AEROSPACE TECHNOLOGIES
RESEARCH AND PREDICTION OF A STATE OF POPULATION HEALTH AND INFLUENCE TO IT OF THE FACTORS OF SOLAR ACTIVITY
Description
The informational technology of data processing about
such vector statistical metric of population health of defined region as a daily amount of calls of the ambulance
in connection with peaking some types of diseases is offered. For it the data about calls of the ambulance, classed
in types of diseases (nozologes) according to an International Statistical Classification of Illnesses are used. In
particular, such as:
1) disorder of mentality and behavior; 2) illnesses of the
nervous system and sense organs; 3) illnesses of the system of blood circulation and so forth.
The card of call the ambulance contains the information
on date and time of call, data about the patient (including
his age and sex), diagnosis, time and character of the
medical help etc. The data of such card, necessary for
processing, are recorded in a Excel-datafile about calls of
the ambulance for each exact day. Each such file – table
of diseases of the people (with their data) on concrete
date with decryption on nozologes. The source files (are
grouped together on months) form a data bank. The
package of programs for primary processing (in particular, averaging by the sliding polynomial window), analysis
and imaging component of a data bank is created. The
tendencies of time changes and outputs about possible
correlations are illustrated by the generated tables and
special graphics.
The given technology also includes a research of influence of the factors of solar activity on population health
by comparison of their manifestations to the above-stated
vector metric.
Innovative Aspect and Main Advantages
Analogs of an offered information technology, in particular in the field of researches of influence of the factors of
solar activity on a state of population health, now are not
known.
The main factor of novelty and main advantage is the
strict scientific approach of setting and realization of researches of correlation between manifestations of solar
activity and state of population health , that is based on
getting and analysis of synchronous experimental data
about changes of space weather and metric of state of
population health (Lychak M.M. On influence of solar
activity, that is accompanied by coronal mass ejections,
on a population health // VI International Crimean Conference « COSMOS AND BIOSPHERE », 2005. Abstracts. P. 8-9.) Of course, development of a new method
and appropriate computer programs for the analysis cyclicity of sequences of data of solar activity, that will form
the basis for the prognosis is very important.
The developed of new apparatus, experimental devices
and researches conducted with their use, will allow to find
.laws and mechanisms of influence of the factors of space
weather, in particular CME, on an organism of the person
and biosphere of the Earth in general, and also to predict
such influence in conditions of space.
Fig.1 The graph of change of the daily amount calls of the
ambulance in connection with a peaking of illnesses of the
blood circulation system (since 01.04.2003 till 30.06.2005)
Fig.2 Smoothed monthly average values of radio emission
of the Sun (graph above) and value of Wolf's numbers
(graph below) for period since 02.1947 till 09.2005
Areas of Application
Protection of health of the population and warning of ecologically dangerous situations.
Stage of Development
The main development is at the stage of modeling of the
prototype - checked and tested on real data of calls of ambulance in Kyiv. The possible further developments, which
are based on main, are partially patented. The analysis of
their technical fulfillment is conducted by modeling of main
nodes of the prototype, available for researches.
Contact Details
Mykhailo M. Lychak, Doctor of Physical and Mathematical
Sciences
Head of Research Department “System analysis and control” of Space Research Institute of NAS/NSA of Ukraine,
professor of the faculty of radio engineering of
Khmelnitskiy National University
Phone: (+38)-044-526-12-91, (+38)-097-8271502
Fax: (+38)-044-526-41-24
set@space.is.kiev.ua
STCU Senior Specialist:
Elena Taberko [Elena.taberko@stcu.int]
STCUTechnology Reference: TPFe 217_03