Playing with Numbers: a Discussion Paper on Positive Discrimination as a Means for Achieving Gender Equality in the Police Service in England and Wales by Jennifer Brown, Peter Hegarty and Darragh O’Neill Department of Psychology School of Human Sciences University of Surrey May 2006 Acknowledgements This research was conducted on behalf of and funded by the British Association for Women in Policing. Our thanks go to Julie Spence the President of the BAWP and Chief Constable of Cambridgeshire Police. To all those who gave their time in talking to us, we thank you, especially Sir Ronnie Flannigan, Maura Muldoon and Irwin Montgomery. Jayne Monkhouse provided an opinion on the legal technicalities of Equality Legislation. We hope that the report may contribute to the debate about the effectiveness of strategies to increase the representation of women in policing. Summary This paper discusses the rationale for increasing the numbers of women in the Police Service and the means for achieving this goal. Increasing the representation of ethnic minorities in the Police Service is made on the grounds of reclaiming police legitimacy in that the current composition overly represents white (male) officers. This then is held to violate the principle of policing by consent because such a composition is not consistent with the diversity of the policed communities. As this holds true for ethnic minorities, it is hard to refute the claims of women to redress their current under representation. Thirty five percent women has been suggested to be a viable aspiration for the gender composition of the police and the notion of critical mass is explored to justify this. At present UK law permits the use of special measures to encourage increasing the applicant pool but appointments may not violate the merit principle whereby the best candidates are chosen irrespective of other considerations. The setting of targets is also permissible and has been done for the recruitment of BME officers although not for women. The combination of special measures and targets is unlikely to be successful in the case of BME. Given the current recruitment rate and taking into account the 26% attrition in probationers’ wastage rates, a conservative estimate calculates it will take 23 years to achieve the 7% BME representation. If a critical mass of 35% women in policing is to be achieved then again at current rates of recruitment and wastage rates it will take 15 years to reach this percentage. If police legitimacy is to be recovered, then these lead times suggest the slow pace may further jeopardise police reputation and mandate to police by consent. Academic opinion is reviewed and the evidence indicates that within the current legal provision this lead time will not be improved. Radical departures from the legislation are discussed in which the strict application of the merit principle is breached in favour of the public good. The case of Northern Ireland is described whereby derogation from European legislation permitted the introduction of the 50:50 policy. This has permitted the PSNI to move from 8 to 19% Catholic representation in 5 years. However, the reformation of the RUC was not conducted through numbers alone and the context for the 50:50 as a special case for Northern Ireland as well as the other reforming measures adopted are outlined. The report discusses the arguments for and against the introduction of positive discrimination. The Patten Report provides a set of criteria to evaluate success in the case of policing Northern Ireland. These are used to assess the successes of the PSNI thus far. They are also applied to the present case. Will a positive discrimination policy with respect to gender promote efficient and effective policing? deliver fair and impartial policing? provide accountability in law and to the community? make police more representative of society? protect and vindicate human rights and human dignity of all? Conclusions The British Crime Survey data indicates a declining trend in user satisfaction with police. More specifically work undertaken for the Women’s National Commission and research conducted on behalf of the Metropolitan Police Service indicated areas of dissatisfaction in policing services by women. One solution has been to suggest greater numbers of women officers. For example the Patten Report is “convinced that a much higher proportion of female officers would enhance the effectiveness of policing.” The argument for 35% as an aspiration for the gender composition for the Police Service in England and Wales is made on the grounds that this proportion represents a sufficient critical mass to obviate the negative behaviour of the majority and potentiates women friendly policies. There is support for the former but not the latter. Research evidence suggests 35 is an optimum percentage where women experience the least discrimination and greatest level of acceptance by male officers in the police.. As applied to the Legislature, research finds that it not necessarily the case that more women friendly policies are initiated and enacted and points to additional constraints such as dispersion of women at sufficiently senior level that inhibits the hoped for outcomes of this level of representation. Thus the case for 35% representation of women is equivocal. Present UK legislative arrangements do identify lawful measures that may be applied to encourage increases in the recruitment pool. It is suggested that these lawful measures have not been exhausted or used sufficiently imaginatively at this stage to warrant changing the law to rescind application of the merit principle as a means to increase in the representation of women. However, with current policies and recruitment rates there will not be a dramatic rise in the number of women officers in the immediate future. The PSNI represents a special case where there were deep and profound tragedies from the past which had resulted in entrenched disproportionalities on the basis of religion creating a departure from a desirable model of policing in a democracy society. This necessitated a suspension of the strict application of the merit principle to achieve a greater public good. This justified a derogation from European Law to permit the 50:50 recruitment policy to increase the numbers of Catholic officers. The 50:50 was one amongst a raft of reforming measures, and a great deal of financial resources underpinned these changes. It remains to be argued that the particularities of the Northern Ireland case pertain to England and Wales and can be applied to the gender representation in the police to justify a change in the law. In any event it is obvious that numbers alone will not reform the police. The Patten recommendations argued for structural, symbolic and cultural changes as a reformulation of the RUC and the recruitment policy was one of a raft of measures. When applying the Patten criteria to PSNI there is no doubt the 50:50 has moved the force nearer to the religious proportionalities reflected in the population of Northern Ireland. It is probably too soon, but measures of user satisfaction and police performance have not yet demonstrated delivery of the improved community accountabilities or efficiencies in performance. When applying the criteria to gender (and ethnic representation within England and Wales) we found that the relative proportion of women (and BME) officers in forces makes no difference to the performance thus indicating no loss (or gains) in proficiency with greater numbers of women (or ethnic minorities). Neither were there any differences in fairness as measured by the disproportionalities in stop and search. With respect to community accountability as measured by customer satisfaction, again there was no statistically significant relationship between levels of satisfaction and the proportion of women (or BME) officers in forces. Finally at current levels of recruitment and attrition of probationer constables, BME recruitment will hit 7% in 2023 and a proportion of 35% women officers will be achieved by 2021. This rate of increase is likely to be imperceptible given these lead times so will not achieve a public sense of a more representative Police Service. For the composition of the police to change, the necessary conditions for reforming policies to work must include sufficient finances to undercut the costs of change; maintenances of competency standards; communication and acceptance of minimalist application of the merit principle; authentic commitment of senior management; concomitant culture change within the organisation and across the CJS; a wider societal project to elimination disadvantage.