ESPM 169: Issue Linkage and Biodiversity November 7, 2002 - group reports, chronology drafts - rest of semester 1. Big Points: Issue Linkage in IEP 1. No issue is an island: different types of linkage - linkages across environmental issues - e.g. CC and BD (nested linkage in this case: solving CC would help BD, not necessarily vice versa) - linkages with other international issues and governance orders - WTO and TRIPS - linkages with broader socio-economic-political problems - population, sustainability and agriculture 2. Good or bad? - synergistic: the two complement each other, thus mutually alleviating the problem's severity - conflictual: the two augment each other, or threaten each other - e.g. WTO and MEAs - strategic: often a device used in international agreements to facilitate cooperation or compliance, e.g. human rights and economic aid - or hazardous substances - institutional Topic Choice: - climate change - food and agriculture - WTO and TRIPS - population and sustainability voted for the latter two of course, they are all extremely interconnected: population, consumption, sustainability, trade and globalization 2 2. Population and Sustainability a. Unbundling Population Issues - on or around October 12, 1999, the world’s 6 billionth baby was born 1999: world population twice what it was in 1960; one tenth of all the people who have ever lived are alive today It took all human history up to 1800 for population to reach 1 billion; second took only until 1930 UN projects that by 2050 world population will reach between 7.7 and 11.2 billion – at which point it is likely to level off - more importantly: the population of the developed world will be the same, or a little less, while growth will happen in LDCs. population growth is the factor that needs to be addressed in terms of long-term sustainability and environmental protection - the "elephant in the room" also: can't really be separated from issues of consumption, especially in the wealthy countries - also quality of life issues: life expectancy getting lower in many parts of the world (AIDS); immigration issues b. Relationship between BD and population - as human population grows, more and more land will be needed to grow food - if not done sustainably, will reduce BD drastically - growth and density - migration and birthrates - plus: clearance for industry, housing, etc. - "population is growing 8 times faster than cropland is expanding" (PAI) - often framed as intensely conflictual See http://www.peopleandplanet.net/doc.php?id=804 (handout) http://www.populationaction.org/resources/publications/naturesplace/np_index.shtml 3 of course: a hugely problematic issue for international action - mostly because of a vocal (and wealthy) transnational minority opposed to extension of full rights to women, education re birth control and general education, family planning - also, a sensitive issue - can't feasibly have international agencies making rules about individual choices - no formal rules, treaties Still: some action - UN Population Fund, Planned Parenthood, Population Action International c. Population Meetings: 1994: Cairo UN International Conference on Population and Development: commitment to family planning - women’s groups emerging as important – got together at Rio February 1999: Hague Forum on Population Barbara Crane’s chapter in the readings: 3 distinct phases between 1965-1991 1965-1974: rapid growth in IPIs under leadership from US and western donor countries - 1974: 1st conference, Bucharest (interesting in itself – Romanian policies) 1974 – 1984: period of greater accommodation to LDCs - 1984: Mexico City 1984-1991 – and indeed to the present: conflict over IPIs and search for new sources of support; withdrawal of US due to domestic opposition to abortion funding - Reagan Administration in the US Now: programs left up to national governments to create/endorse – 57 countries reported to UN by 1989 that they had fertility programs in place d. Bottom Line for BD: work towards sustainability - sustainable agriculture, reducing consumption stabilize population, on-the-ground conservation activities should include family planning 4 incorporation of BD concerns into land use planning - zoning, engineering protect hotspots control human movements and migration? (acceptance that some conservation will fall by the wayside) - very difficult - conflicts with other approaches, infringement of rights and livelihoods - Different approaches for different areas: - BD: critical, valuable, high - threats: many, few - Population pressures: high, moderate, low 3. Sustainability and Sustainable Development a. Defining SD - “SD is development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs” - 2 key concepts embedded in definition, according to report: that overwhelming priority should be given to the essential needs of the words poor, and the “idea of limitations imposed by the state of technology and social organization on the environment’s ability to meet present and future needs” - From Brundtland Report, Our Common Future, 1987 From V&A, p. 6: 1. Concept clearly represents an attempt to bridge the concerns of developed and less developed nations 2. Attempts to reconcile economic growth and the environment, rather than seeing them as trade-offs 3. Strongly anthropocentric 5 - focus on needs can be translated as up-lifting the basic living conditions of the “4th world” 4. Limits to growth ultimately not natural or physical, but are social and technological - rejects notion of “limits to growth” 5. Extremely, and deliberately, vague. - both appealing and problematic becoming dominant discourse in IEP Institutional Linkages: Agenda 21, CBD secretariat ASK: how are the two linked? (positive or negative) b. Implementing SD? - conserving BD an integral part of SD (despite anthropocentric focus) - many believe it is a key component and a key indicator of BD (if we have BD, then we're probably living sustainably…) - also: helps explain focus on genetic resources, biotechnology, technical assistance, agriculture - help poorer countries develop, utilize resources more sustainably (if they have a price, that limits their use) SD discourse developing at same time, influenced CBD See: http://www.biodiv.org/doc/newsletters/news-sd-suplement-en.pdf Two approaches: 1. Chichilinsky suggests reorientation of development towards "knowledge based" production - less resource intensive 6 - but she ignores waste and pollution aspects; rise in housing, infrastructure, consumption - may work in a limited sense in hotspots, but… 2. Greening GDP/GNP - current estimates of GDP rely solely on economic output in $$ terms, based on value of marketed goods and services - does not take into account resource depletion (of non-renewable or slow renewing resources), or externalities - pollution, etc - or species depletion, or value of ecosystem services GNP: "The Gross National Product (GNP) is the total dollar value of all final goods and services produced for consumption in society during a particular time period. The GNP does include allowances for depreciation and indirect business taxes such as those on sales and property." "Gross national product is the output of labor and property of US nationals regardless of the location of the labor and property. Gross National Product includes income earned by the factors of production (assets and labor) owned by a country's residents but excludes income produced within the country's borders by factors of production owned by nonresidents." GDP: Value of all goods and services produced within a country, regardless of ownership - one estimate of value of earth's natural resources: $33 trillion (based on willingness to pay) "The value of the world's ecosystem services and natural capital" Costanza R, dArge R, deGroot R, Farber S, Grasso M, Hannon B, Limburg K, Naeem S, ONeill RV, Paruelo J, Raskin RG, Sutton P, vandenBelt M. NATURE, 387 (6630): 253-260 MAY 15 1997 what would greening GDP entail? What would it accomplish? - deducting value of lost resources, land etc. from annual GDP - help alleviate conflict between development for humans and conservation; give "growth maximization" a different meaning - but, would politicians buy it? 7 - valuing BD: well, on the one hand, could be argued that putting a monetary value on individual species could lead to comparisons - on the other hand, valuing habitats means you're not getting an inflated value-added from developing the land 4. Trade and BD: Trade Liberalization and the WTO - GDP growth - export dependence - on primary products - bioinvasions - conflicts with WTO: IPRs and trade in GMOs