS Surface Water Sources Source: www.watercorporation.com.au It is currently uncertain whether the streamflow sequence of the past eight years represents a long-term reduction in average streamflow, or a short-term departure from the streamflow regime of the last 30 years. It is estimated that long-term continuation of the drier 8-year climate and streamflow regime would reduce the yield of the IWSS by 74 gigalitres per year. Global warming also suggest a trend towards reduced rainfall in South West Australia.107 In recognition of the reduced streamflows, source yields were de-rated in 1996. Between 1993 and 2002, the Water Corporation invested $523 million in source development works to provide for demand growth and the loss in supply capacity, including the construction of the Harvey Dam and connection of Stirling Dam to the IWSS. The winter of 2001 saw the lowest inflow to the metropolitan dams on record, and over the following two years the Water Corporation invested a further $142 million in a rapid response program aimed at further augmenting the supply capacity of the scheme. The IWSS dam levels are currently at 28.5 per cent of their total storage capacity of 678 GL. The Western Australian Government has imposed water restrictions on the metropolitan area since 2001, however the restrictions have been relatively mild (i.e. two day per week) compared with the total sprinkler bans imposed by many other cities. Supply / Demand Balance Perth experiences long periods with little or no rainfall over summer months and therefore water is typically used in the garden at a higher rate than in the eastern States. Water use outside the house has been estimated at 50 per cent of total residential water use in Perth.108 Prior to the introduction of water restrictions in 2001, Perth residents used around 519 litres per person per day, of which 352 litres per person per day was used for residential purposes 107 Indian Ocean Climate Initiative No 2, June 2004. 108 Water Corporation (2003), Domestic Water Use Study, p. 9. 87 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies – around 30 per cent higher than the Australian average. In 2004/05, the fourth year after the introduction of two day per watering week restrictions, residential water use per capita had fallen by 16 per cent to 294 litres per person per day. Other uses for water, including commercial, industrial, municipal and fire fighting, fell by 27 per cent per capita over the same period.109 Perth’s population is expected to grow from 1.5 million people to just over 2 million in 2031.110 For planning purposes, the Water Corporation distinguishes between two future demand scenarios – the ‘155’ demand scenario (demand of 155 kilolitres/person/year), and the ‘170’ demand scenario (i.e., demand of 170 kilolitres/person/year). The ‘155’ scenario assumes that proposed State Water Strategy per capita water-use targets are achieved by 2012. The ‘170’ scenario assumes a demand level that should be achievable with a moderate level of community care and continued media campaigns. Under the 155 demand scenario, with moderate population growth, total water use would rise from 263 gigalitres in 2005 to 360 gigalitres in 2025. Under the 170 demand scenario, water requirements would increase to 390 gigalitres by 2025. Due to the significant uncertainties involved, the Water Corporation has deliberately adopted the eight year climate scenario and the 170 demand scenario as the basis for long-term planning. Based on these assumptions, unconstrained demand for water would already be greater than the current yield of the IWSS. The Water Corporation therefore plans to develop a suite of sources, with the intention of adding 107 gigalitres to the IWSS over the next five years through: the establishment of a seawater desalination plant at Kwinana that will provide 45 gigalitres. This plant – known as the Perth Seawater Desalination Plant (or Desalination No. 1) – is planned for completion in October 2006; purchasing 17 gigalitres from Harvey Water – the result of efficiencies gained from piping irrigation water in the region. This water is expected to be available by October 2007; and the development of the South West Yarragadee Groundwater Aquifer to provide 45 gigalitres of water for use in the Scheme by December 2009. If the demand management targets identified in the State Water Strategy are successful, further water sources will not be required until at least 2017/18 (as shown in Figure 25). The Water Corporation is also pursuing catchment management operations at Wungong Dam (i.e., thinning of catchment vegetation to allow increased run-off) and is investigating a potentially major Aquifer Storage and Recovery project. 109 For the years 2000/01 and 2004/05. Source: WSAAfacts 2005. Other water use also includes mains flushing, water taken by contractors and meter errors. 110 Western Australian Planning Commission (2005) Western Australia Tomorrow. 88 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Figure 25: Water Supply / Demand Balance over time IWSS Demand and Supply (GL/year) If the Corporation is successful in securing a 17 GL water trade, and the 45 GL South West Yarragadee (or Desalination No 2) source, this will restore the IWSS supply/demand balance until 2017/18 Additional 137 GL of source capacity required to restore supply/demand balance out to 2049/50 Year ending June Source: Water Corporation Integrated Water Supply Scheme Source Development Plan 2005. After 2017/18 the most likely source development options include: a second desalination plant (if it has not already been constructed in lieu of the South West Yarragadee groundwater source); increased catchment management (i.e., thinning of vegetation to improve run-off); the development of a major groundwater scheme at Eglinton (north of Perth); the development of a pump-back scheme at Wellington Dam in the South West; further water trading; and increased water recycling. The Water Corporation has planned on the basis of needing a total sprinkler ban in only 0.5 per cent of years (or 1 in 200 years), which is significantly less frequent than planning for other Australian cities. Cost Of Options Financial considerations are one element of a complete economic, social and environmental analysis of proposed options for water management. Table 35 provides information on the costs of various options examined in the Waster Corporation’s Source Development Plan. 89 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Table 35 : Cost of Water Supply / Demand Options Total Water Supplied (GL Levelised Cost / Kilolitre pa) ($/kL) 30 yr1 8 yr1 Low2 High2 High level of confidence Irrigation Efficiency - Stage 1: Waroona and Harvey 18 17 0.50 0.75 South West Yarragadee groundwater Seawater Desalination No 2 45 45 45 45 0.73 1.05+ 3 0.89 1.25+ 3 Catchment thinning: Wungong Trial Yanchep groundwater 6 11 5 9 0.25 0.55 0.25 0.70 Eglinton groundwater Wellington Dam: Pump-back Irrigation Efficiency - Stage 2: Collie 17 15 19 15 12 16 0.56 0.70 1.06 0.69 0.92 1.50 Catchment thinning: Other catchments Gnangara groundwater 34 20 31 15 0.22 0.20 0.22 0.20 Wellington Dam: Desalination Brunswick River Gingin groundwater 45 30 30 45 25 20 0.60 0.67 1.16 0.60 0.98 2.00 Medium Level of Confidence Low level of confidence Very Low Confidence Water from the Kimberley 2004 6.704 Source: Water Corporation, Integrated Water Supply Scheme Source Development Plan 2005 Notes: 1. Water supply from many water sources will be higher under the “30 year” inflow scenario (i.e., assuming the average inflows over the last 30 years continue) compared with the “8 year scenario” (assuming the relatively drier period of the last eight years continues). 2. Based on capital and operating costs provided in Integrated Water Supply Scheme Source Development Plan 2005. Low estimate assumes 30-year inflow scenario and asset life of 100 years. High estimate assumes 8-year inflow scenario and asset life of 25 years. 3. Does not include the cost of bulk water transfer into the IWSS. 4. Department of the Premier and Cabinet WA (2006), Options for bringing water to Perth from the Kimberley The Water Corporation has plans to implement the South West Yarragadee groundwater scheme / Desalination No. 2, water trading from irrigation efficiencies, catchment management and Aquifer Storage and Recovery (costs for ASR are still under investigation). Table 35 indicates that several other projects, including Eglinton groundwater, Yanchep groundwater, and Wellington Dam desalination may be significantly less expensive than the South West Yarragadee groundwater or Desalination No. 2. In addition, Gnangara groundwater appears the least expensive of any of the other available options. The Water Corporation has rated these alternative options as ‘Medium’ or ‘Low’ levels of confidence and has indicated that Eglinton groundwater is a likely source that will be developed from 20017/18 onward. A comprehensive review of options should examine the risk associated with each project in addition to the economic, social and environmental consequences. The Water Corporation has indicated that certain water sources have a high, medium, low or very low confidence of proceeding. It is unclear on what basis the Corporation has made these distinctions. 90 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies 5.2.2. Financial analysis of water utilities Revenue and Cost Recovery In 2004/05, the average residential water price (for 250 kilolitres) in Perth was 5 per cent below the average for all Australian capital cities ($279 for 250 kilolitres).111 In contrast, the residential wastewater charge was 24 per cent above the Australian average ($443 on average, actual charge based on property value). Non-residential revenue represented 36 per cent of Water Corporation’s total customer revenue. A breakdown of revenue sources is shown in Figure 30. Figure 30: Water Corporation - 2004/05 Revenue By Customer Group Wastew ater nonresidential 21% Water nonresidential 15% Water residential 27% Wastew ater residential 37% Source: Extrapolated from WSAAfacts 2005 Water Corporation’s revenue over the last five years has been insufficient to recover all cash costs (including operating, capital investment, taxation, interest and dividend payments), as demonstrated by the increase in net debt from $0.6 billion to $1.1 billion over the period.112 An alternative, and more meaningful, measure of cost recovery is the degree to which the organisation’s annual revenue recovers the full annualised cost of providing water services. The full annualised cost includes operating costs, depreciation and a standard industry return on the written down replacement cost of assets.113 In 2004/05, Water Corporation recovered 74 per cent of full annualised costs. Table 36 shows the full cost recovery from Perth customers compared with the average of other Australian cities. 111 WSAAfacts 2005. 112 WSAAfacts 2005. 113 This method of cost annualisation is often referred to as the Building Block approach and underpins the economic regulation of prices in the water sector. However, price regulation will typically not reflect “full” cost recovery and will use a Regulatory Asset Value rather than the Written Down Replacement Cost of assets. The Building Block method ensures that operating costs are represented in the year they occur and capital investment is represented over time through depreciation and a return on assets. Depreciation and return on assets act in a similar manner to a debt repayment schedule, where the depreciation corresponds to an annual principal repayment and the return on assets corresponds to the annual interest payments, however the return on assets reflects a weighted average cost of debt and equity. 91 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Table 36: 2004/05 Perth (Water Corporation) Cost Recovery - Water Only Perth (Water Corporation) Total annual revenue/property1 Total annual cost/property2 Annualised Full Cost Recovery3 Ave Australian Cost Recovery4 410 554 74% 80% Source: Adapted from WSAAfacts 2005 Notes: 1. Total revenue per property represents total revenue raised by the organisation (including customer revenue and Community Service Obligation payments from government) divided by the total number of properties. 2. Total cost represents the total annual cost of supply, including operating cost, depreciation and a 6 per cent return on assets. See footnote 17 for further information. Differs from the Productivity Commission’s measure of cost recovery, which does not include a return on assets. 3. Prior to water restrictions the Water Corporation’s cost recovery was 85 per cent (2000/01). 4. Average for all Australian capital cities reported in WSAAfacts 2005 (Hobart cost per property not reported). Expenditure Over the past five years, cash outflows from the Water Corporation have averaged $1.2 billion per annum. The Water Corporation’s capital expenditure has been particularly high. Water Corporation’s capital expenditure averaged $393 million per year over the last five years – 40 per cent more than the four Melbourne businesses combined and only 19 per cent less than Sydney Water and Sydney Catchment Authority combined. Annual capital expenditure is expected to grow even further over the next ten years to an average of $620 million per year, predominantly due to the increasing expenditure required to maintain the water and wastewater supply-demand balance.114 On average, a net $167 million was returned to the State Government each year since 2000/01 in the form of: an average $287 million of dividend payments to the State Government (representing a reported dividend payout ratio of 78 per cent of net profit after tax115); an average $137 million of tax payments to the State Government116; and the Water Corporation received an average of $256 million from the State Government for Community Service Obligations. Water Corporation’s Community Service Obligation payments are the highest in the country, reflecting the large payment from the State Government to compensate the Water Corporation for the operation of noncommercial country schemes. The CSO payment for country losses is unique to Western Australia and represents the difference between actual revenue received and the revenue required to generate a specified rate of return.117 114 Economic Regulation Authority (2005), Final Report on the Inquiry on Urban Water and Wastewater Pricing 115 Based on dividend payout ratios for 2000/01 to 20045/05 reported in WSAAfacts 2005. 116 Water Corporation makes “tax equivalent payments” to the State Government. Tax equivalent payments are similar to the tax payments made by the private sector, but are paid to the State rather than the Commonwealth Government. 117 The specified rate of return is 4 per cent for all assets constructed prior to 1996 and 6 per cent for all assets constructed thereafter. 92 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Table 37 shows Water Corporation’s total cash outlays over the past five years. Table 37 : Water Corporation Cash Outflows 2000/01 to 2004/05 2000/01 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 Operations Total 5 Years 322 326 375 369 412 1,803 29% 486 343 353 446 337 1,965 32% 50 66 69 56 61 301 5% Tax equivalent payments 108 134 144 141 157 685 11% Dividends payments 327 264 249 286 307 1,433 23% - - - - 9 9 0% 1,293 1,132 1,190 1,299 1,282 6,196 100% Property, equipment plant and Borrowing costs paid Other TOTAL Note: Discrepancies may occur due to rounding Constraints To Investment Investment in the water industry can be constrained in three primary ways: ability to recover costs; organisation’s financial capacity; and the financial capacity of the State or Territory Governments. Each is examined in turn below. Ability to recover costs: Prices for water are determined by the State Government. The Economic Regulation Authority (ERA) may review water prices at the State Government’s discretion. For the recent review of urban water prices, the ERA recommended a building block methodology (i.e., operating, maintenance and administration costs, depreciation, return on assets and adjustments for tax) for calculating the total revenue requirements for the business. The State Government is not bound by the ERA’s recommendations, however, if they are applied then Water Corporation will be able to pass on the efficient cost of constructing new water sources or managing demand. The current price review by the ERA recommends increasing prices by 0.7 per cent above inflation per year until 2014/15 for water and 0.8 per cent below inflation per year until 2009/10 for wastewater. These price increases include an allowance for the cost of new water sources scheduled over the next ten years. The Water Corporation has estimated the cost of the Perth Seawater Desalination Plant (Desalination No 1) will add approximately 13.5 per cent to the average water bill.118 Financial constraints: Water Corporation has a strong balance sheet and steady income stream. Interest cover and other indicators of financial capacity indicate no signs of financial 118 Economic Regulation Authority (2005), Final Report on the Inquiry on Urban Water and Wastewater Pricing, p. 93. The price path proposed by the ERA smooths the increase required for the desalination plant over time. 93 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies distress.119 The Economic Regulation Authority assessment states that it considers the overall financial viability of the water businesses when reviewing prices, however the ERA’s final report does not include a review of the Water Corporation’s financial indicators. Over the past five years, Water Corporation has taken on an additional $500 million in debt. Over the period, $837 million has been required to meet net returns to the State Government (i.e., dividends plus tax payments less community service obligation payments). The Water Corporation’s large capital program (over $6 billion between 2005/06 and 2014/15) is expected to significantly increase borrowing levels – high-level estimates suggest that around half of the program may need to be funded through borrowing if the current dividend payout ratio is maintained.120 Some of the program will be funded through annual revenue. However, net debt levels are currently very low at only 10 per cent of the total regulatory asset value. The business could afford to borrow a further $5.3 billion before reaching the “benchmark” gearing level of 60 per cent.121 State Government’s financial capacity: Water Corporation’s dividend and tax payments are included as revenue in the budget and therefore impact State Government financial policy and credit rating. The WA Government currently holds a ‘triple A’ domestic credit rating with Standard & Poor’s rating agency.122 The net dividend and tax payments from Water Corporation accounted for only 3.2 per cent of general State Government revenue in 2004/05.123 By contrast, the net debt position of the Water Corporation has a significantly greater impact on the State Government’s net debt level. The Water Corporation had net debt totalling $1.1 billion in 2004/05, which represented 26 per cent of the net debt reported by the WA State Government ($4.0 billion).124 With more than $600 million per year of capital expenditure, Water Corporation’s net debt is likely to continue to increase in coming years. The impact on the State’s credit rating has not been determined at this stage. Performance Table 38 shows several key indicators of performance for Water Corporation in 2004/05. 119 In 2003/04, debt to total assets was 13 per cent interest cover 11.8 times (EBIT/gross interest expense) and current ratio 29.8 per cent. Productivity Commission (2005) Financial Performance of Government Trading Enterprises 1999-00 to 2003-04. 120 Over the past five years, net debt has increased by $0.5 billion, while the capital program was around $2 billion, suggesting a capacity for existing revenues to fund $1.5 billion over 5 years or $3 billion over ten years. Price increases over time will reduce the need for borrowing to some extent. 121 60 per cent gearing has been adopted for the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital by IPART, ESC and ERA. 122 www.standardandpoors.com 123 2004/05 WA State Government revenue $14,224 million. Table 19, ABS Catalogue 5512.0, 2004-05 Government Finance Statistics. 124 Table 27, ABS Catalogue 5512.0, 2004-05 Government Finance Statistics. 94 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Table 38 : Water Corporation Performance Indicators Performance Indicator Value Aust Average1 Number of water main breaks per 100 km of water main 13.8 29.9 Infrastructure leakage index (real losses / unavoidable real losses) 1.6 1.7 Percentage of water recycled 3.6% 8.2% Number of water quality complaints per 1,000 properties 17.3 4.5 21 27.6 ADWG 1996 See below Average connect time to operator (seconds) Water quality standard Note: 1. Weighted average of Australian organisations appearing in WSAAfacts 2005 The number of main breaks in Perth in 2004/05 was significantly lower than the Australian average, as was the average time to respond to telephone enquiries. The leakage performance was around the Australian average. In 2004/05 Perth recycled only 3.6 per cent of wastewater compared with the Australian average of 8.2 per cent. The Water Corporation is examining a number of wastewater reuse options including industrial reuse and aquifer storage and recovery in order to achieve the State Water Strategy target of 20 per cent reuse state-wide by 2012.125 Water Corporation has a very high number of water quality complaints – almost three times higher than Yarra Valley Water, the second highest of the capital cities. It has been suggested that the blending of water sources (and therefore the difference in water quality from suburb to suburb) might contribute to the high number of complaints. In a recent submission to the ERA, the Water Corporation noted: While every opportunity is sought to provide affordable improvements in aesthetic water quality, other critical programs such as dam safety, water source development and compliance with health guidelines have taken priority in the Corporation’s budgeting process for the next five years.126 The Water Corporation also submitted that customer surveys indicated that willingness to pay for improvements to aesthetic water quality was low compared with the cost. ERA considered that additional work, using more reliable valuation methods, should be carried out to assess customers' willingness to pay for improvements in service standards such as aesthetic water quality. The Water Corporation provides water in accordance with the 1996 Australian Drinking Water Guidelines. More recent drinking water guidelines were released in 2004, focusing on a multiple barrier approach to managing water quality. Most Australian water businesses are still under transition from the 1996 guidelines to these new arrangements. Water Corporation met its microbiological water quality compliance requirements, however in 2004/05 it did not have a quality approved system in place. 125 Water Corporation, Integrated Water Supply Scheme Source Development Plan 2005. 126 Quote from Water Corporation submission. Economic Regulation Authority (2005), Final Report on the Inquiry on Urban Water and Wastewater Pricing, p. 57. 95 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies 5.2.3. Key issues The analysis highlights the following key issues with regard to water management in Perth. Annual inflows into Perth dams have fallen dramatically over the past 30 years. In 1975, stream flows underwent a major step change and fell to almost half their previous level. Since 1997, average stream inflows have fallen by a further 30 per cent. Water Corporation has deliberately adopted conservative planning assumptions for longterm planning, including stream flows based on the average of the last eight years (rather than the conventional approach of planning based on the last 30–100 years) and 170 kilolitre per person per day demand (i.e. the upper bound of per capita demand assumptions). The Water Corporation’s Integrated Water Supply Scheme does not have sufficient sustainable yield to meet current demand if water restrictions were lifted. The Water Corporation intends to redress the supply–demand imbalance through a series of measures under its ‘Security Through Diversity’ approach, including the construction of the Perth Seawater Desalination (due for completion in October 2006), capture of irrigation efficiencies through water trading, and the investigation and development of the South West Yarragadee groundwater source. The Water Corporation is also pursuing other options such as recycling, demand management, and catchment management. In recent years, the Water Corporation’s capital program has cost more than the program of all four Melbourne businesses combined. Between 2005/06 and 2014/15 the annual capital program is expected to rise even more, increasing from an average of $393 million per year to around $620 million per year. Water Corporation has no immediate cash constraints; however the large capital program over coming years is expected to increase debt levels significantly. Dividends and tax paid to the State Government amounted to $2.1 billion over the past five years; however, the organisation remains in a strong financial position and could effectively borrow up to $5.3 billion before reaching the international ‘benchmark’ level of 60 per cent debt to total assets. The dividend and tax payments made by Water Corporation to the WA Government accounted for 3.2 per cent of general State revenue in 2004/05. However, the net debt of the organisation accounted for almost 26 per cent of the State’s net debt. Over coming years, net debt is projected to grow significantly with the Water Corporation’s large capital program. The proportion of wastewater recycled in Perth is very low (only 3.6 per cent) compared with other capital cities in Australia. A number of wastewater reuse options are being examined in order to achieve the State Water Strategy target of 20 per cent reuse statewide by 2012. Water Corporation has a very high number of water quality complaints compared with other capital cities. Complaints are almost three times higher than Yarra Valley Water, the organisation with the second highest rating. Water Corporation has noted that other programs, such as dam safety, water source development, and compliance with health guidelines, have taken priority in the Corporation’s budgeting process for the next five years. Water Corporation has also indicated that customers’ willingness to pay for aesthetic water improvements is low compared with the cost of implementing the required changes. 96 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Prior to water restrictions in 2001, the Water Corporation had a full cost recovery rate of approximately 85 per cent. Due to increasing costs and lower water sales, cost recovery fell to 74 per cent in 2004/05. 97 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies 6. TASMANIA 6.1. Institutional and governance arrangements Under the Water Management Act 1999 (“WM Act”) the Minister has responsibility for managing water resources and allocations from waterways. Water plans are prepared at the Minister’s discretion and are drafted by the Department of Primary Industries, Water and the Environment (DPIWE). Plans are binding on regional entities, councils and government agencies. Water entities are appointed to administer water districts under the rules and conditions set out in the water management plan. They are empowered to manage works to provide services to landowners as required. Water supply districts, irrigation districts, hydro-electric districts, river works districts and drainage districts are established under the Act. Water is primarily delivered by major irrigation schemes, Hydro Tasmania (which manages an extensive network of modified lakes, rivers, streams and canals) and three regional water authorities: Esk, Cradle Coast and Hobart, which have responsibility for delivering bulk water to participating councils. These councils are responsible for delivering water to their constituents. In addition, smaller councils are responsible for water and, of these, almost all are also responsible for wastewater services. 6.2. Case study: Hobart In 1997, eight local Hobart Councils jointly established Hobart Water. Hobart Water127 services Hobart and all the councils in the greater region and its first objective is to provide bulk water to its district at a reasonable price and minimum quality. Its other objectives are to: operate efficiently in accordance with sound commercial practice; maximise the net worth of the authority’s assets; and produce sustainable returns to members.” Hobart Water primarily provides water to the councils but may also supply premises directly where they lie close to its infrastructure and to off-peak irrigation and commercial customers. 6.2.1. Water availability Water Supply Hobart Water’s water supply system comprises water treatment, eight storage dams, pumping stations and pipelines holding a capacity of 11 gigalitres. Hobart Water has a target 127 This summary derives primarily from Government Prices Oversight Commission (2004) Investigation into the Pricing Policies Hobart Regional Water Authority, Esk Water Authority Cradle Coast Water – Final Report, July. 98 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies of mountain/river sourced water of 40:60 to promote security of supply. Water is primarily sourced from the River Derwent catchment (approximately 60 per cent of annual supply), Mount Wellington catchment (20 per cent) and Mount Field National Park (20 per cent) (see Table 39). The Water Development Plan for Tasmania (DPIWE 2001) states that Hobart Water’s total water allocation from all sources is 78 gigalitres. 128 Table 39 : Sources of Supply for Hobart, 2003-04 to 2004-05 (ML) 2003-04 2004-05 22,836 21,378 7,342 8,593 484 448 Lake Fenton 7,416 6,174 Southern Regional Supply 3,313 4,086 41,394 40,679 Derwent Water Supply Mount Wellington (Hobart) Mount Wellington (Glenorchy) Total Source: Hobart Water (2005) Annual Report 2004/05, p. 8. In contrast to the approach of most other Australian capital cities, Hobart Water does not have large storage reservoirs with the total capacity of the storages less than one-third of annual demand. Supply / Demand Balance Hobart primarily supplies bulk water to its owner councils and it has also developed an off-peak market for irrigation and commercial users (off peak users would typically receive water during winter only). Hobart has not been subject to as severe restrictions as other cities on the mainland. Prior to 2003, it was noted by the Infrastructure and Resource Information Service that the regional water supplier had excess capacity. Despite this, individual councils imposed restrictions but these were not extended in later years. Although it has been discontinued in other capital cities, the Hobart Councils continue to charge for residential water use on the basis of property value. Metering for water use is therefore not required and is virtually non-existent. As residents are not metered, many demand management options will be unavailable to Hobart Councils, including signalling the cost of water usage through volumetric charges or providing residents with information about their water use relative to other households. 128 DPIWE (2001) Water Development Plan for Tasmania, p. 53. 99 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies 6.2.2. Financial analysis of water utilities Revenue And Cost Recovery Hobart Water supplies bulk water to councils and does not supply water directly to residents. In Hobart City, water charges are collected by the local council and based on property value with an excess usage charge. Hobart Water Corporation (the entire entity) has generated more than sufficient revenue over the past five years to recover all cash costs (including operating, capital investment, taxation, interest and dividend payments), as demonstrated by the organisation’s reduction in its net debt level.129 An alternative, and more meaningful, measure of cost recovery is the degree to which the organisation’s annual revenue recovers the full annualised cost of providing water services. The full annualised cost includes operating and maintenance costs, administration costs, depreciation and a standard industry return on the written down replacement cost of assets.130 Hobart Water has an annualised full cost recovery for water of 89 per cent, which is above the average for Australian capital cities. Annualised cost recovery for all capital cities falls between 68 per cent and 92 per cent. Table 40 shows the cost recovery from Hobart customers. Table 40: 2004/05 Hobart Water Cost Recovery (Water Only) Hobart Water Notes: 1. 2. 3. Total annual revenue/property1 Total annual cost/property2 Annualised Cost Recovery Average Cost Recovery3 278 312 89% 80% Total revenue per property represents total revenue raised by the organisation (including customer revenue and Community Service Obligation payments from government) divided by the total number of properties. Total cost represents the total annual cost of supply, including operating cost, depreciation and a 6 per cent return on assets. See footnote 17 for further information. Differs from the Productivity Commission’s measure of cost recovery, which does not include a return on assets. Average for all Australian capital cities reported in WSAAfacts 2005 (Hobart cost per property not reported). Excludes SCA and Melbourne Water to avoid double counting. Expenditure Over the past five years, cash outflows from Hobart Water have averaged $22.5 million per annum. Around 57 per cent of these outflows were expenditure for operations, including payments to the State Government which are likely to represent slightly fewer than 129 WSAAfacts 2005 130 This method of cost annualisation is often referred to as the Building Block approach and underpins the economic regulation of prices in the water sector. However, price regulation will typically not reflect “full” cost recovery and will use a Regulatory Asset Value rather than the Written Down Replacement Cost of assets. The Building Block method ensures that operating costs are represented in the year they occur and capital investment is represented over time through depreciation and a return on assets. Depreciation and return on assets act in a similar manner to a debt repayment schedule, where the depreciation corresponds to an annual principal repayment and the return on assets corresponds to the annual interest payments, however the return on assets reflects a weighted average cost of debt and equity. 100 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies 5 per cent, while 21 per cent of outflow was used for property, plant and equipment (capital investment). Member councils received average dividends of $2.5 million per year. Table 41 shows Hobart Water’s total cash outlays over the past five years. Table 41 : Hobart Water Cash Outflows 2000/01 to 2004/05 2000/01 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 Operations Total 5 Years 10.63 10.42 11.98 12.18 12.18 57.39 51% Property, plant and equipment 4.79 3.99 6.26 2.91 3.03 20.98 19% Borrowing costs paid 2.58 4.00 4.84 4.64 4.10 20.15 18% Tax equivalent payments 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0% Dividends payments 2.50 2.40 2.10 3.00 2.80 12.80 11% Other 1.10 0.00 0.00 12.18 12.18 1.10 1% TOTAL 21.61 20.81 25.18 22.73 22.10 112.42 100% Notes: ‘Other’ includes all recorded gross outflows where proceeds/repayments of loans are treated as one item. For most recent years, there is no indication of taxation payments. For all years Hobart Water made payments of just over $1 million per annum to State Government in the form of ‘Water Commission Rights’. These are included in ‘Payments to Suppliers and Employees’. Note, discrepancies may occur due to rounding. Constraints To Investment Investment in the water industry can be constrained in three primary ways: ability to recover costs; organisation’s financial capacity; and the financial capacity of the State Government. Each is examined in turn below. Ability to recover costs: Hobart Water’s charges are set by the Minister assisting the Premier on Local Government who sets maximum bulk prices. Hobart Water notes that its charges are below these maximums. Real prices have increased by 3 per cent each year from 2002/03 to 2004/05, but in 2005/06, there was no real increase. In reviewing charges for the three regional water authorities, the Government Prices Oversight Commission (GPOC) provides minimum and maximum revenue targets to meet the principles set by CoAG. The Commission observed that the recorded revenues for 2001/02 to 2003/04 fell below its Minimum Target Revenue.131 It stated: This reflects the acceptance by the authorities of a rate of return not only lower than the commercial risk adjusted rate but also below the recommended target rate of 4.5 per cent. It should be noted that the actual WACC [Weighted 131 GPOC (2004), p. 59. 101 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Average Cost of Capital] used for the minimum target revenue was a combined rate of 4.5 per cent on pre-1998 assets and 7 per cent on post-1998 assets, the values of which are relatively small. Financial constraints: Hobart Water has a strong balance sheet and steady income stream. One of its objectives is to maintain a commercial capital structure consistent with a Standard and Poor’s credit rating of BBB+ to A–. It seeks to maintain an interest coverage ratio (one of the key indicators of financial viability) of 1.8 to 2.2. Over the past three years, this coverage has increased from 2.6 to 3.0.132 The financial capacity of the State Government: Hobart Water pays a “Water Commission Rights” charge to the State Government, however, the payments represented only around $1m each year, accounting for only 0.02 per cent of total State revenues in 2004/05.133 The average dividend payment of $2.56 million from Hobart Water in 2004/05134 represented 1 per cent or less of the total revenue to the council owners of Hobart Water. Performance As Hobart Water is a bulk water supplier, it does not report similar performance statistics to most other members of WSAA. Nor does it recycle wastewater. It operates in accordance with the most recent 2004 Australian Drinking Water Guidelines, which focus on a multiple barrier approach to managing water quality. 6.2.3. Key issues The analysis highlights the following key issues with regard to water management in Hobart. Hobart has not been subjected to severe restrictions such as those imposed on mainland cities. Prior to 2003, it was noted by the Infrastructure and Resource Information Service that the regional water supplier had excess capacity. Despite this, individual councils imposed restrictions in 2003, but these were not extended in later years. Hobart Councils continue to charge for residential water use on the basis of property value. Metering for water use is therefore virtually non-existent. Hobart Water does not appear to be contemplating any major water source upgrades. In contrast to the approach of most other capital cities with storages capable of meeting three to four years’ demand, Hobart Water does not have large storage reservoirs—the total capacity of the storages is less than one-third of annual demand. The dividends paid by Hobart Water represent one per cent or less of total revenue for the council’s that jointly own Hobart Water. 132 Using the Productivity Commission’s measures for consistency, in 2003–04, debt to equity was 24.4 per cent, interest cover 1.8 times (EBIT/gross interest expense) and current ratio 80.2 per cent. Productivity Commission, Financial Performance of Government Trading Enterprises 1999–00 to 2003–04. 133 2004–05 Tasmanian State Government revenue $5,288 million. ABS Catalogue 5512.0, 2004-05 Government Finance Statistics 134 Total revenue across all local governments in Tasmania was $593m in 2004–05, ABS Catalogue 5512.0, 2004–05 Government Finance Statistics 102 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies 7. AUSTRALIAN CAPITAL TERRITORY 7.1. Institutional and governance arrangements ACTEW is wholly owned by the Australian Capital Territory Government and acts as a holding company that directly and indirectly supplies water and wastewater services to the Australian Capital Territory and partly to the region. As a holding company ACTEW has limited resources and requires external parties to deliver gas, electricity and water and wastewater services. In 2000 a joint venture was developed between ACTEW and a private business Australian Gas Light (AGL) to form ActewAGL. This joint venture is an equal partnership between both partners and provides a range of services in the energy sector and also includes the provision of water and wastewater services to the Australian Capital Territory and the region. The joint venture for operating and maintaining the water supply and wastewater network was previously arranged under a Contactor Alliance Agreement with ACTEW. This agreement placed the majority of risk for the water business and funding on ACTEW. A new Utilities Management Agreement (UMA) replaced this previous agreement, redistributing the risk and rewards between both parties. The contract term for the UMA, effective from 1 July 2004, is for four regulatory periods, i.e., between 16 to 20 years. Under this new agreement ACTEW remains the regulated entity and continues to own and invest in the network and hold key operating licences. ACTEW also continues to own the water and wastewater customer relationship and receive regulated revenue from the business. ActewAGL manages, operates and maintains the water and wastewater business according to a schedule of services which include capital works and major maintenance programs. The water business managed by this joint venture consists of two separate operations, water and wastewater services. These operations involve: water - retailing and distribution of water including billing, sales, planning, design and maintenance of the network which reticulates water from water treatment plants to customers, and the collection and treatment of bulk water supplies; and. wastewater - management of billing, sales, planning, design and maintenance of the network which reticulates sewage from customer installations to sewage treatment plants and treatment of sewage, grease and oil disposals, to the required environmental standards. Incorporated into the UMA for the initial regulatory period of four years is an incentive for ActewAGL to operate efficiently and generate earnings. Furthermore, the payments include a margin amount, which is subject to a number of key performance indicators. ACTEW is charged with complying with obligations set out in the Utility Services Licence issued by the Independent Competition and Regulatory Commission (ICRC) under the Utilities Act 2000. ACTEW provides an annual report to the ICRC on its obligations under the licence and other reporting requirements of the Act. ACTEW is also subject to 103 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies environmental regulations in respect of its operations of the Lower Molonglo Water Quality Control Centre and to discharges from Googong Water Treatment Plant. 7.2. Case study: Australian Capital Territory 7.2.1. Water availability Water Supply The ACT draws its water supply from two separate catchment systems. the Cotter River catchment. Wholly within the ACT, the Cotter River catchment was the first to be developed and is part of the Namadgi National Park; and the Googong system, which was developed on the Queanbeyan River in NSW. Canberra’s water supply system is illustrated in Figure 26. Figure 26: Canberra’s Water Supply System Source: ACTEW (2005) Future Water Options for the ACT Region- Implementation Plan: A Recommended Strategy to Increase the ACT's Water Supply, April. 104 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Figure 27 shows the combined volume of water (as a percentage of the full volumes) stored in the Bendora, Corin and Googong dams. Figure 27: Combined Dam Volumes in 2005/2006 Source: http://www.actewagl.com.au/default.aspx?loc=/water/damCapacity.htm [accessed 16 August 2006] Supply / Demand Balance The ACT is currently experiencing prolonged drought conditions and dam levels continue to fall. Mandatory water restrictions have been in place in the ACT since December 2002. Following an improved water situation during 2005 Stage 2 water restrictions were no longer warranted and ACTEW introduced interim Permanent Water Conservation Measures (PWCM) over the 2005-06 summer period. Support for this interim measure from the Canberra community was favourable and it was introduced as a permanent measure in the ACT in March 2006. The scheme is set out in Table 42. 105 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Table 42 : Water Conservation Measures Limitation on use Private gardens and lawns (other than at commercial nurseries, market gardens or by turf-growing businesses) Sprinkler and other irrigation systems can be used to water lawns and plants only between 6pm and 9am on any day from 1 September to 31 May (inclusive). A hand-held hose fitted with a trigger nozzle, a bucket or a watering can may be used at any time. At all times gardens and lawns may only be watered without causing pooling or runoff. Lawns and plants at parks, sports amenities, golf courses and public gardens Sprinkler and other irrigation systems can be used only between 6pm and 9am on any day from 1 September to 31 May (inclusive). A hand-held hose fitted with a trigger nozzle, a bucket or a watering can may be used at any time. At all times lawns and plants may only be watered without causing pooling or runoff. Paved areas A bucket and mop or high-pressure low-volume cleaner can be used to clean paved areas at any time. Otherwise, water must not be used to clean paved areas unless cleaning is necessary as a result of accident, fire, health hazard or other emergency. Vehicles If not washed at a commercial car wash, any vehicle should be washed on a lawn or other porous surface wherever practicable and then may only be washed by using: (i) a bucket or watering can; (ii) a high-pressure low-volume cleaner; or (iii) a hand-held hose fitted with a trigger nozzle. Boat motors may be flushed or rinsed after use. Windows and buildings Windows may be washed or gutters cleaned at any time. Other parts of a building may be washed at any time by using a bucket and mop/brush or a high-pressure lowvolume cleaner, unless cleaning is necessary as a result of accident, fire, health hazard or other emergency. Construction and related activities Water can only be used for dust or other pollutant suppression by means of a hose fitted with a flow cut-off device or a vehicle fitted with sprinklers. Unless impractical, water may only otherwise be used by means of a hose fitted with a flow cut-off device. Wherever practicable non-potable water should be used. Source: Permanent Water Conservation Measures scheme PWCM falls within a range of programs intended to improve water efficiency in the ACT. In April 2004, the ACT Government released: Think water, act water - a strategy for sustainable water resources management. The strategy defined actions to achieve sustainability objectives for water use in the ACT out to 2050, including to: increase the efficiency of water use (including a target for a reduction in per capita consumption of mains water of 12 per cent by 2013 and 25 per cent by 2023); and provide a long-term reliable source of water for the ACT and region. 106 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Cost Of Options As part of the development of the Think water, act water strategy, ACTEW produced an evaluation report in April 2004: Options for the next ACT water source, which identified nearly 30 possible options for a long-term reliable water source for the ACT. It concluded that three options were suitable for more detailed assessment: 1. building a new dam on the Cotter River, just downstream of, and thus effectively enlarging, the existing Cotter Dam; 2. building a new dam on the Gudgenby River near Mount Tennent, south of Tharwa; and 3. transferring water from Tantangara Dam in New South Wales to the ACT. For each of the future water options, alternatives have been assessed on environmental, social and economical aspects to determine the optimum proposal. The alternatives have involved different sizes of storages, and different ways of treating and transferring water. The report also included the Angle Crossing Option (formerly known as the Virtual Tennent Option), whereby water allocated from the Gudgenby River is pumped from the Murrumbidgee River to the existing Googong Reservoir instead of building a new storage, and allowing Tantangara water to flow to the ACT along the Murrumbidgee River. The cost of the three options where analysed in the report, Future Water Options for the ACT Region- Implementation Plan: A Recommended Strategy to Increase the ACT's Water Supply and are summarised in Table 43. 107 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Table 43: Future Water Options for the ACT Region- Implementation Plan Cost for enlarged Cotter reservoir to 45 GL are: $98 million for the dam; $3.5 million for land clearing/site preparation; $1.5 million for pipelines; $14.9 million for the pump station; and $0.8 million for other infrastructure. Cost for enlarged Cotter reservoir to 78 GL are $120 million. Catchment remediation will be in addition to these costs. Cotter Assuming that treatment is at Tennent, costs for the three dam sizes are estimated to be as follows, exclusive of operating costs: small 43 GL $185 million medium 76 GL $204 million large 159 GL $250 million A decision to pipe the water to Stromlo water treatment plant would result in a saving of $12 million for each of the above alternatives. The preferred Virtual Dam alternative involving a weir near Angle Crossing with water being pumped to Burra Creek and thence to Googong Dam has been costed at $35 to $40 million, exclusive of operating costs. Tennant Tantangara Angle Crossing Source: Water rights purchase, storage fees, and hydro generation opportunity costs apply to the Tantangara Option. These costs include the following: Water purchase – a one-off capital cost of approximately $20M-30 million for 20 GL (high security entitlements) that pays for the “right” to use this water; and Hydro electricity compensation paid to Snowy Hydro – an annual operating cost of $4.6 -$5.9 million. Transfer system capital costs between $35 million and $ 120 million. Capital cost $35 - $40 million ACTEW (2005) Future Water Options for the ACT Region- Implementation Plan: A Recommended Strategy to Increase the ACT's Water Supply, April. The report, Future Water Options for the ACT Region- Implementation Plan: A Recommended Strategy to Increase the ACT's Water Supply, outlines the strengths and weaknesses of the various options for additional water storage. Six key assumptions underpin ACTEW's report: climate change and variability, bushfire impacts, population growth, required environmental flows, the frequency of water restrictions and achieving the Government's water efficiency targets. The report recommended the implementation of the option to pump water from the Murrumbidgee River near Angle Crossing to Googong Reservoir (the Angle Crossing option) commence immediately. Based on the original assumptions in the report, the Angle Crossing Option would have meant that the ACT would have a reliable water supply until around 2023, without the need for long periods of water restrictions. However, in a press statement issued in February 2006, the ACT’s Chief Minister, announced that Angle Crossing option was no longer required immediately because the recent Cotter-Googong Bulk Transfer program was “poised to play a bigger-than-anticipated 108 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies part in securing Canberra’s water supply”. The bulk transfer scheme pumps water from the Cotter reservoirs, which tend to overflow in the wetter seasons into the Googong reservoir. Conservative estimates indicate that the bulk transfer scheme could transfer up to 12 gigalitres a year to Googong (about 20 per cent of the ACT’s average annual consumption). ACTEW has indicated that it may be able to extract Murrumbidgee water at the Cotter pumping station, using existing infrastructure, without the need to build new infrastructure to pump water from Angle Crossing in the short to medium term. In the longer term, the Future Water Options for the ACT Region- Implementation Plan: A Recommended Strategy to Increase the ACT's Water Supply recommended that the remaining options of an enlarged Cotter Dam to 78 gigalitres, a small 43 gigalitres or a large 159 gigalitres Tennent Dam and transferring water from Tantangara Dam down the Murrumbidgee River into the ACT be retained as future viable options. ACTEW conducts annual reviews of the Territory’s water supply planning. In a recent report from June 2006 ACTEW concluded that no significant changes had taken place to impact on ACTEW’s recommendations on future water supply. 7.2.2. Financial analysis of water utilities Revenue And Cost Recovery In 2004/05, Canberra residents were charged $276.50 for 250 kilolitres of water, which is below the average price paid Australian capital cities.135 The charge for managing residential wastewater was 5 per cent higher than the Australian average (ACTEW charged a flat annual fee of $375.32). Residential revenue represented 76 per cent of ACTEW’s total water revenue, significantly more than the proportion of water used by residential customers (residential use represented around 59 per cent of the total water use136). A breakdown of revenue sources is shown in Figure 28. 135 WSAAfacts 2005 136 WSAAfacts 2005 109 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Figure 28: ACTEW - 2004/05 Revenue By Customer Group Wastew ater nonresidential 15% Wastew ater residential 36% Water nonresidential 19% Water residential 30% Source: Extrapolated from WSAAfacts 2005. ACTEW has generated sufficient revenue over the past five years to broadly recover all cash costs (including operating, capital investment, taxation, interest and dividend payments), as demonstrated by the organisation’s relatively stable level of net debt ranging between $1.2 billion and $1.3 billion over the period.137 An alternative, and more meaningful, measure of cost recovery is the degree to which the organisation’s annual revenue recovers the full annualised cost of providing water services. The full annualised cost includes operating and maintenance costs, administration costs, depreciation and a standard industry return on the written down replacement cost of assets.138 ACTEW has an annualised full cost recovery for water of 80 per cent, exactly equal to the average of all capital cities. Annualised cost recovery for all capital cities falls between 68 per cent and 92 per cent. Table 44 shows the cost recovery from ACTEW customers compared with other Australian cities. 137 WSAAfacts 2005 138 This method of cost annualisation is often referred to as the Building Block approach and underpins the economic regulation of prices in the water sector. However, price regulation will typically not reflect “full” cost recovery and will use a Regulatory Asset Value rather than the Written Down Replacement Cost of assets. The Building Block method ensures that operating costs are represented in the year they occur and capital investment is represented over time through depreciation and a return on assets. Depreciation and return on assets act in a similar manner to a debt repayment schedule, where the depreciation corresponds to an annual principal repayment and the return on assets corresponds to the annual interest payments, however the return on assets reflects a weighted average cost of debt and equity. 110 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Table 44 : 2004/05 ACTEW Cost Recovery (Water Only) ACTEW Total annual revenue/property1 Total annual cost/property2 Annualised Cost Recovery Average Cost Recovery3 482 601 80% 80% Source: Adapted from WSAAfacts 2005 Notes: 1. 2. 3. Total revenue per property represents total revenue raised by the organisation (including customer revenue and Community Service Obligation payments from government) divided by the total number of properties. Total cost represents the total annual cost of supply, including operating cost, depreciation and a 6 per cent return on assets. See footnote 17 for further information. Differs from the Productivity Commission’s measure of cost recovery, which does not include a return on assets. Average for all Australian capital cities reported in WSAAfacts 2005 (Hobart cost per property not reported). Excludes SCA and Melbourne Water to avoid double counting. Expenditure Over the past two years,139 cash outflows from ACTEW have averaged $214 million per annum. 36 per cent of these outflows were expenditure for operations, while 21 per cent of outflow was used for property, plant and equipment. During the past two years dividends and tax equivalent payments returned to the ACT Government have amounted to around $108 million. Table 45 shows ACTEW’s total cash outlays over the past two years. Table 45 : ACTEW Cash Outflows 2000/01 to 2004/05 Total 2 Years 2003/04 2004/05 Operations 74.6 80.9 155.50 36% Property, plant and equipment 37.1 53.8 90.90 21% Borrowing costs paid (1) 32.3 32.3 64.60 15% Tax equivalent payments 12.6 14 26.60 6% Dividends payments (2) 9.7 71.5 81.20 19% Other (3) 5.7 3.2 8.90 2% TOTAL 172 255.7 427.7 100% Source: ACTEW Annual Accounts 2004/05 Notes: 1. 2. 3. 139 Includes repayment of borrowings. ACTEW Corporation’s 2004/05 dividend policy is an 80 per cent interim and 20 per cent final dividend payment of profit from ordinary activities after income tax expense. The 80 per cent interim dividend payment is based on estimated profit since this is not confirmed until after 30 June 2005. This payment is made to ACT Treasury at the end of June of the current financial year and the interim payment in October of the following financial year. The interim and final dividends for 2003–04 were postponed to 2004–05 to assist the financing of the new Stromlo and expanded Googong water treatment plants. Payment for investments. Longer time series was not available. 111 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Following the joint venture arrangement forming ActewAGL, a $119 million capital repatriation was made by ACTEW to the ACT Government. This was in addition to a total of $400 million repatriated in 1998 and 2000 collectively. Over the past few years, ACTEW has increased expenditure as a result of catchment remediation, fire damage recovery and other major projects in response to the 2003 bushfires.140 In addition, expenditure related to the management of water restrictions has increased. ACTEW has generally maintained and increased the level of dividend seen in the years before the joint venture. Constraints To Investment Investment in the water industry can be constrained in three primary ways: the ability to recover costs; the organisation’s financial capacity; and the financial capacity of the Territory Government. Each is examined in turn below. Ability to recover costs: The Independent Competition and Regulatory Commission are responsible for determining the tariffs that ACTEW applies for the provision of water and wastewater services in the ACT. In order to determine these charges, ICRC undertakes an inquiry into ACTEW’s water and wastewater business on a regular basis, typically once every four or five years. In simple terms, the ICRC regulates the pricing of the services provided by ACTEW by determining the efficient and prudent cost of providing the services and calculating water and wastewater tariffs to cover these costs.141 Each inquiry results in the determination of a price path to apply for the length of the subsequent review period. The most recent review determined a price path to apply for the four years from 1 July 2004 to 30 June 2008. Built into these price paths are annual price resets which adjust tariffs annually to allow for inflation, efficiency gains, and changes in other aspects of the operation of the network that have been foreshadowed in the price path determination. These annual price resets also allow the opportunity to adjust tariffs to take account of unforeseen events, such as droughts or unexpected capital construction activity. The current price path allows average revenue per customer to grow annually by the increase in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) plus 2.5 per cent for water customers and CPI plus 1 per cent for wastewater customers. 140 A bushfire, which started in the summer of 2002–03 in the water supply catchment was unable to be contained and reached the ACT urban areas on 18 January 2003, destroying more than 500 homes and damaging water infrastructure. The bushfire burnt most of the water catchment of the Cotter River. With the ground denuded of vegetation, the runoff from the Cotter catchment was compromised and vulnerable to long-term (50 to 80 years) water quality problems after storm events. 141 That is, the building-block methodology, where tariffs are calculated to recover the efficient costs incurred in operating and maintaining the water and wastewater network as well as granting a return on the value of capital stock and depreciation of this capital stock. 112 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Financial constraints: Despite some challenging financial years as a result of costs associated with the 2003 Canberra bushfires, drought and a return of capital to the ACT Government, ACTEW’s financial position has remained strong since the beginning of the joint venture and has continued to make contributions to the Territory’s revenue. The financial capacity of the Territory Government: The ACT Government has a ‘triple A’ credit rating with Standard & Poor’s, signalling an extremely strong capacity to meet its financial commitments. Performance Table 46 shows several key indicators of performance for ACTEW in 2004/05. Table 46 : ACTEW Performance Indicators Performance Indicator Value Australian Average1 Number of water main breaks per 100 km of water main 18.5 29.9 Infrastructure leakage index (real losses / unavoidable real losses) 1.5 1.7 Percent of water recycled 14% 8.2% Number of water quality complaints per 1,000 properties 6.1 4.5 Average connect time to operator (seconds) 123 27.6 ADWG 1996 See below Water quality standard Notes: 1. Simple average of Australian organisations appearing in WSAAfacts 2005. ACTEW performs above average on number of main breaks, leakage and water recycling, while performance is below average for average time to respond to telephone enquiries and complaints. ACTEW provides water in accordance with the 1996 Australian Drinking Water Guidelines. 7.2.3. Key issues The analysis highlights the following key issues with regard to water management in ACT: Significant effort is devoted to understanding and forecasting water supply requirements in the ACT region. This is illustrated by ACTEW’s annual review of the Territory’s water supply planning. Major augmentation of water supply is not on the immediate horizon. The recently constructed Cotter–Googong Bulk Transfer program and ACTEW’s ability to extract Murrumbidgee water at the Cotter pumping station, using existing infrastructure, may reduce the need for new infrastructure in the short- to medium-term. If the Angle Crossing Option is constructed, the ACT should have a reliable water supply until at least 2023. ACTEW has no immediate cash constraints even with the extra expenditure needed to deal with the impact of fires on water catchments and water quality and the ACT Government remains in a strong financial position. 113 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies 8. NORTHERN TERRITORY142 8.1. Institutional and governance arrangements Water services in the Northern Territory are provided by the Power and Water Corporation (PAWC), a government-owned corporation. PAWC was corporatised in 2002 and operates under the Power and Water Corporation Act 2002. PAWC is an integrated utility company providing with major services including: electricity generation, distribution and retail; water storage provision, potable water distribution and reticulation; and electricity, water and sewerage service provision in 80 remote Aboriginal communities under a CSO arrangement. Under its Act, the functions of PAWC in relation to water and sewerage are: to acquire, store, treat, distribute, market and otherwise supply water for any purpose; to collect, store, treat, market and dispose of wastewater; and to undertake, maintain and operate any works, system, facilities, apparatus or equipment required to meet service requirements. In the NT, most towns rely on groundwater. Darwin and Katherine are the exceptions and use a combination of groundwater and surface water supplies. Limited water treatment is required and in most cases supplies are only disinfected prior to use. In the NT an independent industry regulator, the Utilities Commission oversees the provision of water services by the PAWC. The Commission is responsible for the promotion and safeguard of competition and fair and efficient market conduct or, in the absence of a competitive market, the simulation of competitive market conduct and the prevention of the misuse of monopoly power. On 1 January 2001, the Commission was assigned a regulatory role in the water and sewerage industries with the passage of the Water Supply and Sewerage Services Act 2000. 8.2. Case study : Darwin 8.2.1. Water availability Water Supply The Darwin River Dam, provides up to 90 per cent of Darwin's water supply. Other water supplies come from Manton Dam, about 65 kilometres south of the city, and bores in the 142 Analysis of the current situation in the Northern Territory is largely based on information sourced from the NT government website and Power and Water Corporation Annual Reports. 114 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies McMinns area, about 30.5 kilometres south of the city. A map of the water supply system is provided in Figure 29. Figure 29: Darwin Water Supply Map Source: http://www.nt.gov.au/powerwater/aboutus/darwin_river_dam.htm PAWC has a closed catchment and reservoir policy for Darwin River Dam and recreational access to the catchment area and the Dam is prohibited. The prevention approach rather than treatment approach is adopted for managing this system and this has enabled PAWC to avoid the capital cost of around $40 million for a conventional water treatment plant for Darwin River Dam and lower operating costs. The Darwin River Dam has a capacity of 265 GL. Storage levels rarely drop below 50 per cent during the dry season and typically increase to around 100 per cent over the wet season (Figure 30). The dam is situated so that water flows by gravity to the pumping station and is pumped to storage tanks in the Darwin area. 115 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Figure 30: Darwin River Dam Storage Source: http://www.nt.gov.au/powerwater/aboutus/darwin_river_dam.htm Although the capacity of the Darwin River Dam would appear to meet medium population growth projections143, PAWC has indicated that they are investigating raising the Darwin River Dam to cater for future population growth.144 Darwin residents use twice as much water on average as other Australian capital cities, however, the greatest demand for additional water comes from new developments, such as a gas and fertiliser plant. Provision of these services is critical to attracting major investments and it is proposed to provide these services under fully commercial arrangements (including infrastructure augmentations). Water Use Efficiency And Reuse Initiatives Despite the fact storage levels remain high and are replenished regularly in the wet season in the north of the Territory, PAWC has an active water use efficiency education program. This is particularly the case for the southern parts of the Territory where town water is supplied from bores. In some areas, such as Alice Springs, the use of these bores is limited by recharge. In 2003, PAWC commenced a $9.4 million water reuse project in Alice Springs. The project will use dry weather overflows from the Alice Springs waste stabilisation ponds, and recycle the effluent water for reuse. There are also wastewater and aquifer recharge projects being trialled at Uluru, partly funded by the Australian Government Water Fund.145 143 According to NT Treasury, population growth in the Territory gained momentum in 2005, with Northern. Further out, population growth is expected to remain strong at 1.5 per cent in the year to December 2006. For the remainder of the decade, population growth is forecast to average around 1.2 per cent. Beyond 2007, prediction is difficult due to uncertainty surrounding the likelihood of future major employment-creating projects, which will be the major determinant of net migration to the Territory. 144 PAWC press release, Darwin River Dam Hits Full Capacity, 6 April, 2006. Available at: http://www.nt.gov.au/powerwater/news/media_releases/2006/0704_darwin_river_dam_hits_full_capacity.ht m 145 Information on this and other projects in the NT are available at: http://www.nwc.gov.au/ 116 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies 8.2.2. Financial analysis of water utilities Revenue And Cost Recovery In 2004/05, Darwin residents were charged close to the lowest average water price of any Australian capital city ($272.24 for 250 kilolitres).146 In addition, the charge for residential wastewater was also below average at a flat rate of $322.06. Residential revenue represented 50 per cent of PAWC’s total water revenue, significantly more than the proportion of water used by residential customers (residential use represented 30 per cent of the total water supplied by Power Water147). A breakdown of revenue sources is shown in Figure 31. Figure 31: PAWC - 2004/05 Revenue By Customer Group Wastew ater nonresidential 11% Water nonresidential 32% Wastew ater residential 25% Water residential 32% Source: Extrapolated from WSAAfacts 2005. PAWC’s (the entire entity’s) revenue over the last three years has been insufficient to recover all cash costs (including operating, capital investment, taxation, interest and dividend payments), as demonstrated by the organisation’s increase in net debt from $56 million to $89 million over the period.148 An alternative, and more meaningful, measure of cost recovery is the degree to which the organisation’s annual revenue recovers the full annualised cost of providing services. The full annualised cost includes operating and maintenance costs, administration costs, depreciation and a standard industry return on the written down replacement cost of assets. PAWC has an annualised full cost recovery for water of 80 per cent, the average of all capital cities. Annualised cost recovery for all capital cities falls between 68 per cent and 92 per cent. Table 47 shows the cost recovery from PAWC customers. Total annual revenue per property and total annual cost per property is the highest in Australia. 146 WSAAfacts 2005 147 WSAAfacts 2005 148 WSAAfacts 2005 117 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies Table 47: 2004/05 PAWC Cost Recovery (Water Only) Total annual revenue/property1 Total annual cost/property2 Annualised Cost Recovery Average Cost Recovery3 689 863 80% 80% PAWC Source: Adapted from WSAAfacts 2005 Notes: 1. 2. 3. Total revenue per property represents total revenue raised by the organisation (including customer revenue and Community Service Obligation payments from government) divided by the total number of properties. Total cost represents the total annual cost of supply, including operating cost, depreciation and a 6 per cent return on assets. See footnote 17 for further information. Differs from the Productivity Commission’s measure of cost recovery, which does not include a return on assets. Average for all Australian capital cities reported in WSAAfacts 2005 (Hobart cost per property not reported). Excludes SCA and Melbourne Water to avoid double counting. Expenditure Over the past five years, cash outflows from the entity PAWC have averaged $476 million per annum. Just less than 70 per cent of these outflows was expenditure for operations, while 14 per cent of outflow was used for property, plant and equipment. During the past two years dividends of around $20 million have been returned to the NT Government. Table 48 shows PAWC’s total cash outlays over the past five years. Table 48: PAWC Water Cash Outflows 2000/01 to 2004/05 2000/01 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 Total 5 Years Operations 343.5 318.5 351.0 363.8 375.7 1,409.0 69% Property, plant and equipment 40.2 48.4 50.0 75.0 79.0 292.6 14% Borrowing costs paid1 35.7 36.8 45.2 46.1 47.6 211.4 10% Tax equivalent payments - 0.5 - - 27.0 27.5 1% Dividends payments 23.8 8.6 9.2 20.0 20.0 81.6 4% Other2 - 2.0 4.1 7.1 1.3 14.5 1% TOTAL 443.2 414.8 459.5 512.0 550.6 2,036.6 100% Source: Various Annual Accounts of PAWC Notes: 1. Includes repayment of borrowings. 2. Payments for development expenditure. Constraints To Investment Investment in the water industry can be constrained in three primary ways: ability to recover costs; organisation’s financial capacity; and 118 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies the financial capacity of the NT Government. Each is examined in turn below. Ability to recover costs: PAWC tariffs are determined annually by the NT Government, with regulatory oversight by the Utilities Commission. PAWC’s most recent annual accounts show unaudited costs and revenue for water supply and sewerage services based on guidelines from CoAG Strategic Framework for Water Reform. These show that the revenue generated by providing services (in all regions of service) cover the expenses related to Operations, Maintenance, Administration, Debt Servicing and Asset Consumption. Financial constraints: PAWC has a strong balance sheet and steady income stream. Financial indicators of financial capacity indicate no signs of financial distress.149 The financial capacity of the NT Government: PAWC’s dividend and tax payments are included as revenue in the NT Government Budget and therefore impact Territory financial policy. As at 30 June 2005, NT Treasury Corporation’s total outstanding debt was $1,947 million. The Corporation is rated Aa2 by Moody's Investors Service. The Corporation's credit rating has a 'stable' rating outlook based on the ongoing support by the Australian Government policies designed to improve the Territory's fiscal and debt position. Performance Table 49 shows several key indicators of performance for PAWC in 2004/05. Table 49: PAWC Performance Indicators Performance Indicator Number of water main breaks per 100 km of water main Value Australian Average1 44.3 29.9 Infrastructure leakage index (real losses / unavoidable real losses) 5.8 1.7 Percentage of water recycled 4.1% 8.2% Number of water quality complaints per 1,000 properties 2.7 4.5 Average connect time to operator (seconds) n.a. 27.6 Water quality standard ADWG 1996 See below Notes: 1. Weighted average of Australian organisations appearing in WSAAfacts 2005. In terms of number of main breaks, leakage performance and water recycling, PAWC underperforms compared with the Australian average, however, with regard to the number of quality complaints PAWC performs above average. 149 In 2003/04, debt to equity was 52.1 per cent, interest cover 2.6 times (EBIT/gross interest expense) and current ratio 133.1 per cent. Productivity Commission, Financial Performance of Government Trading Enterprises 1999-00 to 2003-04. 119 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet Securing Australia’s Urban Water Supply: Selected case studies 8.2.3. Key issues The analysis highlights the following key issues with regard to water management in the Northern Territory. Contrary to many other capital cities, there are no immediate water supply problems in the Darwin region. Climate conditions appear to be favourable, allowing dams to be filled. Storage levels in the Darwin River Dam reached 100 per cent in April 2006. Nevertheless, PAWC indicated they are investigating raising the Darwin River Dam to cater for future population growth and industrial demand. Despite high storage levels, PAWC has an active water efficiency education program. This is necessary because of the less water-rich southern parts of the Northern Territory, where town water is supplied from bores. In some of these areas, such as Alice Springs, the bores have a limited recharge. There do not appear to be any financial constraints to investment. There would appear to the room for improvements in water infrastructure to improve operational performance and minimise water main breaks and leakage. — || — 120 RESEARCH NOTES, 20 November 2006