TERM OF REFERENCE National Firm on risk and vulnerability Mapping Duty Station: Agricultural Projects Management Board (APMB) under Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development (MARD), No 16 Thuy Khue St, Ha Noi, Viet Nam; Report: National Project Director in APMB, MARD; Duration of Appointment: in 2014-2015, expected starting date is Quarter III/2014; Working Conditions: Lump-sum; Recruitment method: Consulting Firm; Country of Assignment: Viet Nam. 1) BACKGROUND Introduction to Project In recent years, the Government of Vietnam has devoted much attention to climate change and its potential impacts, as well as undertaking specific actions to adapt to climate change and mitigate its impacts . Specifically, the Government has issued the National Target Program for Climate Change Adaptation (02/12/2008) and the National Action Plan on Climate Change 2012-2020 (10/05/2012). With the support of several multi-lateral organizations (e.g. UNDP, the World Bank (WB) and others), ministries and other relevant agencies have been researching, analyzing and assessing the expected impacts and effects of climate change on Vietnam. Whilst attention has often focussed on areas affected by sea level rise, mountain areas, particularly in the north of the country, have so far received little attention. 1 The United Nations Programme (UNDP), in collaboration with the Asian Development Bank (ADB), is supporting the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development (MARD) in Vietnam in implementation of the project named “Promoting Climate Resilient Infrastructure in Northern Mountain Provinces of Vietnam”. The objective of the project is to increase the resilience and reduce vulnerability of local, critical economic infrastructure in the northern mountains areas of Vietnam to the adverse impacts of climate change and to create a policy framework conducive to promoting resilient northern mountains zone development. In order to achieve this objective, four following outcomes should be delivered: Outcome 1 – Climate Change Adaptation integrated into policy, strategy and planning that relates to rural infrastructure – specifically irrigation, rural water and rural roads; Outcome 2 – Enhanced capacity to adapt/climate-proof rural infrastructure investments and provincial/local area planning; Outcome 3 – Effective climate-resilience measures mainstreamed into the MARD rural infrastructure programs; Outcome 4 – Lessons learnt and best practices from Outcomes 1, 2 and 3 are disseminated to stakeholders and development partners. Outcome 1 focuses on the national level enabling environment, making it more conducive to adaptation in rural plans and rural infrastructure projects. Outcome 2 focuses on provincial capacity to plan, design, implement and monitor infrastructure projects. Under this Outcome, basic adaptation capacity will be developed for all 15 Northern provinces. Outcome 4 is focus in dissemination the best practice from outcome 2 and 3 to stakeholders and development partners. Outcome 1, 2 and 4 are managed by UNDP. Outcome 3 demonstrates the mainstreaming of climate change adaptation into 4 diverse infrastructure SRIDP sub-projects. It will also include training on project design and climate change, and will lead to the development of technical specifications for infrastructure applicable in northern mountainous regions. Outcome 3 is financed by SCCF and managed by ADB, in parallel to components 1, 2 and 4. Contributing to outcome 3, four sub-projects have been chosen to demonstrate measures that may be used to improve the climate-resilience of a range of rural infrastructure:i) Upgrading rural road from 108 Road to Muong E in Thuan Chau District (in Son La Province); ii)Upgrading irrigation system and landslide 2 protection embankment in Tham Mon Commune, Thuan Chau district (in Son La Province); iii)Cau river protection embankment in Thanh Mai and Cao Ky Communes, Cho Moi District (in Bac Kan Province); and iv)Upgrading rural roads Linh Nham-Deo Nhau and Van Han market in Dong Hy district (in Thai Nguyen Province). As part of Outcome 2, and to facilitate the development of provincial strategy to adapt to climate change, APMB is tasked to undertake a coarse vulnerability assessment and mapping exercise for all 15 provinces and developing of vulnerability mapping for rural infrastructure in the provinces of Sonla and Backan This vulnerability assessment and mapping development will help to identify rural infrastructure that is most at risk from the impacts of both present and future climate-related hazards. Developing a infrastructure risk and vulnerability database/mapping for rural Leaders, decision makers and planning/technical staff in the northern mountain provinces have limited access to information on the likely impacts, vulnerability and risks faced by rural infrastructure under climate change. This is in part due to limited knowledge of what the likely impacts of climate change will be, which specific assets (roads, dykes, irrigation systems etc) are at risk and even the location of existing assets. As a step towards enabling a clearer presentation and assessment of these risks, this consultancy will develop a risk and vulnerability database (which can be interrogated through standard GIS tools) so that maps and analyses can be developed to enable strategic planning for climate change impacts to be based on the latest scientific and technical analyses. As the basis for policy planning/strategies which build resilience to climate change, a risk and vulnerability mapping plays an extremely important role for the whole of the northern mountain provinces. Data related to risks and vulnerability can be a barrier to identify appropriate strategies and interventions for the leadership and staffs in the Northern mountain province, but a visual tool, easy to understand and simple to reference for local government staff, will help to build capacity for policy planning and adaptation plans. Whilst some data ( rural road, irrigation, dike, etc) is available at the national level for all the northern mountain provinces it is not clear to what level of spatial dissagregation this is held. Nevertheless, combining these data with coarse scale projections of climate change from GCMs, and downscaled climate model data where available, will help prioritise areas which may have infrastructure more at risk. Additionally two demonstration provinces (Bac Kan and Son La) have been selected for higher resolution risk and vulnerability mapping, using downscaled scenarios of climate change and utilising finer resolution mapping of infrastructure where available (e.g. from provincial governments). Building risk and vulnerability 3 databases and maps for rural road, irrigation and dike / river embankment for these provinces will help create an important basic tool for developing future adaptation strategies to climate change in this region. The Central Project Management Unit (CPMU), therefore will recruits a national consulting firm to provide expertise and experience in detail evaluation and developing of risk and vulnerability mapping for northern Viet Nam and the above mentioned demonstration provinces. This Consultant will also be supported by International Expert on Climate Change to finalize the deliverables and outputs. 2) OBJECTIVES OF ASSIGNMENT The objectives of National Firm on Vulnerability Mapping (the Consultant) are: 1. Provide a detailed assessment of the risks and vulnerabilities, posed to rural infrastructures, particularly rural roads, irrigation works, dykes and river banks, by weather and climate-related hazards (both current and future) in the northern mountain provinces. This will include providing a GIS compatible database of all data, maps and analyses; 2. Similar databases and assessments will be provided for Son La and Bac Kan provinces also using provincial data and data collected through field surveys. 3) SCOPE OF WORK To achieve above objectives of assignment, the scope of work should be based on following commitments (but not limited to): i. Collect and research document Collect data on climate change scenarios published by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPPC) and Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment (MONRE) related to northern mountain provinces of Viet Nam; Evaluate appropriate risk and vulnerability assessment at national and international level, including: investigation method, data collection & analysis, evaluation methods and tools; Make use of collected data as well as results from the related vulnerability assessment package; Collect relevant data from Govermment of Viet Nam ministries, agents and local departments; 4 Use open source GIS, mapping software and other appropriate e.g. statistical software to develop the risk and vulnerability maps; Catalogue information on policies, strategies, scio-economic development plan related to rural infrastructure and poverty reduction programs; Evaluate the implications of previous natural risk assessments and management reports, related to prevention of flood, storm and landslide hazard in Viet Nam All the information and data collected by this Firm must be shared with all other consultants involved in this project; International expert on climate change will use them as one of inputs to develop his output / deliverables. ii. Fieldtrips Carry out field trips in Son La and Bac Kan provinces, in order to: (i) investigate, survey and collect relevant information on rural infrastructure, and (ii) coordinate with staff, local people to carry out participatory risk and vulnerability assessment; Work with Provincial Project Management Units (PPMUs), relevant Departments in Son La and Bac Kan provinces to investigate/ collect data, on local strategies, development and sector plans, local disasters related to weather and climate; relevant data related to floods and landslides, windstorms etc. iii. Consultation The Consultant is responsible to edit and finalize reports based on comments of relevant agents and CPMU; Co-operate with International Expert on Climate Change in agreed methodology, work plan and main content of deliverables. Especially, methodology on implementation of risk and vulnerability map of the Consultant must be consistent with the methodology of National Consultant on Vulnerability Assessment under this project; Organize consultation workshop / meetings with relevant stakeholders, including at least one consultation workshop on methodology on development of risk and vulnerability mapping for demonstration provinces, with participation of ministries’ department, institutions & related agencies; and one workshop reporting on result of risk and vulnerability mapping; Present and report in meetings, workshops related to outputs of the Consultant; participate and comment on workshops related to outputs of the International Expert on Climate Change; lecturing in training courses/ capacity building workshops on vulnerability map for technical staff; raise awareness on climate change for leaders, decision makers in accordance to 5 the scheduled training program by CPMU; During the assignment, the Consultant shall work closely with PMU, national and international experts recruited by UNDP/ CPMU, especially the International Expert on Climate Change, National Consultant on vulnerability assessment; national and international on provincial stratergy development and concerned consultants in Outcome 3; Conduct consultation with relevant stakeholders Son La and Bac Kan provinces to identify great lost, historical lost, high risk rural transport structures, irrigations, dyke, river banks that are vulnerable to climate conditions; identify which weather extreme happened in the past; research on experience about evaluation and development of food map, flash flood warning map, land slide map... iv. Reports Assessment and development of risk and vulnerability mapping of rural infrastructures (including irrigation works, dyke, river embankments) regards to climate change in the selected demonstration provinces in accordance to requirement in list of Final Products (see Section 4); Prepare inception, midterm and final report and field trip reports; Prepare materials for training/ capacity building on guiding how to use risk and vulnerability mapping, in accordance to CPMU’s training program ( with cooperation of International Expert on Climate Change); The Consultant must deliver at least one article related to the vulnerability mapping published in newspaper/ technical magazines by sector/ national/ international level (including e-newspaper or e-magazines) 4) FINAL PRODUCTS Final products shall be submited by the Consultant (in English and Vietnamese languages) include (but not limited to) ID. Expected Deliverables 1 Risk and vulnerability mapping of rural infrastructures in the 15 northern mountain provinces. Main requirements Year of Completi on - Generate risk and vulnerability mapping of rural infrastructures, particularly rural roads, irrigation works, dyke, and river embankments QIV-2014 etc, utilising services, data and analyses available through GoV Report, database of departments and ministries. Based collected data, on the collected data & information 6 information and analyses, accessible using opensource GIS tools 2 and available climate change scenarios (from IMHEN and through IPCC, CORDEX) for northern mountain provinces, carry out risk assessment for the above mentioned infrastructures under current and future climate conditions. All analyses and figures will be explained and clearly presented. The database will be implemented using open source tools and will be transferred to CPMU and CPMU/PPMUs staff trained to use it Detailed risk and It includes i) report; ii) GIS vulnerability mapping accessible database and associated of rural infrastructures analysis in Son La and Bac Kan The database shall be able to Provinces: represent and map the vulnerability of rural roads, irrigation systems, dykes and river embankments. The analyses will include a risk assessment under both current and future climate conditions, using downscaled climate scenarios where available (e.g. through IMHEN or CORDEX). The risk assessment will include estimates of the most important hazards: floods, storms (winds), and droughts, either through physical or statistical modelling. Relevant analyses and data will be obtained from GoV departments and/or from provincial governments. The risk level of each area (commune, district, valley) and each infrastructure shall be clearly indicated and shall include relevant socio-economic and environmental information (generated through other related consultancies) which may alter intrinsic vulnerabilities. These data and information will be shared with other consultancies undertaking complementary work as QI-2015 7 part of this project and all data will be transferred to CPMU upon completion of the project. 5) DURATION OF ASSIGNMENT, DUTY STATION AND EXPECTED PLACES OF TRAVEL According to the schedule, the firm will be mobilized in 2014-2015, starting from Quarter 3 in 2014. For mission of the vulnerability mapping on rural infrastructures (developing of deliverables 1&2 in Item 4. “Final Products”), consultant will complete the assignment in 06 months. The firm will submit detail workplan for full time contract to CPMU for approval. The Workplan of the Consultant will describe details on progress, staffing schedule, methodology on survey, data collections, analysis, expected deliverables, cost estimates. 6) PROVISION OF MONITORING AND PROGRESS CONTROLS The CPMU will agree with The firm on monitoring and progress controls with clear verification activities including detailed forms, outputs and deadlines. The firm shall report to CPMU Director about work plan, implementation process, progress and results (at beginning and end of each mission) based on the approved work plan. 7) DEGREE AND QUALIFICATIONS OF THE CONSULTING FIRM AND EXPERTS a. Qualifications for the firm The consulting firm must be eligible as stated in Article 7, Bidding Law 61/2005/QH11 cleared by National Assembly on 29/11/2005. In details, these conditions shall be met: i. Business registration certificate, Investment Certificate issued by appropriate authority in accordance to Government Law, or Decision on Establishment for organizations without business registration; ii. Financially Independent; 8 iii. Not being marked by authority as unhealthy financial status, facing bankrupt or incapable of repay its debt; in the disintergration process. At least 5 years of exprerience in environment assessment, climate change, infrastructure, water resource management; Have implemented or participated in at least 10 projects in fields: development and water resources/ hydrology-environment/natural risk/ loss surveys & evaluation/ climate change/ rural infrastructure/ environment / mapping; Have implemented or participated in at least 3 ODA projects/ funded by international organization from 2001 until now; Implemented at least 2 projects related to climate change; Have experience in using GIS for developing of maps and the concerned work or demonstrate to have background in hazard mapping and risk assessment. b. Requirement for the firm The consulting firm to carry out this assignment will comprise at least 7 people, including a Team Leader and experts and supporting staffs in different areas, including (but not limited to): - Climate change expert; - GIS mapping analysis and modelling expert; - Irrigation expert; - Rural transport expert; - Hydrological expert; - Sociology / gender expert. General requirements for all experts participating in this assignment: - Have experience in at least 1 projects working as the same/ similar position applied in this package; - Good computer skills such as MS Word, Excel, Powerpoint and Internet-searching skills; - Good command of English; - Good communication and team work; - Capable of working effectively with various stakeholders, including officers from Government departments and from social organizations.; - Good at handling work pressures and meet strict deadlines; Specific requirement for each possition: 9 Team Leader (expected to mobilize 6 months) - University Degree or higher, major in water resources/ environment/ climate change or agriculture and rural development; - At least 10 years experience working in the field of water resources/ environment/ climate change or agriculture and rural development; - Have worked as team leader / project manager for at least 2 projects, including at least 1 project funded by international organizations; - Good leadership skill, coordination and communication skill; - Good reporting skills in English. Climate Change Expert (expected to mobilize 5 months) - University Degree or higher in water resources/ transport/ climate, hydrology/ environment; - At least 08 years experience in water resources/ rural transport/ climate, hydrology/ environment / climate change/ disaster risk management; - Completed at least 2 climate change projects as an expert on climate change scenario approach or generation; - Capable of analysing and combining outputs from multiple GCM and downscaled climate models; GIS mapping analysis and modelling expert (expected to mobilize 4 months) - University Degree or higher, major in topography/ mapping/ water resources / transport / climate, hydrology / environment /climate change/ information technology; - At least 8 years experience working in the field of topography/ mapping/ water resources/ rural transport/ information technology; - Capable of using relevant programming languages; capable of carry out works that relevant to graphic, mapping; - Capability in data analysis and integration. Experience in running scientific models in a GIS environment. Familiar with statistic and probablity skills; Irrigation Expert (expected to mobilize 4.5 months) - University Degree or higher in water resource / irrigation; - At least 08 years experience in water resource/ irrigation/ dyke, embankment/ or rural infrastructure, including in northern Viet Nam 10 Rural Transport Expert (expected to mobilize 4.5 months) - University Degree or higher in transport; - At least 8 years experience in rural transport/ or rural infrastructure development, including in northern Viet Nam Hydrological Expert (expected to mobilize 3.5 months) - University Degree or higher in water resource/ hydrology/ meteorology environment; - At least 8 years experience in water resource/ hydrology/ environment/ climate change, data analyses and modeling; - Experience using meteorological observations and climate model output; - Ability to develop flood risk maps, based on either past observations or standard dynamical/statistical models. Sociology / Gender Expert (expected to mobilize 1.5 months) - University Degree or higher in sociology, psychology/ community development/ family and gender; - At least 08 years experience in community development/ sustainable development/ gender equality/ population. 8) ADMIN SUPPORT AND REFERENCE DOCUMENTS Reference documents: Copies of final approved project documents by UNDP will be made accessible to the consultant. In addition to this, the consultant should refer to other documentations of UNDP as: Capacity Assessment Methodology: User’s Guide (2007); Capacity Assessment Practice Note (2008) UN – EU Guidelines for Financing of Local Costs in Development Co-operation with Viet Nam, VietnamUnited Nations Harmonized Programme and Project Management Guidelines and other relevant documents; Admin support: CPMU will support the expert in arrangement of working schedule with relevant individual/state agencies when the Firm go on field trip or meeting. Before each trip, the Firm shall send official request to CPMU via document at least one week in advance. There will be no translation support for the Firm. 9) PAYMENT TERMS 11 CPMU will advance 20% contract value for the Firm after the contract is signed and detailed workplan for whole contract of the Firm is approved by CPMU; CPMU will make payments through given bank account of the Firm, in the following installments: - First installment: 40% contract value after Product ID no 1 in Section 4 “Final Products” mentioned above is approved by CPMU (actual payment 20%, deduct 20% advance payment); - Second installment: 40% contract value after Product ID no 2 in Section 4 “Final Products” mentioned above is approved by CPMU; - Third Installment: 20% contract value after the Firm finish complied all contract obligations. Final Products/ deliverables are set in Section 4 of this TOR. 12