Assessment of Investment and Financial Flows to Address Climate Change – Namibia Agriculture Sectoral Assessment Progress Report by Sectoral Team Leader: Olimpio Nhuleipo (MET) May 2010 Agriculture Working Group: Olimpio Nhuleipo (MET), Uazamo Kaura (MET), Veikko Shigwedha (MET), Pekeloye Malwa (MAWF), Aina-Maria Iteta (MAWF), Romie Nghiulikwa (UNDP), John Ashipala (UNDP), Juliane Zeidler (IECN), Christerline Ndeleki (IECN), Linda Uulenga (IECN) and John Ishila (IECN) Development by Ministry of Environment and Tourism – Namibia Ministry of Agriculture, Water and Forestry – Namibia United Nations Development Programme – Namibia Integrated Environmental Consultants of Namibia 1|P a g e Ministry of Environment and Tourism Government of the Republic of Namibia Assessing Investment & Financial Flows to Address Climate Change in Key Sectors Historical IF, FF, and O&M data and Subsidies Data Collection and Sources of data for IF, FF and O&M Agricultural sector The public sector data on investments and financial flows to the Agriculture include Government budgetary allocation to Agriculture, Aquaculture and forestry as well as data on both Bilateral and multilateral development Assistance to the Agricultural sector. These data is obtained from the Ministry of Agriculture, Water and Forestry’s budget documents, MWAF’s Strategic Plan and the Medium Term Expenditure Framework, NDP3 and Vision 2030. The other data were collected from the countries’ Agricultural boards namely the Meat Board of Namibia and the Agronomic Board of Namibia. The Agricultural Boards provides research and technical assistance to the agriculture sector through own projects and programs. These projects are mainly marketing and promotion of agricultural produce as well as pricing. The Agricultural boards also administer the ministry of Agriculture’s projects. This is also the same with the Agribank which receive funds from the Ministry of Agriculture to funds certain agricultural schemes such as the green scheme. Most of the Agricultural projects administered by the Meat Board and the Agronomic board of Namibia are government (MAWF). These projects are either donor funded or government funded and the boards administer the funds and the implementation of the projects. Some of the Meat Board and Agronomic Board projects are co-funded by the Namibia government and its development partners and the board implement or administer the funds and provide technical assistance to farmers, both commercial and communal farmers. In light of climate change and its likely negative impacts on the Agricultural sector, the Agricultural boards of Namibia require additional financial, human resources as well as technical assistance as part of institutional capacity building to be able to assist the agriculture sector to copy with the impacts of climate change. The available data on households and corporation investments into the Agricultural sector is obtained from the Agricultural Bank of Namibia (Agribank) and the Development of Namibia (DBN). However, the larger portion of investment and financial flows data by households and corporation in the agriculture sector is outstanding and most of the commercial bank had promised to forward the data to the adaptation working group as soon as they finish compilation The Agriculture sector’s GDP amounted to XXX in 2005. This indicates that the agricultural sector is the biggest sector of the Namibian economy employing more than xx of the labor force and 2|P a g e Ministry of Environment and Tourism Government of the Republic of Namibia Assessing Investment & Financial Flows to Address Climate Change in Key Sectors supporting more than 80 percent of the Namibian population. Therefore, the Agricultural sectors and the other related sub sectors such as forestry, aquaculture and water are the top priority of the Namibian government and receive huge amount of budgetary allocations to achieve the main national objectives and goals of food security and import substitutions. Due to aridity and variable climatic conditions, the dual structure of the agricultural economy (commercial and communal farming systems) and other systemic factors Namibia import more than 80% of its food staff from South Africa and the country’s agricultural policy is to promote horticulture, crop and livestock production to reduce reliance on import of food staff. To insert Data on livestock, crop productions? Data on Investment in Agriculture by Banks, Households, other corporations The Banking institutions, households, corporations, government budgets, bilateral and multilateral foreign aid are the major sources of credit/loans and investments to/into Agriculture and other related sectors. Namibia’s Banking sector consists of 7 major banks, three state banks and four commercial banks. The state banks are the Agricultural Bank of Namibia (Agribank), The Development Bank of Namibia (DBN) and the Bank of Namibia (BON) as well as the Development Corporation of Namibia (NDC). These are the major government banking and lending institutions established to serve as an engine of economic development and provide credit guarantee and loans small, medium and large corporations. The Development Bank of Namibia funds industrial development and focuses on value adding income generating activities and includes agribusiness projects in its portfolios. The Agricultural bank of Namibia is the country’s major agricultural bank, established in xx. It replaced the Land Bank to serve as the engine of agricultural growth, thereby providing loans to agricultural related economic activities, projects and programms. Agribank provides credit to households, farmers and agricultural projects, programs and to all other agribusiness. The agricultural bank provides loans to commercial and communal farmers as well as to various agricultural related sectors. The four major commercial banks are the First National Bank of Namibia (FNB), Bank Windhoek (BW), Ned Bank and Standard Bank. There are also small and medium lending institutions providing credit to individual’s farmers, households and corporation’s s such as Eduloan which provide loans for education and for purchases of livestock and agricultural implements. There is also a great possibility that credit provided by cash loans is not only used for personal consumption, but also for the investment in livestock’s and other agricultural tools. However the data on credit extended to individuals, households and corporations by cash loans is hard to come by, the same with the information on household equity and debt related to the Agricultural sector. 3|P a g e Ministry of Environment and Tourism Government of the Republic of Namibia Assessing Investment & Financial Flows to Address Climate Change in Key Sectors The main assumption is that there is great possibility that some of the credit extended to individual, households and corporations by small and medium lending institution including cash loans is used for substantive investments in agricultural income generating activities, mainly livestock purchases. Assessment challenges The Bank of Namibia is the legitimate sources of official data on investment, Foreign Direct investment (FDI) to various sectors of the Namibia economy, but it does not have disaggregated data on FDI to various sectors of the economy. The challenge that the team faced of getting data on corporations and foreign direct investments to the Agricultural sectors as most of the data available at the Bank of Namibia are in aggregate form, indicating credit extended to the households, corporation as well as Foreign Direct Investment to all sectors of the Namibian economy. The data obtained from the Bank of Namibia on credit extended to the Agricultural sector from the domestics sources of funding is in aggregate form and does not specify source of demand whether it was invested by households, corporations, FDI or by government it is just a total figure of either loans to the Agricultural sector or capital formation or investments in the agricultural sector without indicating the type of investing entities as per the UNDP methodological requirements. The Bank of Namibia had total amount of credit extended to individuals and corporations from domestic sources in the aggregate form and for all the sectors of the economy, while the assessment specifically require the amount of investments by households and corporations in the agricultural sector or at least the total amount of credit to the various agricultural projects. The fact that there is no disaggregated data on credit or loans and investments in the Agricultural sector, prompted the Adaptation Working Group to directly procure data from state development banks such as the Agricultural Bank of Namibia (AgriBANK) The Development Bank of Namibia (DBN), commercial banks and other lending financial institutions. So far the team managed to collect the data from only two Banks namely the Agricultural and the development Bank of Namibia. Data on households debt and equity related to the Agricultural sector is very hard to come by, as most of the Namibian households directly involved in agricultural operate in the informal/subsistence farming sectors where records on investment and production are hardly kept. 4|P a g e Ministry of Environment and Tourism Government of the Republic of Namibia Assessing Investment & Financial Flows to Address Climate Change in Key Sectors As a result the adaptation working Group opted for the information contained in earlier assessment reports on the socio-economic impact climate change on the livelihood of the Namibian population. The historical data on IF, FF and O&M to/within the Agricultural sector, obtained from MAWF (the sector ministry), and the Agricultural boards of Namibia are linked to Agricultural projects and programs to be implemented during the NPD3 and the Vision2030 period. This programmatic and investment financial information indicates the major sources which are government budgetary allocation and Bilateral and Multilateral (ODA) to various agricultural related projects. See table from Agriculture. 1) However we find it difficult to get data on subsidies and on O&M. On the other hand I find it hard to understand the type of data required to populate the UNDP IF, FF, O&M tables. The historical data required for table3 in the Methodology book, the question I have is: is this data for all the sectors of the economy or data related to Agriculture sectors only? If this data is required for the Agricultural sector only and not for other sectors of the economy to provide the bigger picture of the economy, than I am a bit afraid because of the fact that most of the data on FDI, foreign borrowing (loans) and Foreign Aid (ODA) to/by corporations are hard to grasp as I mentioned above that the Bank of Namibia has aggregated data on investments by and on credit extended to households, corporation. The figure available at the Bank of Namibia on ODA and FDI is for the whole economy not disaggregated by sector. And Again the data on domestic investment in the Agricultural sector contained in the Bank of Namibia’s Annual reports, their data base is an aggregate figure making it hard for one to identify the portion of investment by households, investment by corporations ( equity and debts) domestic sources. On this one the option were are left with is to continue with our drive to get the outstanding data from those commercial Banks which did not provide us with the data on the credit they extended to the Agricultural related projects. Otherwise we won’t be able to have a picture of investment into Agriculture by households and corporations as the Bank of Namibia has aggregate data. It is only the commercial Banks to rescue us by providing us with the total amount of credit /loans they provided to farmers, agribusiness and households and individual for agricultural related expenditures. 2) The other problem is the projections given the data gaps we have I think we really need help on the projections and costing of the adaptation measures at least for one to make sure our projections are right. 5|P a g e Ministry of Environment and Tourism Government of the Republic of Namibia Assessing Investment & Financial Flows to Address Climate Change in Key Sectors 6|P a g e Ministry of Environment and Tourism Government of the Republic of Namibia Assessing Investment & Financial Flows to Address Climate Change in Key Sectors